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SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
255
SCIENCE ROAD
Journal
Year: 2015 Volume: 03 Issue: 04 Pages: 255-267
Sanaz Hadji
PhD Student of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Semnan branch, Islamic
Azad University (IAU), Semnan, Iran
Concentration on Industry, Homogeneity in Industry and Strategic Competition and
Earning Predictability
Abstract:
The environment in which the Company is active could potentially have positive or negative impact on the quality of earning.
For example, quick growth of technology in computer industry can result in increase of rare and useless goods. On the other
hand, change of technology is very slow in many industries. Thus change of technology is considered as an important factor to
assess the earning quality for these industries. That is why the companies that are active in the industries enjoying high
technological growth are more prone to face the issues of earning quality in comparison with the companies that are active in
the industries enjoying an almost fixed growth of technology. The results of the study show that there is no significant relation
between industrial concentration and earning predictability and describe that there is no difference between the existing
companies in the concentrated industries that keep protecting their competitive advantages and the other companies. Also
there is no significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning predictability, and taking a certain level of industrial
concentration into consideration, there is no difference between the earning predictability of the companies that compete using
a pro-active strategy and the companies that compete using a passive strategy.
Keywords: Industrial Concentration, Strategic Competition, Competition in Product Market, Earning Predictability,
Industrial Homogeneity.
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
256
1. Introduction
This study investigates the relation between dimensions of competition in product market and earning predictability
which is one of the criteria of income quality. Competitiveness of the market means that different companies
compete closely to produce and sell goods and their goods are not very much different from one another because
otherwise the market will be inclined toward exclusivity/multiple exclusivity [1]. Competition has three dimensions
of concentration on industry, homogeneity in industry and strategic competition in the product market and this study
investigates these three dimensions.
1.1. Concentration of industry and the quality of accounting information
Industrial concentration refers to the dimensions of distributing the size of company in one market or special
company which was used in the past to show the degree of competition in the market (Carranza, 2008. The structural
theory of the type of industry believes that the company's concentration in the market is one of the important
elements of the market structure and the factor to determine competition. According to this hypothesis,
concentration leads to reduced competition through increased behaviors accompanied by collusion. The high or low
industrial concentration leads to high or low level of competition if the other conditions are equal [2, 3 and 4] The
studies show that increasing concentration of the market is in connection with the unusual prices and incomes that
consequently lead to increased allocated costs of these companies. Ali Kalsa and Yeung [5]showed that the
companies that have high concentration in industries do not disclose their information completely not to provide the
rival companies with useful and strategic information in this way.
1.2. Industrial Homogeneity and Quality of Accounting Information
The industries that are formed by companies having very similar nature, technology and products are called
homogeneous industries. These industries are completely different from industries that are formed by very dissimilar
companies. The conducted studies regarding the industrial organizations show that for a certain level of
concentration in industry, the industries formed by similar companies have higher level of competition. Since
companies that are part of homogeneous industries have similar structural costs and sell similar products, if the
conditions are similar, the structures would be similar and they would sell similar products. In case of similar
conditions, competition in homogeneous industries is more tangible than non-homogeneous industries. Homogeneity
of industry shows the degree of shocking effect on an industrial environment for all the companies at a single time.
That is why it is easier for the similar companies' shareholders to regain information about the counter relations.
This information also helps the foreign investors who obtained information about the real environment of activity of
the companies and allows them potentially to organize the internal conditions of the company according to the
information. Parrino [6] showed in an experimental research that homogeneous industries have relatively organized
performance and the directors could easily identify the weaker organizations. This issue leads to increased turnover
of transactions by CEOs in that industry. Homogenous industries have information advantage for shareholders in
comparison with the industries that are formed by non-homogeneous companies; therefore, use of relative
performance evaluation (RPE) will be more effective and relative performance evaluation (RPE) leads to facilitating
the study of the directors' performance and that is why it leads to reduction of organizational costs and increased
quality of accounting information. According to Parrino's study, 1997, the criterion of this study for industrial
homogeneity is correlation among the yield of shares of the producing companies existing in Tehran Stock
Exchange Market. Selection of this criterion depending on changes in the price of shares is ordinary for criterion of
homogeneity in industry because the price of company's shares reflects the current value of the remaining cash
flows. Defond and Park [7] expressed direct evidences regarding relative performance evaluation affected by
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
257
competition of product market which in turn leads to the direct effects on the method of making transactions by the
senior directors. They particularly showed that there is a positive relation between the degree of transactions
turnover by the senior directors and the competition level in industry and indicated that relative performance
evaluation is a useful action in competitive industries and could be applied to many competitive industries. However
industrial concentration measures competition through market shares and calculates the industrial coordination and
competition using the degree of similarity of individuals' performance inside the market.
1.3. Strategic Competition Solution and Accounting Information Quality
In industries that have group exclusivity or multi-polar competition market, the companies' interests depend on the
reciprocal relation among companies necessarily and also as a general industry. Under such circumstances, the value
of the companies is not just the outcome of the company's performance, but performance is a set of options that are
provided by the rival companies [8] The companies could increase their strategic behavior under such
circumstances. These behaviors consist of activities that lead to create suitable response by the rival companies. The
strategic reciprocal relations among companies in the production market could be divided as the supplementary
strategic alternatives. The decisions of a company are called supplementary or alternative strategy when that
company adopts a pro-active strategy and is the one in line with proactive actions of the rival companies. This issue
increases or decreases the company's margin of profit. As a result, the companies that compete with each other by a
supplementary strategy have higher degrees of competition in comparison with the companies that adopt alternative
strategies [9] Without taking the reciprocal strategic effect into consideration, it is expected that the quality of
company's accounting information to be in connection with the degree of competitive relation among industries.
According to the previous topics when the degree of competitive relation in one industry increases or its intensity
goes up, the companies are subject to reduction of private, representative and political costs. Under such
circumstances, there is less incentive for the companies to create a non-transparent environment to prevent attracting
the attention of the rival companies and political sanctions. Reduced representation costs should appear in the
quality of the presented financial information by the relevant directors [10]
1.4. Reciprocal Relation between Industrial Concentration, Industrial Homogeneity and Strategic
Competition
The above items studied the effect of the individual dimensions of competition on the quality of accounting
information and paid no attention to the existing relation among different dimensions. Industrial concentration and
homogeneity both calculate competition according to the structure of the companies' market in industries. Industrial
concentration particularly connects competition to market shares. While the industrial homogeneity connects
competition to the performance environment of the company, strategic competition calculates the competition
according to the reciprocal relation of the companies that are active inside the market. Strategic competition
calculates competition on the basis of reciprocal relations of the companies inside the market. The companies can
take action at a certain level of industrial concentration in a completely similar and or different way as far as cost
structure is concerned and could take pro-active or compromising actions against the measures adopted by the rival
companies [11] According to the effect of competition on the private, representative and political costs at a certain
level of industrial concentration, it is expected that the accounting information have high quality in homogeneous
industries in comparison with non-homogeneous industries. At the same time, it is expected at a certain level of
industrial concentration that the quality of the accounting information of the companies that have supplementary
strategies to be higher than their sample in the companies that have alternative strategy.
