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LIGHT	
  VEHICLE	
   COMMERCIAL	
   INDUSTRIAL	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
Fiscal	
  Year	
  2014	
  Fourth	
  Quarter	
  	
  
and	
  Full	
  Year	
  Earnings	
  PresentaHon	
  
March	
  12,	
  2015	
  
2	
  
Disclaimer	
  
This	
  presenta,on	
  and	
  any	
  related	
  statements	
  contains	
  certain	
  “forward-­‐looking	
  statements”	
  about	
  MPG’s	
  financial	
  results	
  and	
  es,mates	
  and	
  business	
  prospects	
  within	
  the	
  meaning	
  of	
  the	
  Private	
  Securi,es	
  Li,ga,on	
  Reform	
  Act	
  of	
  
1995.	
  Forward-­‐looking	
  statements	
  may	
  be	
  iden,fied	
  by	
  words	
  such	
  as	
  “expects,”	
  “intends,”	
  “an,cipates,”	
  “plans,”	
  “project,”	
  “believes,”	
  “seeks,”	
  “targets,”	
  “forecast,”	
  “es,mates,”	
  “will”	
  or	
  other	
  words	
  of	
  similar	
  meaning	
  and	
  include,	
  
but	
  are	
  not	
  limited	
  to,	
  statements	
  regarding	
  the	
  outlook	
  for	
  the	
  Company’s	
  future	
  business,	
  prospects,	
  and	
  financial	
  performance;	
  the	
  industry	
  outlook,	
  our	
  backlog	
  and	
  our	
  2015	
  financial	
  guidance.	
  Forward-­‐looking	
  statements	
  are	
  
based	
  on	
  management’s	
  current	
  expecta,ons	
  and	
  assump,ons,	
  which	
  are	
  subject	
  to	
  inherent	
  uncertain,es,	
  risks,	
  and	
  changes	
  in	
  circumstances	
  that	
  are	
  difficult	
  to	
  predict.	
  Actual	
  outcomes	
  and	
  results	
  may	
  differ	
  materially	
  due	
  to	
  
global	
  poli,cal,	
  economic,	
  business,	
  compe,,ve,	
  market,	
  regulatory,	
  and	
  other	
  factors	
  and	
  risks,	
  including,	
  but	
  not	
  limited	
  to,	
  the	
  following:	
  vola,lity	
  in	
  the	
  global	
  economy	
  impac,ng	
  demand	
  for	
  new	
  vehicles	
  and	
  our	
  products;	
  a	
  
decline	
  in	
  vehicle	
  produc,on	
  levels,	
  par,cularly	
  with	
  respect	
  to	
  plaUorms	
  for	
  which	
  we	
  are	
  a	
  significant	
  supplier,	
  or	
  the	
  financial	
  distress	
  of	
  any	
  of	
  our	
  major	
  customers;	
  seasonality	
  in	
  the	
  automo,ve	
  industry;	
  our	
  significant	
  
compe,,on;	
  our	
  dependence	
  on	
  large-­‐volume	
  customers	
  for	
  current	
  and	
  future	
  sales;	
  a	
  reduc,on	
  in	
  outsourcing	
  by	
  our	
  customers,	
  the	
  loss	
  or	
  discon,nua,on	
  of	
  material	
  produc,on	
  or	
  programs,	
  or	
  a	
  failure	
  to	
  secure	
  sufficient	
  
alterna,ve	
  programs;	
  our	
  failure	
  to	
  offset	
  con,nuing	
  pressure	
  from	
  our	
  customers	
  to	
  reduce	
  our	
  prices;	
  our	
  inability	
  to	
  realize	
  all	
  of	
  the	
  sales	
  expected	
  from	
  awarded	
  business	
  or	
  fully	
  recover	
  pre-­‐produc,on	
  costs;	
  our	
  failure	
  to	
  
increase	
  produc,on	
  capacity	
  or	
  over-­‐expanding	
  our	
  produc,on	
  in	
  ,mes	
  of	
  overcapacity;	
  our	
  reliance	
  on	
  key	
  machinery	
  and	
  tooling	
  to	
  manufacture	
  components	
  for	
  powertrain	
  and	
  safety-­‐cri,cal	
  systems	
  that	
  cannot	
  be	
  easily	
  
replicated;	
  program	
  launch	
  difficul,es;	
  a	
  disrup,on	
  in	
  our	
  supply	
  or	
  delivery	
  chain	
  which	
  causes	
  one	
  or	
  more	
  of	
  our	
  customers	
  to	
  halt	
  produc,on;	
  work	
  stoppages	
  or	
  produc,on	
  limita,ons	
  at	
  one	
  or	
  more	
  of	
  our	
  customer’s	
  facili,es;	
  a	
  
catastrophic	
  loss	
  of	
  one	
  of	
  our	
  key	
  manufacturing	
  facili,es;	
  failure	
  to	
  protect	
  our	
  know-­‐how	
  and	
  intellectual	
  property;	
  the	
  disrup,on	
  or	
  harm	
  to	
  our	
  business	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  any	
  acquisi,ons	
  or	
  joint	
  ventures	
  we	
  make;	
  a	
  significant	
  
increase	
  in	
  the	
  prices	
  of	
  raw	
  materials	
  and	
  commodi,es	
  we	
  use;	
  the	
  damage	
  to	
  or	
  termina,on	
  of	
  our	
  rela,onships	
  with	
  key	
  third-­‐party	
  suppliers;	
  our	
  failure	
  to	
  maintain	
  our	
  cost	
  structure;	
  the	
  incurrence	
  of	
  significant	
  costs	
  if	
  we	
  close	
  
any	
  of	
  our	
  manufacturing	
  facili,es;	
  poten,al	
  significant	
  costs	
  at	
  our	
  facility	
  in	
  Sandusky,	
  Ohio;	
  the	
  failure	
  of	
  or	
  disrup,ons	
  in	
  our	
  informa,on	
  technology	
  networks	
  and	
  systems,	
  or	
  the	
  inability	
  to	
  successfully	
  implement	
  upgrades	
  to	
  
our	
  enterprise	
  resource	
  planning	
  systems;	
  the	
  incurrence	
  of	
  significant	
  costs,	
  liabili,es,	
  and	
  obliga,ons	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  environmental	
  requirements	
  and	
  other	
  regulatory	
  risks;	
  extensive	
  and	
  growing	
  governmental	
  regula,ons;	
  the	
  
adverse	
  impact	
  of	
  climate	
  change	
  and	
  related	
  energy	
  legisla,on	
  and	
  regula,on;	
  the	
  incurrence	
  of	
  material	
  costs	
  related	
  to	
  legal	
  proceedings;	
  our	
  inability	
  to	
  recruit	
  and	
  retain	
  key	
  personnel;	
  any	
  failure	
  to	
  maintain	
  sa,sfactory	
  labor	
  
rela,ons;	
  pension	
  and	
  other	
  postre,rement	
  benefit	
  obliga,ons;	
  risks	
  related	
  to	
  our	
  global	
  opera,ons;	
  compe,,ve	
  threats	
  posed	
  by	
  global	
  opera,ons	
  and	
  entering	
  new	
  markets;	
  foreign	
  exchange	
  rate	
  fluctua,ons;	
  increased	
  costs	
  and	
  
obliga,ons	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  becoming	
  a	
  public	
  company;	
  the	
  failure	
  of	
  our	
  internal	
  controls	
  to	
  meet	
  the	
  standards	
  required	
  by	
  Sarbanes-­‐Oxley;	
  our	
  substan,al	
  indebtedness;	
  our	
  inability,	
  or	
  the	
  inability	
  of	
  our	
  customers	
  or	
  our	
  suppliers,	
  
to	
  obtain	
  and	
  maintain	
  sufficient	
  debt	
  financing,	
  including	
  working	
  capital	
  lines;	
  our	
  exposure	
  to	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  different	
  tax	
  uncertain,es;	
  the	
  mix	
  of	
  profits	
  and	
  losses	
  in	
  various	
  jurisdic,ons	
  adversely	
  affec,ng	
  our	
  tax	
  rate;	
  disrup,on	
  
from	
  the	
  combina,on	
  of	
  our	
  opera,ons	
  and	
  diversion	
  of	
  management’s	
  aZen,on;	
  our	
  limited	
  history	
  of	
  working	
  as	
  a	
  single	
  company	
  and	
  the	
  inability	
  to	
  integrate	
  HHI,	
  Metaldyne,	
  and	
  Grede	
  successfully	
  and	
  achieve	
  the	
  an,cipated	
  
benefits.	
  
	
  For	
  the	
  reasons	
  described	
  above,	
  we	
  cau,on	
  you	
  against	
  relying	
  on	
  any	
  forward-­‐looking	
  statements,	
  which	
  should	
  also	
  be	
  read	
  in	
  conjunc,on	
  with	
  the	
  other	
  cau,onary	
  statements	
  that	
  are	
  included	
  elsewhere	
  
in	
  this	
  press	
  release	
  and	
  in	
  our	
  public	
  filings,	
  including	
  under	
  the	
  heading	
  “Risk	
  Factors”	
  in	
  our	
  filings	
  that	
  we	
  make	
  from	
  ,me	
  to	
  ,me	
  with	
  the	
  Securi,es	
  and	
  Exchange	
  Commission	
  and	
  Annual	
  Report	
  on	
  Form	
  10-­‐K	
  for	
  the	
  year	
  ended	
  
December	
  31,	
  2014	
  to	
  be	
  filed	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  few	
  days.	
  You	
  should	
  not	
  consider	
  any	
  list	
  of	
  such	
  factors	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  exhaus,ve	
  statement	
  of	
  all	
  of	
  the	
  risks,	
  uncertain,es,	
  or	
  poten,ally	
  inaccurate	
  assump,ons	
  that	
  could	
  cause	
  our	
  current	
  
expecta,ons	
  or	
  beliefs	
  to	
  change.	
  Further,	
  any	
  forward-­‐looking	
  statement	
  speaks	
  only	
  as	
  of	
  the	
  date	
  on	
  which	
  it	
  is	
  made,	
  and	
  we	
  undertake	
  no	
  obliga,on	
  to	
  update	
  or	
  revise	
  any	
  forward-­‐looking	
  statement	
  to	
  reflect	
  events	
  or	
  
circumstances	
  acer	
  the	
  date	
  on	
  which	
  the	
  statement	
  is	
  made	
  or	
  to	
  reflect	
  the	
  occurrence	
  of	
  unan,cipated	
  events,	
  except	
  as	
  otherwise	
  may	
  be	
  required	
  by	
  law.	
  
Non-­‐GAAP	
  Financial	
  Measures	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  	
  
	
  We	
  define	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  as	
  net	
  income	
  (loss)	
  before	
  interest	
  expense,	
  provision	
  for	
  (benefit	
  from)	
  income	
  taxes	
  and	
  depreciaLon	
  and	
  amorLzaLon,	
  with	
  further	
  adjustments	
  to	
  reflect	
  the	
  addiLons	
  and	
  
eliminaLons	
  of	
  certain	
  income	
  statement	
  items,	
  including	
  (i)	
  gains	
  and	
  losses	
  on	
  foreign	
  currency	
  and	
  fixed	
  assets	
  and	
  debt	
  transacLon	
  expenses,	
  (ii)	
  stock-­‐based	
  compensaLon	
  and	
  other	
  non-­‐cash	
  charges,	
  (iii)	
  sponsor	
  management	
  
fees	
  and	
  other	
  income	
  and	
  expense	
  items	
  that	
  we	
  consider	
  to	
  be	
  not	
  indicaLve	
  of	
  our	
  ongoing	
  operaLons,	
  (iv)	
  specified	
  non-­‐recurring	
  items	
  and	
  (v)	
  other	
  adjustments.	
  	
  
	
  We	
  believe	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  is	
  used	
  by	
  investors	
  as	
  a	
  supplemental	
  measure	
  to	
  evaluate	
  the	
  overall	
  operaLng	
  performance	
  of	
  companies	
  in	
  our	
  industry.	
  Management	
  uses	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  (i)	
  as	
  a	
  
measurement	
  used	
  in	
  comparing	
  our	
  operaLng	
  performance	
  on	
  a	
  consistent	
  basis,	
  (ii)	
  to	
  calculate	
  incenLve	
  compensaLon	
  for	
  our	
  employees,	
  (iii)	
  for	
  planning	
  purposes,	
  including	
  the	
  preparaLon	
  of	
  our	
  internal	
  annual	
  operaLng	
  
budget,	
  (iv)	
  to	
  evaluate	
  the	
  performance	
  and	
  effecLveness	
  of	
  our	
  operaLonal	
  strategies	
  and	
  (v)	
  to	
  assess	
  compliance	
  with	
  various	
  metrics	
  associated	
  with	
  our	
  agreements	
  governing	
  our	
  indebtedness.	
  Accordingly,	
  we	
  believe	
  that	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  provides	
  useful	
  informaLon	
  to	
  investors	
  and	
  others	
  in	
  understanding	
  and	
  evaluaLng	
  our	
  operaLng	
  performance	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  manner	
  as	
  our	
  management.	
  For	
  a	
  reconciliaLon	
  of	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  to	
  net	
  income,	
  the	
  
most	
  directly	
  comparable	
  measure	
  determined	
  under	
  U.S.	
  generally	
  accepted	
  accounLng	
  principles	
  (“GAAP”),	
  see	
  “RECONCILIATION	
  OF	
  NET	
  INCOME	
  TO	
  ADJUSTED	
  EBITDA	
  AND	
  ADJUSTED	
  FREE	
  CASH	
  FLOW”.	
  
Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  	
  
	
  We	
  define	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  capital	
  expenditures.	
  Capital	
  expenditures	
  can	
  be	
  found	
  in	
  our	
  consolidated	
  statements	
  of	
  cash	
  flows	
  as	
  a	
  component	
  of	
  cash	
  flows	
  from	
  invesLng	
  
acLviLes.	
  We	
  present	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  because	
  our	
  management	
  considers	
  it	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  useful,	
  supplemental	
  indicator	
  of	
  our	
  performance.	
  When	
  measured	
  over	
  Lme,	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  provides	
  supplemental	
  
informaLon	
  to	
  investors	
  concerning	
  our	
  results	
  of	
  operaLons	
  and	
  our	
  ability	
  to	
  generate	
  cash	
  flows	
  to	
  saLsfy	
  mandatory	
  debt	
  service	
  requirements	
  and	
  make	
  other	
  non-­‐discreLonary	
  expenditures.	
  For	
  a	
  reconciliaLon	
  of	
  Adjusted	
  
Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  to	
  net	
  income,	
  the	
  most	
  directly	
  comparable	
  GAAP	
  measure,	
  see	
  “RECONCILIATION	
  OF	
  NET	
  INCOME	
  TO	
  ADJUSTED	
  EBITDA	
  AND	
  ADJUSTED	
  FREE	
  CASH	
  FLOW”.	
  
2	
  
3	
  
Agenda	
  
IntroducLon	
  	
   Paul	
  Suber	
  
Vice	
  President	
  of	
  Investor	
  RelaLons	
  
2014	
  Highlights	
  and	
  Accomplishments	
   George	
  Thanopoulos	
  
Chief	
  ExecuLve	
  Officer	
  	
  
Market	
  Outlook	
   George	
  Thanopoulos	
  	
  
Financial	
  Results	
   Mark	
  Blaufuss	
  
Chief	
  Financial	
  Officer	
  and	
  Treasurer	
  
2015	
  Guidance	
   George	
  Thanopoulos	
  	
  
Q	
  &	
  A	
  Session	
   Mark	
  Blaufuss	
  	
  
George	
  Thanopoulos	
  	
  
2014	
  HIGHLIGHTS	
  AND	
  
ACCOMPLISHMENTS	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
5	
  
October	
  2014	
  MPG	
  
debt	
  consolidaLon	
  
August	
  2014	
  HHI,	
  
Metaldyne	
  and	
  Grede	
  
merge	
  to	
  form	
  MPG	
  
2014	
  Highlights	
  
December	
  12,	
  
2014	
  MPG	
  IPO	
  Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  Becomes	
  Public	
  
o  Key	
  Strategy	
  Points	
  
o  Capturing	
  expected	
  growth	
  in	
  
powertrain	
  and	
  safety-­‐criLcal	
  
components	
  	
  
o  Delivering	
  strong	
  profitability	
  and	
  
cash	
  flow	
  generaLon	
  
o  Capitalizing	
  on	
  our	
  global	
  scale	
  and	
  
cross-­‐selling	
  opportuniLes	
  	
  
o  On-­‐Going	
  IntegraLon	
  
6	
  
▫  Capture	
  specifically	
  idenLfied	
  opportuniLes	
  
▫  Balance	
  resources	
  and	
  opportuniLes	
  
▫  Manage	
  process	
  and	
  tangible	
  savings	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
IntegraLon	
  Process	
  
