Life Cycle Modeling - Theory Behind TARA - Rick Biedenweg

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Life Cycle Modeling - Theory Behind TARA - Rick Biedenweg

  1. 1. Planning Direct and TARA: Life-cycle Modeling March 2009 SchoolDude University 2009
  2. 2. Agenda 1. Objectives 2. Life-cycle Modeling 3. Deliverables SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group Life Cycle Modeling
  3. 3. Objectives <ul><ul><li>Estimate the magnitude of the backlog (DM). </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Predict (district-wide) when building systems need to be replaced or renovated, and the associated costs. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Provide a sustainable planning tool: </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>profiles of each building </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>easy to update </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>inexpensive to implement and maintain </li></ul></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group 2
  4. 4. Underlying Objectives <ul><li>“ Underlying Objectives” </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Create 10-year (multi-year) strategic capital plans that incorporate renewal needs. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Save money </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>a) minimizing (or eliminating) condition assessments </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>b) indentify buildings to “consume” </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>c) consolidating capital projects </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>within buildings </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>across systems </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group 3
  5. 5. Objectives – DM and Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group, Inc. 3 Sample Report
  6. 6. Example of a Renewal Curve SchoolDude University 2009 Millions The Pacific Partners Consulting Group 6
  7. 7. Life-Cycle Modeling <ul><li>Methodology developed at Stanford in 1980’s ; </li></ul><ul><li>- Approach endorsed in a joint publication by </li></ul><ul><li>APPA, NACUBO & SCUP ; </li></ul><ul><li>- Implemented on > 200 campuses including : </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>UC and CSU Systems (California) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Oregon University System </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>University of Texas System </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>The Smithsonian and The Getty </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Minnesota State College and University System </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Stanford University </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>CUNY and SUNY (New York) </li></ul></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group 4
  8. 8. Life Cycle Modeling and Renewal Curves <ul><li>The Concept of Life Cycle Planning: </li></ul><ul><li> (1) Building Systems have known life expectancies; </li></ul><ul><li> (2) The remaining life of each building system can be estimated; </li></ul><ul><li> (3) Renewal costs can be estimated. </li></ul>SchoolDude University 2009 The Pacific Partners Consulting Group, Inc. 5
  9. 9. <ul><ul><li>Routine Maintenance : </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>periodic “tune-ups” </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Capital Renewal : </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>replacing major subsystems </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Backlog of Renewal (DM) : </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>necessary renewal work that has been deferred </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Modernization : </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>responding to changes in standards and/or program </li></ul></ul>“ Maintenance ” Definitions SchoolDude University 2009 Annual Expenditures for Facilities Maintenance Definitions : Routine Maintenance Renewal Modernization Backlog The Pacific Partners Consulting Group
  10. 10. Information Needed <ul><li>Minimum Information Needed </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1. Building Name </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>2. Building Type </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>3. Location </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>4. Gross Square Feet (GSF) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>5. Floors </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>6. Year Built </li></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  11. 11. The TARA Model <ul><li>Examples of Building Categories </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Science buildings (complex) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Offices, classrooms, libraries (basic) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Modular Buildings (modular) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Storage Structures (simple) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Buildings under 1,000 gsf (small) </li></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  12. 12. Additional Information <ul><li>Improving the Forecast </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Setting the Clock on the Systems </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>When was the system last renovated? </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>or </li></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>What is the Remaining Life of the system? </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>or </li></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Is the system past its useful life (DM or backlog)? </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Adding Special Considerations </li></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  13. 13. The TARA Model <ul><li>Examples of Special Consideration </li></ul><ul><li>Factors </li></ul><ul><li>- Historic Buildings </li></ul><ul><li>- Libraries </li></ul><ul><li>- Multi-story Buildings </li></ul><ul><li>- Stand-alone Boilers or Chillers </li></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  14. 14. Deliverables <ul><li>Project Deliverables </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Profiles for each building (or sub-building). </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Detailed estimates of the Backlog by building, campus, and system. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Detailed renewal projections for the next 30 years by building, campus, and system. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Easy to Maintain Web-based Software. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>User’s Guide and annual Campus training. </li></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  15. 15. <ul><ul><li>Sample Deliverables </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Histograms </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Backlog </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Renewal Needs </li></ul></ul>SchoolDude University 2009
  16. 16. University of Hawaii Histogram SchoolDude University 2009
  17. 17. UH Manoa Histogram SchoolDude University 2009
  18. 18. University of Hawaii – Hilo Histogram SchoolDude University 2009
  19. 19. UH All Community Colleges Histogram SchoolDude University 2009
  20. 20. Maui CC Histogram SchoolDude University 2009
  21. 21. Building Backlog by System SchoolDude University 2009
  22. 22. Building Backlog by Campus SchoolDude University 2009
  23. 23. Total GF Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009
  24. 24. UH Manoa GF Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009
  25. 25. UH Hilo GF Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009
  26. 26. Community Colleges GF Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009
  27. 27. Maui CC – GF Renewal Forecast SchoolDude University 2009
  28. 28. Average Annual Infrastructure Needs SchoolDude University 2009

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