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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 6 Issue 2, January-February 2022 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 493
Globalization and the Development of the Nigerian Capital Market
Chima Kenneth Anachedo, Amalachukwu Chijindu Ananwude,
Izuchukwu Andrew Nnoje, Jisike Jude Okonkwo
Department of Banking and Finance, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Anambra State, Awka, Nigeria
ABSTRACT
The role of the capital market cannot be over emphasised in the
development of most economy in the world and Nigeria is not an
exception. The Nigerian capital market has gone through different
stages alongside with challenges and hurdles that has slowed down
its growth rate and its assimilation into the financial market of the
world. This research work was to examine Globalization and the
development of the Nigerian capital market from 1986 to 2020,
which was before the wide spread of covid-19. Secondary data from
CBN statistical bulletin was used. Augment Dickey-Fuller (ADF),
Bound Test and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag were employed to
evaluate the effect of foreign direct investment, total exports and total
imports on Capital market development which was proxy by market
capitalisation and it was discovered that foreign direct investment,
non-oil export and non-oil imports has significant effect on market
capitalization, therefore it was recommended that The government
should consider the option of liberalizing the economy; let there be
labour market flexibility, lower tax rate for businesses, less restriction
on both domestic and foreign capital to encourage competitiveness in
the business environment, so that the full benefit of globalization
would be reaped.
KEYWORDS: Market capitalization, financial market, foreign direct
investment, non-oil export and non-oil import
How to cite this paper: Chima Kenneth
Anachedo | Amalachukwu Chijindu
Ananwude | Izuchukwu Andrew Nnoje |
Jisike Jude Okonkwo "Globalization and
the Development of the Nigerian Capital
Market" Published
in International
Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research
and Development
(ijtsrd), ISSN:
2456-6470,
Volume-6 | Issue-2,
February 2022, pp.493-498, URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd49234.pdf
Copyright © 2022 by author (s) and
International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
Journal. This is an
Open Access article
distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
INTRODUCTION
Within the context of economic development
globalization refers to incorporation of national
economies into the global economy. It is the
symbiotic relationship between the local financial
system and the world financial system and it has
continued to rise in the world today. This outcome is
due to the need for Nations to supplement each other
as a result of globalisation. Since globalisation has
encouraged international integration of markets for
goods, services and capital, it has also changed the
face of global economy (Obadan1999; Olanrewaju,
Kolawole&Samon 2015). This is seen in the growth
volume of international trade, foreign direct
investment, capital flow migration and the spread of
technology over the last few decades (Guido
&Adriana 2001; Olanrewaju et al. 2015).
Globalisation has encouraged not only the flow of
goods and services but also the movement of capital
among Nations(Obadan 1999; Samson &Oludayo,
2019).
Capital markets are all evolving at a rapid rate
because at the early stages the flow of capital that
were being directed to banks and controlled by the
government are now held by individuals, institutions
or private mutual funds and can circulate freely and
instantaneously to projects which will yield the
maximum profit (Olanrewaju et al. 2015).
The capital market plays a significant role in
promoting growth and development through the
effective intermediation of funds among economic
agents (Faloye&Adekule 2016).
The capital market must have the ability to get funds
from the global financial markets into the domestic
economy, in order to make up for the insufficient
domestic financial resources through the integration
of the market into the global financial network
(Akinwale&Adekule 2019). In effect we say that
globalisation is a necessity for the Nigerian capital
market because it is the interaction of the local capital
market and other financial market through the policy
IJTSRD49234
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 494
formulation that will encourage growth development
and competition with other players, and as well attract
imports of Non-oil products.
The Nigerian capital market, having gone through
different stages, alongside the challenges and hurdles
that have slowed down its growth rate and its
assimilation into the financial markets of the world.
Despite the institutional and social activities which
has tamed the growth of the Nigerian capital market
there are other important factors to be considered.
Complex factors such as: political instability, policy
barriers to Capital flows, poor infrastructural
facilities, corruption, inappropriate economic policy,
instabilities, lack of advance and attractive financial
assets retards the ability of the capital market to
compete globally, and attract foreign resources into
the economy for promoting productive and real sector
development (Nwadike&Inwibo, 2014; Oluwole,
2014;Akinwale&Adekule 2019).
This research work seeks to examine the relationship
between globalisation and the development of the
Nigerian capital market from 1986 to 2020. There are
few literature on the relationship between
globalisation and development of the Nigerian capital
market most of which are not yet updated and due to
the conflicting views of the subject matter of the
research because some researchers found a positive
relationship while some found a negative relationship
and the subject matter of the research topic this has
generated the controversy which calls for further
study. The rest of this paper is divided into four
sections section two (2) is the literature review
section three (3) provide the methodological issues
while section four (4) analyses the results and
findings the last section five (5) is the conclusion and
relevant policy recommendation.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Globalisation is adopting global trends and activities
locally for local benefits and development.
