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1
Chapter 1
The Nature of Probability
and Statistics
© McGraw-Hill, Bluman, 5th ed, Chapter 1 2
Chapter 1 Overview
Introduction
1-1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics
1-2 Variables and Types of Data
1-3 Data Collection & Sampling Techniques
1-4 Observational and Experimental Studies
1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
1-6 Computers and Calculators
3Bluman Chapter 1
Introduction
 Statistics is the science of conducting
studies to
collect,
organize,
summarize,
analyze, and
draw conclusions from data.
4Bluman Chapter 1
1-1 Descriptive and Inferential
Statistics
 A variable is a characteristic or attribute
that can assume different values.
 The values that a variable can assume
are called data.
 A population consists of all subjects
(human or otherwise) that are studied.
 A sample is a subset of the population.
5Bluman Chapter 1
1-1 Descriptive and Inferential
Statistics
 Descriptive statistics consists of the
collection, organization, summarization,
and presentation of data.
 Inferential statistics consists of
generalizing from samples to populations,
performing estimations and hypothesis
tests, determining relationships among
variables, and making predictions.
6Bluman Chapter 1
1-2 Variables and Types of Data
Data
Qualitative
Categorical
Quantitative
Numerical,
Can be ranked
Discrete
Countable
5, 29, 8000, etc.
Continuous
Can be decimals
2.59, 312.1, etc.
7Bluman Chapter 1
1-2 Recorded Values and
Boundaries
Variable Recorded Value Boundaries
Length 15 centimeters
(cm)
Temperature 86 Fahrenheit
(F)
Time 0.43 second
(sec)
Mass 1.6 grams (g)
14.5-15.5 cm
85.5-86.5 F
0.425-0.435
sec
1.55-1.65 g
8Bluman Chapter 1
1-2 Variables and Types of Data
Levels of Measurement
1. Nominal – categorical (names)
2. Ordinal – nominal, plus can be ranked (order)
3. Interval – ordinal, plus intervals are consistent
4. Ratio – interval, plus ratios are consistent,
true zero
9Bluman Chapter 1
1-2 Variables and Types of Data
Determine the measurement level.
Variable Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio Level
Hair Color Yes No Nominal
Zip Code Yes No Nominal
Letter Grade Yes Yes No Ordinal
ACT Score Yes Yes Yes No Interval
Height Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratio
Age Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratio
Temperature (F) Yes Yes Yes No Interval
10Bluman Chapter 1
1-3 Data Collection and Sampling
Techniques
Some Sampling Techniques
 Random – random number generator
 Systematic – every kth subject
 Stratified – divide population into “layers”
 Cluster – use intact groups
 Convenient – mall surveys
11Bluman Chapter 1
1-4 Observational and
Experimental Studies
 In an observational study, the researcher
merely observes and tries to draw conclusions
based on the observations.
 The researcher manipulates the independent
(explanatory) variable and tries to determine
how the manipulation influences the dependent
(outcome) variable in an experimental study.
 A confounding variable influences the
dependent variable but cannot be separated
from the independent variable.
12Bluman Chapter 1
1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
 Suspect Samples
Is the sample large enough?
How was the sample selected?
Is the sample representative of the
population?
 Ambiguous Averages
What particular measure of average was
used and why?
13Bluman Chapter 1
1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
 Changing the Subject
Are different values used to represent the
same data?
 Detached Statistics
One third fewer calories…….than what?
 Implied Connections
Studies suggest that some people may
understand what this statement means.
14Bluman Chapter 1
1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
 Misleading Graphs
Are the scales for the x-axis and y-axis
appropriate for the data?
 Faulty Survey Questions
Do you feel that statistics teachers should
be paid higher salaries?
Do you favor increasing tuition so that
colleges can pay statistics teachers higher
salaries?
