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The Bolt Project
(TEAM - METS)
MAMATA SANAGOWDAR
EKTA VASANT
TERESA DOONG
SUNITHA NARENDRA BABU
DEFINE
 Objective:
 To monitor the variation in the bolt weight for consistent quality
with the help of control charts.
 Process:
 A special weighing scale is used to measure the weight of the bolt
in milligrams.
 Product
 Flange bolt.
• Two inspectors measure the
weight of the bolt by placing it
on the weighing scale.
• The experiment is carried out in
a clean and dry environment.
• The scale is reset every time
before use.
Operating Conditions
Choice of m, n & h values.
 Sample size: n=5
 Number of samples: m=20
 USL = 15.56, LSL = 15.52
 Target = 15.54
 Mean = 15.5389
 Spacing between samples: h= 0.1 hours or 6 min
Samples can be taken after every 6 min , in order to detect the shift
in mean quickly.
 Metrics used: Milligrams.
 Measuring Tool: Digital Scale.
 Unit of Focus : Weight of the bolt.
K & H values EWMA L & λ
 h=0.1
 k=1, to detect a shift of 1σ
α=0.0027, standard value for 3 sigma
control charts.
H = h*σ, K=k*σ
Unbiased sigma is used the values
are
σ=0.01,K =0.01, H = 0.001.
 L=3 , Usual three sigma
limits.
 λ=0.10, A smaller value of λ
helps to detect smaller shifts.
Cusum & EWMA values.
ARL0,ATS0
 Average Run Length (ARL0): Average number of
points that must be plotted before a point indicates an
out-of-control condition.
ARL0 = 1/α=1/0.0027=370 samples
 Average Time to Signal (ATS0):
ATS0 = h*ARL0 = 0.1 *(1/0.0027) = 37 hrs. This
indicates that we will receive a false alarm every 37
hours on average.
ARL1,ATS1
 Average Run Length (ARL1): Average run length of the X- bar
chartwhen the process is out of control. ARL1=1/(1-β),
β=Φ(L-k*sqrt(n))-Φ(-L-k*sqrt(n))
β= 0.7764
K=1, L=3 we get
ARL1 = 1/(1-0.7764) = 4.4722 samples.
 Average Time to Signal (ATS1):
Average time to detect shift with time interval of 0.1 hours is
ATS1 = h*ARL1 = 1/(1-β)*h
= 1/(1-0.7764)*0.1
ATS1 =0.4722 Hrs.
MEASURE
R & R Study Design
 Problem Statement : Determine how much variance is due to
each component, gauge and sample parts. Reproducibility is
associated with the operator while repeatability is associated with
the measuring instrument.
 Goal : The goal of the experiment is to find that all or most of the
variability is due to the samples and that the gauge is capable.
 Gauge Template : It consists of 20 parts 2 operators.
Gauge R & R Study
 Two inspectors were selected for the study and asked to measure
the weight of bolts (size m=20, n=5) under the operating
conditions to verify the reproducibility and repeatability.
Gage is Capable
Gage R&R Report
Selection of Charts
Charts Usage Reason
Variables
X-bar Yes
Data is Quantitative; utilizes the sample average
X-Bar to monitor the process mean.
R Yes Data is Quantitative; Control Chart for the Range.
S Yes
Data is Quantitative; Process variability is monitored with
the SD.
MR No Not applicable since n=5
Attribute
C & U No Not measuring non conformities
P Yes Measuring # of defectives using desired specification
Other(s)
CUSUM Yes
Use to detect a small shift; Directly incorporates all the
information in the sequence of sample values
EWMA Yes Effective against small process shifts
Phase I
Histogram
From the histogram plot we understand that the data is normally
distributed towards the mean.
Normality Check
Observation : P Value > 0.05 and hence the plot is normal.
X-Bar Chart
UCL CL LCL
15.5627 15.5389 15.5151
There are no out of control points, the process is in control.
X Bar - R Chart
No outliers, the process variability is in control and the sample
average is distributed over the mean.
UCL CL LCL
0.0793 0.037 0
X Bar - S Chart
No points exceed the control limits hence the process is
in control.