Globalisation could also be said to be localisation of
global trends and events for local benefits and
development. Globalization involves increasing
economic interdependence among countries through
the expansion of cross-border trading of goods and
services, the flow of international financial resources
and rapid diffusion of technology (Oluwole 2014;
Akinwale&Adekule, 2019). Globalisation is an
uneven process with unequal distribution of its
benefit and losses. This imbalance leads to
polarization between developed countries that gain
and developing countries that lose out (Obadan 2001).
Globalisation involves liberalization of economic
activities, which is the process of intercontinental
economic arrangement which has led to the
integration and advancement of the world economy,
through the pulling of difficulty in trade and
greatmobility of finance, labour and ideals (Onyimba,
Nwokeduuko&Evelyn, 2019). The elements of
globalisation includes, free movement of goods and
services, flow of capital, movement of labour and the
transfer of technology (Amit &Almas, 2005;
Onyimba et al.2019).
The capital market, whose major function is to
provide a platform through which funds are
channelled from surplus sector to deficit sector, is
also the place where various entities trade different
financial instruments; it is the financial hub of the
economy. The global capital market is the interlinking
of various investment exchanges around the world
which gives individuals and corporations the
opportunity to buy and sell financial securities on an
international level. Capital market globalisation is
necessitated by the financial need of real sector of the
economy which cannot be met domestically, due to
shortage of domestic resources, and the opportunities
created by the global financial markets through rapid
technological movement which supports security
trading and Investment among countries (Goel&
Gupta, 2011).
Kilic(2015) investigated the effects of economic,
social and political globalisation on the growth level
of developing countries and causality relationship
between the variables between Dumitresu-
Hurlin(2012) for 74 countries, the results indicated
that economic growth levels of selected developing
countries were positively affected by the economic
globalisation, where as social globalisation affected
economic growth negatively. Causality test however
showed that there are two way causality relationships
between political and social globalisation and the
economic growth and one way causality relationship
between social globalisation and economic growth.
Olanrewaju, KolawoleandSamon (2015) investigated
the relationship between Globalisation, Capital
markets and economic growth in Nigeria, the research
made use of the ordinary least square to establish the
relationship between globalisation, consumer price
index and gross domestic product. It was revealed
that globalisation measured by the ratio of total trade
to the gross domestic product had negative and
significant effects on the gross domestic product, why
the consumer price index had a positive and
insignificant effect on the gross domestic.
OnuohaandNwaiwu (2016) investigated the effect of
Global financial crisis on the Nigerian stock market,
using secondary data, and analysed the data using
regression model, it was revealed that the global
financial crisis measured by the currency crisis, credit
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 495
crisis, liquidity crisis and foreign investment crisis,
had a negative and significant impact on the Nigerian
stock market.
Akinmulegun(2018) investigated the relationship
between capital market development and foreign
portfolio investment in Nigeria from 1985 to 2016.
This study employed secondarydata sourced from the
Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin and
publications of NSE. Augmented dickey Fuller test
granger causality test and vector error correction
model where employed to conduct the analysis, the
study concluded that the capital market development
has a significant effect on foreign portfolio
investment in Nigeria.
AkinwaleandAdekule(2019), investigate globalisation
and capital market development in Nigeria from 1986
to 2017 using secondary data from the Central Bank
of Nigeria statistical bulletin augmented Dickey
Fuller(ADF) bound test and autoregressive distributed
lag (ARDL) were employed to evaluate the effect of
trade openness, foreign direct investment and foreign
portfolio investment where stationary at all level. The
ARDL revealed that both trade openness and foreign
portfolio investment had a positive effect on market
capitalisation in short and long run while FDI had a
negative and insignificant effect on market
capitalisation in the short and long run.
METHODOLOGY
This research work made use of quantitative and
secondary data and it spread across a period of
34years (1986-2020). The secondary data were
obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)
statistical bulletin. The study adopted historical or
after the fact research design to evaluate the effects of
the globalisation, variables measured in this research
work as foreign direct investment, total exports and
total imports on Capital market development which
was proxy by market capitalisation. The model for
this study was anchored upon modified model of
Akinmulegun (2018) and some of the variables
adopted in the research work were based on the
empirical works of Akinwale&Adekule (2019). The
model was structured to investigate the effect of
foreign direct investment, total exports and total
imports on market capitalization which is given as
thus:
The econometric transformation of Equ. 2 is thus
expressed:
Where:
= Market capitalization
= Foreign direct investment
= Non-oil exports
= Non-oil imports
= The constant term
= The coefficients of the independent
variables
= the random disturbance term
DATA ANALYSIS RESULT
The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root
technique is used to determine the stationarity
properties of the data to avoid the problem of
spurious regression. Due to the mixed order of
integration of the variables, Table 1 presents only the
unit root result of the variables at first difference. As
can be seen from the ADF result, the variables are all
stationary at first difference, hence the result of the
regression output would be deemed to be reliable in
statistical perspective.
