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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 5 Issue 6, September-October 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1259
Cash Flow Activities and Stock Returns:
Evidence from Nigerian Consumer Goods Firms
Ojimba, Francisca; Okegbe, T. O.; Ifurueze, M. S.
Department of Accountancy, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria
ABSTRACT
Proponents believe that increase in cash flows could potentially
increase the stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted in Nigeria
Stock Exchange while opponents argue and equally criticize that fact.
Hence, this study examined the effects of cash flow on stock returns
of consumer goods firms for a period of 2010-2019. The study was
anchored on agency theory. Panel data were gotten from the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE) and the data collected were analyzed using
multiple regression analysis. The findings revealed Cash flows from
operating activities has no significant effect on stock returns of
consumer goods firms in Nigeria, cash flow from investing activities
does not have significant effect on the stock returns of consumer
goods firms in Nigeria, Cash flows from financing activities has no
significant effect on stock returns of consumer goods firms in
Nigeria, Free cash flow has positive and significant effect on stock
returns of consumer goods firms in Nigeria. On the basis of the
findings of the study, it was recommended among others that there is
need for consumer goods industry to improve on their operating cash
flow by making money available for this purpose for the general
benefit of the economy. The management should embark on effective
intermediation drive which will provide deep source of fund for this
industry. Government should adopt a viable policy that will enable
this industry to expand their scope of business and firm size of this
industry should be improved. The study also revealed that if free cash
flow will be well managed, it will affect the stock returns policy of a
firm positively.
Keywords: Operating activities, Investing, Financing activities and
Stock returns
How to cite this paper: Ojimba,
Francisca | Okegbe, T. O. | Ifurueze, M.
S. "Cash Flow Activities and Stock
Returns: Evidence from Nigerian
Consumer Goods Firms" Published in
International
Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research
and Development
(ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-
6470, Volume-5 |
Issue-6, October
2021, pp.1259-
1266, URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd47626.pdf
Copyright © 2021 by author (s) and
International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
Journal. This is an
Open Access article
distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
INTRODUCTION
Cash flow analysis is often used to assess the liquidity
position of the company and it gives a snapshot of the
amount of cash coming into the business from, where
and amount flowing out (Bingilar & Oyadonghan,
2014). According to Kew and Walson (2016); and
Powers & Needles (2010), cash flow has three (3)
main components which include cash flows from
operating activities, financing activities and investing
activities. Duru, Okpe and Chito (2010) assert that for
cash flows to be well structured and effectively
utilized, an entity must be able to devise various ways
for selecting the best components of its cash flows
which will be used in its operation to raise its
productivity or achieve its goal.
As observed by Kiremu, Galo, Wagala and Muteyi
(2013), stock prices is not only the reflection of
historical information but also it involves the
reflection of newly publicly available information
which involves dividend payments. Proponents
believe that increase in cash flows could potentially
increase the stock of firms while opponents argue and
equally criticize this fact. Besides, there seems to be
so many issues surrounding the cash flows and stock
returns amongst which includes weak governance of
cash flows in the industries which allows mangers to
pursue personal goal whereby putting management’s
interest at odds with the interest of shareholders.
Numerous researchers such as Yazan, Islam and
Tunku (2017); Sayed (2017); and Ndungu (2016)
revealed that cash flows have negative effect on stock
returns. Contrarily, a study by Ali and Mohammed
(2010) revealed that cash flows have a positive effect
IJTSRD47626
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@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1260
on stock returns of consumer goods firms.
Consequently, there are conflicting findings in
literature as regards the effect of cash flows on stock
returns. More also, prior studies did not use free cash
along with other three components of cash flows to
determine their effect on stock returns. The problem
of data collection is one of the constraints in the sense
that most of companies hardly provide complete
dataset and not having consistent dataset needed for
the study. Hence firms with complete dataset were
sampled leaving some other firms out of the study
sample.
The specific objectives are to investigate:
1. The effect of cash flow from operating activities
on stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted
on Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE)
2. The effect of cash flow from investing activities
on stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted
on Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE)
3. The effect of financing activities on stock returns
of consumer goods firms quoted on Nigeria Stock
Exchange.
Review of Related studies
Okeke, Ezejiofor and Okoye (2021) examined the
effect of leverage on cash ratio of Nigerian
conglomerates firm. The study adopted Ex-Post facto
research design, and data were extracted from the
annual reports and accounts of the sampled firms and
analyzed using Pearson correlation and Ordinary
Least Square (OLS) regression analysis with aid of E-
Views 9. 0 statistical software. The study found that
leverage has a significant negative effect on cash ratio
of conglomerates firm Nigeria at 5% level of
significance. Rihfenti and Robiyanti (2016) studied
the effect of cash flows, gross profit and company
size on the Indonesian stock returns. The aim of the
research is to test the effect of cash flows, gross profit
and company size and stock returns by means of
regression analysis. They find out that cash flows,
gross profit and the size of company have an effect on
stock returns. A study on all cash is not created equal:
detecting fraudulent cash flows by Prakash and Cathy
(2016) revealed that the components of cash flows are
vital for understanding a firm’s financial health. Also,
that operating cash flows provide a check into the
quality of earnings in income statement as well as
quality of accounts in the statement of financial
position. Osisioma, Okoye, Ezejiofor and Okoye
(2020) ascertained the effect of operating cash flow
on earnings management of Nigerian Banks. The
study adopted Ex post Facto research design. The
study used sample of fifteen (15) Nigerian banks from
2010 to 2019. Data for the study was collected from
annual reports and accounts of the banks. Regression
analysis was used to test the hypothesis with the aid
of E-view 9. 0. Based on this, the study revealed that
operating activities are not statisticallysignificant and
have a negative effect on total accruals earnings of
Nigerian banks. The study concludes that the
importance of risk management activities is aimed at
reducing future cash flow.
Anwaar (2016) studied the impact of firm
performance on stock returns. The study test the
impact of firm performance on stock returns of 30
firms listed on FTSE-100 index, London Stock
Exchange from 2005-2014. The study used five
independent and one dependent variables and panel
regression analysis was used to analyze the data.
Finding showed that net profit margin on return on
assets has significant positive impact on stock returns
while earning per share has significant negative
impact stock returns. Abhay R, Jhanvi Sangani and
Khushboo Joshi(2015)assessed the Dividend
declaration and stock Price Behaviour ;Indian
Evidence. The researchers investigated on changes
and the determinats of dividend announcement on
share price listed in Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE).
The judgemental sampling of BSE-100 FROM 2008-
2009 to 2012-2013 and Capital asset pricing
model(CAPM) is the statistical tool used to signify
the result of dividend declaration on share price. The
study deems to measure the relationship between the
share price and dividend announce. It verifies that the
dividend announcement does not affect share prices
on the long term. Maringka, Moeljadi, Atim and
Ratnawati (2016) analyzed the features of variable of
a free cash flow and company’s leverage free cash
flow and interest rates and the effect of these
variables on stock returns. The regression approach
was used to analyze data and the result showed that
leverage, free cash flow and interest rate charge has
no significant effect on stock return while financial
performance has an indirect effect on stock return.
