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IPO Review
                                                                                                                                         February 1, 2010
Rating matrix
                                                                                                                              DB Realty Limited
Rating                           :     Avoid
                                                                                                                             Price band Rs 468 – Rs 486
Issue Details                                                        Another Mumbai-based player…
Issue opens                                January 29, 2010
Issue closes                               February 02, 2010         Incorporated in 2007, DB Realty Limited (DB Realty) is a real estate
                                                                     developer focused in and around Mumbai. DB Realty has a land bank of
Issue size (Rs crore)                      Rs. 1500 crore            61 million (mn) sq ft (Ongoing projects – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming– 19.3
No of shares on offer                      3.1-3.2crore              mn sq ft and upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft). Approximately 85% of the land
 - Fresh Issue to the public               3.1-3.2 crore             bank is spread in and around Mumbai.
 - Employee Reservation                    NA
                                                                           Land bank spread in Mumbai
QIB ( 60% )                                1.85-1.92crore                   As on December 31, 2009 DB Realty has a land bank of 61 mn sq ft
Non Institutional ( 10% )                  0.31-0.32 crore                  (Ongoing projects – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft and
Retail ( 30% )                             0.93-0.96 crore                  upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft). Out of 61 mn sq ft, ~85% of the land bank
                                                                            is spread in and around Mumbai in places such as Goregaon, Mira
Minimum lot size                           14
                                                                            Road, Dahisar, Kandivali, BKC and Andheri. Additionally, ~7% of the
Market cap (Post issue) (Rs. Crore)        11,385-11,765                    land bank is spread in the southern part of the Mumbai where the
                                                                            realisations are pretty high given the lack of scarcity of land in these
                                                                            areas.
Objects of the Issue
Particulars                                  Amount (Rs.
                                             Crore)                        Parentage advantage
Construction & development cost for          Rs. 1044.7 crore              The families of the promoters have been in the real estate and related
certain of the projects                                                    businesses for decades and have developed several large projects in
Pre-payment of loan from IDFC                Rs. 80 crore
                                                                           and around Mumbai.

General corporate purposes & issue Rs.375.3crore
                                                   Concerns
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related expenses
                                                                            Crisil has assigned the IPO grade of 2/5 indicating that the
                                                                            fundamentals of the IPO are below average relative to the other listed
                                                                            equity securities in India
Fact Sheet
                                       Pre-Issue       Post-Issue           DB Realty has invested Rs 705.1 crore in unlisted entities related to
No of shares (In crore)                    21.1        24.2-24.3            DB Realty. It has provided corporate guarantees, aggregating to ~Rs
                                                                            2519 crore, in connection with certain debt facilities availed by such
Promoters (%)                              73.7        64.0-64.3
                                                                            entities, which are in excess of DB Realty’s net worth
Others (%)                                  0.0                0.0
Public (%)                                 26.3        35.7-36.0

                                                                     Valuations
Financial Summary                                                    DB Realty is available at 3.9x P/BV at the lower price band of Rs 468 per
Rs. Crore                      FY08          FY09          H1 FY10   share and 4.0x P/BV at the higher price band of Rs 486 per share. While,
Sales                            0.0         464.4            39.4   we like the quality of the land bank, we see better opportunities available
EBITDA                         -12.8         225.8           146.8
                                                                     in the secondary markets at these levels of valuation. Hence, we
                                                                     recommend investors AVOID the issue.
PAT                            -23.6         143.8            64.1
EPS ( post issue)               -1.0             6.0           2.7
                                                                     Exhibit 1: Key Financials
EBITDA margin (%)               NA              48.6          37.2
                                                                     Particular                                                  FY08     FY09      H1FY10
PAT margin (%)                  NA              31.0          16.2   Net sales                                                     0.0    464.4       394.4
                                                                     EBITDA                                                      -12.8    225.8       146.8
                                                                     Margin (%)                                                            48.6        37.2
Analyst’s name                                                       Reported PAT                                                -23.6    143.8        64.1
 Deepak Purswani                                                     Margin (%)                                                            31.0        16.2
 deepak.purswani@icicisecurities.com                                 Post Issue Diluted EPS (Rs)                                  -1.0      6.0         2.7
                                                                     RoE(%)                                                                18.7       11.5*
                                                                     RoCE(%)                                                               10.2       11.1*
                                                                     Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research *Annualised



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Company Background

                                                      Incorporated in 2007, DB Realty is a real estate development company
                                                      that is focused on residential, commercials, retail and other projects such
                                                      as mass housing and cluster redevelopment in and around Mumbai. The
                                                      company is jointly promoted by Vinod Goenka and Shahid Balwa, whose
                                                      families have been in the real estate business for more than 25 and 95
                                                      years, respectively. As on December 31, 2009, the promoters and
                                                      promoter group companies have collectively developed ~15.9 mn sq ft of
                                                      real estate development. This includes residential projects – developable
                                                      area of 15.3 mn sq ft and commercial & retail projects with developable
                                                      area of 0.6 mn sq ft.

