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LONG-TERM
FINANCIAL
PLANNING
AND
GROWTH
“Financial fitness is not pipe
dream or a state of mind it’s a
reality if you are willing to
pursue it and embrace it.”
― Will Robinson
PRESENTERS
John Paulo Bernardino, CPA
Accountant - I
DepEd -SDO I
Pangasinan
Zenaida Bautista
School Administrator
Bautista Educational Skills
Training and Assessment
Center, Inc.
Janny Dimaunahan, CPA
Marwan Rusdi
Bookkeeping NC III, Trainer
Bautista Educational Skills
Training and Assessment
Center, Inc.
Faculty
PHINMA- University
of Pangasinan
KEY CONCEPTS AND SKILLS
● Understand the financial planning process and how decisions are
interrelated
● Be able to develop a financial plan using the percentage of sales
approach
● Understand the four major decision areas involved in long-term
financial planning
● Understand how capital structure policy and dividend policy
affect a firm’s ability to grow
CHAPTER OUTLINE
● What is Financial Planning?
● Financial Planning Models: A First
Look
● The Percentage of Sales Approach
● External Financing and Growth
● Some Caveats Regarding Financial
Planning Models
PLAY
Let’s
In TV series Game of Thrones What is the
real name of Jon Snow?
a. Theon Greyjoy
b. Aegon Targaryen
c. Tony Stark
d. Ned Stark
Question No. 1
b. Aegon Targaryen
Answer No. 1
In TV series Friends: What annoys Monica
the most?
a. Cheesy garlic bread
b. Microwave popcorn
c. Chandler
d. Animals dressed as Humans
Question No. 2
d. Animals dressed as humans
Answer No. 2
In TV Series The Big Bang Theory: Sheldon
hosts a YouTube show during the series and
is called?
a. Sheldon Cooper Presents: Fun with Flags
b. Rains of Castamere
c. Vlad and Niki
d. Shelly and the Chickens
Question No. 3
Answer No. 3
a. Sheldon Cooper Presents: Fun
with Flags
What type of doctor is Doctor Strange?
a. Orthodontist
b. Dentist
c. Neurosurgeon
d. Pediatrician
Question No. 4
Answer No. 4
c. Neurosurgeon
What country is also a continent?
a. North America
b. Europe
c. Antarctica
d. Australia
Question No. 5
Answer No. 5
d. Australia
CONGRATULATIONS!!!!
What is
FINANCIAL
PLANNING?
FINANCIAL PLANNING
Financial Planning is the process of
estimating the capital required and
determining it’s competition. It is the
process of framing financial policies in
relation to procurement, investment and
administration of funds of an enterprise
● Investment in new assets
● Degree of financial
leverage
● Cash paid to
shareholders
● Liquidity requirements
ELEMENTS OF
FINANCIAL
PLANNING
combine capital budgeting
decisions into one big project
AGGREGATION
divide decisions into
short-run decisions
(usually next 12 months)
and long-run decisions
(usually 2 – 5 years)
PLANNING
HORIZON
● Make realistic assumptions
about important variables
● Run several scenarios where
you vary the assumptions
by reasonable amounts
● Determine at least a worst
case, normal case and best
case scenario
ASSUMPTIONS
AND
SCENARIOS
FINANCIAL PLANNING PROCESS
ROLE OF FINANCIAL PLANNING
helps management see the
interactions between decisions
gives management a systematic
framework for exploring its
opportunities
helps management identify
possible outcomes and plan
accordingly
Examining interactions Exploring options
Avoiding surprises
helps management determine if goals
can be accomplished and if the various
stated (and unstated) goals of the firm
are consistent with one another
Ensuring Feasibility and
Internal Consistency
FINANCIAL PLANNING MODEL
INGREDIENTS
many cash flows depend
directly on the level of sales
(often estimated using a
growth rate in sales)
Sales Forecast
setting up the plan as projected
financial statements allows for
consistency and ease of
interpretation
Pro Forma Statements
how much additional fixed
assets will be required to
meet sales projections
Asset Requirements
how much financing will we
need to pay for the
required assets
Financial Requirements
management decision about what
type of financing will be used
(makes the balance sheet balance)
Plug Variable
explicit assumptions about
the coming economic
environment
Economic Assumptions
Example: Historical Financial Statements
Gourmet Coffee Inc.