Amah, Ogbonna, Ekwe and Ihendinihu (2016)
evaluated the relationship between cash flow ratios
and financial performance of listed banks in emerging
economies. Survey method of research design was
used and data was collected via audited statement of
account of four (4) banks quoted on the Nigeria Stock
Exchange (NSE). Using correlation analysis
technique, the study found that operating cash flow
has a significant and strong positive relationship with
performance.
Foerster, Tsagarelis andWang(2017) investigated if
cash flows are better stock returns predictors than
profit. The study was carried out to see if operating
cash flow information, cash taxes and capital
expenditures provide incremental predictive power.
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The survey method was used and data analyzed using
regression Zhi (2009) examined the association
between cash flow, consumption risk and stock
returns. The study linked assets risk premium to two
characteristics of its underlying cash flow: covariance
and duration. The dynamic interaction of two factor
model was used and findings showed that cash flow
characteristic are fundamental in determining risk
exposure of an assets and accounting earnings.
Ibrahim Marwan Khanji and Ahmad Zakaria Siam
(2015) investigated on effect of cash flow on share
price of the Jordanian commercial Banks listed in
Ammanan Stock Exchange. The linear regression
coefficient is used to analyze data. The researcher
basedhis work on the population of Jordan
Commercial Bank listed in Amman Stock Exchange
2010-2015. The findings is than there is no
statistically significant relationship between
operational, Investment Share price of the Jordan
Commercial Banks listed in Ammanan Stock
Exchange. Findings of the study revealed that cash
flow information and cash taxes provide incremental
predictive power compared to capital expenditure.
Duru, Okpe and Chitor (2015) investigated on the
effects of cash flow statement on performance of
Food and Beverages Companies in Nigeria. Data was
obtained from annual reports and accounts of the
companies under study and multiple regression
techniques was used in analyzing the data. The study
found that operating and financing cash flows have
significant positive effect on corporate performance.
In addition, it was found that investing cash flows has
significant negative relationship with corporate
performance. Mackenzie (2018) examined sustainable
free cash flow analysis and resource equities in the
United Kingdom and found that free cash flows is
capable of sustaining resource equities. The paper
utilized regression in the analysis of data.
Methodology
The study used panel data and was based on ex-post
facto research design. The panel data used has the
characteristics of time series and cross sectional as the
data was collected from many companies in many
years. The data collected already exist and the study
made no attempt to manipulate its nature or value.
The study was conducted using quoted companies
under the consumer goods sector in the Nigerian
Stock Exchange. The sector is one among the eleven
sectors which all quoted firms are grouped under and
the study used secondary data that was collected from
the quoted firms in the consumer goods sector within
the period of 2010 and 2019. The data was collected
from the published financial statement of the various
quoted firms selected for the study and the stock
exchange Fact-book.
Population of the study
The Population of the study is the twenty nine firms
quoted under the consumer goods sector of the
Nigeria Stock Exchange. That is, the twenty nine
consumer goods sector firms constitute our
population of the study. The sector has a total of
twenty eight quoted firms.
Sample size
The sample size is the thirteen firms which disclosed
their free cash flow and paid dividend within the
period. Hence, the sample size of the study is thirteen
firms under the consumer goods firms quoted in the
Nigeria stock as at December 2019. The consumer
goods sector has a total of twenty nine quoted firms.
The thirteen quoted companies used in sample size
are: FLOUR MILLS OF NIGERIA, VONO
PRODUCT, UNILIVER NIG PLC, HONEY WELL,
PZ CUSSON, 7-UP BOTTLING COMPANY,
DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY, NIGERIA
BOTTLING COMP, NESTLE NIG PLC, DN
MEYER PLC, UTC OF NIG, UNION DICON
SALT, FLOURMILL PLC.
Method of Data Collection
The data used for this study was collected from
secondary sources. The data were collected from the
published audited financial statement of the quoted
consumer goods sector firms used in this study and
the Nigeria Stock Exchange Fact Book.
Method of Data Analysis
The secondary data collected was analyzed using
descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, regression
and interaction analysis. Multiple regression analysis
was used to evaluate the effect of the independent
variables. The result reveals the degree of influence
and the level of significance. The interaction was
used to select the best combination of the ownership
structure variables that minimize the reporting lag.
Data and Variable Description
The study used a panel data collected from the quoted
consumer goods firms in Nigeria within the period
covering 2010 - 2019. The study used operating cash
flow, investing cash flow, financing cash flow and
free cash flow as explanatory variables, while
dividend paid out was used as response variable. The
study used a secondary data from 2010 - 2019
collected from the listed consumer goods firms. The
study used firm size as control variables. Below are
the dependent and independent variables and their
proxy.
Model Specification
The model used was premised on the main objectives
and anchored on the sub-objective. The model was
adopted from the work of Takiah, Rin and Zuraidah
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(2012) and Takiah, et al (2012) model is PERF = (
OPECFL, INVCFL, FINCFL). The Takiah, et al
(2012) model was modified to suit the variables to be
used. Hence the model for the study was anchored on
the objective.
The model for the study is anchored on the objective.
DIV = f(OPECFL, FINCFL,, INCFL, )
…………………………1
This can be express econometrically as follows
DIVit = d0 + d1OPECFLit + d2FINCFLit + d3INCFLit+
µit. .. . 2
Equation 2 is the linear regression model used in t
OPECFL = cash flow from operating activivites
FINCFL = cash flow from financing activities
INCFL = Investing cash flow
d0 = Constant d1… d6 = are the coefficient of the
regression equation.
µ = Error term;
i= is the cross section of firms used;
t = is year (time series)
Data Presentation, Analysis and Interpretation
Data analysis
In analyzing the data, the study adopted multiple
regression analysis. However, some preliminary
analysis such as descriptive statistics, and correlation
analysis in other to ascertain normality of the data,
check for the presence of multi-colinearity among the
variables used in the study.
Descriptive Statistics
Table 1 provides the summary of the descriptive statistics analysis result. The detail result is
presented in table 2 under the appendix.
DIVPAY OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL
Mean 0. 785650 0. 276114 0. 180211 0. 247780
Median 0. 750000 0. 456022 0. 080000 0. 170000
Maximum 1. 500000 0. 774310 0. 670000 0. 820000
Minimum 0. 000000 0. 010000 0. 000000 0. 010000
Std. Dev. 0. 410537 0. 235780 0. 127320 0. 246226
Skewness 1. 632596 1. 962415 0. 581374 17. 72859
Kurtosis 7. 252520 6. 126588 1. 337995 415. 7402
Jarque-Bera 191. 6360 774. 2802 126. 5129 5277058.
Probability 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000
Sum 140. 7600 3856. 000 266. 0000 3774. 000
Sum Sq. Dev. 6. 763390 49061. 84 170. 1247 4940. 439
Sources: Researcher’s summary of descriptive statistics 2021
Table 1 shows the mean (average) for each of the variables, their maximum values, minimum values, standard
deviation and the Jarque-Bera (JB) statistics. The result provided some insight into the nature of the selected
companies that used for the study. Firstly, it was observed that within the period under review, the sampled
companies dividend payout have a mean value of 0. 79, a maximum and minimum value of 1. 50 and 0. 00
respectively. The minimum value reveals that not all firm pays dividend within the period under study. The large
difference between the maximum and mean value shows that the sampled companies used for the study are not
dominated by either high and low dividend paying firms.
DIVP OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL
Mean 0. 785650 0. 276114 0. 108229 0. 247780
Maximum 1. 500000 0. 774310 0. 230000 0. 820000
Minimum 0. 000000 0. 010000 0. 000000 0. 010000
Probability 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000
The table shows mean operating cash flow value of 0. 276 maximum and minimum 0. 774 and 0. 01
respectively. While financing cash flow has a mean value of 0. 18, maximum of 0. 67 and minimum of 0. 00.
Free cash flow has an average value of 0. 237, maximum of 0. 64 and minimum of 0. 00. These values indicate
that the firms generate more cash flow from operating activities than from financing activities, investing
activities and from free cash flow. Thus firms generate more of cash flow in operating activities, followed by
free cash flow, investing cash flow and the least from the financing cash flow. Lastly, the Jarque – Bera (JB)
statistics which test for normality or the existence of outlier or extreme value among the variables shows that all
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@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1263
the variables are normally distributed at 1% level of significance except the dividend payout and firm size which
were significant at 5% level. The result reveals that there is no variable with outlier to distort our conclusion and
are therefore it can be reliable for drawing generalization. The result means that all the explanatoryvariables are
normally distributed, hence no presence of outlier. However, this was tested further using the Shapiro-Wilk test.
The result of the Shapiro-Wilk test is shown below.
Variable Obs W V z Prob>z
DIVP 130 0.31141 464.648 15.254 0.00000
OPECFL 130 0.40559 400.761 14.886 0.00000
FINCFL 130 0.36878 425.934 15.038 0.00000
INVCFL 130 0.02033 663.304 16.141 0.00000
SOURCE: STATA 13
Lastly, the Shapiro-Wilk test for normality shows that dividend payout, cash flow from operating activities, cash
flow from investing activities, cash flow from financing activities, free cash flow, are normallydistributed at one
percent significant. The normality test result reveals the all of the variables used are normally distributed, hence
the result of the data analysis can be relied upon in making generalization and for policy. The Shapiro-Wilk test
for normality result is similar to the normality test result produce by the Jarque-Bera statistics probability under
the descriptive statistics.
Table 2 Correlation analysis
TAAhe study used the pearson correlation analysis in examining the association between the variables used in
the study, the result is presented below in table 2
DIVP OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL
DIVP 1. 000000 0. 035420 0. 185839 0. 028439
OPECFL 0. 035420 1. 000000 0. 044694 0. 044869
FINCFL 0. 185839 0. 044694 1. 000000 0. 121913
INVCFL 0. 028439 0. 044869 0. 121913 1. 000000
The finding from the correlation analysis table shows that dividend payout has positive association (0. 035) with
cash flow from operative activities. This reveals that the more cash flow from operative activities, the higher the
dividend payout among Consumer goods firms. The result also shows that corporate dividend payout has strong
positive association (0. 185) with cash flow from financing activities, this reveals that the higher the cash flow
from financing activities, the better/ higher the corporate dividend payout of the firm. The result also shows that
corporate dividend payout has positive association (0. 12) with free cash flow. Cash flow from investing
activities has positive association with corporate dividend payout (0. 028). This has reveals that Cash flow from
investing activities has positive effect on the corporate dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. In
checking for the presence of multi-colinearity using the correlation analysis result, the study observed that no
two explanatory variables were perfectly correlated. This indicates the absence of multi-colinearity problem in
the model used for the analysis and also justifies the use of the ordinary least square. This was further checked
by the use of Variance inflation factor test.
Table 3: Variance inflation factor test:
Variable VIF 1/VIF
DIVP 1.01 0.99009
OPECFL 1.03 0.97087
FINCFL 1.00 0.99999
INVCFL 1.01 0.99009
Mean VIF 1. 07
Source: STATA 13
The Variance inflation factor test result table above shows the mean value of 1. 07 which is less than 10
benchmark. The mean value indicates the absence of multi-colinearity in our model. This result confirms the
finding from the correlation analysis which shows the absence of multi-colinearity using 75 percent acceptance
region in determining the level of association among the variables used.
Fixed and Random Effect Test
The summary result of multiple regression analysis is presented below. However, the study takes into
cognizance the heterogeneity nature of the agricultural firm data, hence the need for testing its effect on the data.
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The study therefore used Hausman effect test to select between fixed and random effect that is best to be adopted
in the study. Below is the summary of the Hausman test result, details of the result is presented in table 4 under
the appendix.
under Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d. f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1. 582477 4 0. 8119
Source: researcher summary of regression analysis result using E-view 9
The Hausman test result shows a chi-square corporate dividend payout of 1. 58 and probability corporate
dividend payout 0. 811, the chi-square probability is above 10. Based on the result, the studyaccepts the random
effect and rejects the fixed effect, hence we use the random effect to correct the problem of heterogeneity in the
data used for the study and the random effect regression result is presented below. Table 4. 4 below is the
summary of the regression result adjusted for fixed effect (details of the result are presented in table 4 the
appendix).
Regression Analysis
To evaluate the effect of board diversity on corporate dividend payout and to test our formulated hypotheses, we
used regression analysis. The result obtained is presented in table 4. 4 below
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: DIVP
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 05/01/21 Time: 15:08
Sample: 2010 2019
Periods included: 10
Cross-sections included: 13
Total panel (balanced) observations: 130
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 3. 500243 1. 319965 2. 651769 0. 0212
OPECFL 4. 429088 1. 077503 4. 110511 0. 0000
FINCFL 0. 156290 1. 650232 -0. 094708 0. 9247
FCF 0. 119068 0. 066775 1. 783122 0. 0839
INVCFL 0. 456090 0. 205607 2. 218261 0. 0263
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0. 545584 Mean dependent var 0. 879750
Adjusted R-squared 0. 496451 S. D. dependent var 0. 206245
S. E. of regression 0. 177005 Akaike info criterion -0. 430174
Sum squared resid 3. 884999 Schwarz criterion 0. 261740
Log likelihood 70. 41393 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0. 149212
F-statistic 12. 62489 Durbin-Watson stat 1. 908751
Prob(F-statistic) 0. 000050
The above table report, the OLS regression result. The result study R-sq(Adj. ) 0. 496 (49. 6%) this indicates that
cash flow variables jointly explain about 49. 6% of the variation/changes in dividend payout of listed Consumer
goods firms in Nigeria. Hence about 49. 6% of changes in cash dividend payout can be attributable to the level
of cash flow of the firms used in the study. The F-statistics value of 12. 41 and its probability value of 0. 00
shows that the model used was appropriate and is statistically at 1% levels. The Durbin Watson statistics result
was 1. 908 can be approximated into 2, this indicates the absence of autocorrelation in our model hence the
model used is appropriate for the study.
