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India
Startup Nation
The Theatre of Step-Function
Transformation
TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital
@TVMohandasPai | @3one4Capital
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: CSO, RBI, DEA, Registrar General and Census Commissioner
Note: 1 USD taken as INR 80 for conversion purposes.
Population 1.415 bn Jan-23
Population Growth Rate 0.80% Jan-23
Life Expectancy: Male 68.71 yrs Dec-20
Total Fertility Rate 2 Dec-21
Life Expectancy: Female 71.49 yrs Dec-20
Literacy 78% NFHS-5 (2019-2021)
GDP (at current prices) US$ 3.47 Tn ES 2022-2023
Real GDP growth 7.20% 2022-23 (FPE)
GDP (in PPP) - 3rd Largest Economy US$12.2 Tn 2023 Estimates
Per capita Income US$ 2,467 2022-23 (SAE)
Exports (goods and services) US$ 770 Bn Ministry of Commerce
Imports (goods and services) US$ 892 Bn Ministry of Commerce
Foreign Exchange Reserves US$ 586.9 Bn Sep-23
Government External Borrowings US$ 129 Bn (Ministry of Finance) March 2023
External Debt (Govt & Private) US$ 629.1 Bn (Ministry of Finance) June 2023
Interest to Gross Revenue 22% 2023 RE (Budget)
Gross Debt / GDP ratio 82% 2022 (Estimate)
India at
a Glance
2023 1991 CAGR
1.415 0.89 1.49%
70.19 58.8 0.55%
78% 52% 1.28%
Population (Bn)
Life expectancy (Years)
Literacy rate
2023 1991 CAGR
7.2% 5.3% 0.96%
272 lakh
crore
5.32 lakh
crore
13.08%
3.47 Tn 275 Bn 8.24%
2,467 310 6.70%
GDP Growth Rate
GDP (at current prices) – INR
GDP (at current prices) – US$
Per capita income - US$
2023 1991 CAGR
770 Bn 18 Bn 12.42%
892 Bn 24 Bn 12.05%
3% 1% 3.49%
586.9 Bn 5.8 Bn 15.52%
82.68 17.9 4.90%
Exports (G+S) - US$
Imports (G+S) - US$
Share in world trade (exports +
imports)
Foreign Currency Reserves -
US$
Exchange Rate (US$)
2023 1991 CAGR
30.2% 21.9%
31.4% 22.5%
Gross savings (% of GDP)
Gross domestic investment (%
of GDP)
Key
Economic
Indicators
30 Years’ Snapshot
Post-Liberalization
2023
vs
1991
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: CSO, RBI, NFHS, World Bank, IMF, Bloomberg, Reuters
India
1.415 bn
0.80%
68.71 yrs
71.49 yrs
78%
US$ 3,47 Tn
7.2%
US $ 12.2 Tn
US $ 2,467
US $ 770 Bn
US $ 892 Bn
US $ 586.9 Bn
US $ 629.1 Bn
82%
China
1,454 bn
-0.06%
75 yrs
80.88 yrs
96.8%
US $ 19.38 Tn
5.2%
US $ 33.01 Tn
US $ 13,721
US $ 3.82 Tn
US $ 2.72 Tn
US $3.11 Tn
US $ 2.43 Tn
279.7%
Population
Population Growth Rate
Life Expectancy: Male
Life Expectancy: Female
Literacy
GDP (current)
GDP growth (Real)
GDP (in PPP)
Per capita Income (current)
Exports (Goods & Services)
Imports (Goods & Services)
Foreign Currency Reserves
External Debt
Debt / GDP ratio
(Estimates as of)
2023 (E)
2023 (E)
2021 (E)
2021 (E)
2022 (E)
2022-2023
2022-23
2023 (E)
2023
2023
2023
Sept 2023
June 2023
Q1 2023
India & China at
a glance
Source: CSO, RBI, NFHS, World Bank, IMF, Bloomberg, Reuters
India &
China at
a glance
India & China at a glance
India could achieve a
projected GDP of $ 8T and
per capita income of
$5,625 by 2030 on
account of India’s
demographic dividend and
a sharp rise in working
population. – CBRE
• If India wants to build
a $10T economy by
2030, it needs to
grow at 16.7% CAGR
(with US$ at 75)
• To reach the same by
2033, it needs to
grow at 11.4% CAGR
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: World Bank, analyst estimates
GDP Growth (%)
Regaining Growth Momentum
Source: CSO, RBI, The Economic Survey 2022-23
Real GDP &
Nominal GDP
expected to grow
approximately @
6.5% & 10.5%
respectively in
2023-24 (ES &
Budget)
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Currency appreciations considered
Source: IMF, analyst estimates.
Regions
GDP 2023(E) GDP 2025(F) GDP 2033(F) CAGR
$ Trillion $ Trillion $ Trillion 2022-2033
US 26.95 28.31 34.50 2.50%
EU22 21.02 21.66 24.39 1.50%
Japan 4.23 4.32 4.67 1.00%
Others 11.61 12.32 15.60 3.00%
Total OECD 63.81 66.61 84.16
China 17.7 19.14 26.2 4.00%
India 3.73 4.27 7.34 7.00%
Others 19.11 20.67 28.29 4.00%
Total: RoW 40.54 44.08 59.83
Total Global 104.35 110.69 143.99
The world is
changing
2022 2023 2024
World 3.4 2.8 3
Advanced Economies 2.7 1.3 1.4
United States 2.1 1.6 1.1
Euro Area 3.5 0.8 1.4
India* 6.8 5.9 6.3
UK 4 -0.3 1
Japan 1.1 1.3 1
Emerging Market Economies 4 3.9 4.2
China 3 5.2 4.5
IMF GDP Growth Forecasts
(WEO April 2023 Update)
The world
is changing
India is a positive outlier in
a world with suppressed
growth rates
Strong Industrial & Infrastructure Base
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
INDIA
JAPAN
USA
125.3
(2nd largest)
96.3
85.8
390
(2nd largest)
53.2
95
19.51
(Largest)
0.63
-
5.1
(4th largest)
7.4
9.8
1.4
(2nd largest)
-
-
260
-
1,800
1,503.65
(3rd largest)
1,030
4,243
1,200
(2nd largest)
195
338.3
Production in
Mn tonnes
Production
in Mn tonnes
Production in
Mn Units
Light vehicles
Production in
Mn Units
Bn Sq. ft. Revenue in
Bn$
Bn Units Subscribers in
Mn
Steel Cement
Two
Wheeler
Four
Wheeler Construction ITeS
Electricity
Production
Wireless
Phone
Source: Ministry Reports of the Government of India, BEE, TRAI, SIAM, OICA,
World Steel Association, BP, Statista
Strong Industrial & Infrastructural Base
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
INDIA
− Exports stood at USD 770 billion in 2022-23
− Ranked 38th in Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 2023
− Air passenger traffic is growing at 16.5%, to become 3rd largest by 2024
− Produces 95 minerals - 4 fuel-related, 10 metallic, 23 non-metallic, 3 atomic, and
55 others
893.08
(2nd
largest)
254
(3rd
largest)
123.2
(4th largest)
6.37
(2nd largest)
711.55 168.96
(4th
largest)
76.29
(2nd
largest)
Production
(MT)
Production
(Mn tonnes)
Passenger
Traffic (Mn)
Network
(‘000 Kms)
Network
(Mn Kms)
Cargo Traffic
(million tonnes)
Capacity
(GW)
Production
(Bn Sq. Mt.)