Table 1: ADF Test Result
Variables ADF Test Statistic Test Value at 5% Remark
MKTCAP -3.420029 (0.02)**
-2.954021 Stationary
FDI -4.573843 (0.01)*
-3.587527 Stationary
NOEXP -4.404982 (0.00)*
-2.986225 Stationary
NOIMP -3.789475 (0.03)**
-3.595026 Stationary
Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
P-values are in parenthesis, while * and ** represent 1% and 5% level of significance respectively
The summary of descriptive statistic of the data are detailed in Table 2. The minimum and maximum values are
6.8 and 38589.58 for MKTCAP; 735 and 31072601 for FDI; 0.55 and 3207.02 for NOEXP; and 5.07 and
18920.07 for NOIMP. The mean of the data are 7324.364, 3718471, 438.0437, and 3902.581, while the standard
deviation are 9683.493, 9381951, 676.7964, and 4884.134 respectively for MKTCAP, FDI, NOEXP, and
NOIMP respectively.
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@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 496
Table 2: Descriptive Properties of Data
Min. Max. Obs. Mean Std. Dev.
MKTCAP 6.800000 38589.58 35 7324.364 9683.493
FDI 735.8000 31072601 35 3718471 9381951
NOEXP 0.550000 3207.020 35 438.0437 676.7964
NOIMP 5.070000 18920.07 35 3902.581 4884.134
Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
The existence of a long-run relationship among the variables was ascertained using the bound testing technique.
The result in Table 3 shows that there is no long-run relationship between globalization and capital market
development in Nigeria. The f-statistic of 2.28 for the model: market capitalization is a function of foreign direct
investment, total exports, and total imports is less than the upper and lower critical values of 3.67 and 2.79
respectively.
Table 3: ARDLF-Bounds Test
T-Test 5% Critical Value Bound Remark
F-Statistic Upper Bound Lower Bound
2.228250 3.67 2.79 Null Hypothesis Accepted
Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
The short-run relationship in Table 4 unveils that there is a positive and significant relationship between market
capitalization and foreign direct investment at lag 1. There is a significant and negative relationship non-oil
exports and market capitalization, while on other hand, there is a positive non-significant relationship between
market capitalization and non-oil imports. When foreign direct investment, non-oil exports and non-oil imports
are held constant, market capitalization would assumed to be -601.28. A unit rise in foreign direct investment
and non-oil imports would lead to 0.0019 and 1.030841 factor appreciation in market capitalization respectively.
However, a unit appreciation in non-oil exports would result in 46.63 factor depreciation in the market
capitalization. The adjusted R-square reveals that 97.92% changes in market capitalization was attributable to
the joint fluctuation in foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-imports. This is supported by the p-
value (0.0000) of the f-statistic (75.54) which is significant at a level of 5%. The Durbin Watson value of 2.5
does not portray any danger of autocorrelation in the estimated model.
Table 4: ARDL Short-Run Relationship
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
MKTCAP(-1) 2.826803 0.747789 3.780214 0.0030
MKTCAP(-2) -4.508121 1.095523 -4.115040 0.0017
MKTCAP(-3) 3.600624 1.061417 3.392279 0.0060
MKTCAP(-4) -3.210236 2.029048 -1.582139 0.1419
FDI 0.001906 0.000855 2.229923 0.0475
FDI(-1) -0.001154 0.000336 -3.437943 0.0055
FDI(-2) 0.004075 0.001470 2.771865 0.0182
FDI(-3) -0.009510 0.002690 -3.535419 0.0047
FDI(-4) 0.037165 0.012221 3.041158 0.0112
NOEXP -46.63145 18.85094 -2.473693 0.0309
NOEXP(-1) 71.06658 20.77491 3.420789 0.0057
NOEXP(-2) -37.76160 20.79026 -1.816312 0.0966
NOEXP(-3) 4.524952 35.06743 0.129036 0.8997
NOEXP(-4) 18.86265 22.58219 0.835289 0.4213
NOIMP 1.030841 1.810772 0.569282 0.5806
NOIMP(-1) 2.845482 1.680484 1.693252 0.1185
NOIMP(-2) -2.769489 2.894238 -0.956897 0.3592
NOIMP(-3) -1.127649 1.708831 -0.659895 0.5229
NOIMP(-4) -3.084539 2.389465 -1.290891 0.2232
C -601.2811 585.4550 -1.027032 0.3265
Adjusted R-squared 0.979258 Durbin-Watson stat 2.5609
F-statistic 75.54466 Prob (F-statistic) 0.0000
Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 497
The granger causality test in Table 5 unveils that there is a causal relationship between market capitalization,
foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-oil imports at a significant level of 5%. This result evidences
that globalization as expressed by foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-oil imports has significant
effect on market capitalization in Nigeria. Similarly, it was found out also that market capitalization has
significant effect on non-oil exports and non-oil imports.
