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Aspects of Applied Biology 95, 2009
Measuring and Marketing the Environmental Costs and Benefits of Agricultural Practice

Co-development of bioethanol, feed and food supply chains that
meet European agricultural sustainability criteria
By W MARTINDALE
Centre for Food Innovation, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield S1 1WB, UK
Summary
The development of bioethanol refineries within the Yorkshire and Humber and
neighbouring regions in the UK will impact on the Yorkshire and Humber agri-food
system. The construction of refineries within and outside the Region has resulted in the
need for an impact assessment to be used by food manufacturers utilising local wheat and
those farmers who produce premium wheat for the food system (principally bread wheat).
There are also priorities concerning regional food security that must be considered so that
robust and sustainable biofuel-food policy is developed with food manufacturers, farmers
and bioethanol producers. This research provides the basis for delivering these producer,
manufacturer and processor driven (supply chain) frameworks.
Key words: Bioethanol, cereals, biorefinery, supply chain
Introduction
The bioethanol manufacturing and processing plants that are projected to become operational in
2009−2010 in the UK will require farmers and food manufacturers to have efficient forecasting
methodologies for both land use planning and the determination of business risks associated with
investing in biofuel and/or food crops.
The Vivergo fuels refinery near Kingston upon Hull will require 1.1 million tonnes of wheat
each year. If we were to consider a conservative wheat yield for the Region (average for the
UK) at 8.5 tonnes of grain per hectare, this will equate to a land-use requirement for almost 130
000 hectares of wheat within Yorkshire and Humber region. This is nearly 60% of the current
Region’s cultivated area of wheat (Defra, 2007). The impact of using wheat and other starch crops
on food supply is not currently known. What is known is there is a demand for local wheat grain
as a feedstock for bioethanol refineries because it will minimise transport costs and greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions associated with grain haulage.
There is now significant evidence that recycling carbon through agricultural production systems
and biofuel supply chains can reduce GHG emissions and improve air quality (by replacing fuel
oxygenates; see review by Martindale  Trewavas, 2008). Sensitivities regarding global land
use change associated with biofuel production may stimulate the development of a completely
UK-based biofuel industry. The research presented here aimed to determine how food and fuel
chains could be developed sustainably within the Yorkshire and Humber Region of the UK. Most
importantly, the results lead us to consider the impact of biofuel crops on other crops in the Region.
This relationship is often misrepresented at global scales (as reported by Wassenaar  Kay, 2008)
and it is important that similar misrepresentation is not developed regionally in the UK. The aim
is to provide an impact assessment of the new bioethanol industries that will stimulate business
confidence across the wheat supply chain in the Yorkshire and Humber in order to facilitate the
sustainable co-development of food and biofuel.
Methods
The research presented has developed a spatial analysis of crop production and bioethanol
refineries. This study has used the Agcensus Database (http://www.edina.ac.uk) to plot 2004
agricultural land use datasets spatially using GIS analyses and cross referenced them with the
DefraAgricultural and Horticultural Survey (AHS) 2007. Land use capacities were defined within
50 km radii of the Vivergo, Ensus and Cargill plants using MapInfo Professional 9.5 software
tools and the Agcensus database published by EDINA.
Fig. 1 shows a GIS analysis for the three biorefineries including Cargill PLC (Trafford Park),
Vivergo Biofuels Ltd (Saltend, Kingston upon Hull) and Ensus (Wilton) that will be of most
importance in forecasting impacts on the Yorkshire and Humber grain chain. The concentric
circles shown are 5 km wide circles with a total radius of 50 km from the biorefinery. The
background grid (light grey) shows the Agcensus plots for each 2 km grid, the grey-scale grids
show the intensity of land used for wheat production for 2 km radii (lightest grey shade at 510
hectares ; to darkest grey shade at 0). Black circles show the location of major bakeries from the
Yorkshire Forward Food and Drink Cluster businesses database. A summary of the cereal, sugar
beet and total cropping data for these 50 km radii is presented in Figs 2−4.
