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Music 2.0
                               Webinar
                          Presentation by Gerd Leonhard



                              www.mediafuturist.com
                              twitter.com/gleonhard
                                www.gerdtube.com
Thursday, July 30, 2009                                   1
What I do:




‣ Futurist                   Clients such as Google, Nokia,
                            DDB, Sony BMG, Orange / France
‣ Strategist                  Telecom, BBC, ITV, RTL, The

‣ Author & Blogger
                            European Commission, TribalDDB,
                               Omnicom, Siemens, Kuoni,
                                   Jamendo, COTT...
    www.mediafuturist.com
    twitter.com/gleonhard
Thursday, July 30, 2009                                       2
www.mediafuturist.com

                          www.music20book.com

                          www.endofcontrol.com
Thursday, July 30, 2009                           3
Nope...




Thursday, July 30, 2009             4
YOUR Cookbook




Thursday, July 30, 2009                   5
Thursday, July 30, 2009   6
Total fragmentation is certain - very
           few models will work for everyone!




Thursday, July 30, 2009                            7
Thursday, July 30, 2009   8
The Printing Press
   brought us
   Copyright
  The Internet brings
   Usage-
  us
  Rights
Thursday, July 30, 2009   9
New Gen eratives
         A crucial shift in the content industries:

        • Content ‘Pre-Web’: Presenting -
          and selling - professionally
          produced Content
        • Content ‘Web-Native’:
          Presenting - and selling -
          Context, People, Relevance,
          Packaging, Timeliness - and
          all types of Content!
Thursday, July 30, 2009                               10
Music (Content) is first
          a Service and an
        Experience, and only
           then (maybe) a
               Product.
Thursday, July 30, 2009            11
A new social contract....




Thursday, July 30, 2009       12
Let’s face it:
  We’ve had a great ride with physical media and
Productized Content - but these days are the past.




Thursday, July 30, 2009                          13
The challenge: Creating New Models!
                          Content Consumption (all)
                          Revenue Potential
                          Success with Traditional Content Models




Was                             Is               2 years            5 years
Thursday, July 30, 2009                                                   14
We need to FORGET the value of distribution
  in the traditional music business model.
       There is only one question: what is your
       content worth, when, how, where...?




Thursday, July 30, 2009                           15
Next
                                       Generation
                                      ‘Advertising’
                                       New
                          New Data   Content
                                     Economy
                          Economy
Thursday, July 30, 2009                               16
Thursday, July 30, 2009   17
Welcome to




Thursday, July 30, 2009   18
Our new reality: Use = Copy




Thursday, July 30, 2009             19
Soon:




                          =
Thursday, July 30, 2009       20
=
Thursday, July 30, 2009       21
Social Networks are the next Broadcasters




Thursday, July 30, 2009                       22
We are living in an age of
                   Attention Challenge -
                    Distribution is now just a default




                           Image via http://flickr.com/photos/parsectraveller/




Thursday, July 30, 2009                                                          23
Decentralization. Pull. Merit. Trust.




Thursday, July 30, 2009                     24
In: Brand
       Magnetism




Thursday, July 30, 2009   25
What is the value of Content?




Thursday, July 30, 2009                        26
Asia is teaching us something




Thursday, July 30, 2009                       27
Thursday, July 30, 2009   28
Google & Free Music in China
  • Free / Feels Like Free Music for China!
  • Unlimited, unprotected downloads
  • Paid with Attention, $-ized via Ads
  • In China, little ‘cannibalization’ concerns
  • Google is willing to ‘lubricate’
  • Industry willing because: China is ‘lost’ for
      traditional Copyright




Thursday, July 30, 2009                             29
Thursday, July 30, 2009   30
Google Examples
                          Gives us great stuff for free - and gets
                          us hooked
                          Never messes with our trust - or
                          apologizes
                          Keeps inventing great stuff that makes
                          life easier for us
                          Puts US in the center of their
                          strategies
                          Asks us to share data in return
                          WE are in charge of Google’s destiny

Thursday, July 30, 2009                                              31
A Culture of APIs: Build yours on mine




Thursday, July 30, 2009                    32
Marketing as we know is dead




Thursday, July 30, 2009          33
Well...




Thursday, July 30, 2009   34
But thankfully




Thursday, July 30, 2009   35
Key trends


Thursday, July 30, 2009        36
The Browser is the new iPod
Forrester Research: "Increased adoption of mobile data packages and of connected,
 dedicated portable media players like the iPod Touch are giving consumers on-the-
go access to previously PC-tethered streaming experiences... Ownership becomes
   less important if the songs you want are available on demand and on the go."




Thursday, July 30, 2009                                                          37
Creating added value around your core business




          Monetizing around your core business
Thursday, July 30, 2009                          38
What IS the value of Content?




  • Quickly changing ways of consumption
  • Steep premiums for anything physical!
  • Good electronic UI / UX finally
        becomes feasible
Thursday, July 30, 2009                     39
Nobody wants to pay anymore?