Coal Iron Ore Aviation Railway Roadway Ports Renewable
Energy
Textile
67.9
(4th
largest)
Source: PIB, Airports Authority of India, Government of India
reports, IBEF
Strong Agricultural Base
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
INDIA 330.5
(2nd largest)
221.06
(Largest)
34.2
(Largest)
35.8
(Largest)
4.2
(Largest)
200.2
(Largest)
536.78
(Largest)
Production
(Mn tonnes)
Production
(Mn tonnes)
Production
(Mn bales)
Production
(Mn tonnes)
Production
(Mn tonnes)
Exports
(in USD
Bn)
(Mn
hectares)
Population
(Mn)
Food Grains Milk Cotton Horticulture Sugar Spices Cropland Livestock
342.3
(2nd
largest)
− Major producer of agrochemicals, tea, cashew, jute, oilseeds, etc.
− Largest exporter of cereal products, cotton, bovine meat, sugar, etc.
− All 15 major climates in the world; 46 of the 60 soil types in the world
− Largest manufacturers of farm equipment
− Proximity to food importing nations
Source: PIB, IBEF, Economic Survey 2021-22, Government of India
reports
Source: BSE, RBI, AMF, 1 USD = 80 INR
INR 324.12 Lakh Crore ≈ USD 3.89 Tn
Strong Financial Base
2137
Number of listed
companies on the
National Stock
Exchange
5338
Number of companies
listed on the Bombay
Stock Exchange
120 Mn+
Active demat accounts
for trading on the
stock market
8 unicorns
Listed on the public
stock exchange since
2021
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
INR 46.63 Lakh Crore ≈ USD 560.5 Bn
We have a Young Population
We are NOT an aging country!
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: UN Population Estimates, CIA World Factbook
We will continue to have a Young
Population
India’s working population is
expected to total two-thirds of
the total population in 2025
Higher aspirations & increased
demand for skilled labor leads
to higher education levels
We have a growing middle class
(~300Mn) which is increasing its
consumption
India
Source: UN TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Formal jobs
are growing
Source: EPF, MOSPI TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Net new EPF subscribers Net new ESI subscribers
Ages 18-25 Women Ages 18-25 Women
2018-19
1,12,50,214 1,49,65,972
50.10% 21.00% 48.20% 16.60%
2019-20
94,72,468 1,51,45,261
53.40% 22.80% 48.60% 17.90%
2020-21
94,54,119 1,15,05,302
51.40% 22.80% 48.40% 16.30%
2021-22
1,38,20,141 1,49,12,698
52.40% 25.40% 48.20% 18.50%
2022-23
1,58,85,425 1,67,73,023
50.12% 26.02% 47.52% 19.62%
India is the next $10 Trillion Economy
Source: IMF, Standard Chartered © 3one4 Capital
Digitalisation has transformed the world…
Source: We Are Social
Source: a16z, Visual Capitalist, Companies Market Cap, Investopedia
The early-movers now dominate the market
Tesla
$867B
Saudi Aramco
$2140B
2022
Apple
$2650B
Microsoft
$2128B
Alphabet
$1543B
Amazon
$1443B
NVIDIA Corp
$457B
Tesla
$910B
Berkshire
Hathaway
$644B
Meta
$449B
TSMC
$456B
Saudi
Aramco
$2330B
Source: Statista
Tech Eats The Leaderboards
The US Runs The World’s Cloud
Source: Statista
Sources: Statista, TechCrunch, Slate, Bloomberg, Washington Post
Big Tech Outspends To Maintain
Monopolies
Monopolies are not encumbered by geographical borders
in a Data+AI-first world
CREDI
T
CARD
S
HOME
AUTOMATION
MUSIC
AUTONOMOUS
CARS
PERSONALIZED
HEALTHCARE
TELE-
COMMUNICATIO
N
PERSONAL
ASSISSTANT
GROCERY
HOME
SECURITY
The New Normal – Global Tech Conglomerates
Tech companies dominate globally and will continue to accrete disproportionate control over new value creation
Coordinated Capture of the Digital Day
American duopolies rule most digital sectors globally. Emerging duopolies in new areas like Cloud.
Mobile Operating System
Internet Search
Social Media
Cloud
Digital Advertising
Revenue
71.62% 27.73%
92.42% 3.45%
79.18% 8.99%
34% 21%
37.2% 22.1%
Source: Multiple sources
From Applied AI and Edge Computing to Nanomaterials and Tissue Engineering, the race is on
to own the technologies of tomorrow.
The Future Arenas of Competition Are
Transversal Technologies
Source: McKinsey
Exponential organisations
are getting 10x performance
above their traditional
peers, just because of how
they organise themselves.
The value is generated by
scalability, efficiency,
longevity, and relevance.
Building Exponential Organisations
has completely automated some of their
factories using AI-enabled “Foxbots”
Foxconn identified challenges with Manual Labor
▪ Down-time
▪ Attrition
▪ Cost variability – changes in wages
▪ Quality variability
Foxconn’s fully automated factories benefit from:
▪ “Lights-off” factories: 24/7 operations
▪ Cost predictability
▪ AI-enabled demand-supply sync, energy use,
robot monitoring and automated maintenance
Source: Foxconn, Wired
Combining athlete data-
driven design with a
technology-enabled
‘Speedfactory’,
reduced it’s production to
market time from
2 months to under 2
weeks. The shoes got better
too, much better.
3D PRINTING
ROBOTIC ARMS
COMPUTERIZED KNITTING
Source: Adidas
Atlas
The World's Most Dynamic Humanoid,
uses balance and whole-body skills to
achieve two-handed mobile
manipulation
Handle
Handle combines agility and the ability to
pick boxes to tackle box handling tasks in
the warehouse.
Spot
A nimble robot that handles objects,
climbs stairs, and will operate in offices,
homes and outdoors.