Process	
  Update	
  
o  Stage	
  one	
  opportuniLes	
  	
  
▫  Benefits	
  of	
  combined	
  business	
  leverage	
  	
  -­‐	
  insurance,	
  fees	
  and	
  other	
  captured	
  
o  Stage	
  two	
  opportuniLes	
  
▫  Larger	
  scale	
  items	
  such	
  as	
  IT,	
  healthcare	
  and	
  benefits	
  	
  
o  CoordinaLon	
  of	
  Cross-­‐Selling	
  	
  
▫  Cohesive	
  teams	
  across	
  all	
  three	
  operaLng	
  segment	
  formed	
  to	
  coordinate	
  customer	
  and	
  quoLng	
  acLvity	
  
Strategic	
  
Process	
  Overview	
  
Regimented	
  CommunicaLon	
  
and	
  CoordinaLon	
  
	
  
Thomas	
  Amato	
  
George	
  Thanopoulos	
  
Doug	
  Grimm	
  
Mark	
  Blaufuss	
  
IntegraLon	
  Steering	
  CommiYee	
  
	
  
▫  President’s	
  Council	
  
▫  Commercial	
  Council	
  
▫  Technical	
  Council	
  
▫  EH&S	
  Council	
  
	
  
Leadership	
  Councils	
   IntegraLon	
  Steering	
  CommiYee	
  
TacHcal	
  
o  MPG	
  has	
  implemented	
  integraLon	
  teams	
  
o  Each	
  team	
  collaborates	
  to	
  find	
  potenLal	
  synergies	
  and	
  opportuniLes	
  within	
  the	
  
three	
  business	
  segment	
  
o  Sharing	
  best	
  pracLces	
  across	
  the	
  three	
  business	
  segment	
  
Business	
  Unit	
  Leadership	
  
7	
  
$43	
  
$122	
  
$156	
  
4.9%	
  
6.0%	
  
5.7%	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
$886	
  
$2,017	
  
$2,717	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Net	
  Sales	
  
$143	
  
$363	
  
$479	
  
16.1%	
  
17.9%	
  
17.6	
  %	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
11.3%	
  
11.9%	
   11.9%	
  
	
  $100	
  	
  
	
  $241	
  	
  
$322	
  
	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  $50	
  	
  
	
  $100	
  	
  
	
  $150	
  	
  
	
  $200	
  	
  
	
  $250	
  	
  
	
  $300	
  	
  
	
  $350	
  	
  
	
  $400	
  	
  
	
  $450	
  	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
  
Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  1	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
  CapEx	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  	
  Net	
  Sales	
  
Net	
  Sales	
  
Note:	
  Dollars	
  in	
  millions	
  	
  |	
  	
  1.	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  	
  |	
  2012	
  figures	
  include	
  both	
  predecessor	
  and	
  successor	
  periods	
  
Financial	
  History	
  	
  -­‐	
  GAAP	
  Basis	
  
8	
  
$129	
  
$162	
  
$168	
  
4.2%	
  
5.3%	
  
5.4%	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
$3,057	
   $3,053	
   $3,144	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
$472	
  
$509	
  
$545	
  
15.4%	
  
16.7%	
  
17.3	
  %	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
11.2%	
  
11.4%	
   12.0%	
  
	
  $343	
  	
   	
  $347	
  	
  
$377	
  
	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  $50	
  	
  
	
  $100	
  	
  
	
  $150	
  	
  
	
  $200	
  	
  
	
  $250	
  	
  
	
  $300	
  	
  
	
  $350	
  	
  
	
  $400	
  	
  
	
  $450	
  	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  1	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  Combined	
  Net	
  Sales	
  (non-­‐GAAP)	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  1,4	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  Combined	
  Net	
  Sales	
  (non-­‐GAAP)	
  Combined	
  CapEx	
  1,3	
  /	
  %	
  of	
  	
  Combined	
  Net	
  Sales	
  (non-­‐GAAP)	
  
Combined	
  Net	
  Sales	
  (non-­‐GAAP)	
  1,2	
  
Note:	
  Dollars	
  in	
  millions	
  |	
  	
  1.	
  See	
  Appendix	
  slides	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2.	
  Defined	
  as	
  MPG	
  Net	
  Sales	
  plus	
  pre-­‐acquisi,on	
  Net	
  Sales	
  of	
  Grede	
  
3.	
  Defined	
  as	
  MPG	
  Capital	
  Expenditures	
  plus	
  pre-­‐acquisi,on	
  Capital	
  Expenditures	
  of	
  Grede	
  
4.	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  
Financial	
  History	
  –	
  Combined	
  Non-­‐GAAP	
  Basis	
  
’12	
  –	
  ‘14E	
  CAGR:	
  7.5%	
  
’12	
  –	
  ‘14E	
  CAGR:	
  4.8%	
  
MARKET	
  OUTLOOK	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
10	
  
17.0	
   17.4	
   17.9	
   18.3	
   18.6	
  
2014	
   2015	
   2016	
   2017	
   2018	
  
North	
  America	
  Light	
  Vehicle	
  ProducLon1	
  
Industry	
  Growth	
  
20.1	
   20.1	
   20.5	
  
21.3	
  
22.1	
  
2014	
   2015	
   2016	
   2017	
   2018	
  
294	
   320	
   266	
   263	
   270	
  
219	
   220	
   233	
   245	
   247	
  
513	
   540	
   499	
   508	
   517	
  
2014	
   2015	
   2016	
   2017	
   2018	
  
FTR	
  Class	
  8	
   ACT	
  Class	
  5-­‐7	
  
European	
  Light	
  Vehicle	
  ProducLon1	
  
North	
  America	
  Class	
  5-­‐8	
  Vehicle	
  ProducLon2	
  
45.0	
  
46.6	
  
48.8	
  
50.7	
  
52.3	
  
2014	
   2015	
   2016	
   2017	
   2018	
  
Asian	
  Light	
  Vehicle	
  ProducLon1	
  
PosiHve	
  Outlook	
  for	
  Primary	
  Regions	
  and	
  Markets	
  
1.  Vehicle	
  Produc,on	
  in	
  millions:	
  IHS	
  January	
  2015	
  
2.  Vehicle	
  Produc,on	
  in	
  thousands:	
  FTR	
  and	
  ACT	
  December	
  	
  2014	
  
11	
  
455	
  
1,750	
  
400	
  
2,700	
  
1,400	
  
2014	
   2018E	
  
8-­‐Speed	
   9-­‐Speed	
   10-­‐Speed	
  
240	
  Hp	
  	
  
289	
  Hp	
  	
  
240	
  	
  (lb-­‐k)	
  
284	
  	
  (lb-­‐k)	
  
2005	
   2013	
   2005	
   2013	
  
Source:	
  IHS,	
  LMC	
  Automo,ve,	
  ICCT	
  ,	
  Yengst	
  Associates,	
  ACT	
  Research	
  and	
  FTR.	
  
1.  LMC	
  Automo,ve	
  as	
  of	
  December	
  2014	
  
2.  ICCT	
  as	
  of	
  May	
  2014.	
  
3.  Source:	
  IHS.	
  Note:	
  Amounts	
  reflect	
  weighted	
  average	
  horsepower	
  and	
  torque	
  for	
  North	
  American	
  engines	
  produced.	
  
Develop	
  Customized	
  and	
  InnovaHve	
  Products	
  For	
  Powertrain	
  and	
  Safety-­‐CriHcal	
  Components	
  
o  Light	
  weighLng	
  through	
  stronger	
  products	
  that	
  
reduce	
  size	
  and	
  weight	
  
o  Advanced	
  transmissions	
  with	
  more	
  gears	
  and	
  
conLnuously	
  variable	
  transmissions	
  
o  Smaller	
  engines;	
  turbocharged	
  to	
  improve	
  power	
  	
  
and	
  performance	
  
	
  
Horsepower	
   Torque	
  
Capture	
  Expected	
  Growth	
  in	
  Powertrain	
  and	
  Safety-­‐CriLcal	
  Components	
  
34	
  
53	
  45	
   55	
  
U.S.	
   Japan	
  
45	
  
61	
  
E.U.	
  
