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Feasibility Study Template
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Feasibility Study
<Project Name>
Company Name
Street Address
City, State Zip Code
Date
Table of Contents
1.Executive Summary3
2.Description of Products and Services3
3.Technology Considerations4
4.Product/Service Marketplace4
5.Marketing Strategy5
6.Organization and Staffing6
7.Schedule6
8.Financial Projections7
9.Findings and Recommendations8
1.
Executive Summary
The executive summary provides an overview of the content
contained in the feasibility study document. Many people write
this section after the rest of the document is completed. This
section is important in that it provides a higher level summary
of the detail contained within the rest of the document.
Alan’s Best Chocolates (ABC) is a leader in the sales of
chocolates and confections throughout the United States.
ABC’s products are sold from 50 stores throughout the country
and maintain a reputation for superior taste and quality. While
ABC’s sales have grown over the past 10 years, the rate of
growth has slowed significantly. One key factor for this
slowing growth rate is the shift in the marketplace to purchasing
chocolates and confections online. While ABC maintains a web
site, it is not capable of hosting an e-commerce platform for
online sales. ABC’s sales occur only in its brick and mortar
facilities and the company is losing potential customers to
competitors who provide online sales. The chocolate and
confections marketplace is healthy and shows a continued
growth trajectory over the next five to ten years. ABC is in a
position to capitalize on this online marketplace by leveraging
existing technologies, industry best practices, and an aggressive
marketing and sales campaign to ramp up the company’s growth
projections for the foreseeable future.
2. Description of Products and Services
This section provides a high level description of the products
and/or services which are being considered as past of the
feasibility study. The purpose of this section is to provide
detailed descriptions of exactly what the organization is
considering so this information can be applied to the following
sections of the document. It is important that this description
captures the most important aspects of the products and/or
services that the organization is considering as well as how it
may benefit customers and the organization.
ABC is considering a move to create and provide an online
platform from which to sell its existing product line. Until now
ABC has only sold its products from its chain of brick and
mortar facilities and has been limited to sales within the
geographical regions where its stores reside. By doing so, ABC
has not been able to capitalize on the growing trend of online
sales within the chocolate and confections marketplace. By
offering its products through an online platform, ABC can
market its products to an entirely new market, increase revenue
and growth projections, and allow customers to purchase our
products from the convenience of their own homes.
There are no proposed changes to ABC’s current product
offerings as a result of this study. Online sales will include
only current products and any changes to this product line must
be considered outside of the purpose of this document.
3. Technology Considerations
This section should explain any considerations the organization
must make with regards to technology. Many new initiatives
rely on technology to manage or monitor various business
functions. New technology may be developed internally or
contracted through a service provider and always result in costs
which must be weighed in determining the path forward.
Upgraded technological capability will be required for ABC to
move toward offering an online marketplace from which
customers may purchase our products. Customers demand a
simple and easy way by which to conduct online transactions
and it is imperative that all transactions are conducted in a
secure manner. While ABC maintains a web site with product
lists and descriptions, it does not currently allow for purchasing
to be done online. This functionality must be integrated with
our current web site to allow for secure purchases to be made.
Additionally, new online marketing functionality must be
considered in order to target existing and potential customers
through methods such as e-mailing lists, promotional
advertisements, and loyalty discounts.
While ABC maintains a small information technology (IT)
group, the expertise does not currently exist internally to
design, build, and implement the sort of extensive online
platform required for this effort. Therefore, the
recommendation is to contract this work out to an internet
marketplace provider who can work with ABC to meet its needs
within the determined timeframe and budget. It should be noted
that while ABC does not have this expertise internally, the
technology exists and is in use throughout the marketplace
which lowers the risk of this concept considerably.
ABC currently maintains a high speed internet connection, web
server, and the latest software. With the addition of an e-
commerce portal it is expected that there will be an overall cost
increase of 5-10% for web server operations and maintenance
costs.
4. Product/Service Marketplace
This section describes the existing marketplace for the products
and/or services the organization is considering. It may describe
who the target market consists of for these products or services,
who the competitors are, how products will be distributed, and
why customers might choose to buy our products/services.
Most marketplaces are dynamic environments in which things
change constantly. To enter a new marketplace blindly will
usually result in an organization not fully understanding its role
and not maximizing its resulting benefits.
The online marketplace for chocolates and confections has been
thriving for many years. In FY20xx online chocolate sales
accounted for approximately $20 million or 20% of total
chocolate sales worldwide. While chocolates and confections
are available in almost every store, our primary marketplace
consists of specialty chocolates and confections. All of ABC’s
current major competitors already have an established online
presence of at least 3-5 years. The top 3 competitors are
currently: Smith’s Chocolates, Worldwide Candy, and
Chocolate International. A large majority of ABC’s customer
base are returning customers and referrals from existing
customers. By providing a more convenient means of
purchasing our products online it is expected that we will retain
these customers while conducting an online marketing campaign
for new customers as well.
ABC will distribute online purchases via direct shipping from
the nearest store location. This will allow ABC to provide
timely shipping and eliminate the need for a central warehouse
or facility from which to store and ship its products. Such a
facility would require a significant capital investment as well as
increased operation and maintenance costs. However, based on
anticipated growth projections, ABC must ensure that all store
locations maintain adequate inventories on hand to satisfy
customer demand.
5. Marketing Strategy
This section provides a high level description of how the
organization will market its product or service. Some topics
which should be included are: how does an organization
differentiate itself from its competitors; types of marketing the
organization will utilize; and who the organization will target.
Marketing efforts must be focused on the right target groups in
order to yield the greatest return on investment.
In order to be successful, ABC must differentiate itself from
competitors in order to appeal to customers in the online
marketplace. To do this, ABC will utilize its practice of
personalizing its product packaging which it currently offers in-
store customers. Current competitors do not currently provide
any personalization of packaging. Customers will have the
ability to personalize messages on or inside of product
packaging, request specific color-based themes, or tailor
packaging for special occasions or events.
ABC will implement a customer e mailing list in order to send
product promotions, sales advertisements, and other special
offerings to customers who register. Additionally, ABC will
offer referral incentives to customers who refer our products to
friends and family in order to provide additional incentives.
ABC will also maintain a customer database in order to
determine its target customer groups and geographical regions.
ABC will research marketing intelligence providers to
determine the benefits and costs of purchasing customer
information for bulk email campaigns as well. Another
important consideration of ABC’s online marketing strategy is
cost. Electronic marketing communication costs are very small
in comparison to direct mail marketing which ABC currently
utilizes. However, we expect the additional revenue from
online sales to greatly outweigh these additional electronic
marketing costs.
It is important to note that ABC’s current marketing and sales
staff will require training in online marketing and sales
practices. This training will need to be contracted to a training
provider as part of our startup costs and schedule.
6. Organization and Staffing
With many new products or services there may be a need for
additional staffing or for an organization to restructure in order
to accommodate the change. These are important considerations
as they may result in increased costs or require an organization
to change its practices and processes.
The ABC online sales campaign is not anticipated to
significantly affect the organizational structure of the company.
There are, however, several staffing additions required to
successfully implement the online sales campaign. All of these
positions will work within existing departments and report to
department managers.
Staffing Position #1: Online Sales Manager – this full time
position will lead sales staff in identifying sales opportunities
and converting these opportunities to actual sales. This person
will report to ABC’s Director of Sales and will work in ABC
headquarters.
Staffing Position #2: Online Marketing Manager – this full time
position will lead marketing staff in identifying target customer
groups/markets and conducting online advertising/marketing
efforts to maximize traffic to ABCs online marketplace. This
person will report to ABC’s Director of Marketing and will
work in ABC headquarters.
7. Schedule
This section is intended to provide a high level framework for
implementation of the product or service being considered.
This section is not intended to include a detailed schedule as
this would be developed during project planning should this
initiative be approved. This section may include some targeted
milestones and timeframes for completion as a guideline only.
The ABC online sales campaign is expected to take six months
from project approval to launch of the e-commerce platform.
Many of the foundations for this platform, such as high-speed
internet and web server capability, are already available. The
following is a high level schedule of some significant
milestones for this initiative:
Jan 1, 20xx: Initiate Project
February 1, 20 xx: Project kickoff meeting
March 1, 20 xx: Complete online sales site design
April 1, 20 xx: Complete testing of online sales site
June 1, 20 xx: Complete beta testing trials of online sales site
July 2, 20 xx: Go live with site launch
Upon approval of this project a detailed schedule will be
created by the assigned project team to include all tasks and
deliverables.
8. Financial Projections
This section provides a description of the financial projections
the new initiative is expected to yield versus additional costs.
Financial projections are one key aspect of new project
selection criteria. There are many ways to present these
projections. Net present value (NPV), cost-benefit calculations,
and balance sheets are just some examples of how financial
projections may be illustrated. This section should also provide
the assumptions on which the illustrated financial projections
are based.
The financial projections for the addition of an online sales
platform for ABC are highlighted in the table below. These
figures account for projected online sales, additional staffing
requirements, shipping, material, and insurance costs, contract
support for IT and training needs, and web server and hosting
costs.
The assumptions for these projections are as follows:
· In store sales projections remain unchanged
· All milestones are performed in accordance with the schedule
· All transactions are closed yearly with no carry-over to
subsequent years
9. Findings and Recommendations
This section should summarize the findings of the feasibility
study and explain why this course of action is or is not
recommended. This section may include a description of pros
and cons for the initiative being considered. This section
should be brief since most of the detail is included elsewhere in
the document. Additionally, it should capture the likelihood of
success for the business idea being studied.
Based on the information presented in this feasibility study, it is
recommended that ABC approves the online sales initiative and
begins project initiation. The findings of this feasibility study
show that this initiative will be highly beneficial to the
organization and has a high probability of success. Key
findings are as follows:
Technology:
· Will utilize existing technology which lowers project risk
· Ecommerce infrastructure will be contracted out to vendor
which allows ABC to share risk
· Once in place this technology is simple to operate and
maintain for a relatively low cost
Marketing:
· This initiative will allow ABC to reach large number of target
groups electronically at a low cost
· ABC can expand customer base beyond geographic areas
where stores are currently located
· The marketplace for online chocolate and confection sales is
in a steady state of growth
· ABC is able to differentiate itself from its competitors and
will utilize incentive programs to target new consumers
Organizational:
· Minimal increases to staffing are required with no changes to
organizational structure
· No new facilities or capital investments are required
Financial:
· Break even point occurs early in the second year of operation
· Five year projections show online sales accounting for 25% of
total sales
· ABC will be in position to capture greater market share by
maintaining both an in-store and online presence
This free Project Management Plan Template is brought to you
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2
Measure Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 55 year total
Online Sales Projections
$350,000$425,000$500,000$650,000$800,000$2,725,000
Additional Staffing Costs
$160,000$170,000$200,000$235,000$255,000$1,020,000
Projected Material, Shipping, Insurance Costs
$42,000$58,000$70,000$78,000$84,000$332,000
Additional Web Server and IT Hosting/Maintenance
$22,000$25,000$30,000$35,000$40,000$152,000
Training for Sales and Marketing Staff
$75,000$0$0$0$0$75,000
Contract for Design, Build, and Implementation of Online
Store
$100,000$0$0$0$0$100,000
Total Additional Costs for Online Sales
$399,000$253,000$300,000$348,000$379,000$1,679,000
Cash Inflow -
$49,000.00$172,000.00$200,000.00$302,000.00$421,000.00$1,
046,000.00
This case was prepared by Donna Kelley, Professor of
Entrepreneurship at Babson College. It was developed as a basis
for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or
ineffective handling of an administrative situation. It is
not intended to serve as an endorsement, source of primary data
or illustration of effective or ineffective
management.
Copyright © 2018 Babson College and licensed for publication
to Harvard Business Publishing. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication can be reproduced, stored or
transmitted in any form or by any means without prior
written permission of Babson College.
BAB466 / NOVEMBER 2018
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for
Entrepreneurs
Donna Kelley, Babson College1
November 2018
The creation of financial projections in the feasibility stage of
entrepreneurship can help you
think about the financial consequences of the work you have
done so far to develop your
opportunity. Projections are useful for anticipating cash needs
and when you will need to secure
financing. They can also help you determine whether the
business model is viable and
potentially profitable, whether effort and money should be
invested in developing it further, and
which aspects may need to be rethought.
The financials that are common in the business world are those
that track past performance.
With these statements, if we know past performance, we can
better predict future performance.
For a prospective business that has not previously existed, on
the other hand, preparing
financial statements is much more difficult. There is no past
history to build on, there are no real
numbers to start with, and it is not certain how the venture will
materialize. It is not likely the
numbers will be correct, so why do this?
The main reasons for creating financials fall into internal and
external arguments:
1. Your numbers reflect your positioning and business model.
They can inform you about
the viability of your business and help you determine whether
and how to move forward.
While some numbers are likely to be wrong, your initial
approach to the business is also
likely to be wrong in some aspects. If these numbers can help
put you on a more viable
path (sooner rather than later), this information is undeniably
valuable.
2. Investors and other stakeholders will want to understand the
viability of your business
and how you intend to pursue the opportunity. They want to
know that you have thought
through the economic representation of your business model and
that you have done
your homework in crafting logical financials. While most
sophisticated investors and
1 The author would like to acknowledge Janice Bell, Professor
Emeritus of Accounting, Babson College, for her
constructive comments on an early draft of this note.
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This document is authorized for educator review use only by
MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business
Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an
infringement of
copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
2
other experts often believe entrepreneurs are overly optimistic
with financial projections,
they also want to see how ambitious you are in your thinking
about launching the
business.
Most business people have at least a basic understanding of
financial statements, but creating
them from scratch is a difficult task. The complexity of the
exercise increases when
entrepreneurs feel they need to create detailed, comprehensive
statements with items such as
unearned revenue, prepaid rent, and allocated overhead. Don’ t
do this. Start simple, at least for
the first pass. Get the basics down and, more importantly,
understand the relationships between
the numbers on the statements and how they link to your
business model.