is galloping ahead in bringing human-equivalent
movement capabilities in its range of robots
The size of the brain implants
(a fingertip for scale)
is a brain-machine interface, intelligent enough
to enable real-time neural communication with
computers
By enabling Humans to control phone functions with the Neuralink,
the company hopes to tackle several healthcare issues
Source: Neuralink, Cold Fusion © 3one4 Capital
‘Designer babies’ modified using CRISPR technology
are here
(whether we like it or not)
Source: MIT Technology Review, The Economist, CNBC
Digitalisation is transforming India too…
Source: Inc42
India Internet on a high growth trajectory
Cost of data – one of the lowest in the world, rapid increase in wireless broadband subscribers and subsequently increased data
usage
Every second person in India has Internet
6x in 6 years
20x in 6 years
Cost of Data in India is one of the lowest
in the world
Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report, Cable.co, TRAI, Nokia TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Consumer led Digital Leap
‘India Internet’ on a high growth trajectory
Ecommerce penetration in India is
expected to be faster than developed
nations such as USA
India shows high appetite for digital
consumption across verticals
India now accounts for 11.6% of global app downloads
Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report, Data.ai, We Are Social,
Bain , Temasek, Google
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Consumer led digital leap
Increased app usage contributing to significant opportunities for internet companies
Increased app usage… … India Internet’s $254 Bn Opportunity
Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
“
”
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
The Startup Ecosystem will help
create a USD 10 trillion
economy in India
3rd
largest startup
ecosystem in the World
99,000+
startups
USD 500 Bn
Value Created
Indian Startup
Ecosystem
Source: 3one4 Capital Estimates, Yourstory, Inc42, Tracxn TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Startups at a glance
Startups have raised
USD 136 Bn from 2014-22
700+ Accelerators &
Incubators
750+ Institutional Investors
2,480+ Active Investors
950+ Acquisitions
67%
of all active
startups
are concentrated in
Bengaluru, Mumbai
and Delhi-NCR
Bengaluru saw 48%
of the total deal value
between 2021 and 2022
Delhi
Mumbai
Bengaluru
26%
20%
36%
% deals per city
Source: Yourstory, Inc42, 3one4 Capital
2022 saw startups raise USD 25 Bn across 1,519 deals and 240+ M&As
Hyderabad
3%
Chennai
4%
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
New flywheel ramping up
IT Services took off
2015
USD 260 Bn revenue
USD 200 Bn exports
5.5 Mn People Employed
1989
2025
200,000
Startups
Employ
3.25 Mn
USD 150-200Bn
to be invested in
2021-25
#2
after US
250
Unicorns
Projections
IT
Services
2025
Startups take off
Startups
What lies in store
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: Nasscom, Inc42, analyst estimates
FY 2023 (estimates)
India is a software export giant
India has the largest engineering population in the world
and exported more software (USD 148.3 Bn) than Saudi
Arabia exported oil (USD 145.3 Bn) in 2021.
India’s software exports have grown 1.8x since 2014-15.
Sources: RBI, MyGov.in, Business Standard
India’s
109+ unicorns
have created
$350 Bn in
value
There will be
250+ unicorns
in India by 2025
Source: 3one4 Capital, Tracxn | *2 Unicorns are now listed
India Ranks Third In Global Unicorn Rankings
Source: Inc42, Tracxn
Early stage investing has shown strong
growth despite global headwinds
Source: Inc42, Bain TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
VCs have generated above average returns
Source: Crisil, Pitchbook
CRISIL AIF Benchmark – Cat I (USD)
Global Early Stage Investing Performance
Benchmarks (Top Quartile)
Vintage 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
IRR 37.11% 34.75% 55.64% 62.41% 42.75%
TVPI 4.43x 2.68x 2.95x 3.51x 1.50x
DPI 0.94x 0.60x 0.29x 0.41x 0.01x
RVPI 4.16x 2.333x 2.12x 2.62x 1.40x
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Vintage
year
No. of
schemes
Pooled
IRR (%)
Investment multiples and
ratios
DPI RVPI TVPI
FY 14 5 8.89 0.54 0.98 1.51
FY15 9 5.91 0.82 0.52 1.34
FY16 22 31.3 0.29 2.74 3.03
FY17 12 38.65 0.21 2.35 2.57
FY 18 11 36.76 0.19 1.85 2.04
FY19 13 41.56 0.02 2.04 2.06
FY 20 18 56.51 0 1.84 1.85
FY 21 5 47.96 0 1.36 1.36
Value Creation at unprecedented pace
3x valuation growth by 2026
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
India growing as a deep-tech hub
4200+ AI
startups
1900+ IOT
startups
260+ AR/VR
startups
200+ Robotics
startups
Personalises
content on
smartphone lock
screens
Personalised
financial solutions
company
IoT based
wearable
healthcare
monitoring device
Contactless health
tracker and at-home
step-down ICU
AR based ed-
tech player
for kids
VR powered
entertainment
Robot enabled
logistics
solutions
Service robots
for banks, malls,
events
Source: Tracxn
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Use of Digital Platforms
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Access to the basic necessities of living
Health insurance to more than 310M
beneficiaries under Ayushman Bharat
Scheme
HEALTHCARE
Drop off rate to be curbed - enrollment in
class 10 at 77% vs. class 11 at 52%
EDUCATION
30.4 million houses completed under PM
Awas Yojana
HOUSING
99% of population has access to clean
water close to home, 110M rural HHs
provided tap water connections.
WATER
100% village electrification achieved in
988 days covering 18,452 villages
ELECTRIFICATION
99% of the country’s habitations
connected with all-weather roads under
PMGSY
ROADS
99% individual household latrines (IHHL)
achieved under Swachh Bharat Mission
SANITATION
All 36 states/UTs now covered under
NFSA vs. 11 in 2014
FOOD SECURITY
1.2Bn Mobile phone users in India in 2022,
600 Mn smartphone users, 162Mn
smartphones sold p.a.
MOBILE
More than 85% Indians owned a bank
account owing to PM Jan Dhan Yojana
BANKING
95.87M rural women provided free LPG gas
connections
GAS CONNECTIONS
Total 800 Mn users another 400Mn first-
time internet users are expected to come
online
INTERNET
Source: Government bodies, World Bank, Global Carbon Project, UNESCO, UNDP, WaterAid
Consumption proliferation
Rise of Jio
100,000,00
0
96,184,656
Per capita Data Consumption and voice
usage in 2023 is 22GB per month with 422.8
Mn subscribers.
2022 Data Consumption per Subscriber was
20 GB per month with 366 Mn subscribers
Source: Publicis, Vidooly, Company Annual Reports, Livemint
Digital Media is Mainstream
India constitutes YouTube’s biggest user base
India has the highest number of YouTube users in the world
3 out of the top 10 most subscribed YouTube channels are
Indian
Source: Statista, YouTube
E-commerce is growing fast on the back
of new demographic segments
Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
Tier 2 and beyond will be the dominant engine of
growth for India Internet’s next era
TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital
Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
B2B commerce is at an inflection point
Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
“
”
Digital Public Infrastructure
(DPI) has been pioneered
in India for the Global
Digital Economy
© 3one4 Capital
Provides a modern
privacy data sharing
framework
Game changing
electronic payment
systems and transition
to cashless economy
Rapidly growing base of
paperless systems with
billions of artefacts
Unique digital
biometric identity
with open access of
nearly a Billion users
CONSENT
LAYER
CASHLESS
LAYER
PAPERLESS
LAYER
PRESENCE-LESS
LAYER
Open Personal
Data Store
IMPS, AEPS, APB,
and UPI
Aadhaar e-KYC,
E-sign, Digital Locker
Aadhaar
Authentication
COMMERCE
(GSTn)
CREDIT
(RBI)
INVESTMENTS
(SEBI)
SKILLS OTHERS
JAM
Jan Dhan Aadhaar Mobile
+ +
India
Stack
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
India has
pioneered the
use of Digital
Public Goods
(DPGs) as
technology
enabled force
multipliers for
growth
The evolution of India Stack
Source: BCG
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Paperless
verification
Direct
Benefit
Transfer
Financial
Inclusion
Jan Dhan
Scheme
E-sign
India
turning
point
towards
a
cashless
economy
Demonetization
Goods and
Services Tax
Trade
Receivables
Discounting
System
TReDS
Open Credit
Enablement
Network
National
Education Policy
single
source
offline/online
identity
verification
MSME’s
‘UPI‘
Moment
Scaling
the
tech
architecture
RERA
Portal
• Financial
Data Access
Fiduciary
• Skills
Registry
• Account
Aggregators
2021…
• Public Credit
Registry
• National
Health
Registry
• Open
Network for
Digital
Commerce
First
paperles
s budget
Faceless Tax
assessment
system
Aadhaar
Auth
Aadhaar
eKYC
eSign Digital Locker
Smart Devices Unified Payment
Mobile, Internet, GPS, Cloud
World-Class Products
are being built
on INDIA STACK,
a set of open API
based PUBLIC
PLATFORMS
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Impact of the India Stack
Retail Customer Onboarding
Reimagining the User journey with
Aadhaar, eKYC, e-Sign and Digital Locker
Source: McKinsey & Company - Financial Services and Digital
practices
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Reimagining Channel Management -
Digital Transformation
with Aadhaar eKYC
Customer Onboarding - Digital
Transformation
with Aadhaar eKYC
Turnaround Time down from 6
days to 1 hour
Reduced Drop Offs
Branch Capacity Freed upto 10%
>99% First Time Right
Back Office No Longer Required
Transaction Time down from 4
hours to 2 minutes
Statement Processing Time
down from 1 hour to 1 minute
Reduced Operational Cost
Capacity Freed-up for Lead
Generation
Improved Customer Retention
Onboarding Time down from 1
day to 4 minutes
Onboarding Rate 50M < 2
months
Saved INR 15 / Sim Issued
Customer Experience “Walk Out
Working”
Saved 15000 Trees
We will go from data poor to data
rich nation in 5 years!