2012	
  
2021E	
  
2012	
  
2020E	
  
2012	
  
2020E	
  
5,850	
  
	
  	
  	
  855	
  
Improving	
  Fuel	
  Economy	
  and	
  Safety	
  to	
  	
  
Meet	
  Consumer	
  Preferences	
  and	
  Regulatory	
  Standards	
  
N.A.	
  Higher	
  Speed	
  Transmission	
  ProducLon	
  Forecast	
  1	
  
(units	
  in	
  thousands)	
  
Higher	
  Fuel	
  Efficiency	
  Standards	
  2	
  
(Miles	
  per	
  gallon)	
  
N.A.	
  6	
  Cylinder	
  Engine	
  Torque	
  and	
  Horsepower	
  Growth	
  3	
  
32%	
   4%	
   36%	
   20%	
  Increase	
  
18%	
  Increase	
  
FINANCIAL	
  RESULTS	
  	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
13	
  
Full	
  Year	
  Selected	
  Financial	
  Data	
  -­‐	
  GAAP	
  
($	
  in	
  Millions)	
   Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
2013	
   2014	
   Difference	
  
Net	
  Sales	
   $2,017.3	
   $2,717.0	
   $699.7	
  
Gross	
  Profit	
   308.6	
   422.9	
   114.3	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
   15.3%	
   15.6%	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA1	
   363.1	
   478.6	
   115.5	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
   18.0%	
   17.6%	
  
Capex	
   122.3	
   156.4	
   34.1	
  
Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow2	
   240.8	
   322.2	
   81.4	
  
Net	
  Debt3	
   1,211.8	
   1,805.3	
   593.5	
  
Trade	
  Working	
  Capital4	
   223.1	
   264.1	
   41.0	
  
1	
  See	
  Appendix	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  
3	
  Defined	
  as	
  debt	
  (current	
  and	
  long-­‐term)	
  capital	
  lease	
  obliga,ons	
  less	
  cash	
  and	
  cash	
  equivalents	
  	
  
4	
  Defined	
  as	
  Total	
  Receivables,	
  net	
  plus	
  Inventories,	
  less	
  Accounts	
  Payable	
  	
  
14	
  
MPG	
  Fourth	
  Quarter	
  Financial	
  Results	
  -­‐	
  GAAP	
  
($	
  in	
  Millions)	
   Fourth	
  Quarter	
  
2013	
   2014	
   Difference	
  
Net	
  Sales	
   $511.4	
   $762.2	
   $250.8	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA1	
   92.0	
   125.7	
   33.7	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
   18.0%	
   16.5%	
  
Capex	
   35.4	
   54.2	
   18.8	
  
Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow2	
   56.6	
   71.5	
   14.9	
  
1.	
  See	
  Appendix	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2.	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  	
  
	
  
15	
  
Full	
  Year	
  Combined	
  Non	
  -­‐	
  GAAP	
  Results	
  
($	
  in	
  Millions)	
   Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
2013	
   2014	
   Difference	
  
Combined	
  Net	
  Sales	
  (non-­‐
GAAP)1	
   $3,052.9	
   $3,144.0	
   $91.1	
  
Combined	
  Gross	
  Profit	
  (non-­‐
GAAP)1	
  	
   486.0	
   497.6	
   11.6	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Combined	
  
Net	
  Sales	
  (Non-­‐GAAP)	
   15.9%	
   15.8%	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA1	
  	
   508.8	
   545.1	
   36.3	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  %	
   16.7%	
   17.3%	
  
Combined	
  Capex1	
  	
   161.7	
   168.2	
   6.5	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  
Cash	
  Flow1,2	
   347.1	
   376.9	
   29.8	
  
1	
  See	
  Appendix	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  	
  
Financial	
  informa,on	
  is	
  presented	
  on	
  a	
  combined	
  non-­‐GAAP	
  basis	
  to	
  give	
  effect	
  to	
  the	
  combina,on	
  of	
  the	
  three	
  business	
  segments	
  as	
  of	
  January	
  1,	
  2013	
  
16	
  
MPG	
  Fourth	
  Quarter	
  Combined	
  Non	
  -­‐	
  GAAP	
  Results	
  
($	
  in	
  Millions)	
   Fourth	
  Quarter	
  
2013	
   2014	
   Difference	
  
Combined	
  Net	
  Sales1,2	
   $755.1	
   $762.2	
   $7.1	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA1	
   128.6	
   125.7	
   (2.9)	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  Sales	
   17.0%	
   16.5%	
  
Combined	
  CapEx1	
   44.5	
   54.2	
   9.7	
  
Combined	
  Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow	
  1,3	
   84.1	
   71.5	
   (12.6)	
  
1	
  See	
  Appendix	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2	
  2014	
  Net	
  Sales	
  is	
  a	
  GAAP	
  amount,	
  2013	
  is	
  a	
  non-­‐GAAP	
  amount	
  
3	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx	
  	
  
Financial	
  informa,on	
  is	
  presented	
  on	
  a	
  combined	
  non-­‐GAAP	
  basis	
  to	
  give	
  effect	
  to	
  the	
  combina,on	
  of	
  the	
  three	
  business	
  segments	
  as	
  of	
  January	
  1,	
  2013	
  
17	
  
Financial	
  Results	
  by	
  Segment	
  
($	
  in	
  Millions)	
   	
  HHI	
  	
   	
  	
   Metaldyne	
   	
  	
   Grede1	
  
2013	
   2014	
   2013	
   2014	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Net	
  Sales	
   $916.5	
  	
   $977.6	
  	
   	
  	
   $1,112.0	
  	
   $1,177.5	
   	
  	
   $1,035.6	
  	
   $999.1	
  	
  
Gross	
  Profit	
   151.0	
  	
   164	
  .4	
   	
  	
   157.6	
   173.4	
  	
   	
  	
   177.4	
   159.8	
  	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  
Sales	
   16.5%	
   16.8%	
   	
  	
   14.2%	
   14.7%	
   	
  	
   17.1%	
   16.0%	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
   175.0	
  	
   193.5	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  188.1	
  	
   202.3	
   	
  	
   145.7	
  	
   149.3	
  	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Net	
  
Sales	
   19.1%	
   19.8%	
   	
  	
   16.9%	
   17.1%	
   	
  	
   14.1%	
   14.9%	
  
Note:	
  The	
  above	
  revenue	
  figures	
  do	
  not	
  include	
  the	
  elimina,on	
  of	
  	
  intersegment	
  revenue	
  
1	
  Grede	
  results	
  shown	
  on	
  a	
  combined,	
  non-­‐GAAP	
  basis	
  
18	
  
Debt	
  and	
  Dividends	
  
o 	
  MPG	
  Net	
  Debt	
  	
  
▫  $1,805.3	
  million	
  of	
  net	
  debt	
  outstanding	
  at	
  12/31/14	
  
▫  $250	
  million	
  line	
  of	
  credit,	
  $235	
  million	
  available	
  ($15	
  million	
  of	
  leYers	
  of	
  credit	
  
outstanding)1	
  
o Voluntary	
  Prepayment	
  of	
  Term	
  Debt	
  
▫  Q4	
  2014	
  –	
  The	
  Board	
  of	
  Directors	
  approved	
  and	
  MPG	
  executed	
  a	
  voluntary	
  repayment	
  of	
  
$10	
  million	
  of	
  its	
  outstanding	
  Term	
  Loan	
  in	
  December	
  2014	
  
▫  Q1	
  2015	
  –	
  The	
  Board	
  of	
  Directors	
  approved	
  a	
  voluntary	
  repayment	
  of	
  an	
  addiLonal	
  $10	
  
million	
  of	
  its	
  outstanding	
  Term	
  Loan	
  before	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  quarter	
  of	
  2015	
  	
  
o Dividends	
  	
  
▫  On	
  March	
  10th,	
  The	
  Board	
  of	
  Directors	
  declared	
  a	
  1st	
  quarter	
  $.09/share	
  dividend	
  payable	
  
on	
  May	
  26,	
  2015	
  to	
  stockholders	
  of	
  record	
  as	
  of	
  May	
  12,	
  2015	
  
1	
  Depending	
  on	
  the	
  ,ming	
  of	
  cash	
  flows	
  from	
  opera,ons,	
  capital	
  spending,	
  taxes	
  and	
  debt	
  service,	
  the	
  Company	
  may	
  draw	
  on	
  the	
  Company’s	
  line	
  of	
  credit	
  
2015	
  GUIDANCE	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
20	
  
AssumpLons	
  
Industry	
  ProducLon	
  /	
  AssumpLons	
  	
   2015E	
   Reference	
  Rate	
  	
  
Light	
  Vehicle	
  SAAR	
  North	
  America1	
   ~2.5%	
  
Light	
  Vehicle	
  SAAR	
  Europe1	
   ~0%	
  
Light	
  Vehicle	
  SAAR	
  Asia1	
   ~3.5%	
  
NAFTA	
  Heavy	
  Truck	
  Class	
  5-­‐82	
   ~5%	
  
AMM	
  –	
  Chicago	
  #1	
  Bundles3	
  
$251	
  per	
  gross	
  ton	
   $347	
  per	
  gross	
  ton	
  
FX	
  Rate3	
  
Euro/USD	
   1.12	
   1.22	
  
USD/Mexican	
  Peso	
   14.94	
   14.78	
  
USD/Chinese	
  Yuan	
   6.16	
   6.14	
  
USD/Korean	
  Won	
   1,100	
   1,096	
  
1	
  IHS	
  January	
  2015	
  
2	
  FTR	
  and	
  ACT	
  December	
  	
  2014	
  
3	
  2015	
  es,mate	
  	
  AMM	
  and	
  FX	
  rates	
  as	
  of	
  2/10/15	
  and	
  February	
  month	
  end,	
  respec,vely;	
  AMM	
  Reference	
  Rate	
  as	
  of	
  12/18/14;	
  FX	
  Reference	
  Rate	
  as	
  of	
  12/31/14	
  	