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Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
258
1.5. Methods to assess the earning quality
Generally speaking, there are four methods to assess the earning quality as follows:
1. Method based on relation with value of shares: In this method, the relation among different amounts of earning
and the price of shares (market) is measured using regression. The more the degree of adjusted correlation
coefficient is, the more the earning variable becomes dependent on value (Barth et al, 2001).
2. Method based on information content: In this method the relation between price changes and shares yield, the
unexpected levels and changes of different amounts of earning are measured using regression. The closer the amount
of adjusted correlation coefficient is to 1, the heavier information load it indicates.
3. Method based on predictability: In this method the important thing is that the old amounts of earning could
predict the future amounts. The less the amount of average absolute value is, the more its predictability will be.
4. Method based on economic profit: In this method the criteria based on prediction of capital costs are mainly
considered. It is understood that these figures have higher quality in comparison with the accounting profit. The
criterion of economic added value is one of the criteria that relies on this method [12]
1.6. Earning predictability
The expected future earning prediction on the basis of information content of old earnings depends on the fact that
how much the old earnings are stable. Stability of the old earnings means that it is predicted that the old earnings
also happen in the future. Changes in earning are interpreted as the index of sensitivity. Index of sensitivity is a
share of the sustainable changes of earning that could be 100%, between 0 and 100% and bigger than 100%. Thus
the degree of relevance of the old earnings to the future earnings depends on stability of earnings. If the users are
successful to differentiate the stable and unstable parts of the earnings, they will most likely predict the future
earnings well and in this way prediction will be useful for the users. Many factors could change the trend of
earnings. For example, inflation increases some costs such as wages, materials and incomes, but it has very low
effect on some costs and incomes such as depreciation costs and income of the interest of government bonds [14]
Authorization of accountants to use the different accounting procedures is considered as another factor to change the
future earnings considering the temporal conditions and the direct impact of accounting principles and methods on
measurement of earning. Change of rules and regulations has a type of unpredictable change on the effective rules
and regulations on commercial units and has impact on the activity of commercial units. Also directors have
different ways of thinking. Every director runs the company according to his own knowledge and way of thinking.
Hence there is a direct relation between the activity of commercial units and their knowledge, way of thinking and
management ideas and management change leads to change in the structure of incomes and company's costs [15]
Also change in the combination of the board of directors could also affect the activity of the company and its
competition in the product market [16]Unexpected incidents usually affect the ordinary and current operation of the
companies due to the impact on commercial environment in addition to imposing direct costs resulting from them.
One of the criteria to asses accounting information is usefulness in prediction that depends on experimental
researches. On this basis, accounting measurements are assessed considering their predictability for the user. Most
of the accounting discussions aim at choosing one measurement method about logicality of a method in comparison
with the other methods. But logical discussions are not sufficient on their own to choose a method. Many articles
paid attention to this point and called for experimental studies in accounting. Although all of them stress on
experimental studies to draw a link between assessment criteria and accounting goals, inability to determine the
nature of the experimental study is one of the deterrent factors. Also there are problems when it comes to
implementing them such as determination of the events that form the specifications of the decision-making model
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
259
and theoretical specifications so that it is one of these problems to correspond with a type of relation to predict the
accounting criteria. The results of the study regarding the usefulness criterion to predict depend on recognition of
the prediction model. Presentation of a prediction model requires to determine the type of relations and to define
variables which are other executive problems. Earning assessment in prediction requires taking loss from prediction
error into consideration which also depends on awareness of other variables of decision-making model [17]
Thus, different measurement methods are assessed according to their ability and capacity to predict the desirable
incidents and attention of the decision-makers. In other words, the methods that have the highest capacity to predict
regarding one incident are considered as the best method for that specific incident.
1.7. Research History
No study was conducted in Iran so far to investigate the relation between competition in the product market and
earning predictability. Thus a brief mention of relevant foreign researches is made as follows:
Lafond and Watts, [17] used study and review of the old earnings during time in their study to predict the future
earning and believed that the only way to predict earning is to use the average old earnings and this idea was paid
attention to by the other researchers, and acceptable models were also presented in this area.
Ball and Shivakumar, [18] conducted their study in the area of profit and price of shares and found out that the price
of shares are affected by the changes of predictable earning and this effect has direct relation through predicting the
earning of 100 companies recognized by New York Stock Exchange Market.
Hayes [19] studied the predictability of the accounting data in form of ratio with regard to the changes of incidents
on rate of government bonds to determine the rate of newly-issued government bonds. The experimental part and the
studies required collecting data from organizations that are capable to reimburse the loan on the date of maturation
and also the organizations that do not have this ability. The ratio of debts over properties of each organization was
calculated and the objective was to find out which of these calculated ratios predict the situation of the organizations
better. Then classification of each case was compared with the actual situation of the organization as far as inability
to pay at due date was concerned and the percentage of wrong predictions was specified. The lower the degree of
error is, the higher the power of prediction will be and the adopted method that leads to the lower percentage of error
will be considered as the better method to predict the non-payment of loan on the due date.
Lang et al [20] found out in their studies that apart from the time series of the old earnings, other information such as
newly issued rate of government bonds and the ratio of debts to properties of each organization could be effective to
predict the future profits, but in case the other information is not accessible, the old earnings are the best parameter
to predict the future earnings of the commercial units. Thus in the current study, the old earnings of the companies
recognized by Tehran Stock Exchange Market were used to predict their future earnings.
2. Research Hypotheses
Considering the theoretical grounds and conducted studies, the research hypotheses are presented as follows:
First hypothesis: There is a significant relation between level of concentration in industry and earning predictability.
Second hypothesis: There is a significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning predictability.
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
260
Third hypothesis: There is a significant relation between strategic competition and the relation between industrial
concentration and earning predictability.
3. Research Method
This goal of this study is of applied type and it is descriptive-correlative as far as its nature is concerned. In this
study combined data method was used due to the type of the data under study. The method of combined data is a
method to consolidate sectional data and time series. Firstly F-Limer test was used in combined data to select
between panel data and consolidated data. If the calculated F-Limer is smaller than the F-Limer in the table, panel
data are used, otherwise, consolidated data will be used. If the probability of Hausman test is less than 5%, H0
(random effects) is rejected and fixed effects are selected. If the probability of Hausman test is higher than 5%, H0 is
not rejected and random effects are selected. According to the results of F-Limer test and Hausman test, regression
method was selected. If panel data method is used, when the number of the companies is higher than the number of
periods, the models might face the problem of variance anisotropy. In order to remove this problem, generalized
least square (GLS) regression method is used to estimate the model. Further on for each of the hypotheses, F-Limer
test and Hausman test were conducted separately and the results of the regression were analyzed by t statistic, t
probability and F statistic and its probability and determination coefficient.