©Crown Copyright/database right 2009. An Ordnance Survey/EDINA supplied service
Fig. 1. The GIS analysis for the three biorefineries including Cargill PLC (Trafford Park), Vivergo Biofuels
Ltd (Saltend, Kingston upon Hull) and Ensus (Wilton).
Using experimental data from field trials that have shown a hectare of wheat cultivation is
associated with 1.5 tonnes of CO2
emissions from agri-inputs and cultivation (Cowell  Clift,
1995); and, Life Cycle Assessment data that show 1 tonne of wheat is equivalent to 0.71 t CO2
eq
(Nielsen et al., 2009) we can provide GHG emissions associated with this intensity of regional
wheat production. A further environmental consideration is water use by feedstock crops. Using
the equivalence measure of 750 g water transpired to produce 1 g C3 biomass provided by the
review of Ehleringer  Monson (1993), we have calculated the water utilised by this intensity of
regional wheat production.
Results
The amount of wheat produced within a 50km radius of the Vivergo plant is 1.386 million tonnes
if 8.5 t ha-1
is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.163 million ha producing wheat
(Fig. 2) in this region. This area of wheat production results in 0.245 million tonnes of CO2
and
0.984 million tonnes CO2
eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown within a 50
km radius of the Vivergo plant requires 1.040 × 109 tonnes of water.
Fig. 2. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Vivergo plant using 2004 Agcensus data.
The amount of wheat produced within a 50 km radius of the Ensus plant is 0.621 million tonnes
if 8.5 t ha-1
is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.073 million ha producing wheat
(Fig. 3) in this region. This area of wheat production results in 0.120 million tonnes of CO2
and
0.441 million tonnes CO2
eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown within a 50
km radius of the Ensus plant requires 0.466 × 109 tonnes of water.
The amount of wheat produced within a 50 km radius of the Cargill plant is 0.204 million tonnes
if 8.5 t ha-1
is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.024 million ha producing wheat (Fig.
4) in this region. This area of wheat production results in GHG emissions of 0.036 million tonnes
of CO2
and 0.145 million tonnes CO2
eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown
within a 50 km radius of the Cargill plant requires 0.153 × 109 tonnes of water.
Fig. 2 shows that the 1.1 million tonnes of wheat capacity of the Vivergo refinery can be met
within 50 km of the refinery if optimal agronomic yields are achieved. Over 0.163 million hectares
of wheat are grown within this radius. If optimal yields approach those of the national average
the refinery capacity will be reached with a near 40% reserve on the 1.1 Mt of grain required. The
Ensus Refinery has 40% of the wheat area capacity of the Vivergo refinery (Fig. 3) and the Cargill
starch refinery has 14% of the wheat area capacity of the Vivergo refinery (Fig. 4).
The Vivergo Fuel refinery will also produce 0.5 million tonnes of animal feed each year. The
value of these co-products in new and existing feed and fine/speciality chemical chains is currently
untested and the impact of wheat grown for bioethanol on current feed chains might be minimal.
The relationship between feedstock, fuel, feed and impact on crop management is unknown and
future research will define these relationships.
Fig. 3. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Ensus plant using 2004 Agcensus data.
Fig. 4. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Cargill plant using 2004 Agcensus data.
This study has made an estimate of the regional bakery demand for local grain based of the local
grain requirements of a specific bakery and extrapolated these findings to 36 other bakeries in the
Region using companies reported annual financial turnovers. This estimate of local grain demand
by regional bakeries has suggested a land requirement of 0.023 million hectares to produce 0.195
million tonnes of wheat for the 37 regional bakeries that have a total turnover of £214 million and
8 071 employees. This level of production is associated with nearly 0.035 million tonnes of CO2
emissions and requires 146 million tonnes of water in agricultural wheat production. Using an
equivalence measurement provided by the research of Hoekstra  Chapagain, (2007) who have
shown the water used in manufacture of bread is ten times the volume used in farm production we
can suggest the water required to process and manufacture wheat is 1.46 billion tonnes for the 37
bakeries considered in this study.