Hypothesis 1
Ho: Operating cash flow has no significant effect on
dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria.
The analysis result of the showed a coefficient value
of 4. 43, t-value of 4. 11 and a p- value of 0. 00. The
positive coefficient value of 4. 43 shows that
operating cash flow has positive effect of about 4. 43
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percent on dividend payout. The probability value
reveals that the effect of operating cash flow on
dividend payout is statisticallysignificant at 1% level.
Based on the result, the study accepts the alternate
hypothesis and concludes that operating cash flow has
statistical significant effect on dividend payout among
consumer goods firms in Nigeria.
Hypothesis 2
Ho: Investing cash flow has no significant effect on
dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria.
The analysis result of the effect of Investing cash
flow on dividend payout showed a coefficient value
of 0. 456, and a probability value of 0. 263. The
coefficient value of 0. 456 shows that investing cash
flow has positive effect on contribution of about 0. 03
percent to dividend payout of the firms used in the
study. The probability value of 0. 793 shows that the
effect of investing cash flow on dividend payout is
not statistically significant even at 5% level. Based on
the result, the study rejects the alternate hypothesis
and concludes that investing cash flow has positive
statistical significant effect on dividend payout of
Consumer goods firms in Nigeria.
Hypothesis 3
Ho: Cash flow from financing activities has no
significant effect on dividend payout of Consumer
goods firms in Nigeria
The analysis result of the effect of cash flow from
financing activities on dividend payout showed a
coefficient value of 0. 156, and a probability value of
0. 924. The coefficient value of 0. 156 shows that
cash flow from financing activities has positive effect
on dividend payout of the firms used in the study.
However, the probability value shows that the effect
of cash flow from financing activities on dividend
payout is statistically insignificant. Based on the
result, the study rejects the alternate hypothesis and
concludes that cash flow from financing activities has
insignificant effect on dividend payout of Consumer
goods firms in Nigeria.
Discussion of Finding
The study examines the effect of cash flow on stock
returns of consumer goods firms listed in Nigeria
Stock Exchange.
The descriptive analysis shows that the data of the
variables collected from the firms used were all
normally distributed. The study finds that there is no
presence of multi-colinearity and autocorrelation in
our model. The study finds that cash flow has about
49. 6% effect on the dividend payout of consumer
goods firms. Thus about 49. 6% of changes in the
dividend payout of consumer goods firm can be
attributable to the level of cash flow of the firms.
The regression analysis reveals that cash flow from
operating activities has positive significant effect on
the dividend payout policy. This indicates that an
effective Management of cash flow from operating
activities can significantly affect the level of dividend
payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. This was
in line with the study of Qian, Yungb, and Hamid
(2012) but contrary to the findings of Rasoul, Saeid
and Farzad (2012).
Cash flow from investing activities has positive
significant effect on the dividend payout of Consumer
goods firms in Nigeria. This indicates that more an
increase in the level of cash flow from investing
activities can possibly have significant effect on
dividend payout. This finds was in line with the find
from the study of Saman, Mohammad and Omid
(2012) and Yoon and Miller, (2012).
Cash flow from financing activities has insignificant
effect on dividend payout of listed Consumer goods
firms in Nigeria. This indicates that that cash flow
from financing activities though has positive
contribution to the dividend payout of Consumer
goods firms in Nigeria though the level of effect is
not significant. This finding is in line with that of
Saman, Mohammad and Omid (2012) and Yoon and
Miller, (2012) but contrary to that of Qian, Yung, and
Hamid (2012). The result reveals that free cash flow
has positive and significant effect on the dividend
payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. When
the free cash flow is effectively managed, it positively
affects the dividend payout policy of firms.
Conclusion and Recommendation
The study explored cash flows on stock return of
consumer goods firms in quoted on Nigeria Stock
Exchange. This has become necessary in the face of
evolving developments in the industry in Nigeria
especially now that the issue of unemployment and
other environmental factor is concern. Consumer
goods industry in Nigeria need to be in a good
direction in order to join among the trains of
industries that will salvage the economic situation and
also this industry need to grow financially for the
sake of their shareholders, it is therefore important
that cash flow should be yearly looked at for
improvement. The conclusion reached in this studyis
that cash flow has no significant effect on stock
returns in Nigeria.
Recommendations
In view of the findings of the study, the following
recommendations were given:
1. Effective Management of cash flow from
operating activities significantly affect the level of
stock returns of consumer goods.
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1266
2. There is need for consumer goods industry to
improve on their operating cash flow by making
money available for this purpose for the general
benefit of the economy.
References
[1] Abhay, R., Jhanvi Sangani & Khushboo. J.
(2015). The dividend declaration and stock
Price behavior: Indian Evidence.
http:wwwresearchgte.net/publication
/272421212
[2] Amah, K. O., Ekwe, M. C., & Ihendinihu J. U.
(2016). Relationship of cash flow ratios and
financial performance of listed banks in
emerging economies –Nigeria. European
Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance
Research, 4(4), 1-12.
[3] Anwaar, M. (2016). Impact of firms
performance on stock returns: Evidence from
listed Companies of FTSE-100 Index London,
UK. Global Journal of Management and
Business Research, 6(1), 109-112
[4] Duru, A. N., Okpe, I., Chitor, L. I. (2015).
Effects of cash flow statement on company
performance of food and beverages companies
in Nigeria. World Applied Sciences Journal,
33(12), 17-33.
[5] Foerster, S., Tsagarelis, J. & Wang, G. (2017).
Are cash flows better stock returns predictors
than profits?. Forthcoming In Financial
Analysts Journal January5, 2017.
[6] Ibrahim Marwan Khanji & Ahmad Zakaria
Siam (2015). The effect of cash flow on share
price of the Jordanian Commercial Banks listed
in Ammaman Stock Exchange. International
Journal of Economics and financial. vol7(5).
ISSN1916-971X E-ISSN1916-9728.
[7] Maringaka, T. S., Moeljadi, P., Atim, D., &
Ratnawa, K. (2016). An indepth understanding
of the leverage free cash flow and interest rates
influence on stock returns and financial
performance as intervening variables.
International Journal of Business and
Management invention, 5(3), 28-38.
[8] Osisioma, B. C., Okoye, P. V. C., Ezejiofor, R.
A. & Okoye, J. N. (2020). Operating cash flow
and earnings management: evidence from
Nigerian banks. International Journal of
Advanced Academic Research (Social and
Management Sciences. 6(12). ISSN: 2488-
9849’ www.ijaar.org Journal DOI:
10.46654/ij.24889849 Articles DOI:
10.46654/ij.24889849.s61221 53
[9] Okeke, L. N., Ezejiofor, R. A. Okoye, N. J.
(2021). Leverage and cash ratio: an empirical
study of conglomerates firm in Nigeria.
