TransGrid and the changing
energy market
Deliberative forums with consumers – Sydney CBD, Wagga and Parramatta
November 2013

This TransGrid event brought together a range of community members to provide
feedback our five year business plan and revenue proposal.
Some small changes have been made to the following presentation as details will continue to change as
we take feedback from our consultation process. All details were correct at the time of publication, E&OE.
Overview of TransGrid

TransGrid promotional video
This video is current unavailable

2

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
The electricity supply chain

38%
wholesale
plus carbon
3

8%

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

34%

Total
13% retail
7% green residential
schemes
bill
Generating and transporting
electricity

Generating capacity in the National
Electricity Market 2013

4

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

The transmission network
is like the freeways for
electricity
TransGrid‟s key statistics




94 substations



63 generator connections



362 distributor and direct
customer connections



November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

47 kms underground
cables



5

12,609 kms high voltage
transmission lines

1,083 employees, with
more than 70% based
outside Sydney
TransGrid‟s revenue


TransGrid is a government-owned ‘natural monopoly’ .
It is for-profit, to encourage efficiency.
Regulator sets revenue

NSW Government equity investor / shareholder in business

Revenue collected through electricity bills

80% of profits returned to owner (NSW Government)
20% of profits reinvested in TransGrid
6

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
What TransGrid does


Design, maintain and operate the network to:
 Keep the lights on
 Get the cheapest generation to market

7

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
The market has changed

70,000
GWh

Total electricity
demand in NSW

1951/52
8

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

2012/13
Index movement

Significant electricity price rises

NSW residential
electricity price

400
300
200

CPI

100

2009

2004

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

1999

1994

9

1990

2013
TransGrid‟s new approach

Adaptive
planning

 Sydney CBD 2012/13 Summer
demand management (like taking
50,000 air conditioners off the grid)

Effective
engagement

 „Have your say‟ website
 Public review of consultation
practices

Smarter
regulation

 A new way of thinking about the
reliability / cost trade-off

10

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Engaging with stakeholders
Government
and
regulators

Industrial and
commercial
consumers

Distributors
and other
transmitters

Residential
consumers

Generators

11

Impacted
communities

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

TransGrid‟s 5year plan,
and broad
engagement
to understand
needs and
behaviour
Particular
network
needs
The energy conversation

Cost

Reliability

12

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Draft five year plan
Business plan overview
$2,100

Typical annual
electricity cost

$168

14 TransGrid‟s 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
November Draft Business Plan

TransGrid part
of bill
Business plan overview
Breakdown of typical residential annual transmission charges

Consult
today on
operating
expense
proposal

Tax & depreciation
Operating expense
Return on proposed capital investment

Return on capital already invested

15 TransGrid‟s Draft Business Plan Forums
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative

Consult
today on
new
capital
proposal
How TransGrid‟s prices compare
Prescribed revenue per energy transmitted (c/kWh nominal)
3
ElectraNet (SA)

Transend (Tas)
c/kWh nominal

2

Powerlink (Qld)

TransGrid (NSW)

1

SP AusNet (Vic)

0
2005-06

2007-08

2009-10

16 TransGrid‟s 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
November Draft Business Plan

2011-12

2013-14

2015-16

2017-18
Proposed capital
investment
(building the network)
How much network do we need?

18 Capital – non build focus
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Replacement dominates proposed
capital investment
Proposed capital investment for 2014 to 2019
Category

Description

Augmentation

New or upgraded infrastructure to
cater for growing demand

Replacement

Updating infrastructure which is
wearing out

Market benefits

New or upgraded infrastructure to
expand generator access and
competition

Others

Non network infrastructure, including
commercial property and IT
systems, and security compliance

19 Capital – Overview
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Peak demand has slowed and
is less certain

20 Capital - Augmentation Deliberative Forums
November 2013 TransGrid
History of network development
is driving replacement needs

21 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums
November 2013 TransGrid
Comparison with other
mature networks
Annual Replacement Spend as % of Depreciated Asset Value
10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%
National Grid
(UK)