Discussion
An important consideration in utilising wheat for bioethanol is to consider benchmarking gross
margins of wheat production against other biomass (cellulosic) crops that are utilised for fibre,
heat and power. The National Non-Food Crops Centre (NNFCC) has developed a calculator for
this purpose (NNFCC, 2009). The calculator shows that wheat produced at a yield of 8.25 t ha-1
needs to reach a price of £110−120 t-1
to compete with a tonne of hemp fibre, £100−110 t-1
for a
tonne of Miscanthus and £90−100 t-1
for a tonne Short Rotation Coppice (SRC, willow). The price
of feed wheat per tonne in the UK has varied between £90 and £110 per tonne in the 2008/2009
period (reported HGCA delivered prices).
The Region’s food manufacturers and farmers who have invested in local procurement of wheat
require a forecasting tool that will allow them to assess the impact of diverting wheat grain into
fuel and associated feed chains. Wheat grown within the 50 km radius of the Vivergo plant
represents 50% of the cropping land in this area. Thus, it will potentially have clear implications
for sustainability criteria required for the direct Single Farm Payment. Although, these issues
should not present conflict between wheat biofuel and food production methods, cross compliance
sustainability criteria must be observed and responded to should fuel or food demand change in
the future.
There is a requirement to know how wheat biofuel crop production systems in the Region
will comply with the Renewable Fuels Agency Carbon Calculator that currently provides the
mechanism to assess GHG emissions, qualify assurance and traceability issues associated with
biofuel supply. This will require an understanding of potential land use impact and associated
changes in the use of nitrogen fetiliser, diesel fuel and other farm management variables in response
to the demand for biofuel wheat crop in the Region. While in-depth specific farm survey is not yet
possible in the context of the Yorkshire and Humber Region our research has started to develop
transportation and haulage scenarios and utilise existing LCAs for bioethanol production in order
to provide regionally specific GHG emission balances.
The influence of imported wheat is currently untested in these scenarios and will need to be
considered with associated environmental impacts and GHG emission balances. The potential
utilisation of other crops such as sugar beet, potato, maize and triticale will also need to be
assessed.
The impact of lower nitrogen wheat will also be assessed. There is the potential to develop food
technologysolutions(enzymeandproteinaddition)toenabletheuseoflowerproteinwheatinbread
making. These are innovative and if proven, the techniques will be of international importance.
Indeed competition between bread and fuel wheat needs to be determined because the conflict
between food and fuel may be manageable using current land use scenarios presented in Figs 1−4.
Evidence derived from existing biofuel crop systems show GHG emissions associated with less
intensive agricultural production (lower nitrogen fertiliser inputs) are likely to be lower than those
of high quality wheat production (bread making wheat). There is an immediate requirement for
a study of the Vivergo Fuel refinery impact on the growing of higher nitrogen bread wheat in the
region.
The demand for local wheat by millers and bakers in the Yorkshire and Humber Region is not
accurately recorded and the food chain data in this study has been extrapolated using limited data.
We are currently developing more robust GIS models and scenarios for the production and supply
of feedstock into food, biofuel and co-product supply chains. The water, GHG and land use impacts
of these production scenarios will be benchmarked and ranked with respect to agri-sustainability
criteria. A key element of agri-sustainability will be economic outcomes and the NNFCC biofuel
crops calculator shows how the current relationship between food and fuel feedstock is only
just providing economic support for the use wheat as a biofuel crop. This economic calculator
demonstrates wheat will have to reach prices of over £100 per tonne to be competitive with
the current prices obtained for Miscanthus and SRC. Currently, the price offered for delivered
biomass feedstocks (for heat and power) might be considered stronger with the demand from
power generators having been established on the basis of renewable energy obligation and carbon
reduction targets. Liquid fuel (gasoline substitute and gasohols) security has been a significant
driver in the development of biofuels and the volatility of wheat price will increasingly be a
factor in determining how the liquid biofuels industry in the UK develops. Furthermore, farm
management systems that can deliver increased gross margins for wheat destined for the biofuel,
feed or food will be of increased importance in the emerging European biofuels industry.
