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Demographics
    Grapevine, Colleyville, Southlake, Keller




Sources: US Census Bureau, Synergos Technologies Inc., Experian, DecisionInsite/
          MissionInsite, ZIPSkinny.com, City-Data.com, TAG Consulting
General Information
    Grapevine                             51,098
    Population (2010)
    Area Population                      135,798
    (2010)

    Projected Area                       153,770
    Population in 2015
                           Considered low density
    Growth since 2000              31,008 (29.6%)
    Projected Growth               17,972 (13.2%)
    (2015)



Analysis: The population is projected to grow over
                the next five years
Average Age
     2000                              32.6


     2010                              36.4


     2015 (Proj.)                      38.2




   Analysis: The average age is projected to get
somewhat older. Average age close to state average.
Phase of life trends
                              2000     2010     2015     Proj. change
Preschool (0-4)                7,676    8,217    9,233          -1.3%
School age (5-17)             26,121   25,853   25,666          -8.2%
College/Career (18-24)         5,722   17,564   17,829          6.1%
Single/Young Families         11,293   13,071   22,764          4.0%
(25-34)
Families/Empty Nest (35-54)   42,028   40,472   33,241        -18.5%
Enrichment Years (55-64)       7,394   20,033   26,616         10.3%
Retirement (65+)               4,557   10,588   18,421         12.0%




Analysis: The area will become an aging community.
Marital Status
Marital Status Age 15+            2000               2010

Never married            14,561     19.0%   19.979     18.5%
Now married              53,713     70.2%   76,983     71.2%

Divorced                  4,899      6.4%    6,583      6.0%

Separated                 1,556      2.0%    2,101      1.9%

Widowed                   1,820      2.4%    2,516      2.3%



 Analysis: Married couple significantly higher than
state average. Divorce significantly lower than state
                      average.
Educational Attainment
  Education Attainment             2000                2010
         by 25+
 Less than 9th grade       1,326    19.0%      1,797     2.1%

 Some H.S., no diploma     2,241     3.4%      2,991     3.6%

 H.S. Graduate or GED      9,411    14.4%     12,372    14.7%

 Some College             15,515    23.8%     20,122    23.9%

 Associate Degree          4,507     6.9%      5,891     7.0%

 Bachelor’s Degree        22,986    35.2%     29,234    34.7%

 Graduate or               9,286    14.2%     11,757    14.0%
 Professional degree


Analysis: Education level significantly higher than state average
Income Trends
     Income Trends: Average        2000       2010       2015
Average Household Income           $112,077   $137,783   $154,220
 Average Household Income Change               $25,706    $16,437
 Percent Change                                 22.9%      11.9%
Median Income                                 $111,769   $125,215
Per Capita Income                   $38,046    $46,677    $48,869
 Per Capita Income Change                       $8,631     $2,192
 Percent Change                                 22.7%       4.7%


Analysis: Average Household Income is project to
 grow significantly over next five years. Per capita
      income projected to grow somewhat.
Families
            Families       2000       2010       2015
Families                     29,452     38,039     43,051
 Families Change                         8,587      5,012
 Percent Change                         29.2%      13.2%




  Analysis: The number of family households is
   projected to grow over the next five years.
The number of household is changing is somewhat
              faster than the state.
Ethnic Breakdown
                         2000     2010      2015      Proj. change
Asian                     2,371     4,348     6,423          1.9%
Black/African American    1,732     3,023     3,437          0.6%
White                    91,311   109,485   118,552        -10.0%
Hispanic or Latino        7,459    16,312    21,777          7.0%
Pac Is/Am Ind/Other       1,918     2,631     3,580          0.5%




 Analysis: The Hispanic population is expected to
       grow, but less than the state average.
 The white population is expected to shrink more
              than the state average.
Ethnic Breakdown
Presently, the U.S. is the 5th largest Spanish speaking
                country in the world.
   By the year 2025, the U.S. will be the largest.