Transpower (NZ) SP AusNet (Vic)

22 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums
November 2013 TransGrid

Transend (Tas)

Powerlink (Qld)

TransGrid
(NSW/ACT)

ElectraNet (SA)
Proposed replacement
project portfolio
Forecast replacement projects for 2014 to 2019
Category
Powering
Sydney‟s Future
(„contingent‟)
Substation
renewal
Control
system renewal
Transmission
line renewal

Individual
equipment
replacement
23 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums
November 2013 TransGrid
„Market benefits‟ projects to
dispatch cheapest generation





24 Capital – Market benefits
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

Queensland to New South
Wales interconnector
upgrade
Snowy to Yass / Canberra
upgrade
Operating
expense
TransGrid performs well against
international peers

26 Operating expense – Overview Forums
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
Breakdown of draft
operating expense proposal
Proposed annual operating expense for 2014 to 2019
Category

Description

Plan and
manage assets

Planning the development of the
transmission network and capital
portfolio management

Maintenance

Inspections, preventative, conditionbased and corrective maintenance

Operate the
network

24 hour control room
operations, outage planning and
technical studies

Supporting the
business

IT, health and safety, property and
insurance

27 Operating expense – Overview Forums
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
Increased planning and
engagement costs
Planning cost trend



12
10

 More responsive
capital expenditure
decisions

8
6

 More transparent
investment decision
making

4
2

-

Planning cost
increases to date:



Proposed increases
 Consumer engagement
 Demand management
innovation

28 Operating expense – Planning Forums
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
Efficiencies in maintenance,
operations and business activities




29 Operating expense – Maintenance
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

Innovation in operations
(virtual control room and
automation of functions) to
reduce costs


Video of transformer failure

Automation of condition
monitoring and control
systems to reduce
maintenance costs

Efficiencies achieved in
procurement,
accommodation and
payroll
Discussion
Non-build options
Minimising our build program:
past success
Demand-driven capital approved by
the regulator for 2009 to 2014
Responding changing
Responding toto changing
demand forecasts
demand forecasts

Approx
$700
million
deferred

Advocating smarter

Advocating smarter reliability
reliability standards or
standards or grid innovation

grid innovation

Continuing to procure
non-build options such
as demand management

32 Capital – Non build focus
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums

Approx
$1.2 billion
completed
or
underway
Increasing focus on innovative
non-build options
Demand
management

Peak load management through time
of use tariffs, interruptible loads and
load shifting etc.

Local
generation

Local generation (biomass, solar,
cogeneration) to reduce loading on
network

Energy
efficiency

Increasing customers‟ use of
efficient appliances, lighting, motors
etc.

33 Capital – Non build focus
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Consulting on requirements for
Powering Sydney‟s Future


Works underway to defer /
avoid the need:
 advocacy for changed
reliability standard
 seeking network support
 energy efficiency uptake
study‟
 electric vehicles study
 planning and demographics
study
 „low build‟ options (eg cable
backfill remediation)

34 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums
November 2013 TransGrid
Potential non-build options


Consumer education on saving electricity
 Research understanding consumers‟ behaviour
 Demand management to postpone network
investment
 Large companies being willing to turn off
 Interruptible loads (eg air conditioning fan off at peak
times)
 Load shifting (eg washing machine at night)


35

Battery storage pilot program

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Discussion
Price and
reliability
Allocating transmission revenue
between consumers





38

The pricing methodology must be submitted to the regulator at the time
of the revenue application
Transmission pricing should promote efficient outcomes across all
consumers, and cover the total cost of transmission services
November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Transmission bill components

38%
Wholesale
power plus
carbon price

8%

35%

13%
Retail and
retail margin

7%
Green
(FiTs, RET, o
ther)
39

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Allocating transmission prices –
two options
Postage stamp

User pays

TransGrid‟s charges are now approximately half “postage
stamp” and half “user pays”.
40

November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
Discussion
Thankyou
For further information on TransGrid or this
presentation please contact TransGrid’s External
Communication Manager on 02 9284 3016.
Alternatively visit our consultation website –
yoursaytransgrid.com.au