Using Templates
A template can serve as an easy solution for an entrepreneur
who does not have substantial
finance expertise and has little time to devote to this task.
Working with a template can be better
than ending up with no financials at all, or with poorly
constructed ones. However, be aware of
the limitations.
First, plugging in numbers and having the statements generate
on their own can limit your
understanding of the relationships between elements within and
across the different statements.
In addition, you want to have in-depth knowledge of your
financials when dealing with
sophisticated investors and other financially savvy stakeholders.
In many ways, templates can
help you do this. However, you need to understand the
reasoning behind your inputs to the
statements and what the results tell you. Similarly, if you have a
team member with financial
expertise or an accountant working with you on this, make sure
you know the numbers and their
implications.
Second, every business is unique, and generic templates are
often limited in their ability to help
specific types of business, or they are overly complex in an
attempt to be relevant to all
businesses. A similar issue arises with adapting financials from
an established company in your
industry. This latter exercise is very useful and will be
discussed later in this note. But financials
from an ongoing business may have more detail than you need
to consider early on. Also,
adapting financials needs to be done with careful consideration
of the startup context and how
your business differs. With regard to templates, if you can find
a template that serves your
industry well, and if these templates allow for adaptation to
your unique business model, this
can be very helpful, especially in establishing a base-level set
of financials.
This note will guide you through the process of building basic
financials that reflect the
approach of your prospective business. This will provide a
foundation for you to evaluate the
viability of, and make changes to, the business model, and
communicate the opportunity to key
stakeholders. This early set of financials can then serve as a
launching pad for identifying
metrics and for ongoing assessment of the venture startup and
growth process.
Understanding the Relationship Between the Three Statements
Let’s first take a basic look at the financial statements and their
interrelationships. Each serves a
critical role in exhibiting particular dimensions of your
business. The income statement tells you
about the profitability of your business, while your cash flow
statement indicates how cash will
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This document is authorized for educator review use only by
MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business
Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an
infringement of
copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
3
flow into and out of the business (like a checking account
register). The balance sheet shows
assets and liabilities and, by subtracting the liabilities from the
assets, it reflects your equity in
the business.
Here is an oversimplified example, meant to illustrate in very
basic terms the differences, and
relationships, between the three statements. Let’s assume you
decide to start a business called
Orthopawdic, selling orthopedic dog beds.
Month 1: You paid your supplier for your first shipment of 10
dog beds at $50 each. Your
grandmother gave you a loan of $500 to cover this inventory.
Your statements would look like
this below. Look at these for a few minutes before you read
further. Think about the activities
that have taken place and how they are represented in the
numbers below.
Income Statement Cash Flows Balance Sheet
Month 1 Month 1 Month 1
Revenues 0 Operating activities -500 Accounts Receivable
less: COGS2 0 Investing activities Inventory 500
Gross Margin 0 Financing activities 500 Total Assets 500
Net Cash Flow 0
less: SG&A3 0 Beginning balance 0 Liabilities 500
Net Income 0 Ending balance 0 Equity
Total Liabilities and
Equity 500
You’ve probably noticed a few things:
1. There is a lot of cash and product changing hands, but no
sales, so the income statement
shows nothing (for simplicity, we’re assuming no SG&A).
2. On the cash flow statement, the cash paid for the inventory is
reflected in operating
activities. The money from Grandma shows up in financing
activities on the balance
sheet. You now have inventory, which is an asset that will
create value when you sell it.
But you owe Grandma $500, and that shows up as a liability on
the other side, balancing
out the statement.
Month 2: Congratulations! You made your first sale. Kiki has
bought a bed for $125 for her dog
Max and will pay you next month. Your statements below
reflect this month’s activities. Again,
look at this before you read further, and think about how this
month’s activities are reflected in
the three statements, especially compared to the first month.
What has changed?
2 Cost of Goods Sold
3 Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Do
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This document is authorized for educator review use only by
MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business
Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an
infringement of
copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
4
Income Statement Cash Flows Balance Sheet
Month 2 Month 2 Month 2
Revenues 125 Operating activities 0 Accounts Receivable 125
less: COGS 50 Investing activities Inventory 450
Gross Margin 75 Financing activities 0 Total Assets 575
Net Cash Flow 0
less: SG&A 0 Beginning balance 0 Liabilities 500
Net Income 75 Ending balance 0 Equity 75
Total Liabilities and
Equity 575
Some observations you’ve made probably include the following:
1. You’ve made a sale, so the income statement shows revenue.
One dog bed comes out of
inventory and goes into COGS on the income statement. You’ll
notice that inventory on
the balance sheet is now $450.
2. You’ve also made a profit of $75 (the amount that Kiki paid,
less the cost of the bed)
which shows up in the income statement as net income and also
in equity on the balance
sheet. Essentially, you’ve added $75 of value to the business.
3. You’ll notice that no cash changed hands. Kiki will not pay
you until next month, and you
already paid for the inventory last month. So the $125 sale is
recorded as an account
receivable on the balance sheet, and there is no activity
recorded on the cash flow
statement.
Now, before reading further, recall the purpose of each of the
three financial statements. What
does each tell you about your business?
The income statement tracks your business activities (regardless
of the flow of cash). There
are two main categories of expenses: (1) COGS is tied to sales.
So when Orthopawdic made a sale
to Kiki, one bed came out of inventory and went into COGS;4
(2) SG&A are expensed in the
period in which they are incurred; they are not costs associated
with a particular sale. If, for
example, Orthopawdic did some advertising in Month 1, that
expense would go under SG&A.
Your income statement thus tells you about the flow of business
activities and whether the
enterprise can be profitable. It should reflect your business
model. For example, if you are
introducing an innovative or otherwise highly differentiated
product, you should expect higher
margins, particularly to cover expenses associated with
communicating its unique advantages,
and perhaps other costs like product development. With this
example, you will likely project
losses for the first year or more, given that you are incurring
expenses such as marketing and
product development5 that you expect will generate substantial
future sales.
4 Notice how the dog bed went from being classified as an asset
on the balance sheet, to an expense on the income
statement. Before it was sold, the bed was sitting in inventory,
offering future economic value for your business. That
value was created when the bed was sold, and it then became an
expense (COGS) associated with the revenue
generated on the income statement.
5 R&D/product development costs are expensed when incurred,
under SG&A on the income statement. If you have a
patent, however, the cost associated with applying for, or
acquiring, the patent will become an asset on the balance
sheet that is expensed over time on the income statement (as
amortization). Do
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This document is authorized for educator review use only by
MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business
Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an
infringement of
copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entreprene uers
BAB466- November 2018
5
The cash flow statement tracks your flow of cash. Cash flows
fall into three categories:
1. Operations: actual cash received and paid out for items on the
income statement.
2. Investing: assets that go on the balance sheet. For example,
equipment, property, or
temporary investments in stocks of other companies.
3. Financing: money that comes in or is paid out to finance the
business, whether debt
or equity. This includes dividends, but interest is typically an
operating cash flow.
You may already recognize the importance of the cash flow
statement for entrepreneurs,
particularly when considering that what happens in the income
statement does not necessarily
match what’s going on relative to cash flows. You can be
hugely profitable but cash poor; cash
flow projections can therefore help you determine when you
will be short on funds.
The balance sheet essentially shows the asset base you are
leveraging and the capitalization of
your business. It can provide a lens into how you are building
and managing your asset base,
and how you are choosing to finance your business.
While the income statement is a financial representation of the
business activities that have
taken place over time, and the cash flow statement reflects cash
flows over a period, the balance
sheet is unique in providing a snapshot of your financial
picture. The balance sheet is akin to a
still photo, while the income statement and cash flow statement
are like videos.
Making Informed Assumptions
Given the high uncertainty characterizing the early stages of
planning a venture, financial
projections are often seen as unreliable, like pulling numbers
out of thin air. What is more
important than arriving at precise figures, however, is the set of
assumptions and reasoning
applied to derive the numbers.
There are three basic sources you can use to determine your
inputs to the financials:
1. Published (secondary) sources. These are cheap and plentiful.
You can access a range of
information such as company and industry data, trade and
business information, media
articles and so forth. Secondary data is compiled for a particular
purpose, not all of
which is relevant to your needs. And what is relevant often
needs to be adapted
somehow. The overall challenge is to sort through all of this,
and to figure out what
applies to your business and how. Be selective in what you use
to support your numbers
and the reasoning you use in applying this data to your
business. Then, continue your
search through the vast amount of information out there, and
incorporate new
information into your financials as they evolve.
2. Advice and feedback from experts or customers you contact.
It is increasingly critical to
talk to people about your business and use their feedback to
adjust your approach. You
will impress your audience when you show evidence of having
reached out to experts and
customers.
3. Results of experiments and primary research you conduct.
This will surely wow an
investor or other interested party—stating that you stood at an
intersection for two hours Do
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This document is authorized for educator review use only by
MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business
Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an
infringement of
copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860
A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
6
at a time over each day of the week for one week and counted
how many cyclists there
were, and how many wore helmets. Or, you rented a table at a
farmer’s market, and 50%
of the people who stopped in front of your table bought your
brownies.
When using any of these sources, make sure you sound as
objective as possible. Avoid biased
information, like saying you told 50 people about your new cat-
tracking device and 90% said
they loved it, even if they didn’t have a cat. Seeing how
passionate you are, or neither
understanding it nor feeling invested in what you’re doing, they
may just say what you want to
hear.
Think deeply about how you can gather and present information
in the most objective way. For
example, you talked with 60 men and women aged 45-65 in the
Boston area, and 30% are
currently members of a health club, but of these, half have not
visited their club at all in the
prior two weeks. In the early stages of building an opportunity,
particularly an innovative one,
actual behavior is much more reliable than expressed intentions.
Your numbers may represent a guess, an informed estimate, or
an exact number. As you move
forward with your business, you’ll have some exact numbers
(financing raised, sales orders
received, marketing costs incurred). In the beginning, it may
seem that you have mostly guesses.
Nonetheless, you want to move quickly toward informed
estimates. Continually refine your
numbers as you collect more information and steer your venture
onto more viable paths. Keep a
running list of the sources used to develop your assumptions
and any interpretation you applied.
These increase your confidence in your numbers and signal to
investors that you have
reasonably thought through this exercise.
Building Your Financial Statements
Typically, entrepreneurs provide five years of financial
projections for all three statements, and
then a monthly breakdown for the first two years with the
income statement and cash flow
statement. The reasons for this monthly breakdown are
straightforward. For the income
statement, monthly detail shows your ramp-up and seasonality.
Monthly detail on cash flows
shows when you’ll have a cash deficit, and when you’ll need
funding and how much.
For the first two years, you may find it useful first to create
annual income statements and cash
flow statements for the full five years and take a high-level
approach to what this looks like.
Then, you could divide the first two years into monthly detail,
considering both the initial ramp-
up period and any seasonality. But, particularly when applying
the bottom-up method described
in this note, you may find it useful to estimate what sales look
like on a daily and weekly basis,
and build this out to monthly and annual numbers as you
progress through the initial year or
two.
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A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
7
The Income Statement
Revenue Projections
Let’s first take a look at three ways you can estimate revenues:
top-down, bottom-up, or
comparables.
Top Down
With this method, you identify the total size of the market
segment you could serve and estimate
your share of the market. Of all customers who are reachable
with your concept, you can
estimate what proportion is likely to buy. You may be able to
find market data expressed in total
dollar amounts, which includes both numbers of people and the
amount they purchase per year.
You could calculate market share and revenue data from this.
Another way is to calculate numbers of customers and then
apply pricing and purchase
frequency. First, consider the proportion of your market that can
reasonably become aware of,
and access, your product. It is often said, for example, that
people will drive no more than 15
minutes to a health club. Given the demographics of the market
for a health club, one could
identify the number of people in the target market area and
adjust for demographic and
behavioral characteristics.
Building on this example, say you want to open a fitness
business in Welltown, Massachusetts.
Your market research and business model indicate a target
market segment of older males and
females, 45-65 years of age, who exercise regularly.
a. Population statistics reveal that there are 30,000 people
living in Welltown and 30% are
between the ages of 45 and 65 years old. This gives you 9,000
people.
b. A magazine published a survey showing that 50% of people
in the region around
Welltown engage in regular exercise. Applying this informatio n
reveals a market size of
4,500 people.
c. There is one health club in Welltown, a national franchise,
which a source says has 1,800
members. Industry statistics reveal that about half of health club
members in the United
States are over the age of 44, so you estimate that they have 900
members over 44 or
20% market share in the segment you are targeting. There are
also four niche fitness
businesses (cycling studio, pilates, personal training, and a
weight gym) that have
smaller market shares. Your concept is a multi-offering facility
targeting the older
population, so you project you can achieve 10% market share,
or 450 members, after an
initial ramp-up period, eventually increasing to 30% by the end
of five years. You then
apply your pricing information to generate revenue projections.
Bottom Up
You can also count the number of customers you expect to
serve, along with how much they will
buy. You may be able to get data on customer behavior from
various sources. You can talk to
reliable informants, such as store owners, sales reps, suppliers,
or other industry experts. Or you
can physically observe this—counting people entering and
exiting a store, tabulating how many
buy, and if possible, what and how much. Think reasonably
about how many people would buy
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A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
8
your product or use your service. Given the hours the business
is open, what might a typical day
be like, including peak or slow hours? How much does a typical
customer spend? From this
approach, you can build out to weekly, and then monthly and
annual sales projections.
Comparables
A third approach is to obtain revenue numbers from comparable
businesses, drawing on a
company (or companies) selling a similar offering, and
adjusting for differences in elements
such as stage of business and your source of differentiation.
You may not have concrete numbers
for your closest competitors, especially if they are private, but
you can obtain data on industry
averages and public firms.