UCL CL LCL
0.034 0.0164 0
EWMA Chart
Lambda = 0.1 , L =3, σ = 1
CUSU
H = 0.001 , K =0.1
Ci+ and Ci- are within the decision interval H. Hence
the process is in control.
CUSUM Chart
-
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
CUSUM
H Ci+ -Ci-
P Chart
UCL CL LCL
0.1515 0.0325 0
Calculations for Control Limits & Center Line
Defects per million opportunities (DPMO) :
DPMO= (13/100) * 1000000
= 130,000 defects per million opportunities.
DPMO
# of defectives = 13
*1,000,000
Process Capability
Process Capability
Here USL = 15.56, LSL = 15.52
Cp = (USL-LSL)/(6*σ) where [σ = R-bar/d2 ]
= 0.77 < 1.33
Cpu = (USL-μ)/(3* σ)
= 0.82
Cpl = (μ-LSL)/(3* σ)
= 0.72
Cpk = Min (Cpu, Cpl)
= 0.72
=0.768
Since Cp is lesser than 1.33 and Cpk is lesser than unity, the process is
incapable.
Confidence Interval on Process Capability
Confidence Interval on Cp:
Cp*sqrt((χ2
1-α/2,n-1)/n-1) ≤ Cp ≤ Cp*sqrt((χ2
α/2,n-1)/n-1)
95% Confidence Interval on Cp is
0.53 ≤ Cp ≤ 1.01
Confidence Interval on Cpk:
Cpk^[ 1-Zα/2*sqrt((1/9ncpk2)+(1/2(n-1))] ≤ Cpk ≤ Cpk^ [ 1-Zα/2*sqrt((1/9ncpk2)+(1/2(n-1))]
95% Confidence Interval on Cpk is
0.45 ≤ Cpk ≤ 0.99
Revised ARL1 & ATS1
ARL0 = 1/α
=1/0.0027 = 370 samples
ATSO = h*ARL0
= 0.1*370 = 37 hours
ARL1 = 1/(1- β)
= 1/(1-.79) = 4.76 samples
ATS1 = h*ARL1
= 0.1*4.76 =0.476 hours
ANALYZE
Zone Rules
IMPROVE
Phase II
 From the X bar-R, X bar-S chart the process is in control and no
shift has been detected from the EWMA and the CUSUM charts.
Hence no revision is required before proceeding to Phase –II
(Monitoring).
Data Collection Phase II
Normality Check
Observation : P-Value obtained > 0.05 and hence the data is normal.
Histogram
Observation : The data is normally distributed towards the mean.
CONTROL
X-Bar Chart
UCL CL LCL
15.5647 15.5387 15.5126
X Bar - R Chart
Range UCL CL LCL
0.0761 0.036 0
X Bar - S Chart
S UCL CL LCL
0.0323 0.0154 0
Zone Rules for Control Charts
EWMA Chart
Lambda = 0.1 , L =3, σ = 1
CUSU
H = 0.001 , K =0.1, σ = 1
-
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
H Ci+ -Ci-
CUSUM Chart
P Chart
UCL CL LCL
0.5025 0.2342 0
Defect per million opportunities (DPMO) measure
DPMO= (10/100)*1000000
= 100,000 defects per million opportunities.
DPMO
*1,000,000
# of Defectives=10
Out of Control Action Plan (OCAP)
Out of Control
points detected in
the X Bar R Chart
Is the
weight
measured
correctly?
Which
test
failed?
No
Yes
Average
Range Report
Supervisor
Is the
weighing
scale
calibrated
?
Stop
Yes
No Calibrate the
weighing scale ,
retest the bolts
and record data.
Check the
procedure and
redo the test.
Adjust
m , n & h
Values.
Update the
comments in
the job
traveller.
Note : The same process is repeated
for the X bar-S Chart
QUESTIONS?