3.1. Statistical Society and Sample
The statistical society of this study is all the companies recognized by Stock Exchange Market. Since the studied
variables were considered in the recent 7-year trend, all the companies recognized by Stock Exchange market are
part of the statistical society of this research. In this study, systematic elimination method was used for sampling.
For this purpose the companies in question were selected according to the following criteria:
1. To be present in Stock Exchange Market from March 2006 to March 2013.
2. The relevant information to the selected variables to be accessible in this study.
3. In order to compare the information, the fiscal year of the companies should end on 20 March of each year.
4. The transaction of their shares should not have stopped during the research period more than three months in
Tehran Stock Exchange market.
5. They should not have more than 3-month transactional stop during the timescale of the research in each year.
6. Their activity should be of producing type in order to maintain homogeneity of information.
Considering the above conditions and restrictions, the total number of 90 companies was selected among the
recognized companies by Tehran Stock Exchange Market. In order to conduct the statistical tests, Stata statistical
software was used to estimate the coefficients, to statistically analyze the required amounts such as t and F tests, to
estimate the parameters of regression equations, correlative coefficients, etc.
3.2. Used Models
To test the research hypotheses in connection with the effect of different dimensions of competition in the product
market on the quality of income, the following experimental model was used:
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Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
261
In the above formula, EQit as the dependent variable represents the quality of the j company's income in t year that
will be presented by earning predictability. COMPETTTIONit variable will be presented by different dimensions of
competition which will be presented for COMPETITIONit first hypothesis by concentration coefficient of the (HI-
CENSUS( industry and for the second hypothesis by industry homogeneity, i.e., HOMOGENEITY. In order to
determine the income quality, several control variables were added to the above formula that is presented in table 1.
Also the following model is used for strategic competition:
In this formula, the variables of the test are HI-CENSUS and CSMD and interactive variable is HI-CENSUS and
CSMD. CSMD is equal to one when the company competes with passive strategy and it is equal to zero when it
competes with a pro-active strategy
4. Research Variables and Method to assess them
4.1. Earning predictability
The old earnings can predict the future earnings with the least possible error and the performance of the earnings has
positive relation with the predictability of the constituents of the earning and their continuity. In other words, those
earning constituents that have more continuity or have higher quality could predict the earnings in a more suitable
way [21] the criterion of this study is extracted from AR1 models of every year of the company in connection with
the earning predictability. Also the second root of the changes in variance was used in the formula and then it was
multiplied by -1 to extract the measurement criterion of the earning predictability. The bigger (smaller) amounts
indicate the higher or lower predictable earnings and the model is as follows:
  2
, TJLITYPREDICTABI
4.2. Industrial Concentration and Homogeneity
The industrial concentration was measured using Herfindahl index which is equal to the total squares of the market
share of all the existing companies in the market which is calculated by using Herfindhal index formula as follows:
(4)
Homogeneity means the average partial correlative coefficient (rRj,t , Rit/Rmt ) for all the existing companies in the
industries active in Tehran Stock Exchange Market which were calculated through the following regression.
EQit=b0+b1SAZEit+b2σ(CFO)it+b3σ(SALES)+b4OPCYCLEit+b5NEGEARNit
+b6LEVERAGEit+b7MBit +b8COMPETTTIONit+eit
1)
3)
EQit=b0+b1SAZEit+b2σ(CFO)it+b3σ(SALES)+b4OPCYCLEit+b5NEGEARNit+b6LEVERAGEit
+b7MBit +b8HI-CENSUSit+b9CSMDit+b10CSMD*HI-CENSUSit +Yr-Dummiesit+Ind-Dummiesit +eit
2)
   

2
1
/
n
J jji XXHI
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
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262
(5)
The partial correlative coefficient r Rj,t , Rit / Rmt measures the intensity of the linear relation between the company's
yield and the industrial yield following control regarding the effect of market yield. The high quantity of
HOMOGENEITY indicates the higher homogeneity of the existing companies in one industry.
4.3. Table to introduce variables
Table 1-Definitions of the used variables in models
ModelvariableTypeRemarks
Main
SAZE
Independen
t
Natural logarithm of total properties of i company in t yea
σ(CFO)
Independen
t
Criterion deviation of operational cash flows of company in the past 7 years in t
year
σ(SALES)
Independen
t
Criterion deviation of sales in the past 7 years in t year
OPCYCLEit
Independen
t
Logarithm of total days to receive receivable accounts of the company and the
time for the goods inventory to wait for t year.
NEGEARNit
Independen
t
Ratio of the Company's loss in the past 7 years for t year
LEVERAGEi
t
Independen
t
Logarithm of the total long-term and short-term debts of the company divided by
value of its shareholders' equity in t year.
MBit
Independen
t
Market value of company's capital divided by book value of its shareholders'
equity in t year.
4Xi
Independen
t
Sale of j company in I industry and no companies are in this industry
5
RjtDependentYield of j company's shares in I industry for t month
Rmt
Independen
t
Rhythmical mean of yield of market shares in t month
Descriptive Statistics
Rjt=b0+b1Rit+b2Rmt+eit
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Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
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Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
263
Table 2-Descriptive statistics of research variables
Criterion
deviation
MeanMaximumMinimumQuantitySignVariable name
12009.68893990.20233970.034788789177855.1352630EPreEarning predictability
0.0728691690.0784646850.272374960.00152262630ICON
]Industrial
concentration
0.3954051870.1408133663.4240.7299-630IHOMIndustrial homogeneity
0.6655010545.6761003938.4763342784.244994166630SIZESize
1.47835E+121.90108E11+2.64004E13+6480.25630CFOOperational cash flows
2.75186E+133.81259E12+4.10522E14+14762.25630SALESSale
0.6421938732.984113566.3286132221.184280333630OPCYCLEOperational cycle
0.502712980.3355803116.7636078295.7417E-05630NEGEAMLoss ratio
0.3852025990.3823844452.2809662111.209162311
630LEVERAGEMarket lever
6.348642724.12967212578.175773014.129672125630MB
Ratio of market value
on book value of the
shareholders' equity
In order to present a general view of the important characteristics of the calculated variables in table 1, the number
of observations, mean, criterion deviation, maximum and minimum of the observations were provided.
4.4. Test Results of the first research hypothesis
The results from the statistical analysis of the first research hypothesis are shown in table 3:
Table 3-Results of statistical analysis of testing the first research hypothesis
F
R2
Cons
MB
Leverage
Negearn
Opcycle
Sales
Cof
Size
Icon
Probabili
tyof
Hausma
ntestProbabili
tyofF-
Limer
test
Sign
09/0
12/0
022/0
968/0
774/0
408/0
967/0
931/0
955/0
001/0
67/1
071/0
06/0
000/0
Earning
predictability
Insignificant
-
Signicant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Significant
Insignificant
Randomly
fixed
Panel
Considering the results reflected in table 3, the obtained results of estimation of regression model toward panel data
method-fixed effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
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Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
264
predictability and independent variable of main concentration level in industry. The amount of probability of this
relation (sig) is 0.09 which is not significant by 95% certainty. Regarding control variables, also the relation
between size and earning predictability variables is significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 3
show, the calculated F is bigger than the F in the table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is
significant with 95% probability. In other words, this model is highly valid and the determination coefficient shows
that 12% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by the independent variables.
