I gave this talk June 26, 2013 at the Australian Moodle Moot in Melbourne, AUstralia.

1. Massvely Open Online Courses
Beyond the Hype
Charles Severance
University of Michigan
School of Information
http://www.dr-chuck.com/
@drchuck

2. I am not speaking for the University of
Michigan, I am not speaking for Blackboard,
Inc., and I am not speaking for the IMS Global
Learning Consortium.

4. online.dr-chuck.com

5. online.dr-chuck.com

7. June 2010 - Goshen

8. July 2012 - Los Angeles

9. https://moodle.org/dev/
....

10. Internet:TCI Show 08
http://www.vimeo.com/4275919
1:22
0:52
1995

11. 1997
Sync-O-Matic
www.syncomat.com

12. 2000 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~csev/csev/projects/cb2k/index.htm

13. 2001

15. 2004

16. The Future of my Sad Story (?)
• 2005 - Sakai completes and is installed at 20
universities :)
• 2006 - I take a few months, reinvent ClipBoard and
integrate it into Sakai so people can *finally* truly use
it
• 2007 - Hundreds of people try my idea and it turns
out it was a bad idea - so I invent something else…
• Moral: I have been waiting 10 years, and changed
three jobs to find a framework to deploy my idea so
people could use it. Turns out the only way it was
going to happen was to help build it myself.
2004

17. February 2007 - I quit Sakai in anger before I am fired in anger

18. October 2006 - Dallas

19. • In 2006 Richard N. Katz was retiring as
the President of Educause
• He made a video with a series of bold
predictions about the changes that we
would see in the world of education
over the next 14 years
09:502006

21. • Pick a Question - Discuss
• For the predictions that were
accurate - why did get get it right?
• For the predictions that were wrong,
why did he get them wrong?
09:502006-2012

25. Syncomatic -1996
Clipboard - 2002

26. Nuthin' But Net
Internet:TCI

29. Post-War (1940s)
• Alumni of the US and UK codebreaking efforts
and other started building general purpose
computers
• Manchester Baby
• Ferranti Mark I
• Harvard Mark I
• US Army ENIAC
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/SSEM_Manchester_museum.jpg
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Classic_shot_of_the_ENIAC.jpgFour weeks

30. Layered Network
Model
• A layered approach allows the
problem of designing a network to
be broken into more manageable
sub problems
• Best-known model: TCP/IP—the
“Internet Protocol Suite”
• There was also a 7 layer OSI: Open
System Interconnection Model
Application Layer
Web, E-Mail, File Transfer
Transport Layer (TCP)
Reliable Connections
Internetwork Layer (IP)
Simple, Unreliable
Link Layer (Ethernet,WiFi)
Physical Connections
Three weeks

31. Eat More Ovaltine
Eat More OvaltineSanta SHA-1 a79540
Eat More Ovaltinea79540
Eat More Ovaltinea79540
Eat More OvaltineSanta SHA-1 a79540
Eat More Ovaltine a79540
Match! :)
http://www.dr-chuck.com/sha1.phpTwo weeks

32. A Bit of Data...

33. July 2012
Feb 2013
Jun 2013
Oct 2013
https://www.coursera.org/course/insidetheinternet

34. Demographic Data (n=6495)
• English / Non-English Speaker
• 2908 - Yes 3487 - No
• First online class
• 2052 -Yes 4377 - No
Data from Feb 2013 session

35. Demographic Data (n=6495)
• Pursuing a Statement of Accompishment?
• 3239 - Yes 3210 - No - just learning
• Gender
• About 2/3 male
• University of Michigan Student
• 196 -Yes 6230 - No
Data from Feb 2013 session

36. 0"
500"
1000"
1500"
2000"
2500"
Under"18" 18,24" 25,34" 35,44" 45,54" 55+"
Age
n=6495

