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Traffic in Towns & Transport in Cities

STEP, Edinburgh
November 2013
Paul Buchanan
Structure
• Colin Buchanan
• Traffic in Towns
• Transport in Cities
Early days
• Buchanan & Halcrow
• Maps/town planning
• Road Engineer,
Exeter
• Safety – 8,000 road
deaths p/a in 1930s
less than 2,000 now
In the war …

Bridge over the River Nile
Juba, S Sudan

Demobilisation leave
RIBA
Petrol Head and Environmentalist?
“Cars – the ultimate go anywhere, at
any time, with anything, transport
machines”
“Nothing is quite so pleasurable as
driving a powerful car slowly”
“There is a great deal at stake,
conserving, in the face of the
onslaught of motor traffic, a major
part of the heritage of the English
speaking world”
Rebel?
• Union activist?
− First Division civil servants vs “professionals”
− “temperamentally unsuited to planning” (!)
− Moved to The Inspectorate
• Roskill Commission – Note of Dissent
− Did not accept the results of the cost-benefit
analysis – never trusted economists at all
− Certainly not afraid to stick with his convictions
Traffic in Towns
• Framework
• Right and wrong
• Legacy
Traffic in Towns Framework
1. Transport a function of land use – origins &
destinations
2. Major roads separated from “environmental
areas”
3. Environmental standards imply absolute
limits to traffic
4. Accessibility – Cost – Environment
5. Environmental management as well as civil
engineering solutions
Recommendations & Options
• One recommendation “the sooner attention paid
to the adverse environmental effects of motor
traffic…the better for the nation”

• Rest of report devoted to the choices available
to authorities. We did not choose for them!
Right and Wrong?
Right?

Wrong?

Framework

Title – public transport?

Forecasts

Title – towns?

Trade-offs and Options

Traffic segregation

Presentation

Environmental Areas
Legacy Conclusions
• Generations of UK transport planners
• Transport Planning – a UK industry?
• Incredible longevity – the analytical framework &
policy choices much the same today
INTRODUCING
TRANSPORT IN CITIES
Transport in Cities
If how to cope with future traffic growth was the key issue of
the last 50 years, what are the key issues now?
•
•
•
•
•
•

Urbanisation growing rapidly
Technology changing fast
Economic drivers, environmental constraints
Outward sprawl of cities
Ageing populations
Internationalisation
How do we deal with those questions?
•
•
•
•

Fixed land use
Straight line growth forecasts
Transport valued almost entirely in time savings
Policy objectives fixed
UK transport 1900-1970

Predict and
provide is not as
easy as you
might think!
Growth of Mobility in France
Distance Travelled per Day per Capita (Grubler, 1990)
100,000

TGV
Air

Two-wheeler
Horses
Waterways

1,000

Rail
Cars & buses

100

All modes
Trend
2000

1950

1900

1850

10
1800

METRES

10,000
Behavioural Issues
Time Savings

Safety
KMs

HOURS

TRIPS
New Technology

Quality of Place

Driverless vehicles
Personal Rapid Transit
Demand Responsive Transport
Real Time Information

How can transport make cities
nicer places to live and work?
What is that worth?

Transport

Policy Support
Infrastructure is not enough!
Policy support across planning,
taxation, charging,
environment is vital

Economy

Transport
In
Cities

Peak Car?
Urbanisation
Wifi connectivity
Walk/cycle
Shared space

Environment

Environment

Economic Drivers
Agglomeration & Density
Transport Efficiency
Flexibility
Investment costs
Operating subsidy/profit

Global Trends

Land Use
Transport & Land Use
Land use sets transport demand, but
transport also sets land use with road
& rail producing v different
development patterns

Carbon
Global Warming
Air Quality
Health – active transport
Scenarios for Air Quality/Emissions

Negative

Positive

Urbanisation
More congestion for more
people

Technology
Fuel efficiency
Autonomous vehicles
Electrically powered

Sprawl
More car dependency

Policy Tools
Road Pricing
Travel Demand Management
Active travel

Health
Health issues may be bigger
than we think

Economic Drivers
Quality of Place
Density
Conclusions
• Traffic in Towns – remarkably insightful
and longstanding
• Framework for thinking about the issues
rather than an answer
• Still relevant 50 years on
• Transport in Cities – I’m on a hiding to
nothing!
Thank you
pbuchanan@globalskm.com

