Короткий опис можливостей експорту української аграрної продукції до Індії. Використані матеріали Міністерства аграрної політики та продовольства України, Української зернової асоціації, Business Doing, T&A, EPO та інші

1. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Trade mission to India
February 2018
Mumbai, India
Nikolay Gorbachov
President

2. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
T&
A
Political Map of India
India is a federal union comprising twenty-nine states and seven union territories. The states and union territories are further
subdivided into districts and further into smaller administrative divisions.
INDICATORS AMOUNT
Population (as per 2011
census)
1,210 million (approximately)
Population Growth Rate
(Est.2013)
1.28 per cent
Population Density 382 per sq. km
Total Number of Households 250 millions
Major Religion Hindu, Muslim, Christian, Jain and Buddhist
Capital New Delhi
Area 3.28 million square km
Hemisphere Northern
Coastline (Total Length) 7,516 km (Approximately)

3. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Population of India

4. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
The population growth is
nearly 25 mln per year
12/10/2017 CONFIDENTIEL 4
Population of India

5. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
T&
A
Source: Financial Times, 23 February 2016
Top agricultural
states of India:
• Punjab
• Uttar Pradesh
• Madhya Pradesh
• Haryana
• Bihar
• Andhra Pradesh
• Maharashtra
• West Bengal
India’s Manufacturing and Export Hubs

6. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Import
E xport
2014 year 2015 year 2016 year
As of 6 months
2017 year
$1,4 bln
$1,1 bln
$1,6 bln
$1,03 bln
$115,1mln
$103,5mln $55,1mln
$132,9 mln
Development of Ukrainian-Indian
agri-trade during 2014-2017 years

7. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Edible oil Wheat Maize Pulses
India imports the following agricultural products
Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, Indian exports of agricultural commodities fell from
USD 43,2 billion to USD 33,8 billion, while imports surged from USD 15,5 billion to
USD 25,6 billion

8. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Total export of Indian agrarian products to
Ukraine accounted - $103, 5 mln
Tobacco - $ 34,1 mln
Coffee and tea - $ 18,4 mln
Oil seeds - $ 12,9 mln
Other food products - $ 12,7 mln
Grains - $ 8,6 mln
Total export of Ukrainian agrarian products to
India accounted - $1,6 bln
Oil - $ 1,2 bln
Grains - $ 315,8 mln
Food industry residues
and wastes - $ 53,4 mln
Vegetables - $ 40,3 mln
Coffee and tea - $ 2,4mln
Bilateral Ukrainian-Indian agricultural
trade as of 12 months 2016

9. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
T&
A
Quick Facts:
Total Arable Land - 157 Million Hectares in 2014
161 MH in 2000 (- 2.5 percent)
Population – 1,293 billion in 2016
1,028 billion in 2001 (+ 1.3 percent yearly)
Food Grain Production – 252.22 MT in 2015-16
275.68 MT (E) in 2016-17 (+ 9 percent)
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
11.8 MT 14.6 MT 14.7 MT
Factors responsible for increasing
demand supply gap
+ Growing Population
+ Shifting of acreage to other crops
+ Limited availability of oil seeds
+ Growth in per capita consumption of edible oil
+ Stagnant oilseeds production
+ India losing almost 30,000 hectares of cultivable
land each year.
Key Takeaways
+ India is the fourth largest producer of oil seed,
behind the US, China and Brazil
+ Import growing nearly 1 million tonne each year
+ Consumption to touch 33 MT in 2025 from
current 22 MT
+Per Capita Consumption is 17 kg against global
average of 24 kg. Expected to reach 23 kg by 2025
+Constant decline in the total area under cultivation
for edible oil
Low Production of Oilseeds
2014-15
25 MT
7 MT
2015-16
27 MT
6.54 MT
2016-17 (E)
33.2 MT
7.68 MT
Oilseeds
Edible Oil
Decreasing Per Hectare Yield of Grains
Contracting Size of Land Under Cultivation
(Oilseeds)
28 MH 26 MH 26 MH
Growing Reliance on Imports
Source of Indian Edible Oil
Imports
Indonesia - 36 percent
Malaysia - 23 percent
Argentina - 17 percent
Ukraine - 13 percent
Demand for Edible Oil in
India in 2014-15
21.8 MT
(Growth Rate – 7 percent)
Estimated Demand for
Edible Oil in India in 2025
33 MT
Edible Oil
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
1168 kg/H 1075kg/H 968 kg/H

10. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
T&
AConsulting
Imports of Wheat
2014-15 2015-16
0.003 MT 0.5 MT
2016-17
5.7 MT
105
100
95
90
85
80
2014-15 2015-16
Year
2016-17
InMillionTonne
Demand - Supply Gap in Wheat Sector
Production Consumption
Factors contributing to import of Wheat
+ Decrease in domestic production
+ Increase in domestic demand
+ Competitive/cheaper international prices
+ Spike in domestic retail prices
+ Steady/stagnant wheat acreage
Per Capita Consumption of
Wheat
+India – 67 kg
+Developing Countries – 60 kg
+Developed Economies – 97 kg
Steady Maize Production and
Growing Imports
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
24 MT 22 MT 25 MT (E)
Maize
InMillionTonne
Origin for Indian pulses imports
+ USA, Canada, Australia, Myanmar, Ukraine,
Africa, Russia, France
Grains
10
098 97
93 92
89
Pulses
Production and Import of
Pulses
25 22
20 17 16
15
10 4.6 5.8 6.1
5
0
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Year
Production Import
Factors leading to a surge in imports
of pulses
+ Yearly deficit in rainfall, resulting in less
production
+ High prices in the domestic market. Falling
production and surging demand led to price rise
+ Focus shifting towards more cereal production
and less pulses production
+ Low share in per unit acreage productivity

11. Українська зернова асоціація
Ukrainian Grain Association
Thanks for your
attention
Ukrainian Grain Association