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What Predicts Psychological Resilience After Disaster? The
Role of
Demographics, Resources, and Life Stress
George A. Bonanno
Teachers College, Columbia University
Sandro Galea
University of Michigan School of Public Health
Angela Bucciarelli and David Vlahov
New York Academy of Medicine
A growing body of evidence suggests that most adults exposed
to potentially traumatic events are
resilient. However, research on the factors that may promote or
deter adult resilience has been limited.
This study examined patterns of association between resilience
and various sociocontextual factors. The
authors used data from a random-digit-dial phone survey (N �
2,752) conducted in the New York City
area after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attack. Resilience
was defined as having 1 or 0 posttraumatic
stress disorder symptoms and as being associated with low
levels of depression and substance use.
Multivariate analyses indicated that the prevalence of resilience
was uniquely predicted by participant
gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, level of trauma exposure,
income change, social support, fre-
quency of chronic disease, and recent and past life stressors.
Implications for future research and
intervention are discussed.
Keywords: resilience, trauma, resources, social support,
ethnicity
Try as we might, we cannot prevent bad things from happen-
ing. During the course of a normal life span, almost everyone is
confronted with the painful reality that loved ones die. Most
adults are also exposed to at least one potentially traumatic
event (PTE; e.g., physical or sexual assault or a life-threatening
accident; Kessler, Sonnega, Bromet, Hughes, & Nelson, 1995).
Fortunately, despite the frequency with which these events
occur, only a relatively small subset of people typically expe-
rience severe enough loss or trauma reactions to meet the
criteria for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD; American
Psychiatric Association, 2000). Although exposure to PTEs
often results in transient trauma symptoms (e.g., difficulty
sleeping or intrusive memories of the event), most people
appear to fully recover from any adverse effects of such symp-
toms within a relatively short period of time (Shalev, 2002), and
many people appear to successfully navigate PTEs with little or
no disruption in their normal ability to function (Bonanno,
2004).
Adult Resilience in the Face of Potential Trauma
Extending the pioneering work of developmental psychologists
on resilience in children (e.g., Garmezy, 1971; Rutter, 1979),
Bonanno (2004) defined adult resilience as
the ability of adults in otherwise normal circumstances who are
exposed to an isolated and potentially highly disruptive event
such as
the death of a close relation or a violent or life-threatening
situation to
maintain relatively stable, healthy levels of psychological and
physi-
cal functioning . . . as well as the capacity for generative
experiences
and positive emotions. (pp. 20 –21)
This definition contrasts resilience with a more traditional
recov-
ery pathway characterized by readily observable elevations in
psychological symptoms that endure for at least several months
before gradually returning to baseline, pretrauma levels. A key
point is that although resilient individuals may experience some
short-term dysregulation and variability in their emotional and
physical well-being, their reactions to a marker PTE tend to be
relatively brief and usually do not impede their ability to
function
to a significant degree. Thus, resilient individuals among an ex-
posed population report little or no psychological symptoms and
evidence the ability to continue fulfilling personal and social
responsibilities and to embrace new tasks and experiences.
Initial evidence for widespread adult resilience in the face of an
isolated but potentially devastating stressor event came from
stud-
ies of bereavement (Bonanno, Wortman, et al., 2002; Bonanno,
Moskowitz, Papa, & Folkman, 2005) and, more recently, direct
exposure to the September 11, 2001, terrorist attack on the
World
Trade Center in New York City (Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel,
2005). Bonanno, Galea, Bucciarelli, and Vlahov (2006)
examined
George A. Bonanno, Department of Counseling and Clinical
Psychol-
ogy, Teachers College, Columbia University; Sandro Galea,
Center for
Social Epidemiology and Population Health, University of
Michigan
School of Public Health; Angela Bucciarelli and David Vlahov,
Center for
Urban Epidemiological Studies, New York Academy of
Medicine.
This research was supported by National Instititutes of Health
Grants
MH 66081, MH 66391, and DA 13146-S2.
Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to
George
A. Bonanno, Department of Counseling and Clinical
Psychology, 525 West
25th Street, Teachers College, Box 218, Columbia University,
New York,
NY 10027. E-mail: [email protected]
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology Copyright 2007
by the American Psychological Association
2007, Vol. 75, No. 5, 671– 682 0022-006X/07/$12.00 DOI:
10.1037/0022-006X.75.5.671
671
the prevalence of resilient outcomes in New York City and the
contiguous geographic area during the first 6 months following
the
attack using data from a large probability sample (N � 2,752).
The
sample closely matched the most recent New York census data
(Galea, Ahern, et al., 2002, Galea, Resnick, et al., 2002; Galea
et
al., 2003), and the measurement of PTSD symptoms was highly
reliable at 1, 4, and 6 months post-September 11 (Resnick,
Galea,
Kilpatrick, & Vlahov, 2004). The large-scale nature of the study
meant, however, that the type of multifaceted definition of resil-
ience specified by Bonanno (2004) would not be possible. For
this
reason, these researchers adopted the relatively conservative ap-
proach used in studies of the absence of depression (e.g., Judd,
Akiskal, & Paulus, 1997) and defined a resilient outcome as
either
one or zero PTSD symptoms during the first 6 months after the
attack. Despite this conservative definition, the proportion with
resilient outcomes was at or above 50% across most exposure
groups. Even among the groups with the most pernicious levels
of
exposure and highest probable PTSD, the proportion that was
resilient never dropped below one third of the sample.
Risk and Protective Factors
Although these findings support the idea that adult resilience to
trauma is common, the nature of the phenomenon is still
relatively
poorly understood (Bonanno, 2005). For example, conceptually,
it
seems clear that there should be multiple protective factors that
promote resilience to adversity in both children (Werner, 1995)
and adults (Bonanno, 2004). To date, however, most of the re-
search on predictors of adult resilience has focused on person-
centered variables, such as the tendency toward hardiness (Bar-
tone, 1999) or self-enhancement (e.g., Bonanno, Rennicke, &
Dekel, 2005; Bonanno, Field, Kovacevic, & Kaltman, 2002).
The aim of the current study was to address this deficit by
examining other factors that may inform resilience to PTEs, in-
cluding demographics, social and material resources, and addi-
tional life stressors (Brewin, Andrews, & Valentine, 2000; Hob-
foll, 1989, 2002) using the same large probability sample
examined in the Bonanno et al. (2006) study. Because there are
so
few data on the predictors of a resilient outcome among adults
exposed to PTEs, we did not advance hypotheses about the
prom-
inence of specific predictor variables. Rather, we considered a
range of factors that seemed likely correlates of resilience and
then
sought to identify the unique predictors through multivariate
mod-
eling.
Demographic Variables
Studies of risk factors for PTSD have consistently implicated
female gender; minority ethnicity; lack of education; and, to a
lesser extent, younger age (for meta-analytic data on these vari-
ables, see Brewin et al., 2000). It seems plausible that the
inverse
of at least some of these factors (i.e., male gender, Caucasian
ethnicity, level of education, older age) would predict increased
likelihood of resilient outcomes (Bonanno, 2004). However, we
also expected to observe unique associations between demo-
graphic factors and a resilient outcome.
Resources
Another candidate set of variables that may potentially foster
resilience pertains to social and material resources. Numerous
theorists have delineated a crucial role for such resources in the
ways adults cope with stress (e.g., Holahan & Moos, 1991;
Laza-
rus & Folkman, 1984; Murrell & Norris, 1983). There is also
considerable research linking resources or change in resources
with adjustment following PTEs (Freedy, Shaw, Jarrel, &
Master,
1992; Ironson et al., 1997; Kaniasty & Norris, 1993). However,
the
potential salutary role of social and material resources has not
yet
been examined in research that has explicitly identified resilient
outcomes following PTEs.
Our conceptualization of resources in the present study was
guided by Hobfoll’s (1989, 2002) conservation of resources
(COR)
theory. Central to this theory is the concept of resource change
(i.e., resource loss or gain) and its role in the generation or
amelioration of stress. However, because resilience is apparent
relatively early, in the first few months after exposure
(Bonanno,
2004), the overall presence or absence of resources is also a
crucial
issue. Accordingly, in the current study we included both
measures
of the presence of various resources and, when applicable, mea-
sures of resource loss. We examined four types of resources
based
on groupings suggested by COR theory and by the Conservation
of
Resources Evaluation (COR–E) measure (Hobfoll & Lilly,
1993):
material resources, such as income and income loss; energy re-
sources, such as the availability of health insurance and loss of
health insurance; interpersonal resources, such as the
availability
of social support or affinity groups; and work resources, such as
employment or loss of employment.
Additional Life Stress
A third set of variables we considered were those pertaining to
additional life stressors. The role of cumulative adversity on
stress
is well documented (Turner, Wheaton, & Lloyd, 1995). There is
solid empirical evidence linking the risk for PTSD with
increased
life stress both prior to and following the marker traumatic
event
(Brewin et al., 2000). There is not yet evidence, however,
regard-
ing the possible role of life stress in adult resilience following
PTEs. It seems plausible that the relative absence of life stress
should be associated with a greater prevalence of resilient out-
comes whereas the converse would be associated with a
decreased
prevalence of resilience.
The Current Study
The current study examined each of the aforementioned cate-
gories as predictors of psychological resilience using a large
prob-
ability sample (N � 2,752) of residents from New York City
and
the contiguous geographic area obtained approximately 6
months
after the September 11 terrorist attack. Although the large-scale
nature of the study precluded a multimodal assessment of
adjust-
ment, we nonetheless attempted to provide further validation of
the
resilience category. The virtual absence of PTSD symptoms
among these participants suggests that they had, in fact, coped
well
with the disaster. However, it is worth considering the
possibility
that the potential distress of trauma may have been manifested
in
other domains of adjustment (Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel,
2005;
Luthar, Doernberger, & Zigler, 1993). To explore this
possibility,
we examined another form of psychopathology, depression, as
well as participants’ self-reports of substance use (alcohol,
ciga-
rettes, and marijuana). If participants with one or zero PTSD
672 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV
symptoms are, in fact, genuinely resilient, then they should evi-
dence markedly less depression and less substance use relative
to
participants who had experienced mild–moderate trauma or
PTSD.
The primary analyses of the study examined associations be-
tween levels of the predictor variables (demographics,
depression
and substance abuse, material resources, and life stress) and
out-
come. First, we sought support for the idea that resilience is
more
than the simple absence of PTSD by simultaneously examining
predictors of resilience and mild–moderate trauma in relation to
PTSD using a polychotomous multivariate logistic regression.
Next, we focused more specifically on the unique predictors of
the
resilient outcome when compared with all other groups using a
hierarchical multivariate logistic regression.
Method
Participants
Data for this study came from a random-digit-dial household
survey conducted approximately 6 months after September 11,
2001. The sampling frame included all adults in New York City
and contiguous geographic areas in New York State, New
Jersey,
and Lower Fairfield County in Connecticut. Participants were
interviewed in English, Spanish, Mandarin, and Cantonese,
using
translated and back-translated questionnaires and a computer-
assisted telephone interview system. The overall cooperation
rate
was 56%, and the overall response rate (based on the sum of the
number of completed and partial interviews divided by the sum
of
all numbers that were either eligible as residential telephone
num-
bers or of unknown eligibility) was 34%. The demographic
break-
down of the final sample (N � 2,752) adequately represented
the
broader New York population, as evidenced by comparison with
the most recent census data (see Bonanno et al., 2006). Of
partic-
ular importance, the sample included a diverse spectrum of
poten-
tial trauma experience both during (e.g., in the World Trade
Center
at the time) and in the aftermath of the attack (e.g., loss of
possessions; see Bonanno et al., 2006). Sampling weights were
developed and applied to our data to correct potential selection
bias related to the number of household telephones, persons in
the
household, and oversampling. Further discussions of the
methods
and results from the first of these surveys can be found
elsewhere
(Galea, Ahern, et al., 2002; Galea, Resnick, et al., 2002).
Measures
Sociodemographics, exposure, and life stress. During the
phone interview, respondents were asked questions using a
struc-
tured questionnaire. Questions about sociodemographic
character-
istics included information about age, gender, race/ethnicity,
edu-
cational attainment, income, marital status, household size,
caretaker status, number and ages of children, and geographic
location of residence. Questions about potential trauma
exposure
on September 11 included proximity to the World Trade Center
complex during the attacks, viewing the attack in person,
possible
physical injury, involvement in rescue efforts, or loss of a
friend or
relative. The interview also included questions about previous
PTE
exposure (e.g., natural disaster, serious accident), exposure to
recent stressors (e.g., death of a spouse or close family
member),
and exposure to ongoing traumas and stressors.
Substance use. Following Vlahov et al. (2004), for each of
three substances, cigarettes, alcohol, and marijuana, participants
were first asked if they had ever used the substance (e.g., “Have
you ever smoked cigarettes?”). Participants who endorsed any
lifetime substance use were then asked about the number of
cigarettes smoked, number of drinks consumed, and number of
times marijuana was smoked in the months following September
11, 2001. For the analyses, we examined use of each of these
substances as well as use of any substance.
Depression. We used an adapted version of the module for
major depressive disorder from the nonpatient version of the
Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM (Spitzer, Williams, &
Gibbon, 1987). This instrument has been used in several other
population studies (e.g., Kilpatrick et al., 1998). Cronbach’s
alpha
for the eight symptoms used in this scale was .79 (Boscarino,
Galea, Ahern, Resnick, & Vlahov, 2002). We previously
compared
the results for depression in the past 30 days with those
obtained
using the Brief Symptom Inventory—18 (BSI–18; Zabora et al.,
2001) and showed the BSI–18 depression subscale had a
sensitiv-
ity of 73% and a specificity of 87% in detecting depression as
classified by our depression instrument (Boscarino et al., 2004).