American Journal of Contemporary
Management Sciences Research (AJCMSR)
ISSN: 0092-119X (July, 2021)
www.foreignjournals.org/USA/AJCMSR-1138
76
[10] Prakash, D. & Cathy, Z. L. (2016). All cash is
not created equal: Detecting fraudulent cash
flows. Journal of Forensic & Investigative
Accounting, 8(2), 325-337
[11] Rihfentian, G. & Robiyanti, H. (2016). The
effect of the cash flows, gross profit and
company size on the Indonesian stock returns.
International Journal of Applied Business and
Economic Research, 14(3), 60-66
[12] Sayed Abbas Bala (2017). The relationship
between cash flows and stock returns. Applied
finance and Accounting vol3 (2). URL:
http://afa.redfame.com.
[13] Zhi, D. A. (2009). Cash flow, consumption risk
and the cross –section of stock returns. Journal
of Finance, 64(2), 44-61

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Cash Flow Activities and Stock Returns Evidence from Nigerian Consumer Goods Firms

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 5 Issue 6, September-October 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1259 Cash Flow Activities and Stock Returns: Evidence from Nigerian Consumer Goods Firms Ojimba, Francisca; Okegbe, T. O.; Ifurueze, M. S. Department of Accountancy, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria ABSTRACT Proponents believe that increase in cash flows could potentially increase the stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted in Nigeria Stock Exchange while opponents argue and equally criticize that fact. Hence, this study examined the effects of cash flow on stock returns of consumer goods firms for a period of 2010-2019. The study was anchored on agency theory. Panel data were gotten from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and the data collected were analyzed using multiple regression analysis. The findings revealed Cash flows from operating activities has no significant effect on stock returns of consumer goods firms in Nigeria, cash flow from investing activities does not have significant effect on the stock returns of consumer goods firms in Nigeria, Cash flows from financing activities has no significant effect on stock returns of consumer goods firms in Nigeria, Free cash flow has positive and significant effect on stock returns of consumer goods firms in Nigeria. On the basis of the findings of the study, it was recommended among others that there is need for consumer goods industry to improve on their operating cash flow by making money available for this purpose for the general benefit of the economy. The management should embark on effective intermediation drive which will provide deep source of fund for this industry. Government should adopt a viable policy that will enable this industry to expand their scope of business and firm size of this industry should be improved. The study also revealed that if free cash flow will be well managed, it will affect the stock returns policy of a firm positively. Keywords: Operating activities, Investing, Financing activities and Stock returns How to cite this paper: Ojimba, Francisca | Okegbe, T. O. | Ifurueze, M. S. "Cash Flow Activities and Stock Returns: Evidence from Nigerian Consumer Goods Firms" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456- 6470, Volume-5 | Issue-6, October 2021, pp.1259- 1266, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd47626.pdf Copyright © 2021 by author (s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) INTRODUCTION Cash flow analysis is often used to assess the liquidity position of the company and it gives a snapshot of the amount of cash coming into the business from, where and amount flowing out (Bingilar & Oyadonghan, 2014). According to Kew and Walson (2016); and Powers & Needles (2010), cash flow has three (3) main components which include cash flows from operating activities, financing activities and investing activities. Duru, Okpe and Chito (2010) assert that for cash flows to be well structured and effectively utilized, an entity must be able to devise various ways for selecting the best components of its cash flows which will be used in its operation to raise its productivity or achieve its goal. As observed by Kiremu, Galo, Wagala and Muteyi (2013), stock prices is not only the reflection of historical information but also it involves the reflection of newly publicly available information which involves dividend payments. Proponents believe that increase in cash flows could potentially increase the stock of firms while opponents argue and equally criticize this fact. Besides, there seems to be so many issues surrounding the cash flows and stock returns amongst which includes weak governance of cash flows in the industries which allows mangers to pursue personal goal whereby putting management’s interest at odds with the interest of shareholders. Numerous researchers such as Yazan, Islam and Tunku (2017); Sayed (2017); and Ndungu (2016) revealed that cash flows have negative effect on stock returns. Contrarily, a study by Ali and Mohammed (2010) revealed that cash flows have a positive effect IJTSRD47626
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1260 on stock returns of consumer goods firms. Consequently, there are conflicting findings in literature as regards the effect of cash flows on stock returns. More also, prior studies did not use free cash along with other three components of cash flows to determine their effect on stock returns. The problem of data collection is one of the constraints in the sense that most of companies hardly provide complete dataset and not having consistent dataset needed for the study. Hence firms with complete dataset were sampled leaving some other firms out of the study sample. The specific objectives are to investigate: 1. The effect of cash flow from operating activities on stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted on Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) 2. The effect of cash flow from investing activities on stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted on Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) 3. The effect of financing activities on stock returns of consumer goods firms quoted on Nigeria Stock Exchange. Review of Related studies Okeke, Ezejiofor and Okoye (2021) examined the effect of leverage on cash ratio of Nigerian conglomerates firm. The study adopted Ex-Post facto research design, and data were extracted from the annual reports and accounts of the sampled firms and analyzed using Pearson correlation and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression analysis with aid of E- Views 9. 0 statistical software. The study found that leverage has a significant negative effect on cash ratio of conglomerates firm Nigeria at 5% level of significance. Rihfenti and Robiyanti (2016) studied the effect of cash flows, gross profit and company size on the Indonesian stock returns. The aim of the research is to test the effect of cash flows, gross profit and company size and stock returns by means of regression analysis. They find out that cash flows, gross profit and the size of company have an effect on stock returns. A study on all cash is not created equal: detecting fraudulent cash flows by Prakash and Cathy (2016) revealed that the components of cash flows are vital for understanding a firm’s financial health. Also, that operating cash flows provide a check into the quality of earnings in income statement as well as quality of accounts in the statement of financial position. Osisioma, Okoye, Ezejiofor and Okoye (2020) ascertained the effect of operating cash flow on earnings management of Nigerian Banks. The study adopted Ex post Facto research design. The study used sample of fifteen (15) Nigerian banks from 2010 to 2019. Data for the study was collected from annual reports and accounts of the banks. Regression analysis was used to test the hypothesis with the aid of E-view 9. 0. Based on this, the study revealed that operating activities are not statisticallysignificant and have a negative effect on total accruals earnings of Nigerian banks. The study concludes that the importance of risk management activities is aimed at reducing future cash flow. Anwaar (2016) studied the impact of firm performance on stock returns. The study test the impact of firm performance on stock returns of 30 firms listed on FTSE-100 index, London Stock Exchange from 2005-2014. The study used five independent and one dependent variables and panel regression analysis was used to analyze the data. Finding showed that net profit margin on return on assets has significant positive impact on stock returns while earning per share has significant negative impact stock returns. Abhay R, Jhanvi Sangani and Khushboo Joshi(2015)assessed the Dividend declaration and stock Price Behaviour ;Indian Evidence. The researchers investigated on changes and the determinats of dividend announcement on share price listed in Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE). The judgemental sampling of BSE-100 FROM 2008- 2009 to 2012-2013 and Capital asset pricing model(CAPM) is the statistical tool used to signify the result of dividend declaration on share price. The study deems to measure the relationship between the share price and dividend announce. It verifies that the dividend announcement does not affect share prices on the long term. Maringka, Moeljadi, Atim and Ratnawati (2016) analyzed the features of variable of a free cash flow and company’s leverage free cash flow and interest rates and the effect of these variables on stock returns. The regression approach was used to analyze data and the result showed that leverage, free cash flow and interest rate charge has no significant effect on stock return while financial performance has an indirect effect on stock return. Amah, Ogbonna, Ekwe and Ihendinihu (2016) evaluated the relationship between cash flow ratios and financial performance of listed banks in emerging economies. Survey method of research design was used and data was collected via audited statement of account of four (4) banks quoted on the Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE). Using correlation analysis technique, the study found that operating cash flow has a significant and strong positive relationship with performance. Foerster, Tsagarelis andWang(2017) investigated if cash flows are better stock returns predictors than profit. The study was carried out to see if operating cash flow information, cash taxes and capital expenditures provide incremental predictive power.
