Presentation by Dr James Tate, February 2015.
www.its.leeds.ac.uk/people/j.tate
www.ciht.org.uk/en/events/events-listing.cfm/the-challenge-of-improving-sheffields-air-quality
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The challenge of improving air quality in Sheffield
1. Future work
Assessing emissions across networks to aid Policy design
1 Collaboration with SYSTRA – Sheffield Low Emission Zone feasibility study (2013)
2. Outline
Traffic & Air Quality trends
The source of the urban air quality problem
Road transport vehicles
Emission legislation
Research surveying the Sheffield vehicle fleet 1
Fleet composition & trends
Emission performance
Passenger cars
Taxis
Buses
The challenge of improving Sheffield’s air quality
Outlook
Future work
2 1 Project report https://www.sheffield.gov.uk/dms/scc/management/corporate-communications/documents/environment/pollution/air/Vehicle-
Emission-Measurement-and-Analysis-2013/Vehicle%20Emission%20Measurement%20and%20Analysis%202013.pdf.
3. Traffic Flow Trends
Sheffield Central Area Screen-line Surveys
3
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
020000400006000080000
Year
VehicleTripsperDay
4. Air Quality Trends
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in Sheffield
4
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
020406080100120
Year
RollingAnnualMean:NO2(gm
3
)
UK Air Quality Standard
5. Air Quality Trends
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in Sheffield & London
5
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
020406080100120
Year
RollingAnnualMean:NO2(gm
3
)
UK Air Quality Standard
6. EUROPEAN AIR QUALITY
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).
Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-
air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf
7. Latest EU directive for Euro 5 and 6 - 2007/715/EC
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
0.00.10.20.30.40.50.6
Year of registration
NOX(grams.km
1
)
VEHICLE EMISSION STANDARDS
Passenger cars
EuroVIEuroVEuro IVEuro III
8. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
020406080120
NEDC - Speed Profile
Time (seconds)
Speed(kmh
1
)
Fig. Speed profile used for type approval purposes (New EU Drive-Cycle)
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
0102030405060
ARTEMIS Urban - Speed Profile
Time (seconds)
Speed(kmh
1
)
Fig. Real-world driving: The Common ARTEMIS Drive Cycle (Andre, 2004).
ASSESSMENT OF VEHICLE EMISSIONS
Vehicle operation
9. Assessing Vehicle Emissions
THE LABORATORY
Fig. Chassis dynamometer and exhaust analysing equipment
Technical University of Graz (Austria):
Light-duty
Heavy-duty
Engine & Chassis dynos.
10. MANIPULATING THE TESTS
Significance
Dings, J. 2013. Mind the Gap! Why official car fuel economy figures don’t match up to reality.
Transport and Environment, March 2013.
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
100105110115120125130
Year of first registration
Spritmonitor.de/TypeapprovalCO2Emissions(%)
Spritmonitor.de
• Record mileages and
fuel purchased
• 300,000 vehicles
• 4.5 billion vehicle kms
11. MANIPULATING THE TESTS
Significance
Ligterink, N., Eijk,A. Update analysis of real-world fuel consumption of business passenger cars
based on Travelcard Nederland fuelpass data.TNO report 2014 R11063, July 2014
12. MANUFACTRER’S CO2 TARGETS
Average car
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Emissions(gramsCO2.km-1)
Vehicle Model Year
80% reduction (DfT)
90% reduction (DfT)
100% reduction (DfT)
NE DC figures (S MMT New C ar report)
S pritmonitor.de (Germany) On-road, ~5000/year
Travel card (Netherlands) On-road, ~15000/year
Honestjohn.co.uk (UK ) On-road, ~3000 / year
F uture Targets (IC C T & DfT)
19. Camera
(Number plate)
Vehicle Detector
(Speed andAcceleration)
Source/Detector
Mirror Box
Source
Detector
Emissions Analyser
(Common
Configurations)
Camera
(Number plate)
Vehicle Detector
(Speed andAcceleration)
Source/Detector
Mirror Box
Source
Detector
Emissions Analyser
(Common
Configurations)
Emission ratios
From peak exhaust plume conc.
