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Using big data to help feed the world
Jeff Bradshaw - CTO
Who are Proagrica
Proagrica, the global agricultural division of RELX, drives growth and improves efficiency by
delivering high-value insight and data, critical tools and advanced technology solutions
Agriculture is at the Centre of Global Change
How could data help?
Precision Agri: Our Data Landscape / Assets
Vast amounts of data spread across the Agricultural landscape. Proagrica is consolidating, organising and enhancing this data
to help drive value across the entire industry, from the farm gate all the way to the super market shelf
Farm Machinery
Every piece of equipment on the farm is
now generating data and wants to be
precise
Agronomist
Providing farm advice, shape files and
data to farmers
Manufacturers & Distributors
Adaptris manages supply chain
connectivity between MFRS and their
Distributors
Weather Data
Global current and historical weather and
soil moisture data at sub-field level
Farm Management Information
Systems (FMIS)
A wide spectrum of tools used by
Farmers all generating data
Satellites / Drones
Ability to identify yield and crop issues
from space / drones
Sensors
Ground and animal sensors measuring
everything from animal fertility to soil
moisture
Soil
Global soil type horizons
570	million	Farms,	25	million	Tractors,	50	billion	chickens,	1	
billion	sheep,	1	billion	pigs,	80	million	turkeys,	1.5	billion	cows	
in	the	world	!	
100%		of	them	with	passports	in	the	UK	vs	36%	of	the	US	
populaIon….	
	
…and	Big	Brother	/	Data	is	here,	for	Animals	at	least	as	
they	are	all	being	monitored	/	reporIng	data
Source: aea.co.uk
An overview of the approach
ProAgrica HPCC Platform
DATA
STORA
GE,
ENTITY
LINKIN
G &
ETL
LAYER	
DATA
SCIENCE
LAYER	
THE
WORLD	
INDEX	 SEARC
H	
REF DATA APIs	
GEOLOCATION
INFO	
SOIL TYPES	
WEB API	
vIPER
DATA
VIZ
PRODU
CT	
Farm Management Systems	
IoT / Machinery
What does it deliver?
▶  Global insight through fully integrated data, Data As A
Service and a range of Analytics tools
▶  An agile, scalable, resilient and secure platform that can
consume data from any source, consolidate, enrich and
expose global agricultural data from everything soil to
animals and all the way to satellites
▶  Precision Ag covering the full Ag value chain from Mfr,
through Agronomist, CO-OP, Farmer and Distributor
▶  A range of Analytics solutions focused on Pesticides,
Herbicides, Fertilizers, Seeds, Cattle, Milk, etc. that provide
insight at market, region, farm, field and sub-field levels
▶  Enabling the industry to increase yield and profitability
whilst reducing inputs and improving environmental impact
There is a lot of detail……..
We can present it differently to manage risk
What does it deliver?
▶  Global insight through fully integrated ESB data,
Data As A Service and a range of Analytics tools
▶  An agile, scalable, resilient and secure platform that
can consume data from any source, consolidate,
enrich and expose global agricultural data from
everything soil to animals and all the way to satellites
▶  Precision Ag covering the full Ag value chain from
Mfr, through Agronomist, CO-OP, Farmer and
Distributor
▶  A range of Analytics solutions focused on Pesticides,
Herbicides, Fertilizers, Seeds, Cattle, Milk, etc. that
provide insight at market, region, farm, field and sub-
field levels
▶  Enabling the industry to increase yield and
profitability whilst reducing inputs and improving
environmental impact
A worked example – OSR aka Canola
▶  It is an edible crop
▶  Food oil
▶  High protein animal feed
▶  BioDiesel
▶  Lubricant
▶  Variable yield
▶  New diseases
▶  Pesticide limitations
▶  Tight profit margins
Patterns of OSR using Principal Component Analysis
▶  Why was the 2016 harvest in the UK so awful?
▶  What correlates to higher yields?
▶  How effective are pesticides?
▶  Are hybrids better?
Correlation doesn’t equal causation……
Some unusual yields…….
