1) Advancing technology like machine learning algorithms and artificial intelligence may replace many routine doctor functions by 2025 and make some doctors unemployed. 2) There is a global shortage of 4.3 million doctors and nurses currently. Additionally, over 1 billion people worldwide lack access to any medical facility, clinic, or doctor. 3) New technologies like 3D tissue printing may allow for printing of simple organs or patches for failing organs by 2025, but questions remain around who will pay for such advanced medical innovations.

1. Healthcare in the future: Will
advancing technology make
doctors unemployed?
Maneesh Juneja, Digital Health Futurist
April 11th 2014
@maneeshjuneja
Maneeshjuneja.com

2. Disclosure
• I have no commercial ties to any of the companies &
individuals mentioned in today’s talk
• I have enormous respect for the doctors who work so hard to
save lives
• Thanks to Maggie Delano, Joshu Kotfila & HackReduce

7. “By 2025, 80 percent of the functions
doctors do will be done much better
and much more cheaply by machines
and machine learned algorithms”
TechCrunch, Jan 10th 2012
Pub. Jan 2012
August 2012

8. Do we have enough doctors in the world?
How many doctors & nurses
are we short of at a global level?
a)500,000
b)1 million
c)4 million
d)10 million
Source: World Health Organisation
Answer is c, 4.3 million

9. How many people on Earth
don’t have physical access to
a hospital, clinic, or doctor
of any kind?
1,000,000,000

10. Phyllis D. Frosst PhD, Personalized Medicine Coalition, USA
2025 1658

11. What do naturopaths
say about doctors?

18. a)5%
b)16%
c)34%
d)58%
e)70%
Source: Intel Healthcare Innovation Barometer
What %age of people would be willing to share data from their ‘smart
toilet’ if it could improve healthcare?

21. 2014: Strips of liver tissue to pharma
to be used to test toxicity of potential
treatments
2019: Printing tissue strips to patch
failing organs?
2025: Printing of simple organs?Blood supply?

22. FastCoExist – March 19th 2014

24. Science driven innovations

26. March 13th 2014: Automated arrogance

27. WHO
WILL
PAY
FOR
IT?

28. Power
Profit
Prestige

30. Sources: University of Oxford, Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne
GRAPHIC: AKI ITO / BLOOMBERG NEWS & DAVE MERRILL / BLOOMBERG VISUAL DATA

31. April 5th 2014

32. Siri – why do I have a fever?
Checking your body…please wait a minute.. You have lung cancer. It’s terminal.
You have 3 end of life care facilities near you. Would you like directions?
I also noticed you don’t have a will. Would you like to make one now?

35. What sustains life?

37. No profit in prevention!
Move away from
perverse incentives

40. Thank YOU for listening
– Questions?
Maneesh@mjanalytics.com
@maneeshjuneja
Maneeshjuneja.com
#docsoutofwork