Balance Sheet
December 31, 2021
Assets 1000
Debt 400
Equity
600
Total 1000
Total 1000
Gourmet Coffee Inc.
Income Statement
For Year Ended December 31, 2021
Revenues
2000
Costs
1600
Net Income
400
Example of Pro Forma Income Statement
Initial Assumptions
-Revenues will grow at 15%
(2000*1.15)
-All items are tied directly to
sales and the current
relationships are optimal
-Consequently, all other items
will also grow at 15%
Gourmet Coffee Inc.
Pro Forma Income Statement
For Year Ended 2022
Revenues 2,300
Costs 1,840
Net Income 460
Example of Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Case I
Dividends are the plug variable,
so equity increases at 15%
Dividends = 460 NI – 90
increase in equity = 370
Gourmet Coffee Inc.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Case I
Assets 1, 150 Debt 460
Equity 690
Total 1,150 Total 1,150
Example of Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Case II
Debt is the plug variable and no
dividends are paid
Debt = 1,150 – (600+460) = 90
Repay 400 – 90 = 310 in debt
Gourmet Coffee Inc.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Case II
Assets 1, 150 Debt 90
Equity 1060
Total 1,150 Total 1,150
Some items tend to vary directly with sales,
while others do not
Income Statement
● Costs may vary directly with sales
● If this is the case, then the profit
margin is constant
● Dividends are a management decision
and generally do not vary directly
with sales – this affects the retained
earnings that go on the balance sheet
PERCENT OF
SALES
APPROACH
Balance Sheet
● Initially assume that all assets,
including fixed, vary directly with
sales
● Accounts payable will also normally
vary directly with sales
● Notes payable, long-term debt and
equity generally do not, because they
depend on management decisions
about capital structure
● The change in the retained earnings
portion of equity will come from the
dividend decision
PERCENT OF
SALES
APPROACH
BUDGET PROCESS
● Select a Period for the Budget
● Gather Sales Data
● Look for Industry Benchmark
● Create reliable Assumptions
● Consider any changes in the Fund Structure
● Creation of the Budget
● Continuous Budget Monitoring
Example: Income Statements
Tasha’s Toy Emporium
Income Statement 2021
% of Sales
Sales
5,000
Costs 3000
60%
EBT
2000
40%
Taxes (40%) 800
16%
Net Income 1,200
24%
Tasha’s Toy Emporium
Income Statement 2022
Sales
5,500
Costs
3,300
EBT
2,200
Taxes (40%)
880
Net Income
1,320
Example: Balance Sheets
Example: External Financing Needed
The firm needs to come up with an
additional $200 in debt or equity to
make the balance sheet balance
TA – TL&OE = 10,450 – 10,250 = 200
Choose plug variable
● Borrow more short-term
(Notes Payable)
● Borrow more long-term (LT
Debt)
● Sell more common stock (CS
& APIC)
● Decrease dividend payout,
which increase Add. To RE
Example: Operating at Less than Full Capacity
Suppose that the company is currently
operating at 80% capacity.
● Full Capacity sales = 5000 / .8 = 6,250
● Estimated sales = $5,500, so would still
only be operating at 88%
● Therefore, no additional fixed assets
would be required.
● Pro forma Total Assets = 6,050 + 4,000 =
10,050
● Total Liabilities and Owners’ Equity =
10,250
Choose plug variable
● Repay some short-term debt
(decrease Notes Payable)
● Repay some long-term debt
(decrease LT Debt)
● Buy back stock (decrease CS &
APIC)
● Pay more in dividends (reduce
Add. To RE)
● Increase cash account
Examining the
relationship between
growth and external
financing required is a
useful tool in long-
range planning
At low growth levels,
internal financing
(retained earnings)
may exceed the
required investment in
assets
GROWTH AND EXTERNAL FINANCING
As the growth rate
increases, the internal
financing will not be
enough and the firm will
have to go to the capital
markets for money
INTERNAL GROWTH RATE
The internal growth rate
tells us how much the firm
can grow assets using
retained earnings as the
only source of financing.
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE
The sustainable growth
rate tells us how much the
firm can grow by using
internally generated funds
and issuing debt to
maintain a constant debt
ratio.
DETERMINANTS OF GROWTH
choice of optimal
debt ratio
Financial leverage
choice of how much to pay
to shareholders versus
reinvesting in the firm
Dividend policy
asset use efficiency
Total asset turnover
operating efficiency
Profit margin
CONCLUSIONS!