15Bluman Chapter 1
1-6 Computers and Calculators
 Microsoft Excel
 Microsoft Excel with MegaStat
 TI-83/84
 Minitab
 SAS
 SPSS
16Bluman Chapter 1

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The Nature of Probability And Statistics

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Chapter 1 The Nature of Probability and Statistics © McGraw-Hill, Bluman, 5th ed, Chapter 1 2
  • 3. Chapter 1 Overview Introduction 1-1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics 1-2 Variables and Types of Data 1-3 Data Collection & Sampling Techniques 1-4 Observational and Experimental Studies 1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics 1-6 Computers and Calculators 3Bluman Chapter 1
  • 4. Introduction  Statistics is the science of conducting studies to collect, organize, summarize, analyze, and draw conclusions from data. 4Bluman Chapter 1
  • 5. 1-1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics  A variable is a characteristic or attribute that can assume different values.  The values that a variable can assume are called data.  A population consists of all subjects (human or otherwise) that are studied.  A sample is a subset of the population. 5Bluman Chapter 1
  • 6. 1-1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics  Descriptive statistics consists of the collection, organization, summarization, and presentation of data.  Inferential statistics consists of generalizing from samples to populations, performing estimations and hypothesis tests, determining relationships among variables, and making predictions. 6Bluman Chapter 1
  • 7. 1-2 Variables and Types of Data Data Qualitative Categorical Quantitative Numerical, Can be ranked Discrete Countable 5, 29, 8000, etc. Continuous Can be decimals 2.59, 312.1, etc. 7Bluman Chapter 1
  • 8. 1-2 Recorded Values and Boundaries Variable Recorded Value Boundaries Length 15 centimeters (cm) Temperature 86 Fahrenheit (F) Time 0.43 second (sec) Mass 1.6 grams (g) 14.5-15.5 cm 85.5-86.5 F 0.425-0.435 sec 1.55-1.65 g 8Bluman Chapter 1
  • 9. 1-2 Variables and Types of Data Levels of Measurement 1. Nominal – categorical (names) 2. Ordinal – nominal, plus can be ranked (order) 3. Interval – ordinal, plus intervals are consistent 4. Ratio – interval, plus ratios are consistent, true zero 9Bluman Chapter 1
  • 10. 1-2 Variables and Types of Data Determine the measurement level. Variable Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio Level Hair Color Yes No Nominal Zip Code Yes No Nominal Letter Grade Yes Yes No Ordinal ACT Score Yes Yes Yes No Interval Height Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratio Age Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratio Temperature (F) Yes Yes Yes No Interval 10Bluman Chapter 1
  • 11. 1-3 Data Collection and Sampling Techniques Some Sampling Techniques  Random – random number generator  Systematic – every kth subject  Stratified – divide population into “layers”  Cluster – use intact groups  Convenient – mall surveys 11Bluman Chapter 1
  • 12. 1-4 Observational and Experimental Studies  In an observational study, the researcher merely observes and tries to draw conclusions based on the observations.  The researcher manipulates the independent (explanatory) variable and tries to determine how the manipulation influences the dependent (outcome) variable in an experimental study.  A confounding variable influences the dependent variable but cannot be separated from the independent variable. 12Bluman Chapter 1
  • 13. 1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics  Suspect Samples Is the sample large enough? How was the sample selected? Is the sample representative of the population?  Ambiguous Averages What particular measure of average was used and why? 13Bluman Chapter 1
  • 14. 1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics  Changing the Subject Are different values used to represent the same data?  Detached Statistics One third fewer calories…….than what?  Implied Connections Studies suggest that some people may understand what this statement means. 14Bluman Chapter 1
  • 15. 1-5 Uses and Misuses of Statistics  Misleading Graphs Are the scales for the x-axis and y-axis appropriate for the data?  Faulty Survey Questions Do you feel that statistics teachers should be paid higher salaries? Do you favor increasing tuition so that colleges can pay statistics teachers higher salaries? 15Bluman Chapter 1
  • 16. 1-6 Computers and Calculators  Microsoft Excel  Microsoft Excel with MegaStat  TI-83/84  Minitab  SAS  SPSS 16Bluman Chapter 1