  
21	
  
2015	
  Guidance	
  Ranges	
  	
  	
  
Guidance	
   2015E	
  	
  
Net	
  Sales	
   $3.0	
  -­‐	
  $3.15	
  billion	
  	
  
Adjusted	
  EBITDA1	
   $520	
  -­‐	
  $560	
  million	
  
Capital	
  Expenditures	
  	
   $210	
  -­‐	
  $225	
  million	
  
Adjusted	
  Free	
  Cash	
  Flow2	
   $310	
  -­‐	
  $335	
  million	
  
1	
  See	
  appendix	
  for	
  reconcilia,on	
  to	
  GAAP	
  
2	
  Defined	
  as	
  Adjusted	
  EBITDA	
  less	
  CapEx,	
  u,lizing	
  consistent	
  high	
  and	
  low	
  ends	
  of	
  EBITDA	
  and	
  CapEx	
  	
  
Q	
  &	
  A	
  SESSION	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
APPENDIX	
  
Metaldyne	
  Performance	
  Group	
  
24	
  
GAAP	
  ReconciliaLon	
  Slides	
  Full	
  Year	
  
Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG)
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to EBITDA
Consolidation Full Year Full Year
12/31/2014 12/31/2013
Net income attributable to stockholders $72.8 57.6
Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.4 0.3
Net income 73.3 57.9
Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA
Interest expense 99.9 74.7
Loss on debt extinguishment 60.7 -
Income tax (benefit) expense (19.1) 35.0
Total depreciation and amortization 210.8 163.4
Unadjusted EBITDA 425.6 331.0
Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA
Foreign currency (gains) losses (15.7) 2.3
(Gain) loss on fixed asset disposition 2.1 1.4
Debt transaction expenses 3.0 6.0
Stock-based compensation 17.3 6.2
Sponsor management fee 5.1 4.0
Non-recurring acquisition and purchase accounting related items (1) 23.0 10.5
Non-recurring operational items (2) 18.2 1.7
Adjusted EBITDA $478.6 363.1
(1) Acquisition and related purchase accounting items including transaction costs, adjustments to inventory step-ups and other.
(2) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, impairment charges, insurance proceeds,
curtailment gain and other.
25	
  
GAAP	
  ReconciliaLon	
  Slides	
  Q4	
  
Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG)
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to EBITDA
Consolidation Q4 Q4
12/31/2014 12/31/2013
Net income attributable to stockholders $10.2 4.0
Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.2 0.1
Net income 10.4 4.0
Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA
Interest expense 29.6 20.7
Loss on debt extinguishment 60.4 -
Income tax (benefit) expense (50.2) 8.4
Total depreciation and amortization 58.4 43.5
Unadjusted EBITDA 108.5 76.6
Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA
Foreign currency (gains) losses (4.2) 0.8
(Gain) loss on fixed asset disposition 0.7 0.7
Debt transaction expenses 0.1 1.6
Stock-based compensation 2.8 1.6
Sponsor management fee 1.4 1.0
Non-recurring acquisition and purchase accounting related items (1) 0.2 9.7
Non-recurring operational items (2) 16.1 -
Adjusted EBITDA $125.7 92.0
(1) Acquisition and related purchase accounting items including transaction costs, adjustments to inventory step-ups
and other.
(2) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, impairment charges, insurance
proceeds, curtailment gain and other.
26	
  
GAAP	
  ReconciliaLon	
  Slides	
  Full	
  Year	
  and	
  Q4	
  
Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG)
Adjustments to Reconcile to US GAAP
Consolidation Full Year Full Year Q4 Q4
12/31/2014 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2013
Net Sales $2,717.0 2,017.3 762.2 511.4
Grede pre-acquisition Net Sales 427.0 1,035.6 - 243.7
Combined Net Sales (non-GAAP) 3,144.0 3,052.9 762.2 755.1
Gross Profit 422.9 308.6
Grede pre-acquisition Gross Profit 74.7 177.4
Combined Gross Profit (non-GAAP) 497.6 486.0
Adjusted EBITDA 478.6 363.1 125.7 92.0
Grede pre-acquisition Adjusted EBITDA 66.5 145.7 - 36.6
Combined Adjusted EBITDA 545.1 508.8 125.7 128.6
CapEx 156.4 122.3 54.2 35.4
Grede pre-acquisition CapEx 11.8 39.4 - 9.1
Combined CapEx 168.2 161.7 54.2 44.5
Adjusted Free Cash Flows 322.2 240.8 71.5 56.6
Grede pre-acquisition Adjusted Free Cash Flows 54.7 106.3 - 27.5
Combined Adjusted Free Cash Flows $376.9 347.1 71.5 84.1
27	
  
GAAP	
  ReconciliaLon	
  Guidance	
  Slide	
  
Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG)
Reconciliation of 2015 Guidance of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidation	
   2015 Guidance 2015 Guidance
Low End of Range
High End of
Range
Net income attributable to stockholders $102.5 127.8
Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.5 0.5
Net income 102.9 128.3
Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA
Interest expense, net 117.3 117.3
Income tax expense 50.5 65.1
Depreciation and amortization 234.2 234.2
Unadjusted EBITDA 504.9 544.9
Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA
Foreign currency (gains) losses (2.9) (2.9)
Stock-based compensation expense 16.6 16.6
Non-recurring operational items (1) 1.4 1.4
Adjusted EBITDA $520.0 560.0
(1) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, restructuring
costs and other.	
  

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4 q 2014 presentation final (1)