                                                      In terms of land bank, the company currently has a land bank of 61 mn sq
                                                      ft, which is largely focused on the residential vertical in the Mumbai real
                                                      estate market. As on December 31, 2009, DB Realty has a land bank of 61
                                                      mn sq ft (Ongoing project – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft
                                                      and upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft).

                                                      Exhibit 2: Break-up of saleable are
                                                                                          Ongoing       Forthcoming       Upcoming          Total
                                                                                      Mn sq ft      % Mn sq ft       % Mn sq ft      % Mn sq ft                    %
Land bank of 61 mn sq ft (Ongoing -19.6 mn sq ft;      Residential                        6.9     35.7   12.9      66.8   20.8     93.5   40.6                   66.6
forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft and upcoming -22.2 mn      Commercial                         1.6      8.2    0.2       1.0    0.4      1.6    2.1                    3.5
sq ft)                                                 Retail                             0.0      0.0    0.0       0.0    0.4      1.6    0.4                    0.6
                                                       Mass Housing & cluster
                                                       Redevelopement                    10.9      56.1      6.2        32.2        0.7       3.3       17.9     29.3
                                                       Total                             19.5     100.0     19.3       100.0       22.2     100.0       61.0    100.0
                                                      Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

                                                      Exhibit 3: Details of ongoing projects
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                                                                                                                                                   Total
                                                                                                            Saleable             Expected          estimated Cost
                                                                                                             Area (in            completion        cost (Rs incurred
                                                       Project Name                        Type             mn sq ft) Start date date              cr)       (Rs cr)

                                                       Orchid Zone, Dahisar                Residential          1.58      Aug-09          Sep-12         625       193
                                                       Orchid Zone, Dahisar                Retail               0.03      Aug-09          Sep-12
                                                       Orchid Woods,Goregaon               Residential          0.88      Feb-07          Jun-11         542       404
                                                       Orchid Heights, Jacob Circle        Residential          0.62      Nov-09          Mar-13         506       123
                                                       Orchid Suburbia, Kandivali          Residential          0.49      Jan-09          Dec-11         471       280
  Total 97.5% of the ongoing projects are in Mumbai
                                                                                           Mass Housing -
                                                       Mahul Nagar, Mahul,Mumabi           TDR                  8.70      Mar-07          Mar-11         854       643
                                                       Orchid Hills,Chandivali,Andheri     Residential          0.52      Mar-09          Mar-13         878        50
                                                       Orchid Hills,Chandivali,Andheri     TDR                  2.24      Mar-09          Mar-13
                                                       Ascot Centre, Andheri               Commercial           0.34      Feb-07          Dec-12         155        10
                                                       Orchid Turf View, Mahalaxmi         Residential          1.48      Jan-10          Mar-13         675        74
                                                       Orchid Corporate Park, Andheri      Commercial           1.25      Jan-10          Nov-12         472       101
                                                                                           Residential &
                                                       Orchid Centre, Yerawada, Pune       Retail              0.47       Jan-09          Jun-12        135         4
                                                       Orchid Crown, Dadar                 Residential         0.90       Jan-10          Dec-12        567         7
                                                       Total                                                  19.51                                    5882      1888
                                                      Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research




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                                                                                                                                                          Page 2
Exhibit 4: Details about forthcoming project
                                                                                                                                       Total
                                                                                                     Saleable             Expected     estimated Cost
                                                                                                     Area (in             completion cost (Rs incurred
                                                   Project Name                        Type          mn sq ft) Start date date         cr)        (Rs cr)
                                                   Orchid Hills Park,Goregaon          Residential         1.67   Aug-10        Jul-13        683          2
                                                   Orchid Hills Park,Goregaon          TDR                 6.21   Aug-10        Jul-13
                                                   Orchid Garden, Dahisar              Residential         2.19    Jul-10      Jun-12         461         15
Total 65.2% of forthcoming project are in Mumbai
                                                   Orchid West View, Malad             Residential         0.66   Apr-10       Mar-13         260         15
                                                   Orchid View, Mumbai Central         Residential         0.69   Apr-10       Mar-13         476         16
                                                   Orchid Park, Bacchuwadi             Residential         0.64   Sep-10       Mar-13         267         27
                                                   Orchid Skyz, Byculla                Residential         0.30   Sep-10       Aug-13         244          1
                                                   DB Tower, BKC                       Residential         0.01   Apr-10       Mar-13         582        309
                                                   DB Tower, BKC                       Commercial          0.19   Apr-10       Mar-13
                                                   Orchid Town, Pimpari                Residential         6.72   Aug-09       Sep-12        2137         53
                                                   Total                                                   19.3                              5110        438