Thursday, July 30, 2009          40
Thursday, July 30, 2009   41
•Free = nobody pays actual $ anywhere
     •Feels Like Free = the payment is bundled,
      or hidden, or absorbed somewhere else, or
      build-in; but: no individual payment decision
      is required everytime
     •Freemium = all users get a strong value free
      of charge, but a certain percentage select to
      buy a premium offer beyond the free level
     •3rd party pays: someone else pays for my
      usage because they want access to me (and
      my data)
Thursday, July 30, 2009                               42
Wisdom of crowds told me:




Thursday, July 30, 2009       43
How to get those $$




Thursday, July 30, 2009   44
Thursday, July 30, 2009   45
Freemium: a definitive model for mobile content




Thursday, July 30, 2009                             46
Freemium and New Generatives: Pandora


                          Convenience         Premium Experience




                            Personalization    ‘Paying for Privacy’



                          Packaging           Convenience



Thursday, July 30, 2009                                               47
Monetizing




Thursday, July 30, 2009                48
Quality of Access and Experience, Filtering,
     Context, Community, Packaging,
  Relevance, Timeliness, Authenticity....
                          The New Generatives *read kk.org




Thursday, July 30, 2009                                      49
The challenge: toll-booth moving




Thursday, July 30, 2009              50
New
         Generatives:
         Packaging




Thursday, July 30, 2009   51
New Generatives:
                          Timeliness




Thursday, July 30, 2009                      52
New Generatives:
          Direct Relationships




Thursday, July 30, 2009          53
New Generatives:
                     Authenticity




Thursday, July 30, 2009                 54
New Generatives:
                Added values




Thursday, July 30, 2009            55
New Generatives:
                Convenience




Thursday, July 30, 2009            56
New Generatives:
         Filtering & Curation




Thursday, July 30, 2009         57
‘New Money’ Examples




Thursday, July 30, 2009                          58
The B(r)and that Pulls




Thursday, July 30, 2009   59
Generating Attention

 •People want to get to know you
 •People must hear about you in many
 different places (not just your own)
 •People must hear about you repeatedly
 •Fish where the fish are




Thursday, July 30, 2009                   60
The Future of Content: Copy $ down, Attention $$ up
                                Copy Based Revenues    Attention Based Revenues

10.0




  7.5




  5.0




  2.5




      0
                          Was             Is          Soon       Near Future      Mid-term Future

Thursday, July 30, 2009                                                                             61
Music Marketing Futures




Thursday, July 30, 2009     62
Kevin Kelly @ kk.org: When an offering becomes commoditized
    the solution is to offer valuable intangibles:
  1. Immediacy    - priority access, immediate delivery
   2. Personalization - tailored just for you... ʻMeCastʼ
   3. Interpretation & Filtering - support and guidance
   4. Authenticity - making sure itʼs the real thing
   5. Accessibility - wherever, whenever, however
   6. Embodiment, Experience & Packaging
   7. Community (i.e. the Tribes)
   8. Findability & Curation



Thursday, July 30, 2009                                           63
Thursday, July 30, 2009   64
Thanks for listening!



    Please talk back
    ★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
    ★ twitter.com/gleonhard
    ★ facebook: gleonhard
    ★ more presentations at
            www.mediafuturist.com

Thursday, July 30, 2009                    65

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Music 2.0 - The Webinar (July 31 2009)