  • 1. LIGHT  VEHICLE   COMMERCIAL   INDUSTRIAL   Metaldyne  Performance  Group   Fiscal  Year  2014  Fourth  Quarter     and  Full  Year  Earnings  PresentaHon   March  12,  2015  
  • 2. 2   Disclaimer   This  presenta,on  and  any  related  statements  contains  certain  “forward-­‐looking  statements”  about  MPG’s  financial  results  and  es,mates  and  business  prospects  within  the  meaning  of  the  Private  Securi,es  Li,ga,on  Reform  Act  of   1995.  Forward-­‐looking  statements  may  be  iden,fied  by  words  such  as  “expects,”  “intends,”  “an,cipates,”  “plans,”  “project,”  “believes,”  “seeks,”  “targets,”  “forecast,”  “es,mates,”  “will”  or  other  words  of  similar  meaning  and  include,   but  are  not  limited  to,  statements  regarding  the  outlook  for  the  Company’s  future  business,  prospects,  and  financial  performance;  the  industry  outlook,  our  backlog  and  our  2015  financial  guidance.  Forward-­‐looking  statements  are   based  on  management’s  current  expecta,ons  and  assump,ons,  which  are  subject  to  inherent  uncertain,es,  risks,  and  changes  in  circumstances  that  are  difficult  to  predict.  Actual  outcomes  and  results  may  differ  materially  due  to   global  poli,cal,  economic,  business,  compe,,ve,  market,  regulatory,  and  other  factors  and  risks,  including,  but  not  limited  to,  the  following:  vola,lity  in  the  global  economy  impac,ng  demand  for  new  vehicles  and  our  products;  a   decline  in  vehicle  produc,on  levels,  par,cularly  with  respect  to  plaUorms  for  which  we  are  a  significant  supplier,  or  the  financial  distress  of  any  of  our  major  customers;  seasonality  in  the  automo,ve  industry;  our  significant   compe,,on;  our  dependence  on  large-­‐volume  customers  for  current  and  future  sales;  a  reduc,on  in  outsourcing  by  our  customers,  the  loss  or  discon,nua,on  of  material  produc,on  or  programs,  or  a  failure  to  secure  sufficient   alterna,ve  programs;  our  failure  to  offset  con,nuing  pressure  from  our  customers  to  reduce  our  prices;  our  inability  to  realize  all  of  the  sales  expected  from  awarded  business  or  fully  recover  pre-­‐produc,on  costs;  our  failure  to   increase  produc,on  capacity  or  over-­‐expanding  our  produc,on  in  ,mes  of  overcapacity;  our  reliance  on  key  machinery  and  tooling  to  manufacture  components  for  powertrain  and  safety-­‐cri,cal  systems  that  cannot  be  easily   replicated;  program  launch  difficul,es;  a  disrup,on  in  our  supply  or  delivery  chain  which  causes  one  or  more  of  our  customers  to  halt  produc,on;  work  stoppages  or  produc,on  limita,ons  at  one  or  more  of  our  customer’s  facili,es;  a   catastrophic  loss  of  one  of  our  key  manufacturing  facili,es;  failure  to  protect  our  know-­‐how  and  intellectual  property;  the  disrup,on  or  harm  to  our  business  as  a  result  of  any  acquisi,ons  or  joint  ventures  we  make;  a  significant   increase  in  the  prices  of  raw  materials  and  commodi,es  we  use;  the  damage  to  or  termina,on  of  our  rela,onships  with  key  third-­‐party  suppliers;  our  failure  to  maintain  our  cost  structure;  the  incurrence  of  significant  costs  if  we  close   any  of  our  manufacturing  facili,es;  poten,al  significant  costs  at  our  facility  in  Sandusky,  Ohio;  the  failure  of  or  disrup,ons  in  our  informa,on  technology  networks  and  systems,  or  the  inability  to  successfully  implement  upgrades  to   our  enterprise  resource  planning  systems;  the  incurrence  of  significant  costs,  liabili,es,  and  obliga,ons  as  a  result  of  environmental  requirements  and  other  regulatory  risks;  extensive  and  growing  governmental  regula,ons;  the   adverse  impact  of  climate  change  and  related  energy  legisla,on  and  regula,on;  the  incurrence  of  material  costs  related  to  legal  proceedings;  our  inability  to  recruit  and  retain  key  personnel;  any  failure  to  maintain  sa,sfactory  labor   rela,ons;  pension  and  other  postre,rement  benefit  obliga,ons;  risks  related  to  our  global  opera,ons;  compe,,ve  threats  posed  by  global  opera,ons  and  entering  new  markets;  foreign  exchange  rate  fluctua,ons;  increased  costs  and   obliga,ons  as  a  result  of  becoming  a  public  company;  the  failure  of  our  internal  controls  to  meet  the  standards  required  by  Sarbanes-­‐Oxley;  our  substan,al  indebtedness;  our  inability,  or  the  inability  of  our  customers  or  our  suppliers,   to  obtain  and  maintain  sufficient  debt  financing,  including  working  capital  lines;  our  exposure  to  a  number  of  different  tax  uncertain,es;  the  mix  of  profits  and  losses  in  various  jurisdic,ons  adversely  affec,ng  our  tax  rate;  disrup,on   from  the  combina,on  of  our  opera,ons  and  diversion  of  management’s  aZen,on;  our  limited  history  of  working  as  a  single  company  and  the  inability  to  integrate  HHI,  Metaldyne,  and  Grede  successfully  and  achieve  the  an,cipated   benefits.    For  the  reasons  described  above,  we  cau,on  you  against  relying  on  any  forward-­‐looking  statements,  which  should  also  be  read  in  conjunc,on  with  the  other  cau,onary  statements  that  are  included  elsewhere   in  this  press  release  and  in  our  public  filings,  including  under  the  heading  “Risk  Factors”  in  our  filings  that  we  make  from  ,me  to  ,me  with  the  Securi,es  and  Exchange  Commission  and  Annual  Report  on  Form  10-­‐K  for  the  year  ended   December  31,  2014  to  be  filed  in  the  next  few  days.  You  should  not  consider  any  list  of  such  factors  to  be  an  exhaus,ve  statement  of  all  of  the  risks,  uncertain,es,  or  poten,ally  inaccurate  assump,ons  that  could  cause  our  current   expecta,ons  or  beliefs  to  change.  Further,  any  forward-­‐looking  statement  speaks  only  as  of  the  date  on  which  it  is  made,  and  we  undertake  no  obliga,on  to  update  or  revise  any  forward-­‐looking  statement  to  reflect  events  or   circumstances  acer  the  date  on  which  the  statement  is  made  or  to  reflect  the  occurrence  of  unan,cipated  events,  except  as  otherwise  may  be  required  by  law.   Non-­‐GAAP  Financial  Measures   Adjusted  EBITDA      We  define  Adjusted  EBITDA  as  net  income  (loss)  before  interest  expense,  provision  for  (benefit  from)  income  taxes  and  depreciaLon  and  amorLzaLon,  with  further  adjustments  to  reflect  the  addiLons  and   eliminaLons  of  certain  income  statement  items,  including  (i)  gains  and  losses  on  foreign  currency  and  fixed  assets  and  debt  transacLon  expenses,  (ii)  stock-­‐based  compensaLon  and  other  non-­‐cash  charges,  (iii)  sponsor  management   fees  and  other  income  and  expense  items  that  we  consider  to  be  not  indicaLve  of  our  ongoing  operaLons,  (iv)  specified  non-­‐recurring  items  and  (v)  other  adjustments.      We  believe  Adjusted  EBITDA  is  used  by  investors  as  a  supplemental  measure  to  evaluate  the  overall  operaLng  performance  of  companies  in  our  industry.  Management  uses  Adjusted  EBITDA  (i)  as  a   measurement  used  in  comparing  our  operaLng  performance  on  a  consistent  basis,  (ii)  to  calculate  incenLve  compensaLon  for  our  employees,  (iii)  for  planning  purposes,  including  the  preparaLon  of  our  internal  annual  operaLng   budget,  (iv)  to  evaluate  the  performance  and  effecLveness  of  our  operaLonal  strategies  and  (v)  to  assess  compliance  with  various  metrics  associated  with  our  agreements  governing  our  indebtedness.  Accordingly,  we  believe  that   Adjusted  EBITDA  provides  useful  informaLon  to  investors  and  others  in  understanding  and  evaluaLng  our  operaLng  performance  in  the  same  manner  as  our  management.  For  a  reconciliaLon  of  Adjusted  EBITDA  to  net  income,  the   most  directly  comparable  measure  determined  under  U.S.  generally  accepted  accounLng  principles  (“GAAP”),  see  “RECONCILIATION  OF  NET  INCOME  TO  ADJUSTED  EBITDA  AND  ADJUSTED  FREE  CASH  FLOW”.   Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow      We  define  Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  capital  expenditures.  Capital  expenditures  can  be  found  in  our  consolidated  statements  of  cash  flows  as  a  component  of  cash  flows  from  invesLng   acLviLes.  We  present  Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  because  our  management  considers  it  to  be  a  useful,  supplemental  indicator  of  our  performance.  When  measured  over  Lme,  Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  provides  supplemental   informaLon  to  investors  concerning  our  results  of  operaLons  and  our  ability  to  generate  cash  flows  to  saLsfy  mandatory  debt  service  requirements  and  make  other  non-­‐discreLonary  expenditures.  For  a  reconciliaLon  of  Adjusted   Free  Cash  Flow  to  net  income,  the  most  directly  comparable  GAAP  measure,  see  “RECONCILIATION  OF  NET  INCOME  TO  ADJUSTED  EBITDA  AND  ADJUSTED  FREE  CASH  FLOW”.   2  
