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Harvard business School Brief Case
1989
•Founded in 1989,manufactured in Cabot,
Vermont.
•used natural ingredients without artificial
thickeners as used by other competitors
•Yogurt's shell life is 50 days compared to
30 days for others
•entered the market with 8-ounce (oz.) and
32-oz. cup sizes of yogurt in 2 flavors
1999
•revenues grew from less than
$100,000 to $13 million.
•Fruit on the bottom
2000
•twelve refrigerated yogurt flavors in 8-
oz. cups and four flavors in 32-oz.
•started exploring
•multipack yogurt products (children’s
4-oz. cups and yogurt packaged in
tubes).
VC needs to cash out its investment
Find another investor or position itself for acquisition,
and increasing revenues was critical in order to attain
the highest possible valuation
Whether Natureview should expand into the
supermarket channel in order to meet its revenue goal
To grow revenues by over 50% before the
end of 2001.
To increase revenue to find another
investor or position itself for acquisition
STRENGTHS
•Greater shell life
•Low cost
•Smooth and unique
texture
•No artificial thickeners
used
WEAKNESS
•No alternative
financing
•Lacks potential to take
higher risk
OPPORTUNITY
Strong relationship with
natural food retailers
THREAT
Dropped out of
traditional channel
Accumulation of cash by
horizon
74%
9%
8%
9%
Yogurt's Market Share by Packaging Segment
8-oz size or smaller
Children's multipack
32-oz cup
others
26%
22%
25%
27%
Market share by region
Northwest
Mideast
SouthEast
West
24%
29%
31%
16%
Number of Retailers in
Region
Northeast
Mideast
Southeast
West
86%
14%
8-oz cup
32-oz
cup
97%
3%
Distribution Channel
Supermarkets
Natural Food Stores
Natural Food Channels Average Retail Price
8-oz cup $0.88
32-oz cup $3.19
4-oz cup multipack $3.35
Super Market Channel Average Retail Price
8-oz cup $0.74
32-oz cup $2.70
4-oz cup multipack $2.85
Manufacturing Cost
8-oz cup $0.31
32-oz cup $0.99
4-oz cup multipack $1.15
Option 1.
Expand six SKUs
of the 8-oz.
product line into
supermarket
channel regions
Option 2.
Expand four SKUs
of the 32-oz. size
nationally
Option 3
Introduce two
SKUs of a
children’s multi-
pack into the
natural foods
channel
Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz. size into eastern and western
supermarket regions
Attract higher-income, less price-sensitive customers.
First Mover Advantage
8-oz has highest incremental demand
Higher risks and costs
Assumption that broker will take advantage of relationship with
supermarkets
administrative expenses (SG&A) would increase by $320,000
Additional Marketing staff
Pros
Cons
2000
Revenue .74*3500000(unit sales) $25900000
Projected Revenue $1300000+25900000 $38900000
COGS .31*3500000 $10850000
Gross profit $28050000
Expenses
SG &A 320000 $ 320000
Advertising Cost 120000*2 $ 2400000
Brokers fee 1610000*.04 $ 66400
Slotting Fee 6*$ 10000 *20 $ 1200000
Net Profit $ 23,48600
By the end od 2001
Net profit will be
27,247 200
Expand 4 SKUs of 32 oz size nationally into super market
channel
Potentially higher gross profit margin
Stronger competitive advantage
Lower Marketing expenses
Would increase SG&A expense
Dependence on sales team to achieve full national
distribution in a year
Need to hire sales personnel and establish relationship with
Pros
Cons
200
Revenue 550000*2.7 $14850,000
Projected Revenue 14850000+13000000 $2785000
COGS 550000*.99 $544500
Gross Profit $9,405000
Expenses
Slotting Fee 4*10000*64 $2,560,000
S G & A 160000 $160000
Marketing Fee 1200000*4 $4800000
Broker’s Fee(4% revenue) $367400
Net Profit $18837600
By 2001 net
Profit will be
$21397600
Introduce 2 children’s multipacks into natural foods
channel
Established leader in this channel
Perfect positioning for new multi-product
Long term potential is good
Lower Market Expenses
Potential conflicts
Other uncertain factors
Pros
Cons
2000
Revenue 180000*3.35 $6030000
Revenue Projection 603000+13000000 $19030000
Cost 180000*1.15 $2070000
Gross Profit $16960000
Expenses
Marketing $250000
Complementary Cases 6030000*2.5% $150750
Net Profit $16559250
By 2001 Net
profit will
become
$17130637
Option1
Option 2
Option 3
Decision Parameter Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
Revenue Objective Exceeds Exceeds Falls Short
Short Term Profit Low Low High
Long Term Profit High High Low
Cost to Trial High Very High Low
Organization
Capabilities required
low low high
Go with option 1
I recommend NatureFarm to expand 6 SKUs of the
8-oz. size into eastern and western supermarket
regions .
