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Cost Management
Martin Sillaots
2019
# 8
Purpose of the Cost Management
Budgeting and controlling the costs so that the
project can be completed within the approved
budget
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Management
• Cost estimating
• Cost budgeting
• Cost control
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Project Phases and Processes
Initiation
Planning
Execution Control
Closing
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost in the Project Plan
Scope
definition
Quality
planning
Activity
definition
Activity
sequencing
Duration
estimation
Schedule
development
Organization
planning
Resource
planning
Communica-
tion planning
Procurement
planning
Plan
contracting
Select
sellers
Seller
responses
Risk
management
Risk
identification
Qualitative
analysis
Quantitative
analysis
Response
planning
Budgeting
Project
plan
Initiation
Execution
WBS
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Inputs:
- Enterprise factors
- Organization assets
- Project Scope
- WBS
- Schedule
- Staffing plan
- Resource rates
Methods:
- Estimating methods
- Budgeting
- PM Software
Outputs
- Activity cost
estimates
- Cost baseline
- Project funding
requirements
Cost Budgeting
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Inputs
Cost Budgeting
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Enterprise Factors
• Market conditions
• Commercial databases
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Organizational Assets
• Cost estimating policies
• Cost estimating templates
• Historical information
• Project files
• Knowledge and experience
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Example of Resource Rates
P1 P6 P2 P3 P4 P5 P7
EE EE IT BG EL EL PT
TLU Gamrilla USGM IMI UTH CERTH ISEP
MANAGERS 240,00 240,00 286,83 180,00 164,00 164,00 255,33
RESEARCHERS 200,00 200,00 152,62 160,00 137,00 137,00 239,58
TECHNICAL 180,00 180,00 292,65 160,00 102,00 102,00 54,76
ADMINISTRATIVES 160,00 160,00 225,70 50,00 78,00 78,00 94,62
Staff cost day
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Methods
Cost Budgeting
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Estimating Methods
• Top-down
• Parametric
• Comparative
• Bottom-up
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Estimate levels
• Approximate ± 25%
• Comparative ± 15%
• Operational ± 10%
• Exact ± 5%
± 0% when the project is completed
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Exercise
Project Cost Estimation based on WBS
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Estimation Example
WBS Cost
1 Needs Analysis 4 800
2 Content Development 20 400
3 Software Design 4 800
4 Software Development 14 400
5 Study/analysis 6 000
6 Teacher Materials 2 400
7 Public Relations 8 400
Total 61 200
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Outputs
Cost Budgeting
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Budgeting Outcomes
• Budget plan
• Cash flow forecast
• Project total cost
• Funding plan
• Resource cost details
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Task, WP and Project Cost
Cash Flow Forecast
Resource Costs
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Budget Example
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Budget Example
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Funding Plan Example
No Period Date
1 - M4/5
2 M1 - M6 M10
3 M1 - M12 M16
4 M13 - M18 M22
5 M18 - M24 M28
6 M25 – M30 M34
7 M25 - M36 M40
M37- M42
8 M37 - M48 M48+4
Payment Total funding
60 000 60 000
20 000 80 000
15 000 95 000
25 000 120 000
25 000 145 000
10 000 155 000
15 000 170 000
0 170 000
30 000 200 000
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Budget, Cash Flow and Funding
BMBOK Guide 2009
Cost Control
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Project Phases and Processes
Initiation
Planning
Execution Control
Closing
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Control
Information
distribution
Project
execution
Procurement
management
Reporting
Team
development
Schedule
control
Scope
verification
Cost
control
Quality
control
Risk
monitoring
Change
management
Planning
Closing
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Inputs:
- Project plan
- Project budget
- Funding
requirements
- Performance reports
Methods:
- Cost control system
- Performance
measurement
analysis
- Performance reviews
- Variance analysis
- Forecasting
- PMIS
Outputs
- Cost estimation
updates
- Budget updates
- Project plan updates
- Forecasts
- Corrective actions
- Trends
Cost Control
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Control System
• Comparing actual costs with baseline costs
• Reflecting schedule and scope changes in the
budget
• Avoiding non-eligible expenses
• Change communication
• Bringing cost overruns within accepted limit
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Earned Value Method
Method that measures
performance of the project and
forecast future performance based
on past performance
work completed ratio × budget price
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Earned Value Analysis EVA
• Method for measuring project progress
• Project scope, duration and cost integration
• Enables to estimate project final cost and duration in
the middle of the project
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Concept of Earned Value
• Planned value (PV) = planned work × budget price
• Earned value (EV) = work completed ratio × budget
price (actual performance % × budgeted total cost)
• Actual cost (AC) = actual work × actual cost
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Planned Value - Earned Value - Actual Value
BMBOK Guide 2009 www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Earned Value Implementation
• Cost variance (CV) = earned value (EV) – actual cost (AC)
• Schedule variance (SV) = earned value (EV) – planned value
(PV)
• Cost estimation (cost performance index CPI) = earned
value(EV) / actual cost (AC)
• Duration estimation (schedule performance index SPI) =
earned value (EV) / planned value (PV)
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Planned task duration 4 d
Planned resource cost 30 $/h
Planned task total cost 960 $/h
Completed duration 2 d
Planned percent complete 50%
Remaining duration estimation 3 d
Actual percent complete 40%
Actual resource cost 25 $/h
How big is:
Planned value 480 $
Earned value 384 $
Actual value 400 $
Estimated total cost 1000 $
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Planned task duration 4 d
Planned resource cost 30 $/h
Planned task total cost 960 $/h = 4d x 30 x 8h
Completed duration 2 d
Planned percent complete 50% = 2d / 4d
Remaining duration estimation 3 d
Actual percent complete 40% = 2d / 5d
Actual resource cost 25 $/h
How big is:
Planned value 480 $ = 2d x 30 x 8h
Earned value 384 $ = 960 x 40%
Actual value 400 $ = 2d x 25 x 8h
Estimated total cost 1000 $ = 5d x 8d x 25$/h
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Variance Analysis
Task Name Fixed
Cost
Total Cost Baseline Variance Actual Remaining
Mullatööd 0,00 € 9 840,00 € 8 640,00 € 1 200,00 € 9 840,00 € 0,00 €
Pinnase
eemaldamine
0,00 € 2 400,00 € 1 200,00 € 1 200,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 €
Süvendi kaevamine 0,00 € 2 400,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 €
Pinnase äravedu 0,00 € 4 400,00 € 4 400,00 € 0,00 € 4 400,00 € 0,00 €
Planeerimine 0,00 € 640,00 € 640,00 € 0,00 € 640,00 € 0,00 €
Vundament ja põrand 0,00 € 11 000,00 € 11 000,00 € 0,00 € 4 493,33 € 6 506,67 €
Tihendatud aluse
rajamine
0,00 € 1 880,00 € 1 880,00 € 0,00 € 1 880,00 € 0,00 €
Vundamendi ja
põranda valamine
0,00 € 7 840,00 € 7 840,00 € 0,00 € 2 613,33 € 5 226,67 €
Vundamendi
soojustamine
0,00 € 1 280,00 € 1 280,00 € 0,00 € 0,00 € 1 280,00 €
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Cost Forecasting Method
• CPI - Cost Performance Index (CPI= EV/AC)
• ETC - Estimate to Complete - the remaining cost of
the project
• EAC - Estimate at Completion - the total cost of the
project at the end
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
Trend Analysis
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
The End of the Money
martinsillaots@gmail.com

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Project Cost Management