37. Some%HS%
3%%
HS%
11%%
Some%College%
15%%
Assoc(2%yr)%
7%%BS/BA%(4%yr)%
34%%
Masters%
24%%
Doctoral%
3%%
Prof.%(MD,JD)%
3%%
Education n=6495

38. Location
http://www.dr-chuck.com/coursera/insidetheinternet/2012-001/maps/where.html
n=4701

39. 0"
2000"
4000"
6000"
8000"
10000"
12000"
14000"
16000"
1" 2" 3" 4" 5" 6" 7" 8" 9" Final"
Lecture"001"
Quiz"001"
Lecture"002"
Quiz"002"
History Technology Security

40. Increasing difficulty...
• Week 1: What was the mistake made by the German Enigma
operators that allowed Alan Turing to craft a strategy to break coded
German messages?
• Week 5: When do wireless devices receive their serial numbers (i.e.
MAC or Ethernet addresses)?
• Week 8: How does your computer typically know the public key of a
certificate authority during secure communications?

41. My Thoughts on #IHTS

42. Be an Introductory Course
• We need low-stakes "freshman" courses in Coursera
• How to behave
• How to use the software
• How to write
• Figure out technical issues
• How to learn from others and help others learn....

43. Be an Open Learning Community
• Open Source works well when there is a "Benevolent Dictator"
• There needs to be real and enforced rules - but as few as possible
• Those in power must not hide behind their power and must share
their power with those who show the right behavior
• Must make valued behaviors "infectious" / "amplified"

44. Teach the Teachers
• I don't beleive that all students in the world should consider me their
teacher in this space
• I wrote a "book"- I want others to adopt it and re-mix it
• Related to making a "learning community"

45. Community Teaching
Assistants
• Volunteer students from prior sessions
• Culture forms very rapidly
• Questions answered quickly
Mauro - Italy
Mazen - EgyptMegan - UK Susan - PA Karen - NC
Sue - CA

47. If we want we can also communicate in our own language in this thread.

48. http://youtu.be/GD9RSoVDKkw
NewYork NY, Los Angeles CA,
Ann Arbor MI,Wilmington, NC,
Chicago IL,Washington, DC,
Memphis,TN, Seattle WA, Seoul,
Barcelona, London, Amsterdam,
Melbourne, Perth (soon)

49. • Back to the future
• Lets revisit the predictions that
Richard M. Katz made for the
2013-2020 period...
09:502006

50. My Thoughts on MOOCs...

51. Is this New?

52. July 2012
Feb 2013
Jun 2013
Oct 2013
Is there a
business model?
Coursera is approaching 4 Million
Students - Just over a year
4 million users x 5% = 200,000 paying
200,000 x $50 = $10,000,000
$2,500,000 to universities
$500,000 to faculty
7,000 active students, 407 signature track
407 * $40 = $16,280
$16,280 x 5% = $814

54. What happenned to Open
Educational Resources?

55. http://mfeldstein.com/emerging_student_patterns_in_moocs_graphical_view/
Is this a failure of
MOOCs or
simply our first
encounter with
real Personalized
Learning or Self
Directed
Learning?

56. Teaching or
Measuring?

57. The End of
Higher
Education?
http://cliparts101.com

58. IBM RS-6000
The End of the Mainframe

59. http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/05/14/georgia-tech-and-udacity-roll-out-massive-new-low-cost-degree-program
What will
change?

60. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B._F._Skinner
What about the
students?

61. How can we
improve
education?

62. http://code.edx.org/
We can get
involved

63. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VY-Ogkc7Mnw
It won't
be easy..

64. A Few Predictions
• Online "continuation" Masters degrees have a limited lifetime
• For-profit undergraduate online programs will become very niche
• Residential schools must leverage being together - do more
• Remedial / preparation / just in time / continuing ed / professional
development - wil be free an high quality
• Truly democratizing education will happen - but require re-
commitment to open educatonal resources and remixable resources

65. Thank you.
https://www.coursera.org/course/insidetheinternet