  • 1. Music 2.0 Webinar Presentation by Gerd Leonhard www.mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard www.gerdtube.com Thursday, July 30, 2009 1
  • 2. What I do: ‣ Futurist Clients such as Google, Nokia, DDB, Sony BMG, Orange / France ‣ Strategist Telecom, BBC, ITV, RTL, The ‣ Author & Blogger European Commission, TribalDDB, Omnicom, Siemens, Kuoni, Jamendo, COTT... www.mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard Thursday, July 30, 2009 2
  • 3. www.mediafuturist.com www.music20book.com www.endofcontrol.com Thursday, July 30, 2009 3
  • 7. Total fragmentation is certain - very few models will work for everyone! Thursday, July 30, 2009 7
  • 9. The Printing Press brought us Copyright The Internet brings Usage- us Rights Thursday, July 30, 2009 9
  • 10. New Gen eratives A crucial shift in the content industries: • Content ‘Pre-Web’: Presenting - and selling - professionally produced Content • Content ‘Web-Native’: Presenting - and selling - Context, People, Relevance, Packaging, Timeliness - and all types of Content! Thursday, July 30, 2009 10
  • 11. Music (Content) is first a Service and an Experience, and only then (maybe) a Product. Thursday, July 30, 2009 11
  • 12. A new social contract.... Thursday, July 30, 2009 12
  • 13. Let’s face it: We’ve had a great ride with physical media and Productized Content - but these days are the past. Thursday, July 30, 2009 13
  • 14. The challenge: Creating New Models! Content Consumption (all) Revenue Potential Success with Traditional Content Models Was Is 2 years 5 years Thursday, July 30, 2009 14
  • 15. We need to FORGET the value of distribution in the traditional music business model. There is only one question: what is your content worth, when, how, where...? Thursday, July 30, 2009 15
  • 16. Next Generation ‘Advertising’ New New Data Content Economy Economy Thursday, July 30, 2009 16
  • 19. Our new reality: Use = Copy Thursday, July 30, 2009 19
  • 20. Soon: = Thursday, July 30, 2009 20
  • 22. Social Networks are the next Broadcasters Thursday, July 30, 2009 22
  • 23. We are living in an age of Attention Challenge - Distribution is now just a default Image via http://flickr.com/photos/parsectraveller/ Thursday, July 30, 2009 23
  • 24. Decentralization. Pull. Merit. Trust. Thursday, July 30, 2009 24
  • 25. In: Brand Magnetism Thursday, July 30, 2009 25
  • 26. What is the value of Content? Thursday, July 30, 2009 26
  • 27. Asia is teaching us something Thursday, July 30, 2009 27
  • 29. Google & Free Music in China • Free / Feels Like Free Music for China! • Unlimited, unprotected downloads • Paid with Attention, $-ized via Ads • In China, little ‘cannibalization’ concerns • Google is willing to ‘lubricate’ • Industry willing because: China is ‘lost’ for traditional Copyright Thursday, July 30, 2009 29
  • 31. Google Examples Gives us great stuff for free - and gets us hooked Never messes with our trust - or apologizes Keeps inventing great stuff that makes life easier for us Puts US in the center of their strategies Asks us to share data in return WE are in charge of Google’s destiny Thursday, July 30, 2009 31
  • 32. A Culture of APIs: Build yours on mine Thursday, July 30, 2009 32
  • 33. Marketing as we know is dead Thursday, July 30, 2009 33
  • 37. The Browser is the new iPod Forrester Research: "Increased adoption of mobile data packages and of connected, dedicated portable media players like the iPod Touch are giving consumers on-the- go access to previously PC-tethered streaming experiences... Ownership becomes less important if the songs you want are available on demand and on the go." Thursday, July 30, 2009 37
  • 38. Creating added value around your core business Monetizing around your core business Thursday, July 30, 2009 38
  • 39. What IS the value of Content? • Quickly changing ways of consumption • Steep premiums for anything physical! • Good electronic UI / UX finally becomes feasible Thursday, July 30, 2009 39
  • 40. Nobody wants to pay anymore? Thursday, July 30, 2009 40
  • 42. •Free = nobody pays actual $ anywhere •Feels Like Free = the payment is bundled, or hidden, or absorbed somewhere else, or build-in; but: no individual payment decision is required everytime •Freemium = all users get a strong value free of charge, but a certain percentage select to buy a premium offer beyond the free level •3rd party pays: someone else pays for my usage because they want access to me (and my data) Thursday, July 30, 2009 42
  • 43. Wisdom of crowds told me: Thursday, July 30, 2009 43
  • 44. How to get those $$ Thursday, July 30, 2009 44
  • 46. Freemium: a definitive model for mobile content Thursday, July 30, 2009 46
  • 47. Freemium and New Generatives: Pandora Convenience Premium Experience Personalization ‘Paying for Privacy’ Packaging Convenience Thursday, July 30, 2009 47
  • 49. Quality of Access and Experience, Filtering, Context, Community, Packaging, Relevance, Timeliness, Authenticity.... The New Generatives *read kk.org Thursday, July 30, 2009 49
  • 50. The challenge: toll-booth moving Thursday, July 30, 2009 50
  • 51. New Generatives: Packaging Thursday, July 30, 2009 51
  • 52. New Generatives: Timeliness Thursday, July 30, 2009 52
  • 53. New Generatives: Direct Relationships Thursday, July 30, 2009 53
  • 54. New Generatives: Authenticity Thursday, July 30, 2009 54
  • 55. New Generatives: Added values Thursday, July 30, 2009 55
  • 56. New Generatives: Convenience Thursday, July 30, 2009 56
  • 57. New Generatives: Filtering & Curation Thursday, July 30, 2009 57
  • 59. The B(r)and that Pulls Thursday, July 30, 2009 59
  • 60. Generating Attention •People want to get to know you •People must hear about you in many different places (not just your own) •People must hear about you repeatedly •Fish where the fish are Thursday, July 30, 2009 60
  • 61. The Future of Content: Copy $ down, Attention $$ up Copy Based Revenues Attention Based Revenues 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 0 Was Is Soon Near Future Mid-term Future Thursday, July 30, 2009 61
  • 63. Kevin Kelly @ kk.org: When an offering becomes commoditized the solution is to offer valuable intangibles: 1. Immediacy - priority access, immediate delivery 2. Personalization - tailored just for you... ʻMeCastʼ 3. Interpretation & Filtering - support and guidance 4. Authenticity - making sure itʼs the real thing 5. Accessibility - wherever, whenever, however 6. Embodiment, Experience & Packaging 7. Community (i.e. the Tribes) 8. Findability & Curation Thursday, July 30, 2009 63
  • 65. Thanks for listening! Please talk back ★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com ★ twitter.com/gleonhard ★ facebook: gleonhard ★ more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com Thursday, July 30, 2009 65