  • 3. 3   Agenda   IntroducLon     Paul  Suber   Vice  President  of  Investor  RelaLons   2014  Highlights  and  Accomplishments   George  Thanopoulos   Chief  ExecuLve  Officer     Market  Outlook   George  Thanopoulos     Financial  Results   Mark  Blaufuss   Chief  Financial  Officer  and  Treasurer   2015  Guidance   George  Thanopoulos     Q  &  A  Session   Mark  Blaufuss     George  Thanopoulos    
  • 4. 2014  HIGHLIGHTS  AND   ACCOMPLISHMENTS   Metaldyne  Performance  Group  
  • 5. 5   October  2014  MPG   debt  consolidaLon   August  2014  HHI,   Metaldyne  and  Grede   merge  to  form  MPG   2014  Highlights   December  12,   2014  MPG  IPO  Metaldyne  Performance  Group  Becomes  Public   o  Key  Strategy  Points   o  Capturing  expected  growth  in   powertrain  and  safety-­‐criLcal   components     o  Delivering  strong  profitability  and   cash  flow  generaLon   o  Capitalizing  on  our  global  scale  and   cross-­‐selling  opportuniLes     o  On-­‐Going  IntegraLon  
  • 6. 6   ▫  Capture  specifically  idenLfied  opportuniLes   ▫  Balance  resources  and  opportuniLes   ▫  Manage  process  and  tangible  savings                   IntegraLon  Process   Process  Update   o  Stage  one  opportuniLes     ▫  Benefits  of  combined  business  leverage    -­‐  insurance,  fees  and  other  captured   o  Stage  two  opportuniLes   ▫  Larger  scale  items  such  as  IT,  healthcare  and  benefits     o  CoordinaLon  of  Cross-­‐Selling     ▫  Cohesive  teams  across  all  three  operaLng  segment  formed  to  coordinate  customer  and  quoLng  acLvity   Strategic   Process  Overview   Regimented  CommunicaLon   and  CoordinaLon     Thomas  Amato   George  Thanopoulos   Doug  Grimm   Mark  Blaufuss   IntegraLon  Steering  CommiYee     ▫  President’s  Council   ▫  Commercial  Council   ▫  Technical  Council   ▫  EH&S  Council     Leadership  Councils   IntegraLon  Steering  CommiYee   TacHcal   o  MPG  has  implemented  integraLon  teams   o  Each  team  collaborates  to  find  potenLal  synergies  and  opportuniLes  within  the   three  business  segment   o  Sharing  best  pracLces  across  the  three  business  segment   Business  Unit  Leadership  
  • 7. 7   $43   $122   $156   4.9%   6.0%   5.7%   2012   2013   2014   $886   $2,017   $2,717   2012   2013   2014   Net  Sales   $143   $363   $479   16.1%   17.9%   17.6  %   2012   2013   2014   11.3%   11.9%   11.9%    $100      $241     $322    $-­‐          $50      $100      $150      $200      $250      $300      $350      $400      $450     2012   2013   2014   Adjusted  EBITDA  /  %  of  Net  Sales   Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  1  /  %  of  Net  Sales  CapEx  /  %  of    Net  Sales   Net  Sales   Note:  Dollars  in  millions    |    1.  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx    |  2012  figures  include  both  predecessor  and  successor  periods   Financial  History    -­‐  GAAP  Basis  
  • 8. 8   $129   $162   $168   4.2%   5.3%   5.4%   2012   2013   2014   $3,057   $3,053   $3,144   2012   2013   2014   $472   $509   $545   15.4%   16.7%   17.3  %   2012   2013   2014   11.2%   11.4%   12.0%    $343      $347     $377    $-­‐          $50      $100      $150      $200      $250      $300      $350      $400      $450     2012   2013   2014   Combined  Adjusted  EBITDA  1  /  %  of  Combined  Net  Sales  (non-­‐GAAP)   Combined  Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  1,4  /  %  of  Combined  Net  Sales  (non-­‐GAAP)  Combined  CapEx  1,3  /  %  of    Combined  Net  Sales  (non-­‐GAAP)   Combined  Net  Sales  (non-­‐GAAP)  1,2   Note:  Dollars  in  millions  |    1.  See  Appendix  slides  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2.  Defined  as  MPG  Net  Sales  plus  pre-­‐acquisi,on  Net  Sales  of  Grede   3.  Defined  as  MPG  Capital  Expenditures  plus  pre-­‐acquisi,on  Capital  Expenditures  of  Grede   4.  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx   Financial  History  –  Combined  Non-­‐GAAP  Basis   ’12  –  ‘14E  CAGR:  7.5%   ’12  –  ‘14E  CAGR:  4.8%  
  • 9. MARKET  OUTLOOK   Metaldyne  Performance  Group  
  • 10. 10   17.0   17.4   17.9   18.3   18.6   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   North  America  Light  Vehicle  ProducLon1   Industry  Growth   20.1   20.1   20.5   21.3   22.1   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   294   320   266   263   270   219   220   233   245   247   513   540   499   508   517   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   FTR  Class  8   ACT  Class  5-­‐7   European  Light  Vehicle  ProducLon1   North  America  Class  5-­‐8  Vehicle  ProducLon2   45.0   46.6   48.8   50.7   52.3   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   Asian  Light  Vehicle  ProducLon1   PosiHve  Outlook  for  Primary  Regions  and  Markets   1.  Vehicle  Produc,on  in  millions:  IHS  January  2015   2.  Vehicle  Produc,on  in  thousands:  FTR  and  ACT  December    2014  
  • 11. 11   455   1,750   400   2,700   1,400   2014   2018E   8-­‐Speed   9-­‐Speed   10-­‐Speed   240  Hp     289  Hp     240    (lb-­‐k)   284    (lb-­‐k)   2005   2013   2005   2013   Source:  IHS,  LMC  Automo,ve,  ICCT  ,  Yengst  Associates,  ACT  Research  and  FTR.   1.  LMC  Automo,ve  as  of  December  2014   2.  ICCT  as  of  May  2014.   3.  Source:  IHS.  Note:  Amounts  reflect  weighted  average  horsepower  and  torque  for  North  American  engines  produced.   Develop  Customized  and  InnovaHve  Products  For  Powertrain  and  Safety-­‐CriHcal  Components   o  Light  weighLng  through  stronger  products  that   reduce  size  and  weight   o  Advanced  transmissions  with  more  gears  and   conLnuously  variable  transmissions   o  Smaller  engines;  turbocharged  to  improve  power     and  performance     Horsepower   Torque   Capture  Expected  Growth  in  Powertrain  and  Safety-­‐CriLcal  Components   34   53  45   55   U.S.   Japan   45   61   E.U.   2012   2021E   2012   2020E   2012   2020E   5,850        855   Improving  Fuel  Economy  and  Safety  to     Meet  Consumer  Preferences  and  Regulatory  Standards   N.A.  Higher  Speed  Transmission  ProducLon  Forecast  1   (units  in  thousands)   Higher  Fuel  Efficiency  Standards  2   (Miles  per  gallon)   N.A.  6  Cylinder  Engine  Torque  and  Horsepower  Growth  3   32%   4%   36%   20%  Increase   18%  Increase  
  • 12. FINANCIAL  RESULTS     Metaldyne  Performance  Group  
  • 13. 13   Full  Year  Selected  Financial  Data  -­‐  GAAP   ($  in  Millions)   Metaldyne  Performance  Group   2013   2014   Difference   Net  Sales   $2,017.3   $2,717.0   $699.7   Gross  Profit   308.6   422.9   114.3   Percentage  of  Net  Sales   15.3%   15.6%   Adjusted  EBITDA1   363.1   478.6   115.5   Percentage  of  Net  Sales   18.0%   17.6%   Capex   122.3   156.4   34.1   Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow2   240.8   322.2   81.4   Net  Debt3   1,211.8   1,805.3   593.5   Trade  Working  Capital4   223.1   264.1   41.0   1  See  Appendix  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx   3  Defined  as  debt  (current  and  long-­‐term)  capital  lease  obliga,ons  less  cash  and  cash  equivalents     4  Defined  as  Total  Receivables,  net  plus  Inventories,  less  Accounts  Payable    
  • 14. 14   MPG  Fourth  Quarter  Financial  Results  -­‐  GAAP   ($  in  Millions)   Fourth  Quarter   2013   2014   Difference   Net  Sales   $511.4   $762.2   $250.8   Adjusted  EBITDA1   92.0   125.7   33.7   Percentage  of  Net  Sales   18.0%   16.5%   Capex   35.4   54.2   18.8   Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow2   56.6   71.5   14.9   1.  See  Appendix  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2.  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx      
