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Doing Business in India – Opportunities and Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The India Opportunity
The transformation… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Yesterday Today India is the world’s largest democracy
India today… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strong fundamentals Indian economy in a resilient mode in terms of GDP growth… Growth Oriented GDP (%) 1 Source: Indiastat.com Increasing International Trade 3 Increasing share of services in GDP 2 Strong Forex Reserves 4 Source: Central Statistical Organisation … along with rising  forex rate and reserves … and has an increasing share in international trade With Services Sector gaining importance….
…  resulting in a transitioning Indian demography Source:  The Marketing Whitebook, 2003-04 by Business World 1994-95 1999-00 2005-06 The Classes Rich  (Above USD 4,600; INR.2,15,000) Consuming  (USD 970 – 4,600; INR. 45,000-2,15000) Climbers  USD 470- 970; INR.22,000 – 45,000) Aspirants (USD 470 - 347; INR.16,000 – 22,000) Destitutes   (Less than USD 470; INR.16,000) 24 MILLION households 32 MILLION households 3 MILLION households 6 MILLION households 1 MILLION households 48 MILLION households 32 MILLION households 33 MILLION households 29 MILLION households 66 MILLION Households 75 MILLION Households 66 MILLION Households 78 MILLION Households 48 MILLION households 17 MILLION households
Four sectors underline the Indian growth story Information Technology Auto-components Pharmaceuticals Textiles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Today India is well-positioned as an offshore processing destination Source: NASSCOM – McKinsey 2002 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],High High Low Low China India UK Mexico Philippines Ireland Australia Singapore Note: Size of circle indicates resource availability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Companies enter for cost, but stay and expand for quality and enhanced competitiveness India’s value proposition: Cost-effectiveness and high quality  Time Scale Cost Scope Quality  & Productivity
The India Challenge
India GDP:  USD 3,319 bn Area:  3,287,590 sq km Population:  1,080,264,388 Languages:  18 Per Capita Income:  USD 3072 European Union GDP:  USD 11,650 bn Area:  3,976,372 Population:  456,953,258 Languages:  20 Per Capita Income:  USD 25,494 Companies attracted to India must do more than merely transplant strategies… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],… given India’s regional diversities of continental magnitude and interstate variation
Challenges companies face in India Infrastructure and environment  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Regulatory / Governance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market-related  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Navigating through tangles of bureaucracy in business and procedures Days taken to start business Level of complexity According to  Transparency International’s ’04 Corruption Perception Index  India’s score is 2.8 out of 10. India ranks 90 out of 145 on the Transparency International Corruption Perceptions. Coalition politics have impacted the pace of reforms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A change is taking place in the regulatory environment…
Note: Rigidity of Employment Index is an average of the following three indices – how difficult it is to hire a new worker, how rigid the regulations are on working hours, and how difficult it is to dismiss a redundant worker. Values are assigned between 0 and 100. Higher values represent more rigid regulations. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Rigidity of Employment Index Restrictive labour policies can impact flexibility in business While it is difficult to fire workers in India… Source: Doing Business, The World Bank ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],80 84.7 79 Firing costs (weeks of wages) 80 36.7 20 Rigidity of Hours Index 44 37.0 33 Difficulty of Hiring Index Germany Regional Avg (Asia) India Indicator
Infrastructure investment has not kept pace with the needs of the economy In 2003, India’s infrastructure spending was just US$35 billion Low spend A meaningful impact on overall growth will require consistent investment of at least US$60-80 bn p.a. Immediate requirement In the past 10 years, government has cut capital expenditure as a percentage of GDP5.6% (in F2004) from 9.3% Low infrastructure development Private investment  (domestic and foreign)   in infrastructure projects Demographic trends can lift  household savings  and channel them into infrastructure projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Improvement on the Infrastructure front…
The Indian success story has to be objectively viewed from another perspective as well… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Weak results from Privatization ,[object Object],Fairly large size of assets ,[object Object],Politicization