References
Cowell S J, Clift R. 1995. Life Cycle Assessment for food production systems. Proceedings of
the International Fertiliser Society No. 375.
Defra. 2007. Agricultural and Horticultural Survey.
Ehleringer J R, Monson R K. 1993. Evolutionary and ecological aspects of photosynthetic
pathway variation. Annual Review of Ecological Systems 24, 411–439.
Ensus Group. 2009. http://www.ensusgroup.com/.
HGCA. 2008. Cereal and oilseeds for biofuels: environmental assessment.
Hoekstra A Y, Chapagain A K. 2007. Water footprints of nations: Water use by people as a
function of their consumption pattern. Water Resource Management 21, 35–48.
Kindred D R, Weightman R M, Clarke S, Agu R, Brosnan J, Sylvester-Bradley R. 2008.
Developing wheat for the biofuels market. Aspects of Applied Biology 90, Biomass and Energy
Crops III, pp. 143−152.
Martindale W, Trewavas A. 2008. Fuelling the 9 Billion. Nature Biotechnology 26, 1068–
1070.
Nielsen P H, Nielsen A M, Weidema B P, Frederiksen R H, Dalgaard R, Halberg N. 2009. The
LCA food database. http://www.lcafood.dk/.
NNFCC. 2009. UK Energy Crops Calculator. http://www.nnfcc.co.uk/.
Renewable Fuels Agency. 2008. Carbon Calculator User Manual,Version 1.1.
Righelato R, Spracklen D V. 2007. Carbon mitigation by biofuels or by saving and restoring
forests. Science 317, 902.
Searchinger T, Heimlich R, Houghton R A, Dong F, Elobeid A, Fabiosa J, Tokgoz S, Hayes
D, Yu T-H. 2008. Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through
Emissions from Land-Use Change. Science 319, 1238−1240.
Vivergo fuels. 2009. http://www.vivergofuels.com/.
Wassenaar T, Kay S. 2008. Biofuels: One of Many Claims to Resources. Science 321, 201.

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Martindale W (2009) Co-development of bioethanol, feed and food supply chains that meet European agricultural sustainability criteria, Aspects of Applied Biology vol. 95

  • 1. Aspects of Applied Biology 95, 2009 Measuring and Marketing the Environmental Costs and Benefits of Agricultural Practice Co-development of bioethanol, feed and food supply chains that meet European agricultural sustainability criteria By W MARTINDALE Centre for Food Innovation, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield S1 1WB, UK Summary The development of bioethanol refineries within the Yorkshire and Humber and neighbouring regions in the UK will impact on the Yorkshire and Humber agri-food system. The construction of refineries within and outside the Region has resulted in the need for an impact assessment to be used by food manufacturers utilising local wheat and those farmers who produce premium wheat for the food system (principally bread wheat). There are also priorities concerning regional food security that must be considered so that robust and sustainable biofuel-food policy is developed with food manufacturers, farmers and bioethanol producers. This research provides the basis for delivering these producer, manufacturer and processor driven (supply chain) frameworks. Key words: Bioethanol, cereals, biorefinery, supply chain Introduction The bioethanol manufacturing and processing plants that are projected to become operational in 2009−2010 in the UK will require farmers and food manufacturers to have efficient forecasting methodologies for both land use planning and the determination of business risks associated with investing in biofuel and/or food crops. The Vivergo fuels refinery near Kingston upon Hull will require 1.1 million tonnes of wheat each year. If we were to consider a conservative wheat yield for the Region (average for the UK) at 8.5 tonnes of grain per hectare, this will equate to a land-use requirement for almost 130 000 hectares of wheat within Yorkshire and Humber region. This is nearly 60% of the current Region’s cultivated area of wheat (Defra, 2007). The impact of using wheat and other starch crops on food supply is not currently known. What is known is there is a demand for local wheat grain as a feedstock for bioethanol refineries because it will minimise transport costs and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with grain haulage. There is now significant evidence that recycling carbon through agricultural production systems and biofuel supply chains can reduce GHG emissions and improve air quality (by replacing fuel oxygenates; see review by Martindale Trewavas, 2008). Sensitivities regarding global land use change associated with biofuel production may stimulate the development of a completely UK-based biofuel industry. The research presented here aimed to determine how food and fuel chains could be developed sustainably within the Yorkshire and Humber Region of the UK. Most importantly, the results lead us to consider the impact of biofuel crops on other crops in the Region. This relationship is often misrepresented at global scales (as reported by Wassenaar Kay, 2008) and it is important that similar misrepresentation is not developed regionally in the UK. The aim is to provide an impact assessment of the new bioethanol industries that will stimulate business
  • 2. confidence across the wheat supply chain in the Yorkshire and Humber in order to facilitate the sustainable co-development of food and biofuel. Methods The research presented has developed a spatial analysis of crop production and bioethanol refineries. This study has used the Agcensus Database (http://www.edina.ac.uk) to plot 2004 agricultural land use datasets spatially using GIS analyses and cross referenced them with the DefraAgricultural and Horticultural Survey (AHS) 2007. Land use capacities were defined within 50 km radii of the Vivergo, Ensus and Cargill plants using MapInfo Professional 9.5 software tools and the Agcensus database published by EDINA. Fig. 1 shows a GIS analysis for the three biorefineries including Cargill PLC (Trafford Park), Vivergo Biofuels Ltd (Saltend, Kingston upon Hull) and Ensus (Wilton) that will be of most importance in forecasting impacts on the Yorkshire and Humber grain chain. The concentric circles shown are 5 km wide circles with a total radius of 50 km from the biorefinery. The background grid (light grey) shows the Agcensus plots for each 2 km grid, the grey-scale grids show the intensity of land used for wheat production for 2 km radii (lightest grey shade at 510 hectares ; to darkest grey shade at 0). Black circles show the location of major bakeries from the Yorkshire Forward Food and Drink Cluster businesses database. A summary of the cereal, sugar beet and total cropping data for these 50 km radii is presented in Figs 2−4. ©Crown Copyright/database right 2009. An Ordnance Survey/EDINA supplied service Fig. 1. The GIS analysis for the three biorefineries including Cargill PLC (Trafford Park), Vivergo Biofuels Ltd (Saltend, Kingston upon Hull) and Ensus (Wilton). Using experimental data from field trials that have shown a hectare of wheat cultivation is associated with 1.5 tonnes of CO2 emissions from agri-inputs and cultivation (Cowell Clift, 1995); and, Life Cycle Assessment data that show 1 tonne of wheat is equivalent to 0.71 t CO2 eq (Nielsen et al., 2009) we can provide GHG emissions associated with this intensity of regional wheat production. A further environmental consideration is water use by feedstock crops. Using the equivalence measure of 750 g water transpired to produce 1 g C3 biomass provided by the review of Ehleringer Monson (1993), we have calculated the water utilised by this intensity of regional wheat production.
