The document provides supply and demand data for various grains and oilseeds in Ukraine for 2017/2018, 2018/2019, and 2019/2020 marketing years. Key metrics reported include seeded area, harvested area, yield, production, supply, demand, exports, and ending stocks. Overall grain and oilseed production is projected to decrease from 67.02 million metric tons in 2018/2019 to 60.2 million metric tons in 2019/2020.

1. GRAIN & OIL SEEDS:
Supply and Demand balances
Kyiv, December 2018

2. 26459
24825 25400
17160
16000
18000
4.17
3.79
4
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4
4.1
4.2
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY
Tonesperhectare
Mln.metrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 2 546 1 372 673
Seeded Thd.Ha 6 374 6 616 6 360
Harvested Thd.Ha 6 350 6 550 6 345
Yield 4,00 3,79 4,17
Import 0 0 0
Crop 25 400 24 825 26 459
Supply 27 946 26 196 27 132
Food 4 400 4 400 4 400
Feed 1 000 1 000 2 000
Seeds 1 550 1 550 1 500
Export 18 000 16 000 17 160
Losses 700 700 700
Demand 25 650 23 650 25 760
Ending Stocks 2 296 2 546 1 372
Stocks/Demand 9,0% 10,8% 5,3%
WHEAT

3. 8602
7395 7500
4287
3900 4000
3.43
3 3
2.7
2.8
2.9
3
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 590 645 30
Seeded Thd.Ha 2 522 2 493 2 515
Harvested Thd.Ha 2 500 2 465 2 508
Yield 3,00 3,00 3,43
Crop 7 500 7 395 8 602
Supply 8 090 8 040 8 632
Food 400 400 500
Feed 2200 2200 2200
Seeds 650 650 700
Export 4 000 3 900 4 287
Losses 300 300 300
Demand 7 550 7 450 7 987
Ending Stocks 540 590 645
Stocks/Demand 7,2% 7,9% 8,1%
BARLEY

4. 24750
34804
27300
18500
27000
220005.5
7.7
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 2 494 1 420 900
Seeded Thd.Ha 4 600 4 570 4 600
Harvested Thd.Ha 4 550 4 520 4 500
Yield 6,0 7,7 5,5
Import 0 0 0
Crop 27 300 34 804 24 750
Supply 29 794 36 224 25 650
Food 500 500 500
Feed 5 500 5 500 4 500
Seeds 130 130 130
Export 22 000 27 000 18 500
Losses 600 600 600
Demand 28 730 33 730 24 230
Ending Stocks 1 064 2 494 1 420
Stocks/Demand 4% 7% 6%
CORN

5. 1094.7
784.4
902874
500
650
2.67
1.85
2.2
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 68,8 64,4 123,7
Seeded Thd.Ha 420 434 415
Harvested Thd.Ha 410 424 410
Yield 2,2 1,85 2,67
Crop 902 784,4 1094,7
Supply 970,8 848,8 1218,4
Food 100 100 100
Feed 80 80 80
Seeds 70 70 70
Export 650 500 874
Losses 30 30 30
Demand 930 780 1154
Ending Stocks 40,8 68,8 64,4
PEAS

6. 498.… 472.8
495
9.5 20
40
2.52
2.4
2.5
2.34
2.36
2.38
2.4
2.42
2.44
2.46
2.48
2.5
2.52
2.54
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 50,3 67,5 48,084
Seeded Thd.Ha 205 205 210
Harvested Thd.Ha 198 197 198
Yield 2,5 2,4 2,52
Crop 495 472,8 498,96
Supply 545,3 540,3 547,0
Food 200 200 200
Feed 150 150 150
Seeds 80 80 80
Export 40 20 9,5
Losses 40 40 40
Demand 510 490 479,5
Ending Stocks 35,3 50,3 67,5
OATS

7. 459.2
377 371.8
5
70
5
2.8
2.6
2.6
2.5
2.55
2.6
2.65
2.7
2.75
2.8
2.85
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 72 115 11
Seeded Thd.Ha 147 149 165
Harvested 143 145 164
Yield 2,6 2,6 2,8
Import 0 0 0
Crop 371,8 377 459,2
Supply 444 492 470
Food 220 220 220
Feed 5 5 5
Seeds 90 90 90
Export 5 70 5
Losses 35 35 35
Demand 355 420 355
Ending Stocks 89 72 115
RYE