Corporate Governance is gaining acceptance, albeit gradually….. Complex group structures – difficult to unwind, ‘hidden’ owners especially other factions of the family -especially true for promoter owned and managed companies Fiefdoms’ – decision making concentrated ‘ Associated companies’ may need to be consolidated which may bring in more liabilities Minority interests may have a disproportionate amount of power Unwinding the Corporate Veil might be a challenge  Related party supplier / customer relationships on non-commercial terms No formal arrangements with related parties Funds deployment in non-core activities Sacrifice of shareholders’ interest for promoter gain Non Arm’s Length Transactions with Related Parties/Group Companies  Implementation ranges from academic/ cursory to robust, depending on management philosophy Reliability of internal and external audit report may be questionable Statutory audits by small time auditors run the risk of being an eye wash Spirit behind Implementing Corporate Governance Measures may be Questionable
Aggressive Tax Positions Continue to Find Favour…. Aggressive tax management (tax planning vs. tax avoidance) Tax litigation is common, Final resolution of issues time consuming This could result in cash outflows at the outset and inflows later if company successfully defends: impacts cash flows given lengthy legal process Continued availability of tax benefits/ incentives post transaction (needs careful analysis)
Need to pay attention to the operating environment and to cultural aspects In India ‘everything goes’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Foreign Investors should…
Source: KPMG research Faster implementation of reforms needed Redefinition of roles of public and private sectors. Urgency to revamp infrastructure Sun-rise industries establishing themselves internationally. Reforms consistently moving in the same direction. Indian manufacturing sector becoming globally competitive Investment opportunities driven by: Existence and growth of markets Availability of resources and global competitiveness In conclusion… … India today offers an early mover advantage

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22 Barcelona KPMG Presentation Investing In India Opportunities And Challenges Ppi 18 02 2009

  • 1.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Strong fundamentals Indian economy in a resilient mode in terms of GDP growth… Growth Oriented GDP (%) 1 Source: Indiastat.com Increasing International Trade 3 Increasing share of services in GDP 2 Strong Forex Reserves 4 Source: Central Statistical Organisation … along with rising forex rate and reserves … and has an increasing share in international trade With Services Sector gaining importance….
  • 6. … resulting in a transitioning Indian demography Source: The Marketing Whitebook, 2003-04 by Business World 1994-95 1999-00 2005-06 The Classes Rich (Above USD 4,600; INR.2,15,000) Consuming (USD 970 – 4,600; INR. 45,000-2,15000) Climbers USD 470- 970; INR.22,000 – 45,000) Aspirants (USD 470 - 347; INR.16,000 – 22,000) Destitutes (Less than USD 470; INR.16,000) 24 MILLION households 32 MILLION households 3 MILLION households 6 MILLION households 1 MILLION households 48 MILLION households 32 MILLION households 33 MILLION households 29 MILLION households 66 MILLION Households 75 MILLION Households 66 MILLION Households 78 MILLION Households 48 MILLION households 17 MILLION households
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Corporate Governance is gaining acceptance, albeit gradually….. Complex group structures – difficult to unwind, ‘hidden’ owners especially other factions of the family -especially true for promoter owned and managed companies Fiefdoms’ – decision making concentrated ‘ Associated companies’ may need to be consolidated which may bring in more liabilities Minority interests may have a disproportionate amount of power Unwinding the Corporate Veil might be a challenge Related party supplier / customer relationships on non-commercial terms No formal arrangements with related parties Funds deployment in non-core activities Sacrifice of shareholders’ interest for promoter gain Non Arm’s Length Transactions with Related Parties/Group Companies Implementation ranges from academic/ cursory to robust, depending on management philosophy Reliability of internal and external audit report may be questionable Statutory audits by small time auditors run the risk of being an eye wash Spirit behind Implementing Corporate Governance Measures may be Questionable
  • 18. Aggressive Tax Positions Continue to Find Favour…. Aggressive tax management (tax planning vs. tax avoidance) Tax litigation is common, Final resolution of issues time consuming This could result in cash outflows at the outset and inflows later if company successfully defends: impacts cash flows given lengthy legal process Continued availability of tax benefits/ incentives post transaction (needs careful analysis)
  • 19.
  • 20. Source: KPMG research Faster implementation of reforms needed Redefinition of roles of public and private sectors. Urgency to revamp infrastructure Sun-rise industries establishing themselves internationally. Reforms consistently moving in the same direction. Indian manufacturing sector becoming globally competitive Investment opportunities driven by: Existence and growth of markets Availability of resources and global competitiveness In conclusion… … India today offers an early mover advantage