PTSD symptoms. Symptoms of PTSD since September 11
were assessed using National Women’s Study (NWS) PTSD
mod-
ule. The NWS PTSD module was validated in a field trial and
has
a sensitivity of 99% and specificity of 79% when compared
against
PTSD from the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM–III–R
(Kil-
patrick et al., 1998), and it has evidenced good construct
validity
in previous research (Kilpatrick, Acierno, Resnick, Saunders, &
Best, 1997; Kilpatrick et al., 1998). Both the 6-month
cumulative
PTSD estimates and the raw PTSD symptom totals were found
to
be highly reliable with PTSD estimates obtained from similar
samples at 1 and 4 months post-September 11 (Resnick, Galea,
Kilpatrick, & Vlahov, 2004).
Outcome categories. The operational definitions for resil-
ience, mild/moderate trauma, and probable PTSD were identical
to
those used in the Bonanno et al. (2006) study. These definitions
were based on the observation that even ostensibly healthy indi-
viduals sometimes exhibit low levels of psychiatric symptoms.
For
example, depression researchers have typically set the criterion
for
the absence of depression as one or zero symptoms (Judd et al.,
1997). This same criterion has been used to determine resilience
during bereavement (Zisook, Paulus, Shuchter, & Judd, 1997).
Although data on the prevalence of PTSD symptoms in the ab-
sence of exposure are relatively limited, one previous study re-
ported that in the absence of a current PTE, the normal range
for
PTSD symptoms (based on the sample mean and standard devia-
tion) was two or fewer symptoms (Bonanno, Moskowitz, Papa,
&
Folkman, 2005). Extending this literature, Bonanno et al. (2006)
set a conservative definition for resilience as one or zero PTSD
symptoms at any point in the first 6 months after the September
11
attack. Mild–moderate trauma was defined as two or more PTSD
symptoms in the absence of the PTSD diagnosis at any point in
the
first 6 months. Finally, probable PTSD was defined using the
standard Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders
criteria applied to the first 6 months after the attack.
Resources. We measured four categories of resources based
on items from the COR–E (Hobfoll & Lilly, 1993) modified for
application to the events of September 11. Material resources
included income and income change. Energy resources included
673RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER
the availability of a regular physician, retaining or losing health
insurance, and quality of personal health (presence–absence of
chronic disease). Interpersonal resources included a global
social
support variable created using three modified questions from
the
Medical Outcomes Study Social Support Survey (Sherbourne &
Stewart, 1991). Responses to these questions were summed and
divided into thirds to create a low, medium, or high social
support
score. An additional interpersonal resource variable pertained to
involvement in groups or affiliative organizations, such as
church–
religious groups, veterans groups, sports or exercise groups, or
literary–art discussion groups. Work resources was measured in
terms of retaining or losing employment as a result of the Sep-
tember 11 attack.
Results
Statistical Methods
In a preliminary set of analyses designed to further explore the
validity of the resilience category, we used two-tailed chi-
square
tests to detect associations between binary variables
representing
the presence–absence of depression and several types of
substance
use and the three outcome categories (resilience, mild–moderate
trauma, probable PTSD). Next we examined patterns of associa-
tion between the predictor variables and different outcome com-
parisons using a multivariate polychotomous logistic regression.
Probable PTSD was the referent category in this analysis.
Finally,
we conducted a hierarchical multiple logistic regression to
deter-
mine the unique predictors of resilience when compared with all
other outcome groups. Demographic variables were entered on
the
first step of this analysis, followed by depression and substance
abuse, resources, and current and past life stressors on
subsequent
steps. In these analyses, different levels of a predictor (e.g.,
racial–
ethnic categories, different levels of income) were dummy
coded.
Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were cal-
culated to describe how well each level of a variable predicted
outcome in comparison with the reference level of the variable
(e.g., Asians compared with Whites), with all other variables in
the
model statistically controlled. In each of these analyses, we
used
SAS-callable SUDAAN 9.0.1 (Research Triangle Institute,
2004)
to correct standard errors and statistical tests for weighting.
Resilience, Substance Abuse, and Depression
Binary (yes/no) scores for depression and substance use for the
resilient, mild–moderate trauma, and probable PTSD outcome
categories are presented in Table 1. The overall pattern of
findings
conformed to predictions of a healthier profile among resilient
individuals. Dramatic and significant group differences were
evi-
denced for depression. A sizable proportion (37.7%) of the
partic-
ipants with probable PTSD exhibited elevated depression. The
proportion of participants with depression was also high,
although
to a lesser extent (21.7%), among the mild–moderate trauma
group. However, for resilient individuals, depression was
almost
nonexistent (1.3%) and well below the national average for de-
pression (e.g., 4.9%; Blazer, Kessler, McGonagle, & Swartz,
1994).
There were no significant group differences in overall substance
use or in use of alcohol. However, group differences were
signif-
icant for cigarette use and marijuana use—again, with resilient
participants evidencing the smallest proportion using these sub-
stances. Cigarette smokers were equally prevalent in the
probable
PTSD group (27.3%) and mild–moderate trauma group (28.8%)
but considerably less prevalent in the resilient group (19.9%).
Marijuana use was also similarly prevalent in the probable
PTSD
group (8.5%) and mild–moderate trauma group (7.1%) and,
again,
was considerably less prevalent in the resilient group (3.8%).
Together, these findings support the idea that the resilient group
experienced a genuinely healthy course of adjustment.
Polychotomous Multivariate Analysis
A preliminary series of bivariate regressions indicated that all
but three variables evidenced significant predictive associations
with the resilience category. The three exceptions were involve-
ment in groups or affiliative organizations, whether or not
partic-
ipants had a regular physician, and whether or not they used
alcohol. Excluding these three variables, we next examined all
remaining variables simultaneously in a multivariate polychoto-
mous logistic regression with probable PTSD as the referent
group.
The ORs and 95% CIs for each level of each variable (see Table
2) indicated that although some variables evidenced consistent
predictive relations across outcome comparisons, there were
also a
number of asymmetrical patterns of association. Specifically,
the
distinction between resilience and probable PTSD and between
mild–moderate trauma and probable PTSD were each predicted
by
age, depression, marijuana use, income level, having been
directly
affected by September 11, and number of recent stressors. There
were some asymmetries, however, within levels of these
variables.
For example, people were more likely to be resilient than to
have
PTSD if they earned over $100,000 but less likely to be resilient
if
they were 45 to 54 years of age. By contrast, income and age
showed more varied prediction in distinguishing mild–moderate
trauma from PTSD. More important, four variables
distinguished
resilience from PTSD (gender, income decline, traumatic events
prior to September 11, and traumatic events post-September 11)
but did not predict the distinction between mild–moderate
trauma
and PTSD.
Multivariate Analysis Predicting Resilience
To identify the unique predictors of resilience when compared
with all other participants, we examined the same variables used
in
the preceding analysis in a hierarchical multivariate logistic re-
gression. ORs and 95% CIs for each level of each variable for
each
model in the analysis are presented in Table 3.
Demographic variables. With demographic variables entered
together on the first step of the analysis, significant effects
were
observed for gender, age, and race/ethnicity. These variables
also
remained significant when other variables were added to the
mod-
els. In addition, education, which was not initially significant
(Model 1), entered as a significant predictor of resilience when
resources (Model 3) and life stressors (Model 4) were added. In
the
final model, women were less than half as likely (OR � 0.43) to
be resilient as men; people 65 years of age or older were more
than
3 times more likely (OR � 3.11) to be resilient as were people
between 18 and 24 years of age; Asians were close to 3 times as
likely (OR � 2.78) to be resilient as Whites; and, somewhat
674 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV
surprisingly, people with a college degree were less likely to be
resilient (OR � 0.51) compared with those who had not
completed
high school.
Depression and substance use. These variables were entered
primarily as control variables and, not surprisingly, depression
and
marijuana use predicted less resilience in each step of the
models
in which they were included.
Resources. In terms of material resources, income was a sig-
nificant predictor of resilience in the polychotomous analysis
but
did not predict resilience in the multivariate model. However,
loss
of income remained an important predictor in the final model.
Compared with participants with no income loss, those who ex-
perienced income decline as a result of the September 11 attack
were less than half as likely (OR � 0.44) to be resilient. Among
energy resources, loss of health insurance did not predict resil-
ience, but number of physician-confirmed chronic diseases re-
mained statistically meaningful in the final model. Compared
with
participants with no chronic diseases, resilience was about two
thirds as likely (OR � 0.71) among participants with one or two
chronic diseases, and only one third as likely (OR � 0.32)
among
participants with three or more chronic diseases. For
interpersonal
resources, although social support was only marginally
associated
with resilience when compared with PTSD in the
polychotomous
analysis, social support was a significant predictor of resilience
when contrasted with all other outcomes. Compared with
partici-
pants with high levels of social support, participants with
medium
support were about 30% less likely (OR � 0.71) to be resilient.
The same was true for participants with low support, although
in
this case the OR was just outside the 95% confidence interval.
The
work resource variable of loss of employment was not a
significant
predictor of resilience.
Additional trauma exposure and life stress. As in the poly-
chotomous analysis, each of the life stress and trauma exposure
variables was a significant predictor of resilience. With all
other
variables controlled, being directly affected by the September
11
attack reduced the odds of a resilient outcome by over 40% (OR
�
0.58). Using participants with no recent life stressors as the
refer-
ence group, we found that resilience was 71% as likely among
participants with an additional recent life stressor, and only
about
half as likely (OR � 0.53) among participants with two or more
recent life stressors. Compared with participants with no prior
traumatic experiences, resilience was equally prevalent if there
was one prior trauma (OR � 0.96), but close to half as likely
(OR � 0.58) if there were two or three prior traumas, and less
than
half as likely (OR � 0.42) if there were four or more prior
traumas.
Compared with participants with no subsequent traumas after
September 11, resilience was only about one third as likely (OR
�
0.36) among participants who did experience subsequent
traumas.
Discussion
The primary goal of the current study was to explore how the
prevalence of resilience in the aftermath of disaster might vary
in
relation to various sociocontextual factors, such as
demographics,
the availability of social and material resources or the loss of
resources, and past and current life stressors. As a preliminary
step,
we first sought to provide convergent support for our
operational
definition of resilience. In a prior study using the same data,
Bonanno et al. (2006) defined resilience as one or zero PTSD
symptoms during the first 6 months after the attack. In the
current
study, we demonstrated that people meeting this criterion had a
markedly lower incidence of depression than people with mild–
moderate trauma and probable PTSD. Resilient participants’ de-
pression levels were, in fact, lower than the national average for
nonclinical samples. Resilient participants were also
significantly
less likely to smoke cigarettes or use marijuana compared with
the
Table 1
Resilience, Mild–Moderate Trauma, and Probable Posttraumatic
Stress Disorder (PTSD) in Relation to Depression and Substance
Use 6 Months After the September 11 Disaster
Variable
Total
Resilience 1 or 0
PTSD symptoms
Mild–moderate
trauma � 2 PTSD
symptoms
Probable PTSD
related to WTCD
pan % n % n % n %
Depression
No 2,400 90.6 1,617 98.7 667 78.3 116 62.3 � .001
Yes 300 9.4 24 1.3 178 21.7 98 37.7
Substance use
Any drug
No 1,149 44.1 730 43.6 333 61.4 86 39.6 ns
Yes 1,603 55.9 942 56.4 530 38.6 131 60.4
Cigarettes
No 2,093 75.7 1,328 80.1 610 71.2 155 72.7 � .001
Yes 634 24.3 329 19.9 247 28.8 58 27.3
Alcohol
No 1,369 54.3 835 51.0 422 49.5 112 52.8 ns
Yes 1,332 45.8 801 49.0 430 50.5 101 47.2
Marijuana
No 2,569 95.0 1,590 96.2 786 91.9 193 91.5 � .001
Yes 150 5.0 63 3.8 69 7.1 18 8.5
Note. WTCD � World Trade Center disaster.
a Significance of difference across groups based on chi-square
analyses.
675RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER
other groups. Although the large-scale nature of this study pre-
cluded more in-depth examination of participants’ adjustment,
these findings nonetheless provide important convergent support
for the assumption that the resilient group did experience genu-
inely healthy adjustment in the months following the attacks.
Having established convergent support for the resilience cate-
gory, we next sought support for the idea that resilience is more
than the simple absence of PTSD (Bonanno, 2004) by examining
patterns of association between predictor variables and outcome
categories (resilient, mild–moderate trauma, and probable
PTSD)
using a polychotomous multivariate regression. As anticipated,
although a number of variables distinguished both resilience
and
mild–moderate trauma from PTSD (e.g., age, depression, mari-
juana use, income level, having been directly affected by
Septem-
ber 11, and number of recent stressors), there were also a
number
of asymmetries within levels of these variables. More
important, a
number of variables also distinguished resilience from PTSD
but
did not distinguish mild–moderate trauma from PTSD (e.g.,
gen-
der, income decline, traumatic events prior to September 11,
and
traumatic events post-September 11).
In a final analysis, we sought to identify the unique predictors
of
a resilient outcome using a hierarchical multivariate analysis
that
controlled for the covariation among predictors as well as the
possible confounding association with exposure and more global
types of dysfunction (e.g., depression and substance use). The
results of this analysis indicated that the prevalence of
resilience
was uniquely predicted by participant gender, age, race–
ethnicity,
and education level; by the absence of depression and substance
use; by less income loss, social support, and fewer chronic dis-
eases; and by less direct impact of September 11 and fewer
recent
life stressors, fewer past prior traumatic events, and not having
experienced an additional traumatic event since September 11.
Table 2
Polychotomous Multivariate Regression Predicting Outcome,
With Probable PTSD as Referent Category
Variable
Resilient vs. PTSD
OR (95% CI)
Mild–moderate
trauma vs.
PTSD OR (95% CI) Variable
Resilient vs. PTSD
OR (95% CI)
Mild–moderate
trauma vs.