Cashless, Paperless & Presence-less
Service Delivery
Digital
Identity
Paperless
Process
Commerce
Payment
Social
Machine
Intelligence &
Automation
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
India’s Banking fundamentals are strong
122,102
bank branches of
scheduled
banks in India
209,507
ATMs of
scheduled banks
in India
USD 2.1 Tn
In total scheduled
commercial bank deposits
in India
USD 1.6 Tn
Aggregate credit for
scheduled commercial
banks in India
485 Mn
Bank accounts opened
by the Government
since 2014
Sources: RBI, Government of India Performance Dashboard, IBEF TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Full Stack Digital Banking Services by
Neo Banks is the Future
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Top Players Traditional Banks NBFCs Neo Banks
2010
2022
Diversified Housing Finance
Gold Loan
Consumer – SME & Vehicle
Diversified Housing Finance
Gold Loan
Consumer – SME &
Vehicle
For SME For
Consumer
Digital Payments in India
Digital Payments Volume
grew from
5.73 billion
in August 2021 to
13.29 billion
in August 2023.
Source: RBI TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Share of Digital Payment Methods
RBI payment systems: RTGS (customer and inter-bank transactions) and NEFT
NPCI payment systems: IMPS, NACH, UPI (including BHIM & USSD), BHIM Aadhaar Pay, AePS fund transfer and NETC (linked to bank account).
Other payment systems: debit and credit card payment transactions (excl. cash withdrawal), wallet and PPI card payment transactions (excl. cash withdrawal)
Source: RBI
Share of NPCI
Payments (UPI+IMPS)
grew from
75.6% in August 2021 to
87.1% in August 2023
Source: Bain, FinShots, NPCI
Note: 1 USD taken as INR 80 for
conversion purposes
Steady Transition to a No-Cash future
10.56 Bn
Monthly UPI
transactions volume
in Sept 2023
USD 189.68 Bn
Monthly UPI
transaction value for
Sept 2023
50 million+
Payment QR codes
deployed in India
India is a leader in real-time payments
Sources: Finshots, InvestyWise, Morning Consult, Insider Intelligence
Credit without friction
Sees
loan
offers
Accepts
best offer
Receives
loan
Gets
paid
digitally
Repays
loan
Agrees to
share
data
Data
sharing
norms & tech
Credit
market-
place
Paperless
contract
Transaction
a/c & app
Payment
app
Payment
app
Need a
loan
Credit
marketplace
app
Aadhaar/e
KYC
Digi
locker
API for
loan
offers
eSign
Digilocker
UPI
Auth-
orization
api
UPI
UPI
Paperless instant
credit markets based
on digital tools
Bringing millions into
the formal economy
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
“
”
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
New Digital Public Infrastructure
(DPI) will serve as India’s startup
flywheel for this decade
Consented Data Exchange
Account Aggregator
Problem(s)
• Individual data siloed between financial
institutions and service providers.
• Collation & centralization is hard, expensive, time
consuming, still a largely physical process.
Solution(s)
• An AA acts as the digital intermediary to manage
data flows based on consent from an individual.
• AA is data-blind. Data that flows through AA is
encrypted.
• Electronic Consent Artefact is architected and
approved by MeitY.
• RBI approves AA through licenses and has
oversight on the ecosystem including FIPs, and
FIUs.
AA is supported by RBI, SEBI, PFRDA, IRDA.
Source: iSpirit TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Account Aggregator framework at work
Sources: iSpirt, Imarticus Learning, Sahamati
India’s AA framework is pioneering consented, real-time sharing of financial information.
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Problems
• Cost of lending is so high that small
loans become unfeasible.
• MSME credit gap of over $330Bn.
Solutions
• Switch focus from balance sheet
lending to cashflow-based lending.
• Common language for lenders and
marketplaces to build innovative,
financial credit products at scale.
• Connecting Lenders, LSPs, and
Borrowers in a secure marketplace
framework.
• Open APIs for credit products.
Consented Data Exchange
Source: iSpirit TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
OCEN will holistically disrupt
Digital Lending
Using the AA framework, the Open Credit Enablement Network (OCEN) will revolutionise digital lending
Sources: iSpirt, Inc42, Cashfree Payment Blog TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: ONDC, Business Standard
ONDC is set to unbundle digital commerce
Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) is a network based on open protocols and will enable local commerce across segments, such
as mobility, grocery, among others, to be discovered and engaged by any network-enabled application.
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Taking a peek into the future: a sample buying
journey on ONDC
Source: ONDC TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
India’s emerging National Health Stack
Source: ISprit
UPI moment in Indian Healthcare
Source: Eka.care
Open protocols are reimagining entire
industries and ecosystems
The Beckn Protocol, for instance, is revolutionising urban mobility.
Source: Beckn TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital
Source: Visual Capitalist
Aarogya Setu becomes world's fastest
app to reach 50M downloads.
Now at +220M users.
