23rd Aug 2016…
Presented by: Arun K Agarwal
A summarized View….
Exit Remain Final Verdict
England 53.4 46.6 Exit
Wales 52.5% 47.5% Exit
Ireland 44.2% 55.8% Remain
Scotland 38% 62% Remain
Total 52% 48% Exit
The Brexit Polls Break up
Implications and Consequences
Britain, Europe, India and the World
French Foreign Minister Robert Schuman proposes integrating the coal and steel
industries of Western Europe. This leads to the Treaty of Paris, creating the
European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC), in 1951, with six members: Belgium,
France, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and West Germany.
The same six countries sign the Treaties of Rome, creating the European
Economic Community (EEC) and the European Atomic Energy Community
(EURATOM). They begin removing trade barriers between them and move
towards creating a ‘common market
The institutions of the EEC, ECSC and EURATOM are merged to form a single set
of institutions: the European Commission, European Council and European
Parliament (with members selected initially by national parliaments).
4 1973 Denmark, Ireland and the United Kingdom join the European Community.
5 1981 Greece joins the European Community (EC).
Portugal and Spain join the European Community. The Single European Act is
signed by EU governments, providing for the creation of a single market in which
people, goods, capital and services can move freely around the EC.
The Treaty of Maastricht is signed, creating the European Union and
introducing new forms of cooperation between Member State governments
– for example, on defence and justice and home affairs issues. EU leaders also
agree to create an Economic and Monetary Union, with a single currency
managed by a European Central Bank, within a decade. The Single Market is
formally completed, but much work remains to be done to make the promise
of free movement of people, goods, capital and services a reality
8 1995 Austria, Finland and Sweden join the European Union (EU).
Europe’s single currency – the euro – is officially launched and 11 EU Member
States adopt it as their official currency, forming what is known as the euro
10 2001 Greece joins the euro zone.
Ten new countries join the EU, including eight from eastern and central
Europe. They are: Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia,
Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia
2006 By June 2006, 15 of the EU’s 25 Member States have ratified the Treaty.
Why did UK Exit?
Huge immigration of Polish and Hungarian Labor resulting in:
loss of jobs to locals;
UK citizens unable to find jobs in EU countries due to their
inability to work at lower wages;
Influx of refugees from Syria resulting in serious perception
Future identity crisis;
Law and order problems;
ABOVE ALL A THINKING THAT THE COUNTRY IS BEING RUN BY
NON REPRESENTATIVE INSTITUTIONS
Why did UK Exit?
UK was always a reluctant member of EU:
Retained its currency;
a. Businesses may move out of UK and relocate to some EU country – For
example, Nissan in Sunderland (NE of England): we leave EU then there
is a 10% tariff on importing cars from outside EU which would make that
plant uneconomic. So they close it and move to Ireland, Poland or
b. The next focus in EU trade is to liberalize services: areas Britain is good
at (banking, insurance, advertising, law, accountancy). UK would have
been better positioned to be supporting this initiative rather than
running away from it.
c. On economic front UK will still have to abide by the rules made by EU on
goods produced or traded in. For example, RoHS directive of the EU
(Restrictions of Hazardous Substances, also called “Lead Free”) describes
chemicals used in electronics & bans some. Even American firms and
Chinese ones follow this - because they want to sell products in France &
BREXIT – Some Implications
BREXIT – Pros & Cons
Negative Views Positive Views
Exports within the EU can be reworked
and renegotiated to minimize the
impact on Exports.
UK will have the option to broaden its
markets beyond EU. – This is a big
question mark due to cost escalations.
UK’s role in world security decisions will
not be diminished on stand alone basis.
The country will be back in control of its
foreign policy particularly the refugee
Migrant labor is destroying the country
which will now be rectified.
Fear of a drastic fall in UK exports to the
EU countries . 50% of UK’s foreign trade
is with the EU countries and next is 15%
with USA. UK will be face numerous tariff
and regulatory barriers.
UK’s role in world security will diminish
on stand alone basis. It is more powerful
as a member of the EU.
EU is very powerful in world politics. It
negotiates trade treaties (e.g. free trade
agreements with countries) and has a lot
of power within WTO. UK alone will lose
Migrant labor which has helped a lot in
delivering cost economies to UK based
industry will quit resulting in cost
Conclusively we may say that………
UK has taken a great gamble. Only time will tell how it
emerges from this momentous decision…..
The main factors which contributed to this decision according
to me are:
Issue of Migratory labor;
EU driven and forced Refugee crisis;
Poor current state of UK economy;
Lack of any solution to the above 2 problems particularly
if UK remains in the EU;