Table 5: Granger Causality Test
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob. Remarks
FDI does not Granger Cause MKTCAP
MKTCAP does not Granger Cause FDI
33 5.44391
2.61098
0.0101
0.0913
Causality
No Causality
NOEXP does not Granger Cause MKTCAP
MKTCAP does not Granger Cause NOEXP
33 10.3391
3.53971
0.0004
0.0426
Causality
Causality
NOIMP does not Granger Cause MKTCAP
MKTCAP does not Granger Cause NOIMP
33 12.0502
5.76794
0.0002
0.0080
Causality
Causality
Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
Findings showed that foreign direct investment, non –
oil export and non – oil imports has significant effect
on market capitalization in Nigeria which agrees with
the study of Akinmulegu (2018) who investigated the
relationship between the capital market development
and foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria and
discover that the Capital market development has
significant effect on foreign portfolio investment. It
was as well discovered through the granger causality
test that market capitalization has significant effect on
non – oil export and non – oil import which agrees
with the work of AkinwaleandAdekunle (2019) which
also revealed that there is a positive relationship
between trade openness and foreign portfolio
investment and capitalization, but disagrees on the
variables of foreign direct investment. Finally, from
the results it could be seen that globalization which
was proxy by foreign direct investment, non-oil
export and non-oil imports has significant effect on
market capitalization in Nigeria and market
capitalization has significant effects on non-oil
exports and non-oil imports.
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The existence of relationships among variables was
ascertained from the previous section of this work.
There is positive and significant relationship between
market capitalization and foreign direct investment.
Market capitalization has significant effects on non-
oil export and non-oil imports. This research work
has shown that the capital market plays a very vital
role in sustaining growth and development of
economic activities; businesses, mobilization and
allocation of funds which is a vitamin for economic
growth. Globalization of the capital market is all
about localizing the global events and trends in order
to attract capital from foreign markets, thereby
increasing the availability of financial resources for
domestic investment. We therefore submit our
recommendations that the government should
consider the option of liberalizing the economy (let
there be labour market flexibility, lower tax rate for
businesses, less restriction on both domestic and
foreign capital to encourage competitiveness in the
business environment), so that the full benefit of
globalization would be reaped, since globalization
brings about development of the Capital market. Let
there be consideration of the introduction of a more
juicy and attractive financial instrument, so that
foreign investors could be encouraged to invest in the
capital market in other to attract more foreign
exchange into the economy. Let regulatory agency
encourage the practise of global stock market so that
the Nigerian capital market will not be left out in the
world of financial market. Let there be policies that
would encourage and boost the confidence of foreign
investors, in the economy so that development of the
capital market will be accelerated.
REFERENCES
[1] Akinmulegun, S. O. (2018). Capital market
development and foreign portfolio investment
inflow in Nigeria (1985-2016). Advances in
Economics and Business, 6(5), 299-307.
[2] Akinwale, S. O. &Adekunle O. E. (2019).
Globalization and capital market development
in Nigeria. Journal of economics and business,
2(2), 396-44.
[3] Amit, K. B. & Almas, H. (2005). Measurement
of globalization and its variation among
countries regions and overtime. Discussion
Paper, No 1578, 1-49.
[4] Faloye, B. A. &Adekunle, O. G. (2016). The
impact of capital market on economic growth
of Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Banking &
Finance and Entrepreneurship Management, 2,
104-116.
[5] Goel K. & Gupta, R. (2011). Impact of
globalization on stock market development in
India. Delhi Business Review, 2(1), 68-84.
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 498
[6] Guido B. & Adriana, A. (2001). Globalization
and the role of the state:Challenges and
perspectives. United Nations World, Public
Sector Report.
[7] Kilic, C. (2015). Effects of globalization on
economic growth: Panel data analysis for
developing countries. Economic Insights –
Trends and Challenges, 1, 1-11.