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Quality control of bolts

  • 1. The Bolt Project (TEAM - METS) MAMATA SANAGOWDAR EKTA VASANT TERESA DOONG SUNITHA NARENDRA BABU
  • 2. DEFINE  Objective:  To monitor the variation in the bolt weight for consistent quality with the help of control charts.  Process:  A special weighing scale is used to measure the weight of the bolt in milligrams.  Product  Flange bolt.
  • 3. • Two inspectors measure the weight of the bolt by placing it on the weighing scale. • The experiment is carried out in a clean and dry environment. • The scale is reset every time before use. Operating Conditions
  • 4. Choice of m, n & h values.  Sample size: n=5  Number of samples: m=20  USL = 15.56, LSL = 15.52  Target = 15.54  Mean = 15.5389  Spacing between samples: h= 0.1 hours or 6 min Samples can be taken after every 6 min , in order to detect the shift in mean quickly.  Metrics used: Milligrams.  Measuring Tool: Digital Scale.  Unit of Focus : Weight of the bolt.
  • 5. K & H values EWMA L & λ  h=0.1  k=1, to detect a shift of 1σ α=0.0027, standard value for 3 sigma control charts. H = h*σ, K=k*σ Unbiased sigma is used the values are σ=0.01,K =0.01, H = 0.001.  L=3 , Usual three sigma limits.  λ=0.10, A smaller value of λ helps to detect smaller shifts. Cusum & EWMA values.
  • 6. ARL0,ATS0  Average Run Length (ARL0): Average number of points that must be plotted before a point indicates an out-of-control condition. ARL0 = 1/α=1/0.0027=370 samples  Average Time to Signal (ATS0): ATS0 = h*ARL0 = 0.1 *(1/0.0027) = 37 hrs. This indicates that we will receive a false alarm every 37 hours on average.
  • 7. ARL1,ATS1  Average Run Length (ARL1): Average run length of the X- bar chartwhen the process is out of control. ARL1=1/(1-β), β=Φ(L-k*sqrt(n))-Φ(-L-k*sqrt(n)) β= 0.7764 K=1, L=3 we get ARL1 = 1/(1-0.7764) = 4.4722 samples.  Average Time to Signal (ATS1): Average time to detect shift with time interval of 0.1 hours is ATS1 = h*ARL1 = 1/(1-β)*h = 1/(1-0.7764)*0.1 ATS1 =0.4722 Hrs.
  • 9. R & R Study Design  Problem Statement : Determine how much variance is due to each component, gauge and sample parts. Reproducibility is associated with the operator while repeatability is associated with the measuring instrument.  Goal : The goal of the experiment is to find that all or most of the variability is due to the samples and that the gauge is capable.  Gauge Template : It consists of 20 parts 2 operators.
  • 10. Gauge R & R Study  Two inspectors were selected for the study and asked to measure the weight of bolts (size m=20, n=5) under the operating conditions to verify the reproducibility and repeatability.
  • 11.
  • 14. Selection of Charts Charts Usage Reason Variables X-bar Yes Data is Quantitative; utilizes the sample average X-Bar to monitor the process mean. R Yes Data is Quantitative; Control Chart for the Range. S Yes Data is Quantitative; Process variability is monitored with the SD. MR No Not applicable since n=5 Attribute C & U No Not measuring non conformities P Yes Measuring # of defectives using desired specification Other(s) CUSUM Yes Use to detect a small shift; Directly incorporates all the information in the sequence of sample values EWMA Yes Effective against small process shifts
  • 16. Histogram From the histogram plot we understand that the data is normally distributed towards the mean.
  • 17. Normality Check Observation : P Value > 0.05 and hence the plot is normal.
  • 18. X-Bar Chart UCL CL LCL 15.5627 15.5389 15.5151 There are no out of control points, the process is in control.