                                                   Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research




                                                   Exhibit 5: Details about upcoming project
                                                                                                                                      Total
                                                                                                     Saleable             Expected    estimated Cost
                                                                                                     Area (in             completion cost (Rs incurred
                                                   Project Name                        Type          mn sq ft) Start date date        cr)         (Rs cr)
                                                   Orchid Acre, Mira Road              Residential        17.93   Apr-10       Dec-13        2910        105
Total 92.4% of upcoming projects are in Mumbai
                                                   Orchid Enclave II, Mumbai Central   Residential         0.69    Jul-10      Dec-12         272         20
                                                   Orchid Apartments, Mankhurd         Residential         0.43   Mar-11       Feb-15         447        560
                                                   Orchid Apartments, Mankhurd         TDR                 0.73   Mar-11       Feb-15
                                                   Orchid Splendour, Byculla           Residential         0.42   Apr-10       Mar-13         170         21
                                                   Orchid Central, Mumbai Central      Residential         0.34    Jul-10      Dec-12         121         16
                                                   Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune       Residential         0.99   Jan-11       Dec-16         951         39
                                                   Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune       Commercial          0.35   Jan-11       Dec-16
                                                   Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune       Retail              0.35   Jan-11       Dec-16
                                                   Total                                                   22.2                             4,869        760

                                                   Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research




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    ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research
                                                                                                                                                Page 3
Investment Rationale
                                                            Land bank spread in island city of Mumbai
                                                            DB Realty is largely focused on the Mumbai real estate market. Out
                                                            of 61 mn sq ft, 85% of the total land is spread in Mumbai. The
                                                            company is looking to focus only on the Mumbai real estate market.
                                                            The land bank is spread in areas such as Goregaon, Mira Road,
                                                            Dahisar, Kandivali and BKC & Andheri. Importantly, approximately
                                                            7% of the total land bank is spread in southern parts of Mumbai
                                                            where the realisations are pretty high given the scarcity of the land.

                                                      Exhibit 6: Area wise break-up of land bank (%)

                                                          120.0
                                                                       97.5
                                                          100.0                                                92.4
                                                                                                                                    85.3
                                                           80.0                               65.2
                                                           60.0
                                                                                                     34.8
                                                           40.0
                                                                                                                                             14.7
                                                           20.0                                                       7.6
                                                                              2.5
                                                            0.0
                                                                        Ongoing              Forthcoming        Upcoming                  Total


                                                                                                      Mumbai   Pune

                                                      Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research




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The promoter’s family has been in the real estate           DB Realty benefits from its promoter’s background in the real estate
business for a long time                                    development industry. The families of Vinod K Goenka and Shahid
                                                            Balwa have been in the real estate and related businesses for more
                                                            than 25 years and 95 years, respectively, and have developed
                                                            several large projects in and around Mumbai.


                                                            May participate in redevelopment space in Mumbai
May enter into block redevelopment in Mumbai                DB Realty may look for redevelopment space in southern parts of
                                                            Mumbai in future for block redevelopment under DCR 33(9). These
                                                            projects typically have FSI as high as 4x while realisations are pretty
                                                            high in southern parts of Mumbai. However, these projects are long
                                                            gestation projects with initial two years involved in negotiations with
                                                            tenants and getting regulatory approvals.




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                                                                                                                                                  Page 4
Key concerns
                                                             Crisil rates IPO grade of 2/5
                                                              Crisil has assigned the IPO a grade of 2/5. This grade indicates that
                                                              the fundamentals of the IPO are below average relative to other
                                                              listed equity securities in India. The grading reflects the fact that DB
                                                              Realty lacks operating history in real estate development.

                                                             Corporate guarantees provided for subsidiaries
DB Realty has provided corporate guarantees of               As on September 30,2009, DB Realty has invested Rs 705.1 crore in
subsidiaries, which are in excess of its net worth           unlisted entities related to DB Realty and provided corporate
                                                             guarantees, aggregating to ~Rs 2519 crore, in connection with
                                                             certain debt facilities availed by such entities, which are in excess of
                                                             DB Realty’s net worth. These corporate guarantees constitute about
                                                             68.7% of the total debt sanctioned to such entities.