  • 2. Purpose of the Cost Management Budgeting and controlling the costs so that the project can be completed within the approved budget www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 3. Cost Management • Cost estimating • Cost budgeting • Cost control www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 4. Project Phases and Processes Initiation Planning Execution Control Closing www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 5. Cost in the Project Plan Scope definition Quality planning Activity definition Activity sequencing Duration estimation Schedule development Organization planning Resource planning Communica- tion planning Procurement planning Plan contracting Select sellers Seller responses Risk management Risk identification Qualitative analysis Quantitative analysis Response planning Budgeting Project plan Initiation Execution WBS www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 6. Inputs: - Enterprise factors - Organization assets - Project Scope - WBS - Schedule - Staffing plan - Resource rates Methods: - Estimating methods - Budgeting - PM Software Outputs - Activity cost estimates - Cost baseline - Project funding requirements Cost Budgeting www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 8. Enterprise Factors • Market conditions • Commercial databases www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 9. Organizational Assets • Cost estimating policies • Cost estimating templates • Historical information • Project files • Knowledge and experience www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 10. Example of Resource Rates P1 P6 P2 P3 P4 P5 P7 EE EE IT BG EL EL PT TLU Gamrilla USGM IMI UTH CERTH ISEP MANAGERS 240,00 240,00 286,83 180,00 164,00 164,00 255,33 RESEARCHERS 200,00 200,00 152,62 160,00 137,00 137,00 239,58 TECHNICAL 180,00 180,00 292,65 160,00 102,00 102,00 54,76 ADMINISTRATIVES 160,00 160,00 225,70 50,00 78,00 78,00 94,62 Staff cost day www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 12. Cost Estimating Methods • Top-down • Parametric • Comparative • Bottom-up www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 13. Cost Estimate levels • Approximate ± 25% • Comparative ± 15% • Operational ± 10% • Exact ± 5% ± 0% when the project is completed www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 14. Exercise Project Cost Estimation based on WBS www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 15. Cost Estimation Example WBS Cost 1 Needs Analysis 4 800 2 Content Development 20 400 3 Software Design 4 800 4 Software Development 14 400 5 Study/analysis 6 000 6 Teacher Materials 2 400 7 Public Relations 8 400 Total 61 200 www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 17. Cost Budgeting Outcomes • Budget plan • Cash flow forecast • Project total cost • Funding plan • Resource cost details www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 18. Task, WP and Project Cost Cash Flow Forecast Resource Costs www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 21. Funding Plan Example No Period Date 1 - M4/5 2 M1 - M6 M10 3 M1 - M12 M16 4 M13 - M18 M22 5 M18 - M24 M28 6 M25 – M30 M34 7 M25 - M36 M40 M37- M42 8 M37 - M48 M48+4 Payment Total funding 60 000 60 000 20 000 80 000 15 000 95 000 25 000 120 000 25 000 145 000 10 000 155 000 15 000 170 000 0 170 000 30 000 200 000 www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 22. Budget, Cash Flow and Funding BMBOK Guide 2009
  • 24. Project Phases and Processes Initiation Planning Execution Control Closing www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 26. Inputs: - Project plan - Project budget - Funding requirements - Performance reports Methods: - Cost control system - Performance measurement analysis - Performance reviews - Variance analysis - Forecasting - PMIS Outputs - Cost estimation updates - Budget updates - Project plan updates - Forecasts - Corrective actions - Trends Cost Control www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 27. Cost Control System • Comparing actual costs with baseline costs • Reflecting schedule and scope changes in the budget • Avoiding non-eligible expenses • Change communication • Bringing cost overruns within accepted limit www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 28. Earned Value Method Method that measures performance of the project and forecast future performance based on past performance work completed ratio × budget price www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 29. Earned Value Analysis EVA • Method for measuring project progress • Project scope, duration and cost integration • Enables to estimate project final cost and