Maximum	yield:	
36,784,867	kg/ha
Growers aren’t very skilled at data entry
Planted	Seed	Variety	
DK	Excaliber	
DK	Excalibur	
Excalibur	+	Coa@ng	
Excalibur	Stock	
Excalibur	and	Catana	
Rolled	
OSR	+	15:10:28	
Planted	Seed	Variety	
Excalibur	
Excalibur	
Excalibur	
Excalibur	
Other	
Other	
Other
Oh… in case I forgot to mention
THE DATA IS DIRTY…..
It can also be incomplete……..
How has yield varied over the last 10 years?
▶  Average yield is 3,766 kg/ha
The spread in yield
3,750	kg/ha	
5,250	kg/ha	
2,250	kg/ha	
▶  Most growers are within 1,496 kg/ha of the average
…. But this isn’t constant!
Could it be related to variety choice?
Popularity of hybrid varieties by location
Variety trait differences by location
How do we visualise the data?
▶  Over 150 pairs of variables to investigate
▶  No idea what is linked before we start……
What’s this 2D picture of a 3D object?
How about now?
How to read the graphs
Two	variables	
that	are	high	
at	the	same	
@me
How to read the graphs
Two	variables	
that	are	high	
at	opposite	
@mes
How to read the graphs
Two	variables	that	
have	nothing	to	do	
with	each	other
The market for OSR varieties
What causes variation in yield – it’s a similar story
▶  Degree days
▶  Fertiliser treatments
▶  Fungicide treatments
▶  Insecticide treatments
▶  Month of first insecticide
application
▶  High wind events
▶  Temperatures
▶  Average rainfall
▶  Coldest week
▶  Total radiation
▶  Wettest weeks
▶  Driest weeks
▶  Soil moisture
▶  Precipitation
▶  Latitude & Longitude
▶  Soil content
Overall, what correlates with a high yield?
Warm	winters	
Dry	springs	
Warm	
summers	
FerIlisers	not	needed?	
Larger	and		
Northern?	
2016	
2015
At last some answers…….
▶  Why was the 2016 harvest in the UK so awful?
▶  Wet spring and/or dry winter
▶  What correlates to higher yields?
▶  Warm spring, wet winters and proper pesticide application
▶  How effective are pesticides?
▶  Yes for fungicide, “perhaps” for insecticide
▶  Are hybrids better?
▶  Not really
Take home messages
▶  If you’re a farmer
▶  There are probably too many varieties of OSR in the world!
▶  OSR does better in wet springs and warm winters
▶  If you’re in to analytics
▶  Working with big data is a lot of fun
▶  Dimension reduction is great for picking out correlations in
complex data
Over 3,600 integrated agricultural customers
Thank you!!!!

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Proagrica - Using Big Data to Help Feed the World

  • 1. Using big data to help feed the world Jeff Bradshaw - CTO
  • 2. Who are Proagrica Proagrica, the global agricultural division of RELX, drives growth and improves efficiency by delivering high-value insight and data, critical tools and advanced technology solutions
  • 3. Agriculture is at the Centre of Global Change
  • 5. Precision Agri: Our Data Landscape / Assets Vast amounts of data spread across the Agricultural landscape. Proagrica is consolidating, organising and enhancing this data to help drive value across the entire industry, from the farm gate all the way to the super market shelf Farm Machinery Every piece of equipment on the farm is now generating data and wants to be precise Agronomist Providing farm advice, shape files and data to farmers Manufacturers & Distributors Adaptris manages supply chain connectivity between MFRS and their Distributors Weather Data Global current and historical weather and soil moisture data at sub-field level Farm Management Information Systems (FMIS) A wide spectrum of tools used by Farmers all generating data Satellites / Drones Ability to identify yield and crop issues from space / drones Sensors Ground and animal sensors measuring everything from animal fertility to soil moisture Soil Global soil type horizons
  • 8. An overview of the approach
  • 9. ProAgrica HPCC Platform DATA STORA GE, ENTITY LINKIN G & ETL LAYER DATA SCIENCE LAYER THE WORLD INDEX SEARC H REF DATA APIs GEOLOCATION INFO SOIL TYPES WEB API vIPER DATA VIZ PRODU CT Farm Management Systems IoT / Machinery
  • 10. What does it deliver? ▶  Global insight through fully integrated data, Data As A Service and a range of Analytics tools ▶  An agile, scalable, resilient and secure platform that can consume data from any source, consolidate, enrich and expose global agricultural data from everything soil to animals and all the way to satellites ▶  Precision Ag covering the full Ag value chain from Mfr, through Agronomist, CO-OP, Farmer and Distributor ▶  A range of Analytics solutions focused on Pesticides, Herbicides, Fertilizers, Seeds, Cattle, Milk, etc. that provide insight at market, region, farm, field and sub-field levels ▶  Enabling the industry to increase yield and profitability whilst reducing inputs and improving environmental impact
  • 11. There is a lot of detail……..