  • 15. 15   Full  Year  Combined  Non  -­‐  GAAP  Results   ($  in  Millions)   Metaldyne  Performance  Group   2013   2014   Difference   Combined  Net  Sales  (non-­‐ GAAP)1   $3,052.9   $3,144.0   $91.1   Combined  Gross  Profit  (non-­‐ GAAP)1     486.0   497.6   11.6   Percentage  of  Combined   Net  Sales  (Non-­‐GAAP)   15.9%   15.8%   Combined  Adjusted  EBITDA1     508.8   545.1   36.3   Adjusted  EBITDA  %   16.7%   17.3%   Combined  Capex1     161.7   168.2   6.5   Combined  Adjusted  Free   Cash  Flow1,2   347.1   376.9   29.8   1  See  Appendix  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx     Financial  informa,on  is  presented  on  a  combined  non-­‐GAAP  basis  to  give  effect  to  the  combina,on  of  the  three  business  segments  as  of  January  1,  2013  
  • 16. 16   MPG  Fourth  Quarter  Combined  Non  -­‐  GAAP  Results   ($  in  Millions)   Fourth  Quarter   2013   2014   Difference   Combined  Net  Sales1,2   $755.1   $762.2   $7.1   Combined  Adjusted  EBITDA1   128.6   125.7   (2.9)   Percentage  of  Net  Sales   17.0%   16.5%   Combined  CapEx1   44.5   54.2   9.7   Combined  Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow  1,3   84.1   71.5   (12.6)   1  See  Appendix  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2  2014  Net  Sales  is  a  GAAP  amount,  2013  is  a  non-­‐GAAP  amount   3  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx     Financial  informa,on  is  presented  on  a  combined  non-­‐GAAP  basis  to  give  effect  to  the  combina,on  of  the  three  business  segments  as  of  January  1,  2013  
  • 17. 17   Financial  Results  by  Segment   ($  in  Millions)    HHI         Metaldyne       Grede1   2013   2014   2013   2014   2013   2014   Net  Sales   $916.5     $977.6         $1,112.0     $1,177.5       $1,035.6     $999.1     Gross  Profit   151.0     164  .4       157.6   173.4         177.4   159.8     Percentage  of  Net   Sales   16.5%   16.8%       14.2%   14.7%       17.1%   16.0%   Adjusted  EBITDA   175.0     193.5          188.1     202.3       145.7     149.3     Percentage  of  Net   Sales   19.1%   19.8%       16.9%   17.1%       14.1%   14.9%   Note:  The  above  revenue  figures  do  not  include  the  elimina,on  of    intersegment  revenue   1  Grede  results  shown  on  a  combined,  non-­‐GAAP  basis  
  • 18. 18   Debt  and  Dividends   o   MPG  Net  Debt     ▫  $1,805.3  million  of  net  debt  outstanding  at  12/31/14   ▫  $250  million  line  of  credit,  $235  million  available  ($15  million  of  leYers  of  credit   outstanding)1   o Voluntary  Prepayment  of  Term  Debt   ▫  Q4  2014  –  The  Board  of  Directors  approved  and  MPG  executed  a  voluntary  repayment  of   $10  million  of  its  outstanding  Term  Loan  in  December  2014   ▫  Q1  2015  –  The  Board  of  Directors  approved  a  voluntary  repayment  of  an  addiLonal  $10   million  of  its  outstanding  Term  Loan  before  the  end  of  the  first  quarter  of  2015     o Dividends     ▫  On  March  10th,  The  Board  of  Directors  declared  a  1st  quarter  $.09/share  dividend  payable   on  May  26,  2015  to  stockholders  of  record  as  of  May  12,  2015   1  Depending  on  the  ,ming  of  cash  flows  from  opera,ons,  capital  spending,  taxes  and  debt  service,  the  Company  may  draw  on  the  Company’s  line  of  credit  
  • 19. 2015  GUIDANCE   Metaldyne  Performance  Group  
  • 20. 20   AssumpLons   Industry  ProducLon  /  AssumpLons     2015E   Reference  Rate     Light  Vehicle  SAAR  North  America1   ~2.5%   Light  Vehicle  SAAR  Europe1   ~0%   Light  Vehicle  SAAR  Asia1   ~3.5%   NAFTA  Heavy  Truck  Class  5-­‐82   ~5%   AMM  –  Chicago  #1  Bundles3   $251  per  gross  ton   $347  per  gross  ton   FX  Rate3   Euro/USD   1.12   1.22   USD/Mexican  Peso   14.94   14.78   USD/Chinese  Yuan   6.16   6.14   USD/Korean  Won   1,100   1,096   1  IHS  January  2015   2  FTR  and  ACT  December    2014   3  2015  es,mate    AMM  and  FX  rates  as  of  2/10/15  and  February  month  end,  respec,vely;  AMM  Reference  Rate  as  of  12/18/14;  FX  Reference  Rate  as  of  12/31/14    
  • 21. 21   2015  Guidance  Ranges       Guidance   2015E     Net  Sales   $3.0  -­‐  $3.15  billion     Adjusted  EBITDA1   $520  -­‐  $560  million   Capital  Expenditures     $210  -­‐  $225  million   Adjusted  Free  Cash  Flow2   $310  -­‐  $335  million   1  See  appendix  for  reconcilia,on  to  GAAP   2  Defined  as  Adjusted  EBITDA  less  CapEx,  u,lizing  consistent  high  and  low  ends  of  EBITDA  and  CapEx    
  • 22. Q  &  A  SESSION   Metaldyne  Performance  Group  
  • 24. 24   GAAP  ReconciliaLon  Slides  Full  Year   Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG) Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to EBITDA Consolidation Full Year Full Year 12/31/2014 12/31/2013 Net income attributable to stockholders $72.8 57.6 Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.4 0.3 Net income 73.3 57.9 Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA Interest expense 99.9 74.7 Loss on debt extinguishment 60.7 - Income tax (benefit) expense (19.1) 35.0 Total depreciation and amortization 210.8 163.4 Unadjusted EBITDA 425.6 331.0 Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA Foreign currency (gains) losses (15.7) 2.3 (Gain) loss on fixed asset disposition 2.1 1.4 Debt transaction expenses 3.0 6.0 Stock-based compensation 17.3 6.2 Sponsor management fee 5.1 4.0 Non-recurring acquisition and purchase accounting related items (1) 23.0 10.5 Non-recurring operational items (2) 18.2 1.7 Adjusted EBITDA $478.6 363.1 (1) Acquisition and related purchase accounting items including transaction costs, adjustments to inventory step-ups and other. (2) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, impairment charges, insurance proceeds, curtailment gain and other.
  • 25. 25   GAAP  ReconciliaLon  Slides  Q4   Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG) Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to EBITDA Consolidation Q4 Q4 12/31/2014 12/31/2013 Net income attributable to stockholders $10.2 4.0 Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.2 0.1 Net income 10.4 4.0 Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA Interest expense 29.6 20.7 Loss on debt extinguishment 60.4 - Income tax (benefit) expense (50.2) 8.4 Total depreciation and amortization 58.4 43.5 Unadjusted EBITDA 108.5 76.6 Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA Foreign currency (gains) losses (4.2) 0.8 (Gain) loss on fixed asset disposition 0.7 0.7 Debt transaction expenses 0.1 1.6 Stock-based compensation 2.8 1.6 Sponsor management fee 1.4 1.0 Non-recurring acquisition and purchase accounting related items (1) 0.2 9.7 Non-recurring operational items (2) 16.1 - Adjusted EBITDA $125.7 92.0 (1) Acquisition and related purchase accounting items including transaction costs, adjustments to inventory step-ups and other. (2) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, impairment charges, insurance proceeds, curtailment gain and other.
  • 26. 26   GAAP  ReconciliaLon  Slides  Full  Year  and  Q4   Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG) Adjustments to Reconcile to US GAAP Consolidation Full Year Full Year Q4 Q4 12/31/2014 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2013 Net Sales $2,717.0 2,017.3 762.2 511.4 Grede pre-acquisition Net Sales 427.0 1,035.6 - 243.7 Combined Net Sales (non-GAAP) 3,144.0 3,052.9 762.2 755.1 Gross Profit 422.9 308.6 Grede pre-acquisition Gross Profit 74.7 177.4 Combined Gross Profit (non-GAAP) 497.6 486.0 Adjusted EBITDA 478.6 363.1 125.7 92.0 Grede pre-acquisition Adjusted EBITDA 66.5 145.7 - 36.6 Combined Adjusted EBITDA 545.1 508.8 125.7 128.6 CapEx 156.4 122.3 54.2 35.4 Grede pre-acquisition CapEx 11.8 39.4 - 9.1 Combined CapEx 168.2 161.7 54.2 44.5 Adjusted Free Cash Flows 322.2 240.8 71.5 56.6 Grede pre-acquisition Adjusted Free Cash Flows 54.7 106.3 - 27.5 Combined Adjusted Free Cash Flows $376.9 347.1 71.5 84.1
  • 27. 27   GAAP  ReconciliaLon  Guidance  Slide   Metaldyne Performance Group (MPG) Reconciliation of 2015 Guidance of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA Consolidation   2015 Guidance 2015 Guidance Low End of Range High End of Range Net income attributable to stockholders $102.5 127.8 Income attributable to noncontrolling interest 0.5 0.5 Net income 102.9 128.3 Addbacks to Arrive at Unadjusted EBITDA Interest expense, net 117.3 117.3 Income tax expense 50.5 65.1 Depreciation and amortization 234.2 234.2 Unadjusted EBITDA 504.9 544.9 Adjustments to Arrive at Adjusted EBITDA Foreign currency (gains) losses (2.9) (2.9) Stock-based compensation expense 16.6 16.6 Non-recurring operational items (1) 1.4 1.4 Adjusted EBITDA $520.0 560.0 (1) Non-recurring operational items including charges for disposed operations, restructuring costs and other.