NO / CO2
Estimate from NO2 / NOX fractions
NO2 / CO2 &
NOX / CO2
CO / CO2
HC / CO2 &
PM10
Baseline condition taken from front of
the vehicle
Valid measurement
5 – 60 km/h
Sufficient CO2 plume
Number plate record
Method
Remote Sensing Vehicle Emissions
Vehicle Fleet Information
Number plate record ANPR
→ Detailed vehicle registration info.
→ Annoymised DVLA type data
• vehicle type & euro category
• fuel type and engine capacity
• manufacturer & model
• CO2 performance etc.
19
20. Method
Remote Sensing Vehicle Emissions
PROS:
“Real-world” or “on road” or “RDE”
Understand the emission
performance of the vehicle fleet
Trends
Degradation/ ageing technologies
High-emitters
Detailed knowledge of the vehicle
fleet composition
Fast turn-round (one month)
Survey emerging technologies
e.g. EuroVI compliant vehicles
Rich research resource
CONS:
“Snap-shot” or “single-point”
measurement
Vehicle operating condition unknown
Loading
Cold-start or Hot-running
Elevated exhausts – NULL
Lorries “open” chassis
Practical limitations
Dry weather conditions
Relatively labour intensive
Suitable survey locations limited
20
21. REMOTE SENSING VEHICLE EMISSIONS
Passenger car fleet – Sheffield 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
Euro 0 Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6
Passengercarshare(%)
Euro standard
Hybrid (diesel)
Hybrid
Diesel
Petrol
Diesel
share
31.9%
Diesel
share
63.6%
Diesel
share
60.8%
Diesel
share
48.8%
Diesel
share
32.4%
Diesel
share
14.1%
Hybrid
share
1.73%
24. NOX EMISSIONS
Passenger car fleet
Predicted NOX (grams.km-1
)
Petrol Diesel
1973 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Year of first registration
NOX(grams.km
1
)
1991 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Year of first registration
NOX(grams.km
1
)
25. Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).
Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-
air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf
NOX emission factors
Observed vs. UK / EU models
26. NO2 EMISSIONS
Passenger car fleet
Predicted NO2 (grams.km-1
)
Petrol Diesel
1973 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Year of first registration
NO2(grams.km
1
)
1991 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Year of first registration
NO2(grams.km
1
)
37. The Air Quality Challenge
Europe
High background concentrations for key pollutants
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and Particulate Mass (PM10)
Complicated by atmospheric chemistry
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and secondary particle formation
Photochemical smog
Strongly influenced by meteorology
Worst episodes during winter | stable weather conditions
Out-dated vehicle emission legislation and standards
Drive-cycle
Operating conditions
temperature, pressure, rolling resistance, GRADIENT…
Newer diesel vehicles not necessarily cleaner
Until recently, EuroVI
Implications for Low Emission Zones
▶ Air quality is acknowledged to be holding back major road building schemes
37
38. Outlook
Euro VI diesel vehicles
Assessment very positive for heavy-duty vehicles (Buses, Coaches, HDVs):
Significantly cleaner in most ‘normal’ operating conditions
Concern for low engine power demand / urban driving e.g. empty running of HDVs
Initial assessment of light-duty EuroVI diesel promising
Good improvement over EuroV diesel
RDE far in excess of emission standard limits
NOX still only comparable with Euro 2 / 3 petrol cars ( > 10 years old )
Low Emission Zones / pricing expected to differentiate petrol & diesel e.g. ULEZ
Worst performance expected in congested, urban driving conditions
Demands continuous review
Not simply evaluation of first generation of EuroVI’s from premium manufacturers
Deterioration of technology unknown
SCR dosage a concern
38
39. FUTURE WORK
Mathematical modelling to aid Policy design & Forecasts
Microscopic traffic simulations + instantaneous vehicle emission models
39Western Bank AIMSUN traffic microsimulation model developed by SYSTRA
41. Future work
Assessing emissions across networks to aid Policy design
41 Collaboration with SYSTRA – Sheffield Low Emission Zone feasibility study (2013)