[8] Nwadike, G. C. &Nwibo, S. E. (2014). Effects
of globalization on Nigeria stock exchange and
capital market liberation on economic growth
(1981-2011). Journal of Business, Economics
& Finance, 3(3), 357-370.
[9] Obadan, M. I. (1999). Managing the Nigerian
Economy into the next millennium: Strategies
and policies. Journal of Economic
Management, 5(1), 1-38.
[10] Obadan, M. I. (2001). Africa and the challenge
of globalization: How should the continent
respond? Nigeria journal of Economic and
Review, 6(2), 35-42
[11] Olanrewaju, A. A., Kolawale, S. A. & Samson,
A. (2015). Globalization, capital market and
economic development in Nigeria. Journal of
government and regulations, 4(1), 57-62.
[12] Oluwole, F. O. (2014). Globalization and stock
market growth in Nigeria. European scientific
Journal, 10(1), 317-332.
[13] Onuoha, T. E. &Nwaiwu, J. N. (2016). Impact
of global financial crisis on Nigerian stock
market. An international Multi-disciplinary
Journal, 10(1), 166-177.
[14] Onyimba, R. C. Nwokediuko, J. N. & Evelyn,
B. E. (2019). Effect of globalization on growth
and development of capital market in Nigeria.
International Academy Journal of
Management, Marketing and Entrepreneurial
Studies, 7(2), 21-32.

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Globalization and the Development of the Nigerian Capital Market

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 6 Issue 2, January-February 2022 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 493 Globalization and the Development of the Nigerian Capital Market Chima Kenneth Anachedo, Amalachukwu Chijindu Ananwude, Izuchukwu Andrew Nnoje, Jisike Jude Okonkwo Department of Banking and Finance, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Anambra State, Awka, Nigeria ABSTRACT The role of the capital market cannot be over emphasised in the development of most economy in the world and Nigeria is not an exception. The Nigerian capital market has gone through different stages alongside with challenges and hurdles that has slowed down its growth rate and its assimilation into the financial market of the world. This research work was to examine Globalization and the development of the Nigerian capital market from 1986 to 2020, which was before the wide spread of covid-19. Secondary data from CBN statistical bulletin was used. Augment Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Bound Test and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag were employed to evaluate the effect of foreign direct investment, total exports and total imports on Capital market development which was proxy by market capitalisation and it was discovered that foreign direct investment, non-oil export and non-oil imports has significant effect on market capitalization, therefore it was recommended that The government should consider the option of liberalizing the economy; let there be labour market flexibility, lower tax rate for businesses, less restriction on both domestic and foreign capital to encourage competitiveness in the business environment, so that the full benefit of globalization would be reaped. KEYWORDS: Market capitalization, financial market, foreign direct investment, non-oil export and non-oil import How to cite this paper: Chima Kenneth Anachedo | Amalachukwu Chijindu Ananwude | Izuchukwu Andrew Nnoje | Jisike Jude Okonkwo "Globalization and the Development of the Nigerian Capital Market" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-2, February 2022, pp.493-498, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd49234.pdf Copyright © 2022 by author (s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) INTRODUCTION Within the context of economic development globalization refers to incorporation of national economies into the global economy. It is the symbiotic relationship between the local financial system and the world financial system and it has continued to rise in the world today. This outcome is due to the need for Nations to supplement each other as a result of globalisation. Since globalisation has encouraged international integration of markets for goods, services and capital, it has also changed the face of global economy (Obadan1999; Olanrewaju, Kolawole&Samon 2015). This is seen in the growth volume of international trade, foreign direct investment, capital flow migration and the spread of technology over the last few decades (Guido &Adriana 2001; Olanrewaju et al. 2015). Globalisation has encouraged not only the flow of goods and services but also the movement of capital among Nations(Obadan 1999; Samson &Oludayo, 2019). Capital markets are all evolving at a rapid rate because at the early stages the flow of capital that were being directed to banks and controlled by the government are now held by individuals, institutions or private mutual funds and can circulate freely and instantaneously to projects which will yield the maximum profit (Olanrewaju et al. 2015). The capital market plays a significant role in promoting growth and development through the effective intermediation of funds among economic agents (Faloye&Adekule 2016). The capital market must have the ability to get funds from the global financial markets into the domestic economy, in order to make up for the insufficient domestic financial resources through the integration of the market into the global financial network (Akinwale&Adekule 2019). In effect we say that globalisation is a necessity for the Nigerian capital market because it is the interaction of the local capital market and other financial market through the policy IJTSRD49234