4.5. Test of the second research hypothesis
The obtained results of statistical analysis of the second hypothesis of the study are shown in table 4. Considering
the results reflected in table 4, the obtained results of estimation of regression model in panel data method-random
effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and
independent variable of main industrial homogeneity. The amount of probability of this relation (sig) is 0.989 which
is not significant by 95% certainty. Regarding control variables, the relation between no variables and earning
predictability is not significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 4 show, the calculated F is
bigger than the F in the table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is significant with 95%
probability and the determination coefficient shows that 1% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by
the independent variables.
Table 4-Results of statistical analysis of testing the second research hypothesis
F
R2
Cons
MB
Leverage
Negearn
Opcycle
Sales
Cof
Size
Icon
Probabili
tyof
Hausma
ntest
Probabili
tyofF-
Limer
test
Sign
989/0
01/0
393/0
959/0
758/0
435/0
973/0
9/0
438/0
645/0
69/0
491/0
946/0
000/0
Earning
predictability
Insignificant
-
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificantant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Randomeffects
Panel
4.6. Test of the third research hypothesis
The obtained results of statistical analysis of the third hypothesis of the study are shown in table 5.
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Table 5-Results of statistical analysis of testing the third research hypothesis
F
R2
Cons
MB
Leverage
Negearn
Opcycle
Sales
Cof
Size
Icon
Scom
Hausman
test
Possiblity
ofF-
Limertest
Sign
992/0
01/0
404/0
892/0
771/0
423/0
963/0
911/0
984/0
678/0
517/0
96/1
05/0
087/0
000/0
Earning
predictability
Insignificant
-
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
‫ا‬Random
effects
Panel
Considering the results obtained from estimation of regression model in panel data method-fixed effects shown in
table 5, there is not a significant relation between earning predictability and independent variable of main strategic
competition. The amount of probability of this relation (sig) is 0.992 which is not significant by 95% certainty.
Regarding control variables as shown in table 5, the relation between no variables and earning predictability is not
significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 5 show, the calculated F is bigger than the F in the
table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is significant with 95% probability and the
determination coefficient shows that 1% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by the independent
variables.
5. Results of Testing Research Hypotheses
The first hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between the concentration level in industry and
earning predictability ". The obtained results from the estimation of the regression model in panel data method-fixed
effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and main
independent variable of concentration level in industry.
The second hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning
predictability." The obtained results from the estimation of the regression model in panel data –random effects show
that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and the main independent
variable of industrial homogeneity.
The third hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between strategic competition and relation
between industrial concentration and earning predictability." The obtained results from the estimation of the
regression model in panel data method–fixed effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent
variable of earning predictability and the main independent variable of strategic competition.
6. Conclusion
The main goal of this research is to test the effect of competition in the product market on income smoothing in
companies and it was conducted by a sample of companies recognized by Tehran Stock Exchange Market. The
results of the research showed that there is not a significant relation between industrial concentration and withheld
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items. Furthermore, the existing companies in concentrated industries do not seek procedures leading to income
smoothing in order to protect their competitive advantages to select procedures or disclose them. Also there is not a
significant relation between industrial homogeneity and quality of withheld items. At a certain level of industrial
concentration, the companies that compete enjoying proactive strategy do not use income smoothing in comparison
with the companies that compete relying on a passive strategy.
The conducted studies are mainly concentrated on procedures to disclose the company and the company's mastery
mechanisms. The relation between competition in the product market and predictability in an environment like Iran's
economy has not been established and it was only taken into account in very limited cases foreign studies. In
addition, contrary to the former studies, the three dimensions of competition, i.e., concentration on industry,
homogeneity in industry and competitive strategy were used and their impact on earning predictability was tested.
Other characteristic of this study was its large volume and use of more variables as it could be said at the end that
the obtained results could be used in more cases. The objective of this study is to fill the above gaps through testing
the effect of competition on the product market which is tested through concentration on industry, industrial
homogeneity and the amount of competitive interactions over the quality of the companies' earnings.
The conducted study adds the new findings to the accounting literature and enriches it in two ways. Firstly, it is the
first study that has been conducted in an environment like Iran that provides evidences regarding the relation
between market competition and earning predictability. Secondly, the former conducted studies only used certain
levels of industrial concentration as a criterion for competition, while competition consists of several dimensions. In
this study the relation between competition and earning predictability on the basis of three dimensions of
concentration on industry, industrial homogeneity and strategic competition was investigated.
7. References
[1]Khodarahmi, Ahmad; Bazraei, Younes, 2013, Study of the relation between competition in the product market
with the structure of the board of directors and disclosure quality, Accounting knowledge, 4th
year, no. 12,
Autumn 2013, pp 51-66.
[2]Bain, J.S., 1956. "Barriers to New Competition". Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
[3]Brozen, Y., 1971a, "Bain's concentration and rates of return revisited", Journal of Law and Economics 14, 351-
69.
[4]Demsetz,H, 1973, "Industry structure, market rivalry and public policy", Journal of Law and Economics 16, 1-9.
[5]Ali, A., S. Klasa and E. Yeung, 2009b, "The Limitations of industry concentration measures constructed with
compustat data: implications for finance research", Review of Financial Studies, 22, 3839-3871
[6]Parrino, R., 1997, "CEO turnover and outside succession: a cross-sectional analysis", Journal of Financial
Economics. 46, 165-197.
[7]DeFond, M.L. and C. W. Park, 1999. "The effect of competition on CEO turnover", Journal of Accounting and
Economics, 27, 35-56.
[8]Balakrishnan, K. and D.A. Cohen, 2009, "Product market competition, financial accounting misreporting and
corporate governance: evidence from accounting restatements". Working Paper, New York University.
[9]Akdogu, A. and P. Mackay, 2008, "Investment and competition", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
43, 299-320.
SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL
Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji
Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com
Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015
267
[10]Man ho ,Yin Paul (2012), “The impact of product market competition", The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree.
[11]Kedia, S., 2006, "Estimating product market competition: methodology and application", Journal of Banking
and Finance 30, 875-894.
[12]Cornell , B . Landsman , R.(2003), " accounting valuation : is earnings quality an issue ? ", Journal of financial
analysts, Vol.59, No.6, p.20 .
[13]Carranza, J.E., 2008, "Concentration measures. The New Palgrave Dictionary ofEconomics".2nd Edition. Eds.
S. N. Durlauf and L.E. Blume. Palgrave Macmillan
[14]Chan, L., J. Lakonishok and T. Sougiannis, 2001, "The stock market valuation of research and development
expenditures", Journal of Finance 56, 2431-2456.