8-oz is in highest demand
Long term revenues are high
High Growth (more than 12% a year)
Let’s RECAP:
Natureview Market yogurt-8 oz and
32 oz
History
Current Scenario(4 P’s and SWOT
analysis)
Market Share
3 Options-best 3rd option
Analysis and Decision
Natureview farm Case Anaysis

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Natureview farm Case Anaysis

  • 2. 1989 •Founded in 1989,manufactured in Cabot, Vermont. •used natural ingredients without artificial thickeners as used by other competitors •Yogurt's shell life is 50 days compared to 30 days for others •entered the market with 8-ounce (oz.) and 32-oz. cup sizes of yogurt in 2 flavors
  • 3. 1999 •revenues grew from less than $100,000 to $13 million. •Fruit on the bottom 2000 •twelve refrigerated yogurt flavors in 8- oz. cups and four flavors in 32-oz. •started exploring •multipack yogurt products (children’s 4-oz. cups and yogurt packaged in tubes).
  • 4. VC needs to cash out its investment Find another investor or position itself for acquisition, and increasing revenues was critical in order to attain the highest possible valuation Whether Natureview should expand into the supermarket channel in order to meet its revenue goal
  • 5. To grow revenues by over 50% before the end of 2001. To increase revenue to find another investor or position itself for acquisition
  • 6.
  • 7. STRENGTHS •Greater shell life •Low cost •Smooth and unique texture •No artificial thickeners used WEAKNESS •No alternative financing •Lacks potential to take higher risk
  • 8. OPPORTUNITY Strong relationship with natural food retailers THREAT Dropped out of traditional channel Accumulation of cash by horizon
  • 9. 74% 9% 8% 9% Yogurt's Market Share by Packaging Segment 8-oz size or smaller Children's multipack 32-oz cup others
  • 10. 26% 22% 25% 27% Market share by region Northwest Mideast SouthEast West 24% 29% 31% 16% Number of Retailers in Region Northeast Mideast Southeast West
  • 12.
  • 13. Natural Food Channels Average Retail Price 8-oz cup $0.88 32-oz cup $3.19 4-oz cup multipack $3.35 Super Market Channel Average Retail Price 8-oz cup $0.74 32-oz cup $2.70 4-oz cup multipack $2.85 Manufacturing Cost 8-oz cup $0.31 32-oz cup $0.99 4-oz cup multipack $1.15
  • 14. Option 1. Expand six SKUs of the 8-oz. product line into supermarket channel regions Option 2. Expand four SKUs of the 32-oz. size nationally Option 3 Introduce two SKUs of a children’s multi- pack into the natural foods channel
  • 15. Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz. size into eastern and western supermarket regions Attract higher-income, less price-sensitive customers. First Mover Advantage 8-oz has highest incremental demand Higher risks and costs Assumption that broker will take advantage of relationship with supermarkets administrative expenses (SG&A) would increase by $320,000 Additional Marketing staff Pros Cons
  • 16.
  • 17. 2000 Revenue .74*3500000(unit sales) $25900000 Projected Revenue $1300000+25900000 $38900000 COGS .31*3500000 $10850000 Gross profit $28050000 Expenses SG &A 320000 $ 320000 Advertising Cost 120000*2 $ 2400000 Brokers fee 1610000*.04 $ 66400 Slotting Fee 6*$ 10000 *20 $ 1200000 Net Profit $ 23,48600 By the end od 2001 Net profit will be 27,247 200
  • 18. Expand 4 SKUs of 32 oz size nationally into super market channel Potentially higher gross profit margin Stronger competitive advantage Lower Marketing expenses Would increase SG&A expense Dependence on sales team to achieve full national distribution in a year Need to hire sales personnel and establish relationship with Pros Cons
  • 19. 200 Revenue 550000*2.7 $14850,000 Projected Revenue 14850000+13000000 $2785000 COGS 550000*.99 $544500 Gross Profit $9,405000 Expenses Slotting Fee 4*10000*64 $2,560,000 S G & A 160000 $160000 Marketing Fee 1200000*4 $4800000 Broker’s Fee(4% revenue) $367400 Net Profit $18837600 By 2001 net Profit will be $21397600
  • 20. Introduce 2 children’s multipacks into natural foods channel Established leader in this channel Perfect positioning for new multi-product Long term potential is good Lower Market Expenses Potential conflicts Other uncertain factors Pros Cons
  • 21. 2000 Revenue 180000*3.35 $6030000 Revenue Projection 603000+13000000 $19030000 Cost 180000*1.15 $2070000 Gross Profit $16960000 Expenses Marketing $250000 Complementary Cases 6030000*2.5% $150750 Net Profit $16559250 By 2001 Net profit will become $17130637
  • 23. Decision Parameter Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Revenue Objective Exceeds Exceeds Falls Short Short Term Profit Low Low High Long Term Profit High High Low Cost to Trial High Very High Low Organization Capabilities required low low high
  • 24. Go with option 1 I recommend NatureFarm to expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz. size into eastern and western supermarket regions . 8-oz is in highest demand Long term revenues are high High Growth (more than 12% a year)
  • 25. Let’s RECAP: Natureview Market yogurt-8 oz and 32 oz History Current Scenario(4 P’s and SWOT analysis) Market Share 3 Options-best 3rd option Analysis and Decision