This document provides a conceptual model for navigating academic program development within complex organizational contexts in higher education. It discusses how the external environment, internal structures, cultures and politics shape an institution's assumptions and practices regarding data use and decision making for program development. Four models are presented - rational, entrepreneurial, political and exploratory - which describe different pathways that decision making may follow based on how data is analyzed and prioritized internally or externally in an objective or subjective manner. The interaction between the organizational context and specific decision context will determine which model emerges to guide the process.