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 494 formulation that will encourage growth development and competition with other players, and as well attract imports of Non-oil products. The Nigerian capital market, having gone through different stages, alongside the challenges and hurdles that have slowed down its growth rate and its assimilation into the financial markets of the world. Despite the institutional and social activities which has tamed the growth of the Nigerian capital market there are other important factors to be considered. Complex factors such as: political instability, policy barriers to Capital flows, poor infrastructural facilities, corruption, inappropriate economic policy, instabilities, lack of advance and attractive financial assets retards the ability of the capital market to compete globally, and attract foreign resources into the economy for promoting productive and real sector development (Nwadike&Inwibo, 2014; Oluwole, 2014;Akinwale&Adekule 2019). This research work seeks to examine the relationship between globalisation and the development of the Nigerian capital market from 1986 to 2020. There are few literature on the relationship between globalisation and development of the Nigerian capital market most of which are not yet updated and due to the conflicting views of the subject matter of the research because some researchers found a positive relationship while some found a negative relationship and the subject matter of the research topic this has generated the controversy which calls for further study. The rest of this paper is divided into four sections section two (2) is the literature review section three (3) provide the methodological issues while section four (4) analyses the results and findings the last section five (5) is the conclusion and relevant policy recommendation. LITERATURE REVIEW Globalisation is adopting global trends and activities locally for local benefits and development. Globalisation could also be said to be localisation of global trends and events for local benefits and development. Globalization involves increasing economic interdependence among countries through the expansion of cross-border trading of goods and services, the flow of international financial resources and rapid diffusion of technology (Oluwole 2014; Akinwale&Adekule, 2019). Globalisation is an uneven process with unequal distribution of its benefit and losses. This imbalance leads to polarization between developed countries that gain and developing countries that lose out (Obadan 2001). Globalisation involves liberalization of economic activities, which is the process of intercontinental economic arrangement which has led to the integration and advancement of the world economy, through the pulling of difficulty in trade and greatmobility of finance, labour and ideals (Onyimba, Nwokeduuko&Evelyn, 2019). The elements of globalisation includes, free movement of goods and services, flow of capital, movement of labour and the transfer of technology (Amit &Almas, 2005; Onyimba et al.2019). The capital market, whose major function is to provide a platform through which funds are channelled from surplus sector to deficit sector, is also the place where various entities trade different financial instruments; it is the financial hub of the economy. The global capital market is the interlinking of various investment exchanges around the world which gives individuals and corporations the opportunity to buy and sell financial securities on an international level. Capital market globalisation is necessitated by the financial need of real sector of the economy which cannot be met domestically, due to shortage of domestic resources, and the opportunities created by the global financial markets through rapid technological movement which supports security trading and Investment among countries (Goel& Gupta, 2011). Kilic(2015) investigated the effects of economic, social and political globalisation on the growth level of developing countries and causality relationship between the variables between Dumitresu- Hurlin(2012) for 74 countries, the results indicated that economic growth levels of selected developing countries were positively affected by the economic globalisation, where as social globalisation affected economic growth negatively. Causality test however showed that there are two way causality relationships between political and social globalisation and the economic growth and one way causality relationship between social globalisation and economic growth. Olanrewaju, KolawoleandSamon (2015) investigated the relationship between Globalisation, Capital markets and economic growth in Nigeria, the research made use of the ordinary least square to establish the relationship between globalisation, consumer price index and gross domestic product. It was revealed that globalisation measured by the ratio of total trade to the gross domestic product had negative and significant effects on the gross domestic product, why the consumer price index had a positive and insignificant effect on the gross domestic. OnuohaandNwaiwu (2016) investigated the effect of Global financial crisis on the Nigerian stock market, using secondary data, and analysed the data using regression model, it was revealed that the global financial crisis measured by the currency crisis, credit