duration in the middle of the project www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 30. Concept of Earned Value • Planned value (PV) = planned work × budget price • Earned value (EV) = work completed ratio × budget price (actual performance % × budgeted total cost) • Actual cost (AC) = actual work × actual cost www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 31. Planned Value - Earned Value - Actual Value BMBOK Guide 2009 www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 32. Earned Value Implementation • Cost variance (CV) = earned value (EV) – actual cost (AC) • Schedule variance (SV) = earned value (EV) – planned value (PV) • Cost estimation (cost performance index CPI) = earned value(EV) / actual cost (AC) • Duration estimation (schedule performance index SPI) = earned value (EV) / planned value (PV) www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 33. Planned task duration 4 d Planned resource cost 30 $/h Planned task total cost 960 $/h Completed duration 2 d Planned percent complete 50% Remaining duration estimation 3 d Actual percent complete 40% Actual resource cost 25 $/h How big is: Planned value 480 $ Earned value 384 $ Actual value 400 $ Estimated total cost 1000 $ www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 34. Planned task duration 4 d Planned resource cost 30 $/h Planned task total cost 960 $/h = 4d x 30 x 8h Completed duration 2 d Planned percent complete 50% = 2d / 4d Remaining duration estimation 3 d Actual percent complete 40% = 2d / 5d Actual resource cost 25 $/h How big is: Planned value 480 $ = 2d x 30 x 8h Earned value 384 $ = 960 x 40% Actual value 400 $ = 2d x 25 x 8h Estimated total cost 1000 $ = 5d x 8d x 25$/h www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 35. Variance Analysis Task Name Fixed Cost Total Cost Baseline Variance Actual Remaining Mullatööd 0,00 € 9 840,00 € 8 640,00 € 1 200,00 € 9 840,00 € 0,00 € Pinnase eemaldamine 0,00 € 2 400,00 € 1 200,00 € 1 200,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 € Süvendi kaevamine 0,00 € 2 400,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 € 2 400,00 € 0,00 € Pinnase äravedu 0,00 € 4 400,00 € 4 400,00 € 0,00 € 4 400,00 € 0,00 € Planeerimine 0,00 € 640,00 € 640,00 € 0,00 € 640,00 € 0,00 € Vundament ja põrand 0,00 € 11 000,00 € 11 000,00 € 0,00 € 4 493,33 € 6 506,67 € Tihendatud aluse rajamine 0,00 € 1 880,00 € 1 880,00 € 0,00 € 1 880,00 € 0,00 € Vundamendi ja põranda valamine 0,00 € 7 840,00 € 7 840,00 € 0,00 € 2 613,33 € 5 226,67 € Vundamendi soojustamine 0,00 € 1 280,00 € 1 280,00 € 0,00 € 0,00 € 1 280,00 € www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 36. Cost Forecasting Method • CPI - Cost Performance Index (CPI= EV/AC) • ETC - Estimate to Complete - the remaining cost of the project • EAC - Estimate at Completion - the total cost of the project at the end www.projektor.ee/pm/#cost
  • 39. The End of the Money martinsillaots@gmail.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Mostly focus on cost of resources needed in order to complete the project. Project life-cycle costing = project decision effect on project results (e.g. limiting resign review = decreasing production costs, increasing client’s operational costs)
  2. Estimating – approximate costs (currency or work units) – focus on resources Budgeting – calculating task, WP and project cost In smaller projects cost estimating and budgeting are integrated together.
  3. +IN: Resource calendars Cost management plan +MET: Cost aggregation??? Cost of quality??? Reserve analysis??? Funding limit reconciliation +OUT: Requested changes???
  4. Market – what resources are available, what prices Commercial database as a service
  5. Too general
  6. Parameetriline – näiteks elamu hinna arvutamine ruutmeetrite alusel, tarkvara puhul 13 faktorist koosnev hindamismudel (5 parameetrit igas)
  7. Management puudu
  8. SOW - Statement of Work
  9. Total: 5D x 8H x 25$/h = 1000 Eelmine valem ???: 400 / 384 x 960
  10. Exercises based on equations: - ETC based on new estimate - ETC based on Atypical variance ETC = BAC - EVC - ETC based on typical variance ETC = (BAC - EVC)/CPIC - EAC using a new estimate EAC = ACC + ETC - EAC using remaining budget: EAC = ACC + BAC - EV - EAC using CPIC: EAC = ACC + (BAC – EV)/CPIC BAC: Budget at completion