PTSD OR (95% CI)
Gender Income decline
Male — — No — —
Female 0.44 (0.25–0.77) 1.03 (0.60–1.76) Yes 0.29 (0.16–0.53)
0.63 (0.35–1.1)
Age Lost employment
18–24 — — No — —
25–34 0.59 (0.20–1.70) 0.54 (0.20–1.44) Yes 0.95 (0.34–2.68)
1.45 (0.56–3.73)
35–44 0.55 (0.19–1.58) 0.34 (0.13–0.90) Social support
45–54 0.21 (0.07–0.63) 0.18 (0.07–0.49) High — —
55–64 0.67 (0.19–2.31) 0.32 (0.10–1.03) Medium 0.52 (0.26–
1.04) 0.70 (0.36–1.37)
65� 0.85 (0.19–3.77) 0.24 (0.05–1.05) Low 0.52 (0.25–1.03)
0.68 (0.34–1.37)
Race/ethnicity Lost health insurance
White — —
Asian 1.73 (0.47–6.41) 0.58 (0.15–2.20) Yes — —
African
American
0.65 (0.31–1.38) 0.54 (0.26–1.12) No 0.72 (0.19–2.80) 0.39
(0.12–1.27)
Hispanic 0.47 (0.21–1.03) 0.63 (0.30–1.34) Chronic diseases
Other 0.52 (0.16–1.69) 1.28 (0.45–3.70) 0 — —
Education 1–2 0.82 (0.45–1.51) 1.21 (0.68–2.16)
�HS graduate — — 3 or more 0.46 (0.12–1.68) 1.53 (0.46–
5.08)
HS/GED 1.18 (0.37–3.72) 1.54 (0.52–4.61) Directly affected by
9/11
Some college 1.02 (0.28–3.65) 1.48 (0.44–4.95)
College degree 0.51 (0.16–1.59) 1.05 (0.36–3.09) No — —
Graduate degree 0.33 (0.09–1.17) 0.56 (0.17–1.91) Yes 0.22
(0.12–0.41) 0.32 (0.17–0.60)
Depression Recent life stressor
No — — 0 — —
Yes 0.02 (0.01–0.05) 0.40 (0.22–0.72) 1 0.38 (0.20–0.71) 0.48
(0.26–0.90)
Cigarette use 2 or more 0.48 (0.22–1.03) 0.90 (0.43–1.87)
No — — Prior trauma
Yes 1.05 (0.56–1.99) 1.19 (0.65–2.19) 0 — —
Marijuana use 1 1.15 (0.46–2.90) 1.21 (0.48–3.05)
No — — 2–3 0.44 (0.18–1.12) 0.73 (0.29–1.86)
Yes 0.18 (0.07–0.44) 0.44 (0.20–0.97) 4 or more 0.21 (0.08–
0.53) 0.44 (0.17–1.10)
Income Trauma since 9/11
�$20,000 — — No — —
$20,000–$29,999 1.89 (0.64–5.53) 2.14 (0.76–5.98) Yes 0.35
(0.17–0.70) 0.96 (0.52–1.77)
$30,000–$39,999 1.55 (0.56–4.26) 1.40 (0.56–3.54)
$40,000–$49,999 2.23 (0.51–9.85) 1.96 (0.48–8.05)
$50,000–$74,999 2.67 (0.95–7.51) 2.85 (1.07–7.55)
$75,000–$99,999 2.28 (0.81–6.39) 2.60 (0.98–6.93)
$100,000� 7.18 (2.11–24.43) 5.55 (1.71–18.02)
Note. Model fit: Wald �2 � 9.29, N � 2,096, df � 74, p �
.0001. PTSD � posttraumatic stress disorder. Significant ( p �
.05) odds ratios (ORs) indicated
in boldface.
676 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV
Table 3
Summary of Hierarchical Multivariate Logistic Regression
Predicting Resilience Versus All Other Groups
Variable
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Gender
Male — — — — — — — —
Female 0.60 0.48–0.75 0.58 0.46–0.74 0.54 0.40–0.71 0.43
0.32–0.59
Age
18–24 — — — — — — — —
25–34 0.87 0.58–1.30 0.78 0.49–1.25 1.01 0.59–1.72 1.02 0.59–
1.79
35–44 1.33 0.89–2.00 1.09 0.68–1.73 1.47 0.85–2.56 1.47 0.81–
2.64
45–54 0.99 0.65–1.49 0.74 0.46–1.20 0.97 0.56–1.68 0.98 0.55–
1.76
55–64 1.47 0.92–2.35 1.01 0.60–1.69 2.02 1.09–3.75 1.87 0.97–
3.57
65� 2.60 1.60–4.21 1.73 1.00–2.49 3.95 1.98–7.88 3.11 1.53–
6.31
Race/ethnicity
White — — — — — — — —
Asian 2.35 1.28–4.33 2.39 1.13–5.06 3.21 1.41–7.31 2.78 1.24–
6.22
African American 0.99 0.73–1.34 0.85 0.61–1.18 1.04 0.72–1.50
1.12 0.77–1.65
Hispanic 0.77 0.56–1.06 0.62 0.43–0.87 0.77 0.51–1.17 0.71
0.46–1.09
Other 0.53 0.31–0.90 0.38 0.21–0.68 0.35 0.18–0.70 0.40 0.19–
0.87
Education
�high school graduate — — — — — — — —
High school-GED 1.31 0.84–2.04 1.26 0.77–2.06 0.76 0.40–1.47
0.84 0.44–1.59
Some college 1.18 0.75–1.87 1.12 0.68–1.86 0.62 0.32–1.23
0.75 0.39–1.45
College degree 1.29 0.82–2.03 1.04 0.63–1.72 0.48 0.24–0.94
0.51 0.27–0.98
Graduate degree 1.55 0.95–2.55 1.26 0.73–2.17 0.53 0.26–1.09
0.58 0.29–1.17
Depression
No — — — — — —
Yes 0.04 0.02–0.08 0.04 0.02–0.09 0.05 0.02–0.11
Cigarette use
No — — — — — —
Yes 0.79 0.59–1.05 0.84 0.60–1.18 0.91 0.64–1.28
Marijuana use
No — — — — — —
Yes 0.33 0.19–0.60 0.37 0.20–0.68 0.37 0.20–0.69
Income
�$20,000 — — — —
$20,000–$29,999 1.08 0.61–1.91 0.97 0.55–1.73
$30,000–$39,999 1.08 0.63–1.85 1.14 0.64–2.00
$40,000–$49,999 1.30 0.67–2.51 1.25 0.63–2.47
$50,000–$74,999 1.08 0.63–1.88 1.07 0.60–1.91
$75,000–$99,999 0.93 0.53–1.62 0.99 0.55–1.78
$100,000� 1.46 0.86–2.50 1.55 0.87–2.76
Income decline
No — — — —
Yes 0.40 0.29–0.56 0.44 0.31–0.62
Lost employment
No — — — —
Yes 0.65 0.31–1.33 0.69 0.33–1.44
Social support
High — — — —
Medium 0.68 0.48–0.97 0.71 0.51–1.00
Low 0.68 0.49–0.95 0.71 0.49–1.03
Lost health insurance
Yes — — — —
No 1.26 0.50–3.17 1.60 0.56–4.56
Chronic diseases
0 — — — —
1–2 0.62 0.45–0.85 0.70 0.50–0.98
3 or more 0.24 0.14–0.43 0.32 0.18–0.56
Directly affected by September 11
No — —
Yes 0.58 0.42–0.80
Recent life stressor
0 — —
1 0.71 0.51–1.00
2 or more 0.53 0.34–0.81
(Table Continues)
677RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER
Before moving onto the broader implications of these findings,
we
consider each of the multivariate predictors in more detail and
also
the limitations of the study.
Of the demographic variables, gender emerged as a robust
predictor of resilience. Gender has shown a complex
relationship
to adjustment among at-risk children, with the direction of
predic-
tion often depending on the type of symptom measured (e.g.,
Fergusson & Horwood, 2003), but a more straightforward
associ-
ation with PTSD in adults (Brewin et al., 2000). Although the
current study does not offer insights into the reason why female
gender was associated with a reduced likelihood of resilience,
clearly this should be an important research topic for future
stud-
ies. To this end, in a subsequent study, we plan to examine more
closely whether different factors might interact with gender in
predicting resilience.
Ethnic minority status is often reported as a risk factor for the
development of PTSD (e.g., Breslau, Peterson, Poisson, Schultz,
&
Lucia, 2004). Hispanics have been reported to evidence the
great-
est risk for PTSD (e.g., Kulka et al., 1990; Perilla, Norris, &
Lavizzo, 2002), whereas the findings are somewhat more
equivo-
cal for African Americans (Mainous, Smith, Acierno, & Geesey,
2005; Perilla et al., 2002). However, studies reporting racial–
ethnic differences in PTSD have often failed to account for the
confounding influence of other risk factors, such as low
socioeco-
nomic status (McGruder-Johnson, Davidson, Gleaves, Stock, &
Finch 2000). Indeed, in a recent study of responses to the
Septem-
ber 11 attack, bivariate racial– ethnic differences in PTSD were
rendered nonsignificant when socioeconomic factors were
statis-
tically controlled (e.g., Adams & Boscarino, 2005). This was
also
true in the current study. Univariate analyses of the sample used
in
this study indicated a lower prevalence of resilience among His-
panics (Bonanno et al., 2006). However, when the covariance
among the predictors was controlled in the current study, the
difference between Whites and Hispanics was nonexistent.
The available evidence on trauma reactions among Asians is
limited primarily to refugee populations with, usually, high
levels
of prior trauma exposure, and not surprisingly, these groups
report
high levels of PTSD (Lee, Lei, & Sue, 2001). The Asian partici-
pants in the current study did not evidence high levels of PTSD
and, in fact, were considerably more likely to be resilient com-
pared with all other participants. In the multivariate analysis,
which controlled not only for socioeconomic variables but also
for
the potentially confounding influence of prior trauma, Asian
par-
ticipants were close to 3 times as likely to be resilient as White
participants.
The age of the participants at the time of a PTE has shown a
mixed pattern of findings in previous research. However, when
age
effects have been reported, they have tended to indicate more
extreme reactions in younger people, following both loss (Bon-
anno & Kaltman, 1999) and potential trauma (Brewin et al.,
2000).
The findings of the current study were generally consistent with
this pattern. Participants over 65 years of age were least likely
to
have PTSD and more than 3 times as likely to be resilient com-
pared with the youngest (18- to 24-year-old) participants.
Another demographic variable, level of education, has consis-
tently evidenced a small but reliable inverse association with
PTSD (Brewin et al., 2000). In a previous study of the same
participants (Bonanno et al., 2006), univariate analysis
associated
higher levels of education with a greater prevalence of
resilience.
However, in the current study, when other demographic factors,
exposure, resources, and life stress were statistically controlled,
education was inversely associated with resilience. Specifically,
participants with a college education were only about half as
likely
(OR � 0.51) to be resilient as were participants with less than a
high school education. This is the first evidence we know of
where, with other factors held constant, education actually
appears
to impede adaptation to trauma. This effect may prove to be
unique
to the September 11 attack, or perhaps more broadly to the
over-
whelming and seemingly incomprehensible nature of large-scale
disaster. Clearly, our data cannot adjudicate between these and
other possible explanations, and further research is warranted.
Among the resource variables we examined, income change,
social support, and the absence of chronic disease emerged as
solid
predictors of resilience. Absolute level of income is often
associ-
ated with PTSD symptoms when considered in isolation.
However,
in multivariate analyses that control for the convariance among
sociocontextual variables, income level rarely explains much of
the PTSD variance (e.g., McCarren et al., 1995; Middleton,
Will-
ner, & Simmons, 2002). This same pattern was evident in the
present study for income level in relation to resilience. By
contrast,
however, the loss of income remained a significant predictor of
resilience even with other socioeconomic and demographic vari-
ables controlled. People who experienced a significant decline
in
income in the aftermath of the September 11 attack were in fact
Table 3 (continued )
Variable
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Prior traumatic events
0 — —
1 0.96 0.65–1.43
2–3 0.58 0.40–0.85
4 or more 0.42 0.26–0.68
Trauma since September 11
No — —
Yes 0.36 0.22–0.56
Note. Model 1, Wald �2 � 13.89, N � 2,661, df � 14, p �
.0001; Model 2, Wald �2 � 19.71, N � 2,567, df � 17, p �
.0001; Model 3, Wald �2 �
10.11, N � 2,096, df � 30, p � .0001; Model 4, Wald �2 �
9.69, N � 2,096, df � 37, p � .0001. Significant ( p � .05)
odds ratios (ORs) are indicated
in boldface. CI � confidence interval.
678 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV
less than half as likely to be resilient as participants who did
not
experience income loss.
The absence of social support has been consistently associated
with PTSD (e.g., Brewin et al., 2000; Davidson, Hughes,
Blazer, &
George, 1991), whereas the presence of support has been found
to
foster recovery from trauma over time (Koenen, Stellman, Stell-
man, & Sommer, 2003). Perceived social support is generally
associated with health and well-being. However, it was not
obvi-
ous from this evidence that social support would evidence an
association with resilience. Our findings suggest that it does.
Although involvement in affinity groups and organizations was
unrelated to resilience, people with lower levels of perceived
social
support were less likely to be resilient.
Another resource variable, the absence of chronic disease, was
strongly associated with resilience. There is some evidence that
chronic health problems increase the likelihood of PTSD
reactions
(Amir & Ramati, 2002). Although in the current study chronic
disease did not distinguish PTSD from the other outcome
catego-
ries, in the multivariate analysis chronic disease was clearly
asso-
ciated with a reduced likelihood of resilience.
The most robust class of variables associated with resilience in
the current study pertained to the absence of additional life
stres-
sors. There is plentiful evidence linking both current life stress
and
past traumatic experiences with PTSD (Brewin et al., 2000). In
one
of the few prospective studies to examine these variables, Ong,
Bergeman, and Bisconti (2004) found that chronic stress
following
the death of a spouse resulted in less differentiation of
emotional
responding, which in turn implied an association between
chronic
stress and reduced resilience in the face of loss. However, no
research had yet examined whether the absence of current or
past
life stress might be directly linked with resilience. In the
current
study, the multivariate analysis indicated significant relations
be-
tween resilience and each of the life stress variables we
examined.
Specifically, resilience was more prevalent among people who
reported no prior traumatic events, no recent life stressors, and
no
experience of additional traumatic events since September 11.
Complementarily, participants with the most extreme life stress
(e.g., several recent life stressors) were only about one third as
likely to be resilient.
Limitations
Although the design of the current study made it possible to
examine a range of sociocontextual predictors in a large sample
exposed to a single disaster event, there were also several meth-
odological limitations that might be addressed in future studies.
One obvious limitation was that because of the large-scale
nature
of the study, the definition of resilience we used in the current
study was necessarily restricted. It will be important for future
studies to continue to explore how resilience might be defined
using a more diverse array of subjective and objective
measures,
such as clinical interviews, ratings of participant adjustment
from
close friends or relatives, and other markers of optimal social
and
occupational functioning (Bonanno, Wortman, et al., 2002; Bon-
anno, Moskowitz, et al., 2005; Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel,
2005).
Another limitation of the current investigation that might be
considered in future studies is the relatively proscribed nature
of
the sociocontextual factors we measured. Although we explored
a
wide range of sociocontextual variables, there are still other
factors
that might potentially inform resilient outcomes after disaster.
For
example, following research on resilient functioning in at-risk
children (Cowen, 1991; Rutter, 1999; Werner, 1995), future
stud-
ies of resilience after disaster might further explore how
resilience
relates to different aspects of social adjustment, such as the
quality
of close relationships or family interactions (Kiser & Black,
2005).
It would also be fruitful to examine support variables at the
level
of community support services and interactions and how these
support systems themselves are influenced by disaster (e.g., Ka-
niasty & Norris, 1993). Similarly, although past and current life
stress emerged in this study as an important category of
predictors
of resilience, as in most studies reporting such effects, measure-
ment of these variables was limited to participant self-report. It
will be interesting to examine whether these predictive relation-
ships hold when more objective life stress data, such as
biological
markers of illness or stress, or medical records, are used.
Finally,
it should be noted that univariate analyses were used to first
determine which predictors to retain for multivariate modeling,
which may limit generalizability, and large number of
comparisons
were examined, which may inflate Type I error.
Implications
When considered within the bounds of the limitations we have
discussed, the findings of the current study provide important
new
information to help flesh out the emergent portrait of resilience
among adults exposed to extreme adversity. That these variables
emerged as independent predictors is of particular significance
because this means we might consider these factors to exert an
additive or cumulative influence on resilience. Developmental
theorists have for years argued that resilience to aversive child-
hood contexts results from a cumulative mix of person-center
variables (e.g., disposition, personality) and sociocontextual
(e.g.,
family interaction, community support systems) risk and
protective
factors (Garmezy, 1991; Rutter, 1999; Werner, 1995). The
multi-
variate analysis in the current study likewise suggests that resil-
ience among adults exposed to an isolated PTE is informed by a
cumulative mix of factors. It will be important for future studies
to
explore how sociocontextual factors might combine with
person-
ality variables that appear to promote resilience (Bartone, 1999;
Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005; Bonanno, Field, et al.,
2002)
and whether these or other factors (e.g., gender or age) might
interact in more complex predictive relationships (Rutter,
1987).
A compelling implication of the putative cumulative nature of
resilience-promoting factors is that there may be myriad ways to
conceptualize prophylactic intervention in the aftermath of
disaster
(Litz, Gray, Bryant, & Adler, 2002; Shalev, 2004). In recent
years,
ideas about early intervention have been dominated by
psycholog-
ical approaches, such as critical incident stress debriefing
(Mitch-
ell, 1983; Mitchell & Everly, 2000). Unfortunately, a growing
body of evidence has indicated that the global application of
brief
psychological interventions, such as debriefing, is ineffective
(Rose, Brewin, Andres, & Kirk, 1999) and often even harmful
(Bisson, Jenkins, Alexander, & Bannister, 1997; Mayou, Ehlers,
&
Hobbs, 2000; for a review, see McNally, Bryant, & Ehlers,
2003).
Some investigators have argued that early psychological
interven-
tions could be improved if they targeted only those people most
at
risk for the development of chronic PTSD (e.g., Litz et al.,
2002).
679RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER
One obvious category for this type of targeted intervention
would
be people who show early signs of elevated distress or trauma
symptoms. However, several studies have now shown that survi-
vors with the highest initial symptom levels are actually more
likely to experience the negative effects of early intervention
(Mayou et al., 2000; Sijbrandji, Olff, Reitsma, Carter, &
Gersons,
2005).
In response to the sobering limitations of brief psychological
interventions, Shalev (2004) argued that “early interventions in
communities suffering mass trauma should consist of general
support and bolstering of the recovery environment rather than
psychological treatment” (p. 174). The findings of the current
study are not incompatible with this line of reasoning and
suggest
that sociocontextual variables are promising candidates for
early
risk assessment. Some of these factors, including low social
sup-
port or the struggle with chronic disease, might be identified
and
addressed relatively soon after the marker event. Other factors,
such as marked loss of income or additional life stressors after
the
PTE, would require a longer postevent period for adequate
assess-
ment. Nonetheless, these factors too could be targeted for inter-
vention to help foster healthy adaptation. There is also evidence
to
suggest that early psychological interventions might yet be
effec-
tive, provided they are enacted as part of a broader ecological
approach that includes the assessment and intervention of socio-
contextual factors (Sandler et al., 2003).
It is our hope that the research reported in this article will
inspire
further study of the broad range of predictor variables that
might
inform resilient outcomes across different types of PTEs. It is
our
hope too that in future studies researchers will be able to heed
one
of the major implications of the current study regarding the
vital
importance of controlling for the potentially confounding
impact
of both socioeconomic factors and prior trauma history. Finally,
it
is our hope that continued research on the range of factors that
promote resilience in the face of extreme adversity will help
guide
further research and theory on potentially new prophylactic
inter-
ventions that might foster increased resilience in both
individuals
and communities.
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Received April 13, 2006
Revision received December 19, 2006
Accepted February 19, 2007 �
New Editors Appointed, 2009 –2014
The Publications and Communications Board of the American
Psychological Association an-
nounces the appointment of six new editors for 6-year terms
beginning in 2009. As of January 1,
2008, manuscripts should be directed as follows:
● Journal of Applied Psychology
(http://www.apa.org/journals/apl), Steve W. J. Kozlowski,
PhD, Department of Psychology, Michigan State University,
East Lansing, MI 48824.
● Journal of Educational Psychology
(http://www.apa.org/journals/edu), Arthur C. Graesser,
PhD, Department of Psychology, University of Memphis, 202
Psychology Building, Memphis,
TN 38152.
● Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Interpersonal
Relations and Group Processes
(http://www.apa.org/journals/psp), Jeffry A. Simpson, PhD,
Department of Psychology,
University of Minnesota, 75 East River Road, N394 Elliott Hall,
Minneapolis, MN 55455.
● Psychology of Addictive Behaviors
(http://www.apa.org/journals/adb), Stephen A. Maisto,
PhD, Department of Psychology, Syracuse University, Syracuse,
NY 13244.
● Behavioral Neuroscience (http://www.apa.org/journals/bne),
Mark S. Blumberg, PhD, De-
partment of Psychology, University of Iowa, E11 Seashore Hall,
Iowa City, IA 52242.
● Psychological Bulletin (http://www.apa.org/journals/bul),
Stephen P. Hinshaw, PhD, Depart-
ment of Psychology, University of California, Tolman Hall
#1650, Berkeley, CA 94720.
(Manuscripts will not be directed to Dr. Hinshaw until July 1,
2008, as Harris Cooper will
continue as editor until June 30, 2008.)
Electronic manuscript submission: As of January 1, 2008,
manuscripts should be submitted
electronically via the journal’s Manuscript Submission Portal
(see the website listed above with
each journal title).
Manuscript submission patterns make the precise date of
completion of the 2008 volumes
uncertain. Current editors, Sheldon Zedeck, PhD, Karen R.
Harris, EdD, John F. Dovidio, PhD,
Howard J. Shaffer, PhD, and John F. Disterhoft, PhD, will
receive and consider manuscripts through
December 31, 2007. Harris Cooper, PhD, will continue to
receive manuscripts until June 30, 2008.
Should 2008 volumes be completed before that date,
manuscripts will be redirected to the new
editors for consideration in 2009 volumes.
682 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV
Grading Rubric
Chapter Snapshot
1. Statement of Disability (What is it?)
______/3
2. Diagnosis and Evaluation of Disability
(How do you know if someone has it?)
______/4
3. Characteristics of Disability (What are common
characteristics?) ______/5
4. Treatments for disabilities (remember these will not always
be
medical, but may include therapy, training, etc.)
______/3
5. Classroom modifications/coping mechanisms (at least 15
required) ______/5
Sub-Total ______
6. Deduction for grammatical and spelling errors (1/2 point per
error) - ______
Total _____ /20
Comments:
Gifted/Talented Snapshot
I. Statement of Disability
Giftedness, intelligence, and talent are fluid concepts and may
look different in different contexts and cultures. Even within
schools you will find a range of beliefs about the word "gifted,"
which has become a term with multiple meanings and much
nuance. Gifted children may develop asynchronously: their
minds are often ahead of their physical growth, and specific
cognitive and social-emotional functions can develop unevenly.
Some gifted children with exceptional aptitude may not
demonstrate outstanding levels of achievement due to
environmental circumstances such as limited opportunities to
learn as a result of poverty, discrimination, or cultural barriers;
due to physical or learning disabilities; or due to motivational
or emotional problems. This dichotomy between potential for
and demonstrated achievement has implications for schools as
they design programs and services for gifted students.
Definitions provide the framework for gifted education
programs and services, and guide key decisions such as which
students will qualify for services, the areas of giftedness to be
addressed in programming (e.g., intellectual giftedness
generally, specific abilities in math), when the services will be
offered, and even why they will be offered. There is no
universally accepted definition of giftedness.
II. Diagnosis and Evaluation of Disability
General education teachers are usually the first to recognize that
a student may be gifted. For this reason, teachers need to
recognize some of the behaviors and share these observations
with parents.
Behaviors of Gifted Students teachers should be aware of:
Cognitive:
· Child asks a lot of questions.
· Have lots of information on many things.
· Want to know why or how something is so.
· Refuse to drill on spelling, math, facts, flash cards, or
handwriting.
· Seems bored and often has nothing to do.
· Child sticks to a subject long after the class has gone on to
other things.
Academic:
· Shows unusual ability in some area, perhaps reading or math.
· Shows fascination with one field of interest and manages to
include this interest in all discussion topics.
· Get math answers correct, but find it difficult to tell you how.
· Enjoy graphing everything. Seems obsessed with probabilities.
· Invent new, obscure systems and codes.
Creativity:
· Try to do things in different, unusual, imaginative ways.
· Have a really zany sense of humor.
· Enjoys new routines or spontaneous activities.
· Loves variety and novelty.
· Seem to never proceed sequentially.
Leadership:
· Organize and lead group activities
· Enjoys taking risks.
· Seems cocky, self-assured.
· Enjoys making decisions.
Teachers, parents, special educators as well as diagnosticians
would be involved in the next step, which would be the referral
process and assessment. The information assembled will help
determine whether the student should receive special services.
There are a variety of screening instruments to help identify
gifted students to include:
· Individualized intelligence test
· Individualized achievement test
· Creativity assessment
· Checklists of gifted characteristics
· Anecdotal records
· Curriculum-based assessment
· Direct Observation
· Visual and performing arts assessment
· Leadership assessment
· Case-study approach.
III. Characteristics of Disability
Gifted students generally have unusual talent in one or
occasionally two areas. Below are six areas where we will find
giftedness. No child will be gifted in all six, but some may be in
more than one area. Within specific academic ability, students
again usually have one or two subjects that they are best in and
passionate about. The six areas are:
· Creative Thinking
· Independent thinker
· Exhibits original thinking in oral and written expression
· Comes up with several solutions to a given problem
· Possesses a sense of humor
· Creates and invents
· Challenged by creative tasks
· Improvises often
· Does not mind being different from the crowd
· Leadership
· Assumes responsibility
· High expectations for self and others
· Fluent, concise self-expression
· Foresees consequences and implications of decisions
· Good judgment in decision making
· Likes structure
· Well-liked by peers
· Self-confident
· Organized
· General Intellectual Ability
· Formulates abstractions
· Processes information in complex ways
· Observant
· Excited about new ideas
· Enjoys hypothesizing
· Learns rapidly
· Uses a large vocabulary
· Inquisitive
· Self-starter
· Specific Academic Ability
· Good memorization ability
· Advanced comprehension
· Acquires basic skill knowledge quickly
· Widely read in special interest area
· High academic success in special interest area
· Pursues special interest with enthusiasm and vigor
· Visual/ Performing Arts
· Outstanding in sense of spatial relationships
· Unusual ability in expressing self, feeling, moods, etc.,
through dance, drama, music, etc.
· Good motor coordination
· Exhibits creative expression
· Desire for producing “own product” (not content with mere
copying)
· Observant
IV. Treatment
Ensuring that highly able learners are recognized and
subsequently served through systematic programming is of the
highest priority. All teachers must be able to recognize a high-
ability student who needs more depth and complexity in
instruction or may need a referral for further assessment and
services. Teachers in specialized programs for gifted learners
or those who coordinate gifted and talented programs and
services should be familiar with the theory, research,
curriculum strategies, and educational practices necessary to
develop and sustain high quality classroom-based opportunities
for advanced student learning
V. Classroom Modifications/Coping Mechanisms
The challenge for educators is to allow gifted and talented
students to work at higher instructional levels, at a faster pace,
and with a variety of materials. To better meet the needs of
gifted and talented students, the classroom environment should
be a positive place where students may:
· ask many questions
· discuss information in detail, elaborate
· thrive on complexity
· begin assignments with only basic guidelines (don’t try to
over teach)
· experiment and venture
· employ a variety of approaches
· find acceptance for unique ideas and responses
Possible strategies to modify, differentiate, and enrich the
curriculum for all students:
· identify students’ interests, strengths, styles, and preferences
· categorize the curriculum objective
· evaluate the quality of the curriculum components
· brainstorm ways that the curriculum is connected to the real
worlds (e.g., roles, problems, representative topics, products,
and resources)
· connect the curriculum to the fields of knowledge
· escalate the objective
· create an enhanced set of introductory activities (e.g. advance
organizers, concept maps, concept puzzles)
· choose active teaching/learning opportunities
· incorporate authentic components
· involve parents in learning objectives and activities
· use diagnostic tools (e.g., KWL, journal)
· provide options, alternatives and choices to differentiate and
broaden the curriculum
· organize and offer flexible small group learning activities
· provide whole group enrichment explorations
· teach cognitive and methodological skills
· use center, stations, or contracts
· organize integrated problem-solving simulations
· debrief students
· propose interest-based extension activities
· organize and offer enrichment clusters
· connect student to related talent development opportunities
outside the classroom
Teachers should also consider using the following strategies:
· rephrase the learning objective as reflective, guiding questions
· consider the criteria you will use to assess novice,
intermediate, and advanced learners’ initial knowledge
· brainstorm and select representative topics, problems, roles,
scenarios, resources, or products that encompass the revised
objectives
· promote questioning, hypothesizing, analyzing, reflecting, and
problem solving (experiments, interviews, photographs,
editorials, maps)

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  • 1. What Predicts Psychological Resilience After Disaster? The Role of Demographics, Resources, and Life Stress George A. Bonanno Teachers College, Columbia University Sandro Galea University of Michigan School of Public Health Angela Bucciarelli and David Vlahov New York Academy of Medicine A growing body of evidence suggests that most adults exposed to potentially traumatic events are resilient. However, research on the factors that may promote or deter adult resilience has been limited. This study examined patterns of association between resilience and various sociocontextual factors. The authors used data from a random-digit-dial phone survey (N � 2,752) conducted in the New York City area after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attack. Resilience was defined as having 1 or 0 posttraumatic stress disorder symptoms and as being associated with low levels of depression and substance use. Multivariate analyses indicated that the prevalence of resilience was uniquely predicted by participant gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, level of trauma exposure, income change, social support, fre- quency of chronic disease, and recent and past life stressors. Implications for future research and intervention are discussed.
  • 2. Keywords: resilience, trauma, resources, social support, ethnicity Try as we might, we cannot prevent bad things from happen- ing. During the course of a normal life span, almost everyone is confronted with the painful reality that loved ones die. Most adults are also exposed to at least one potentially traumatic event (PTE; e.g., physical or sexual assault or a life-threatening accident; Kessler, Sonnega, Bromet, Hughes, & Nelson, 1995). Fortunately, despite the frequency with which these events occur, only a relatively small subset of people typically expe- rience severe enough loss or trauma reactions to meet the criteria for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD; American Psychiatric Association, 2000). Although exposure to PTEs often results in transient trauma symptoms (e.g., difficulty sleeping or intrusive memories of the event), most people appear to fully recover from any adverse effects of such symp- toms within a relatively short period of time (Shalev, 2002), and many people appear to successfully navigate PTEs with little or no disruption in their normal ability to function (Bonanno, 2004). Adult Resilience in the Face of Potential Trauma Extending the pioneering work of developmental psychologists on resilience in children (e.g., Garmezy, 1971; Rutter, 1979), Bonanno (2004) defined adult resilience as the ability of adults in otherwise normal circumstances who are exposed to an isolated and potentially highly disruptive event such as the death of a close relation or a violent or life-threatening situation to maintain relatively stable, healthy levels of psychological and physi-
  • 3. cal functioning . . . as well as the capacity for generative experiences and positive emotions. (pp. 20 –21) This definition contrasts resilience with a more traditional recov- ery pathway characterized by readily observable elevations in psychological symptoms that endure for at least several months before gradually returning to baseline, pretrauma levels. A key point is that although resilient individuals may experience some short-term dysregulation and variability in their emotional and physical well-being, their reactions to a marker PTE tend to be relatively brief and usually do not impede their ability to function to a significant degree. Thus, resilient individuals among an ex- posed population report little or no psychological symptoms and evidence the ability to continue fulfilling personal and social responsibilities and to embrace new tasks and experiences. Initial evidence for widespread adult resilience in the face of an isolated but potentially devastating stressor event came from stud- ies of bereavement (Bonanno, Wortman, et al., 2002; Bonanno, Moskowitz, Papa, & Folkman, 2005) and, more recently, direct exposure to the September 11, 2001, terrorist attack on the World Trade Center in New York City (Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005). Bonanno, Galea, Bucciarelli, and Vlahov (2006) examined George A. Bonanno, Department of Counseling and Clinical Psychol- ogy, Teachers College, Columbia University; Sandro Galea, Center for Social Epidemiology and Population Health, University of Michigan
  • 4. School of Public Health; Angela Bucciarelli and David Vlahov, Center for Urban Epidemiological Studies, New York Academy of Medicine. This research was supported by National Instititutes of Health Grants MH 66081, MH 66391, and DA 13146-S2. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to George A. Bonanno, Department of Counseling and Clinical Psychology, 525 West 25th Street, Teachers College, Box 218, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027. E-mail: [email protected] Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology Copyright 2007 by the American Psychological Association 2007, Vol. 75, No. 5, 671– 682 0022-006X/07/$12.00 DOI: 10.1037/0022-006X.75.5.671 671 the prevalence of resilient outcomes in New York City and the contiguous geographic area during the first 6 months following the attack using data from a large probability sample (N � 2,752). The sample closely matched the most recent New York census data (Galea, Ahern, et al., 2002, Galea, Resnick, et al., 2002; Galea et al., 2003), and the measurement of PTSD symptoms was highly reliable at 1, 4, and 6 months post-September 11 (Resnick, Galea,
  • 5. Kilpatrick, & Vlahov, 2004). The large-scale nature of the study meant, however, that the type of multifaceted definition of resil- ience specified by Bonanno (2004) would not be possible. For this reason, these researchers adopted the relatively conservative ap- proach used in studies of the absence of depression (e.g., Judd, Akiskal, & Paulus, 1997) and defined a resilient outcome as either one or zero PTSD symptoms during the first 6 months after the attack. Despite this conservative definition, the proportion with resilient outcomes was at or above 50% across most exposure groups. Even among the groups with the most pernicious levels of exposure and highest probable PTSD, the proportion that was resilient never dropped below one third of the sample. Risk and Protective Factors Although these findings support the idea that adult resilience to trauma is common, the nature of the phenomenon is still relatively poorly understood (Bonanno, 2005). For example, conceptually, it seems clear that there should be multiple protective factors that promote resilience to adversity in both children (Werner, 1995) and adults (Bonanno, 2004). To date, however, most of the re- search on predictors of adult resilience has focused on person- centered variables, such as the tendency toward hardiness (Bar- tone, 1999) or self-enhancement (e.g., Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005; Bonanno, Field, Kovacevic, & Kaltman, 2002). The aim of the current study was to address this deficit by examining other factors that may inform resilience to PTEs, in- cluding demographics, social and material resources, and addi- tional life stressors (Brewin, Andrews, & Valentine, 2000; Hob- foll, 1989, 2002) using the same large probability sample
  • 6. examined in the Bonanno et al. (2006) study. Because there are so few data on the predictors of a resilient outcome among adults exposed to PTEs, we did not advance hypotheses about the prom- inence of specific predictor variables. Rather, we considered a range of factors that seemed likely correlates of resilience and then sought to identify the unique predictors through multivariate mod- eling. Demographic Variables Studies of risk factors for PTSD have consistently implicated female gender; minority ethnicity; lack of education; and, to a lesser extent, younger age (for meta-analytic data on these vari- ables, see Brewin et al., 2000). It seems plausible that the inverse of at least some of these factors (i.e., male gender, Caucasian ethnicity, level of education, older age) would predict increased likelihood of resilient outcomes (Bonanno, 2004). However, we also expected to observe unique associations between demo- graphic factors and a resilient outcome. Resources Another candidate set of variables that may potentially foster resilience pertains to social and material resources. Numerous theorists have delineated a crucial role for such resources in the ways adults cope with stress (e.g., Holahan & Moos, 1991; Laza- rus & Folkman, 1984; Murrell & Norris, 1983). There is also considerable research linking resources or change in resources with adjustment following PTEs (Freedy, Shaw, Jarrel, &
  • 7. Master, 1992; Ironson et al., 1997; Kaniasty & Norris, 1993). However, the potential salutary role of social and material resources has not yet been examined in research that has explicitly identified resilient outcomes following PTEs. Our conceptualization of resources in the present study was guided by Hobfoll’s (1989, 2002) conservation of resources (COR) theory. Central to this theory is the concept of resource change (i.e., resource loss or gain) and its role in the generation or amelioration of stress. However, because resilience is apparent relatively early, in the first few months after exposure (Bonanno, 2004), the overall presence or absence of resources is also a crucial issue. Accordingly, in the current study we included both measures of the presence of various resources and, when applicable, mea- sures of resource loss. We examined four types of resources based on groupings suggested by COR theory and by the Conservation of Resources Evaluation (COR–E) measure (Hobfoll & Lilly, 1993): material resources, such as income and income loss; energy re- sources, such as the availability of health insurance and loss of health insurance; interpersonal resources, such as the availability of social support or affinity groups; and work resources, such as employment or loss of employment. Additional Life Stress
  • 8. A third set of variables we considered were those pertaining to additional life stressors. The role of cumulative adversity on stress is well documented (Turner, Wheaton, & Lloyd, 1995). There is solid empirical evidence linking the risk for PTSD with increased life stress both prior to and following the marker traumatic event (Brewin et al., 2000). There is not yet evidence, however, regard- ing the possible role of life stress in adult resilience following PTEs. It seems plausible that the relative absence of life stress should be associated with a greater prevalence of resilient out- comes whereas the converse would be associated with a decreased prevalence of resilience. The Current Study The current study examined each of the aforementioned cate- gories as predictors of psychological resilience using a large prob- ability sample (N � 2,752) of residents from New York City and the contiguous geographic area obtained approximately 6 months after the September 11 terrorist attack. Although the large-scale nature of the study precluded a multimodal assessment of adjust- ment, we nonetheless attempted to provide further validation of the resilience category. The virtual absence of PTSD symptoms among these participants suggests that they had, in fact, coped well with the disaster. However, it is worth considering the possibility
  • 9. that the potential distress of trauma may have been manifested in other domains of adjustment (Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005; Luthar, Doernberger, & Zigler, 1993). To explore this possibility, we examined another form of psychopathology, depression, as well as participants’ self-reports of substance use (alcohol, ciga- rettes, and marijuana). If participants with one or zero PTSD 672 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV symptoms are, in fact, genuinely resilient, then they should evi- dence markedly less depression and less substance use relative to participants who had experienced mild–moderate trauma or PTSD. The primary analyses of the study examined associations be- tween levels of the predictor variables (demographics, depression and substance abuse, material resources, and life stress) and out- come. First, we sought support for the idea that resilience is more than the simple absence of PTSD by simultaneously examining predictors of resilience and mild–moderate trauma in relation to PTSD using a polychotomous multivariate logistic regression. Next, we focused more specifically on the unique predictors of the resilient outcome when compared with all other groups using a hierarchical multivariate logistic regression.
  • 10. Method Participants Data for this study came from a random-digit-dial household survey conducted approximately 6 months after September 11, 2001. The sampling frame included all adults in New York City and contiguous geographic areas in New York State, New Jersey, and Lower Fairfield County in Connecticut. Participants were interviewed in English, Spanish, Mandarin, and Cantonese, using translated and back-translated questionnaires and a computer- assisted telephone interview system. The overall cooperation rate was 56%, and the overall response rate (based on the sum of the number of completed and partial interviews divided by the sum of all numbers that were either eligible as residential telephone num- bers or of unknown eligibility) was 34%. The demographic break- down of the final sample (N � 2,752) adequately represented the broader New York population, as evidenced by comparison with the most recent census data (see Bonanno et al., 2006). Of partic- ular importance, the sample included a diverse spectrum of poten- tial trauma experience both during (e.g., in the World Trade Center at the time) and in the aftermath of the attack (e.g., loss of possessions; see Bonanno et al., 2006). Sampling weights were developed and applied to our data to correct potential selection bias related to the number of household telephones, persons in the
  • 11. household, and oversampling. Further discussions of the methods and results from the first of these surveys can be found elsewhere (Galea, Ahern, et al., 2002; Galea, Resnick, et al., 2002). Measures Sociodemographics, exposure, and life stress. During the phone interview, respondents were asked questions using a struc- tured questionnaire. Questions about sociodemographic character- istics included information about age, gender, race/ethnicity, edu- cational attainment, income, marital status, household size, caretaker status, number and ages of children, and geographic location of residence. Questions about potential trauma exposure on September 11 included proximity to the World Trade Center complex during the attacks, viewing the attack in person, possible physical injury, involvement in rescue efforts, or loss of a friend or relative. The interview also included questions about previous PTE exposure (e.g., natural disaster, serious accident), exposure to recent stressors (e.g., death of a spouse or close family member), and exposure to ongoing traumas and stressors. Substance use. Following Vlahov et al. (2004), for each of three substances, cigarettes, alcohol, and marijuana, participants were first asked if they had ever used the substance (e.g., “Have you ever smoked cigarettes?”). Participants who endorsed any lifetime substance use were then asked about the number of
  • 12. cigarettes smoked, number of drinks consumed, and number of times marijuana was smoked in the months following September 11, 2001. For the analyses, we examined use of each of these substances as well as use of any substance. Depression. We used an adapted version of the module for major depressive disorder from the nonpatient version of the Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM (Spitzer, Williams, & Gibbon, 1987). This instrument has been used in several other population studies (e.g., Kilpatrick et al., 1998). Cronbach’s alpha for the eight symptoms used in this scale was .79 (Boscarino, Galea, Ahern, Resnick, & Vlahov, 2002). We previously compared the results for depression in the past 30 days with those obtained using the Brief Symptom Inventory—18 (BSI–18; Zabora et al., 2001) and showed the BSI–18 depression subscale had a sensitiv- ity of 73% and a specificity of 87% in detecting depression as classified by our depression instrument (Boscarino et al., 2004). PTSD symptoms. Symptoms of PTSD since September 11 were assessed using National Women’s Study (NWS) PTSD mod- ule. The NWS PTSD module was validated in a field trial and has a sensitivity of 99% and specificity of 79% when compared against PTSD from the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM–III–R (Kil- patrick et al., 1998), and it has evidenced good construct validity in previous research (Kilpatrick, Acierno, Resnick, Saunders, & Best, 1997; Kilpatrick et al., 1998). Both the 6-month cumulative
  • 13. PTSD estimates and the raw PTSD symptom totals were found to be highly reliable with PTSD estimates obtained from similar samples at 1 and 4 months post-September 11 (Resnick, Galea, Kilpatrick, & Vlahov, 2004). Outcome categories. The operational definitions for resil- ience, mild/moderate trauma, and probable PTSD were identical to those used in the Bonanno et al. (2006) study. These definitions were based on the observation that even ostensibly healthy indi- viduals sometimes exhibit low levels of psychiatric symptoms. For example, depression researchers have typically set the criterion for the absence of depression as one or zero symptoms (Judd et al., 1997). This same criterion has been used to determine resilience during bereavement (Zisook, Paulus, Shuchter, & Judd, 1997). Although data on the prevalence of PTSD symptoms in the ab- sence of exposure are relatively limited, one previous study re- ported that in the absence of a current PTE, the normal range for PTSD symptoms (based on the sample mean and standard devia- tion) was two or fewer symptoms (Bonanno, Moskowitz, Papa, & Folkman, 2005). Extending this literature, Bonanno et al. (2006) set a conservative definition for resilience as one or zero PTSD symptoms at any point in the first 6 months after the September 11 attack. Mild–moderate trauma was defined as two or more PTSD symptoms in the absence of the PTSD diagnosis at any point in the first 6 months. Finally, probable PTSD was defined using the standard Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders criteria applied to the first 6 months after the attack.