                                                             Higher concentration on Mumbai real estate market
                                                             DB Realty’s land bank is highly concentrated in and around Mumbai.
                                                             In the current land bank of 61 mn sq ft, ~85% of the land bank is
                                                             spread in and around Mumbai. Any slowdown in the Mumbai real
                                                             estate market could impact its financial significantly.




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                                                                                                                                          Page 5
Financials
                                                          Financials impacted by recent slowdown
                                                          Since the company was incorporated in 2007, there is limited
                                                          financial history of the company. In FY09, the company’s revenues
                                                          stood at Rs 464.4 crore and net profit stood at Rs 143.8 crore. In
                                                          H1FY10, the company’s revenues stood at Rs 394.4 crore while net
                                                          profit stood at Rs 64.1 crore.

                                                    Valuations
Avoid the issue. There are better opportunities     DB Realty is available at 3.9x P/BV at the lower price band of Rs 468 per
available in the secondary market
                                                    share and 4.0x P/BV at the higher price band of Rs 486 per share. While
                                                    we like the quality of the land bank, we see better opportunities available
                                                    in the secondary markets at these levels of valuation. Hence, we
                                                    recommend investors AVOID the issue.

                                                    Exhibit 7: Valuation table
                                                                                   Mkt cap (Rs             Land bank (
                                                                                            cr) EV (Rs cr)   mn sq ft)   Mkt cap/ sq ft   EV/sq ft   P/BV
                                                     DB Realty @Rs468                 11,385      12,072          61           1,866       1,979      3.9
                                                     DB Realty @Rs486                 11,765      12,452          61           1,929       2,041      4.0
                                                     DLF                              56,632      71,012         430           1,317       1,651      2.2
                                                     Unitech                          17,732      22,975         328*             541        700      1.7
                                                     HDIL                             11,433      14,574         196              582        742      1.7
                                                     Godrej Properties                  3,337      3,608          50              667        722      4.3


                                                    Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

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                                                                                                                                                Page 6
Financial Summary

Exhibit 1: Profit and Loss Account
 Particular                                                   FY08         FY09       H1FY10
 Net sales                                                      0.0        464.4        394.4
 Total expenditure                                             12.8        238.6        247.6
 EBITDA                                                       -12.8        225.8        146.8
 Other income                                                   6.3          6.8          4.8
 Interest                                                      15.4         74.7         70.1
 Depreciation                                                   1.6          7.4          4.6
 Profit Before Tax                                            -23.5        150.5         77.0
 Taxes                                                          0.1          6.7         12.9
 PAT                                                          -23.6        143.8         64.1
 OPM (%)                                                                    48.6         37.2
 NPM (%)                                                                    31.0         16.2
 Outstanding shares                                             0.9          0.9         21.1
 EPS (Rs)                                                     -25.2        157.7          3.0
 Diluted EPS (post issue)                                      -1.0          6.0          2.7
Source: Company




Exhibit 2: Balance Sheet
 Particular                                    FY08      FY09    H1FY10
 Share capital                                   9.4       9.1     211.2
 Reserves & Surplus                            718.6     801.5    1200.3
 Net Worth                                     728.0     810.6    1411.6
 Minority Interest                              55.4      55.3      55.4
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 Secured Loans                                 222.7     2011-08-15536.1
                                                                     03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF.
 Unsecured Loans                               380.4     714.9     215.3
 Deferred Tax Liability                          0.0       0.4       0.4
 Current Liabilities & provisions              438.2     342.1     452.2
 Total Liabilities                            1824.6    2444.1    2670.8
 Net Block                                      14.3      20.8      18.5
 Capital WIP                                     0.5       1.5       1.0
 Investment                                    178.5       0.2      25.4
 Inventories                                   533.8    1057.8    1172.6
 Sundry Debtors                                  9.1      42.6      86.6
 Cash & bank balance                           103.7      76.9      64.3
 Loans & Advances                              984.8    1244.2    1302.1
 Other current assets                            0.0       0.0       0.4
 Total assets                                 1824.6    2444.1    2670.8
Source: Company




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                                                                                                                                        Page 7
RATING RATIONALE
ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns
ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the
notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.

Strong Buy: 20% or more;
Buy: Between 10% and 20%;
Add: Up to 10%;
Reduce: Up to -10%
Sell: -10% or more;

                                  Pankaj Pandey                                           Head – Research                                       pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

                                                                        ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
                                                                        ICICI Securities Limited,
                                                                        7th Floor , Akruti Centre Point,
                                                                        MIDC Main Road, Marol Naka,
                                                                        Andheri (East)
                                                                        Mumbai – 400 093

                                                                         research@icicidirect.com

ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Deepak Purswani PGDBM research analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal
views about any and all of the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in
this report. Analysts aren't registered as research analysts by FINRA and might not be an associated person of the ICICI Securities Inc.


Disclosures:
ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) and its affiliates are a full-service, integrated investment banking,2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. and financing group. We along with affiliates are leading
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underwriter of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our affiliates have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of
companies covered by our Investment Research Department. Our research professionals provide important input into our investment banking and other business selection processes. ICICI Securities
generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their dependent family members from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts
cover.

The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and
meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without
prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, ICICI Securities, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and
employees (“ICICI Securities and affiliates”) are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent ICICI Securities
from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities
policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities is acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain other circumstances.

This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This
report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their
receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific
circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate
the investment risks. The value and return of investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities and affiliates accept no liabilities for any
loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the
risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to
change without notice.

ICICI Securities and its affiliates might have managed or co-managed a public offering for the subject company in the preceding twelve months. ICICI Securities and affiliates might have received
compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of public offerings, corporate finance, investment
banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction. ICICI Securities and affiliates expect to receive compensation from the companies mentioned in the report within a period of three
months following the date of publication of the research report for services in respect of public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific
transaction. It is confirmed that Deepak Purswani PGDBM research analyst and the authors of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding
twelve months. Our research professionals are paid in part based on the profitability of ICICI Securities, which include earnings from Investment Banking and other business.

ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the
research report.

It is confirmed that Deepak Purswani PGDBM research analyst and the authors of this report or any of their family members does not serve as an officer, director or advisory board member of the
companies mentioned in the report.

ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. ICICI Securities and affiliates may act upon or make use
of information contained in the report prior to the publication thereof.

This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution,
publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities
described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and
to observe such restriction.

This report has not been prepared by ICICI Securities, Inc. However, ICICI Securities, Inc. has reviewed the report and, in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable,
although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.




