After over 2 ½ years of the pandemic there are still issues with variant mitigation Healthcare continues to struggle with its delivery model New hybrid workplace is here to stay Global GDP forecasts have been halved for 2022 High inflation continues to plague world economies Food security continues to plague world governments

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD
GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
May 28, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary:
The S&P gained 2.5%. The Nasdaq composite jumped 3.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.8% higher. The
small-cap Russell 2000 gained 2.7%. Volume was mixed, rising on the Nasdaq but falling on the New York Stock Exchange
compared to the same time Thursday.
Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slid to 2.74%. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose again
and was trading around $115 per barrel.
Positive inflation data was helping stocks end the week on a high note. Core personal consumption expenditures — the
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator — rose 4.9% in April, slower than March's 5.2% increase.
The inflation data "raised expectations that inflation is peaking," said economist Ed Yardeni. He said he still expects the Fed
to raise interest rates by a half point in each of the next two meetings in June and July. "The S&P 500 should continue to
move mostly sideways this year, consolidating its gains since the start of the bull market in 2009 and correcting the pandemic
valuation excesses," he wrote in a social media post.
Source - https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/stock-market-extends-rally-as-key-inflation-rate-comes-in-lower-
tesla-boeing-apple-lead-indexes/ and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-stock-market-may-27-2022pptx

6. OECD AND INFLATION

7. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/
d0fee10a-93f7-4a89-957e-6e235056f623/
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/31f5c274-1ed1-4698-
b167-9a99495fb4c8/
U.S. CPI The Core Is
No Bore.pdf
Canadian CPI Who'll
Stop the Rain .pdf

8. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

9. HOSPITALIZATION

10. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/

11. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/

12. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/

13. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

14. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

15. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

16. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT

17. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021

18. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/ed5e7630-
886f-486e-a97e-16ec29422532/
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publicati
ons/detail/c9d2fe5f-0838-4595-8895-
bd9f21ae054a/
U.S. Retail Sales
Inflating Away.pdf Canadian Retail Sales
(Mar.) — Strength Under the Hood.pdf

19. GDP FORECAST
Source – Scotiabank
BNS_Forecast.pdf

20. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

21. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

22. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

23. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

24. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

25. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

26. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

27. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

28. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

29. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

30. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021

31. STOCK MARKET
Summary:
The S&P gained 2.5%. The Nasdaq composite jumped 3.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.8% higher. The
small-cap Russell 2000 gained 2.7%. Volume was mixed, rising on the Nasdaq but falling on the New York Stock Exchange
compared to the same time Thursday.
Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slid to 2.74%. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose again
and was trading around $115 per barrel.
Positive inflation data was helping stocks end the week on a high note. Core personal consumption expenditures — the
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator — rose 4.9% in April, slower than March's 5.2% increase.
The inflation data "raised expectations that inflation is peaking," said economist Ed Yardeni. He said he still expects the Fed
to raise interest rates by a half point in each of the next two meetings in June and July. "The S&P 500 should continue to
move mostly sideways this year, consolidating its gains since the start of the bull market in 2009 and correcting the
pandemic valuation excesses," he wrote in a social media post.
Source - https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/stock-market-extends-rally-as-key-inflation-rate-
comes-in-lower-tesla-boeing-apple-lead-indexes/ and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-
stock-market-may-27-2022pptx

32. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part ensuring steps are taking to
mitigate future pandemics.
Blog – Geopolitical Threats and Risks – COVID and Variants – May 27, 2022
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After over 2 ½ years of the pandemic there are still issues with variant mitigation
Healthcare continues to struggle with its delivery model
New hybrid workplace is here to stay
Global GDP forecasts have been halved for 2022
High inflation continues to plague world economies
Food security continues to plague world governments
1. Variants - https://www.kcur.org/health/2022-05-29/why-missouri-scientists-are-looking-for-
clues-about-covid-variants-in-wastewater
2. Border - https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/testing-positive-and-using-the-backdoor-
to-get-into-the-u-s/?amp=1
3. Vaccination production - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-vaccinations-
tracker.html
4. Stagflation - https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20220528316/lots -of-
stagflation-in-the-new-home-market-homebuilder-etfs-are-struggling
5. Manufacturing - https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3179461/chinas-
zero-covid-policy-has-some-manufacturers-asking-should
6. Supply chain - https://canadianassociationofmoldmakers.com/how-can-manufacturers-
navigate-their-supply-chain-woes/

33. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies