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2011 Network Evolution II 1
Network
Evolution
II
John Wright
jcwright@bell.net
2011 Network Evolution II 2
Canadian
Scene
Bell
MTS
SGT
AGT
BCT
MT&T
NT
NBT
QT
IT
Telus
SaskTel
2011 Network Evolution II 3
Add
Cellular
Bell
MTS
SGT
BCT
MT&T
NT
NBT
QT
IT
AGT R O G E R S
2011 Network Evolution II 4
1976 Computers
– IBM and UNIVAC Main Frames
– DEC and others – Mini-computers
– Gates, Jobs and Wozniak – Micros
TV
– Colour becoming the norm
Electronics
– Solid state replaced vacuum tubes
2011 Network Evolution II 5
Network
Improvements
Transmission
– FOTS
Switching
– Electronic, digital
Signalling
– Common Channel (Data Network)
Dynamic Routing
2011 Network Evolution II 6
Transmission Fibre
– Most heavy route LD
Redundancy designed in
– To the home
Heavy route microwave – gone
Short and/or light route
– Microwave or cable being replaced
by FOTS
2011 Network Evolution II 7
Switching Electromechanical
– Gone
Electronic - Analogue
– Look hard, you may find some
Electronic – Digital
– Almost universal
Electronic – Optical
– Coming
2011 Network Evolution II 8
Signalling
Common Channel Signalling
– A data network
– Computer access
Next lecture
2011 Network Evolution II 9
Switching
Hierarchy
Class 2
Class 4
Class 1
Class 5
Class 3
Regional Centre
Sectional Centre
Primary Centre
Toll Centre
End Office
Loops
Trunks
613 416 & 519
514
819
Montreal
2011 Network Evolution II 10
HPR
-
Dynamic
Routing HPR
COMPUTER
VANC (or CAL,
EDM, etc)
St. JOHNS (or
HFX, etc.)
TORONTO MONTREAL
OT
Trunks
Control
Monitoring
2011 Network Evolution II 11
Is
the
Network
Relevant? Yes
– All voice traffic is carried on the network
Including LD cellphone calls
– All Internet traffic is carried on the network
– All other data is carried on the network
But
– It is becoming a passive carrier
– Services are provided at the ends
2011 Network Evolution II 12
A
Miscellany Local v LD – Follow the money
Monopolies broken
Numbering plans
New forms of competition
Interconnection issues
Business issues
The Internet
2011 Network Evolution II 13
The
Balance
Shifts Long distance
– Cost and price plummet
– No longer the financial mainstay
– Competition
Local service
– New services with good revenues
– Competition from cellphones
– Competition for wirelines
2011 Network Evolution II 14
Monopolies
Broken Telephone sets
MCI Execunet
AT&T break-up
LD competition in Canada
Local competition
2011 Network Evolution II 15
Numbering
Plan Country Code 1, 2 or 3 digits
(Canada & US is 1, UK is 44, Taiwan is 886)
Area Code 3 digits, middle is 0 or 1
(Eastern Ontario is 613)
C. O. Code 3 digits, first one is not 0 or 1
(Carleton is 520)
Subscriber 4 digits
(Halim Yanikomeroglu is 5734)
1 - 613 - 520 - 5734 is unique
2011 Network Evolution II 16
Outgrowing
Codes Area codes were 3 digits with 1 or 0 in the
middle
– (2 to 9) x 0/1 x (1 to 9) = 144 codes
• Current solution - 10 digit local dialling
• Interim solution - interchangeable codes
• C.O. codes did not have 1 or 0 in the middle
– (2 to 9) x (2 to 9) x (0 to 9) = 640 codes
2011 Network Evolution II 17
New
Forms
of
Competition
TV
– Off-air Cable Satellite
HS Internet
– Cable Phone lines
Local phone service
– Cable Phone lines
VOIP
2011 Network Evolution II 18
Interconnection
Issues Bell local
Bell local
Other local
Bell LD
Other LD
Bell LD
Other LD
Bell local
Other local
Bell LD Bell local
• How do you connect?
• How do you share the revenue?
2011 Network Evolution II 19
Business
–
LD
Competition
FCC/DoJ expected competition with
innovative services
They got innovative rate plans
• Same in Canada
– Discounts
– Flat rate LD
– Free seconds
• Over supply
2011 Network Evolution II 20
Business
-
Resellers
Buy in bulk, resell in small units
Private lines and WATS (Wide Area
Telephone Service)
Some own no facilities at all
Some own switches
Illegal / Quasi-legal / Legitimate
2011 Network Evolution II 21
Business
-
Local Tradition of subsidies
Now attractive for competition
– Pay phones
– Radio systems
Pagers
Cellular
Blackberry
– Use of Telco facilities
2011 Network Evolution II 22
Internet
–
Universal
Competitor
Competes with …
… mail
… broadcast
– Radio
– TV
… telephony
• ... data transmission
• ... fax
• ... shopping malls
• ... airlines
• ... ?????
2011 Network Evolution II 23
1969 ARPAnet
1980s NSFnet (US), CA*net (Canada)
1991 HTML (CERN) WWW
1993 Mosaic Netscape
Internet
-
Origins
Academia Business Public
2011 Network Evolution II 24
100 years of control, growth and industrial
stability
Followed by 20 years of change
Followed by tumult
Leading to: - Anarchy? - Chaos? - Survival of the fittest
The technology is digital
Summary
The key words are
Change & Competition
2011 Network Evolution II 25
Turning
the
Industry
on
its
Head
9% (2007) of wireless subscribers use the
mobile as their primary phone
Rise to about 30% by 2009 (In-Stat
Research)
VOI telephony – 2004 1.2 m – 2010 20 m
(Jupiter Research)
Nokia expected to sell 100 m camera
phones in 2005
In a few short years telephone calls will be
free (E-Bay CEO)
2011 Network Evolution II 26
Something
to
Ponder “Industries organized around telephones and televisions
will not survive the (20th) century. Still, telecoms
executives want to believe that televisions and
telephones can evolve bit by bit into the new digital
world. This dream cannot come true. Even to talk of
‘telephones’ and ‘televisions’ reflects a lexicographic lag
that prevents many business leaders from detecting the
onset of rigor mortis in their still-profitable products. In
coming years, the very words will ring as quaintly as
‘horseless carriage’, ‘icebox’, or ‘picture radio’, today.”
George Gilder, Discovery Institute (Seattle)
writing in the Economist, 1993

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02-NetworkEvolution2-JWight-07Jan2011.ppt

  • 1. 2011 Network Evolution II 1 Network Evolution II John Wright jcwright@bell.net
  • 2. 2011 Network Evolution II 2 Canadian Scene Bell MTS SGT AGT BCT MT&T NT NBT QT IT Telus SaskTel
  • 3. 2011 Network Evolution II 3 Add Cellular Bell MTS SGT BCT MT&T NT NBT QT IT AGT R O G E R S
  • 4. 2011 Network Evolution II 4 1976 Computers – IBM and UNIVAC Main Frames – DEC and others – Mini-computers – Gates, Jobs and Wozniak – Micros TV – Colour becoming the norm Electronics – Solid state replaced vacuum tubes
  • 5. 2011 Network Evolution II 5 Network Improvements Transmission – FOTS Switching – Electronic, digital Signalling – Common Channel (Data Network) Dynamic Routing
  • 6. 2011 Network Evolution II 6 Transmission Fibre – Most heavy route LD Redundancy designed in – To the home Heavy route microwave – gone Short and/or light route – Microwave or cable being replaced by FOTS
  • 7. 2011 Network Evolution II 7 Switching Electromechanical – Gone Electronic - Analogue – Look hard, you may find some Electronic – Digital – Almost universal Electronic – Optical – Coming
  • 8. 2011 Network Evolution II 8 Signalling Common Channel Signalling – A data network – Computer access Next lecture
  • 9. 2011 Network Evolution II 9 Switching Hierarchy Class 2 Class 4 Class 1 Class 5 Class 3 Regional Centre Sectional Centre Primary Centre Toll Centre End Office Loops Trunks 613 416 & 519 514 819 Montreal
  • 10. 2011 Network Evolution II 10 HPR - Dynamic Routing HPR COMPUTER VANC (or CAL, EDM, etc) St. JOHNS (or HFX, etc.) TORONTO MONTREAL OT Trunks Control Monitoring
  • 11. 2011 Network Evolution II 11 Is the Network Relevant? Yes – All voice traffic is carried on the network Including LD cellphone calls – All Internet traffic is carried on the network – All other data is carried on the network But – It is becoming a passive carrier – Services are provided at the ends
  • 12. 2011 Network Evolution II 12 A Miscellany Local v LD – Follow the money Monopolies broken Numbering plans New forms of competition Interconnection issues Business issues The Internet
  • 13. 2011 Network Evolution II 13 The Balance Shifts Long distance – Cost and price plummet – No longer the financial mainstay – Competition Local service – New services with good revenues – Competition from cellphones – Competition for wirelines
  • 14. 2011 Network Evolution II 14 Monopolies Broken Telephone sets MCI Execunet AT&T break-up LD competition in Canada Local competition
  • 15. 2011 Network Evolution II 15 Numbering Plan Country Code 1, 2 or 3 digits (Canada & US is 1, UK is 44, Taiwan is 886) Area Code 3 digits, middle is 0 or 1 (Eastern Ontario is 613) C. O. Code 3 digits, first one is not 0 or 1 (Carleton is 520) Subscriber 4 digits (Halim Yanikomeroglu is 5734) 1 - 613 - 520 - 5734 is unique
  • 16. 2011 Network Evolution II 16 Outgrowing Codes Area codes were 3 digits with 1 or 0 in the middle – (2 to 9) x 0/1 x (1 to 9) = 144 codes • Current solution - 10 digit local dialling • Interim solution - interchangeable codes • C.O. codes did not have 1 or 0 in the middle – (2 to 9) x (2 to 9) x (0 to 9) = 640 codes
  • 17. 2011 Network Evolution II 17 New Forms of Competition TV – Off-air Cable Satellite HS Internet – Cable Phone lines Local phone service – Cable Phone lines VOIP
  • 18. 2011 Network Evolution II 18 Interconnection Issues Bell local Bell local Other local Bell LD Other LD Bell LD Other LD Bell local Other local Bell LD Bell local • How do you connect? • How do you share the revenue?
  • 19. 2011 Network Evolution II 19 Business – LD Competition FCC/DoJ expected competition with innovative services They got innovative rate plans • Same in Canada – Discounts – Flat rate LD – Free seconds • Over supply
  • 20. 2011 Network Evolution II 20 Business - Resellers Buy in bulk, resell in small units Private lines and WATS (Wide Area Telephone Service) Some own no facilities at all Some own switches Illegal / Quasi-legal / Legitimate
  • 21. 2011 Network Evolution II 21 Business - Local Tradition of subsidies Now attractive for competition – Pay phones – Radio systems Pagers Cellular Blackberry – Use of Telco facilities
  • 22. 2011 Network Evolution II 22 Internet – Universal Competitor Competes with … … mail … broadcast – Radio – TV … telephony • ... data transmission • ... fax • ... shopping malls • ... airlines • ... ?????
  • 23. 2011 Network Evolution II 23 1969 ARPAnet 1980s NSFnet (US), CA*net (Canada) 1991 HTML (CERN) WWW 1993 Mosaic Netscape Internet - Origins Academia Business Public
  • 24. 2011 Network Evolution II 24 100 years of control, growth and industrial stability Followed by 20 years of change Followed by tumult Leading to: - Anarchy? - Chaos? - Survival of the fittest The technology is digital Summary The key words are Change & Competition
  • 25. 2011 Network Evolution II 25 Turning the Industry on its Head 9% (2007) of wireless subscribers use the mobile as their primary phone Rise to about 30% by 2009 (In-Stat Research) VOI telephony – 2004 1.2 m – 2010 20 m (Jupiter Research) Nokia expected to sell 100 m camera phones in 2005 In a few short years telephone calls will be free (E-Bay CEO)
  • 26. 2011 Network Evolution II 26 Something to Ponder “Industries organized around telephones and televisions will not survive the (20th) century. Still, telecoms executives want to believe that televisions and telephones can evolve bit by bit into the new digital world. This dream cannot come true. Even to talk of ‘telephones’ and ‘televisions’ reflects a lexicographic lag that prevents many business leaders from detecting the onset of rigor mortis in their still-profitable products. In coming years, the very words will ring as quaintly as ‘horseless carriage’, ‘icebox’, or ‘picture radio’, today.” George Gilder, Discovery Institute (Seattle) writing in the Economist, 1993