Particularly for large companies with multiple product
offerings, revenues are often aggregated,
and you will again have to make assumptions. For example, if
you are opening a retail store and
you have located a comparable company that reveals the number
of stores it has, you can divide
total sales by the number of stores to determine average revenue
per store.
As another example, say you know a company’s total sales for
the year. You may be able to locate
information showing what proportion of these sales contains the
product category that matches
your offering. You can draw on published sources such as press
releases, journal articles, or the
Management Discussion and Analysis (MDA) section and
footnotes in annual reports, even
expert opinion. With the information available, consider how
you can make informed estimates.
In projecting revenues, your price and sales volume should
reflect your strategy. If you have a
premium product or service, pricing should be relatively higher.
Comparisons to the alternatives
presented in your competitive analysis are helpful here, so
collect good data on pricing for
competing products or services. Summarize the logic behind
your pricing in your assumptions.
Expenses
Like revenues, expenses may also be approximated in multiple
ways. You can obtain data on
actual rent costs where you plan to locate, for example, or on
average salaries for the types of
employees you would need to hire. In addition, you can draw on
industry averages or actual
expenditures of similar businesses to estimate certain expense
categories.
To estimate cost of goods sold, you may be able to determine
what it would cost to purchase or
produce your product or service.6 You can get quotes from
suppliers, or ask those purchasing
similar products what they pay. You can also look at gross
margins for similar alternatives.
Industry averages or comparisons may also be helpful. Again,
try several different methods and
arrive at a reasonable figure, making adjustments for your
particular concept. Document your
reasoning in your assumptions.
6For entrepreneurs, the lower risks and capital requi rements of
buying a product from a supplier or outsourcing
production to a contract manufacturer generally outweigh the
advantages of in-house production. Depending on your
business, you may be able to start with small-batch production
in-house. But when ramping up your operations,
consider the implications of doing it yourself: investments you
would need to make in equipment and facilities, and
the capital requirements, as well as other considerations such as
human resources and compliance issues. Having
control, and the ability to leverage fixed costs and increase
margins, can be attractive, but you also want some
flexibility as you establish your product and test the market.
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A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers
BAB466- November 2018
9
For SG&A costs, you can use comparables or consult experts.
Be careful not to underestimate
how much it will cost to attract and convince customers, even
beyond ramp-up. You are just
starting out, and people may not be aware of, or think they
need, your concept. They may be
happy with competing alternatives, and there may be costs
associated with switching to your
solution, such as a learning curve, complementary products, or
network effects.
Triangulate, Triangulate, Triangulate
In building your income statement, it is useful to try multiple
ways to estimate both revenues
and expenses and see how they compare. You may find that the
various methods reveal different
results. In this case, revisit your assumptions and seek
additional evidence to revise your
numbers. You can make adjustments to your results until the
methods triangulate. When they
do, you have stronger support for your projections.
You can take into consideration whether one method might be
more accurate for your purposes
than others, depending on the nature of your business and the
availability of relevant
information. At the same time, you may find it helpful to
combine the most useful aspects of
different approaches. Remember, there is a high level of
uncertainty associated with estimating
revenues and expenses at this point. While acknowledging this,
you want nonetheless to project
confidence that you have thought about what drives your
numbers and that you have evidence to
support your assumptions.
Additionally, beware the tendency to overestimate revenues
and/or underestimate expenses.
Entrepreneurs are inherently optimistic — some would say
naïve — when it comes to estimating
sales, the speed at which sales ramp up, and the level of
expenses required to generate projected
sales. Investors and other sophisticated stakeholders will see
right through this. Make informed
assumptions and back these up with sound evidence.
Startup Costs
The startup phase includes three additional considerations
relative to the financial picture. First,
what startup costs will you incur, and how many months will
you be spending money before
generating sales? Second, what would the sales ramp-up time
look like? Third, how long will it
take …
Content1.1Cash flow1.2Cash
flow2.1Annuity2.2Annuity2.3Annuity3.1NPV Using Constant
Discounting 3.2NPV Using Constant Discounting 4.1NPV Using
General Discounting 4.2NPV Using General Discounting
5.1Loan Amortization 5.2Loan Amortization 9.1Firm and
project Val9.7Firm and project Val15.1Break Even
Analysis15.2Break Even Analysis
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
&1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General
Use
Sheet1Location EvaluationCriteriaKhobar suopr foam car wach
population density (15)15purshusing power and social class
(10)8possibility of obtaining licenses (5)5transferring materials
to the site (5)3clossness to vital places (5)5labor
accommedation (10)10easy access (10)10capacity (10)10rent
(10)9compititors (10)8total (90)83Foundation expensesqtyunit
pricetotaltransfer kfala fees19200038,000.00 [$....-401]visa
and imgration 19175033,250.00 [$....-
401]waterpumps4550022,000.00 [$....-401]water hose
75003,500.00 [$....-401]air compressor2600012,000.00
[$....-401]steam machine 12700027,000.00 [$....-401]car
vacuum 4350014,000.00 [$....-401]washing tools and supplies
150005,000.00 [$....-401]logo and sinages12600026,000.00
[$....-401]decorations16000060,000.00 [$....-401]rent for 6
month 0.510000050,000.00 [$....-401]labor accomodation
11000010,000.00 [$....-401]other25,000.00 [$....-401]needed
capital325,750.00 [$....-401]Operational
ExpensesColumn1monthly yearly
salary44300531600advertismnets7008400stationary
1001200food expenses160019200transportation 6007200safty
equipments2002400rent833399996internet5006000hospitality
1001200electriciety 200024000water300036000medical
5006000maintenance7008400commission 5006000tools
5006000extra labor120014400total64833777996Labor
costsjobqtypositionskillnationalty salry ministiry of labor
feesmonthly for 1total monthtotal yearmanager1Aexelantsaudi
400004000400048000supervisor 1Bvery goodindian
16009002500250030000labor18Cgoodbangladishi120090021003
7800453600‫يلامجالا‬
201800860044300531600IncomColumn1car per day avreg
incom per cardaily incommonthly incom yearly incom year
16035210063000756000year 27035245073500882000year
380403200960001152000year 4904036001080001296000year
51004040001200001440000ResultesColumn1Column2monthly
yearly Column3year
1incom63000756000cost64833777996result-1833-21996-
6.75%year
2incom73500882000cost64833777996result866710400431.93%y
ear
3incom960001152000cost64833777996result31167374004114.8
1%year
4incom1080001296000cost64833777996result43167518004159.
02%year
5incom1200001440000cost64833777996result55167662004203.
22%
1.1SINGLE CASH FLOWPresent ValueInputsSingle Cash
Flow$1,000.0020Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of
Periods55Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash
FlowsPresent Value $747.26Present Value using the
FormulaPresent Value$747.26Present Value using the PV
FunctionPresent Value$747.26
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
&1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General
Use
Single Cash Flow - Present Value
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 Present Value 0
1 2 3 4 5 747.25817286605684
Period
1.2SINGLE CASH FLOWFuture ValueInputsSingle Cash
Flow$747.2614Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of
Periods55Future Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows$747.26Future Value $1,000.00Future Value using the
FormulaFuture Value$1,000.00Future Value using the FV
FunctionFuture Value$1,000.00
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
&1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General
Use
Single Cash Flow - Future Value
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 747.26 Future
Value 0 1 2 3 4 5 1000.0024451173764
Period
2.1ANNUITYPresent Value InputsPayment$80.008Discount
Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Present
Value$336.996Annuity Present Value using a Time
LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Present Value of
Each Cash Flow$75.47$71.20$67.17$63.37$59.78Present
Value$336.99Annuity Present Value using the FormulaPresent
Value$336.99Annuity Present Value using the PV
FunctionPresent Value$336.99
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
Annuity
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80
80 80 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2
3 4 5 75.471698113207538
71.199715201139185 67.169542642584133
63.367493059041635 59.780653829284553
Period
2.2ANNUITYFuture ValueInputsPayment$80.008Discount Rate
/ Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Annuity Future Value using
a Time LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Future Value of Each
Cash Flow$101.00$95.28$89.89$84.80$80.00Future
Value$450.97Annuity Future Value using the FormulaFuture
Value$450.97Annuity Future Value using the FV
FunctionFuture Value$450.97
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
Annuity
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80
80 Future Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3
4 5 100.99815680000003 95.281280000000024
89.888000000000005 84.800000000000011 80
Period
2.3ANNUITYSystem of Four Annuity
VariablesInputsPayment$80.008Discount Rate /
Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Present
Value$336.996Annuity Present Value using a Time
LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Present Value of
Each Cash FlowPresent ValueAnnuity Present Value using the
FormulaPresent ValueAnnuity Present Value using the PV
FunctionPresent ValuePaymentPayment using the
Formula$80.00Payment using the PMT Function$80.00Discount
Rate / PeriodDiscount Rate / Per using the RATE
Func6.0%Number of PeriodsNum of Periods using the NPER
Function5
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
Annuity
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80
80 80 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2
3 4 5
Period
3.1 - 3.2NPV USING CONSTANT DISCOUNTINGNominal and
Real Rates(in thousands of $)InputsInflation Rate3.0%3Real
Discount Rate4.854%4OutputsNominal Discount Rate8.0%Net
Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows($100.00)$21.00$34.00$40.00$33.00$17.001023431Presen
t Value of Each Cash
Flow($100.00)$19.44$29.15$31.75$24.26$11.57Net Present
Value$16.17Net Present Value using the NPV FunctionNet
Present Value$16.17
&"Arial"&10&K000000&1#
NPV Using Constant Discounting
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 21 34 40
33 17 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2
3 4 5 -100 19.444512860323027
29.149725017594321 31.753624816778299
24.256326525817492 11.570117896511826
Period
4.1 - 4.2NPV USING GENERAL DISCOUNTINGNominal and
Real Rates(in thousands of $)0InputsPeriod012345Add to All
PeriodsInflation Rate3.0%2.8%2.5%2.2%2.0%0.0%222225Real
Discount
Rate4.854%4.669%4.683%4.697%4.902%0.0%444445OutputsPe
riod012345Nominal Discount Rate8.0%7.6%7.3%7. 0%7.0%Net
Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash
Flows($100.00)$21.00$34.00$40.00$33.00$17.001023431Cumul
ative Discount Factor0.0%8.0%16.2%24.7%33.4%42.8%Present
Value of Each Cash
Flow($100.00)$19.44$29.26$32.08$24.73$11.91Net Present
Value$17.42
NPV Using General Discounting
Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 21 34 40
33 17 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2
3 4 5 -100 19.444512860323027
29.258058235727582 32.079423041604514
24.734057380908478 11.908207824613447
Period
5.1 - 5.2LOAN AMORTIZATIONBasics and Sensitivity
AnalysisInputsPresent value$300,00030Interest rate /
year8.00%8Number of
years3030OutputsYear1234567891011121314151617181920212
2232425262728293031Beg. Principal
Balance$300,000$297,352$294,492$291,403$288,067$284,464$
280,573$276,370$271,832$266,930$261,636$255,919$249,744$
243,076$235,873$228,095$219,694$210,622$200,823$190,241$
178,812$166,469$153,138$138,741$123,192$106,399$88,262$6
8,675$47,521$24,674Payment$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2
6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2
6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2
6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2
6,648$26,648Interest
Component$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312$23,045$22,757$22,
446$22,110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474$19,980$19,446$18,
870$18,248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219$14,305$13,317$12,
251$11,099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,802$1,974Principal
Component$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,53
9$4,902$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9
,798$10,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18,
136$19,587$21,154$22,847$24,674Data Table: Sensitivity of
the Interest Component to the Interest Rate / YearInput Values
forOutput Formula: Interest ComponentInterest rate /
year$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312$23,045$22,757$22,446$22,
110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474$19,980$19,446$18,870$18,
248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219$14,305$13,317$12,251$11,
099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,802$1,9747.00%$21,000$20,7
78$20,540$20,285$20,013$19,722$19,410$19,076$18,719$18,3
37$17,928$17,491$17,023$16,522$15,987$15,413$14,800$14,1
44$13,442$12,690$11,886$11,026$10,105$9,120$8,066$6,939$
5,732$4,441$3,060$1,5828.00%$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312
$23,045$22,757$22,446$22,110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474
$19,980$19,446$18,870$18,248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219
$14,305$13,317$12,251$11,099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,80
2$1,974Data Table: Sensitivity of the Principal Component to
the Interest Rate / YearInput Values forOutput Formula:
Principal ComponentInterest rate /
year$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,539$4,90
2$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9,798$1
0,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18,136$1
9,587$21,154$22,847$24,6747.00%$3,176$3,398$3,636$3,891$
4,163$4,454$4,766$5,100$5,457$5,839$6,248$6,685$7,153$7,6
53$8,189$8,762$9,376$10,032$10,734$11,486$12,290$13,150$
14,071$15,056$16,109$17,237$18,444$19,735$21,116$22,5948.