13 days
Number of years to 50Mn users
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
Source: Finshots, IndSamachar
Strategic Partners & Investors
Technology Partners & Investors
Sovereign Fund Investors
Institutional Investors
Stake Sold: 32.97%
Money Raised: INR1.52L
Cr
Debt: Zero
Rise of Indian Tech Conglomerates
Rise of Indian Tech Conglomerates
Indians are creating Unicorns Globally
Source(s): 256 Network Family Office Report
Notable US startups with Indian origin founders
4.2M
Indians in
USA
90+
US Unicorns with
Indian-origin
founders*
Indians are creating Unicorns Globally
• Indians dominate the list of non-US born unicorn founders in the United States
India – Now Top 3 for Value Creation
After US and China, India remains the top startup ecosystem for value creation
Unicorns
Globally
+1312
Cumulative
Valuation
USD 4.2T
Source: Hurun, 3one4 Capital, Tracxn
Regulatory
Policy
Market Making
Policy via Challenge
Grants
India Stack
as Digital
Infrastructure
A robust
foundation to
enable
innovative
solutions to
India’s hard
problems
Innovative Solutions to India’s
Hard Problems
- Commercially Viable
- Far reaching consumer
impact
- Reinforces experimentation
100s of Experiments
- Low barriers to entry
- Level playing field
- Aligned to national issues
- Rapid success/failure cycle
TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
“
”
India is optimizing to empower
problem solvers. Startups will be the
force multiplier to catapult the country
to a USD 10 Trillion economy
Join the conversation on Twitter with @TVMohandasPai and
@3one4Capital
Thank You
TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital
@TVMohandasPai | @3one4Capital

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India Startup Nation - 3one4 Capital Dec 2023

  • 1. India Startup Nation The Theatre of Step-Function Transformation TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital @TVMohandasPai | @3one4Capital
  • 2. TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Source: CSO, RBI, DEA, Registrar General and Census Commissioner Note: 1 USD taken as INR 80 for conversion purposes. Population 1.415 bn Jan-23 Population Growth Rate 0.80% Jan-23 Life Expectancy: Male 68.71 yrs Dec-20 Total Fertility Rate 2 Dec-21 Life Expectancy: Female 71.49 yrs Dec-20 Literacy 78% NFHS-5 (2019-2021) GDP (at current prices) US$ 3.47 Tn ES 2022-2023 Real GDP growth 7.20% 2022-23 (FPE) GDP (in PPP) - 3rd Largest Economy US$12.2 Tn 2023 Estimates Per capita Income US$ 2,467 2022-23 (SAE) Exports (goods and services) US$ 770 Bn Ministry of Commerce Imports (goods and services) US$ 892 Bn Ministry of Commerce Foreign Exchange Reserves US$ 586.9 Bn Sep-23 Government External Borrowings US$ 129 Bn (Ministry of Finance) March 2023 External Debt (Govt & Private) US$ 629.1 Bn (Ministry of Finance) June 2023 Interest to Gross Revenue 22% 2023 RE (Budget) Gross Debt / GDP ratio 82% 2022 (Estimate) India at a Glance
  • 3. 2023 1991 CAGR 1.415 0.89 1.49% 70.19 58.8 0.55% 78% 52% 1.28% Population (Bn) Life expectancy (Years) Literacy rate 2023 1991 CAGR 7.2% 5.3% 0.96% 272 lakh crore 5.32 lakh crore 13.08% 3.47 Tn 275 Bn 8.24% 2,467 310 6.70% GDP Growth Rate GDP (at current prices) – INR GDP (at current prices) – US$ Per capita income - US$ 2023 1991 CAGR 770 Bn 18 Bn 12.42% 892 Bn 24 Bn 12.05% 3% 1% 3.49% 586.9 Bn 5.8 Bn 15.52% 82.68 17.9 4.90% Exports (G+S) - US$ Imports (G+S) - US$ Share in world trade (exports + imports) Foreign Currency Reserves - US$ Exchange Rate (US$) 2023 1991 CAGR 30.2% 21.9% 31.4% 22.5% Gross savings (% of GDP) Gross domestic investment (% of GDP) Key Economic Indicators 30 Years’ Snapshot Post-Liberalization 2023 vs 1991
  • 4. TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Source: CSO, RBI, NFHS, World Bank, IMF, Bloomberg, Reuters India 1.415 bn 0.80% 68.71 yrs 71.49 yrs 78% US$ 3,47 Tn 7.2% US $ 12.2 Tn US $ 2,467 US $ 770 Bn US $ 892 Bn US $ 586.9 Bn US $ 629.1 Bn 82% China 1,454 bn -0.06% 75 yrs 80.88 yrs 96.8% US $ 19.38 Tn 5.2% US $ 33.01 Tn US $ 13,721 US $ 3.82 Tn US $ 2.72 Tn US $3.11 Tn US $ 2.43 Tn 279.7% Population Population Growth Rate Life Expectancy: Male Life Expectancy: Female Literacy GDP (current) GDP growth (Real) GDP (in PPP) Per capita Income (current) Exports (Goods & Services) Imports (Goods & Services) Foreign Currency Reserves External Debt Debt / GDP ratio (Estimates as of) 2023 (E) 2023 (E) 2021 (E) 2021 (E) 2022 (E) 2022-2023 2022-23 2023 (E) 2023 2023 2023 Sept 2023 June 2023 Q1 2023 India & China at a glance Source: CSO, RBI, NFHS, World Bank, IMF, Bloomberg, Reuters India & China at a glance
  • 5. India & China at a glance India could achieve a projected GDP of $ 8T and per capita income of $5,625 by 2030 on account of India’s demographic dividend and a sharp rise in working population. – CBRE • If India wants to build a $10T economy by 2030, it needs to grow at 16.7% CAGR (with US$ at 75) • To reach the same by 2033, it needs to grow at 11.4% CAGR TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Source: World Bank, analyst estimates
  • 6. GDP Growth (%) Regaining Growth Momentum Source: CSO, RBI, The Economic Survey 2022-23 Real GDP & Nominal GDP expected to grow approximately @ 6.5% & 10.5% respectively in 2023-24 (ES & Budget) TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 7. TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Currency appreciations considered Source: IMF, analyst estimates. Regions GDP 2023(E) GDP 2025(F) GDP 2033(F) CAGR $ Trillion $ Trillion $ Trillion 2022-2033 US 26.95 28.31 34.50 2.50% EU22 21.02 21.66 24.39 1.50% Japan 4.23 4.32 4.67 1.00% Others 11.61 12.32 15.60 3.00% Total OECD 63.81 66.61 84.16 China 17.7 19.14 26.2 4.00% India 3.73 4.27 7.34 7.00% Others 19.11 20.67 28.29 4.00% Total: RoW 40.54 44.08 59.83 Total Global 104.35 110.69 143.99 The world is changing
  • 8. 2022 2023 2024 World 3.4 2.8 3 Advanced Economies 2.7 1.3 1.4 United States 2.1 1.6 1.1 Euro Area 3.5 0.8 1.4 India* 6.8 5.9 6.3 UK 4 -0.3 1 Japan 1.1 1.3 1 Emerging Market Economies 4 3.9 4.2 China 3 5.2 4.5 IMF GDP Growth Forecasts (WEO April 2023 Update) The world is changing India is a positive outlier in a world with suppressed growth rates
  • 9. Strong Industrial & Infrastructure Base TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital INDIA JAPAN USA 125.3 (2nd largest) 96.3 85.8 390 (2nd largest) 53.2 95 19.51 (Largest) 0.63 - 5.1 (4th largest) 7.4 9.8 1.4 (2nd largest) - - 260 - 1,800 1,503.65 (3rd largest) 1,030 4,243 1,200 (2nd largest) 195 338.3 Production in Mn tonnes Production in Mn tonnes Production in Mn Units Light vehicles Production in Mn Units Bn Sq. ft. Revenue in Bn$ Bn Units Subscribers in Mn Steel Cement Two Wheeler Four Wheeler Construction ITeS Electricity Production Wireless Phone Source: Ministry Reports of the Government of India, BEE, TRAI, SIAM, OICA, World Steel Association, BP, Statista
  • 10. Strong Industrial & Infrastructural Base TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital INDIA − Exports stood at USD 770 billion in 2022-23 − Ranked 38th in Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 2023 − Air passenger traffic is growing at 16.5%, to become 3rd largest by 2024 − Produces 95 minerals - 4 fuel-related, 10 metallic, 23 non-metallic, 3 atomic, and 55 others 893.08 (2nd largest) 254 (3rd largest) 123.2 (4th largest) 6.37 (2nd largest) 711.55 168.96 (4th largest) 76.29 (2nd largest) Production (MT) Production (Mn tonnes) Passenger Traffic (Mn) Network (‘000 Kms) Network (Mn Kms) Cargo Traffic (million tonnes) Capacity (GW) Production (Bn Sq. Mt.) Coal Iron Ore Aviation Railway Roadway Ports Renewable Energy Textile 67.9 (4th largest) Source: PIB, Airports Authority of India, Government of India reports, IBEF