[15]Karuna, C, 2007, "Industry product market competition and managerial incentives", Journal of Accounting and
Economics 43, 275-297.
[16]Qorbani, Saeid; Movahed Majd, Marzieh; Monfared Maharlouei, competition in the product market,
combination of the board of directors and information disclosure quality: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange
Market, Accounting and Auditing researches, 4th
year, no. 19, fall 2013, pp 92-105.
[17]LaFond, R. and R. Watts, 2008, "The information role of conservative financial statements", The Accounting
Review 83, 447-478.
[18]Ball, R. and L. Shivakumar, 2008, "How much new information is there in earnings?", Journal of Accounting
Research 46, 975-1016.
[19]Hayes, R.M. and R. Lundholm, 1996. "Segment reporting to the capital market in the presence of a competitor",
Journal of Accounting Research 34, 261-279.
[20]Lang, M. and R. Lundholm, 1996. "Corporate disclosure policy and analyst behavior", The Accounting Review,
71, 467-492.
[21]Modarres, Ahmad; Abbaszadeh, Mohammadreza, 2008, analytical study of the impact of ability to predict the
commitment elements and cash flows on predicted earning quality, Knowledge and Development Journal, no. 24.

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15030425

  • 1. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 255 SCIENCE ROAD Journal Year: 2015 Volume: 03 Issue: 04 Pages: 255-267 Sanaz Hadji PhD Student of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Semnan branch, Islamic Azad University (IAU), Semnan, Iran Concentration on Industry, Homogeneity in Industry and Strategic Competition and Earning Predictability Abstract: The environment in which the Company is active could potentially have positive or negative impact on the quality of earning. For example, quick growth of technology in computer industry can result in increase of rare and useless goods. On the other hand, change of technology is very slow in many industries. Thus change of technology is considered as an important factor to assess the earning quality for these industries. That is why the companies that are active in the industries enjoying high technological growth are more prone to face the issues of earning quality in comparison with the companies that are active in the industries enjoying an almost fixed growth of technology. The results of the study show that there is no significant relation between industrial concentration and earning predictability and describe that there is no difference between the existing companies in the concentrated industries that keep protecting their competitive advantages and the other companies. Also there is no significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning predictability, and taking a certain level of industrial concentration into consideration, there is no difference between the earning predictability of the companies that compete using a pro-active strategy and the companies that compete using a passive strategy. Keywords: Industrial Concentration, Strategic Competition, Competition in Product Market, Earning Predictability, Industrial Homogeneity.
  • 2. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 256 1. Introduction This study investigates the relation between dimensions of competition in product market and earning predictability which is one of the criteria of income quality. Competitiveness of the market means that different companies compete closely to produce and sell goods and their goods are not very much different from one another because otherwise the market will be inclined toward exclusivity/multiple exclusivity [1]. Competition has three dimensions of concentration on industry, homogeneity in industry and strategic competition in the product market and this study investigates these three dimensions. 1.1. Concentration of industry and the quality of accounting information Industrial concentration refers to the dimensions of distributing the size of company in one market or special company which was used in the past to show the degree of competition in the market (Carranza, 2008. The structural theory of the type of industry believes that the company's concentration in the market is one of the important elements of the market structure and the factor to determine competition. According to this hypothesis, concentration leads to reduced competition through increased behaviors accompanied by collusion. The high or low industrial concentration leads to high or low level of competition if the other conditions are equal [2, 3 and 4] The studies show that increasing concentration of the market is in connection with the unusual prices and incomes that consequently lead to increased allocated costs of these companies. Ali Kalsa and Yeung [5]showed that the companies that have high concentration in industries do not disclose their information completely not to provide the rival companies with useful and strategic information in this way. 1.2. Industrial Homogeneity and Quality of Accounting Information The industries that are formed by companies having very similar nature, technology and products are called homogeneous industries. These industries are completely different from industries that are formed by very dissimilar companies. The conducted studies regarding the industrial organizations show that for a certain level of concentration in industry, the industries formed by similar companies have higher level of competition. Since companies that are part of homogeneous industries have similar structural costs and sell similar products, if the conditions are similar, the structures would be similar and they would sell similar products. In case of similar conditions, competition in homogeneous industries is more tangible than non-homogeneous industries. Homogeneity of industry shows the degree of shocking effect on an industrial environment for all the companies at a single time. That is why it is easier for the similar companies' shareholders to regain information about the counter relations. This information also helps the foreign investors who obtained information about the real environment of activity of the companies and allows them potentially to organize the internal conditions of the company according to the information. Parrino [6] showed in an experimental research that homogeneous industries have relatively organized performance and the directors could easily identify the weaker organizations. This issue leads to increased turnover of transactions by CEOs in that industry. Homogenous industries have information advantage for shareholders in comparison with the industries that are formed by non-homogeneous companies; therefore, use of relative performance evaluation (RPE) will be more effective and relative performance evaluation (RPE) leads to facilitating the study of the directors' performance and that is why it leads to reduction of organizational costs and increased quality of accounting information. According to Parrino's study, 1997, the criterion of this study for industrial homogeneity is correlation among the yield of shares of the producing companies existing in Tehran Stock Exchange Market. Selection of this criterion depending on changes in the price of shares is ordinary for criterion of homogeneity in industry because the price of company's shares reflects the current value of the remaining cash flows. Defond and Park [7] expressed direct evidences regarding relative performance evaluation affected by
  • 3. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 257 competition of product market which in turn leads to the direct effects on the method of making transactions by the senior directors. They particularly showed that there is a positive relation between the degree of transactions turnover by the senior directors and the competition level in industry and indicated that relative performance evaluation is a useful action in competitive industries and could be applied to many competitive industries. However industrial concentration measures competition through market shares and calculates the industrial coordination and competition using the degree of similarity of individuals' performance inside the market. 1.3. Strategic Competition Solution and Accounting Information Quality In industries that have group exclusivity or multi-polar competition market, the companies' interests depend on the reciprocal relation among companies necessarily and also as a general industry. Under such circumstances, the value of the companies is not just the outcome of the company's performance, but performance is a set of options that are provided by the rival companies [8] The companies could increase their strategic behavior under such circumstances. These behaviors consist of activities that lead to create suitable response by the rival companies. The strategic reciprocal relations among companies in the production market could be divided as the supplementary strategic alternatives. The decisions of a company are called supplementary or alternative strategy when that company adopts a pro-active strategy and is the one in line with proactive actions of the rival companies. This issue increases or decreases the company's margin of profit. As a result, the companies that compete with each other by a supplementary strategy have higher degrees of competition in comparison with the companies that adopt alternative strategies [9] Without taking the reciprocal strategic effect into consideration, it is expected that the quality of company's accounting information to be in connection with the degree of competitive relation among industries. According to the previous topics when the degree of competitive relation in one industry increases or its intensity goes up, the companies are subject to reduction of private, representative and political costs. Under such circumstances, there is less incentive for the companies to create a non-transparent environment to prevent attracting the attention of the rival companies and political sanctions. Reduced representation costs should appear in the quality of the presented financial information by the relevant directors [10] 1.4. Reciprocal Relation between Industrial Concentration, Industrial Homogeneity and Strategic Competition The above items studied the effect of the individual dimensions of competition on the quality of accounting information and paid no attention to the existing relation among different dimensions. Industrial concentration and homogeneity both calculate competition according to the structure of the companies' market in industries. Industrial concentration particularly connects competition to market shares. While the industrial homogeneity connects competition to the performance environment of the company, strategic competition calculates the competition according to the reciprocal relation of the companies that are active inside the market. Strategic competition calculates competition on the basis of reciprocal relations of the companies inside the market. The companies can take action at a certain level of industrial concentration in a completely similar and or different way as far as cost structure is concerned and could take pro-active or compromising actions against the measures adopted by the rival companies [11] According to the effect of competition on the private, representative and political costs at a certain level of industrial concentration, it is expected that the accounting information have high quality in homogeneous industries in comparison with non-homogeneous industries. At the same time, it is expected at a certain level of industrial concentration that the quality of the accounting information of the companies that have supplementary strategies to be higher than their sample in the companies that have alternative strategy.