CREDITS: This presentation template was created by Slidesgo,
including icons by Flaticon, and infographics & images by Freepik
THANKS!

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Long-Term Financial Planning Growth

  • 1. LONG-TERM FINANCIAL PLANNING AND GROWTH “Financial fitness is not pipe dream or a state of mind it’s a reality if you are willing to pursue it and embrace it.” ― Will Robinson
  • 2. PRESENTERS John Paulo Bernardino, CPA Accountant - I DepEd -SDO I Pangasinan Zenaida Bautista School Administrator Bautista Educational Skills Training and Assessment Center, Inc. Janny Dimaunahan, CPA Marwan Rusdi Bookkeeping NC III, Trainer Bautista Educational Skills Training and Assessment Center, Inc. Faculty PHINMA- University of Pangasinan
  • 3. KEY CONCEPTS AND SKILLS ● Understand the financial planning process and how decisions are interrelated ● Be able to develop a financial plan using the percentage of sales approach ● Understand the four major decision areas involved in long-term financial planning ● Understand how capital structure policy and dividend policy affect a firm’s ability to grow
  • 4. CHAPTER OUTLINE ● What is Financial Planning? ● Financial Planning Models: A First Look ● The Percentage of Sales Approach ● External Financing and Growth ● Some Caveats Regarding Financial Planning Models
  • 6. In TV series Game of Thrones What is the real name of Jon Snow? a. Theon Greyjoy b. Aegon Targaryen c. Tony Stark d. Ned Stark Question No. 1
  • 8. In TV series Friends: What annoys Monica the most? a. Cheesy garlic bread b. Microwave popcorn c. Chandler d. Animals dressed as Humans Question No. 2
  • 9. d. Animals dressed as humans Answer No. 2
  • 10. In TV Series The Big Bang Theory: Sheldon hosts a YouTube show during the series and is called? a. Sheldon Cooper Presents: Fun with Flags b. Rains of Castamere c. Vlad and Niki d. Shelly and the Chickens Question No. 3
  • 11. Answer No. 3 a. Sheldon Cooper Presents: Fun with Flags
  • 12. What type of doctor is Doctor Strange? a. Orthodontist b. Dentist c. Neurosurgeon d. Pediatrician Question No. 4
  • 13. Answer No. 4 c. Neurosurgeon
  • 14. What country is also a continent? a. North America b. Europe c. Antarctica d. Australia Question No. 5
  • 15. Answer No. 5 d. Australia
  • 18. FINANCIAL PLANNING Financial Planning is the process of estimating the capital required and determining it’s competition. It is the process of framing financial policies in relation to procurement, investment and administration of funds of an enterprise
  • 19. ● Investment in new assets ● Degree of financial leverage ● Cash paid to shareholders ● Liquidity requirements ELEMENTS OF FINANCIAL PLANNING
  • 20. combine capital budgeting decisions into one big project AGGREGATION divide decisions into short-run decisions (usually next 12 months) and long-run decisions (usually 2 – 5 years) PLANNING HORIZON ● Make realistic assumptions about important variables ● Run several scenarios where you vary the assumptions by reasonable amounts ● Determine at least a worst case, normal case and best case scenario ASSUMPTIONS AND SCENARIOS FINANCIAL PLANNING PROCESS
  • 21. ROLE OF FINANCIAL PLANNING helps management see the interactions between decisions gives management a systematic framework for exploring its opportunities helps management identify possible outcomes and plan accordingly Examining interactions Exploring options Avoiding surprises helps management determine if goals can be accomplished and if the various stated (and unstated) goals of the firm are consistent with one another Ensuring Feasibility and Internal Consistency
  • 22. FINANCIAL PLANNING MODEL INGREDIENTS many cash flows depend directly on the level of sales (often estimated using a growth rate in sales) Sales Forecast setting up the plan as projected financial statements allows for consistency and ease of interpretation Pro Forma Statements how much additional fixed assets will be required to meet sales projections Asset Requirements how much financing will we need to pay for the required assets Financial Requirements management decision about what type of financing will be used (makes the balance sheet balance) Plug Variable explicit assumptions about the coming economic environment Economic Assumptions
  • 23. Example: Historical Financial Statements Gourmet Coffee Inc. Balance Sheet December 31, 2021 Assets 1000 Debt 400 Equity 600 Total 1000 Total 1000 Gourmet Coffee Inc. Income Statement For Year Ended December 31, 2021 Revenues 2000 Costs 1600 Net Income 400