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Db 1

  • 1. IPO Review February 1, 2010 Rating matrix DB Realty Limited Rating : Avoid Price band Rs 468 – Rs 486 Issue Details Another Mumbai-based player… Issue opens January 29, 2010 Issue closes February 02, 2010 Incorporated in 2007, DB Realty Limited (DB Realty) is a real estate developer focused in and around Mumbai. DB Realty has a land bank of Issue size (Rs crore) Rs. 1500 crore 61 million (mn) sq ft (Ongoing projects – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming– 19.3 No of shares on offer 3.1-3.2crore mn sq ft and upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft). Approximately 85% of the land - Fresh Issue to the public 3.1-3.2 crore bank is spread in and around Mumbai. - Employee Reservation NA Land bank spread in Mumbai QIB ( 60% ) 1.85-1.92crore As on December 31, 2009 DB Realty has a land bank of 61 mn sq ft Non Institutional ( 10% ) 0.31-0.32 crore (Ongoing projects – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft and Retail ( 30% ) 0.93-0.96 crore upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft). Out of 61 mn sq ft, ~85% of the land bank is spread in and around Mumbai in places such as Goregaon, Mira Minimum lot size 14 Road, Dahisar, Kandivali, BKC and Andheri. Additionally, ~7% of the Market cap (Post issue) (Rs. Crore) 11,385-11,765 land bank is spread in the southern part of the Mumbai where the realisations are pretty high given the lack of scarcity of land in these areas. Objects of the Issue Particulars Amount (Rs. Crore) Parentage advantage Construction & development cost for Rs. 1044.7 crore The families of the promoters have been in the real estate and related certain of the projects businesses for decades and have developed several large projects in Pre-payment of loan from IDFC Rs. 80 crore and around Mumbai. General corporate purposes & issue Rs.375.3crore Concerns ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. related expenses Crisil has assigned the IPO grade of 2/5 indicating that the fundamentals of the IPO are below average relative to the other listed equity securities in India Fact Sheet Pre-Issue Post-Issue DB Realty has invested Rs 705.1 crore in unlisted entities related to No of shares (In crore) 21.1 24.2-24.3 DB Realty. It has provided corporate guarantees, aggregating to ~Rs 2519 crore, in connection with certain debt facilities availed by such Promoters (%) 73.7 64.0-64.3 entities, which are in excess of DB Realty’s net worth Others (%) 0.0 0.0 Public (%) 26.3 35.7-36.0 Valuations Financial Summary DB Realty is available at 3.9x P/BV at the lower price band of Rs 468 per Rs. Crore FY08 FY09 H1 FY10 share and 4.0x P/BV at the higher price band of Rs 486 per share. While, Sales 0.0 464.4 39.4 we like the quality of the land bank, we see better opportunities available EBITDA -12.8 225.8 146.8 in the secondary markets at these levels of valuation. Hence, we recommend investors AVOID the issue. PAT -23.6 143.8 64.1 EPS ( post issue) -1.0 6.0 2.7 Exhibit 1: Key Financials EBITDA margin (%) NA 48.6 37.2 Particular FY08 FY09 H1FY10 PAT margin (%) NA 31.0 16.2 Net sales 0.0 464.4 394.4 EBITDA -12.8 225.8 146.8 Margin (%) 48.6 37.2 Analyst’s name Reported PAT -23.6 143.8 64.1 Deepak Purswani Margin (%) 31.0 16.2 deepak.purswani@icicisecurities.com Post Issue Diluted EPS (Rs) -1.0 6.0 2.7 RoE(%) 18.7 11.5* RoCE(%) 10.2 11.1* Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research *Annualised ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited.
  • 2. Company Background Incorporated in 2007, DB Realty is a real estate development company that is focused on residential, commercials, retail and other projects such as mass housing and cluster redevelopment in and around Mumbai. The company is jointly promoted by Vinod Goenka and Shahid Balwa, whose families have been in the real estate business for more than 25 and 95 years, respectively. As on December 31, 2009, the promoters and promoter group companies have collectively developed ~15.9 mn sq ft of real estate development. This includes residential projects – developable area of 15.3 mn sq ft and commercial & retail projects with developable area of 0.6 mn sq ft. In terms of land bank, the company currently has a land bank of 61 mn sq ft, which is largely focused on the residential vertical in the Mumbai real estate market. As on December 31, 2009, DB Realty has a land bank of 61 mn sq ft (Ongoing project – 19.5 mn sq ft, forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft and upcoming– 22.2 mn sq ft). Exhibit 2: Break-up of saleable are Ongoing Forthcoming Upcoming Total Mn sq ft % Mn sq ft % Mn sq ft % Mn sq ft % Land bank of 61 mn sq ft (Ongoing -19.6 mn sq ft; Residential 6.9 35.7 12.9 66.8 20.8 93.5 40.6 66.6 forthcoming – 19.3 mn sq ft and upcoming -22.2 mn Commercial 1.6 8.