  • 4. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 258 1.5. Methods to assess the earning quality Generally speaking, there are four methods to assess the earning quality as follows: 1. Method based on relation with value of shares: In this method, the relation among different amounts of earning and the price of shares (market) is measured using regression. The more the degree of adjusted correlation coefficient is, the more the earning variable becomes dependent on value (Barth et al, 2001). 2. Method based on information content: In this method the relation between price changes and shares yield, the unexpected levels and changes of different amounts of earning are measured using regression. The closer the amount of adjusted correlation coefficient is to 1, the heavier information load it indicates. 3. Method based on predictability: In this method the important thing is that the old amounts of earning could predict the future amounts. The less the amount of average absolute value is, the more its predictability will be. 4. Method based on economic profit: In this method the criteria based on prediction of capital costs are mainly considered. It is understood that these figures have higher quality in comparison with the accounting profit. The criterion of economic added value is one of the criteria that relies on this method [12] 1.6. Earning predictability The expected future earning prediction on the basis of information content of old earnings depends on the fact that how much the old earnings are stable. Stability of the old earnings means that it is predicted that the old earnings also happen in the future. Changes in earning are interpreted as the index of sensitivity. Index of sensitivity is a share of the sustainable changes of earning that could be 100%, between 0 and 100% and bigger than 100%. Thus the degree of relevance of the old earnings to the future earnings depends on stability of earnings. If the users are successful to differentiate the stable and unstable parts of the earnings, they will most likely predict the future earnings well and in this way prediction will be useful for the users. Many factors could change the trend of earnings. For example, inflation increases some costs such as wages, materials and incomes, but it has very low effect on some costs and incomes such as depreciation costs and income of the interest of government bonds [14] Authorization of accountants to use the different accounting procedures is considered as another factor to change the future earnings considering the temporal conditions and the direct impact of accounting principles and methods on measurement of earning. Change of rules and regulations has a type of unpredictable change on the effective rules and regulations on commercial units and has impact on the activity of commercial units. Also directors have different ways of thinking. Every director runs the company according to his own knowledge and way of thinking. Hence there is a direct relation between the activity of commercial units and their knowledge, way of thinking and management ideas and management change leads to change in the structure of incomes and company's costs [15] Also change in the combination of the board of directors could also affect the activity of the company and its competition in the product market [16]Unexpected incidents usually affect the ordinary and current operation of the companies due to the impact on commercial environment in addition to imposing direct costs resulting from them. One of the criteria to asses accounting information is usefulness in prediction that depends on experimental researches. On this basis, accounting measurements are assessed considering their predictability for the user. Most of the accounting discussions aim at choosing one measurement method about logicality of a method in comparison with the other methods. But logical discussions are not sufficient on their own to choose a method. Many articles paid attention to this point and called for experimental studies in accounting. Although all of them stress on experimental studies to draw a link between assessment criteria and accounting goals, inability to determine the nature of the experimental study is one of the deterrent factors. Also there are problems when it comes to implementing them such as determination of the events that form the specifications of the decision-making model
  • 5. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 259 and theoretical specifications so that it is one of these problems to correspond with a type of relation to predict the accounting criteria. The results of the study regarding the usefulness criterion to predict depend on recognition of the prediction model. Presentation of a prediction model requires to determine the type of relations and to define variables which are other executive problems. Earning assessment in prediction requires taking loss from prediction error into consideration which also depends on awareness of other variables of decision-making model [17] Thus, different measurement methods are assessed according to their ability and capacity to predict the desirable incidents and attention of the decision-makers. In other words, the methods that have the highest capacity to predict regarding one incident are considered as the best method for that specific incident. 1.7. Research History No study was conducted in Iran so far to investigate the relation between competition in the product market and earning predictability. Thus a brief mention of relevant foreign researches is made as follows: Lafond and Watts, [17] used study and review of the old earnings during time in their study to predict the future earning and believed that the only way to predict earning is to use the average old earnings and this idea was paid attention to by the other researchers, and acceptable models were also presented in this area. Ball and Shivakumar, [18] conducted their study in the area of profit and price of shares and found out that the price of shares are affected by the changes of predictable earning and this effect has direct relation through predicting the earning of 100 companies recognized by New York Stock Exchange Market. Hayes [19] studied the predictability of the accounting data in form of ratio with regard to the changes of incidents on rate of government bonds to determine the rate of newly-issued government bonds. The experimental part and the studies required collecting data from organizations that are capable to reimburse the loan on the date of maturation and also the organizations that do not have this ability. The ratio of debts over properties of each organization was calculated and the objective was to find out which of these calculated ratios predict the situation of the organizations better. Then classification of each case was compared with the actual situation of the organization as far as inability to pay at due date was concerned and the percentage of wrong predictions was specified. The lower the degree of error is, the higher the power of prediction will be and the adopted method that leads to the lower percentage of error will be considered as the better method to predict the non-payment of loan on the due date. Lang et al [20] found out in their studies that apart from the time series of the old earnings, other information such as newly issued rate of government bonds and the ratio of debts to properties of each organization could be effective to predict the future profits, but in case the other information is not accessible, the old earnings are the best parameter to predict the future earnings of the commercial units. Thus in the current study, the old earnings of the companies recognized by Tehran Stock Exchange Market were used to predict their future earnings. 2. Research Hypotheses Considering the theoretical grounds and conducted studies, the research hypotheses are presented as follows: First hypothesis: There is a significant relation between level of concentration in industry and earning predictability. Second hypothesis: There is a significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning predictability.