00%$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,539$4,90
2$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9,798$1
0,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18,136$1
9,587$21,154$22,847$24,674
Principal And Interest Payments Over Time
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30 31 21000.000000000004
20777.685526266669 20539.809039372001
20285.281198394707 20012.936408548998
19721.527483414095 19409.719933519744
19076.085855132791 18719.097391258754
18337.119734913533 17928.403642624144
17491.0774238745 17023.138369812379
16522.443581965908 15986.700158970189
15413.454696364766 14800.082051376965
14143.773321240018 13441.522979993482
12690.115114859693 11886.108699166536
11025.821834374858 10105.314889047764
9120.3724575477718 8066.4840558427804
6938.8234660184407 5732.2266349063966
4441.1680256165091 3059.73531367633
1581.6023119003378 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
3175.9210533333535 3398.2355270666885
3636.1120139613558 3890.6398549386504
4162.9846447843593 4454.3935699192625
4766.2011198136133 5099.8351982005661
5456.8236620746029 5838.8013184198244
6247.5174107092134 6684.8436294588573
7152.782683520978 7653.4774713674487
8189.2208943631686 8762.4663569685908
9375.8390019563922 10032.147732093339
10734.398073339875 11485.805938473664
12289.812354166821 13150.099218958499
14070.606164285593 15055.548595785585
16109.436997490577 17237.097587314915
18443.69441842696 19734.753027716848
21116.185739657027 22594.31874143302 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31 24000 23788.141598705464
23559.334525307368 23312.222886037423
23045.34231562588 22757.111299581415
22445.821802253395 22109.62914513913
21746.541075455723 21354.405960197644
20930.900035718922 20473.5136372819
19979.536326969919 19446.040831832976
18869.865697085079 18247.596551557352
17575.545874387404 16849.73114304386
16065.851233192834 15219.260930553726
14304.94340370349 13317.480474705233
12251.020511387116 11099.243751003551
9855.3248497893001 8511.8924364779086
7060.9854301016057 5494.0058632151995
3801.6679309778801 1973.9429641615754 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31 2648.2300161816893
2860.088417476225 3088.8954908743217
3336.0071301442658 3602.8877005558097
3891.1187166002746 4202.4082139282946
4538.6008710425594 4901.6889407259659
5293.8240559840451 5717.3299804627677
6174.7163788997896 6668.6936892117701
7202.1891843487138 7778.3643190966104
8400.6334646243376 9072.6841417942851
9798.4988731378289 10582.378782988855
11428.969085627963 12343.286612478199
13330.749541476456 14397.209504794573
15548.986265178139 16792.905166392389
18136.337579703781 19587.244586080084
21154.22415296649 22846.562085203808
24674.287052020114
Time (Years)
Principal And Interest Components
Loan Amortization
Payment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
24 25 26 27 28 29 30 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689
26648.230016181689 Interest Component 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 24000 23788.141598705464
23559.334525307368 23312.222886037423
23045.34231562588 22757.111299581415
22445.821802253395 22109.62914513913
21746.541075455723 21354.405960197644
20930.900035718922 20473.5136372819
19979.536326969919 19446.040831832976
18869.865697085079 18247.596551557352
17575.545874387404 16849.73114304386
16065.851233192834 15219.260930553726
14304.94340370349 13317.480474705233
12251.020511387116 11099.243751003551
9855.3248497893001 8511.8924364779086
7060.9854301016057 5494.0058632151995
3801.6679309778801 1973.9429641615754
Principal Component 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
2648.2300161816893 2860.088417476225
3088.8954908743217 3336.0071301442658
3602.8877005558097 3891.1187166002746
4202.4082139282946 4538.6008710425594
4901.6889407259659 5293.8240559840451
5717.3299804627677 6174.7163788997896
6668.6936892117701 7202.1891843487138
7778.3643190966104 8400.6334646243376
9072.6841417942851 9798.4988731378289
10582.378782988855 11428.969085627963
12343.286612478199 13330.749541476456
14397.209504794573 15548.986265178139
16792.905166392389 18136.337579703781
19587.244586080084 21154.22415296649
22846.562085203808 24674.287052020114
Year
9.1-9.7FIRM AND PROJECT VALUATIONFive Equivalent
MethodsInputsValuation Object1Date 0 Proj Investment or Firm
Cap$800.0050Tax Rate40.0%40Unlevered Cost of Equity
Capital10.0%100Riskfree Rate=Cost of Riskfree
Debt3.0%30Infinte Horizon Growth Rate5.0%50Include Infinite
Horizon?1Cash Flows2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin
HorizDate0123456Revenues$650.00$690.00$720.00$755.00$77
5.00$840.00505050505055Expenses$410.00$435.00$445.00$47
0.00$470.00$475.00505050505050Gross
EarningsDepreciation$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.0050
5050505050Earnings Bef Interest & Tax (EBIT)Interest
ExpenseEarnings Before TaxTaxesEarningsAdd Back
DepreciationCash Flow from OperationsNew Invest in Plant and
Equipment($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)505050505
0After-Tax Salvage Value$0.0050New Invest in Working
Capital($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)50505
0505050Cash Flows from InvestmentsNew Borrowing
(Repayment)$5.00$5.00$5.00$5.00$5.005050505050Free Cash
Flow to Equity (FCFE)= DividendsInterestLess New Borrowing
(Repayment)Cash Flow to Debtholders (CFD)Tax Shield
BenefitFree Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Alternative Way to
get FCFFEarningsAfter-tax Interest ExpenseNet Oper. Profit
After Tax (NOPAT)DepreciationCash Flows from
InvestmentsFree Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Debt
(D)$250.0050Book Value of EquityTotal CapitalEconomic
ProfitNet Oper. Profit After Tax (NOPAT)Capital
ChargeEconomic Profit(1.) Adjusted Present Value (APV)2nd
Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Free
Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Value of the Unlevered FirmTax
Shield BenefitValue of the Tax Shield BenefitValue of the Firm
(APV Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm (APV
Method)(2) Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)2nd Stage:First
Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Debt + Equity
(D+E)Equity (E)Levered Cost of Equity CapitalFree Cash Flow
to Equity (FCFE)Value of Equity (E)Value of Debt (D)Value of
the Firm (FCFE Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by
Firm (FCFE Method)(3) Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)2nd
Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Equity
Weight (E / (D+E))Debt Weight (D / (D+E))Cost of Firm
Capital (WACC)Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Value of the
Firm (FCFF Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm
(FCFF Method)(4) Dividend Discount Model (DDM)2nd
Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin
HorizYear0123456DividendValue of Equity (E)Value of Debt
(D)Value of the Firm (DDM Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue
Added by Firm (DDM Method)(5) Residual Income (RI)2nd
Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin
HorizYear0123456Economic ProfitEconomic Profit on Salvage
ValueValue of the Economic Profit+ Date 0 Book Value of the
FirmValue of the Firm (RI Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue
Added by Firm (RI Method)
(13) Free Cash Flow to Equity
Enter =C34 and copy across
Firm
Project
Valuation Object
Yes
No
Infinite Horizon
15.1BREAK-EVEN ANALYSISBased On Accounting
ProfitInputsFixed Costs$30,00030Sales Revenue /
Unit$6.006Variable Costs / Unit$4.004Calculate the Break-even
Point using the FormulaBreak-even Point (Unit
Sales)15,000Back solve for the Break-even Point using the
Income StatementUnit Sales15,000Sales
Revenue$90,000Variable Costs$60,000Gross
Margin$30,000Fixed Costs$30,000Accounting Profit$0Data
Table: Sensitivity of Costs, Revenues, and Acct. Profit to Unit
SalesInput Values for Unit SalesOutput
Formulas:05,00010,00015,00020,000Total
Costs$90,000$30,000$50,000$70,000$90,000$110,000Sales
Revenue$90,000$0$30,000$60,000$90,000$120,000Accounting
Profit$0($30,000)($20,000)($10,000)$0$10,000
Break-Even Point Based On Acct. Profit = 0
Total Costs 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 30000
50000 70000 90000 110000 Sales Revenue 0
5000 10000 15000 20000 0 30000 60000
90000 120000 Accounting Profit 0 5000 10000
15000 20000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0
10000
Unit Sales
15.2BREAK-EVEN ANALYSISBased On NPV(in thousands of
$)Year 0Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Key
AssumptionsSales Growth Rate55.0%40.0%25.0%5.0%-20.0%-
50.0%Change in Sales Growth Rate-15.0%-15.0%-20.0%-
25.0%-30.0%Inflation
Rate2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.0%4.0%Real Cost of
Capital11.0%11.2%11.4%11.6%11.8%12.0%12.2%Tax
Rate35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%DiscountingDis
count Rate = Cost of
Capital13.2%14.0%14.7%15.5%16.3%16.5%16.7%Cumulative
Discount
Factor0.0%13.2%29.0%48.1%71.0%98.9%131.6%170.3%Price
or Cost / UnitUnit Sales1,875290740705087534242732137Sales
Revenue /
Unit$9.70$9.94$10.24$10.60$11.02$11.46$11.92Variable Cost /
Unit$7.40$7.59$7.81$8.09$8.41$8.75$9.10Cash Fixed
Costs$5,280$5,412$5,574$5,769$6,000$6,240$6,490Cash Flow
ForecastsSales
Revenue$18,192$28,903$41,678$53,921$58,881$48,989$25,474
Variable
Costs$13,879$22,050$31,796$41,135$44,920$37,373$19,434Gr
oss
Margin$4,314$6,853$9,882$12,785$13,962$11,616$6,040Cash
Fixed
Costs$5,280$5,412$5,574$5,769$6,000$6,240$6,490Depreciatio
n$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421Total Fixed
Costs$6,701$6,833$6,996$7,191$7,422$7,662$7,911Operating
Profit($2,388)$20$2,887$5,594$6,540$3,954($1 ,871)Taxes($83
6)$7$1,010$1,958$2,289$1,384($655)Net
Profit($1,552)$13$1,876$3,636$4,251$2,570($1,216)Add Back
Depreciation$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421Ope
rating Cash
Flow($131)$1,434$3,298$5,058$5,672$3,992$205Investment in
Plant & Equip($11,350)$1,400Cash
Flows($11,350)($131)$1,434$3,298$5,058$5,672$3,992$1,605P
resent Value of Each Cash
Flow($11,350)($115)$1,111$2,227$2,957$2,852$1,723$594Net
Present Value($0)Data Table: Sensitivity of Net Present Value
to Year 1 Unit Sales and Year 2 Sales Growth
RateOutput Formula:Input Values for Year 1 Unit SalesNet
Present
Value($0)1,7001,9002,1002,30045.0%($6,767)($4,692)($2,618)
($543)Input Values for Year
250.0%($4,673)($2,352)($31)$2,290Sales Growth
Rate55.0%($2,283)$319$2,921$5,52360 .0%$442$3,365$6,288$
9,21065.0%$3,548$6,836$10,124$13,412
NPV Break-Even Contour (Based On NPV = 0) Across
Year 1 Unit Sales And Year 2 Sales Growth Rate
1,700 0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -
6767.0836670711742 -4672.9277187851812 -
2283.1385032181506 442.23187178181001
3547.5606264680082 1,900 0.45 0.5
0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -4692.4891514404444
-2351.9619151207999 318.97897286588602
3364.9811566893713 6835.6427060445294 2,100
0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -
2617.8946358097064 -30.996111456413871
2921.0964489499165 6287.7304415969229
10123.724785621049 2,300 0.45 0.5
0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -543.30012017896979
2289.9696922079647 5523.2139250339442
9210.4797265044799 13411.806865197566
Year 2 Sales Growth Rate
Net Present Value
Year 1 Unit Sales
NPV Break-Even
Contour
Super foam
car wash
A new concept for car wash
1
Content
* The idea
* The services
* Distinction
* Forecast
* Location study
* Man power
* Marketing plan
* Financial plan
The idea
Super foam is a car wash service center that is specialized in
providing interior and exterior car cleaning trying to offer a
high quality service for a reasonable rate.
1
Good location
2
Speed in service
3
The quality in service
4
growth in market
Forecast
The business will be initially financed by a personal investment
and will finance growth through cash flow. This will mean that
the company will grow more slowly than it could, but it will
ensure that retains control over the direction of the company.
In year three, it is hoped that the company will be able to open a
second location. It is envisioned that an outside loan or equity
funding will be sought at that time
The services
The following services will be offered:
• Water washing
• Steam washing
• Car polishing
• Carpet cleaning and detailing
Pricing services
Exterior washSmall car20Big car25Express wash Small
car40Big car50VIP wash Small car 60Big car70
distinction
Speed in service
The quality in service
growth in market
Market study
studying the potential market/ Demand Gap Through our
market observations and testing we find a demand gap >
available market capacity
Throughout the observations and conducted market survey, we
found the following:
Long waiting time.
Unsatisfied customers with the available service.
Lack of service quality.
Lack of some services like steam washing machines
Market study
The target customers are AlKHOBAR city and the surrounding
area resident
they have nice cars and want them to look nice, there are many
different local businesses that have company cars and that
require clean appearances. All of these potential customers
need a car wash that fits their needs and their budget. We will
happily fill that need.
Demographic segmentation : Middle to high income level
The location study
The project will be located in Al Khobar city
Alkhobar service area has a good advantage of serving
residents.
The service area has other competitors providing low service
locationLocation EvaluationCriteriaKhobar super foam car wash
population density (15)15purchasing power and social class
(10)8possibility of obtaining licenses (5)5transferring materials
to the site (5)3closeness to vital places (5)5labor
accommodation (10)10easy access (10)10capacity (10)10rent
(10)9compititors (10)8total (90)83
The marketing study Demand estimation
We estimated that the target customers owns 1.5 cars in
average.
We estimated the each customer will request the cleaning
service twice a month
Man power Labor costsjobqtypositionskillnationalty salry
ministiry of labor feesmonthly for 1total monthtotal
yearmanager1AexcellentSaudi .... 4,000.00 .... 0.00 ....
4,000.00 .... 4,000.00 .... 48,000.00 supervisor 1Bvery
goodindian .... 1,600.00 .... 900.00 .... 2,500.00 ....
2,500.00 .... 30,000.00 labor18CgoodBangladeshi....
1,200.00 .... 900.00 .... 2,100.00 .... 37,800.00 ....
453,600.00 ‫ايلامجال‬20.... 1,800.00 .... 8,600.00 ....
44,300.00 .... 531,600.00
Marketing plan
Full identity for the car wash
Advertising boards
Lighting panels
Discount ads- commercials
Ads on social media
Celebrity ads
ExpensesFoundation expensesqtyunit pricetotaltransfer kfala
fees192000 38,000.00 .... visa and immigration 191750
33,250.00 .... water pumps45500 22,000.00 .... water hose
7500 3,500.00 .... air compressor26000 12,000.00 ....
steam machine 127000 27,000.00 .... car vacuum 43500
14,000.00 .... washing tools and supplies 15000 5,000.00
.... logo and sinages126000 26,000.00 ....
decorations160000 60,000.00 .... rent for 6 month 0.5100000
50,000.00 .... labor accomodation 110000 10,000.00 ....
other 25,000.00 .... needed capital 325,750.00 ....
incomeColumn1car per day avreg incom per cardaily
incommonthly incom yearly incom Year 16035 $ 2,100.00
$ 63,000.00 $ 756,000.00 Year 27035 $ 2,450.00 $
73,500.00 $ 882,000.00 Year 38030 $ 2,400.00 $
72,000.00 $ 864,000.00 Year 49035 $ 3,150.00 $
94,500.00 $1,134,000.00 Year 510035 $ 3,500.00 $
105,000.00 $1,260,000.00
Thank you and visit us

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Project managementdocs.comfeasibility study templatethisCC

  • 1. ProjectManagementDocs.com Feasibility Study Template This Feasibility Study Template is free for you to copy and use on your project and within your organization. We hope that you find this template useful and welcome your comments. Public distribution of this document is only permitted from the Project Management Docs official website at: ProjectManagementDocs.com Feasibility Study <Project Name> Company Name Street Address City, State Zip Code Date Table of Contents 1.Executive Summary3 2.Description of Products and Services3
  • 2. 3.Technology Considerations4 4.Product/Service Marketplace4 5.Marketing Strategy5 6.Organization and Staffing6 7.Schedule6 8.Financial Projections7 9.Findings and Recommendations8 1. Executive Summary The executive summary provides an overview of the content contained in the feasibility study document. Many people write this section after the rest of the document is completed. This section is important in that it provides a higher level summary of the detail contained within the rest of the document. Alan’s Best Chocolates (ABC) is a leader in the sales of chocolates and confections throughout the United States. ABC’s products are sold from 50 stores throughout the country and maintain a reputation for superior taste and quality. While ABC’s sales have grown over the past 10 years, the rate of growth has slowed significantly. One key factor for this slowing growth rate is the shift in the marketplace to purchasing chocolates and confections online. While ABC maintains a web site, it is not capable of hosting an e-commerce platform for online sales. ABC’s sales occur only in its brick and mortar facilities and the company is losing potential customers to competitors who provide online sales. The chocolate and confections marketplace is healthy and shows a continued growth trajectory over the next five to ten years. ABC is in a position to capitalize on this online marketplace by leveraging existing technologies, industry best practices, and an aggressive marketing and sales campaign to ramp up the company’s growth projections for the foreseeable future.
  • 3. 2. Description of Products and Services This section provides a high level description of the products and/or services which are being considered as past of the feasibility study. The purpose of this section is to provide detailed descriptions of exactly what the organization is considering so this information can be applied to the following sections of the document. It is important that this description captures the most important aspects of the products and/or services that the organization is considering as well as how it may benefit customers and the organization. ABC is considering a move to create and provide an online platform from which to sell its existing product line. Until now ABC has only sold its products from its chain of brick and mortar facilities and has been limited to sales within the geographical regions where its stores reside. By doing so, ABC has not been able to capitalize on the growing trend of online sales within the chocolate and confections marketplace. By offering its products through an online platform, ABC can market its products to an entirely new market, increase revenue and growth projections, and allow customers to purchase our products from the convenience of their own homes. There are no proposed changes to ABC’s current product offerings as a result of this study. Online sales will include only current products and any changes to this product line must be considered outside of the purpose of this document. 3. Technology Considerations This section should explain any considerations the organization must make with regards to technology. Many new initiatives rely on technology to manage or monitor various business functions. New technology may be developed internally or contracted through a service provider and always result in costs which must be weighed in determining the path forward. Upgraded technological capability will be required for ABC to
  • 4. move toward offering an online marketplace from which customers may purchase our products. Customers demand a simple and easy way by which to conduct online transactions and it is imperative that all transactions are conducted in a secure manner. While ABC maintains a web site with product lists and descriptions, it does not currently allow for purchasing to be done online. This functionality must be integrated with our current web site to allow for secure purchases to be made. Additionally, new online marketing functionality must be considered in order to target existing and potential customers through methods such as e-mailing lists, promotional advertisements, and loyalty discounts. While ABC maintains a small information technology (IT) group, the expertise does not currently exist internally to design, build, and implement the sort of extensive online platform required for this effort. Therefore, the recommendation is to contract this work out to an internet marketplace provider who can work with ABC to meet its needs within the determined timeframe and budget. It should be noted that while ABC does not have this expertise internally, the technology exists and is in use throughout the marketplace which lowers the risk of this concept considerably. ABC currently maintains a high speed internet connection, web server, and the latest software. With the addition of an e- commerce portal it is expected that there will be an overall cost increase of 5-10% for web server operations and maintenance costs. 4. Product/Service Marketplace This section describes the existing marketplace for the products and/or services the organization is considering. It may describe who the target market consists of for these products or services, who the competitors are, how products will be distributed, and why customers might choose to buy our products/services. Most marketplaces are dynamic environments in which things
  • 5. change constantly. To enter a new marketplace blindly will usually result in an organization not fully understanding its role and not maximizing its resulting benefits. The online marketplace for chocolates and confections has been thriving for many years. In FY20xx online chocolate sales accounted for approximately $20 million or 20% of total chocolate sales worldwide. While chocolates and confections are available in almost every store, our primary marketplace consists of specialty chocolates and confections. All of ABC’s current major competitors already have an established online presence of at least 3-5 years. The top 3 competitors are currently: Smith’s Chocolates, Worldwide Candy, and Chocolate International. A large majority of ABC’s customer base are returning customers and referrals from existing customers. By providing a more convenient means of purchasing our products online it is expected that we will retain these customers while conducting an online marketing campaign for new customers as well. ABC will distribute online purchases via direct shipping from the nearest store location. This will allow ABC to provide timely shipping and eliminate the need for a central warehouse or facility from which to store and ship its products. Such a facility would require a significant capital investment as well as increased operation and maintenance costs. However, based on anticipated growth projections, ABC must ensure that all store locations maintain adequate inventories on hand to satisfy customer demand. 5. Marketing Strategy This section provides a high level description of how the organization will market its product or service. Some topics which should be included are: how does an organization differentiate itself from its competitors; types of marketing the organization will utilize; and who the organization will target. Marketing efforts must be focused on the right target groups in
  • 6. order to yield the greatest return on investment. In order to be successful, ABC must differentiate itself from competitors in order to appeal to customers in the online marketplace. To do this, ABC will utilize its practice of personalizing its product packaging which it currently offers in- store customers. Current competitors do not currently provide any personalization of packaging. Customers will have the ability to personalize messages on or inside of product packaging, request specific color-based themes, or tailor packaging for special occasions or events. ABC will implement a customer e mailing list in order to send product promotions, sales advertisements, and other special offerings to customers who register. Additionally, ABC will offer referral incentives to customers who refer our products to friends and family in order to provide additional incentives. ABC will also maintain a customer database in order to determine its target customer groups and geographical regions. ABC will research marketing intelligence providers to determine the benefits and costs of purchasing customer information for bulk email campaigns as well. Another important consideration of ABC’s online marketing strategy is cost. Electronic marketing communication costs are very small in comparison to direct mail marketing which ABC currently utilizes. However, we expect the additional revenue from online sales to greatly outweigh these additional electronic marketing costs. It is important to note that ABC’s current marketing and sales staff will require training in online marketing and sales practices. This training will need to be contracted to a training provider as part of our startup costs and schedule. 6. Organization and Staffing With many new products or services there may be a need for additional staffing or for an organization to restructure in order
  • 7. to accommodate the change. These are important considerations as they may result in increased costs or require an organization to change its practices and processes. The ABC online sales campaign is not anticipated to significantly affect the organizational structure of the company. There are, however, several staffing additions required to successfully implement the online sales campaign. All of these positions will work within existing departments and report to department managers. Staffing Position #1: Online Sales Manager – this full time position will lead sales staff in identifying sales opportunities and converting these opportunities to actual sales. This person will report to ABC’s Director of Sales and will work in ABC headquarters. Staffing Position #2: Online Marketing Manager – this full time position will lead marketing staff in identifying target customer groups/markets and conducting online advertising/marketing efforts to maximize traffic to ABCs online marketplace. This person will report to ABC’s Director of Marketing and will work in ABC headquarters. 7. Schedule This section is intended to provide a high level framework for implementation of the product or service being considered. This section is not intended to include a detailed schedule as this would be developed during project planning should this initiative be approved. This section may include some targeted milestones and timeframes for completion as a guideline only. The ABC online sales campaign is expected to take six months from project approval to launch of the e-commerce platform. Many of the foundations for this platform, such as high-speed internet and web server capability, are already available. The following is a high level schedule of some significant
  • 8. milestones for this initiative: Jan 1, 20xx: Initiate Project February 1, 20 xx: Project kickoff meeting March 1, 20 xx: Complete online sales site design April 1, 20 xx: Complete testing of online sales site June 1, 20 xx: Complete beta testing trials of online sales site July 2, 20 xx: Go live with site launch Upon approval of this project a detailed schedule will be created by the assigned project team to include all tasks and deliverables. 8. Financial Projections This section provides a description of the financial projections the new initiative is expected to yield versus additional costs. Financial projections are one key aspect of new project selection criteria. There are many ways to present these projections. Net present value (NPV), cost-benefit calculations, and balance sheets are just some examples of how financial projections may be illustrated. This section should also provide the assumptions on which the illustrated financial projections are based. The financial projections for the addition of an online sales platform for ABC are highlighted in the table below. These figures account for projected online sales, additional staffing requirements, shipping, material, and insurance costs, contract support for IT and training needs, and web server and hosting costs. The assumptions for these projections are as follows: · In store sales projections remain unchanged · All milestones are performed in accordance with the schedule · All transactions are closed yearly with no carry-over to subsequent years
  • 9. 9. Findings and Recommendations This section should summarize the findings of the feasibility study and explain why this course of action is or is not recommended. This section may include a description of pros and cons for the initiative being considered. This section should be brief since most of the detail is included elsewhere in the document. Additionally, it should capture the likelihood of success for the business idea being studied. Based on the information presented in this feasibility study, it is recommended that ABC approves the online sales initiative and begins project initiation. The findings of this feasibility study show that this initiative will be highly beneficial to the organization and has a high probability of success. Key findings are as follows: Technology: · Will utilize existing technology which lowers project risk · Ecommerce infrastructure will be contracted out to vendor which allows ABC to share risk · Once in place this technology is simple to operate and maintain for a relatively low cost Marketing: · This initiative will allow ABC to reach large number of target groups electronically at a low cost · ABC can expand customer base beyond geographic areas where stores are currently located · The marketplace for online chocolate and confection sales is in a steady state of growth · ABC is able to differentiate itself from its competitors and will utilize incentive programs to target new consumers Organizational:
  • 10. · Minimal increases to staffing are required with no changes to organizational structure · No new facilities or capital investments are required Financial: · Break even point occurs early in the second year of operation · Five year projections show online sales accounting for 25% of total sales · ABC will be in position to capture greater market share by maintaining both an in-store and online presence This free Project Management Plan Template is brought to you by ProjectManagementDocs.com 2 Measure Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 55 year total Online Sales Projections $350,000$425,000$500,000$650,000$800,000$2,725,000 Additional Staffing Costs $160,000$170,000$200,000$235,000$255,000$1,020,000 Projected Material, Shipping, Insurance Costs $42,000$58,000$70,000$78,000$84,000$332,000 Additional Web Server and IT Hosting/Maintenance $22,000$25,000$30,000$35,000$40,000$152,000 Training for Sales and Marketing Staff $75,000$0$0$0$0$75,000 Contract for Design, Build, and Implementation of Online Store $100,000$0$0$0$0$100,000 Total Additional Costs for Online Sales $399,000$253,000$300,000$348,000$379,000$1,679,000 Cash Inflow - $49,000.00$172,000.00$200,000.00$302,000.00$421,000.00$1, 046,000.00
