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Module 2
SAPM
CONTENTS – Module 2
 Lesson 1: Diversification & Stochastic
Dominance
 Lesson 2: Diversification & Markowitz Model
 Lesson 3: Problems - Diversification
 Lesson 4: InvestmentTheories
 Lesson 5: Models In Investment
 Lesson 6: Introduction – Introduction to
Bonds & Bond Theorems
 Lesson 7: Problems using excel – Duration &
Portfolio Risk
 Lesson 8: Real Estate Investment & Summary
Lesson 1
 Goals:
 1. Understand the concept of
diversification
 2. Evaluate various types of Risk behavior
 3. Concept of Stochastic Dominance and
its application
Module 2: SAPM Lesson 1
DIVERSIFICATION
“ DON’T PUT ALLYOUR EGGS IN ONE
BASKET”
Fieldstein andYitzhaki (2000)
 Indicated that Corporate stock owned by
high income individuals appreciated
substantially faster than that of investors
with lower incomes.
 Higher income individuals have larger
portfolios and devote more time and
resources to their investments.
What happens if you invest all your
money in a single stock ?
1. Success
2. Stagnant
3. Failure
TYPES OF RISK BEHAVIOUR
 Risk Averse
 Risk taker
 Risk Neutral
Stochastic Dominance
 Investor Preference
 Stochastic
 Dominance
 First order Stochastic Dominance
 Second Order Stochastic Dominance
 Process of Stochastic Dominance with an
example.
INVESTOR PREFERENCE
Regardless of their attitude towards risk,
investors prefer higher returns to lower
returns.
Stochastic
 It denotes the process of selecting from
among a group of theoretically possible
alternatives those elements or factors
whose combination will most closely
approximate a desired result.
FSD
Cumulative distribution A will be preferred over
cumulative distribution B if every value of distribution A
lies below or on distribution B, provided the two
distributions are not identical.
A
B
Returns %
Cumul
ative
probab
ility
Explanation of FSD
 The probability that investment avenue A
will generate a given level or less than the
given level of returns is lower than that of
B.
 It implies A dominates B.
SSD
Alternative A is preferred to alternative B if the
cumulative probability of B minus the cumulative
probability of A is always non negative.
Returns
Cumul
ative
probabi
lity +ve
-ve
A
B
PROCESS
1. Select Portfolios or alternatives for
comparison
2. Develop frequency distribution
3. Develop relative frequency distribution
4. Develop cumulative frequency distribution of
less than type.
5. Plot.
Class Illustration
 1.The following are the returns from two
funds. Find whether Fund A has SSD over
fund B.
 year fund A fund B
 1 46 63
 2 16 13
 3 36 19
 4 9 37
 5 7 12
 6 19 30
 7 72 39
Solution
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
18 40 62
cf1
cf2
SSD
x CI A B rfA rfB cf1 cf2
18 7-29 4 3 0.57 0.43 0.57 0.43
40 29-51 2 3 0.28 0.43 0.85 0.86
62 51-73 1 1 0.15 0.14 1 1
Summary
 Diversification reduces risk
 Investors can be risk aversive, risk neutral
or risk taking in nature.
 Regardless of their attitude towards risk
Investors prefer higher returns over
lower returns.
 Stochastic dominance is a process of
selecting alternatives which gives the
desired return.
Thank you

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Lesson 1 module 2

  • 2. CONTENTS – Module 2  Lesson 1: Diversification & Stochastic Dominance  Lesson 2: Diversification & Markowitz Model  Lesson 3: Problems - Diversification  Lesson 4: InvestmentTheories  Lesson 5: Models In Investment  Lesson 6: Introduction – Introduction to Bonds & Bond Theorems  Lesson 7: Problems using excel – Duration & Portfolio Risk  Lesson 8: Real Estate Investment & Summary
  • 3. Lesson 1  Goals:  1. Understand the concept of diversification  2. Evaluate various types of Risk behavior  3. Concept of Stochastic Dominance and its application Module 2: SAPM Lesson 1
  • 4. DIVERSIFICATION “ DON’T PUT ALLYOUR EGGS IN ONE BASKET”
  • 5. Fieldstein andYitzhaki (2000)  Indicated that Corporate stock owned by high income individuals appreciated substantially faster than that of investors with lower incomes.  Higher income individuals have larger portfolios and devote more time and resources to their investments.
  • 6. What happens if you invest all your money in a single stock ? 1. Success 2. Stagnant 3. Failure
  • 7. TYPES OF RISK BEHAVIOUR  Risk Averse  Risk taker  Risk Neutral
  • 8. Stochastic Dominance  Investor Preference  Stochastic  Dominance  First order Stochastic Dominance  Second Order Stochastic Dominance  Process of Stochastic Dominance with an example.
  • 9. INVESTOR PREFERENCE Regardless of their attitude towards risk, investors prefer higher returns to lower returns.
  • 10. Stochastic  It denotes the process of selecting from among a group of theoretically possible alternatives those elements or factors whose combination will most closely approximate a desired result.
  • 11. FSD Cumulative distribution A will be preferred over cumulative distribution B if every value of distribution A lies below or on distribution B, provided the two distributions are not identical. A B Returns % Cumul ative probab ility
  • 12. Explanation of FSD  The probability that investment avenue A will generate a given level or less than the given level of returns is lower than that of B.  It implies A dominates B.
  • 13. SSD Alternative A is preferred to alternative B if the cumulative probability of B minus the cumulative probability of A is always non negative. Returns Cumul ative probabi lity +ve -ve A B
  • 14. PROCESS 1. Select Portfolios or alternatives for comparison 2. Develop frequency distribution 3. Develop relative frequency distribution 4. Develop cumulative frequency distribution of less than type. 5. Plot.
  • 15. Class Illustration  1.The following are the returns from two funds. Find whether Fund A has SSD over fund B.  year fund A fund B  1 46 63  2 16 13  3 36 19  4 9 37  5 7 12  6 19 30  7 72 39
  • 16. Solution 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 18 40 62 cf1 cf2 SSD x CI A B rfA rfB cf1 cf2 18 7-29 4 3 0.57 0.43 0.57 0.43 40 29-51 2 3 0.28 0.43 0.85 0.86 62 51-73 1 1 0.15 0.14 1 1
  • 17. Summary  Diversification reduces risk  Investors can be risk aversive, risk neutral or risk taking in nature.  Regardless of their attitude towards risk Investors prefer higher returns over lower returns.  Stochastic dominance is a process of selecting alternatives which gives the desired return.