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Anticipating on amplifying water stress
Optimal crop production supported by
climate-adaptive water management
R.P. Bartholomeus,Vienna,April 14th 2015
Ruud P. Bartholomeus
Gé v.d. Eertwegh
Gijs Simons
The climate is changing
• Temperature ↑
• CO2 ↑
• Extreme precipitation ↑
• Dry periods ↑
Anticipate on increased crop
damage
INCREASED DROUGHTANDWATERLOGGING
Climate adaptive water management
Climate Adaptive Drainage
Anticipate using dynamic water management
- Local scale
- Online steering
- www.futurewater.nl/uk/projects/climate-adaptive-drainage/
CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE -WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL
Climate adaptive water management
Climate Adaptive Drainage
Anticipate using dynamic water management
- Local scale
- Online steering
- www.futurewater.nl/uk/projects/climate-adaptive-drainage/
Climate adaptive water management
CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE –WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL
Climate Adaptive Drainage
Anticipate using dynamic water management
- Local scale
- Online steering
Goal: Process-based steering algorithm for
CAD
Using:
• Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant model
(SWAP)
• Online groundwater level measurements
• Online soil moisture measurements
• 10-day weather forecasts
CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE –WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL
Climate adaptive water management
soilplantatmosphere
processes that interact
between soil-plant-
atmosphere
Optimal soil moisture conditions for crop growth
Focus on processes
Climate adaptive water management
Soil moisture and crop growth
Drought and oxygen stress
- Drought stress: according to the ‘dry side’ of
Feddes et al. 1978
- Oxygen stress: according to Bartholomeus et
al. 2008 JOH
CALCULATION OF OXYGEN STRESS
Climate adaptive water management
Soil moisture and crop growth
Simulation - example
- Drought stress: according to the ‘dry side’ of
Feddes et al. 1978
- Oxygen stress: according to Bartholomeus et
al. 2008 JOH
Climate adaptive water management
SOIL MOISTUREAND OXYGEN CONDITIONSAND REDUCED
TRANSPIRATION
‘Real-time’ predictions
Groundwater levels and soil moisture
Measurements used for:
- Model calibration
- Data assimilation
Climate adaptive water management
calibration
assimilation
VISSER ETAL. 2006, ADVANCES INWATER RESOURCES
Case study: Haaksbergen
Calibration/assimilation
Climate adaptive water management
Steering algorithm
(Extreme) example
- Based on 10-day weather forecasts
- Precipitation
- Temperature
- Global radiation
- Lower CAD-crest to prevent oxygen stress
- Raise CAD-crest to limit unnecessary drainage
Climate adaptive water management
Rain [mm/d]
Drainage and crest level [cm+s.s.]
Groundwater level [cm+s.s.]
Moisture content [-] -10 cm+s.s.
Drainage [cm/d]
Oxygen stress (waterlogging) [cm/d]
prediction
optimization
optimization
optimization
optimization
optimization
prediction
prediction
prediction
prediction
Steering algorithm
Example 1998
- Based on 10-day weather forecasts
- Precipitation
- Temperature
- Global radiation
- Lower CAD-crest to prevent oxygen stress
- Raise CAD-crest to limit unnecessary drainage
Climate adaptive water management
Steering algorithm
Example 1998: simulations
- No steering: relative crop yield ~90%
- With steering: relative crop yield ~97%
Climate adaptive water management
Anticipating on amplifying water stress
To conclude
- Increased drought and waterlogging foreseen: Anticipate using climate adaptive technologies
- Climate Adaptive Drainage + online steering algorithm provides such a technological sollution
Climate adaptive water management
ruud.bartholomeus@kwrwater.nl
nl.linkedin.com/in/ruudbartholomeus

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20150414_Bartholomeus_EGU2015_5354_Groundwaterforcrop

  • 1. Anticipating on amplifying water stress Optimal crop production supported by climate-adaptive water management R.P. Bartholomeus,Vienna,April 14th 2015 Ruud P. Bartholomeus Gé v.d. Eertwegh Gijs Simons
  • 2. The climate is changing • Temperature ↑ • CO2 ↑ • Extreme precipitation ↑ • Dry periods ↑ Anticipate on increased crop damage INCREASED DROUGHTANDWATERLOGGING Climate adaptive water management
  • 3. Climate Adaptive Drainage Anticipate using dynamic water management - Local scale - Online steering - www.futurewater.nl/uk/projects/climate-adaptive-drainage/ CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE -WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL Climate adaptive water management
  • 4. Climate Adaptive Drainage Anticipate using dynamic water management - Local scale - Online steering - www.futurewater.nl/uk/projects/climate-adaptive-drainage/ Climate adaptive water management CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE –WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL
  • 5. Climate Adaptive Drainage Anticipate using dynamic water management - Local scale - Online steering Goal: Process-based steering algorithm for CAD Using: • Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant model (SWAP) • Online groundwater level measurements • Online soil moisture measurements • 10-day weather forecasts CLIMATEADAPTIVE DRAINAGE –WWW.FUTUREWATER.NL Climate adaptive water management
  • 6. soilplantatmosphere processes that interact between soil-plant- atmosphere Optimal soil moisture conditions for crop growth Focus on processes Climate adaptive water management
  • 7. Soil moisture and crop growth Drought and oxygen stress - Drought stress: according to the ‘dry side’ of Feddes et al. 1978 - Oxygen stress: according to Bartholomeus et al. 2008 JOH CALCULATION OF OXYGEN STRESS Climate adaptive water management
  • 8. Soil moisture and crop growth Simulation - example - Drought stress: according to the ‘dry side’ of Feddes et al. 1978 - Oxygen stress: according to Bartholomeus et al. 2008 JOH Climate adaptive water management SOIL MOISTUREAND OXYGEN CONDITIONSAND REDUCED TRANSPIRATION
  • 9. ‘Real-time’ predictions Groundwater levels and soil moisture Measurements used for: - Model calibration - Data assimilation Climate adaptive water management calibration assimilation VISSER ETAL. 2006, ADVANCES INWATER RESOURCES
  • 11. Steering algorithm (Extreme) example - Based on 10-day weather forecasts - Precipitation - Temperature - Global radiation - Lower CAD-crest to prevent oxygen stress - Raise CAD-crest to limit unnecessary drainage Climate adaptive water management Rain [mm/d] Drainage and crest level [cm+s.s.] Groundwater level [cm+s.s.] Moisture content [-] -10 cm+s.s. Drainage [cm/d] Oxygen stress (waterlogging) [cm/d] prediction optimization optimization optimization optimization optimization prediction prediction prediction prediction
  • 12. Steering algorithm Example 1998 - Based on 10-day weather forecasts - Precipitation - Temperature - Global radiation - Lower CAD-crest to prevent oxygen stress - Raise CAD-crest to limit unnecessary drainage Climate adaptive water management
  • 13. Steering algorithm Example 1998: simulations - No steering: relative crop yield ~90% - With steering: relative crop yield ~97% Climate adaptive water management
  • 14. Anticipating on amplifying water stress To conclude - Increased drought and waterlogging foreseen: Anticipate using climate adaptive technologies - Climate Adaptive Drainage + online steering algorithm provides such a technological sollution Climate adaptive water management ruud.bartholomeus@kwrwater.nl nl.linkedin.com/in/ruudbartholomeus