  • 12. We can present it differently to manage risk
  • 13. What does it deliver? ▶  Global insight through fully integrated ESB data, Data As A Service and a range of Analytics tools ▶  An agile, scalable, resilient and secure platform that can consume data from any source, consolidate, enrich and expose global agricultural data from everything soil to animals and all the way to satellites ▶  Precision Ag covering the full Ag value chain from Mfr, through Agronomist, CO-OP, Farmer and Distributor ▶  A range of Analytics solutions focused on Pesticides, Herbicides, Fertilizers, Seeds, Cattle, Milk, etc. that provide insight at market, region, farm, field and sub- field levels ▶  Enabling the industry to increase yield and profitability whilst reducing inputs and improving environmental impact
  • 14. A worked example – OSR aka Canola ▶  It is an edible crop ▶  Food oil ▶  High protein animal feed ▶  BioDiesel ▶  Lubricant ▶  Variable yield ▶  New diseases ▶  Pesticide limitations ▶  Tight profit margins
  • 15. Patterns of OSR using Principal Component Analysis ▶  Why was the 2016 harvest in the UK so awful? ▶  What correlates to higher yields? ▶  How effective are pesticides? ▶  Are hybrids better?
  • 16. Correlation doesn’t equal causation……
  • 18. Growers aren’t very skilled at data entry Planted Seed Variety DK Excaliber DK Excalibur Excalibur + Coa@ng Excalibur Stock Excalibur and Catana Rolled OSR + 15:10:28 Planted Seed Variety Excalibur Excalibur Excalibur Excalibur Other Other Other
  • 19. Oh… in case I forgot to mention THE DATA IS DIRTY…..
  • 20. It can also be incomplete……..
  • 21. How has yield varied over the last 10 years? ▶  Average yield is 3,766 kg/ha
  • 22. The spread in yield 3,750 kg/ha 5,250 kg/ha 2,250 kg/ha ▶  Most growers are within 1,496 kg/ha of the average
  • 23. …. But this isn’t constant!
  • 24. Could it be related to variety choice?
  • 25. Popularity of hybrid varieties by location
  • 27. How do we visualise the data? ▶  Over 150 pairs of variables to investigate ▶  No idea what is linked before we start……
  • 28. What’s this 2D picture of a 3D object?
  • 30. How to read the graphs Two variables that are high at the same @me
  • 31. How to read the graphs Two variables that are high at opposite @mes
  • 32. How to read the graphs Two variables that have nothing to do with each other
  • 33. The market for OSR varieties
  • 34. What causes variation in yield – it’s a similar story ▶  Degree days ▶  Fertiliser treatments ▶  Fungicide treatments ▶  Insecticide treatments ▶  Month of first insecticide application ▶  High wind events ▶  Temperatures ▶  Average rainfall ▶  Coldest week ▶  Total radiation ▶  Wettest weeks ▶  Driest weeks ▶  Soil moisture ▶  Precipitation ▶  Latitude & Longitude ▶  Soil content
  • 35. Overall, what correlates with a high yield? Warm winters Dry springs Warm summers FerIlisers not needed? Larger and Northern? 2016 2015
  • 36. At last some answers……. ▶  Why was the 2016 harvest in the UK so awful? ▶  Wet spring and/or dry winter ▶  What correlates to higher yields? ▶  Warm spring, wet winters and proper pesticide application ▶  How effective are pesticides? ▶  Yes for fungicide, “perhaps” for insecticide ▶  Are hybrids better? ▶  Not really
  • 37. Take home messages ▶  If you’re a farmer ▶  There are probably too many varieties of OSR in the world! ▶  OSR does better in wet springs and warm winters ▶  If you’re in to analytics ▶  Working with big data is a lot of fun ▶  Dimension reduction is great for picking out correlations in complex data
  • 38. Over 3,600 integrated agricultural customers