  • 11. Strong Agricultural Base TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital INDIA 330.5 (2nd largest) 221.06 (Largest) 34.2 (Largest) 35.8 (Largest) 4.2 (Largest) 200.2 (Largest) 536.78 (Largest) Production (Mn tonnes) Production (Mn tonnes) Production (Mn bales) Production (Mn tonnes) Production (Mn tonnes) Exports (in USD Bn) (Mn hectares) Population (Mn) Food Grains Milk Cotton Horticulture Sugar Spices Cropland Livestock 342.3 (2nd largest) − Major producer of agrochemicals, tea, cashew, jute, oilseeds, etc. − Largest exporter of cereal products, cotton, bovine meat, sugar, etc. − All 15 major climates in the world; 46 of the 60 soil types in the world − Largest manufacturers of farm equipment − Proximity to food importing nations Source: PIB, IBEF, Economic Survey 2021-22, Government of India reports
  • 12. Source: BSE, RBI, AMF, 1 USD = 80 INR INR 324.12 Lakh Crore ≈ USD 3.89 Tn Strong Financial Base 2137 Number of listed companies on the National Stock Exchange 5338 Number of companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange 120 Mn+ Active demat accounts for trading on the stock market 8 unicorns Listed on the public stock exchange since 2021 TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital INR 46.63 Lakh Crore ≈ USD 560.5 Bn
  • 13. We have a Young Population We are NOT an aging country! TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Source: UN Population Estimates, CIA World Factbook
  • 14. We will continue to have a Young Population India’s working population is expected to total two-thirds of the total population in 2025 Higher aspirations & increased demand for skilled labor leads to higher education levels We have a growing middle class (~300Mn) which is increasing its consumption India Source: UN TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 15. Formal jobs are growing Source: EPF, MOSPI TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Net new EPF subscribers Net new ESI subscribers Ages 18-25 Women Ages 18-25 Women 2018-19 1,12,50,214 1,49,65,972 50.10% 21.00% 48.20% 16.60% 2019-20 94,72,468 1,51,45,261 53.40% 22.80% 48.60% 17.90% 2020-21 94,54,119 1,15,05,302 51.40% 22.80% 48.40% 16.30% 2021-22 1,38,20,141 1,49,12,698 52.40% 25.40% 48.20% 18.50% 2022-23 1,58,85,425 1,67,73,023 50.12% 26.02% 47.52% 19.62%
  • 16. India is the next $10 Trillion Economy Source: IMF, Standard Chartered © 3one4 Capital
  • 17. Digitalisation has transformed the world… Source: We Are Social
  • 18. Source: a16z, Visual Capitalist, Companies Market Cap, Investopedia The early-movers now dominate the market Tesla $867B Saudi Aramco $2140B 2022 Apple $2650B Microsoft $2128B Alphabet $1543B Amazon $1443B NVIDIA Corp $457B Tesla $910B Berkshire Hathaway $644B Meta $449B TSMC $456B Saudi Aramco $2330B
  • 19. Source: Statista Tech Eats The Leaderboards
  • 20. The US Runs The World’s Cloud Source: Statista
  • 21. Sources: Statista, TechCrunch, Slate, Bloomberg, Washington Post Big Tech Outspends To Maintain Monopolies
  • 22. Monopolies are not encumbered by geographical borders in a Data+AI-first world
  • 23. CREDI T CARD S HOME AUTOMATION MUSIC AUTONOMOUS CARS PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE TELE- COMMUNICATIO N PERSONAL ASSISSTANT GROCERY HOME SECURITY The New Normal – Global Tech Conglomerates Tech companies dominate globally and will continue to accrete disproportionate control over new value creation
  • 24. Coordinated Capture of the Digital Day American duopolies rule most digital sectors globally. Emerging duopolies in new areas like Cloud. Mobile Operating System Internet Search Social Media Cloud Digital Advertising Revenue 71.62% 27.73% 92.42% 3.45% 79.18% 8.99% 34% 21% 37.2% 22.1% Source: Multiple sources
  • 25. From Applied AI and Edge Computing to Nanomaterials and Tissue Engineering, the race is on to own the technologies of tomorrow. The Future Arenas of Competition Are Transversal Technologies Source: McKinsey
  • 26. Exponential organisations are getting 10x performance above their traditional peers, just because of how they organise themselves. The value is generated by scalability, efficiency, longevity, and relevance. Building Exponential Organisations
  • 27. has completely automated some of their factories using AI-enabled “Foxbots” Foxconn identified challenges with Manual Labor ▪ Down-time ▪ Attrition ▪ Cost variability – changes in wages ▪ Quality variability Foxconn’s fully automated factories benefit from: ▪ “Lights-off” factories: 24/7 operations ▪ Cost predictability ▪ AI-enabled demand-supply sync, energy use, robot monitoring and automated maintenance Source: Foxconn, Wired
  • 28. Combining athlete data- driven design with a technology-enabled ‘Speedfactory’, reduced it’s production to market time from 2 months to under 2 weeks. The shoes got better too, much better. 3D PRINTING ROBOTIC ARMS COMPUTERIZED KNITTING Source: Adidas
  • 29. Atlas The World's Most Dynamic Humanoid, uses balance and whole-body skills to achieve two-handed mobile manipulation Handle Handle combines agility and the ability to pick boxes to tackle box handling tasks in the warehouse. Spot A nimble robot that handles objects, climbs stairs, and will operate in offices, homes and outdoors. is galloping ahead in bringing human-equivalent movement capabilities in its range of robots
  • 30. The size of the brain implants (a fingertip for scale) is a brain-machine interface, intelligent enough to enable real-time neural communication with computers By enabling Humans to control phone functions with the Neuralink, the company hopes to tackle several healthcare issues Source: Neuralink, Cold Fusion © 3one4 Capital
  • 31. ‘Designer babies’ modified using CRISPR technology are here (whether we like it or not) Source: MIT Technology Review, The Economist, CNBC
  • 32. Digitalisation is transforming India too… Source: Inc42
  • 33. India Internet on a high growth trajectory Cost of data – one of the lowest in the world, rapid increase in wireless broadband subscribers and subsequently increased data usage Every second person in India has Internet 6x in 6 years 20x in 6 years Cost of Data in India is one of the lowest in the world Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report, Cable.co, TRAI, Nokia TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 34. Consumer led Digital Leap ‘India Internet’ on a high growth trajectory Ecommerce penetration in India is expected to be faster than developed nations such as USA India shows high appetite for digital consumption across verticals India now accounts for 11.6% of global app downloads Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report, Data.ai, We Are Social, Bain , Temasek, Google TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 35. Consumer led digital leap Increased app usage contributing to significant opportunities for internet companies Increased app usage… … India Internet’s $254 Bn Opportunity Source: Goldman Sachs India Internet Report TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 36. “ ” TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital The Startup Ecosystem will help create a USD 10 trillion economy in India