 By the year 2015, China will be the largest English
          speaking country in the world.
Summary
NE Tarrant County is largely made up of:
     Middle to Upper Middle class
              Caucasian
         Married with children
         Evangelical Protestant
        Well educated people!

But it’s diversifying and it’s getting older.
Mosaic Descriptions
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Grapevine vs. Texas
•   Median household income significantly above state average.
•   Median house value above state average.
•   Unemployed percentage significantly below state average.
•   Black race population percentage below state average.
•   Hispanic race population percentage significantly above state
    average.
•   Median age below state average.
•   Foreign-born population percentage significantly above state
    average.
•   Length of stay since moving in significantly below state average.
•   House age significantly below state average.
•   Percentage of population with a bachelor's degree or higher above
    state average.
Commuting
    Less than 15 minutes        14,583 (20.7%)
    15 to 29 minutes            24,865 (35.4%)


    30 to 44 minutes            19,250 (27.4%)

    45 to 59 minutes             7,555 (10.7%)
    60+ minutes                   4,045 (5.8%)




Analysis: The average commute time is expected to
                  rise statewide.
Religious affiliation
                   SBC        Catholic       UMC            Non-      Church of
                                                        Charismatic    Christ
                                                        Independent
Adherents         35.7%        22.0%        13.0%          4.5%        4.1%
Congregations     30.3%        3.7%         8.6%           2.3%        10.8%


                Assembly of Disciples of     Muslim      Episcopal     Other
                   God         Christ      (estimate)
Adherents          2.5%        2.3%          1.9%          1.9%        12.2%
Congregations      7.3%        2.9%          1.0%          2.8%        30.3%



   Percentage of population affliated with a religious
  congregation in Grapevine: 52.45%. In USA: 50.20%
Religious trends nationwide

 In 75% of all U.S. churches, there have been NO
         adult baptisms in the last year.

Less than 40% of Americans attend church regularly.
  Only 17% of US Churches are growing. Only 4%
              through conversions.
PC(USA) trends

PC(USA) membership declined from 4.22 million in
         1967 ro 2.45 million in 2002.

Only 65% of members have a sense of excitement
       about their congregation’s future.

        Only 43% read their Bible weekly.
Missional Issues
•   Local drug and alcohol rehab centers admit about 1000 new
    patients a year.
•   In Texas, a 15-19 year old gives birth about every 10 minutes; about
    every 48 minutes, a teenager has an abortion. That rate is slightly
    lower in NE Tarrant County.
•   Grapevine scores around 220 on the crime index (US avg. 321)
•   Historical tornado activity is above the Texas average and 266%
    about US average.
•   The average worker from Grapevine spends 30-60 minutes in
    communting.
•   Tarrant County is in the top 100 counties with the largest number
    of children under 18 without health insurance coverage in 2000
    (pop. 50,000+)"
Missional Issues
•   DFW has the 2nd highest concentration of megachurches in the US
    (Houston - 1st; Austin - 3rd). The third largest is Fellowship
    Church (24,000+). Gateway Church is 34th (11,000+)
•   Despite a high concentration of churches and megachurches, the
    rate of persons belonging to a faith community is only slightly higher
    than the U.S. average.
•
Grapevine Top 100
•   #99 on the list of "Top 100 cities with highest median household
    income and median resident age less than 35 (pop. 5,000+)"

•   #7 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest Ozone (8-hour)
    air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)"
•   #10 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest Ozone (1-
    hour) air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)"
•   #54 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest number of
    births per 1000 residents 2000-2003 (pop 50,000+)"
•   #81 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest carbon
    monoxide air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)"
•   #86 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the largest number of
    children under 18 without health insurance coverage in 2000 (pop.
    50,000+)"

