1. Market Trends in Clean Energy and
Responsible Gas Production
Maria van der Hoeven
Executive Director
International Energy Agency
Toronto, August 2012
© OECD/IEA 2011

2. Clean energy: slow lane to fast track
Progress is too slow in
almost all technology areas
Significant action is required
to get back on track
© OECD/IEA 2011
© OECD/IEA 2012

3. Renewable power forecast to accelerate
 Hydropower remains the main renewable power source
 Non-hydro renewable sources grow at fast rates
TWh
7 000
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Hydropower Wind onshore Bioenergy Solar PV
Geothermal Wind offshore CSP Ocean
IEA MRMR© OECD/IEA 2011
Report, 2012

4. Hydro – the backbone of low-carbon electricity
in Canada
900
Other renewables
800
700 Wind
600
Solar
500
TWh
Hydro
400
Nuclear
300
200 Fossil w CCS
100
Fossil w/o CCS
0
4DS 2DS
2009 2050
Renewables, covering today already more than 60% of electricity generation, could
reach a share of almost three quarters by 2050 in the 2-degree scenario (2DS)
© OECD/IEA 2011

5. Smart grid benefits exceed costs by a factor of
between 1.5 and 4.5
... but direct benefits of investment in one sector may be found
in other sectors.
© OECD/IEA 2011

6. A smart, sustainable energy system
A sustainable energy system is a smarter,
more unified and integrated energy system
© OECD/IEA 2011
© OECD/IEA 2012

7. Unconventional Gas: Golden Rules are Key
Selected natural gas trade volumes, 2035
Net imports Net exports
Golden Rules Case
China
Additional net trade in
European Union Low Unconventional Case
United States & Canada
Middle East
Russia
-600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600
bcm
Gas trade in the Low Unconventional Case is up 30%, some trade patterns are reversed,
gas prices are higher & the position of the main conventional exporters reinforced
© OECD/IEA 2011

8. Recommendations to Governments
1. Create an investment climate of confidence
in clean energy
2. Unlock the incredible potential of energy efficiency – “the
hidden” fuel of the future
3. Accelerate innovation and public research, development
and demonstration (RD&D)
4. Establish ‘golden rules’ to maintain the unconventional
gas revolution
© OECD/IEA 2011
© OECD/IEA 2012

9. Market Trends in Clean Energy and
Responsible Gas Production
Maria van der Hoeven
Executive Director
International Energy Agency
Toronto, August 2012
© OECD/IEA 2011