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The New Security Architecture with Finland and
Sweden’s NATO Memberships
Dr Sarma VANGALA
CEO
Metastrategy, Inc
Toronto, CANADA
• For decades the people of Sweden and
Finland were against joining NATO.
• This calculus changed on February 24th, 2022
when Russia invaded Ukraine.
May 18th, 2022
Sweden and Finland formally apply for membership.
Memberships Decades in the
Making
• Both joined NATO’s Partnership for Peace in 1995;
• Contributed personnel to NATO-led ops in
Afghanistan, the Balkans and Iraq;
• They became two of just six Enhanced Opportunity
Partners in 2014;
• Have worked to increase their militaries’
interoperability with NATO forces;
Memberships Decades in the
Making
In 2022 Sweden hosted more than a dozen
NATO allies and Finland in BALTOPS 22, a
significant maritime war game in the Baltic Sea.
Prerequisites for Membership
• Political, Economic and Military requirements
have to be met;
• Must demonstrate that they’ll uphold all of
the policies and principles in the 1949
WashingtonTreaty, NATO’s charter.
One for All. All for One
Road to Membership
• All 30 current NATO members must agree to
and sign the “Accession Protocols” for Finland
and Sweden;
• In the US, the signing authority rests with the
President with the approval of 2/3 of the
Senate
NoTime to Waste
Speed Bump on Road to
Membership
• Türkiye has objected on the grounds that the
two countries support a Kurdish militant
group in Syria, the People’s Protection Units
{YPG} which they consider a terrorist group.
Table Stakes
Open Questions
• Basing rights for NATO troops
– Sweden has said NO
– Finland has not given aYES or a NO
• Arctic deterrence
– Russia has major investments in commercial and
military infrastructure in the Arctic
• “If an enemy has alliances, the problem is
grave and the enemy’s position strong; if he
has no alliances, the problem is minor and the
enemy’s position weak.”
SunTzu
Military Strategist
circa 500 BC
SarmaVANGALA, Ph D
Chief Executive Officer
Metastrategy, Inc.
• SarmaVangala is a corporate consultant
specialising in Strategy, M&A and Business
Transformation
• Based inToronto, CANADA
• BTech (IIT(M)); PhD (Exon.); Professional Engineer
• sarma.vangala@metastrategyinc.com
Dynamics
The New Security Architecture with Finland and Swedens's NATO Memberships

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The New Security Architecture with Finland and Swedens's NATO Memberships

  • 1. The New Security Architecture with Finland and Sweden’s NATO Memberships Dr Sarma VANGALA CEO Metastrategy, Inc Toronto, CANADA
  • 2.
  • 3. • For decades the people of Sweden and Finland were against joining NATO. • This calculus changed on February 24th, 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.
  • 4.
  • 5. May 18th, 2022 Sweden and Finland formally apply for membership.
  • 6. Memberships Decades in the Making • Both joined NATO’s Partnership for Peace in 1995; • Contributed personnel to NATO-led ops in Afghanistan, the Balkans and Iraq; • They became two of just six Enhanced Opportunity Partners in 2014; • Have worked to increase their militaries’ interoperability with NATO forces;
  • 7. Memberships Decades in the Making In 2022 Sweden hosted more than a dozen NATO allies and Finland in BALTOPS 22, a significant maritime war game in the Baltic Sea.
  • 8.
  • 9. Prerequisites for Membership • Political, Economic and Military requirements have to be met; • Must demonstrate that they’ll uphold all of the policies and principles in the 1949 WashingtonTreaty, NATO’s charter.
  • 10. One for All. All for One
  • 11. Road to Membership • All 30 current NATO members must agree to and sign the “Accession Protocols” for Finland and Sweden; • In the US, the signing authority rests with the President with the approval of 2/3 of the Senate
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Speed Bump on Road to Membership • Türkiye has objected on the grounds that the two countries support a Kurdish militant group in Syria, the People’s Protection Units {YPG} which they consider a terrorist group.
  • 17. Open Questions • Basing rights for NATO troops – Sweden has said NO – Finland has not given aYES or a NO • Arctic deterrence – Russia has major investments in commercial and military infrastructure in the Arctic
  • 18. • “If an enemy has alliances, the problem is grave and the enemy’s position strong; if he has no alliances, the problem is minor and the enemy’s position weak.” SunTzu Military Strategist circa 500 BC
  • 19. SarmaVANGALA, Ph D Chief Executive Officer Metastrategy, Inc. • SarmaVangala is a corporate consultant specialising in Strategy, M&A and Business Transformation • Based inToronto, CANADA • BTech (IIT(M)); PhD (Exon.); Professional Engineer • sarma.vangala@metastrategyinc.com