  • 37. 3rd largest startup ecosystem in the World 99,000+ startups USD 500 Bn Value Created Indian Startup Ecosystem Source: 3one4 Capital Estimates, Yourstory, Inc42, Tracxn TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 38. Startups at a glance Startups have raised USD 136 Bn from 2014-22 700+ Accelerators & Incubators 750+ Institutional Investors 2,480+ Active Investors 950+ Acquisitions 67% of all active startups are concentrated in Bengaluru, Mumbai and Delhi-NCR Bengaluru saw 48% of the total deal value between 2021 and 2022 Delhi Mumbai Bengaluru 26% 20% 36% % deals per city Source: Yourstory, Inc42, 3one4 Capital 2022 saw startups raise USD 25 Bn across 1,519 deals and 240+ M&As Hyderabad 3% Chennai 4% TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 39. New flywheel ramping up IT Services took off 2015 USD 260 Bn revenue USD 200 Bn exports 5.5 Mn People Employed 1989 2025 200,000 Startups Employ 3.25 Mn USD 150-200Bn to be invested in 2021-25 #2 after US 250 Unicorns Projections IT Services 2025 Startups take off Startups What lies in store TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Source: Nasscom, Inc42, analyst estimates FY 2023 (estimates)
  • 40. India is a software export giant India has the largest engineering population in the world and exported more software (USD 148.3 Bn) than Saudi Arabia exported oil (USD 145.3 Bn) in 2021. India’s software exports have grown 1.8x since 2014-15. Sources: RBI, MyGov.in, Business Standard
  • 41. India’s 109+ unicorns have created $350 Bn in value There will be 250+ unicorns in India by 2025 Source: 3one4 Capital, Tracxn | *2 Unicorns are now listed
  • 42. India Ranks Third In Global Unicorn Rankings Source: Inc42, Tracxn
  • 43. Early stage investing has shown strong growth despite global headwinds Source: Inc42, Bain TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 44. VCs have generated above average returns Source: Crisil, Pitchbook CRISIL AIF Benchmark – Cat I (USD) Global Early Stage Investing Performance Benchmarks (Top Quartile) Vintage 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 IRR 37.11% 34.75% 55.64% 62.41% 42.75% TVPI 4.43x 2.68x 2.95x 3.51x 1.50x DPI 0.94x 0.60x 0.29x 0.41x 0.01x RVPI 4.16x 2.333x 2.12x 2.62x 1.40x TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Vintage year No. of schemes Pooled IRR (%) Investment multiples and ratios DPI RVPI TVPI FY 14 5 8.89 0.54 0.98 1.51 FY15 9 5.91 0.82 0.52 1.34 FY16 22 31.3 0.29 2.74 3.03 FY17 12 38.65 0.21 2.35 2.57 FY 18 11 36.76 0.19 1.85 2.04 FY19 13 41.56 0.02 2.04 2.06 FY 20 18 56.51 0 1.84 1.85 FY 21 5 47.96 0 1.36 1.36
  • 45. Value Creation at unprecedented pace 3x valuation growth by 2026 TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 46. India growing as a deep-tech hub 4200+ AI startups 1900+ IOT startups 260+ AR/VR startups 200+ Robotics startups Personalises content on smartphone lock screens Personalised financial solutions company IoT based wearable healthcare monitoring device Contactless health tracker and at-home step-down ICU AR based ed- tech player for kids VR powered entertainment Robot enabled logistics solutions Service robots for banks, malls, events Source: Tracxn TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 47. Use of Digital Platforms TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 48. Access to the basic necessities of living Health insurance to more than 310M beneficiaries under Ayushman Bharat Scheme HEALTHCARE Drop off rate to be curbed - enrollment in class 10 at 77% vs. class 11 at 52% EDUCATION 30.4 million houses completed under PM Awas Yojana HOUSING 99% of population has access to clean water close to home, 110M rural HHs provided tap water connections. WATER 100% village electrification achieved in 988 days covering 18,452 villages ELECTRIFICATION 99% of the country’s habitations connected with all-weather roads under PMGSY ROADS 99% individual household latrines (IHHL) achieved under Swachh Bharat Mission SANITATION All 36 states/UTs now covered under NFSA vs. 11 in 2014 FOOD SECURITY 1.2Bn Mobile phone users in India in 2022, 600 Mn smartphone users, 162Mn smartphones sold p.a. MOBILE More than 85% Indians owned a bank account owing to PM Jan Dhan Yojana BANKING 95.87M rural women provided free LPG gas connections GAS CONNECTIONS Total 800 Mn users another 400Mn first- time internet users are expected to come online INTERNET Source: Government bodies, World Bank, Global Carbon Project, UNESCO, UNDP, WaterAid
  • 49. Consumption proliferation Rise of Jio 100,000,00 0 96,184,656 Per capita Data Consumption and voice usage in 2023 is 22GB per month with 422.8 Mn subscribers. 2022 Data Consumption per Subscriber was 20 GB per month with 366 Mn subscribers Source: Publicis, Vidooly, Company Annual Reports, Livemint Digital Media is Mainstream
  • 50. India constitutes YouTube’s biggest user base India has the highest number of YouTube users in the world 3 out of the top 10 most subscribed YouTube channels are Indian Source: Statista, YouTube
  • 51. E-commerce is growing fast on the back of new demographic segments Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
  • 52. Tier 2 and beyond will be the dominant engine of growth for India Internet’s next era TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
  • 53. B2B commerce is at an inflection point Source: Bain, Temasek, Google
  • 54. “ ” Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) has been pioneered in India for the Global Digital Economy © 3one4 Capital
  • 55. Provides a modern privacy data sharing framework Game changing electronic payment systems and transition to cashless economy Rapidly growing base of paperless systems with billions of artefacts Unique digital biometric identity with open access of nearly a Billion users CONSENT LAYER CASHLESS LAYER PAPERLESS LAYER PRESENCE-LESS LAYER Open Personal Data Store IMPS, AEPS, APB, and UPI Aadhaar e-KYC, E-sign, Digital Locker Aadhaar Authentication COMMERCE (GSTn) CREDIT (RBI) INVESTMENTS (SEBI) SKILLS OTHERS JAM Jan Dhan Aadhaar Mobile + + India Stack TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital India has pioneered the use of Digital Public Goods (DPGs) as technology enabled force multipliers for growth
  • 56. The evolution of India Stack Source: BCG TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Paperless verification Direct Benefit Transfer Financial Inclusion Jan Dhan Scheme E-sign India turning point towards a cashless economy Demonetization Goods and Services Tax Trade Receivables Discounting System TReDS Open Credit Enablement Network National Education Policy single source offline/online identity verification MSME’s ‘UPI‘ Moment Scaling the tech architecture RERA Portal • Financial Data Access Fiduciary • Skills Registry • Account Aggregators 2021… • Public Credit Registry • National Health Registry • Open Network for Digital Commerce First paperles s budget Faceless Tax assessment system
  • 57. Aadhaar Auth Aadhaar eKYC eSign Digital Locker Smart Devices Unified Payment Mobile, Internet, GPS, Cloud World-Class Products are being built on INDIA STACK, a set of open API based PUBLIC PLATFORMS TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 58. Impact of the India Stack Retail Customer Onboarding Reimagining the User journey with Aadhaar, eKYC, e-Sign and Digital Locker Source: McKinsey & Company - Financial Services and Digital practices TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Reimagining Channel Management - Digital Transformation with Aadhaar eKYC Customer Onboarding - Digital Transformation with Aadhaar eKYC Turnaround Time down from 6 days to 1 hour Reduced Drop Offs Branch Capacity Freed upto 10% >99% First Time Right Back Office No Longer Required Transaction Time down from 4 hours to 2 minutes Statement Processing Time down from 1 hour to 1 minute Reduced Operational Cost Capacity Freed-up for Lead Generation Improved Customer Retention Onboarding Time down from 1 day to 4 minutes Onboarding Rate 50M < 2 months Saved INR 15 / Sim Issued Customer Experience “Walk Out Working” Saved 15000 Trees