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 495 crisis, liquidity crisis and foreign investment crisis, had a negative and significant impact on the Nigerian stock market. Akinmulegun(2018) investigated the relationship between capital market development and foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria from 1985 to 2016. This study employed secondarydata sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin and publications of NSE. Augmented dickey Fuller test granger causality test and vector error correction model where employed to conduct the analysis, the study concluded that the capital market development has a significant effect on foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria. AkinwaleandAdekule(2019), investigate globalisation and capital market development in Nigeria from 1986 to 2017 using secondary data from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin augmented Dickey Fuller(ADF) bound test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) were employed to evaluate the effect of trade openness, foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment where stationary at all level. The ARDL revealed that both trade openness and foreign portfolio investment had a positive effect on market capitalisation in short and long run while FDI had a negative and insignificant effect on market capitalisation in the short and long run. METHODOLOGY This research work made use of quantitative and secondary data and it spread across a period of 34years (1986-2020). The secondary data were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. The study adopted historical or after the fact research design to evaluate the effects of the globalisation, variables measured in this research work as foreign direct investment, total exports and total imports on Capital market development which was proxy by market capitalisation. The model for this study was anchored upon modified model of Akinmulegun (2018) and some of the variables adopted in the research work were based on the empirical works of Akinwale&Adekule (2019). The model was structured to investigate the effect of foreign direct investment, total exports and total imports on market capitalization which is given as thus: The econometric transformation of Equ. 2 is thus expressed: Where: = Market capitalization = Foreign direct investment = Non-oil exports = Non-oil imports = The constant term = The coefficients of the independent variables = the random disturbance term DATA ANALYSIS RESULT The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root technique is used to determine the stationarity properties of the data to avoid the problem of spurious regression. Due to the mixed order of integration of the variables, Table 1 presents only the unit root result of the variables at first difference. As can be seen from the ADF result, the variables are all stationary at first difference, hence the result of the regression output would be deemed to be reliable in statistical perspective. Table 1: ADF Test Result Variables ADF Test Statistic Test Value at 5% Remark MKTCAP -3.420029 (0.02)** -2.954021 Stationary FDI -4.573843 (0.01)* -3.587527 Stationary NOEXP -4.404982 (0.00)* -2.986225 Stationary NOIMP -3.789475 (0.03)** -3.595026 Stationary Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0 P-values are in parenthesis, while * and ** represent 1% and 5% level of significance respectively The summary of descriptive statistic of the data are detailed in Table 2. The minimum and maximum values are 6.8 and 38589.58 for MKTCAP; 735 and 31072601 for FDI; 0.55 and 3207.02 for NOEXP; and 5.07 and 18920.07 for NOIMP. The mean of the data are 7324.364, 3718471, 438.0437, and 3902.581, while the standard deviation are 9683.493, 9381951, 676.7964, and 4884.134 respectively for MKTCAP, FDI, NOEXP, and NOIMP respectively.
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 496 Table 2: Descriptive Properties of Data Min. Max. Obs. Mean Std. Dev. MKTCAP 6.800000 38589.58 35 7324.364 9683.493 FDI 735.8000 31072601 35 3718471 9381951 NOEXP 0.550000 3207.020 35 438.0437 676.7964 NOIMP 5.070000 18920.07 35 3902.581 4884.134 Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0 The existence of a long-run relationship among the variables was ascertained using the bound testing technique. The result in Table 3 shows that there is no long-run relationship between globalization and capital market development in Nigeria. The f-statistic of 2.28 for the model: market capitalization is a function of foreign direct investment, total exports, and total imports is less than the upper and lower critical values of 3.67 and 2.79 respectively. Table 3: ARDLF-Bounds Test T-Test 5% Critical Value Bound Remark F-Statistic Upper Bound Lower Bound 2.228250 3.67 2.79 Null Hypothesis Accepted Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0 The short-run relationship in Table 4 unveils that there is a positive and significant relationship between market capitalization and foreign direct investment at lag 1. There is a significant and negative relationship non-oil exports and market capitalization, while on other hand, there is a positive non-significant relationship between market capitalization and non-oil imports. When foreign direct investment, non-oil exports and non-oil imports are held constant, market capitalization would assumed to be -601.28. A unit rise in foreign direct investment and non-oil imports would lead to 0.0019 and 1.030841 factor appreciation in market capitalization respectively. However, a unit appreciation in non-oil exports would result in 46.63 factor depreciation in the market capitalization. The adjusted R-square reveals that 97.92% changes in market capitalization was attributable to the joint fluctuation in foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-imports. This is supported by the p- value (0.0000) of the f-statistic (75.54) which is significant at a level of 5%. The Durbin Watson value of 2.5 does not portray any danger of autocorrelation in the estimated model. Table 4: ARDL Short-Run Relationship Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. MKTCAP(-1) 2.826803 0.747789 3.780214 0.0030 MKTCAP(-2) -4.508121 1.095523 -4.115040 0.0017 MKTCAP(-3) 3.600624 1.061417 3.392279 0.0060 MKTCAP(-4) -3.210236 2.029048 -1.582139 0.1419 FDI 0.001906 0.000855 2.229923 0.0475 FDI(-1) -0.001154 0.000336 -3.437943 0.0055 FDI(-2) 0.004075 0.001470 2.771865 0.0182 FDI(-3) -0.009510 0.002690 -3.535419 0.0047 FDI(-4) 0.037165 0.012221 3.041158 0.0112 NOEXP -46.63145 18.85094 -2.473693 0.0309 NOEXP(-1) 71.06658 20.77491 3.420789 0.0057 NOEXP(-2) -37.76160 20.79026 -1.816312 0.0966 NOEXP(-3) 4.524952 35.06743 0.129036 0.8997 NOEXP(-4) 18.86265 22.58219 0.835289 0.4213 NOIMP 1.030841 1.810772 0.569282 0.5806 NOIMP(-1) 2.845482 1.680484 1.693252 0.1185 NOIMP(-2) -2.769489 2.894238 -0.956897 0.3592 NOIMP(-3) -1.127649 1.708831 -0.659895 0.5229 NOIMP(-4) -3.084539 2.389465 -1.290891 0.2232 C -601.2811 585.4550 -1.027032 0.3265 Adjusted R-squared 0.979258 Durbin-Watson stat 2.5609 F-statistic 75.54466 Prob (F-statistic) 0.0000 Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0