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Demographics of FPCGV 2010

  • 1. Demographics Grapevine, Colleyville, Southlake, Keller Sources: US Census Bureau, Synergos Technologies Inc., Experian, DecisionInsite/ MissionInsite, ZIPSkinny.com, City-Data.com, TAG Consulting
  • 2. General Information Grapevine 51,098 Population (2010) Area Population 135,798 (2010) Projected Area 153,770 Population in 2015 Considered low density Growth since 2000 31,008 (29.6%) Projected Growth 17,972 (13.2%) (2015) Analysis: The population is projected to grow over the next five years
  • 3. Average Age 2000 32.6 2010 36.4 2015 (Proj.) 38.2 Analysis: The average age is projected to get somewhat older. Average age close to state average.
  • 4. Phase of life trends 2000 2010 2015 Proj. change Preschool (0-4) 7,676 8,217 9,233 -1.3% School age (5-17) 26,121 25,853 25,666 -8.2% College/Career (18-24) 5,722 17,564 17,829 6.1% Single/Young Families 11,293 13,071 22,764 4.0% (25-34) Families/Empty Nest (35-54) 42,028 40,472 33,241 -18.5% Enrichment Years (55-64) 7,394 20,033 26,616 10.3% Retirement (65+) 4,557 10,588 18,421 12.0% Analysis: The area will become an aging community.
  • 5. Marital Status Marital Status Age 15+ 2000 2010 Never married 14,561 19.0% 19.979 18.5% Now married 53,713 70.2% 76,983 71.2% Divorced 4,899 6.4% 6,583 6.0% Separated 1,556 2.0% 2,101 1.9% Widowed 1,820 2.4% 2,516 2.3% Analysis: Married couple significantly higher than state average. Divorce significantly lower than state average.
  • 6. Educational Attainment Education Attainment 2000 2010 by 25+ Less than 9th grade 1,326 19.0% 1,797 2.1% Some H.S., no diploma 2,241 3.4% 2,991 3.6% H.S. Graduate or GED 9,411 14.4% 12,372 14.7% Some College 15,515 23.8% 20,122 23.9% Associate Degree 4,507 6.9% 5,891 7.0% Bachelor’s Degree 22,986 35.2% 29,234 34.7% Graduate or 9,286 14.2% 11,757 14.0% Professional degree Analysis: Education level significantly higher than state average
  • 7. Income Trends Income Trends: Average 2000 2010 2015 Average Household Income $112,077 $137,783 $154,220 Average Household Income Change $25,706 $16,437 Percent Change 22.9% 11.9% Median Income $111,769 $125,215 Per Capita Income $38,046 $46,677 $48,869 Per Capita Income Change $8,631 $2,192 Percent Change 22.7% 4.7% Analysis: Average Household Income is project to grow significantly over next five years. Per capita income projected to grow somewhat.
  • 8. Families Families 2000 2010 2015 Families 29,452 38,039 43,051 Families Change 8,587 5,012 Percent Change 29.2% 13.2% Analysis: The number of family households is projected to grow over the next five years. The number of household is changing is somewhat faster than the state.
  • 9. Ethnic Breakdown 2000 2010 2015 Proj. change Asian 2,371 4,348 6,423 1.9% Black/African American 1,732 3,023 3,437 0.6% White 91,311 109,485 118,552 -10.0% Hispanic or Latino 7,459 16,312 21,777 7.0% Pac Is/Am Ind/Other 1,918 2,631 3,580 0.5% Analysis: The Hispanic population is expected to grow, but less than the state average. The white population is expected to shrink more than the state average.
  • 10. Ethnic Breakdown Presently, the U.S. is the 5th largest Spanish speaking country in the world. By the year 2025, the U.S. will be the largest. By the year 2015, China will be the largest English speaking country in the world.
  • 11. Summary NE Tarrant County is largely made up of: Middle to Upper Middle class Caucasian Married with children Evangelical Protestant Well educated people! But it’s diversifying and it’s getting older.
  • 12. Mosaic Descriptions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`V)-%5,a'2E&#"'0Q#']#J$'H#E2')E'0Q#'L),2H#E0-'K%JJ#"/O !"#$%&$'"()*+$!,#- (9$:B11- 54$C- )1 :";#)1)4*E-$<58-=$"2$!"#$%&$'"()*+$!,#-( 38<*'L"#%H'M#%N#"- 38<*'L"#%H'M#%N#"- 386*'R#S'12.2".5%'T%H5J5#- 386*'R#S'12.2".5%'T%H5J5#- D89*'V5&IH%"U#0'WE0#"$"5-# D89*'V5&IH%"U#0'WE0#"$"5-# 387*'1H%JJI0)SE'12,,#-- 387*'1H%JJI0)SE'12,,#--