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1261 The survey method was used and data analyzed using regression Zhi (2009) examined the association between cash flow, consumption risk and stock returns. The study linked assets risk premium to two characteristics of its underlying cash flow: covariance and duration. The dynamic interaction of two factor model was used and findings showed that cash flow characteristic are fundamental in determining risk exposure of an assets and accounting earnings. Ibrahim Marwan Khanji and Ahmad Zakaria Siam (2015) investigated on effect of cash flow on share price of the Jordanian commercial Banks listed in Ammanan Stock Exchange. The linear regression coefficient is used to analyze data. The researcher basedhis work on the population of Jordan Commercial Bank listed in Amman Stock Exchange 2010-2015. The findings is than there is no statistically significant relationship between operational, Investment Share price of the Jordan Commercial Banks listed in Ammanan Stock Exchange. Findings of the study revealed that cash flow information and cash taxes provide incremental predictive power compared to capital expenditure. Duru, Okpe and Chitor (2015) investigated on the effects of cash flow statement on performance of Food and Beverages Companies in Nigeria. Data was obtained from annual reports and accounts of the companies under study and multiple regression techniques was used in analyzing the data. The study found that operating and financing cash flows have significant positive effect on corporate performance. In addition, it was found that investing cash flows has significant negative relationship with corporate performance. Mackenzie (2018) examined sustainable free cash flow analysis and resource equities in the United Kingdom and found that free cash flows is capable of sustaining resource equities. The paper utilized regression in the analysis of data. Methodology The study used panel data and was based on ex-post facto research design. The panel data used has the characteristics of time series and cross sectional as the data was collected from many companies in many years. The data collected already exist and the study made no attempt to manipulate its nature or value. The study was conducted using quoted companies under the consumer goods sector in the Nigerian Stock Exchange. The sector is one among the eleven sectors which all quoted firms are grouped under and the study used secondary data that was collected from the quoted firms in the consumer goods sector within the period of 2010 and 2019. The data was collected from the published financial statement of the various quoted firms selected for the study and the stock exchange Fact-book. Population of the study The Population of the study is the twenty nine firms quoted under the consumer goods sector of the Nigeria Stock Exchange. That is, the twenty nine consumer goods sector firms constitute our population of the study. The sector has a total of twenty eight quoted firms. Sample size The sample size is the thirteen firms which disclosed their free cash flow and paid dividend within the period. Hence, the sample size of the study is thirteen firms under the consumer goods firms quoted in the Nigeria stock as at December 2019. The consumer goods sector has a total of twenty nine quoted firms. The thirteen quoted companies used in sample size are: FLOUR MILLS OF NIGERIA, VONO PRODUCT, UNILIVER NIG PLC, HONEY WELL, PZ CUSSON, 7-UP BOTTLING COMPANY, DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY, NIGERIA BOTTLING COMP, NESTLE NIG PLC, DN MEYER PLC, UTC OF NIG, UNION DICON SALT, FLOURMILL PLC. Method of Data Collection The data used for this study was collected from secondary sources. The data were collected from the published audited financial statement of the quoted consumer goods sector firms used in this study and the Nigeria Stock Exchange Fact Book. Method of Data Analysis The secondary data collected was analyzed using descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, regression and interaction analysis. Multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect of the independent variables. The result reveals the degree of influence and the level of significance. The interaction was used to select the best combination of the ownership structure variables that minimize the reporting lag. Data and Variable Description The study used a panel data collected from the quoted consumer goods firms in Nigeria within the period covering 2010 - 2019. The study used operating cash flow, investing cash flow, financing cash flow and free cash flow as explanatory variables, while dividend paid out was used as response variable. The study used a secondary data from 2010 - 2019 collected from the listed consumer goods firms. The study used firm size as control variables. Below are the dependent and independent variables and their proxy. Model Specification The model used was premised on the main objectives and anchored on the sub-objective. The model was adopted from the work of Takiah, Rin and Zuraidah
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1262 (2012) and Takiah, et al (2012) model is PERF = ( OPECFL, INVCFL, FINCFL). The Takiah, et al (2012) model was modified to suit the variables to be used. Hence the model for the study was anchored on the objective. The model for the study is anchored on the objective. DIV = f(OPECFL, FINCFL,, INCFL, ) …………………………1 This can be express econometrically as follows DIVit = d0 + d1OPECFLit + d2FINCFLit + d3INCFLit+ µit. .. . 2 Equation 2 is the linear regression model used in t OPECFL = cash flow from operating activivites FINCFL = cash flow from financing activities INCFL = Investing cash flow d0 = Constant d1… d6 = are the coefficient of the regression equation. µ = Error term; i= is the cross section of firms used; t = is year (time series) Data Presentation, Analysis and Interpretation Data analysis In analyzing the data, the study adopted multiple regression analysis. However, some preliminary analysis such as descriptive statistics, and correlation analysis in other to ascertain normality of the data, check for the presence of multi-colinearity among the variables used in the study. Descriptive Statistics Table 1 provides the summary of the descriptive statistics analysis result. The detail result is presented in table 2 under the appendix. DIVPAY OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL Mean 0. 785650 0. 276114 0. 180211 0. 247780 Median 0. 750000 0. 456022 0. 080000 0. 170000 Maximum 1. 500000 0. 774310 0. 670000 0. 820000 Minimum 0. 000000 0. 010000 0. 000000 0. 010000 Std. Dev. 0. 410537 0. 235780 0. 127320 0. 246226 Skewness 1. 632596 1. 962415 0. 581374 17. 72859 Kurtosis 7. 252520 6. 126588 1. 337995 415. 7402 Jarque-Bera 191. 6360 774. 2802 126. 5129 5277058. Probability 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 Sum 140. 7600 3856. 000 266. 0000 3774. 000 Sum Sq. Dev. 6. 763390 49061. 84 170. 1247 4940. 439 Sources: Researcher’s summary of descriptive statistics 2021 Table 1 shows the mean (average) for each of the variables, their maximum values, minimum values, standard deviation and the Jarque-Bera (JB) statistics. The result provided some insight into the nature of the selected companies that used for the study. Firstly, it was observed that within the period under review, the sampled companies dividend payout have a mean value of 0. 79, a maximum and minimum value of 1. 50 and 0. 00 respectively. The minimum value reveals that not all firm pays dividend within the period under study. The large difference between the maximum and mean value shows that the sampled companies used for the study are not dominated by either high and low dividend paying firms. DIVP OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL Mean 0. 785650 0. 276114 0. 108229 0. 247780 Maximum 1. 500000 0. 774310 0. 230000 0. 820000 Minimum 0. 000000 0. 010000 0. 000000 0. 010000 Probability 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 0. 000000 The table shows mean operating cash flow value of 0. 276 maximum and minimum 0. 774 and 0. 01 respectively. While financing cash flow has a mean value of 0. 18, maximum of 0. 67 and minimum of 0. 00. Free cash flow has an average value of 0. 237, maximum of 0. 64 and minimum of 0. 00. These values indicate that the firms generate more cash flow from operating activities than from financing activities, investing activities and from free cash flow. Thus firms generate more of cash flow in operating activities, followed by free cash flow, investing cash flow and the least from the financing cash flow. Lastly, the Jarque – Bera (JB) statistics which test for normality or the existence of outlier or extreme value among the variables shows that all
