This document contains graphs and charts showing transportation data from various locations in the UK and Europe. It includes data on commuting rates by car, increases in walking and cycling, road casualties in Wales by mode of travel, casualties by speed limit, probability of death from vehicle impacts at different speeds, and reductions in road fatalities from reductions in speeding, drink driving and seatbelt noncompliance. It also contains information on experiences in Hull including injuries, child pedestrian casualties and traffic accidents.

7. Proportion commuting to work by car
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Wales Scotland England

9. Proportion increase in walking and cycling
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Hull Bristol

10. Proportion of KSI casualties in Wales
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40% Other
30%
Pedal Cyclists
20%
Pedestrian
10%
0%

11. Casualties by speed limit
1200
1000
800
600
Pedestrian
Pedal cycle
400
200
0
up to 30 40 50 60 70
20

13. Probability of death
if struck by vehicle at…
25
20
15
10
5
0
20mph 30mph

14. Reduction in road fatalities
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Speed Drink driving Seatbelt non-wearing
for a 10% reduction in these

15. The experience from Hull
0
-10 Serious and fatal Child pedestrian Traffic accidents
injuries casualties
-20
-30
-40
%
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
-100

21. “Many countries in Europe apply strict liability to
vulnerable road victims, e.g. pedestrians, children and
cyclists.
To vary[ing] degrees, these are applied in
Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy Netherlands
and Sweden”.
Norman Baker MP, UK Transport Minister

27. While what is provided could generously be described as ‘an exploration of
problems…’, the exploration is not thorough, authoritative or comprehensive.
The consultation document states that:
“There is no conclusive evidence suggesting this trend of increasing traffic demand
will reverse soon”.
The whole premise of the sentence is false.
Statistically, the data presented are meaningless.
The statement:
“It is also important to note that slow and congested traffic can result in higher CO2
emissions than free-flowing traffic”.
needs to be challenged.
the information comes from 2005 and is therefore at least six years out of date.
No information is provided in support of any of these contentions.
The use of the misnomer “Figure 10: Sustainable Development” is the cherry on the
cake. It is difficult to see how a noise map could in any shape or form be the sole
indicator of sustainable development.

28. Total annual traffic volumes in south Wales
19,500
19,000
18,500
18,000
17,500
17,000
16,500
16,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

30. Accident rate compared to UK motorway average
(2009-2010)
2006-08 2009-10
M4 J28-J29 54.9 35.7
M4 J27-J28 76.4 51.0
M4 J26-J27 165.7 45.0
M4 J25a-J26 106.6 93.9
M4 J24-J25 161.5 75.3
M4 J23a-J24 40.3 46.9
M4J23-J23a 32.3 16.7

31. Conclusions
Responses to consultations can only ever be as good as the material provided. This
consultation suffers from multiple flaws:
• An underlying assumption that there has been and will continue to be an
increase in traffic volumes on the M4 when in fact they have declined since 2004
or 2007, depending on the measure used
• Poor use of data from which consultees could draw erroneous conclusions
• Erroneous presentation of data
• Preferential selection of data that could skew consultees’ responses in favour of
new infrastructure
• A proliferation of unsubstantiated and misleading statements
• Misplaced faith in the now discredited ‘predict and provide’ method of transport
planning
• Failure to understand ‘sustainable development’ even as consultation is ongoing
for a Bill to make sustainable development the central organising principle of
government
In combination, the flaws are fatal for this consultation. It must be withdrawn.

32. Image credits
Slide 1 http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmbo82/313823593/
Slide 8 http://www.flickr.com/photos/shanetuk/5491541318/
Slide 16 http://www.flickr.com/photos/pinksherbet/179279964/sizes/o/in/photostream/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/stuckincustoms/4991717429
http://www.flickr.com/photos/alain_limoges/5485378183
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dexxus/6335746903/
Slide 17 http://www.flickr.com/photos/drive-design/3113761021/
Slide 18 http://www.flickr.com/photos/isherwoodchris/4295776610/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/humaninterface/5559445128
http://www.flickr.com/photos/22420011@N05/2197132041
Slide 19 http://www.bicyclenetwork.com.au/general/bike-futures/40410/
Slide 20 http://www.flickr.com/photos/loose_grip_99/2535820294/
Slide 22 http://www.flickr.com/photos/brandondoran/5196993419/
Slide 23 http://www.flickr.com/photos/lwr/4833385709/
Slide 24 http://www.flickr.com/photos/planetmike/118785321/
Slide 25 http://www.flickr.com/photos/garry61/3472434787/
Slide 26 http://www.flickr.com/photos/cosmicmoonchild/2951379685/
Slide 29 http://www.uctc.net/access/35/access35_Traffic_Congestion_and_Grenhouse_Gases.shtml