  • 3. Results The amount of wheat produced within a 50km radius of the Vivergo plant is 1.386 million tonnes if 8.5 t ha-1 is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.163 million ha producing wheat (Fig. 2) in this region. This area of wheat production results in 0.245 million tonnes of CO2 and 0.984 million tonnes CO2 eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown within a 50 km radius of the Vivergo plant requires 1.040 × 109 tonnes of water. Fig. 2. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Vivergo plant using 2004 Agcensus data. The amount of wheat produced within a 50 km radius of the Ensus plant is 0.621 million tonnes if 8.5 t ha-1 is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.073 million ha producing wheat (Fig. 3) in this region. This area of wheat production results in 0.120 million tonnes of CO2 and 0.441 million tonnes CO2 eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown within a 50 km radius of the Ensus plant requires 0.466 × 109 tonnes of water. The amount of wheat produced within a 50 km radius of the Cargill plant is 0.204 million tonnes if 8.5 t ha-1 is considered a typical wheat grain yield for the 0.024 million ha producing wheat (Fig. 4) in this region. This area of wheat production results in GHG emissions of 0.036 million tonnes of CO2 and 0.145 million tonnes CO2 eq emissions. In this scenario for wheat, the wheat grown within a 50 km radius of the Cargill plant requires 0.153 × 109 tonnes of water. Fig. 2 shows that the 1.1 million tonnes of wheat capacity of the Vivergo refinery can be met within 50 km of the refinery if optimal agronomic yields are achieved. Over 0.163 million hectares of wheat are grown within this radius. If optimal yields approach those of the national average the refinery capacity will be reached with a near 40% reserve on the 1.1 Mt of grain required. The Ensus Refinery has 40% of the wheat area capacity of the Vivergo refinery (Fig. 3) and the Cargill starch refinery has 14% of the wheat area capacity of the Vivergo refinery (Fig. 4). The Vivergo Fuel refinery will also produce 0.5 million tonnes of animal feed each year. The value of these co-products in new and existing feed and fine/speciality chemical chains is currently untested and the impact of wheat grown for bioethanol on current feed chains might be minimal. The relationship between feedstock, fuel, feed and impact on crop management is unknown and future research will define these relationships.
  • 4. Fig. 3. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Ensus plant using 2004 Agcensus data. Fig. 4. Selected crops within the 50 km radius of the Cargill plant using 2004 Agcensus data. This study has made an estimate of the regional bakery demand for local grain based of the local grain requirements of a specific bakery and extrapolated these findings to 36 other bakeries in the Region using companies reported annual financial turnovers. This estimate of local grain demand by regional bakeries has suggested a land requirement of 0.023 million hectares to produce 0.195 million tonnes of wheat for the 37 regional bakeries that have a total turnover of £214 million and 8 071 employees. This level of production is associated with nearly 0.035 million tonnes of CO2 emissions and requires 146 million tonnes of water in agricultural wheat production. Using an equivalence measurement provided by the research of Hoekstra Chapagain, (2007) who have
  • 5. shown the water used in manufacture of bread is ten times the volume used in farm production we can suggest the water required to process and manufacture wheat is 1.46 billion tonnes for the 37 bakeries considered in this study. Discussion An important consideration in utilising wheat for bioethanol is to consider benchmarking gross margins of wheat production against other biomass (cellulosic) crops that are utilised for fibre, heat and power. The National Non-Food Crops Centre (NNFCC) has developed a calculator for this purpose (NNFCC, 2009). The calculator shows that wheat produced at a yield of 8.25 t ha-1 needs to reach a price of £110−120 t-1 to compete with a tonne of hemp fibre, £100−110 t-1 for a tonne of Miscanthus and £90−100 t-1 for a tonne Short Rotation Coppice (SRC, willow). The price of feed wheat per tonne in the UK has varied between £90 and £110 per tonne in the 2008/2009 period (reported HGCA delivered prices). The Region’s food manufacturers and farmers who have invested in local procurement of wheat require a forecasting tool that will allow them to assess the impact of diverting wheat grain into fuel and associated feed chains. Wheat grown within the 50 km radius of the Vivergo plant represents 50% of the cropping land in this area. Thus, it will potentially have clear implications for sustainability criteria required for the direct Single Farm Payment. Although, these issues should not present conflict between wheat biofuel and food production methods, cross compliance sustainability criteria must be observed and responded to should fuel or food demand change in the future. There is a requirement to know how wheat biofuel crop production