  • 14. Resources. We measured four categories of resources based on items from the COR–E (Hobfoll & Lilly, 1993) modified for application to the events of September 11. Material resources included income and income change. Energy resources included 673RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER the availability of a regular physician, retaining or losing health insurance, and quality of personal health (presence–absence of chronic disease). Interpersonal resources included a global social support variable created using three modified questions from the Medical Outcomes Study Social Support Survey (Sherbourne & Stewart, 1991). Responses to these questions were summed and divided into thirds to create a low, medium, or high social support score. An additional interpersonal resource variable pertained to involvement in groups or affiliative organizations, such as church– religious groups, veterans groups, sports or exercise groups, or literary–art discussion groups. Work resources was measured in terms of retaining or losing employment as a result of the Sep- tember 11 attack. Results Statistical Methods In a preliminary set of analyses designed to further explore the validity of the resilience category, we used two-tailed chi- square tests to detect associations between binary variables representing
  • 15. the presence–absence of depression and several types of substance use and the three outcome categories (resilience, mild–moderate trauma, probable PTSD). Next we examined patterns of associa- tion between the predictor variables and different outcome com- parisons using a multivariate polychotomous logistic regression. Probable PTSD was the referent category in this analysis. Finally, we conducted a hierarchical multiple logistic regression to deter- mine the unique predictors of resilience when compared with all other outcome groups. Demographic variables were entered on the first step of this analysis, followed by depression and substance abuse, resources, and current and past life stressors on subsequent steps. In these analyses, different levels of a predictor (e.g., racial– ethnic categories, different levels of income) were dummy coded. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were cal- culated to describe how well each level of a variable predicted outcome in comparison with the reference level of the variable (e.g., Asians compared with Whites), with all other variables in the model statistically controlled. In each of these analyses, we used SAS-callable SUDAAN 9.0.1 (Research Triangle Institute, 2004) to correct standard errors and statistical tests for weighting. Resilience, Substance Abuse, and Depression Binary (yes/no) scores for depression and substance use for the resilient, mild–moderate trauma, and probable PTSD outcome categories are presented in Table 1. The overall pattern of
  • 16. findings conformed to predictions of a healthier profile among resilient individuals. Dramatic and significant group differences were evi- denced for depression. A sizable proportion (37.7%) of the partic- ipants with probable PTSD exhibited elevated depression. The proportion of participants with depression was also high, although to a lesser extent (21.7%), among the mild–moderate trauma group. However, for resilient individuals, depression was almost nonexistent (1.3%) and well below the national average for de- pression (e.g., 4.9%; Blazer, Kessler, McGonagle, & Swartz, 1994). There were no significant group differences in overall substance use or in use of alcohol. However, group differences were signif- icant for cigarette use and marijuana use—again, with resilient participants evidencing the smallest proportion using these sub- stances. Cigarette smokers were equally prevalent in the probable PTSD group (27.3%) and mild–moderate trauma group (28.8%) but considerably less prevalent in the resilient group (19.9%). Marijuana use was also similarly prevalent in the probable PTSD group (8.5%) and mild–moderate trauma group (7.1%) and, again, was considerably less prevalent in the resilient group (3.8%). Together, these findings support the idea that the resilient group experienced a genuinely healthy course of adjustment. Polychotomous Multivariate Analysis
  • 17. A preliminary series of bivariate regressions indicated that all but three variables evidenced significant predictive associations with the resilience category. The three exceptions were involve- ment in groups or affiliative organizations, whether or not partic- ipants had a regular physician, and whether or not they used alcohol. Excluding these three variables, we next examined all remaining variables simultaneously in a multivariate polychoto- mous logistic regression with probable PTSD as the referent group. The ORs and 95% CIs for each level of each variable (see Table 2) indicated that although some variables evidenced consistent predictive relations across outcome comparisons, there were also a number of asymmetrical patterns of association. Specifically, the distinction between resilience and probable PTSD and between mild–moderate trauma and probable PTSD were each predicted by age, depression, marijuana use, income level, having been directly affected by September 11, and number of recent stressors. There were some asymmetries, however, within levels of these variables. For example, people were more likely to be resilient than to have PTSD if they earned over $100,000 but less likely to be resilient if they were 45 to 54 years of age. By contrast, income and age showed more varied prediction in distinguishing mild–moderate trauma from PTSD. More important, four variables distinguished resilience from PTSD (gender, income decline, traumatic events prior to September 11, and traumatic events post-September 11) but did not predict the distinction between mild–moderate
  • 18. trauma and PTSD. Multivariate Analysis Predicting Resilience To identify the unique predictors of resilience when compared with all other participants, we examined the same variables used in the preceding analysis in a hierarchical multivariate logistic re- gression. ORs and 95% CIs for each level of each variable for each model in the analysis are presented in Table 3. Demographic variables. With demographic variables entered together on the first step of the analysis, significant effects were observed for gender, age, and race/ethnicity. These variables also remained significant when other variables were added to the mod- els. In addition, education, which was not initially significant (Model 1), entered as a significant predictor of resilience when resources (Model 3) and life stressors (Model 4) were added. In the final model, women were less than half as likely (OR � 0.43) to be resilient as men; people 65 years of age or older were more than 3 times more likely (OR � 3.11) to be resilient as were people between 18 and 24 years of age; Asians were close to 3 times as likely (OR � 2.78) to be resilient as Whites; and, somewhat 674 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV surprisingly, people with a college degree were less likely to be
  • 19. resilient (OR � 0.51) compared with those who had not completed high school. Depression and substance use. These variables were entered primarily as control variables and, not surprisingly, depression and marijuana use predicted less resilience in each step of the models in which they were included. Resources. In terms of material resources, income was a sig- nificant predictor of resilience in the polychotomous analysis but did not predict resilience in the multivariate model. However, loss of income remained an important predictor in the final model. Compared with participants with no income loss, those who ex- perienced income decline as a result of the September 11 attack were less than half as likely (OR � 0.44) to be resilient. Among energy resources, loss of health insurance did not predict resil- ience, but number of physician-confirmed chronic diseases re- mained statistically meaningful in the final model. Compared with participants with no chronic diseases, resilience was about two thirds as likely (OR � 0.71) among participants with one or two chronic diseases, and only one third as likely (OR � 0.32) among participants with three or more chronic diseases. For interpersonal resources, although social support was only marginally associated with resilience when compared with PTSD in the polychotomous analysis, social support was a significant predictor of resilience when contrasted with all other outcomes. Compared with
  • 20. partici- pants with high levels of social support, participants with medium support were about 30% less likely (OR � 0.71) to be resilient. The same was true for participants with low support, although in this case the OR was just outside the 95% confidence interval. The work resource variable of loss of employment was not a significant predictor of resilience. Additional trauma exposure and life stress. As in the poly- chotomous analysis, each of the life stress and trauma exposure variables was a significant predictor of resilience. With all other variables controlled, being directly affected by the September 11 attack reduced the odds of a resilient outcome by over 40% (OR � 0.58). Using participants with no recent life stressors as the refer- ence group, we found that resilience was 71% as likely among participants with an additional recent life stressor, and only about half as likely (OR � 0.53) among participants with two or more recent life stressors. Compared with participants with no prior traumatic experiences, resilience was equally prevalent if there was one prior trauma (OR � 0.96), but close to half as likely (OR � 0.58) if there were two or three prior traumas, and less than half as likely (OR � 0.42) if there were four or more prior traumas. Compared with participants with no subsequent traumas after September 11, resilience was only about one third as likely (OR
  • 21. � 0.36) among participants who did experience subsequent traumas. Discussion The primary goal of the current study was to explore how the prevalence of resilience in the aftermath of disaster might vary in relation to various sociocontextual factors, such as demographics, the availability of social and material resources or the loss of resources, and past and current life stressors. As a preliminary step, we first sought to provide convergent support for our operational definition of resilience. In a prior study using the same data, Bonanno et al. (2006) defined resilience as one or zero PTSD symptoms during the first 6 months after the attack. In the current study, we demonstrated that people meeting this criterion had a markedly lower incidence of depression than people with mild– moderate trauma and probable PTSD. Resilient participants’ de- pression levels were, in fact, lower than the national average for nonclinical samples. Resilient participants were also significantly less likely to smoke cigarettes or use marijuana compared with the Table 1 Resilience, Mild–Moderate Trauma, and Probable Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) in Relation to Depression and Substance Use 6 Months After the September 11 Disaster Variable
  • 22. Total Resilience 1 or 0 PTSD symptoms Mild–moderate trauma � 2 PTSD symptoms Probable PTSD related to WTCD pan % n % n % n % Depression No 2,400 90.6 1,617 98.7 667 78.3 116 62.3 � .001 Yes 300 9.4 24 1.3 178 21.7 98 37.7 Substance use Any drug No 1,149 44.1 730 43.6 333 61.4 86 39.6 ns Yes 1,603 55.9 942 56.4 530 38.6 131 60.4 Cigarettes No 2,093 75.7 1,328 80.1 610 71.2 155 72.7 � .001 Yes 634 24.3 329 19.9 247 28.8 58 27.3 Alcohol No 1,369 54.3 835 51.0 422 49.5 112 52.8 ns Yes 1,332 45.8 801 49.0 430 50.5 101 47.2 Marijuana No 2,569 95.0 1,590 96.2 786 91.9 193 91.5 � .001 Yes 150 5.0 63 3.8 69 7.1 18 8.5
  • 23. Note. WTCD � World Trade Center disaster. a Significance of difference across groups based on chi-square analyses. 675RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER other groups. Although the large-scale nature of this study pre- cluded more in-depth examination of participants’ adjustment, these findings nonetheless provide important convergent support for the assumption that the resilient group did experience genu- inely healthy adjustment in the months following the attacks. Having established convergent support for the resilience cate- gory, we next sought support for the idea that resilience is more than the simple absence of PTSD (Bonanno, 2004) by examining patterns of association between predictor variables and outcome categories (resilient, mild–moderate trauma, and probable PTSD) using a polychotomous multivariate regression. As anticipated, although a number of variables distinguished both resilience and mild–moderate trauma from PTSD (e.g., age, depression, mari- juana use, income level, having been directly affected by Septem- ber 11, and number of recent stressors), there were also a number of asymmetries within levels of these variables. More important, a number of variables also distinguished resilience from PTSD but did not distinguish mild–moderate trauma from PTSD (e.g., gen- der, income decline, traumatic events prior to September 11,