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 3.5 sq ft) Retail 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.4 0.6 Mass Housing & cluster Redevelopement 10.9 56.1 6.2 32.2 0.7 3.3 17.9 29.3 Total 19.5 100.0 19.3 100.0 22.2 100.0 61.0 100.0 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 3: Details of ongoing projects ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. Total Saleable Expected estimated Cost Area (in completion cost (Rs incurred Project Name Type mn sq ft) Start date date cr) (Rs cr) Orchid Zone, Dahisar Residential 1.58 Aug-09 Sep-12 625 193 Orchid Zone, Dahisar Retail 0.03 Aug-09 Sep-12 Orchid Woods,Goregaon Residential 0.88 Feb-07 Jun-11 542 404 Orchid Heights, Jacob Circle Residential 0.62 Nov-09 Mar-13 506 123 Orchid Suburbia, Kandivali Residential 0.49 Jan-09 Dec-11 471 280 Total 97.5% of the ongoing projects are in Mumbai Mass Housing - Mahul Nagar, Mahul,Mumabi TDR 8.70 Mar-07 Mar-11 854 643 Orchid Hills,Chandivali,Andheri Residential 0.52 Mar-09 Mar-13 878 50 Orchid Hills,Chandivali,Andheri TDR 2.24 Mar-09 Mar-13 Ascot Centre, Andheri Commercial 0.34 Feb-07 Dec-12 155 10 Orchid Turf View, Mahalaxmi Residential 1.48 Jan-10 Mar-13 675 74 Orchid Corporate Park, Andheri Commercial 1.25 Jan-10 Nov-12 472 101 Residential & Orchid Centre, Yerawada, Pune Retail 0.47 Jan-09 Jun-12 135 4 Orchid Crown, Dadar Residential 0.90 Jan-10 Dec-12 567 7 Total 19.51 5882 1888 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited. Page 2
  • 3. Exhibit 4: Details about forthcoming project Total Saleable Expected estimated Cost Area (in completion cost (Rs incurred Project Name Type mn sq ft) Start date date cr) (Rs cr) Orchid Hills Park,Goregaon Residential 1.67 Aug-10 Jul-13 683 2 Orchid Hills Park,Goregaon TDR 6.21 Aug-10 Jul-13 Orchid Garden, Dahisar Residential 2.19 Jul-10 Jun-12 461 15 Total 65.2% of forthcoming project are in Mumbai Orchid West View, Malad Residential 0.66 Apr-10 Mar-13 260 15 Orchid View, Mumbai Central Residential 0.69 Apr-10 Mar-13 476 16 Orchid Park, Bacchuwadi Residential 0.64 Sep-10 Mar-13 267 27 Orchid Skyz, Byculla Residential 0.30 Sep-10 Aug-13 244 1 DB Tower, BKC Residential 0.01 Apr-10 Mar-13 582 309 DB Tower, BKC Commercial 0.19 Apr-10 Mar-13 Orchid Town, Pimpari Residential 6.72 Aug-09 Sep-12 2137 53 Total 19.3 5110 438 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 5: Details about upcoming project Total Saleable Expected estimated Cost Area (in completion cost (Rs incurred Project Name Type mn sq ft) Start date date cr) (Rs cr) Orchid Acre, Mira Road Residential 17.93 Apr-10 Dec-13 2910 105 Total 92.4% of upcoming projects are in Mumbai Orchid Enclave II, Mumbai Central Residential 0.69 Jul-10 Dec-12 272 20 Orchid Apartments, Mankhurd Residential 0.43 Mar-11 Feb-15 447 560 Orchid Apartments, Mankhurd TDR 0.73 Mar-11 Feb-15 Orchid Splendour, Byculla Residential 0.42 Apr-10 Mar-13 170 21 Orchid Central, Mumbai Central Residential 0.34 Jul-10 Dec-12 121 16 Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune Residential 0.99 Jan-11 Dec-16 951 39 Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune Commercial 0.35 Jan-11 Dec-16 Orchid Lawn, Sangamwadi, Pune Retail 0.35 Jan-11 Dec-16 Total 22.2 4,869 760 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Page 3
  • 4. Investment Rationale Land bank spread in island city of Mumbai DB Realty is largely focused on the Mumbai real estate market. Out of 61 mn sq ft, 85% of the total land is spread in Mumbai. The company is looking to focus only on the Mumbai real estate market. The land bank is spread in areas such as Goregaon, Mira Road, Dahisar, Kandivali and BKC & Andheri. Importantly, approximately 7% of the total land bank is spread in southern parts of Mumbai where the realisations are pretty high given the scarcity of the land. Exhibit 6: Area wise break-up of land bank (%) 120.0 97.5 100.0 92.4 85.3 80.0 65.2 60.0 34.8 40.0 14.7 20.0 7.6 2.5 0.0 Ongoing Forthcoming Upcoming Total Mumbai Pune Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 to experience & capabilities Strong parentage providing access EDT. DownloadPDF. The promoter’s family has been in the real estate DB Realty benefits from its promoter’s background in the real estate business for a long time development industry. The families of Vinod K Goenka and Shahid Balwa have been in the real estate and related businesses for more than 25 years and 95 years, respectively, and have developed several large projects in and around Mumbai. May participate in redevelopment space in Mumbai May enter into block redevelopment in Mumbai DB Realty may look for redevelopment space in southern parts of Mumbai in future for block redevelopment under DCR 33(9). These projects typically have FSI as high as 4x while realisations are pretty high in southern parts of Mumbai. However, these projects are long gestation projects with initial two years involved in negotiations with tenants and getting regulatory approvals. ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited. Page 4