systems in the Region will comply with the Renewable Fuels Agency Carbon Calculator that currently provides the mechanism to assess GHG emissions, qualify assurance and traceability issues associated with biofuel supply. This will require an understanding of potential land use impact and associated changes in the use of nitrogen fetiliser, diesel fuel and other farm management variables in response to the demand for biofuel wheat crop in the Region. While in-depth specific farm survey is not yet possible in the context of the Yorkshire and Humber Region our research has started to develop transportation and haulage scenarios and utilise existing LCAs for bioethanol production in order to provide regionally specific GHG emission balances. The influence of imported wheat is currently untested in these scenarios and will need to be considered with associated environmental impacts and GHG emission balances. The potential utilisation of other crops such as sugar beet, potato, maize and triticale will also need to be assessed. The impact of lower nitrogen wheat will also be assessed. There is the potential to develop food technologysolutions(enzymeandproteinaddition)toenabletheuseoflowerproteinwheatinbread making. These are innovative and if proven, the techniques will be of international importance. Indeed competition between bread and fuel wheat needs to be determined because the conflict between food and fuel may be manageable using current land use scenarios presented in Figs 1−4. Evidence derived from existing biofuel crop systems show GHG emissions associated with less intensive agricultural production (lower nitrogen fertiliser inputs) are likely to be lower than those of high quality wheat production (bread making wheat). There is an immediate requirement for a study of the Vivergo Fuel refinery impact on the growing of higher nitrogen bread wheat in the region. The demand for local wheat by millers and bakers in the Yorkshire and Humber Region is not accurately recorded and the food chain data in this study has been extrapolated using limited data. We are currently developing more robust GIS models and scenarios for the production and supply of feedstock into food, biofuel and co-product supply chains. The water, GHG and land use impacts of these production scenarios will be benchmarked and ranked with respect to agri-sustainability
  • 6. criteria. A key element of agri-sustainability will be economic outcomes and the NNFCC biofuel crops calculator shows how the current relationship between food and fuel feedstock is only just providing economic support for the use wheat as a biofuel crop. This economic calculator demonstrates wheat will have to reach prices of over £100 per tonne to be competitive with the current prices obtained for Miscanthus and SRC. Currently, the price offered for delivered biomass feedstocks (for heat and power) might be considered stronger with the demand from power generators having been established on the basis of renewable energy obligation and carbon reduction targets. Liquid fuel (gasoline substitute and gasohols) security has been a significant driver in the development of biofuels and the volatility of wheat price will increasingly be a factor in determining how the liquid biofuels industry in the UK develops. Furthermore, farm management systems that can deliver increased gross margins for wheat destined for the biofuel, feed or food will be of increased importance in the emerging European biofuels industry. References Cowell S J, Clift R. 1995. Life Cycle Assessment for food production systems. Proceedings of the International Fertiliser Society No. 375. Defra. 2007. Agricultural and Horticultural Survey. Ehleringer J R, Monson R K. 1993. Evolutionary and ecological aspects of photosynthetic pathway variation. Annual Review of Ecological Systems 24, 411–439. Ensus Group. 2009. http://www.ensusgroup.com/. HGCA. 2008. Cereal and oilseeds for biofuels: environmental assessment. Hoekstra A Y, Chapagain A K. 2007. Water footprints of nations: Water use by people as a function of their consumption pattern. Water Resource Management 21, 35–48. Kindred D R, Weightman R M, Clarke S, Agu R, Brosnan J, Sylvester-Bradley R. 2008. Developing wheat for the biofuels market. Aspects of Applied Biology 90, Biomass and Energy Crops III, pp. 143−152. Martindale W, Trewavas A. 2008. Fuelling the 9 Billion. Nature Biotechnology 26, 1068– 1070. Nielsen P H, Nielsen A M, Weidema B P, Frederiksen R H, Dalgaard R, Halberg N. 2009. The LCA food database. http://www.lcafood.dk/. NNFCC. 2009. UK Energy Crops Calculator. http://www.nnfcc.co.uk/. Renewable Fuels Agency. 2008. Carbon Calculator User Manual,Version 1.1. Righelato R, Spracklen D V. 2007. Carbon mitigation by biofuels or by saving and restoring forests. Science 317, 902. Searchinger T, Heimlich R, Houghton R A, Dong F, Elobeid A, Fabiosa J, Tokgoz S, Hayes D, Yu T-H. 2008. Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change. Science 319, 1238−1240. Vivergo fuels. 2009. http://www.vivergofuels.com/. Wassenaar T, Kay S. 2008. Biofuels: One of Many Claims to Resources. Science 321, 201.