  • 11. This case was prepared by Donna Kelley, Professor of Entrepreneurship at Babson College. It was developed as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. It is not intended to serve as an endorsement, source of primary data or illustration of effective or ineffective management. Copyright © 2018 Babson College and licensed for publication to Harvard Business Publishing. All rights reserved. No part of this publication can be reproduced, stored or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written permission of Babson College. BAB466 / NOVEMBER 2018 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneurs Donna Kelley, Babson College1 November 2018 The creation of financial projections in the feasibility stage of entrepreneurship can help you think about the financial consequences of the work you have done so far to develop your opportunity. Projections are useful for anticipating cash needs and when you will need to secure financing. They can also help you determine whether the business model is viable and potentially profitable, whether effort and money should be invested in developing it further, and
  • 12. which aspects may need to be rethought. The financials that are common in the business world are those that track past performance. With these statements, if we know past performance, we can better predict future performance. For a prospective business that has not previously existed, on the other hand, preparing financial statements is much more difficult. There is no past history to build on, there are no real numbers to start with, and it is not certain how the venture will materialize. It is not likely the numbers will be correct, so why do this? The main reasons for creating financials fall into internal and external arguments: 1. Your numbers reflect your positioning and business model. They can inform you about the viability of your business and help you determine whether and how to move forward. While some numbers are likely to be wrong, your initial approach to the business is also likely to be wrong in some aspects. If these numbers can help put you on a more viable path (sooner rather than later), this information is undeniably valuable. 2. Investors and other stakeholders will want to understand the viability of your business and how you intend to pursue the opportunity. They want to know that you have thought through the economic representation of your business model and that you have done your homework in crafting logical financials. While most
  • 13. sophisticated investors and 1 The author would like to acknowledge Janice Bell, Professor Emeritus of Accounting, Babson College, for her constructive comments on an early draft of this note. Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 2 other experts often believe entrepreneurs are overly optimistic
  • 14. with financial projections, they also want to see how ambitious you are in your thinking about launching the business. Most business people have at least a basic understanding of financial statements, but creating them from scratch is a difficult task. The complexity of the exercise increases when entrepreneurs feel they need to create detailed, comprehensive statements with items such as unearned revenue, prepaid rent, and allocated overhead. Don’ t do this. Start simple, at least for the first pass. Get the basics down and, more importantly, understand the relationships between the numbers on the statements and how they link to your business model. Using Templates A template can serve as an easy solution for an entrepreneur who does not have substantial finance expertise and has little time to devote to this task. Working with a template can be better than ending up with no financials at all, or with poorly constructed ones. However, be aware of the limitations. First, plugging in numbers and having the statements generate on their own can limit your understanding of the relationships between elements within and across the different statements. In addition, you want to have in-depth knowledge of your financials when dealing with sophisticated investors and other financially savvy stakeholders. In many ways, templates can
  • 15. help you do this. However, you need to understand the reasoning behind your inputs to the statements and what the results tell you. Similarly, if you have a team member with financial expertise or an accountant working with you on this, make sure you know the numbers and their implications. Second, every business is unique, and generic templates are often limited in their ability to help specific types of business, or they are overly complex in an attempt to be relevant to all businesses. A similar issue arises with adapting financials from an established company in your industry. This latter exercise is very useful and will be discussed later in this note. But financials from an ongoing business may have more detail than you need to consider early on. Also, adapting financials needs to be done with careful consideration of the startup context and how your business differs. With regard to templates, if you can find a template that serves your industry well, and if these templates allow for adaptation to your unique business model, this can be very helpful, especially in establishing a base-level set of financials. This note will guide you through the process of building basic financials that reflect the approach of your prospective business. This will provide a foundation for you to evaluate the viability of, and make changes to, the business model, and communicate the opportunity to key stakeholders. This early set of financials can then serve as a launching pad for identifying metrics and for ongoing assessment of the venture startup and
  • 16. growth process. Understanding the Relationship Between the Three Statements Let’s first take a basic look at the financial statements and their interrelationships. Each serves a critical role in exhibiting particular dimensions of your business. The income statement tells you about the profitability of your business, while your cash flow statement indicates how cash will Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 3
  • 17. flow into and out of the business (like a checking account register). The balance sheet shows assets and liabilities and, by subtracting the liabilities from the assets, it reflects your equity in the business. Here is an oversimplified example, meant to illustrate in very basic terms the differences, and relationships, between the three statements. Let’s assume you decide to start a business called Orthopawdic, selling orthopedic dog beds. Month 1: You paid your supplier for your first shipment of 10 dog beds at $50 each. Your grandmother gave you a loan of $500 to cover this inventory. Your statements would look like this below. Look at these for a few minutes before you read further. Think about the activities that have taken place and how they are represented in the numbers below. Income Statement Cash Flows Balance Sheet Month 1 Month 1 Month 1 Revenues 0 Operating activities -500 Accounts Receivable less: COGS2 0 Investing activities Inventory 500 Gross Margin 0 Financing activities 500 Total Assets 500 Net Cash Flow 0 less: SG&A3 0 Beginning balance 0 Liabilities 500 Net Income 0 Ending balance 0 Equity Total Liabilities and
  • 18. Equity 500 You’ve probably noticed a few things: 1. There is a lot of cash and product changing hands, but no sales, so the income statement shows nothing (for simplicity, we’re assuming no SG&A). 2. On the cash flow statement, the cash paid for the inventory is reflected in operating activities. The money from Grandma shows up in financing activities on the balance sheet. You now have inventory, which is an asset that will create value when you sell it. But you owe Grandma $500, and that shows up as a liability on the other side, balancing out the statement. Month 2: Congratulations! You made your first sale. Kiki has bought a bed for $125 for her dog Max and will pay you next month. Your statements below reflect this month’s activities. Again, look at this before you read further, and think about how this month’s activities are reflected in the three statements, especially compared to the first month. What has changed? 2 Cost of Goods Sold
  • 19. 3 Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 4 Income Statement Cash Flows Balance Sheet Month 2 Month 2 Month 2 Revenues 125 Operating activities 0 Accounts Receivable 125 less: COGS 50 Investing activities Inventory 450 Gross Margin 75 Financing activities 0 Total Assets 575 Net Cash Flow 0
  • 20. less: SG&A 0 Beginning balance 0 Liabilities 500 Net Income 75 Ending balance 0 Equity 75 Total Liabilities and Equity 575 Some observations you’ve made probably include the following: 1. You’ve made a sale, so the income statement shows revenue. One dog bed comes out of inventory and goes into COGS on the income statement. You’ll notice that inventory on the balance sheet is now $450. 2. You’ve also made a profit of $75 (the amount that Kiki paid, less the cost of the bed) which shows up in the income statement as net income and also in equity on the balance sheet. Essentially, you’ve added $75 of value to the business. 3. You’ll notice that no cash changed hands. Kiki will not pay you until next month, and you already paid for the inventory last month. So the $125 sale is recorded as an account receivable on the balance sheet, and there is no activity recorded on the cash flow statement. Now, before reading further, recall the purpose of each of the three financial statements. What does each tell you about your business?
  • 21. The income statement tracks your business activities (regardless of the flow of cash). There are two main categories of expenses: (1) COGS is tied to sales. So when Orthopawdic made a sale to Kiki, one bed came out of inventory and went into COGS;4 (2) SG&A are expensed in the period in which they are incurred; they are not costs associated with a particular sale. If, for example, Orthopawdic did some advertising in Month 1, that expense would go under SG&A. Your income statement thus tells you about the flow of business activities and whether the enterprise can be profitable. It should reflect your business model. For example, if you are introducing an innovative or otherwise highly differentiated product, you should expect higher margins, particularly to cover expenses associated with communicating its unique advantages, and perhaps other costs like product development. With this example, you will likely project losses for the first year or more, given that you are incurring expenses such as marketing and product development5 that you expect will generate substantial future sales. 4 Notice how the dog bed went from being classified as an asset on the balance sheet, to an expense on the income statement. Before it was sold, the bed was sitting in inventory, offering future economic value for your business. That value was created when the bed was sold, and it then became an expense (COGS) associated with the revenue generated on the income statement. 5 R&D/product development costs are expensed when incurred, under SG&A on the income statement. If you have a patent, however, the cost associated with applying for, or
  • 22. acquiring, the patent will become an asset on the balance sheet that is expensed over time on the income statement (as amortization). Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entreprene uers BAB466- November 2018 5 The cash flow statement tracks your flow of cash. Cash flows fall into three categories: 1. Operations: actual cash received and paid out for items on the income statement.
  • 23. 2. Investing: assets that go on the balance sheet. For example, equipment, property, or temporary investments in stocks of other companies. 3. Financing: money that comes in or is paid out to finance the business, whether debt or equity. This includes dividends, but interest is typically an operating cash flow. You may already recognize the importance of the cash flow statement for entrepreneurs, particularly when considering that what happens in the income statement does not necessarily match what’s going on relative to cash flows. You can be hugely profitable but cash poor; cash flow projections can therefore help you determine when you will be short on funds. The balance sheet essentially shows the asset base you are leveraging and the capitalization of your business. It can provide a lens into how you are building and managing your asset base, and how you are choosing to finance your business. While the income statement is a financial representation of the business activities that have taken place over time, and the cash flow statement reflects cash flows over a period, the balance sheet is unique in providing a snapshot of your financial picture. The balance sheet is akin to a still photo, while the income statement and cash flow statement are like videos. Making Informed Assumptions Given the high uncertainty characterizing the early stages of
  • 24. planning a venture, financial projections are often seen as unreliable, like pulling numbers out of thin air. What is more important than arriving at precise figures, however, is the set of assumptions and reasoning applied to derive the numbers. There are three basic sources you can use to determine your inputs to the financials: 1. Published (secondary) sources. These are cheap and plentiful. You can access a range of information such as company and industry data, trade and business information, media articles and so forth. Secondary data is compiled for a particular purpose, not all of which is relevant to your needs. And what is relevant often needs to be adapted somehow. The overall challenge is to sort through all of this, and to figure out what applies to your business and how. Be selective in what you use to support your numbers and the reasoning you use in applying this data to your business. Then, continue your search through the vast amount of information out there, and incorporate new information into your financials as they evolve. 2. Advice and feedback from experts or customers you contact. It is increasingly critical to talk to people about your business and use their feedback to adjust your approach. You will impress your audience when you show evidence of having reached out to experts and
  • 25. customers. 3. Results of experiments and primary research you conduct. This will surely wow an investor or other interested party—stating that you stood at an intersection for two hours Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 6 at a time over each day of the week for one week and counted
  • 26. how many cyclists there were, and how many wore helmets. Or, you rented a table at a farmer’s market, and 50% of the people who stopped in front of your table bought your brownies. When using any of these sources, make sure you sound as objective as possible. Avoid biased information, like saying you told 50 people about your new cat- tracking device and 90% said they loved it, even if they didn’t have a cat. Seeing how passionate you are, or neither understanding it nor feeling invested in what you’re doing, they may just say what you want to hear. Think deeply about how you can gather and present information in the most objective way. For example, you talked with 60 men and women aged 45-65 in the Boston area, and 30% are currently members of a health club, but of these, half have not visited their club at all in the prior two weeks. In the early stages of building an opportunity, particularly an innovative one, actual behavior is much more reliable than expressed intentions. Your numbers may represent a guess, an informed estimate, or an exact number. As you move forward with your business, you’ll have some exact numbers (financing raised, sales orders received, marketing costs incurred). In the beginning, it may seem that you have mostly guesses. Nonetheless, you want to move quickly toward informed estimates. Continually refine your numbers as you collect more information and steer your venture
  • 27. onto more viable paths. Keep a running list of the sources used to develop your assumptions and any interpretation you applied. These increase your confidence in your numbers and signal to investors that you have reasonably thought through this exercise. Building Your Financial Statements Typically, entrepreneurs provide five years of financial projections for all three statements, and then a monthly breakdown for the first two years with the income statement and cash flow statement. The reasons for this monthly breakdown are straightforward. For the income statement, monthly detail shows your ramp-up and seasonality. Monthly detail on cash flows shows when you’ll have a cash deficit, and when you’ll need funding and how much. For the first two years, you may find it useful first to create annual income statements and cash flow statements for the full five years and take a high-level approach to what this looks like. Then, you could divide the first two years into monthly detail, considering both the initial ramp- up period and any seasonality. But, particularly when applying the bottom-up method described in this note, you may find it useful to estimate what sales look like on a daily and weekly basis, and build this out to monthly and annual numbers as you progress through the initial year or two.
  • 28. Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 7 The Income Statement Revenue Projections Let’s first take a look at three ways you can estimate revenues: top-down, bottom-up, or comparables.
  • 29. Top Down With this method, you identify the total size of the market segment you could serve and estimate your share of the market. Of all customers who are reachable with your concept, you can estimate what proportion is likely to buy. You may be able to find market data expressed in total dollar amounts, which includes both numbers of people and the amount they purchase per year. You could calculate market share and revenue data from this. Another way is to calculate numbers of customers and then apply pricing and purchase frequency. First, consider the proportion of your market that can reasonably become aware of, and access, your product. It is often said, for example, that people will drive no more than 15 minutes to a health club. Given the demographics of the market for a health club, one could identify the number of people in the target market area and adjust for demographic and behavioral characteristics. Building on this example, say you want to open a fitness business in Welltown, Massachusetts. Your market research and business model indicate a target market segment of older males and females, 45-65 years of age, who exercise regularly. a. Population statistics reveal that there are 30,000 people living in Welltown and 30% are between the ages of 45 and 65 years old. This gives you 9,000 people. b. A magazine published a survey showing that 50% of people in the region around
  • 30. Welltown engage in regular exercise. Applying this informatio n reveals a market size of 4,500 people. c. There is one health club in Welltown, a national franchise, which a source says has 1,800 members. Industry statistics reveal that about half of health club members in the United States are over the age of 44, so you estimate that they have 900 members over 44 or 20% market share in the segment you are targeting. There are also four niche fitness businesses (cycling studio, pilates, personal training, and a weight gym) that have smaller market shares. Your concept is a multi-offering facility targeting the older population, so you project you can achieve 10% market share, or 450 members, after an initial ramp-up period, eventually increasing to 30% by the end of five years. You then apply your pricing information to generate revenue projections. Bottom Up You can also count the number of customers you expect to serve, along with how much they will buy. You may be able to get data on customer behavior from various sources. You can talk to reliable informants, such as store owners, sales reps, suppliers, or other industry experts. Or you can physically observe this—counting people entering and exiting a store, tabulating how many buy, and if possible, what and how much. Think reasonably about how many people would buy Do
  • 31. N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 8 your product or use your service. Given the hours the business is open, what might a typical day be like, including peak or slow hours? How much does a typical customer spend? From this approach, you can build out to weekly, and then monthly and annual sales projections. Comparables A third approach is to obtain revenue numbers from comparable
  • 32. businesses, drawing on a company (or companies) selling a similar offering, and adjusting for differences in elements such as stage of business and your source of differentiation. You may not have concrete numbers for your closest competitors, especially if they are private, but you can obtain data on industry averages and public firms. Particularly for large companies with multiple product offerings, revenues are often aggregated, and you will again have to make assumptions. For example, if you are opening a retail store and you have located a comparable company that reveals the number of stores it has, you can divide total sales by the number of stores to determine average revenue per store. As another example, say you know a company’s total sales for the year. You may be able to locate information showing what proportion of these sales contains the product category that matches your offering. You can draw on published sources such as press releases, journal articles, or the Management Discussion and Analysis (MDA) section and footnotes in annual reports, even expert opinion. With the information available, consider how you can make informed estimates. In projecting revenues, your price and sales volume should reflect your strategy. If you have a premium product or service, pricing should be relatively higher. Comparisons to the alternatives presented in your competitive analysis are helpful here, so collect good data on pricing for competing products or services. Summarize the logic behind
  • 33. your pricing in your assumptions. Expenses Like revenues, expenses may also be approximated in multiple ways. You can obtain data on actual rent costs where you plan to locate, for example, or on average salaries for the types of employees you would need to hire. In addition, you can draw on industry averages or actual expenditures of similar businesses to estimate certain expense categories. To estimate cost of goods sold, you may be able to determine what it would cost to purchase or produce your product or service.6 You can get quotes from suppliers, or ask those purchasing similar products what they pay. You can also look at gross margins for similar alternatives. Industry averages or comparisons may also be helpful. Again, try several different methods and arrive at a reasonable figure, making adjustments for your particular concept. Document your reasoning in your assumptions. 6For entrepreneurs, the lower risks and capital requi rements of buying a product from a supplier or outsourcing production to a contract manufacturer generally outweigh the advantages of in-house production. Depending on your business, you may be able to start with small-batch production in-house. But when ramping up your operations, consider the implications of doing it yourself: investments you would need to make in equipment and facilities, and the capital requirements, as well as other considerations such as human resources and compliance issues. Having
  • 34. control, and the ability to leverage fixed costs and increase margins, can be attractive, but you also want some flexibility as you establish your product and test the market. Do N ot C op y o r P os t This document is authorized for educator review use only by MUHAMMAD ATHER ELAHI, Institute of Business Administration until Sep 2021. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. [email protected] or 617.783.7860 A Guide to Creating Financial Statements for Entrepreneuers BAB466- November 2018 9 For SG&A costs, you can use comparables or consult experts. Be careful not to underestimate how much it will cost to attract and convince customers, even beyond ramp-up. You are just
  • 35. starting out, and people may not be aware of, or think they need, your concept. They may be happy with competing alternatives, and there may be costs associated with switching to your solution, such as a learning curve, complementary products, or network effects. Triangulate, Triangulate, Triangulate In building your income statement, it is useful to try multiple ways to estimate both revenues and expenses and see how they compare. You may find that the various methods reveal different results. In this case, revisit your assumptions and seek additional evidence to revise your numbers. You can make adjustments to your results until the methods triangulate. When they do, you have stronger support for your projections. You can take into consideration whether one method might be more accurate for your purposes than others, depending on the nature of your business and the availability of relevant information. At the same time, you may find it helpful to combine the most useful aspects of different approaches. Remember, there is a high level of uncertainty associated with estimating revenues and expenses at this point. While acknowledging this, you want nonetheless to project confidence that you have thought about what drives your numbers and that you have evidence to support your assumptions. Additionally, beware the tendency to overestimate revenues and/or underestimate expenses. Entrepreneurs are inherently optimistic — some would say naïve — when it comes to estimating
  • 36. sales, the speed at which sales ramp up, and the level of expenses required to generate projected sales. Investors and other sophisticated stakeholders will see right through this. Make informed assumptions and back these up with sound evidence. Startup Costs The startup phase includes three additional considerations relative to the financial picture. First, what startup costs will you incur, and how many months will you be spending money before generating sales? Second, what would the sales ramp-up time look like? Third, how long will it take … Content1.1Cash flow1.2Cash flow2.1Annuity2.2Annuity2.3Annuity3.1NPV Using Constant Discounting 3.2NPV Using Constant Discounting 4.1NPV Using General Discounting 4.2NPV Using General Discounting 5.1Loan Amortization 5.2Loan Amortization 9.1Firm and project Val9.7Firm and project Val15.1Break Even Analysis15.2Break Even Analysis &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# &1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General Use Sheet1Location EvaluationCriteriaKhobar suopr foam car wach population density (15)15purshusing power and social class (10)8possibility of obtaining licenses (5)5transferring materials to the site (5)3clossness to vital places (5)5labor accommedation (10)10easy access (10)10capacity (10)10rent (10)9compititors (10)8total (90)83Foundation expensesqtyunit pricetotaltransfer kfala fees19200038,000.00 [$....-401]visa and imgration 19175033,250.00 [$....- 401]waterpumps4550022,000.00 [$....-401]water hose
  • 37. 75003,500.00 [$....-401]air compressor2600012,000.00 [$....-401]steam machine 12700027,000.00 [$....-401]car vacuum 4350014,000.00 [$....-401]washing tools and supplies 150005,000.00 [$....-401]logo and sinages12600026,000.00 [$....-401]decorations16000060,000.00 [$....-401]rent for 6 month 0.510000050,000.00 [$....-401]labor accomodation 11000010,000.00 [$....-401]other25,000.00 [$....-401]needed capital325,750.00 [$....-401]Operational ExpensesColumn1monthly yearly salary44300531600advertismnets7008400stationary 1001200food expenses160019200transportation 6007200safty equipments2002400rent833399996internet5006000hospitality 1001200electriciety 200024000water300036000medical 5006000maintenance7008400commission 5006000tools 5006000extra labor120014400total64833777996Labor costsjobqtypositionskillnationalty salry ministiry of labor feesmonthly for 1total monthtotal yearmanager1Aexelantsaudi 400004000400048000supervisor 1Bvery goodindian 16009002500250030000labor18Cgoodbangladishi120090021003 7800453600‫يلامجالا‬ 201800860044300531600IncomColumn1car per day avreg incom per cardaily incommonthly incom yearly incom year 16035210063000756000year 27035245073500882000year 380403200960001152000year 4904036001080001296000year 51004040001200001440000ResultesColumn1Column2monthly yearly Column3year 1incom63000756000cost64833777996result-1833-21996- 6.75%year 2incom73500882000cost64833777996result866710400431.93%y ear 3incom960001152000cost64833777996result31167374004114.8 1%year 4incom1080001296000cost64833777996result43167518004159. 02%year 5incom1200001440000cost64833777996result55167662004203. 22%
  • 38. 1.1SINGLE CASH FLOWPresent ValueInputsSingle Cash Flow$1,000.0020Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash FlowsPresent Value $747.26Present Value using the FormulaPresent Value$747.26Present Value using the PV FunctionPresent Value$747.26 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# &1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General Use Single Cash Flow - Present Value Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 Present Value 0 1 2 3 4 5 747.25817286605684 Period 1.2SINGLE CASH FLOWFuture ValueInputsSingle Cash Flow$747.2614Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Future Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash Flows$747.26Future Value $1,000.00Future Value using the FormulaFuture Value$1,000.00Future Value using the FV FunctionFuture Value$1,000.00 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# &1#&"Arial"&10&K000000Saudi Aramco: Company General Use Single Cash Flow - Future Value Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 747.26 Future Value 0 1 2 3 4 5 1000.0024451173764 Period 2.1ANNUITYPresent Value InputsPayment$80.008Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Present Value$336.996Annuity Present Value using a Time
  • 39. LinePeriod012345Cash Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Present Value of Each Cash Flow$75.47$71.20$67.17$63.37$59.78Present Value$336.99Annuity Present Value using the FormulaPresent Value$336.99Annuity Present Value using the PV FunctionPresent Value$336.99 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# Annuity Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80 80 80 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3 4 5 75.471698113207538 71.199715201139185 67.169542642584133 63.367493059041635 59.780653829284553 Period 2.2ANNUITYFuture ValueInputsPayment$80.008Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Annuity Future Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Future Value of Each Cash Flow$101.00$95.28$89.89$84.80$80.00Future Value$450.97Annuity Future Value using the FormulaFuture Value$450.97Annuity Future Value using the FV FunctionFuture Value$450.97 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# Annuity Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80 80 Future Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3 4 5 100.99815680000003 95.281280000000024 89.888000000000005 84.800000000000011 80 Period 2.3ANNUITYSystem of Four Annuity VariablesInputsPayment$80.008Discount Rate / Period6.0%6Number of Periods55Present
  • 40. Value$336.996Annuity Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash Flows$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00$80.00Present Value of Each Cash FlowPresent ValueAnnuity Present Value using the FormulaPresent ValueAnnuity Present Value using the PV FunctionPresent ValuePaymentPayment using the Formula$80.00Payment using the PMT Function$80.00Discount Rate / PeriodDiscount Rate / Per using the RATE Func6.0%Number of PeriodsNum of Periods using the NPER Function5 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# Annuity Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 80 80 80 80 80 80 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3 4 5 Period 3.1 - 3.2NPV USING CONSTANT DISCOUNTINGNominal and Real Rates(in thousands of $)InputsInflation Rate3.0%3Real Discount Rate4.854%4OutputsNominal Discount Rate8.0%Net Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash Flows($100.00)$21.00$34.00$40.00$33.00$17.001023431Presen t Value of Each Cash Flow($100.00)$19.44$29.15$31.75$24.26$11.57Net Present Value$16.17Net Present Value using the NPV FunctionNet Present Value$16.17 &"Arial"&10&K000000&1# NPV Using Constant Discounting Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 21 34 40 33 17 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 19.444512860323027 29.149725017594321 31.753624816778299 24.256326525817492 11.570117896511826 Period
  • 41. 4.1 - 4.2NPV USING GENERAL DISCOUNTINGNominal and Real Rates(in thousands of $)0InputsPeriod012345Add to All PeriodsInflation Rate3.0%2.8%2.5%2.2%2.0%0.0%222225Real Discount Rate4.854%4.669%4.683%4.697%4.902%0.0%444445OutputsPe riod012345Nominal Discount Rate8.0%7.6%7.3%7. 0%7.0%Net Present Value using a Time LinePeriod012345Cash Flows($100.00)$21.00$34.00$40.00$33.00$17.001023431Cumul ative Discount Factor0.0%8.0%16.2%24.7%33.4%42.8%Present Value of Each Cash Flow($100.00)$19.44$29.26$32.08$24.73$11.91Net Present Value$17.42 NPV Using General Discounting Cash Flows 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 21 34 40 33 17 Present Value of Each Cash Flow 0 1 2 3 4 5 -100 19.444512860323027 29.258058235727582 32.079423041604514 24.734057380908478 11.908207824613447 Period 5.1 - 5.2LOAN AMORTIZATIONBasics and Sensitivity AnalysisInputsPresent value$300,00030Interest rate / year8.00%8Number of years3030OutputsYear1234567891011121314151617181920212 2232425262728293031Beg. Principal Balance$300,000$297,352$294,492$291,403$288,067$284,464$ 280,573$276,370$271,832$266,930$261,636$255,919$249,744$ 243,076$235,873$228,095$219,694$210,622$200,823$190,241$ 178,812$166,469$153,138$138,741$123,192$106,399$88,262$6 8,675$47,521$24,674Payment$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2 6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2 6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2 6,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$26,648$2 6,648$26,648Interest Component$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312$23,045$22,757$22,