  • 24. and traumatic events post-September 11). In a final analysis, we sought to identify the unique predictors of a resilient outcome using a hierarchical multivariate analysis that controlled for the covariation among predictors as well as the possible confounding association with exposure and more global types of dysfunction (e.g., depression and substance use). The results of this analysis indicated that the prevalence of resilience was uniquely predicted by participant gender, age, race– ethnicity, and education level; by the absence of depression and substance use; by less income loss, social support, and fewer chronic dis- eases; and by less direct impact of September 11 and fewer recent life stressors, fewer past prior traumatic events, and not having experienced an additional traumatic event since September 11. Table 2 Polychotomous Multivariate Regression Predicting Outcome, With Probable PTSD as Referent Category Variable Resilient vs. PTSD OR (95% CI) Mild–moderate trauma vs. PTSD OR (95% CI) Variable Resilient vs. PTSD
  • 25. OR (95% CI) Mild–moderate trauma vs. PTSD OR (95% CI) Gender Income decline Male — — No — — Female 0.44 (0.25–0.77) 1.03 (0.60–1.76) Yes 0.29 (0.16–0.53) 0.63 (0.35–1.1) Age Lost employment 18–24 — — No — — 25–34 0.59 (0.20–1.70) 0.54 (0.20–1.44) Yes 0.95 (0.34–2.68) 1.45 (0.56–3.73) 35–44 0.55 (0.19–1.58) 0.34 (0.13–0.90) Social support 45–54 0.21 (0.07–0.63) 0.18 (0.07–0.49) High — — 55–64 0.67 (0.19–2.31) 0.32 (0.10–1.03) Medium 0.52 (0.26– 1.04) 0.70 (0.36–1.37) 65� 0.85 (0.19–3.77) 0.24 (0.05–1.05) Low 0.52 (0.25–1.03) 0.68 (0.34–1.37) Race/ethnicity Lost health insurance White — — Asian 1.73 (0.47–6.41) 0.58 (0.15–2.20) Yes — — African American 0.65 (0.31–1.38) 0.54 (0.26–1.12) No 0.72 (0.19–2.80) 0.39 (0.12–1.27) Hispanic 0.47 (0.21–1.03) 0.63 (0.30–1.34) Chronic diseases Other 0.52 (0.16–1.69) 1.28 (0.45–3.70) 0 — — Education 1–2 0.82 (0.45–1.51) 1.21 (0.68–2.16)
  • 26. �HS graduate — — 3 or more 0.46 (0.12–1.68) 1.53 (0.46– 5.08) HS/GED 1.18 (0.37–3.72) 1.54 (0.52–4.61) Directly affected by 9/11 Some college 1.02 (0.28–3.65) 1.48 (0.44–4.95) College degree 0.51 (0.16–1.59) 1.05 (0.36–3.09) No — — Graduate degree 0.33 (0.09–1.17) 0.56 (0.17–1.91) Yes 0.22 (0.12–0.41) 0.32 (0.17–0.60) Depression Recent life stressor No — — 0 — — Yes 0.02 (0.01–0.05) 0.40 (0.22–0.72) 1 0.38 (0.20–0.71) 0.48 (0.26–0.90) Cigarette use 2 or more 0.48 (0.22–1.03) 0.90 (0.43–1.87) No — — Prior trauma Yes 1.05 (0.56–1.99) 1.19 (0.65–2.19) 0 — — Marijuana use 1 1.15 (0.46–2.90) 1.21 (0.48–3.05) No — — 2–3 0.44 (0.18–1.12) 0.73 (0.29–1.86) Yes 0.18 (0.07–0.44) 0.44 (0.20–0.97) 4 or more 0.21 (0.08– 0.53) 0.44 (0.17–1.10) Income Trauma since 9/11 �$20,000 — — No — — $20,000–$29,999 1.89 (0.64–5.53) 2.14 (0.76–5.98) Yes 0.35 (0.17–0.70) 0.96 (0.52–1.77) $30,000–$39,999 1.55 (0.56–4.26) 1.40 (0.56–3.54) $40,000–$49,999 2.23 (0.51–9.85) 1.96 (0.48–8.05) $50,000–$74,999 2.67 (0.95–7.51) 2.85 (1.07–7.55) $75,000–$99,999 2.28 (0.81–6.39) 2.60 (0.98–6.93) $100,000� 7.18 (2.11–24.43) 5.55 (1.71–18.02) Note. Model fit: Wald �2 � 9.29, N � 2,096, df � 74, p � .0001. PTSD � posttraumatic stress disorder. Significant ( p � .05) odds ratios (ORs) indicated
  • 27. in boldface. 676 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV Table 3 Summary of Hierarchical Multivariate Logistic Regression Predicting Resilience Versus All Other Groups Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI Gender Male — — — — — — — — Female 0.60 0.48–0.75 0.58 0.46–0.74 0.54 0.40–0.71 0.43 0.32–0.59 Age 18–24 — — — — — — — — 25–34 0.87 0.58–1.30 0.78 0.49–1.25 1.01 0.59–1.72 1.02 0.59– 1.79 35–44 1.33 0.89–2.00 1.09 0.68–1.73 1.47 0.85–2.56 1.47 0.81– 2.64 45–54 0.99 0.65–1.49 0.74 0.46–1.20 0.97 0.56–1.68 0.98 0.55– 1.76 55–64 1.47 0.92–2.35 1.01 0.60–1.69 2.02 1.09–3.75 1.87 0.97– 3.57 65� 2.60 1.60–4.21 1.73 1.00–2.49 3.95 1.98–7.88 3.11 1.53– 6.31 Race/ethnicity White — — — — — — — —
  • 28. Asian 2.35 1.28–4.33 2.39 1.13–5.06 3.21 1.41–7.31 2.78 1.24– 6.22 African American 0.99 0.73–1.34 0.85 0.61–1.18 1.04 0.72–1.50 1.12 0.77–1.65 Hispanic 0.77 0.56–1.06 0.62 0.43–0.87 0.77 0.51–1.17 0.71 0.46–1.09 Other 0.53 0.31–0.90 0.38 0.21–0.68 0.35 0.18–0.70 0.40 0.19– 0.87 Education �high school graduate — — — — — — — — High school-GED 1.31 0.84–2.04 1.26 0.77–2.06 0.76 0.40–1.47 0.84 0.44–1.59 Some college 1.18 0.75–1.87 1.12 0.68–1.86 0.62 0.32–1.23 0.75 0.39–1.45 College degree 1.29 0.82–2.03 1.04 0.63–1.72 0.48 0.24–0.94 0.51 0.27–0.98 Graduate degree 1.55 0.95–2.55 1.26 0.73–2.17 0.53 0.26–1.09 0.58 0.29–1.17 Depression No — — — — — — Yes 0.04 0.02–0.08 0.04 0.02–0.09 0.05 0.02–0.11 Cigarette use No — — — — — — Yes 0.79 0.59–1.05 0.84 0.60–1.18 0.91 0.64–1.28 Marijuana use No — — — — — — Yes 0.33 0.19–0.60 0.37 0.20–0.68 0.37 0.20–0.69 Income �$20,000 — — — — $20,000–$29,999 1.08 0.61–1.91 0.97 0.55–1.73 $30,000–$39,999 1.08 0.63–1.85 1.14 0.64–2.00
  • 29. $40,000–$49,999 1.30 0.67–2.51 1.25 0.63–2.47 $50,000–$74,999 1.08 0.63–1.88 1.07 0.60–1.91 $75,000–$99,999 0.93 0.53–1.62 0.99 0.55–1.78 $100,000� 1.46 0.86–2.50 1.55 0.87–2.76 Income decline No — — — — Yes 0.40 0.29–0.56 0.44 0.31–0.62 Lost employment No — — — — Yes 0.65 0.31–1.33 0.69 0.33–1.44 Social support High — — — — Medium 0.68 0.48–0.97 0.71 0.51–1.00 Low 0.68 0.49–0.95 0.71 0.49–1.03 Lost health insurance Yes — — — — No 1.26 0.50–3.17 1.60 0.56–4.56 Chronic diseases 0 — — — — 1–2 0.62 0.45–0.85 0.70 0.50–0.98 3 or more 0.24 0.14–0.43 0.32 0.18–0.56 Directly affected by September 11 No — — Yes 0.58 0.42–0.80 Recent life stressor 0 — — 1 0.71 0.51–1.00 2 or more 0.53 0.34–0.81
  • 30. (Table Continues) 677RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER Before moving onto the broader implications of these findings, we consider each of the multivariate predictors in more detail and also the limitations of the study. Of the demographic variables, gender emerged as a robust predictor of resilience. Gender has shown a complex relationship to adjustment among at-risk children, with the direction of predic- tion often depending on the type of symptom measured (e.g., Fergusson & Horwood, 2003), but a more straightforward associ- ation with PTSD in adults (Brewin et al., 2000). Although the current study does not offer insights into the reason why female gender was associated with a reduced likelihood of resilience, clearly this should be an important research topic for future stud- ies. To this end, in a subsequent study, we plan to examine more closely whether different factors might interact with gender in predicting resilience. Ethnic minority status is often reported as a risk factor for the development of PTSD (e.g., Breslau, Peterson, Poisson, Schultz, & Lucia, 2004). Hispanics have been reported to evidence the great- est risk for PTSD (e.g., Kulka et al., 1990; Perilla, Norris, & Lavizzo, 2002), whereas the findings are somewhat more
  • 31. equivo- cal for African Americans (Mainous, Smith, Acierno, & Geesey, 2005; Perilla et al., 2002). However, studies reporting racial– ethnic differences in PTSD have often failed to account for the confounding influence of other risk factors, such as low socioeco- nomic status (McGruder-Johnson, Davidson, Gleaves, Stock, & Finch 2000). Indeed, in a recent study of responses to the Septem- ber 11 attack, bivariate racial– ethnic differences in PTSD were rendered nonsignificant when socioeconomic factors were statis- tically controlled (e.g., Adams & Boscarino, 2005). This was also true in the current study. Univariate analyses of the sample used in this study indicated a lower prevalence of resilience among His- panics (Bonanno et al., 2006). However, when the covariance among the predictors was controlled in the current study, the difference between Whites and Hispanics was nonexistent. The available evidence on trauma reactions among Asians is limited primarily to refugee populations with, usually, high levels of prior trauma exposure, and not surprisingly, these groups report high levels of PTSD (Lee, Lei, & Sue, 2001). The Asian partici- pants in the current study did not evidence high levels of PTSD and, in fact, were considerably more likely to be resilient com- pared with all other participants. In the multivariate analysis, which controlled not only for socioeconomic variables but also for the potentially confounding influence of prior trauma, Asian par- ticipants were close to 3 times as likely to be resilient as White
  • 32. participants. The age of the participants at the time of a PTE has shown a mixed pattern of findings in previous research. However, when age effects have been reported, they have tended to indicate more extreme reactions in younger people, following both loss (Bon- anno & Kaltman, 1999) and potential trauma (Brewin et al., 2000). The findings of the current study were generally consistent with this pattern. Participants over 65 years of age were least likely to have PTSD and more than 3 times as likely to be resilient com- pared with the youngest (18- to 24-year-old) participants. Another demographic variable, level of education, has consis- tently evidenced a small but reliable inverse association with PTSD (Brewin et al., 2000). In a previous study of the same participants (Bonanno et al., 2006), univariate analysis associated higher levels of education with a greater prevalence of resilience. However, in the current study, when other demographic factors, exposure, resources, and life stress were statistically controlled, education was inversely associated with resilience. Specifically, participants with a college education were only about half as likely (OR � 0.51) to be resilient as were participants with less than a high school education. This is the first evidence we know of where, with other factors held constant, education actually appears to impede adaptation to trauma. This effect may prove to be unique to the September 11 attack, or perhaps more broadly to the over- whelming and seemingly incomprehensible nature of large-scale
  • 33. disaster. Clearly, our data cannot adjudicate between these and other possible explanations, and further research is warranted. Among the resource variables we examined, income change, social support, and the absence of chronic disease emerged as solid predictors of resilience. Absolute level of income is often associ- ated with PTSD symptoms when considered in isolation. However, in multivariate analyses that control for the convariance among sociocontextual variables, income level rarely explains much of the PTSD variance (e.g., McCarren et al., 1995; Middleton, Will- ner, & Simmons, 2002). This same pattern was evident in the present study for income level in relation to resilience. By contrast, however, the loss of income remained a significant predictor of resilience even with other socioeconomic and demographic vari- ables controlled. People who experienced a significant decline in income in the aftermath of the September 11 attack were in fact Table 3 (continued ) Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI Prior traumatic events 0 — — 1 0.96 0.65–1.43 2–3 0.58 0.40–0.85 4 or more 0.42 0.26–0.68
  • 34. Trauma since September 11 No — — Yes 0.36 0.22–0.56 Note. Model 1, Wald �2 � 13.89, N � 2,661, df � 14, p � .0001; Model 2, Wald �2 � 19.71, N � 2,567, df � 17, p � .0001; Model 3, Wald �2 � 10.11, N � 2,096, df � 30, p � .0001; Model 4, Wald �2 � 9.69, N � 2,096, df � 37, p � .0001. Significant ( p � .05) odds ratios (ORs) are indicated in boldface. CI � confidence interval. 678 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV less than half as likely to be resilient as participants who did not experience income loss. The absence of social support has been consistently associated with PTSD (e.g., Brewin et al., 2000; Davidson, Hughes, Blazer, & George, 1991), whereas the presence of support has been found to foster recovery from trauma over time (Koenen, Stellman, Stell- man, & Sommer, 2003). Perceived social support is generally associated with health and well-being. However, it was not obvi- ous from this evidence that social support would evidence an association with resilience. Our findings suggest that it does. Although involvement in affinity groups and organizations was unrelated to resilience, people with lower levels of perceived social support were less likely to be resilient.