  • 5. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD49234 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 2 | Jan-Feb 2022 Page 497 The granger causality test in Table 5 unveils that there is a causal relationship between market capitalization, foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-oil imports at a significant level of 5%. This result evidences that globalization as expressed by foreign direct investment, non-oil exports, and non-oil imports has significant effect on market capitalization in Nigeria. Similarly, it was found out also that market capitalization has significant effect on non-oil exports and non-oil imports. Table 5: Granger Causality Test Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob. Remarks FDI does not Granger Cause MKTCAP MKTCAP does not Granger Cause FDI 33 5.44391 2.61098 0.0101 0.0913 Causality No Causality NOEXP does not Granger Cause MKTCAP MKTCAP does not Granger Cause NOEXP 33 10.3391 3.53971 0.0004 0.0426 Causality Causality NOIMP does not Granger Cause MKTCAP MKTCAP does not Granger Cause NOIMP 33 12.0502 5.76794 0.0002 0.0080 Causality Causality Source: Statistical Output from E-views 10.0 Findings showed that foreign direct investment, non – oil export and non – oil imports has significant effect on market capitalization in Nigeria which agrees with the study of Akinmulegu (2018) who investigated the relationship between the capital market development and foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria and discover that the Capital market development has significant effect on foreign portfolio investment. It was as well discovered through the granger causality test that market capitalization has significant effect on non – oil export and non – oil import which agrees with the work of AkinwaleandAdekunle (2019) which also revealed that there is a positive relationship between trade openness and foreign portfolio investment and capitalization, but disagrees on the variables of foreign direct investment. Finally, from the results it could be seen that globalization which was proxy by foreign direct investment, non-oil export and non-oil imports has significant effect on market capitalization in Nigeria and market capitalization has significant effects on non-oil exports and non-oil imports. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS The existence of relationships among variables was ascertained from the previous section of this work. There is positive and significant relationship between market capitalization and foreign direct investment. Market capitalization has significant effects on non- oil export and non-oil imports. This research work has shown that the capital market plays a very vital role in sustaining growth and development of economic activities; businesses, mobilization and allocation of funds which is a vitamin for economic growth. Globalization of the capital market is all about localizing the global events and trends in order to attract capital from foreign markets, thereby increasing the availability of financial resources for domestic investment. We therefore submit our recommendations that the government should consider the option of liberalizing the economy (let there be labour market flexibility, lower tax rate for businesses, less restriction on both domestic and foreign capital to encourage competitiveness in the business environment), so that the full benefit of globalization would be reaped, since globalization brings about development of the Capital market. Let there be consideration of the introduction of a more juicy and attractive financial instrument, so that foreign investors could be encouraged to invest in the capital market in other to attract more foreign exchange into the economy. Let regulatory agency encourage the practise of global stock market so that the Nigerian capital market will not be left out in the world of financial market. Let there be policies that would encourage and boost the confidence of foreign investors, in the economy so that development of the capital market will be accelerated. REFERENCES [1] Akinmulegun, S. O. (2018). Capital market development and foreign portfolio investment inflow in Nigeria (1985-2016). Advances in Economics and Business, 6(5), 299-307. [2] Akinwale, S. O. &Adekunle O. E. (2019). Globalization and capital market development in Nigeria. Journal of economics and business, 2(2), 396-44. [3] Amit, K. B. & Almas, H. (2005). Measurement of globalization and its variation among countries regions and overtime. Discussion Paper, No 1578, 1-49. [4] Faloye, B. A. &Adekunle, O. G. (2016). The impact of capital market on economic growth of Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Banking & Finance and Entrepreneurship Management, 2, 104-116. [5] Goel K. & Gupta, R. (2011). Impact of globalization on stock market development in India. Delhi Business Review, 2(1), 68-84.
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