  • 19. X Bar - R Chart No outliers, the process variability is in control and the sample average is distributed over the mean. UCL CL LCL 0.0793 0.037 0
  • 20. X Bar - S Chart No points exceed the control limits hence the process is in control. UCL CL LCL 0.034 0.0164 0
  • 21. EWMA Chart Lambda = 0.1 , L =3, σ = 1
  • 22. CUSU H = 0.001 , K =0.1 Ci+ and Ci- are within the decision interval H. Hence the process is in control. CUSUM Chart - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 CUSUM H Ci+ -Ci-
  • 23. P Chart UCL CL LCL 0.1515 0.0325 0
  • 24. Calculations for Control Limits & Center Line
  • 25. Defects per million opportunities (DPMO) : DPMO= (13/100) * 1000000 = 130,000 defects per million opportunities. DPMO # of defectives = 13 *1,000,000
  • 27. Process Capability Here USL = 15.56, LSL = 15.52 Cp = (USL-LSL)/(6*σ) where [σ = R-bar/d2 ] = 0.77 < 1.33 Cpu = (USL-μ)/(3* σ) = 0.82 Cpl = (μ-LSL)/(3* σ) = 0.72 Cpk = Min (Cpu, Cpl) = 0.72 =0.768 Since Cp is lesser than 1.33 and Cpk is lesser than unity, the process is incapable.
  • 28. Confidence Interval on Process Capability Confidence Interval on Cp: Cp*sqrt((χ2 1-α/2,n-1)/n-1) ≤ Cp ≤ Cp*sqrt((χ2 α/2,n-1)/n-1) 95% Confidence Interval on Cp is 0.53 ≤ Cp ≤ 1.01 Confidence Interval on Cpk: Cpk^[ 1-Zα/2*sqrt((1/9ncpk2)+(1/2(n-1))] ≤ Cpk ≤ Cpk^ [ 1-Zα/2*sqrt((1/9ncpk2)+(1/2(n-1))] 95% Confidence Interval on Cpk is 0.45 ≤ Cpk ≤ 0.99
  • 29. Revised ARL1 & ATS1 ARL0 = 1/α =1/0.0027 = 370 samples ATSO = h*ARL0 = 0.1*370 = 37 hours ARL1 = 1/(1- β) = 1/(1-.79) = 4.76 samples ATS1 = h*ARL1 = 0.1*4.76 =0.476 hours
  • 33. Phase II  From the X bar-R, X bar-S chart the process is in control and no shift has been detected from the EWMA and the CUSUM charts. Hence no revision is required before proceeding to Phase –II (Monitoring).
  • 35. Normality Check Observation : P-Value obtained > 0.05 and hence the data is normal.
  • 36. Histogram Observation : The data is normally distributed towards the mean.
  • 38. X-Bar Chart UCL CL LCL 15.5647 15.5387 15.5126
  • 39. X Bar - R Chart Range UCL CL LCL 0.0761 0.036 0
  • 40. X Bar - S Chart S UCL CL LCL 0.0323 0.0154 0
  • 41. Zone Rules for Control Charts
  • 42. EWMA Chart Lambda = 0.1 , L =3, σ = 1
  • 43. CUSU H = 0.001 , K =0.1, σ = 1 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 H Ci+ -Ci- CUSUM Chart
  • 44. P Chart UCL CL LCL 0.5025 0.2342 0
  • 45. Defect per million opportunities (DPMO) measure DPMO= (10/100)*1000000 = 100,000 defects per million opportunities. DPMO *1,000,000 # of Defectives=10
  • 46. Out of Control Action Plan (OCAP) Out of Control points detected in the X Bar R Chart Is the weight measured correctly? Which test failed? No Yes Average Range Report Supervisor Is the weighing scale calibrated ? Stop Yes No Calibrate the weighing scale , retest the bolts and record data. Check the procedure and redo the test. Adjust m , n & h Values. Update the comments in the job traveller. Note : The same process is repeated for the X bar-S Chart

Editor's Notes

  1. Repeatability: Is do we get the same observed value if we measure same unit several times under identical conditions. Reproducibility: Is how much difference are we getting if we measure unit under different conditions.
  2. Sample avg are plotted.
  3. Process ranges are plotted. Process variability is in control.
  4. Displays cum sums of deviations of each sample value from target. Since it is cumulative even the small shifter can be easily detected.
  5. # of non conforming bolts = which are out of spec limits
  6. Need editing
  7. Cpk should be between 1 and 1.33 to be moderately capable. Ours is <1 hence not capable.
  8. `