20131127 Presentation - TransGrid Deliberative Forums

  • 1.
    TransGrid and thechanging energy market Deliberative forums with consumers – Sydney CBD, Wagga and Parramatta November 2013 This TransGrid event brought together a range of community members to provide feedback our five year business plan and revenue proposal. Some small changes have been made to the following presentation as details will continue to change as we take feedback from our consultation process. All details were correct at the time of publication, E&OE.
  • 2.
    Overview of TransGrid TransGridpromotional video This video is current unavailable 2 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 3.
    The electricity supplychain 38% wholesale plus carbon 3 8% November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums 34% Total 13% retail 7% green residential schemes bill
  • 4.
    Generating and transporting electricity Generatingcapacity in the National Electricity Market 2013 4 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums The transmission network is like the freeways for electricity
  • 5.
    TransGrid‟s key statistics   94substations  63 generator connections  362 distributor and direct customer connections  November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums 47 kms underground cables  5 12,609 kms high voltage transmission lines 1,083 employees, with more than 70% based outside Sydney
  • 6.
    TransGrid‟s revenue  TransGrid isa government-owned ‘natural monopoly’ . It is for-profit, to encourage efficiency. Regulator sets revenue NSW Government equity investor / shareholder in business Revenue collected through electricity bills 80% of profits returned to owner (NSW Government) 20% of profits reinvested in TransGrid 6 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 7.
    What TransGrid does  Design,maintain and operate the network to:  Keep the lights on  Get the cheapest generation to market 7 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 8.
    The market haschanged 70,000 GWh Total electricity demand in NSW 1951/52 8 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums 2012/13
  • 9.
    Index movement Significant electricityprice rises NSW residential electricity price 400 300 200 CPI 100 2009 2004 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums 1999 1994 9 1990 2013
  • 10.
    TransGrid‟s new approach Adaptive planning Sydney CBD 2012/13 Summer demand management (like taking 50,000 air conditioners off the grid) Effective engagement  „Have your say‟ website  Public review of consultation practices Smarter regulation  A new way of thinking about the reliability / cost trade-off 10 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 11.
    Engaging with stakeholders Government and regulators Industrialand commercial consumers Distributors and other transmitters Residential consumers Generators 11 Impacted communities November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums TransGrid‟s 5year plan, and broad engagement to understand needs and behaviour Particular network needs
  • 12.
    The energy conversation Cost Reliability 12 November2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Business plan overview $2,100 Typicalannual electricity cost $168 14 TransGrid‟s 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums November Draft Business Plan TransGrid part of bill
  • 15.
    Business plan overview Breakdownof typical residential annual transmission charges Consult today on operating expense proposal Tax & depreciation Operating expense Return on proposed capital investment Return on capital already invested 15 TransGrid‟s Draft Business Plan Forums November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Consult today on new capital proposal
  • 16.
    How TransGrid‟s pricescompare Prescribed revenue per energy transmitted (c/kWh nominal) 3 ElectraNet (SA) Transend (Tas) c/kWh nominal 2 Powerlink (Qld) TransGrid (NSW) 1 SP AusNet (Vic) 0 2005-06 2007-08 2009-10 16 TransGrid‟s 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums November Draft Business Plan 2011-12 2013-14 2015-16 2017-18
  • 17.
  • 18.
    How much networkdo we need? 18 Capital – non build focus November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 19.
    Replacement dominates proposed capitalinvestment Proposed capital investment for 2014 to 2019 Category Description Augmentation New or upgraded infrastructure to cater for growing demand Replacement Updating infrastructure which is wearing out Market benefits New or upgraded infrastructure to expand generator access and competition Others Non network infrastructure, including commercial property and IT systems, and security compliance 19 Capital – Overview November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 20.
    Peak demand hasslowed and is less certain 20 Capital - Augmentation Deliberative Forums November 2013 TransGrid
  • 21.
    History of networkdevelopment is driving replacement needs 21 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums November 2013 TransGrid
  • 22.
    Comparison with other maturenetworks Annual Replacement Spend as % of Depreciated Asset Value 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% National Grid (UK) Transpower (NZ) SP AusNet (Vic) 22 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums November 2013 TransGrid Transend (Tas) Powerlink (Qld) TransGrid (NSW/ACT) ElectraNet (SA)
  • 23.
    Proposed replacement project portfolio Forecastreplacement projects for 2014 to 2019 Category Powering Sydney‟s Future („contingent‟) Substation renewal Control system renewal Transmission line renewal Individual equipment replacement 23 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums November 2013 TransGrid
  • 24.
    „Market benefits‟ projectsto dispatch cheapest generation   24 Capital – Market benefits November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums Queensland to New South Wales interconnector upgrade Snowy to Yass / Canberra upgrade
  • 25.
  • 26.
    TransGrid performs wellagainst international peers 26 Operating expense – Overview Forums November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
  • 27.
    Breakdown of draft operatingexpense proposal Proposed annual operating expense for 2014 to 2019 Category Description Plan and manage assets Planning the development of the transmission network and capital portfolio management Maintenance Inspections, preventative, conditionbased and corrective maintenance Operate the network 24 hour control room operations, outage planning and technical studies Supporting the business IT, health and safety, property and insurance 27 Operating expense – Overview Forums November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
  • 28.
    Increased planning and engagementcosts Planning cost trend  12 10  More responsive capital expenditure decisions 8 6  More transparent investment decision making 4 2 - Planning cost increases to date:  Proposed increases  Consumer engagement  Demand management innovation 28 Operating expense – Planning Forums November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative
  • 29.
    Efficiencies in maintenance, operationsand business activities   29 Operating expense – Maintenance November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums Innovation in operations (virtual control room and automation of functions) to reduce costs  Video of transformer failure Automation of condition monitoring and control systems to reduce maintenance costs Efficiencies achieved in procurement, accommodation and payroll
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
    Minimising our buildprogram: past success Demand-driven capital approved by the regulator for 2009 to 2014 Responding changing Responding toto changing demand forecasts demand forecasts Approx $700 million deferred Advocating smarter Advocating smarter reliability reliability standards or standards or grid innovation grid innovation Continuing to procure non-build options such as demand management 32 Capital – Non build focus November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums Approx $1.2 billion completed or underway
  • 33.
    Increasing focus oninnovative non-build options Demand management Peak load management through time of use tariffs, interruptible loads and load shifting etc. Local generation Local generation (biomass, solar, cogeneration) to reduce loading on network Energy efficiency Increasing customers‟ use of efficient appliances, lighting, motors etc. 33 Capital – Non build focus November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 34.
    Consulting on requirementsfor Powering Sydney‟s Future  Works underway to defer / avoid the need:  advocacy for changed reliability standard  seeking network support  energy efficiency uptake study‟  electric vehicles study  planning and demographics study  „low build‟ options (eg cable backfill remediation) 34 Capital - Replacement Deliberative Forums November 2013 TransGrid
  • 35.
    Potential non-build options  Consumereducation on saving electricity  Research understanding consumers‟ behaviour  Demand management to postpone network investment  Large companies being willing to turn off  Interruptible loads (eg air conditioning fan off at peak times)  Load shifting (eg washing machine at night)  35 Battery storage pilot program November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
    Allocating transmission revenue betweenconsumers   38 The pricing methodology must be submitted to the regulator at the time of the revenue application Transmission pricing should promote efficient outcomes across all consumers, and cover the total cost of transmission services November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 39.
    Transmission bill components 38% Wholesale powerplus carbon price 8% 35% 13% Retail and retail margin 7% Green (FiTs, RET, o ther) 39 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 40.
    Allocating transmission prices– two options Postage stamp User pays TransGrid‟s charges are now approximately half “postage stamp” and half “user pays”. 40 November 2013 TransGrid Deliberative Forums
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
    For further informationon TransGrid or this presentation please contact TransGrid’s External Communication Manager on 02 9284 3016. Alternatively visit our consultation website – yoursaytransgrid.com.au