  • 6. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 260 Third hypothesis: There is a significant relation between strategic competition and the relation between industrial concentration and earning predictability. 3. Research Method This goal of this study is of applied type and it is descriptive-correlative as far as its nature is concerned. In this study combined data method was used due to the type of the data under study. The method of combined data is a method to consolidate sectional data and time series. Firstly F-Limer test was used in combined data to select between panel data and consolidated data. If the calculated F-Limer is smaller than the F-Limer in the table, panel data are used, otherwise, consolidated data will be used. If the probability of Hausman test is less than 5%, H0 (random effects) is rejected and fixed effects are selected. If the probability of Hausman test is higher than 5%, H0 is not rejected and random effects are selected. According to the results of F-Limer test and Hausman test, regression method was selected. If panel data method is used, when the number of the companies is higher than the number of periods, the models might face the problem of variance anisotropy. In order to remove this problem, generalized least square (GLS) regression method is used to estimate the model. Further on for each of the hypotheses, F-Limer test and Hausman test were conducted separately and the results of the regression were analyzed by t statistic, t probability and F statistic and its probability and determination coefficient. 3.1. Statistical Society and Sample The statistical society of this study is all the companies recognized by Stock Exchange Market. Since the studied variables were considered in the recent 7-year trend, all the companies recognized by Stock Exchange market are part of the statistical society of this research. In this study, systematic elimination method was used for sampling. For this purpose the companies in question were selected according to the following criteria: 1. To be present in Stock Exchange Market from March 2006 to March 2013. 2. The relevant information to the selected variables to be accessible in this study. 3. In order to compare the information, the fiscal year of the companies should end on 20 March of each year. 4. The transaction of their shares should not have stopped during the research period more than three months in Tehran Stock Exchange market. 5. They should not have more than 3-month transactional stop during the timescale of the research in each year. 6. Their activity should be of producing type in order to maintain homogeneity of information. Considering the above conditions and restrictions, the total number of 90 companies was selected among the recognized companies by Tehran Stock Exchange Market. In order to conduct the statistical tests, Stata statistical software was used to estimate the coefficients, to statistically analyze the required amounts such as t and F tests, to estimate the parameters of regression equations, correlative coefficients, etc. 3.2. Used Models To test the research hypotheses in connection with the effect of different dimensions of competition in the product market on the quality of income, the following experimental model was used:
  • 7. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 261 In the above formula, EQit as the dependent variable represents the quality of the j company's income in t year that will be presented by earning predictability. COMPETTTIONit variable will be presented by different dimensions of competition which will be presented for COMPETITIONit first hypothesis by concentration coefficient of the (HI- CENSUS( industry and for the second hypothesis by industry homogeneity, i.e., HOMOGENEITY. In order to determine the income quality, several control variables were added to the above formula that is presented in table 1. Also the following model is used for strategic competition: In this formula, the variables of the test are HI-CENSUS and CSMD and interactive variable is HI-CENSUS and CSMD. CSMD is equal to one when the company competes with passive strategy and it is equal to zero when it competes with a pro-active strategy 4. Research Variables and Method to assess them 4.1. Earning predictability The old earnings can predict the future earnings with the least possible error and the performance of the earnings has positive relation with the predictability of the constituents of the earning and their continuity. In other words, those earning constituents that have more continuity or have higher quality could predict the earnings in a more suitable way [21] the criterion of this study is extracted from AR1 models of every year of the company in connection with the earning predictability. Also the second root of the changes in variance was used in the formula and then it was multiplied by -1 to extract the measurement criterion of the earning predictability. The bigger (smaller) amounts indicate the higher or lower predictable earnings and the model is as follows:   2 , TJLITYPREDICTABI 4.2. Industrial Concentration and Homogeneity The industrial concentration was measured using Herfindahl index which is equal to the total squares of the market share of all the existing companies in the market which is calculated by using Herfindhal index formula as follows: (4) Homogeneity means the average partial correlative coefficient (rRj,t , Rit/Rmt ) for all the existing companies in the industries active in Tehran Stock Exchange Market which were calculated through the following regression. EQit=b0+b1SAZEit+b2σ(CFO)it+b3σ(SALES)+b4OPCYCLEit+b5NEGEARNit +b6LEVERAGEit+b7MBit +b8COMPETTTIONit+eit 1) 3) EQit=b0+b1SAZEit+b2σ(CFO)it+b3σ(SALES)+b4OPCYCLEit+b5NEGEARNit+b6LEVERAGEit +b7MBit +b8HI-CENSUSit+b9CSMDit+b10CSMD*HI-CENSUSit +Yr-Dummiesit+Ind-Dummiesit +eit 2)      2 1 / n J jji XXHI
  • 8. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 262 (5) The partial correlative coefficient r Rj,t , Rit / Rmt measures the intensity of the linear relation between the company's yield and the industrial yield following control regarding the effect of market yield. The high quantity of HOMOGENEITY indicates the higher homogeneity of the existing companies in one industry. 4.3. Table to introduce variables Table 1-Definitions of the used variables in models ModelvariableTypeRemarks Main SAZE Independen t Natural logarithm of total properties of i company in t yea σ(CFO) Independen t Criterion deviation of operational cash flows of company in the past 7 years in t year σ(SALES) Independen t Criterion deviation of sales in the past 7 years in t year OPCYCLEit Independen t Logarithm of total days to receive receivable accounts of the company and the time for the goods inventory to wait for t year. NEGEARNit Independen t Ratio of the Company's loss in the past 7 years for t year LEVERAGEi t Independen t Logarithm of the total long-term and short-term debts of the company divided by value of its shareholders' equity in t year. MBit Independen t Market value of company's capital divided by book value of its shareholders' equity in t year. 4Xi Independen t Sale of j company in I industry and no companies are in this industry 5 RjtDependentYield of j company's shares in I industry for t month Rmt Independen t Rhythmical mean of yield of market shares in t month Descriptive Statistics Rjt=b0+b1Rit+b2Rmt+eit
  • 9. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 263 Table 2-Descriptive statistics of research variables Criterion deviation MeanMaximumMinimumQuantitySignVariable name 12009.68893990.20233970.034788789177855.1352630EPreEarning predictability 0.0728691690.0784646850.272374960.00152262630ICON ]Industrial concentration 0.3954051870.1408133663.4240.7299-630IHOMIndustrial homogeneity 0.6655010545.6761003938.4763342784.244994166630SIZESize 1.47835E+121.90108E11+2.64004E13+6480.25630CFOOperational cash flows 2.75186E+133.81259E12+4.10522E14+14762.25630SALESSale 0.6421938732.984113566.3286132221.184280333630OPCYCLEOperational cycle 0.502712980.3355803116.7636078295.7417E-05630NEGEAMLoss ratio 0.3852025990.3823844452.2809662111.209162311 630LEVERAGEMarket lever 6.348642724.12967212578.175773014.129672125630MB Ratio of market value on book value of the shareholders' equity In order to present a general view of the important characteristics of the calculated variables in table 1, the number of observations, mean, criterion deviation, maximum and minimum of the observations were provided. 4.4. Test Results of the first research hypothesis The results from the statistical analysis of the first research hypothesis are shown in table 3: Table 3-Results of statistical analysis of testing the first research hypothesis F R2 Cons MB Leverage Negearn Opcycle Sales Cof Size Icon Probabili tyof Hausma ntestProbabili tyofF- Limer test Sign 09/0 12/0 022/0 968/0 774/0 408/0 967/0 931/0 955/0 001/0 67/1 071/0 06/0 000/0 Earning predictability Insignificant - Signicant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Significant Insignificant Randomly fixed Panel Considering the results reflected in table 3, the obtained results of estimation of regression model toward panel data method-fixed effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning
