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How Relevance Can Get
Your Brand Elected
DAVID SELINGER

daveselinger@richrelevance.com
www.richrelevance.com
RAYID GHANI

rayid@uchicago.edu
www.rayidghani.com
#richrelevance
Our Platform
1. The History of Data

2. How Data Make Money, Win
Elections and Other Such Nonsense
3. Demystifying the Mystical Creature,
Big Data
4. Next Steps: How to Take the Next
Steps
#richrelevance
SECTION 1

The History of
Data
#richrelevance
A Brief History of Data
DATA WAREHOUSES
STATISTICS

FRAUD PREDICTION
BI

PROBABILITY

#richrelevance

“DATA
MINING”

MACHINE
LEARNING
“BIG
DATA”
Getting Value from Data

The 3 Tools:

1 Analytics

{

}

2 Prediction & Interruption
Relevance
3 Optimization

#richrelevance
SECTION 2

Getting Value
from Data
OR

Getting Elected
with Data
#richrelevance
Getting Elected with Data

#richrelevance
I am a data geek.

Intelligence

Social
Ineptitude

Dweeb
Nerd

Geek

Dork

Obsession

#richrelevance
What am I
good at?

#richrelevance

Data
Scientist for
Obama

How can I
make a
difference?
The Campaign

Everyone’s NOT a Winner… It’s Binary

#richrelevance
The Campaign

Legacy Orgs Are Nothing Like Start-ups

#richrelevance
1

Analytics

Key Campaign Lessons

2

Prediction & Interruption

Don’t Disdain Successful
Evergreen Channels

3

Optimization

DIRECT MAIL

#richrelevance

EMAIL

ADVERTISING
1

Key Campaign Lessons

Predicting vs. changing behavior

Analytics

2

Prediction & Interruption

3

Optimization

Perfect predictions do not necessarily
alter hearts and minds.
#richrelevance
1

Key Campaign Lessons

Influencing the Right People

#richrelevance

Analytics

2

Prediction & Interruption

3

Optimization
1
2

Prediction & Interruption

3

Key Campaign Lessons

Analytics

Optimization

Q: Who are the best people to persuade
and influence?

A: The people who are just like you

#richrelevance
1
2

Prediction & Interruption

3

Key Campaign Lessons

Analytics

Optimization

Turning supporters into advocates

DONATE

#richrelevance
Getting Value from Data

The 3 Tools In an Election

1 Analytics
2 Prediction & Interruption
3 Optimization

#richrelevance
David Selinger

#richrelevance
Legacy Shopping Engagement
Conversion
Awareness

Signage
Consideration

Retention
Retention
Purchase

Preference

Flow

Clarity

Source: Omni-channel Retail: The Future of Shopping (A study in partnership with Paco Underhill)

#richrelevance
Omni-Channel Engagement

Awareness
Retention
Purchase

Preference

Source: Omni-channel Retail: The Future of Shopping (A study in partnership with Paco Underhill)

#richrelevance
1

Analytics

2

Prediction & Interruption

3

Optimization

research

#richrelevance

Personalization and Data Mining
#richrelevance
Big Data: The 3 V’s

Velocity

#richrelevance

Volume

Variety
Surprise!

HOW WE GOT ELECTED WITH DATA:

Lots of good ol’ data integration with sprinkles of Hadoop
dust and other” big data” technologies when appropriate.
#richrelevance
Big Data vs. Smart Data

#richrelevance
SECTION 4

Let’s Get Going

#richrelevance
Where are we?

#richrelevance
Where are we?

Advanced
eCommerce
Vendors

BIG
DATA
IQ

eCommerce
Pureplays

Omnichannel
Retailers

Traditional
eCommerce
Vendors

DATA IQ
#richrelevance

Niche
eCommerce
Upstarts

Catalogers/
DR Marketers
How do we apply these to our businesses?

• Getting Started: Learn Quickly

• Getting Integrated: Bite-sized Chunks
• Measure yourself: The right metrics

• Experiment, Experiment, Experiment.
• Scale: Rinse and Repeat or “Big Project”

#richrelevance
Some Initial Big Data Retail Projects

•
•

•

•

SUCCESSFUL
Multi-channel marketing
attribution
Social network
demographics for content
targeting
Multi-channel customer
profile creation for
analytics, targeting,
personalization
Datamart creation

#richrelevance

•
•
•

•

UNSUCCESSFUL
Data warehouse
replacement
“Big Data Experiment”
Online
analytics/segmentation
Board of Directors “Check
the Box” Project: “Yes,
ma’am we’ve got Big
Data”
Closing Thoughts

#richrelevance
Thank you!
ACCESS THE HANDOUT:

richrelevance.com/nrf
CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION:

DAVID SELINGER
To track the progress
of Big Data for
retailers, subscribe to
our regular newsletter
“Big Data for Retailers”
retail-bigdata@
richrelevance.com

#richrelevance

daveselinger@richrelevance.com
www.richrelevance.com
RAYID GHANI

rayid@uchicago.edu
www.rayidghani.com

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How to Get Your Brand Elected: Big Data Presentation at NRF by David Selinger

Editor's Notes

  1. AnalyticsInsightsReportingPrediction & InterruptionFraud detectionProduct recommendationsOptimizationTweakingHill-climbing
  2. (no version 2.0, no better quarterly earnings), & there’s no “PERFECT” but keep going (Hill Climbing!)
  3. (but might be like YOUR org! (aligning/motivating the behemoth & personalizing at vast scales)
  4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_the_Octopus
  5. AnalyticsInsightsReportingPrediction & InterruptionFraud detectionProduct recommendationsOptimizationTweakingHill-climbing
  6. They subsidize with advertising.
  7. Product/Infrastructure: 5 projects/yearIT/Finance: IT budget as % of salesTalent: Recruiting against FB, Google, AmazonPace of Innovation: Same 5 projects…Extensive economies of scale
  8. Velocity: Data are moving faster—real-time means real-value.Volume: 100’s of PB’s of data vs TB’s of data—e.g., Walmart’s 1995Variety: Social data is messy, rich, and valuable, but how the heck do we work with it?!??!
  9. How we got elected with data:We used mostly basic data storage tech—and Hadoop only when appropriate.
  10. SELLY Data can be big and dumb--that is unwieldy for the task at hand ... or pursued just because it CAN be, with no thought for value. Especially when 10X the data doesn't mean 10X the insight (i.e. the law of diminishing returns), sometimes small data is just fine. What your data has to be 24/7 is SMART. (Taken from Forbes “In Defense of Big Data” article) Consider the images on this screen to illustrate. Is there more information in the high-resolution picture at the left or the middle?  Absolutely!  But although that image depicts a 10X bigger data set, it’s not conveying 10X the insight.  If I had to speculate, I’d say that informational content is proportional to the logarithm of the quantity of data – a fancy way of reiterating the law of diminishing returns.My third and final point is that one should focus on the diversity of data available.  Don’t give me 10X or 100X or 1000X finer detail.  Instead, I derive far more insight by introducing data of a different type even if it’s small data.  To illustrate: low resolution with color tells a richer story than the high resolution black-and-white.But data can’t just be big. It has to be timely. “We’re in a world now where you can’t wait a whole day to get your data,” says Julie Kim, VP of product at the furniture etailer One Kings Lane. President of Retail Prophet,Doug Mack, agrees that feedback speed is vital: “Big data is not enough. It has to be real-time data that we can act on during the course of the day.” And to be actionable, data must be personal.
  11. Learning, Working on it, Integrated into work, Dependent upon it, DNA & Culture