  • 42. 446$22,110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474$19,980$19,446$18, 870$18,248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219$14,305$13,317$12, 251$11,099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,802$1,974Principal Component$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,53 9$4,902$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9 ,798$10,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18, 136$19,587$21,154$22,847$24,674Data Table: Sensitivity of the Interest Component to the Interest Rate / YearInput Values forOutput Formula: Interest ComponentInterest rate / year$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312$23,045$22,757$22,446$22, 110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474$19,980$19,446$18,870$18, 248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219$14,305$13,317$12,251$11, 099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,802$1,9747.00%$21,000$20,7 78$20,540$20,285$20,013$19,722$19,410$19,076$18,719$18,3 37$17,928$17,491$17,023$16,522$15,987$15,413$14,800$14,1 44$13,442$12,690$11,886$11,026$10,105$9,120$8,066$6,939$ 5,732$4,441$3,060$1,5828.00%$24,000$23,788$23,559$23,312 $23,045$22,757$22,446$22,110$21,747$21,354$20,931$20,474 $19,980$19,446$18,870$18,248$17,576$16,850$16,066$15,219 $14,305$13,317$12,251$11,099$9,855$8,512$7,061$5,494$3,80 2$1,974Data Table: Sensitivity of the Principal Component to the Interest Rate / YearInput Values forOutput Formula: Principal ComponentInterest rate / year$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,539$4,90 2$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9,798$1 0,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18,136$1 9,587$21,154$22,847$24,6747.00%$3,176$3,398$3,636$3,891$ 4,163$4,454$4,766$5,100$5,457$5,839$6,248$6,685$7,153$7,6 53$8,189$8,762$9,376$10,032$10,734$11,486$12,290$13,150$ 14,071$15,056$16,109$17,237$18,444$19,735$21,116$22,5948. 00%$2,648$2,860$3,089$3,336$3,603$3,891$4,202$4,539$4,90 2$5,294$5,717$6,175$6,669$7,202$7,778$8,401$9,073$9,798$1 0,582$11,429$12,343$13,331$14,397$15,549$16,793$18,136$1 9,587$21,154$22,847$24,674 Principal And Interest Payments Over Time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
  • 43. 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 21000.000000000004 20777.685526266669 20539.809039372001 20285.281198394707 20012.936408548998 19721.527483414095 19409.719933519744 19076.085855132791 18719.097391258754 18337.119734913533 17928.403642624144 17491.0774238745 17023.138369812379 16522.443581965908 15986.700158970189 15413.454696364766 14800.082051376965 14143.773321240018 13441.522979993482 12690.115114859693 11886.108699166536 11025.821834374858 10105.314889047764 9120.3724575477718 8066.4840558427804 6938.8234660184407 5732.2266349063966 4441.1680256165091 3059.73531367633 1581.6023119003378 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 3175.9210533333535 3398.2355270666885 3636.1120139613558 3890.6398549386504 4162.9846447843593 4454.3935699192625 4766.2011198136133 5099.8351982005661 5456.8236620746029 5838.8013184198244 6247.5174107092134 6684.8436294588573 7152.782683520978 7653.4774713674487 8189.2208943631686 8762.4663569685908 9375.8390019563922 10032.147732093339 10734.398073339875 11485.805938473664 12289.812354166821 13150.099218958499 14070.606164285593 15055.548595785585 16109.436997490577 17237.097587314915 18443.69441842696 19734.753027716848 21116.185739657027 22594.31874143302 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
  • 44. 28 29 30 31 24000 23788.141598705464 23559.334525307368 23312.222886037423 23045.34231562588 22757.111299581415 22445.821802253395 22109.62914513913 21746.541075455723 21354.405960197644 20930.900035718922 20473.5136372819 19979.536326969919 19446.040831832976 18869.865697085079 18247.596551557352 17575.545874387404 16849.73114304386 16065.851233192834 15219.260930553726 14304.94340370349 13317.480474705233 12251.020511387116 11099.243751003551 9855.3248497893001 8511.8924364779086 7060.9854301016057 5494.0058632151995 3801.6679309778801 1973.9429641615754 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2648.2300161816893 2860.088417476225 3088.8954908743217 3336.0071301442658 3602.8877005558097 3891.1187166002746 4202.4082139282946 4538.6008710425594 4901.6889407259659 5293.8240559840451 5717.3299804627677 6174.7163788997896 6668.6936892117701 7202.1891843487138 7778.3643190966104 8400.6334646243376 9072.6841417942851 9798.4988731378289 10582.378782988855 11428.969085627963 12343.286612478199 13330.749541476456 14397.209504794573 15548.986265178139 16792.905166392389 18136.337579703781 19587.244586080084 21154.22415296649 22846.562085203808 24674.287052020114 Time (Years) Principal And Interest Components
  • 45. Loan Amortization Payment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 26648.230016181689 Interest Component 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 24000 23788.141598705464 23559.334525307368 23312.222886037423 23045.34231562588 22757.111299581415 22445.821802253395 22109.62914513913 21746.541075455723 21354.405960197644 20930.900035718922 20473.5136372819 19979.536326969919 19446.040831832976 18869.865697085079 18247.596551557352 17575.545874387404 16849.73114304386 16065.851233192834 15219.260930553726 14304.94340370349 13317.480474705233 12251.020511387116 11099.243751003551 9855.3248497893001 8511.8924364779086
  • 46. 7060.9854301016057 5494.0058632151995 3801.6679309778801 1973.9429641615754 Principal Component 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 2648.2300161816893 2860.088417476225 3088.8954908743217 3336.0071301442658 3602.8877005558097 3891.1187166002746 4202.4082139282946 4538.6008710425594 4901.6889407259659 5293.8240559840451 5717.3299804627677 6174.7163788997896 6668.6936892117701 7202.1891843487138 7778.3643190966104 8400.6334646243376 9072.6841417942851 9798.4988731378289 10582.378782988855 11428.969085627963 12343.286612478199 13330.749541476456 14397.209504794573 15548.986265178139 16792.905166392389 18136.337579703781 19587.244586080084 21154.22415296649 22846.562085203808 24674.287052020114 Year 9.1-9.7FIRM AND PROJECT VALUATIONFive Equivalent MethodsInputsValuation Object1Date 0 Proj Investment or Firm Cap$800.0050Tax Rate40.0%40Unlevered Cost of Equity Capital10.0%100Riskfree Rate=Cost of Riskfree Debt3.0%30Infinte Horizon Growth Rate5.0%50Include Infinite Horizon?1Cash Flows2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Revenues$650.00$690.00$720.00$755.00$77 5.00$840.00505050505055Expenses$410.00$435.00$445.00$47 0.00$470.00$475.00505050505050Gross EarningsDepreciation$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.00$60.0050 5050505050Earnings Bef Interest & Tax (EBIT)Interest ExpenseEarnings Before TaxTaxesEarningsAdd Back DepreciationCash Flow from OperationsNew Invest in Plant and Equipment($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)($60.00)505050505
  • 47. 0After-Tax Salvage Value$0.0050New Invest in Working Capital($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)($10.00)50505 0505050Cash Flows from InvestmentsNew Borrowing (Repayment)$5.00$5.00$5.00$5.00$5.005050505050Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)= DividendsInterestLess New Borrowing (Repayment)Cash Flow to Debtholders (CFD)Tax Shield BenefitFree Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Alternative Way to get FCFFEarningsAfter-tax Interest ExpenseNet Oper. Profit After Tax (NOPAT)DepreciationCash Flows from InvestmentsFree Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Debt (D)$250.0050Book Value of EquityTotal CapitalEconomic ProfitNet Oper. Profit After Tax (NOPAT)Capital ChargeEconomic Profit(1.) Adjusted Present Value (APV)2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Value of the Unlevered FirmTax Shield BenefitValue of the Tax Shield BenefitValue of the Firm (APV Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm (APV Method)(2) Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Debt + Equity (D+E)Equity (E)Levered Cost of Equity CapitalFree Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)Value of Equity (E)Value of Debt (D)Value of the Firm (FCFE Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm (FCFE Method)(3) Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizDate0123456Equity Weight (E / (D+E))Debt Weight (D / (D+E))Cost of Firm Capital (WACC)Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)Value of the Firm (FCFF Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm (FCFF Method)(4) Dividend Discount Model (DDM)2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizYear0123456DividendValue of Equity (E)Value of Debt (D)Value of the Firm (DDM Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue Added by Firm (DDM Method)(5) Residual Income (RI)2nd Stage:First Stage: Finite HorizonInfin HorizYear0123456Economic ProfitEconomic Profit on Salvage ValueValue of the Economic Profit+ Date 0 Book Value of the FirmValue of the Firm (RI Method)- Date 0 Firm CapitalValue
  • 48. Added by Firm (RI Method) (13) Free Cash Flow to Equity Enter =C34 and copy across Firm Project Valuation Object Yes No Infinite Horizon 15.1BREAK-EVEN ANALYSISBased On Accounting ProfitInputsFixed Costs$30,00030Sales Revenue / Unit$6.006Variable Costs / Unit$4.004Calculate the Break-even Point using the FormulaBreak-even Point (Unit Sales)15,000Back solve for the Break-even Point using the Income StatementUnit Sales15,000Sales Revenue$90,000Variable Costs$60,000Gross Margin$30,000Fixed Costs$30,000Accounting Profit$0Data Table: Sensitivity of Costs, Revenues, and Acct. Profit to Unit SalesInput Values for Unit SalesOutput Formulas:05,00010,00015,00020,000Total Costs$90,000$30,000$50,000$70,000$90,000$110,000Sales Revenue$90,000$0$30,000$60,000$90,000$120,000Accounting Profit$0($30,000)($20,000)($10,000)$0$10,000 Break-Even Point Based On Acct. Profit = 0 Total Costs 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 30000 50000 70000 90000 110000 Sales Revenue 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 0 30000 60000 90000 120000 Accounting Profit 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 Unit Sales 15.2BREAK-EVEN ANALYSISBased On NPV(in thousands of
  • 49. $)Year 0Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Key AssumptionsSales Growth Rate55.0%40.0%25.0%5.0%-20.0%- 50.0%Change in Sales Growth Rate-15.0%-15.0%-20.0%- 25.0%-30.0%Inflation Rate2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.0%4.0%Real Cost of Capital11.0%11.2%11.4%11.6%11.8%12.0%12.2%Tax Rate35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%35.0%DiscountingDis count Rate = Cost of Capital13.2%14.0%14.7%15.5%16.3%16.5%16.7%Cumulative Discount Factor0.0%13.2%29.0%48.1%71.0%98.9%131.6%170.3%Price or Cost / UnitUnit Sales1,875290740705087534242732137Sales Revenue / Unit$9.70$9.94$10.24$10.60$11.02$11.46$11.92Variable Cost / Unit$7.40$7.59$7.81$8.09$8.41$8.75$9.10Cash Fixed Costs$5,280$5,412$5,574$5,769$6,000$6,240$6,490Cash Flow ForecastsSales Revenue$18,192$28,903$41,678$53,921$58,881$48,989$25,474 Variable Costs$13,879$22,050$31,796$41,135$44,920$37,373$19,434Gr oss Margin$4,314$6,853$9,882$12,785$13,962$11,616$6,040Cash Fixed Costs$5,280$5,412$5,574$5,769$6,000$6,240$6,490Depreciatio n$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421Total Fixed Costs$6,701$6,833$6,996$7,191$7,422$7,662$7,911Operating Profit($2,388)$20$2,887$5,594$6,540$3,954($1 ,871)Taxes($83 6)$7$1,010$1,958$2,289$1,384($655)Net Profit($1,552)$13$1,876$3,636$4,251$2,570($1,216)Add Back Depreciation$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421$1,421Ope rating Cash Flow($131)$1,434$3,298$5,058$5,672$3,992$205Investment in Plant & Equip($11,350)$1,400Cash Flows($11,350)($131)$1,434$3,298$5,058$5,672$3,992$1,605P resent Value of Each Cash Flow($11,350)($115)$1,111$2,227$2,957$2,852$1,723$594Net
  • 50. Present Value($0)Data Table: Sensitivity of Net Present Value to Year 1 Unit Sales and Year 2 Sales Growth RateOutput Formula:Input Values for Year 1 Unit SalesNet Present Value($0)1,7001,9002,1002,30045.0%($6,767)($4,692)($2,618) ($543)Input Values for Year 250.0%($4,673)($2,352)($31)$2,290Sales Growth Rate55.0%($2,283)$319$2,921$5,52360 .0%$442$3,365$6,288$ 9,21065.0%$3,548$6,836$10,124$13,412 NPV Break-Even Contour (Based On NPV = 0) Across Year 1 Unit Sales And Year 2 Sales Growth Rate 1,700 0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 - 6767.0836670711742 -4672.9277187851812 - 2283.1385032181506 442.23187178181001 3547.5606264680082 1,900 0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -4692.4891514404444 -2351.9619151207999 318.97897286588602 3364.9811566893713 6835.6427060445294 2,100 0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 - 2617.8946358097064 -30.996111456413871 2921.0964489499165 6287.7304415969229 10123.724785621049 2,300 0.45 0.5 0.55000000000000004 0.6 0.65 -543.30012017896979 2289.9696922079647 5523.2139250339442 9210.4797265044799 13411.806865197566 Year 2 Sales Growth Rate Net Present Value Year 1 Unit Sales NPV Break-Even Contour Super foam
  • 51. car wash A new concept for car wash 1 Content * The idea * The services * Distinction * Forecast * Location study * Man power * Marketing plan * Financial plan The idea Super foam is a car wash service center that is specialized in providing interior and exterior car cleaning trying to offer a high quality service for a reasonable rate. 1 Good location
  • 52. 2 Speed in service 3 The quality in service 4 growth in market Forecast The business will be initially financed by a personal investment and will finance growth through cash flow. This will mean that the company will grow more slowly than it could, but it will ensure that retains control over the direction of the company. In year three, it is hoped that the company will be able to open a second location. It is envisioned that an outside loan or equity funding will be sought at that time The services The following services will be offered: • Water washing • Steam washing • Car polishing
  • 53. • Carpet cleaning and detailing Pricing services Exterior washSmall car20Big car25Express wash Small car40Big car50VIP wash Small car 60Big car70 distinction Speed in service The quality in service growth in market Market study studying the potential market/ Demand Gap Through our market observations and testing we find a demand gap > available market capacity Throughout the observations and conducted market survey, we found the following:
  • 54. Long waiting time. Unsatisfied customers with the available service. Lack of service quality. Lack of some services like steam washing machines Market study The target customers are AlKHOBAR city and the surrounding area resident they have nice cars and want them to look nice, there are many different local businesses that have company cars and that require clean appearances. All of these potential customers need a car wash that fits their needs and their budget. We will happily fill that need. Demographic segmentation : Middle to high income level The location study The project will be located in Al Khobar city Alkhobar service area has a good advantage of serving residents. The service area has other competitors providing low service
  • 55. locationLocation EvaluationCriteriaKhobar super foam car wash population density (15)15purchasing power and social class (10)8possibility of obtaining licenses (5)5transferring materials to the site (5)3closeness to vital places (5)5labor accommodation (10)10easy access (10)10capacity (10)10rent (10)9compititors (10)8total (90)83 The marketing study Demand estimation We estimated that the target customers owns 1.5 cars in average. We estimated the each customer will request the cleaning service twice a month Man power Labor costsjobqtypositionskillnationalty salry ministiry of labor feesmonthly for 1total monthtotal yearmanager1AexcellentSaudi .... 4,000.00 .... 0.00 .... 4,000.00 .... 4,000.00 .... 48,000.00 supervisor 1Bvery goodindian .... 1,600.00 .... 900.00 .... 2,500.00 .... 2,500.00 .... 30,000.00 labor18CgoodBangladeshi.... 1,200.00 .... 900.00 .... 2,100.00 .... 37,800.00 .... 453,600.00 ‫ايلامجال‬20.... 1,800.00 .... 8,600.00 .... 44,300.00 .... 531,600.00
  • 56. Marketing plan Full identity for the car wash Advertising boards Lighting panels Discount ads- commercials Ads on social media Celebrity ads ExpensesFoundation expensesqtyunit pricetotaltransfer kfala fees192000 38,000.00 .... visa and immigration 191750 33,250.00 .... water pumps45500 22,000.00 .... water hose 7500 3,500.00 .... air compressor26000 12,000.00 .... steam machine 127000 27,000.00 .... car vacuum 43500 14,000.00 .... washing tools and supplies 15000 5,000.00 .... logo and sinages126000 26,000.00 .... decorations160000 60,000.00 .... rent for 6 month 0.5100000 50,000.00 .... labor accomodation 110000 10,000.00 .... other 25,000.00 .... needed capital 325,750.00 ....
  • 57. incomeColumn1car per day avreg incom per cardaily incommonthly incom yearly incom Year 16035 $ 2,100.00 $ 63,000.00 $ 756,000.00 Year 27035 $ 2,450.00 $ 73,500.00 $ 882,000.00 Year 38030 $ 2,400.00 $ 72,000.00 $ 864,000.00 Year 49035 $ 3,150.00 $ 94,500.00 $1,134,000.00 Year 510035 $ 3,500.00 $ 105,000.00 $1,260,000.00 Thank you and visit us