  • 5. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1263 the variables are normally distributed at 1% level of significance except the dividend payout and firm size which were significant at 5% level. The result reveals that there is no variable with outlier to distort our conclusion and are therefore it can be reliable for drawing generalization. The result means that all the explanatoryvariables are normally distributed, hence no presence of outlier. However, this was tested further using the Shapiro-Wilk test. The result of the Shapiro-Wilk test is shown below. Variable Obs W V z Prob>z DIVP 130 0.31141 464.648 15.254 0.00000 OPECFL 130 0.40559 400.761 14.886 0.00000 FINCFL 130 0.36878 425.934 15.038 0.00000 INVCFL 130 0.02033 663.304 16.141 0.00000 SOURCE: STATA 13 Lastly, the Shapiro-Wilk test for normality shows that dividend payout, cash flow from operating activities, cash flow from investing activities, cash flow from financing activities, free cash flow, are normallydistributed at one percent significant. The normality test result reveals the all of the variables used are normally distributed, hence the result of the data analysis can be relied upon in making generalization and for policy. The Shapiro-Wilk test for normality result is similar to the normality test result produce by the Jarque-Bera statistics probability under the descriptive statistics. Table 2 Correlation analysis TAAhe study used the pearson correlation analysis in examining the association between the variables used in the study, the result is presented below in table 2 DIVP OPECFL FINCFL INVCFL DIVP 1. 000000 0. 035420 0. 185839 0. 028439 OPECFL 0. 035420 1. 000000 0. 044694 0. 044869 FINCFL 0. 185839 0. 044694 1. 000000 0. 121913 INVCFL 0. 028439 0. 044869 0. 121913 1. 000000 The finding from the correlation analysis table shows that dividend payout has positive association (0. 035) with cash flow from operative activities. This reveals that the more cash flow from operative activities, the higher the dividend payout among Consumer goods firms. The result also shows that corporate dividend payout has strong positive association (0. 185) with cash flow from financing activities, this reveals that the higher the cash flow from financing activities, the better/ higher the corporate dividend payout of the firm. The result also shows that corporate dividend payout has positive association (0. 12) with free cash flow. Cash flow from investing activities has positive association with corporate dividend payout (0. 028). This has reveals that Cash flow from investing activities has positive effect on the corporate dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. In checking for the presence of multi-colinearity using the correlation analysis result, the study observed that no two explanatory variables were perfectly correlated. This indicates the absence of multi-colinearity problem in the model used for the analysis and also justifies the use of the ordinary least square. This was further checked by the use of Variance inflation factor test. Table 3: Variance inflation factor test: Variable VIF 1/VIF DIVP 1.01 0.99009 OPECFL 1.03 0.97087 FINCFL 1.00 0.99999 INVCFL 1.01 0.99009 Mean VIF 1. 07 Source: STATA 13 The Variance inflation factor test result table above shows the mean value of 1. 07 which is less than 10 benchmark. The mean value indicates the absence of multi-colinearity in our model. This result confirms the finding from the correlation analysis which shows the absence of multi-colinearity using 75 percent acceptance region in determining the level of association among the variables used. Fixed and Random Effect Test The summary result of multiple regression analysis is presented below. However, the study takes into cognizance the heterogeneity nature of the agricultural firm data, hence the need for testing its effect on the data.
  • 6. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1264 The study therefore used Hausman effect test to select between fixed and random effect that is best to be adopted in the study. Below is the summary of the Hausman test result, details of the result is presented in table 4 under the appendix. under Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled Test cross-section random effects Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d. f. Prob. Cross-section random 1. 582477 4 0. 8119 Source: researcher summary of regression analysis result using E-view 9 The Hausman test result shows a chi-square corporate dividend payout of 1. 58 and probability corporate dividend payout 0. 811, the chi-square probability is above 10. Based on the result, the studyaccepts the random effect and rejects the fixed effect, hence we use the random effect to correct the problem of heterogeneity in the data used for the study and the random effect regression result is presented below. Table 4. 4 below is the summary of the regression result adjusted for fixed effect (details of the result are presented in table 4 the appendix). Regression Analysis To evaluate the effect of board diversity on corporate dividend payout and to test our formulated hypotheses, we used regression analysis. The result obtained is presented in table 4. 4 below Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: DIVP Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 05/01/21 Time: 15:08 Sample: 2010 2019 Periods included: 10 Cross-sections included: 13 Total panel (balanced) observations: 130 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 3. 500243 1. 319965 2. 651769 0. 0212 OPECFL 4. 429088 1. 077503 4. 110511 0. 0000 FINCFL 0. 156290 1. 650232 -0. 094708 0. 9247 FCF 0. 119068 0. 066775 1. 783122 0. 0839 INVCFL 0. 456090 0. 205607 2. 218261 0. 0263 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables) R-squared 0. 545584 Mean dependent var 0. 879750 Adjusted R-squared 0. 496451 S. D. dependent var 0. 206245 S. E. of regression 0. 177005 Akaike info criterion -0. 430174 Sum squared resid 3. 884999 Schwarz criterion 0. 261740 Log likelihood 70. 41393 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0. 149212 F-statistic 12. 62489 Durbin-Watson stat 1. 908751 Prob(F-statistic) 0. 000050 The above table report, the OLS regression result. The result study R-sq(Adj. ) 0. 496 (49. 6%) this indicates that cash flow variables jointly explain about 49. 6% of the variation/changes in dividend payout of listed Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. Hence about 49. 6% of changes in cash dividend payout can be attributable to the level of cash flow of the firms used in the study. The F-statistics value of 12. 41 and its probability value of 0. 00 shows that the model used was appropriate and is statistically at 1% levels. The Durbin Watson statistics result was 1. 908 can be approximated into 2, this indicates the absence of autocorrelation in our model hence the model used is appropriate for the study. Hypothesis 1 Ho: Operating cash flow has no significant effect on dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. The analysis result of the showed a coefficient value of 4. 43, t-value of 4. 11 and a p- value of 0. 00. The positive coefficient value of 4. 43 shows that operating cash flow has positive effect of about 4. 43