  • 24. Example of Pro Forma Income Statement Initial Assumptions -Revenues will grow at 15% (2000*1.15) -All items are tied directly to sales and the current relationships are optimal -Consequently, all other items will also grow at 15% Gourmet Coffee Inc. Pro Forma Income Statement For Year Ended 2022 Revenues 2,300 Costs 1,840 Net Income 460
  • 25. Example of Pro Forma Balance Sheet Case I Dividends are the plug variable, so equity increases at 15% Dividends = 460 NI – 90 increase in equity = 370 Gourmet Coffee Inc. Pro Forma Balance Sheet Case I Assets 1, 150 Debt 460 Equity 690 Total 1,150 Total 1,150
  • 26. Example of Pro Forma Balance Sheet Case II Debt is the plug variable and no dividends are paid Debt = 1,150 – (600+460) = 90 Repay 400 – 90 = 310 in debt Gourmet Coffee Inc. Pro Forma Balance Sheet Case II Assets 1, 150 Debt 90 Equity 1060 Total 1,150 Total 1,150
  • 27. Some items tend to vary directly with sales, while others do not Income Statement ● Costs may vary directly with sales ● If this is the case, then the profit margin is constant ● Dividends are a management decision and generally do not vary directly with sales – this affects the retained earnings that go on the balance sheet PERCENT OF SALES APPROACH
  • 28. Balance Sheet ● Initially assume that all assets, including fixed, vary directly with sales ● Accounts payable will also normally vary directly with sales ● Notes payable, long-term debt and equity generally do not, because they depend on management decisions about capital structure ● The change in the retained earnings portion of equity will come from the dividend decision PERCENT OF SALES APPROACH
  • 29. BUDGET PROCESS ● Select a Period for the Budget ● Gather Sales Data ● Look for Industry Benchmark ● Create reliable Assumptions ● Consider any changes in the Fund Structure ● Creation of the Budget ● Continuous Budget Monitoring
  • 30. Example: Income Statements Tasha’s Toy Emporium Income Statement 2021 % of Sales Sales 5,000 Costs 3000 60% EBT 2000 40% Taxes (40%) 800 16% Net Income 1,200 24% Tasha’s Toy Emporium Income Statement 2022 Sales 5,500 Costs 3,300 EBT 2,200 Taxes (40%) 880 Net Income 1,320
  • 32. Example: External Financing Needed The firm needs to come up with an additional $200 in debt or equity to make the balance sheet balance TA – TL&OE = 10,450 – 10,250 = 200 Choose plug variable ● Borrow more short-term (Notes Payable) ● Borrow more long-term (LT Debt) ● Sell more common stock (CS & APIC) ● Decrease dividend payout, which increase Add. To RE
  • 33. Example: Operating at Less than Full Capacity Suppose that the company is currently operating at 80% capacity. ● Full Capacity sales = 5000 / .8 = 6,250 ● Estimated sales = $5,500, so would still only be operating at 88% ● Therefore, no additional fixed assets would be required. ● Pro forma Total Assets = 6,050 + 4,000 = 10,050 ● Total Liabilities and Owners’ Equity = 10,250 Choose plug variable ● Repay some short-term debt (decrease Notes Payable) ● Repay some long-term debt (decrease LT Debt) ● Buy back stock (decrease CS & APIC) ● Pay more in dividends (reduce Add. To RE) ● Increase cash account
  • 34. Examining the relationship between growth and external financing required is a useful tool in long- range planning At low growth levels, internal financing (retained earnings) may exceed the required investment in assets GROWTH AND EXTERNAL FINANCING As the growth rate increases, the internal financing will not be enough and the firm will have to go to the capital markets for money
  • 35. INTERNAL GROWTH RATE The internal growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow assets using retained earnings as the only source of financing.
  • 36. SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE The sustainable growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow by using internally generated funds and issuing debt to maintain a constant debt ratio.
  • 37. DETERMINANTS OF GROWTH choice of optimal debt ratio Financial leverage choice of how much to pay to shareholders versus reinvesting in the firm Dividend policy asset use efficiency Total asset turnover operating efficiency Profit margin
  • 39. CREDITS: This presentation template was created by Slidesgo, including icons by Flaticon, and infographics & images by Freepik THANKS!