  • 5. Key concerns Crisil rates IPO grade of 2/5 Crisil has assigned the IPO a grade of 2/5. This grade indicates that the fundamentals of the IPO are below average relative to other listed equity securities in India. The grading reflects the fact that DB Realty lacks operating history in real estate development. Corporate guarantees provided for subsidiaries DB Realty has provided corporate guarantees of As on September 30,2009, DB Realty has invested Rs 705.1 crore in subsidiaries, which are in excess of its net worth unlisted entities related to DB Realty and provided corporate guarantees, aggregating to ~Rs 2519 crore, in connection with certain debt facilities availed by such entities, which are in excess of DB Realty’s net worth. These corporate guarantees constitute about 68.7% of the total debt sanctioned to such entities. Higher concentration on Mumbai real estate market DB Realty’s land bank is highly concentrated in and around Mumbai. In the current land bank of 61 mn sq ft, ~85% of the land bank is spread in and around Mumbai. Any slowdown in the Mumbai real estate market could impact its financial significantly. ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited. Page 5
  • 6. Financials Financials impacted by recent slowdown Since the company was incorporated in 2007, there is limited financial history of the company. In FY09, the company’s revenues stood at Rs 464.4 crore and net profit stood at Rs 143.8 crore. In H1FY10, the company’s revenues stood at Rs 394.4 crore while net profit stood at Rs 64.1 crore. Valuations Avoid the issue. There are better opportunities DB Realty is available at 3.9x P/BV at the lower price band of Rs 468 per available in the secondary market share and 4.0x P/BV at the higher price band of Rs 486 per share. While we like the quality of the land bank, we see better opportunities available in the secondary markets at these levels of valuation. Hence, we recommend investors AVOID the issue. Exhibit 7: Valuation table Mkt cap (Rs Land bank ( cr) EV (Rs cr) mn sq ft) Mkt cap/ sq ft EV/sq ft P/BV DB Realty @Rs468 11,385 12,072 61 1,866 1,979 3.9 DB Realty @Rs486 11,765 12,452 61 1,929 2,041 4.0 DLF 56,632 71,012 430 1,317 1,651 2.2 Unitech 17,732 22,975 328* 541 700 1.7 HDIL 11,433 14,574 196 582 742 1.7 Godrej Properties 3,337 3,608 50 667 722 4.3 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited. Page 6
  • 7. Financial Summary Exhibit 1: Profit and Loss Account Particular FY08 FY09 H1FY10 Net sales 0.0 464.4 394.4 Total expenditure 12.8 238.6 247.6 EBITDA -12.8 225.8 146.8 Other income 6.3 6.8 4.8 Interest 15.4 74.7 70.1 Depreciation 1.6 7.4 4.6 Profit Before Tax -23.5 150.5 77.0 Taxes 0.1 6.7 12.9 PAT -23.6 143.8 64.1 OPM (%) 48.6 37.2 NPM (%) 31.0 16.2 Outstanding shares 0.9 0.9 21.1 EPS (Rs) -25.2 157.7 3.0 Diluted EPS (post issue) -1.0 6.0 2.7 Source: Company Exhibit 2: Balance Sheet Particular FY08 FY09 H1FY10 Share capital 9.4 9.1 211.2 Reserves & Surplus 718.6 801.5 1200.3 Net Worth 728.0 810.6 1411.6 Minority Interest 55.4 55.3 55.4 ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on 520.8 Secured Loans 222.7 2011-08-15536.1 03:39:26 EDT. DownloadPDF. Unsecured Loans 380.4 714.9 215.3 Deferred Tax Liability 0.0 0.4 0.4 Current Liabilities & provisions 438.2 342.1 452.2 Total Liabilities 1824.6 2444.1 2670.8 Net Block 14.3 20.8 18.5 Capital WIP 0.5 1.5 1.0 Investment 178.5 0.2 25.4 Inventories 533.8 1057.8 1172.6 Sundry Debtors 9.1 42.6 86.6 Cash & bank balance 103.7 76.9 64.3 Loans & Advances 984.8 1244.2 1302.1 Other current assets 0.0 0.0 0.4 Total assets 1824.6 2444.1 2670.8 Source: Company ICICIdirect.com | Equity Research Downloaded by in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 at 2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. ISI Emerging Markets. Unauthorized Distribution Prohibited. Page 7
  • 8. RATING RATIONALE ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock. Strong Buy: 20% or more; Buy: Between 10% and 20%; Add: Up to 10%; Reduce: Up to -10% Sell: -10% or more; Pankaj Pandey Head – Research pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 7th Floor , Akruti Centre Point, MIDC Main Road, Marol Naka, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093 research@icicidirect.com ANALYST CERTIFICATION We /I, Deepak Purswani PGDBM research analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal views about any and all of the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Analysts aren't registered as research analysts by FINRA and might not be an associated person of the ICICI Securities Inc. Disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) and its affiliates are a full-service, integrated investment banking,2011-08-15 03:39:26 EDT. and financing group. We along with affiliates are leading ISIEmergingMarketsPDF in-pwcdel from 117.198.120.163 on investment management and brokerage DownloadPDF. underwriter of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our affiliates have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. Our research professionals provide important input into our investment banking and other business selection processes. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their dependent family members from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover. 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