  • 13. Grapevine vs. Texas • Median household income significantly above state average. • Median house value above state average. • Unemployed percentage significantly below state average. • Black race population percentage below state average. • Hispanic race population percentage significantly above state average. • Median age below state average. • Foreign-born population percentage significantly above state average. • Length of stay since moving in significantly below state average. • House age significantly below state average. • Percentage of population with a bachelor's degree or higher above state average.
  • 14. Commuting Less than 15 minutes 14,583 (20.7%) 15 to 29 minutes 24,865 (35.4%) 30 to 44 minutes 19,250 (27.4%) 45 to 59 minutes 7,555 (10.7%) 60+ minutes 4,045 (5.8%) Analysis: The average commute time is expected to rise statewide.
  • 15. Religious affiliation SBC Catholic UMC Non- Church of Charismatic Christ Independent Adherents 35.7% 22.0% 13.0% 4.5% 4.1% Congregations 30.3% 3.7% 8.6% 2.3% 10.8% Assembly of Disciples of Muslim Episcopal Other God Christ (estimate) Adherents 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 12.2% Congregations 7.3% 2.9% 1.0% 2.8% 30.3% Percentage of population affliated with a religious congregation in Grapevine: 52.45%. In USA: 50.20%
  • 16. Religious trends nationwide In 75% of all U.S. churches, there have been NO adult baptisms in the last year. Less than 40% of Americans attend church regularly. Only 17% of US Churches are growing. Only 4% through conversions.
  • 17. PC(USA) trends PC(USA) membership declined from 4.22 million in 1967 ro 2.45 million in 2002. Only 65% of members have a sense of excitement about their congregation’s future. Only 43% read their Bible weekly.
  • 18. Missional Issues • Local drug and alcohol rehab centers admit about 1000 new patients a year. • In Texas, a 15-19 year old gives birth about every 10 minutes; about every 48 minutes, a teenager has an abortion. That rate is slightly lower in NE Tarrant County. • Grapevine scores around 220 on the crime index (US avg. 321) • Historical tornado activity is above the Texas average and 266% about US average. • The average worker from Grapevine spends 30-60 minutes in communting. • Tarrant County is in the top 100 counties with the largest number of children under 18 without health insurance coverage in 2000 (pop. 50,000+)"
  • 19. Missional Issues • DFW has the 2nd highest concentration of megachurches in the US (Houston - 1st; Austin - 3rd). The third largest is Fellowship Church (24,000+). Gateway Church is 34th (11,000+) • Despite a high concentration of churches and megachurches, the rate of persons belonging to a faith community is only slightly higher than the U.S. average. •
  • 20. Grapevine Top 100 • #99 on the list of "Top 100 cities with highest median household income and median resident age less than 35 (pop. 5,000+)" • #7 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest Ozone (8-hour) air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)" • #10 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest Ozone (1- hour) air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)" • #54 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest number of births per 1000 residents 2000-2003 (pop 50,000+)" • #81 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the highest carbon monoxide air pollution readings in 2005 (ppm)" • #86 on the list of "Top 101 counties with the largest number of children under 18 without health insurance coverage in 2000 (pop. 50,000+)"

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