8. 744 744 744
40 40 40
1.2 1.2 1.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 14 10 26
Seeded Thd.Ha 700 700 700
Harvested Thd.Ha 620 620 620
Yield 1,2 1,2 1,2
Import
Crop 744 744 744
Supply 758 754 770
Food 320 320 340
Feed 230 230 230
Seeds 110 110 110
Export 40 40 40
Losses 40 40 40
Demand 740 740 760
Ending Stocks 18 14 10
OTHER GRAINS

9. 13000
14950 14625
35 100 100
2
2.3
2.25
1.85
1.9
1.95
2
2.05
2.1
2.15
2.2
2.25
2.3
2.35
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 328 178 113
Seeded Thd.Ha 6600 6600 6600
Harvested 6500 6500 6500
Yield 2,25 2,3 2
Import 5 5 5
Crop 14 625 14 950 13 000
Supply 14 958 15 133 13 118
Food/Crush 13 600 14 600 12 800
Feed 15 15 15
Seeds 30 30 30
Export 100 100 35
Losses 60 60 60
Demand 13 805 14 805 12 940
Ending Stocks 1 153 328 178
Stocks/Demand 8,4% 2,2% 1,4%
SUNFLOWER SEEDS

10. 2198
2665 2691
2122
2400 24502.8
2.6
2.6
2.5
2.55
2.6
2.65
2.7
2.75
2.8
2.85
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 48 3 7
Seeded Thd.Ha 1060 1035 870
Harvested Thd.Ha 1035 1025 785
Yield 2,6 2,6 2,8
Crop 2691 2665 2198
Import 0 0 0
Supply 2 739 2 668 2 205
Feed/Crush 200 200 60
Export 2450 2400 2122
Losses 20 20 20
Demand 2670 2620 2202
Ending Stocks 69 48 3
Stocks/Demand 2,6% 1,8% 0,1%
CANOLA

11. 3990
4335
3780
2700
2450
1750
2.1
2.55
2.1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 58 29 45
Seeded Thd.Ha 1850 1850 1950
Harvested, Thd. Ha 1800 1700 1900
Yield 2,1 2,55 2,1
Crop 3 780 4 335 3 990
Import 0 0 0
Supply 3 838 4 364 4 035
Feed/Crush 2 000 1 850 1 300
Export 1 750 2 450 2 700
Losses 6 6 6
Demand 3 756 4 306 4 006
Ending Stocks 82 58 29
Stocks/Demand 2,2% 1,3% 0,7%
SOY

12. 81796
91352
83809
45733
52480
49035
3.42
3.78
3.48
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 6 270 3 904 2 027
Seeded Thd.Ha 24 478 24 652 24 385
Harvested 24 106 24 146 23 930
Yield 3,48 3,78 3,42
Import 5 5 5
Crop 83 809 91 352 81 796
Supply 90 084 95 261 83 828
Food (Incl Sfs Crush) 21 940 22 790 20 420
Feed 9 180 9 180 9 180
Seeds 2 710 2 710 2 710
Export 49 035 52 480 45 733
Losses 1 831 1 831 1 831
Demand 84 696 88 991 79 874
Ending Stocks 5 388 6 270 3 904
Stocks/demand 6,4% 7,0% 4,9%
ALL GRAIN AND OIL SEEDS

13. 59811
67024
60200
39947
46900
44000
4.5
5
4.5
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5
5.1
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
2017/2018 MY 2018/2019 MY 2019/2020 MY Tonesperhectare
Thousandmetrictones
Dynamics & Estimation
Crop Export Yield
Index 2019/2020* 2018/2019* 2017/2018
Stocks 1 275 1 276 1 277
Seeded Thd.Ha 13 496 13 679 13 475
Harvested Thd.Ha 13 400 13 535 13 353
Yield 4,5 5,0 4,5
Import -1 0 0
Crop 60 200 67 024 59 811
Supply 61 474 68 300 61 088
Food 5 300 5 300 5 400
Feed 8 700 8 700 8 700
Seeds 2 330 2 330 2 330
Export 44 000 46 900 39 947
Losses 1 600 1 600 1 600
Demand 61 930 64 830 57 977
Ending Stocks -456 3 470 3 111
Stocks/Demand -0,7% 5,4% 5,4%
WHEAT + BARLEY + CORN