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Transport in Cities: New Issues, New Solutions

  • 1. Traffic in Towns & Transport in Cities STEP, Edinburgh November 2013 Paul Buchanan
  • 2. Structure • Colin Buchanan • Traffic in Towns • Transport in Cities
  • 3. Early days • Buchanan & Halcrow • Maps/town planning • Road Engineer, Exeter • Safety – 8,000 road deaths p/a in 1930s less than 2,000 now
  • 4. In the war … Bridge over the River Nile Juba, S Sudan Demobilisation leave RIBA
  • 5. Petrol Head and Environmentalist? “Cars – the ultimate go anywhere, at any time, with anything, transport machines” “Nothing is quite so pleasurable as driving a powerful car slowly” “There is a great deal at stake, conserving, in the face of the onslaught of motor traffic, a major part of the heritage of the English speaking world”
  • 6. Rebel? • Union activist? − First Division civil servants vs “professionals” − “temperamentally unsuited to planning” (!) − Moved to The Inspectorate • Roskill Commission – Note of Dissent − Did not accept the results of the cost-benefit analysis – never trusted economists at all − Certainly not afraid to stick with his convictions
  • 7. Traffic in Towns • Framework • Right and wrong • Legacy
  • 8. Traffic in Towns Framework 1. Transport a function of land use – origins & destinations 2. Major roads separated from “environmental areas” 3. Environmental standards imply absolute limits to traffic 4. Accessibility – Cost – Environment 5. Environmental management as well as civil engineering solutions
  • 9. Recommendations & Options • One recommendation “the sooner attention paid to the adverse environmental effects of motor traffic…the better for the nation” • Rest of report devoted to the choices available to authorities. We did not choose for them!
  • 10. Right and Wrong? Right? Wrong? Framework Title – public transport? Forecasts Title – towns? Trade-offs and Options Traffic segregation Presentation Environmental Areas
  • 11. Legacy Conclusions • Generations of UK transport planners • Transport Planning – a UK industry? • Incredible longevity – the analytical framework & policy choices much the same today
  • 13. Transport in Cities If how to cope with future traffic growth was the key issue of the last 50 years, what are the key issues now? • • • • • • Urbanisation growing rapidly Technology changing fast Economic drivers, environmental constraints Outward sprawl of cities Ageing populations Internationalisation
  • 14. How do we deal with those questions? • • • • Fixed land use Straight line growth forecasts Transport valued almost entirely in time savings Policy objectives fixed
  • 15. UK transport 1900-1970 Predict and provide is not as easy as you might think!
  • 16. Growth of Mobility in France Distance Travelled per Day per Capita (Grubler, 1990) 100,000 TGV Air Two-wheeler Horses Waterways 1,000 Rail Cars & buses 100 All modes Trend 2000 1950 1900 1850 10 1800 METRES 10,000
  • 18. New Technology Quality of Place Driverless vehicles Personal Rapid Transit Demand Responsive Transport Real Time Information How can transport make cities nicer places to live and work? What is that worth? Transport Policy Support Infrastructure is not enough! Policy support across planning, taxation, charging, environment is vital Economy Transport In Cities Peak Car? Urbanisation Wifi connectivity Walk/cycle Shared space Environment Environment Economic Drivers Agglomeration & Density Transport Efficiency Flexibility Investment costs Operating subsidy/profit Global Trends Land Use Transport & Land Use Land use sets transport demand, but transport also sets land use with road & rail producing v different development patterns Carbon Global Warming Air Quality Health – active transport
  • 19. Scenarios for Air Quality/Emissions Negative Positive Urbanisation More congestion for more people Technology Fuel efficiency Autonomous vehicles Electrically powered Sprawl More car dependency Policy Tools Road Pricing Travel Demand Management Active travel Health Health issues may be bigger than we think Economic Drivers Quality of Place Density
  • 20. Conclusions • Traffic in Towns – remarkably insightful and longstanding • Framework for thinking about the issues rather than an answer • Still relevant 50 years on • Transport in Cities – I’m on a hiding to nothing!