These slides are the public slides for a panel session at the LGC Summit 2020 on exiting the Pandemic, an event for Local Government Chief Executives and Senior Leaders. This public session is followed by a Chatham House rule closed session

1. www.hertfordshire.gov.ukwww.hertfordshire.gov.uk
Exiting the Pandemic
LGC Summit
13th November 2020
Jim McManus
Director of Public Health, Hertfordshire County Council
Vice-President, Association of Directors of Public Health
Herts Covid Public Dashboard
https://hcc-phei.shinyapps.io/covid19_public_dashboard/

2. www.hertfordshire.gov.uk
Where are we? Pandemic Milestones
May June July Augus
t
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
2020 2021
2
Some restrictions
eased May into June 2020
1a
Peak of cases.
Deaths
Lag cases by 2-3
week
Late April 2020
First
Peak
1b
Second
Peak??
Second peak of cases
sees restrictions
switched back on and
peak of cases and
deaths
Oct 2020
3
4
Recovery Focus
Efforts change to
focus on recovery
Q2 2021
Vaccine
Vaccine starts population roll
out (earliest) with frontline
workers and clinically vulnerable
Q2 2021
Full
Recovery
Full return to new Normal
Aug – Nov 2021
Apr
Phase 1 – First Two Peaks
Phase 2 - Control
Phase 3 - Exit
This is all provisional. The key drivers of these phases will be
levels of infection, recovery and immunity
Phase 4 - Recovery
Sep
4
Immunity

3. www.hertfordshire.gov.uk
Key Lenses to Exit the Pandemic
https://www.adph.org.uk/2020/10/protecting-our-communities/
The “Psychological Contract”
Public Trust and Confidence
The Syndemic Lens – multiple
impacts, multiple responses,
across time
Resilience, Renewal, Grief and
Resolution, PTSD in Staff,
HOPE
More frequent syndemics
HIV, SARS, H1N1, MERS,
COVID, Inequalities….