  • 7. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1265 percent on dividend payout. The probability value reveals that the effect of operating cash flow on dividend payout is statisticallysignificant at 1% level. Based on the result, the study accepts the alternate hypothesis and concludes that operating cash flow has statistical significant effect on dividend payout among consumer goods firms in Nigeria. Hypothesis 2 Ho: Investing cash flow has no significant effect on dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. The analysis result of the effect of Investing cash flow on dividend payout showed a coefficient value of 0. 456, and a probability value of 0. 263. The coefficient value of 0. 456 shows that investing cash flow has positive effect on contribution of about 0. 03 percent to dividend payout of the firms used in the study. The probability value of 0. 793 shows that the effect of investing cash flow on dividend payout is not statistically significant even at 5% level. Based on the result, the study rejects the alternate hypothesis and concludes that investing cash flow has positive statistical significant effect on dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. Hypothesis 3 Ho: Cash flow from financing activities has no significant effect on dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria The analysis result of the effect of cash flow from financing activities on dividend payout showed a coefficient value of 0. 156, and a probability value of 0. 924. The coefficient value of 0. 156 shows that cash flow from financing activities has positive effect on dividend payout of the firms used in the study. However, the probability value shows that the effect of cash flow from financing activities on dividend payout is statistically insignificant. Based on the result, the study rejects the alternate hypothesis and concludes that cash flow from financing activities has insignificant effect on dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. Discussion of Finding The study examines the effect of cash flow on stock returns of consumer goods firms listed in Nigeria Stock Exchange. The descriptive analysis shows that the data of the variables collected from the firms used were all normally distributed. The study finds that there is no presence of multi-colinearity and autocorrelation in our model. The study finds that cash flow has about 49. 6% effect on the dividend payout of consumer goods firms. Thus about 49. 6% of changes in the dividend payout of consumer goods firm can be attributable to the level of cash flow of the firms. The regression analysis reveals that cash flow from operating activities has positive significant effect on the dividend payout policy. This indicates that an effective Management of cash flow from operating activities can significantly affect the level of dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. This was in line with the study of Qian, Yungb, and Hamid (2012) but contrary to the findings of Rasoul, Saeid and Farzad (2012). Cash flow from investing activities has positive significant effect on the dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. This indicates that more an increase in the level of cash flow from investing activities can possibly have significant effect on dividend payout. This finds was in line with the find from the study of Saman, Mohammad and Omid (2012) and Yoon and Miller, (2012). Cash flow from financing activities has insignificant effect on dividend payout of listed Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. This indicates that that cash flow from financing activities though has positive contribution to the dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria though the level of effect is not significant. This finding is in line with that of Saman, Mohammad and Omid (2012) and Yoon and Miller, (2012) but contrary to that of Qian, Yung, and Hamid (2012). The result reveals that free cash flow has positive and significant effect on the dividend payout of Consumer goods firms in Nigeria. When the free cash flow is effectively managed, it positively affects the dividend payout policy of firms. Conclusion and Recommendation The study explored cash flows on stock return of consumer goods firms in quoted on Nigeria Stock Exchange. This has become necessary in the face of evolving developments in the industry in Nigeria especially now that the issue of unemployment and other environmental factor is concern. Consumer goods industry in Nigeria need to be in a good direction in order to join among the trains of industries that will salvage the economic situation and also this industry need to grow financially for the sake of their shareholders, it is therefore important that cash flow should be yearly looked at for improvement. The conclusion reached in this studyis that cash flow has no significant effect on stock returns in Nigeria. Recommendations In view of the findings of the study, the following recommendations were given: 1. Effective Management of cash flow from operating activities significantly affect the level of stock returns of consumer goods.
  • 8. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47626 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 6 | Sep-Oct 2021 Page 1266 2. There is need for consumer goods industry to improve on their operating cash flow by making money available for this purpose for the general benefit of the economy. References [1] Abhay, R., Jhanvi Sangani & Khushboo. J. (2015). The dividend declaration and stock Price behavior: Indian Evidence. http:wwwresearchgte.net/publication /272421212 [2] Amah, K. O., Ekwe, M. C., & Ihendinihu J. U. (2016). Relationship of cash flow ratios and financial performance of listed banks in emerging economies –Nigeria. European Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance Research, 4(4), 1-12. [3] Anwaar, M. (2016). Impact of firms performance on stock returns: Evidence from listed Companies of FTSE-100 Index London, UK. Global Journal of Management and Business Research, 6(1), 109-112 [4] Duru, A. N., Okpe, I., Chitor, L. I. (2015). Effects of cash flow statement on company performance of food and beverages companies in Nigeria. World Applied Sciences Journal, 33(12), 17-33. [5] Foerster, S., Tsagarelis, J. & Wang, G. (2017). Are cash flows better stock returns predictors than profits?. Forthcoming In Financial Analysts Journal January5, 2017. [6] Ibrahim Marwan Khanji & Ahmad Zakaria Siam (2015). The effect of cash flow on share price of the Jordanian Commercial Banks listed in Ammaman Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics and financial. vol7(5). ISSN1916-971X E-ISSN1916-9728. [7] Maringaka, T. S., Moeljadi, P., Atim, D., & Ratnawa, K. (2016). An indepth understanding of the leverage free cash flow and interest rates influence on stock returns and financial performance as intervening variables. International Journal of Business and Management invention, 5(3), 28-38. [8] Osisioma, B. C., Okoye, P. V. C., Ezejiofor, R. A. & Okoye, J. N. (2020). Operating cash flow and earnings management: evidence from Nigerian banks. International Journal of Advanced Academic Research (Social and Management Sciences. 6(12). ISSN: 2488- 9849’ www.ijaar.org Journal DOI: 10.46654/ij.24889849 Articles DOI: 10.46654/ij.24889849.s61221 53 [9] Okeke, L. N., Ezejiofor, R. A. Okoye, N. J. (2021). Leverage and cash ratio: an empirical study of conglomerates firm in Nigeria. American Journal of Contemporary Management Sciences Research (AJCMSR) ISSN: 0092-119X (July, 2021) www.foreignjournals.org/USA/AJCMSR-1138 76 [10] Prakash, D. & Cathy, Z. L. (2016). All cash is not created equal: Detecting fraudulent cash flows. Journal of Forensic & Investigative Accounting, 8(2), 325-337 [11] Rihfentian, G. & Robiyanti, H. (2016). The effect of the cash flows, gross profit and company size on the Indonesian stock returns. International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 14(3), 60-66 [12] Sayed Abbas Bala (2017). The relationship between cash flows and stock returns. Applied finance and Accounting vol3 (2). URL: http://afa.redfame.com. [13] Zhi, D. A. (2009). Cash flow, consumption risk and the cross –section of stock returns. Journal of Finance, 64(2), 44-61