  • 10. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 264 predictability and independent variable of main concentration level in industry. The amount of probability of this relation (sig) is 0.09 which is not significant by 95% certainty. Regarding control variables, also the relation between size and earning predictability variables is significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 3 show, the calculated F is bigger than the F in the table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is significant with 95% probability. In other words, this model is highly valid and the determination coefficient shows that 12% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by the independent variables. 4.5. Test of the second research hypothesis The obtained results of statistical analysis of the second hypothesis of the study are shown in table 4. Considering the results reflected in table 4, the obtained results of estimation of regression model in panel data method-random effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and independent variable of main industrial homogeneity. The amount of probability of this relation (sig) is 0.989 which is not significant by 95% certainty. Regarding control variables, the relation between no variables and earning predictability is not significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 4 show, the calculated F is bigger than the F in the table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is significant with 95% probability and the determination coefficient shows that 1% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by the independent variables. Table 4-Results of statistical analysis of testing the second research hypothesis F R2 Cons MB Leverage Negearn Opcycle Sales Cof Size Icon Probabili tyof Hausma ntest Probabili tyofF- Limer test Sign 989/0 01/0 393/0 959/0 758/0 435/0 973/0 9/0 438/0 645/0 69/0 491/0 946/0 000/0 Earning predictability Insignificant - Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificantant Insignificant Insignificant Randomeffects Panel 4.6. Test of the third research hypothesis The obtained results of statistical analysis of the third hypothesis of the study are shown in table 5.
  • 11. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 265 Table 5-Results of statistical analysis of testing the third research hypothesis F R2 Cons MB Leverage Negearn Opcycle Sales Cof Size Icon Scom Hausman test Possiblity ofF- Limertest Sign 992/0 01/0 404/0 892/0 771/0 423/0 963/0 911/0 984/0 678/0 517/0 96/1 05/0 087/0 000/0 Earning predictability Insignificant - Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant Insignificant ‫ا‬Random effects Panel Considering the results obtained from estimation of regression model in panel data method-fixed effects shown in table 5, there is not a significant relation between earning predictability and independent variable of main strategic competition. The amount of probability of this relation (sig) is 0.992 which is not significant by 95% certainty. Regarding control variables as shown in table 5, the relation between no variables and earning predictability is not significant by 95% of certainty. As the results reflected in table 5 show, the calculated F is bigger than the F in the table (p<0.05). Thus it could be said that this regression model is significant with 95% probability and the determination coefficient shows that 1% of the amounts of dependent variables are explained by the independent variables. 5. Results of Testing Research Hypotheses The first hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between the concentration level in industry and earning predictability ". The obtained results from the estimation of the regression model in panel data method-fixed effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and main independent variable of concentration level in industry. The second hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between industrial homogeneity and earning predictability." The obtained results from the estimation of the regression model in panel data –random effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and the main independent variable of industrial homogeneity. The third hypothesis expresses that "There is a significant relation between strategic competition and relation between industrial concentration and earning predictability." The obtained results from the estimation of the regression model in panel data method–fixed effects show that there is not a significant relation between dependent variable of earning predictability and the main independent variable of strategic competition. 6. Conclusion The main goal of this research is to test the effect of competition in the product market on income smoothing in companies and it was conducted by a sample of companies recognized by Tehran Stock Exchange Market. The results of the research showed that there is not a significant relation between industrial concentration and withheld
  • 12. SCIENCE ROAD JOURNAL Corresponding Author: Sanaz Hadji Email: sanaz_hadji@yahoo.com Acceptance Date: 02/28/2015 266 items. Furthermore, the existing companies in concentrated industries do not seek procedures leading to income smoothing in order to protect their competitive advantages to select procedures or disclose them. Also there is not a significant relation between industrial homogeneity and quality of withheld items. At a certain level of industrial concentration, the companies that compete enjoying proactive strategy do not use income smoothing in comparison with the companies that compete relying on a passive strategy. The conducted studies are mainly concentrated on procedures to disclose the company and the company's mastery mechanisms. The relation between competition in the product market and predictability in an environment like Iran's economy has not been established and it was only taken into account in very limited cases foreign studies. In addition, contrary to the former studies, the three dimensions of competition, i.e., concentration on industry, homogeneity in industry and competitive strategy were used and their impact on earning predictability was tested. Other characteristic of this study was its large volume and use of more variables as it could be said at the end that the obtained results could be used in more cases. The objective of this study is to fill the above gaps through testing the effect of competition on the product market which is tested through concentration on industry, industrial homogeneity and the amount of competitive interactions over the quality of the companies' earnings. The conducted study adds the new findings to the accounting literature and enriches it in two ways. Firstly, it is the first study that has been conducted in an environment like Iran that provides evidences regarding the relation between market competition and earning predictability. Secondly, the former conducted studies only used certain levels of industrial concentration as a criterion for competition, while competition consists of several dimensions. In this study the relation between competition and earning predictability on the basis of three dimensions of concentration on industry, industrial homogeneity and strategic competition was investigated. 7. References [1]Khodarahmi, Ahmad; Bazraei, Younes, 2013, Study of the relation between competition in the product market with the structure of the board of directors and disclosure quality, Accounting knowledge, 4th year, no. 12, Autumn 2013, pp 51-66. [2]Bain, J.S., 1956. "Barriers to New Competition". Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA [3]Brozen, Y., 1971a, "Bain's concentration and rates of return revisited", Journal of Law and Economics 14, 351- 69. [4]Demsetz,H, 1973, "Industry structure, market rivalry and public policy", Journal of Law and Economics 16, 1-9. [5]Ali, A., S. Klasa and E. Yeung, 2009b, "The Limitations of industry concentration measures constructed with compustat data: implications for finance research", Review of Financial Studies, 22, 3839-3871 [6]Parrino, R., 1997, "CEO turnover and outside succession: a cross-sectional analysis", Journal of Financial Economics. 46, 165-197. [7]DeFond, M.L. and C. W. Park, 1999. "The effect of competition on CEO turnover", Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27, 35-56. [8]Balakrishnan, K. and D.A. Cohen, 2009, "Product market competition, financial accounting misreporting and corporate governance: evidence from accounting restatements". Working Paper, New York University. [9]Akdogu, A. and P. Mackay, 2008, "Investment and competition", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 43, 299-320.
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