  • 59. We will go from data poor to data rich nation in 5 years! Cashless, Paperless & Presence-less Service Delivery Digital Identity Paperless Process Commerce Payment Social Machine Intelligence & Automation TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 60. India’s Banking fundamentals are strong 122,102 bank branches of scheduled banks in India 209,507 ATMs of scheduled banks in India USD 2.1 Tn In total scheduled commercial bank deposits in India USD 1.6 Tn Aggregate credit for scheduled commercial banks in India 485 Mn Bank accounts opened by the Government since 2014 Sources: RBI, Government of India Performance Dashboard, IBEF TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 61. Full Stack Digital Banking Services by Neo Banks is the Future TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital Top Players Traditional Banks NBFCs Neo Banks 2010 2022 Diversified Housing Finance Gold Loan Consumer – SME & Vehicle Diversified Housing Finance Gold Loan Consumer – SME & Vehicle For SME For Consumer
  • 62. Digital Payments in India Digital Payments Volume grew from 5.73 billion in August 2021 to 13.29 billion in August 2023. Source: RBI TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 63. Share of Digital Payment Methods RBI payment systems: RTGS (customer and inter-bank transactions) and NEFT NPCI payment systems: IMPS, NACH, UPI (including BHIM & USSD), BHIM Aadhaar Pay, AePS fund transfer and NETC (linked to bank account). Other payment systems: debit and credit card payment transactions (excl. cash withdrawal), wallet and PPI card payment transactions (excl. cash withdrawal) Source: RBI Share of NPCI Payments (UPI+IMPS) grew from 75.6% in August 2021 to 87.1% in August 2023
  • 64. Source: Bain, FinShots, NPCI Note: 1 USD taken as INR 80 for conversion purposes Steady Transition to a No-Cash future 10.56 Bn Monthly UPI transactions volume in Sept 2023 USD 189.68 Bn Monthly UPI transaction value for Sept 2023 50 million+ Payment QR codes deployed in India
  • 65. India is a leader in real-time payments Sources: Finshots, InvestyWise, Morning Consult, Insider Intelligence
  • 66. Credit without friction Sees loan offers Accepts best offer Receives loan Gets paid digitally Repays loan Agrees to share data Data sharing norms & tech Credit market- place Paperless contract Transaction a/c & app Payment app Payment app Need a loan Credit marketplace app Aadhaar/e KYC Digi locker API for loan offers eSign Digilocker UPI Auth- orization api UPI UPI Paperless instant credit markets based on digital tools Bringing millions into the formal economy TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 67. “ ” TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital New Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) will serve as India’s startup flywheel for this decade
  • 68. Consented Data Exchange Account Aggregator Problem(s) • Individual data siloed between financial institutions and service providers. • Collation & centralization is hard, expensive, time consuming, still a largely physical process. Solution(s) • An AA acts as the digital intermediary to manage data flows based on consent from an individual. • AA is data-blind. Data that flows through AA is encrypted. • Electronic Consent Artefact is architected and approved by MeitY. • RBI approves AA through licenses and has oversight on the ecosystem including FIPs, and FIUs. AA is supported by RBI, SEBI, PFRDA, IRDA. Source: iSpirit TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 69. Account Aggregator framework at work Sources: iSpirt, Imarticus Learning, Sahamati India’s AA framework is pioneering consented, real-time sharing of financial information. TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 70. Problems • Cost of lending is so high that small loans become unfeasible. • MSME credit gap of over $330Bn. Solutions • Switch focus from balance sheet lending to cashflow-based lending. • Common language for lenders and marketplaces to build innovative, financial credit products at scale. • Connecting Lenders, LSPs, and Borrowers in a secure marketplace framework. • Open APIs for credit products. Consented Data Exchange Source: iSpirit TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 71. OCEN will holistically disrupt Digital Lending Using the AA framework, the Open Credit Enablement Network (OCEN) will revolutionise digital lending Sources: iSpirt, Inc42, Cashfree Payment Blog TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 72. Source: ONDC, Business Standard ONDC is set to unbundle digital commerce Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) is a network based on open protocols and will enable local commerce across segments, such as mobility, grocery, among others, to be discovered and engaged by any network-enabled application. TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 73. Taking a peek into the future: a sample buying journey on ONDC Source: ONDC TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 74. India’s emerging National Health Stack Source: ISprit
  • 75. UPI moment in Indian Healthcare Source: Eka.care
  • 76. Open protocols are reimagining entire industries and ecosystems The Beckn Protocol, for instance, is revolutionising urban mobility. Source: Beckn TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital
  • 77. Source: Visual Capitalist Aarogya Setu becomes world's fastest app to reach 50M downloads. Now at +220M users. 13 days Number of years to 50Mn users TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 78. Source: Finshots, IndSamachar Strategic Partners & Investors Technology Partners & Investors Sovereign Fund Investors Institutional Investors Stake Sold: 32.97% Money Raised: INR1.52L Cr Debt: Zero Rise of Indian Tech Conglomerates
  • 79. Rise of Indian Tech Conglomerates
  • 80. Indians are creating Unicorns Globally Source(s): 256 Network Family Office Report Notable US startups with Indian origin founders 4.2M Indians in USA 90+ US Unicorns with Indian-origin founders*
  • 81. Indians are creating Unicorns Globally • Indians dominate the list of non-US born unicorn founders in the United States
  • 82. India – Now Top 3 for Value Creation After US and China, India remains the top startup ecosystem for value creation Unicorns Globally +1312 Cumulative Valuation USD 4.2T Source: Hurun, 3one4 Capital, Tracxn
  • 83. Regulatory Policy Market Making Policy via Challenge Grants India Stack as Digital Infrastructure A robust foundation to enable innovative solutions to India’s hard problems Innovative Solutions to India’s Hard Problems - Commercially Viable - Far reaching consumer impact - Reinforces experimentation 100s of Experiments - Low barriers to entry - Level playing field - Aligned to national issues - Rapid success/failure cycle TV Mohandas Pai © 3one4 Capital
  • 84. “ ” India is optimizing to empower problem solvers. Startups will be the force multiplier to catapult the country to a USD 10 Trillion economy Join the conversation on Twitter with @TVMohandasPai and @3one4Capital
  • 85. Thank You TV Mohandas Pai | 3one4 Capital @TVMohandasPai | @3one4Capital