  • 35. Another resource variable, the absence of chronic disease, was strongly associated with resilience. There is some evidence that chronic health problems increase the likelihood of PTSD reactions (Amir & Ramati, 2002). Although in the current study chronic disease did not distinguish PTSD from the other outcome catego- ries, in the multivariate analysis chronic disease was clearly asso- ciated with a reduced likelihood of resilience. The most robust class of variables associated with resilience in the current study pertained to the absence of additional life stres- sors. There is plentiful evidence linking both current life stress and past traumatic experiences with PTSD (Brewin et al., 2000). In one of the few prospective studies to examine these variables, Ong, Bergeman, and Bisconti (2004) found that chronic stress following the death of a spouse resulted in less differentiation of emotional responding, which in turn implied an association between chronic stress and reduced resilience in the face of loss. However, no research had yet examined whether the absence of current or past life stress might be directly linked with resilience. In the current study, the multivariate analysis indicated significant relations be- tween resilience and each of the life stress variables we examined. Specifically, resilience was more prevalent among people who
  • 36. reported no prior traumatic events, no recent life stressors, and no experience of additional traumatic events since September 11. Complementarily, participants with the most extreme life stress (e.g., several recent life stressors) were only about one third as likely to be resilient. Limitations Although the design of the current study made it possible to examine a range of sociocontextual predictors in a large sample exposed to a single disaster event, there were also several meth- odological limitations that might be addressed in future studies. One obvious limitation was that because of the large-scale nature of the study, the definition of resilience we used in the current study was necessarily restricted. It will be important for future studies to continue to explore how resilience might be defined using a more diverse array of subjective and objective measures, such as clinical interviews, ratings of participant adjustment from close friends or relatives, and other markers of optimal social and occupational functioning (Bonanno, Wortman, et al., 2002; Bon- anno, Moskowitz, et al., 2005; Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005). Another limitation of the current investigation that might be considered in future studies is the relatively proscribed nature of the sociocontextual factors we measured. Although we explored a wide range of sociocontextual variables, there are still other factors
  • 37. that might potentially inform resilient outcomes after disaster. For example, following research on resilient functioning in at-risk children (Cowen, 1991; Rutter, 1999; Werner, 1995), future stud- ies of resilience after disaster might further explore how resilience relates to different aspects of social adjustment, such as the quality of close relationships or family interactions (Kiser & Black, 2005). It would also be fruitful to examine support variables at the level of community support services and interactions and how these support systems themselves are influenced by disaster (e.g., Ka- niasty & Norris, 1993). Similarly, although past and current life stress emerged in this study as an important category of predictors of resilience, as in most studies reporting such effects, measure- ment of these variables was limited to participant self-report. It will be interesting to examine whether these predictive relation- ships hold when more objective life stress data, such as biological markers of illness or stress, or medical records, are used. Finally, it should be noted that univariate analyses were used to first determine which predictors to retain for multivariate modeling, which may limit generalizability, and large number of comparisons were examined, which may inflate Type I error. Implications When considered within the bounds of the limitations we have discussed, the findings of the current study provide important new
  • 38. information to help flesh out the emergent portrait of resilience among adults exposed to extreme adversity. That these variables emerged as independent predictors is of particular significance because this means we might consider these factors to exert an additive or cumulative influence on resilience. Developmental theorists have for years argued that resilience to aversive child- hood contexts results from a cumulative mix of person-center variables (e.g., disposition, personality) and sociocontextual (e.g., family interaction, community support systems) risk and protective factors (Garmezy, 1991; Rutter, 1999; Werner, 1995). The multi- variate analysis in the current study likewise suggests that resil- ience among adults exposed to an isolated PTE is informed by a cumulative mix of factors. It will be important for future studies to explore how sociocontextual factors might combine with person- ality variables that appear to promote resilience (Bartone, 1999; Bonanno, Rennicke, & Dekel, 2005; Bonanno, Field, et al., 2002) and whether these or other factors (e.g., gender or age) might interact in more complex predictive relationships (Rutter, 1987). A compelling implication of the putative cumulative nature of resilience-promoting factors is that there may be myriad ways to conceptualize prophylactic intervention in the aftermath of disaster (Litz, Gray, Bryant, & Adler, 2002; Shalev, 2004). In recent years, ideas about early intervention have been dominated by psycholog- ical approaches, such as critical incident stress debriefing (Mitch-
  • 39. ell, 1983; Mitchell & Everly, 2000). Unfortunately, a growing body of evidence has indicated that the global application of brief psychological interventions, such as debriefing, is ineffective (Rose, Brewin, Andres, & Kirk, 1999) and often even harmful (Bisson, Jenkins, Alexander, & Bannister, 1997; Mayou, Ehlers, & Hobbs, 2000; for a review, see McNally, Bryant, & Ehlers, 2003). Some investigators have argued that early psychological interven- tions could be improved if they targeted only those people most at risk for the development of chronic PTSD (e.g., Litz et al., 2002). 679RESILIENCE AFTER DISASTER One obvious category for this type of targeted intervention would be people who show early signs of elevated distress or trauma symptoms. However, several studies have now shown that survi- vors with the highest initial symptom levels are actually more likely to experience the negative effects of early intervention (Mayou et al., 2000; Sijbrandji, Olff, Reitsma, Carter, & Gersons, 2005). In response to the sobering limitations of brief psychological interventions, Shalev (2004) argued that “early interventions in communities suffering mass trauma should consist of general support and bolstering of the recovery environment rather than psychological treatment” (p. 174). The findings of the current study are not incompatible with this line of reasoning and
  • 40. suggest that sociocontextual variables are promising candidates for early risk assessment. Some of these factors, including low social sup- port or the struggle with chronic disease, might be identified and addressed relatively soon after the marker event. Other factors, such as marked loss of income or additional life stressors after the PTE, would require a longer postevent period for adequate assess- ment. Nonetheless, these factors too could be targeted for inter- vention to help foster healthy adaptation. There is also evidence to suggest that early psychological interventions might yet be effec- tive, provided they are enacted as part of a broader ecological approach that includes the assessment and intervention of socio- contextual factors (Sandler et al., 2003). It is our hope that the research reported in this article will inspire further study of the broad range of predictor variables that might inform resilient outcomes across different types of PTEs. It is our hope too that in future studies researchers will be able to heed one of the major implications of the current study regarding the vital importance of controlling for the potentially confounding impact of both socioeconomic factors and prior trauma history. Finally, it is our hope that continued research on the range of factors that
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  • 54. Turner, R. J., Wheaton, B., & Lloyd, D. A. (1995). The epidemiology of social stress. American Sociological Review, 60, 104 –125. Vlahov, D., Galea, S., Ahern, J., Resnick, H., Boscarino, J. A., Gold, J., et al. (2004). Consumption of cigarettes, alcohol, and marijuana among New York City residents six months after the September 11 terrorist attacks. American Journal of Drug and Alcohol Abuse, 30, 385– 407. Werner, E. E. (1995). Resilience in development. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 4, 81– 85. Zabora, J., Brintzenhofe, S. K., Jacobsen, P., Curbow, B., Piantados, S., Hooker, C., et al. (2001). A new psychosocial screening instrument for use with cancer patients. Psychosomatics, 42, 241–246. Zisook, S., Paulus, M., Shuchter, S. R., & Judd, L. L. (1997). The many faces of depression following spousal bereavement. Journal of Affective Disorders, 45(1–2), 85–94. Received April 13, 2006 Revision received December 19, 2006 Accepted February 19, 2007 � New Editors Appointed, 2009 –2014
  • 55. The Publications and Communications Board of the American Psychological Association an- nounces the appointment of six new editors for 6-year terms beginning in 2009. As of January 1, 2008, manuscripts should be directed as follows: ● Journal of Applied Psychology (http://www.apa.org/journals/apl), Steve W. J. Kozlowski, PhD, Department of Psychology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824. ● Journal of Educational Psychology (http://www.apa.org/journals/edu), Arthur C. Graesser, PhD, Department of Psychology, University of Memphis, 202 Psychology Building, Memphis, TN 38152. ● Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Interpersonal Relations and Group Processes (http://www.apa.org/journals/psp), Jeffry A. Simpson, PhD, Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, 75 East River Road, N394 Elliott Hall, Minneapolis, MN 55455. ● Psychology of Addictive Behaviors (http://www.apa.org/journals/adb), Stephen A. Maisto, PhD, Department of Psychology, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244. ● Behavioral Neuroscience (http://www.apa.org/journals/bne), Mark S. Blumberg, PhD, De- partment of Psychology, University of Iowa, E11 Seashore Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242. ● Psychological Bulletin (http://www.apa.org/journals/bul),
  • 56. Stephen P. Hinshaw, PhD, Depart- ment of Psychology, University of California, Tolman Hall #1650, Berkeley, CA 94720. (Manuscripts will not be directed to Dr. Hinshaw until July 1, 2008, as Harris Cooper will continue as editor until June 30, 2008.) Electronic manuscript submission: As of January 1, 2008, manuscripts should be submitted electronically via the journal’s Manuscript Submission Portal (see the website listed above with each journal title). Manuscript submission patterns make the precise date of completion of the 2008 volumes uncertain. Current editors, Sheldon Zedeck, PhD, Karen R. Harris, EdD, John F. Dovidio, PhD, Howard J. Shaffer, PhD, and John F. Disterhoft, PhD, will receive and consider manuscripts through December 31, 2007. Harris Cooper, PhD, will continue to receive manuscripts until June 30, 2008. Should 2008 volumes be completed before that date, manuscripts will be redirected to the new editors for consideration in 2009 volumes. 682 BONANNO, GALEA, BUCCIARELLI, AND VLAHOV Grading Rubric Chapter Snapshot 1. Statement of Disability (What is it?)
  • 57. ______/3 2. Diagnosis and Evaluation of Disability (How do you know if someone has it?) ______/4 3. Characteristics of Disability (What are common characteristics?) ______/5 4. Treatments for disabilities (remember these will not always be medical, but may include therapy, training, etc.) ______/3 5. Classroom modifications/coping mechanisms (at least 15 required) ______/5 Sub-Total ______ 6. Deduction for grammatical and spelling errors (1/2 point per error) - ______ Total _____ /20 Comments: Gifted/Talented Snapshot I. Statement of Disability Giftedness, intelligence, and talent are fluid concepts and may look different in different contexts and cultures. Even within schools you will find a range of beliefs about the word "gifted," which has become a term with multiple meanings and much nuance. Gifted children may develop asynchronously: their minds are often ahead of their physical growth, and specific cognitive and social-emotional functions can develop unevenly.
  • 58. Some gifted children with exceptional aptitude may not demonstrate outstanding levels of achievement due to environmental circumstances such as limited opportunities to learn as a result of poverty, discrimination, or cultural barriers; due to physical or learning disabilities; or due to motivational or emotional problems. This dichotomy between potential for and demonstrated achievement has implications for schools as they design programs and services for gifted students. Definitions provide the framework for gifted education programs and services, and guide key decisions such as which students will qualify for services, the areas of giftedness to be addressed in programming (e.g., intellectual giftedness generally, specific abilities in math), when the services will be offered, and even why they will be offered. There is no universally accepted definition of giftedness. II. Diagnosis and Evaluation of Disability General education teachers are usually the first to recognize that a student may be gifted. For this reason, teachers need to recognize some of the behaviors and share these observations with parents. Behaviors of Gifted Students teachers should be aware of: Cognitive: · Child asks a lot of questions. · Have lots of information on many things. · Want to know why or how something is so. · Refuse to drill on spelling, math, facts, flash cards, or handwriting. · Seems bored and often has nothing to do. · Child sticks to a subject long after the class has gone on to other things. Academic: · Shows unusual ability in some area, perhaps reading or math. · Shows fascination with one field of interest and manages to include this interest in all discussion topics. · Get math answers correct, but find it difficult to tell you how.
  • 59. · Enjoy graphing everything. Seems obsessed with probabilities. · Invent new, obscure systems and codes. Creativity: · Try to do things in different, unusual, imaginative ways. · Have a really zany sense of humor. · Enjoys new routines or spontaneous activities. · Loves variety and novelty. · Seem to never proceed sequentially. Leadership: · Organize and lead group activities · Enjoys taking risks. · Seems cocky, self-assured. · Enjoys making decisions. Teachers, parents, special educators as well as diagnosticians would be involved in the next step, which would be the referral process and assessment. The information assembled will help determine whether the student should receive special services. There are a variety of screening instruments to help identify gifted students to include: · Individualized intelligence test · Individualized achievement test · Creativity assessment · Checklists of gifted characteristics · Anecdotal records · Curriculum-based assessment · Direct Observation · Visual and performing arts assessment · Leadership assessment · Case-study approach. III. Characteristics of Disability Gifted students generally have unusual talent in one or occasionally two areas. Below are six areas where we will find
  • 60. giftedness. No child will be gifted in all six, but some may be in more than one area. Within specific academic ability, students again usually have one or two subjects that they are best in and passionate about. The six areas are: · Creative Thinking · Independent thinker · Exhibits original thinking in oral and written expression · Comes up with several solutions to a given problem · Possesses a sense of humor · Creates and invents · Challenged by creative tasks · Improvises often · Does not mind being different from the crowd · Leadership · Assumes responsibility · High expectations for self and others · Fluent, concise self-expression · Foresees consequences and implications of decisions · Good judgment in decision making · Likes structure · Well-liked by peers · Self-confident · Organized · General Intellectual Ability · Formulates abstractions · Processes information in complex ways · Observant · Excited about new ideas · Enjoys hypothesizing · Learns rapidly · Uses a large vocabulary · Inquisitive · Self-starter · Specific Academic Ability · Good memorization ability · Advanced comprehension
  • 61. · Acquires basic skill knowledge quickly · Widely read in special interest area · High academic success in special interest area · Pursues special interest with enthusiasm and vigor · Visual/ Performing Arts · Outstanding in sense of spatial relationships · Unusual ability in expressing self, feeling, moods, etc., through dance, drama, music, etc. · Good motor coordination · Exhibits creative expression · Desire for producing “own product” (not content with mere copying) · Observant IV. Treatment Ensuring that highly able learners are recognized and subsequently served through systematic programming is of the highest priority. All teachers must be able to recognize a high- ability student who needs more depth and complexity in instruction or may need a referral for further assessment and services. Teachers in specialized programs for gifted learners or those who coordinate gifted and talented programs and services should be familiar with the theory, research, curriculum strategies, and educational practices necessary to develop and sustain high quality classroom-based opportunities for advanced student learning V. Classroom Modifications/Coping Mechanisms The challenge for educators is to allow gifted and talented students to work at higher instructional levels, at a faster pace, and with a variety of materials. To better meet the needs of gifted and talented students, the classroom environment should be a positive place where students may: · ask many questions · discuss information in detail, elaborate · thrive on complexity · begin assignments with only basic guidelines (don’t try to
  • 62. over teach) · experiment and venture · employ a variety of approaches · find acceptance for unique ideas and responses Possible strategies to modify, differentiate, and enrich the curriculum for all students: · identify students’ interests, strengths, styles, and preferences · categorize the curriculum objective · evaluate the quality of the curriculum components · brainstorm ways that the curriculum is connected to the real worlds (e.g., roles, problems, representative topics, products, and resources) · connect the curriculum to the fields of knowledge · escalate the objective · create an enhanced set of introductory activities (e.g. advance organizers, concept maps, concept puzzles) · choose active teaching/learning opportunities · incorporate authentic components · involve parents in learning objectives and activities · use diagnostic tools (e.g., KWL, journal) · provide options, alternatives and choices to differentiate and broaden the curriculum · organize and offer flexible small group learning activities · provide whole group enrichment explorations · teach cognitive and methodological skills · use center, stations, or contracts · organize integrated problem-solving simulations · debrief students · propose interest-based extension activities · organize and offer enrichment clusters · connect student to related talent development opportunities outside the classroom Teachers should also consider using the following strategies:
  • 63. · rephrase the learning objective as reflective, guiding questions · consider the criteria you will use to assess novice, intermediate, and advanced learners’ initial knowledge · brainstorm and select representative topics, problems, roles, scenarios, resources, or products that encompass the revised objectives · promote questioning, hypothesizing, analyzing, reflecting, and problem solving (experiments, interviews, photographs, editorials, maps)