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Impact of Climate
Change on Livestock
in the Tropics
Professor Emeritus Lindsay Falvey FTSE
University of Melbourne
ACIAR Commissioner & ILRI Emeritus Fellow
1
07/07/2017 Vertical-Housed-Logo (722×722)
Climate Change
Livestock
Nutritional Security
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
• Issues differ between more-developed
countries (MDC) and Less-DCs
• The tropics is weighted to LDCs
• Blanket policies can prejudice LDCs
• Ethics: climate vs LDC wellbeing
• Ruminants and CH4 photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
Livestock importance, e.g.
• Livestock GDP 40 % global agric’l GDP
• A billion people’s essential nutrients [choline; vit
A, B12; Fe, Zn] ≠ mental & physical under-
development
• Milk & meat = 5 of the 6 most valuable foods
• 25-40 % N on farms from livestock [c.f. fossil fuel]
photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
750 million smallholder livestock producers are
diverse. In the future, maybe:
• 1/3 find alternate livelihoods
• 1/3 succeed at market-oriented livestock livelihoods
• 1/3 remain
Context: food and nutritional security
Smallholders to smartholders = thriving enterprises,
part of a vibrant, productive and resilient food system
with less climate and other environmental impacts.
photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
5
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
Impacts on Livestock
• Heat and nutrition stress  impacts on
livestock yields
• Increased climate variability and extremes 
changes in: pasture productivity; disease
vectors; etc  Production systems change
• Adaptation: maintain/improve productivity;
sustain resource base; minimizing zoonotics
6
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
Adaptation Domains
• Nutrition: forages molecular genetics;
• Animal genetics: breeds for emerging
environments; genetic conservation; CH4
• Animal health: livestock & humans; climate-
sensitive disease surveillance and control
• Climate risk maps & policy support tools
7
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
Integrated Scientific and Policy Research:
• Methane emissions can be reduced by
production efficiencies (less CH4 per head)
• Environments benefit from production
efficiencies (less head per output)
• Animal to human disease transfers are
reduced by research
• Livestock research returns on investment
exceed 10:1
Climate Change - Livestock – Tropics
International and Regional Collaboration: ILRI, ACIAR, IFPRI, others
8
Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics
Some Projected Changes:
• Increased productivity, especially ruminants (to reduce GHG emissions per
unit of product) from improved health, nutrition and genetics
• Smaller herd sizes (BUT, increased demand for product by wealthy?)
• Small farmers linked into efficient value chains
• Novel disease challenges, including zoonotic diseases
• Enhanced biosecurity in intensive production facilities (pigs, poultry)
• Contextualizing ongoing research within climate/environmental changes
Vertical-Housed-Logo (722×722)
Collaboration between existing
global and regional research
bodies is imperative
Thankyou
Emeritus Professsor Lindsay Falvey FTSE
ACIAR Commission
lindsay.falvey@gmail.com
Follow us @ACIARAustralia
Climate Change
Livestock
Nutritional Security

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Impact of Climate Change on Livestock in the Tropics

  • 1. Impact of Climate Change on Livestock in the Tropics Professor Emeritus Lindsay Falvey FTSE University of Melbourne ACIAR Commissioner & ILRI Emeritus Fellow 1 07/07/2017 Vertical-Housed-Logo (722×722) Climate Change Livestock Nutritional Security
  • 2. Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics • Issues differ between more-developed countries (MDC) and Less-DCs • The tropics is weighted to LDCs • Blanket policies can prejudice LDCs • Ethics: climate vs LDC wellbeing • Ruminants and CH4 photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
  • 3. Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics Livestock importance, e.g. • Livestock GDP 40 % global agric’l GDP • A billion people’s essential nutrients [choline; vit A, B12; Fe, Zn] ≠ mental & physical under- development • Milk & meat = 5 of the 6 most valuable foods • 25-40 % N on farms from livestock [c.f. fossil fuel] photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
  • 4. Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics 750 million smallholder livestock producers are diverse. In the future, maybe: • 1/3 find alternate livelihoods • 1/3 succeed at market-oriented livestock livelihoods • 1/3 remain Context: food and nutritional security Smallholders to smartholders = thriving enterprises, part of a vibrant, productive and resilient food system with less climate and other environmental impacts. photo credit: ILRI/ Camille Hanotte
  • 5. 5 Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics Impacts on Livestock • Heat and nutrition stress  impacts on livestock yields • Increased climate variability and extremes  changes in: pasture productivity; disease vectors; etc  Production systems change • Adaptation: maintain/improve productivity; sustain resource base; minimizing zoonotics
  • 6. 6 Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics Adaptation Domains • Nutrition: forages molecular genetics; • Animal genetics: breeds for emerging environments; genetic conservation; CH4 • Animal health: livestock & humans; climate- sensitive disease surveillance and control • Climate risk maps & policy support tools
  • 7. 7 Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics Integrated Scientific and Policy Research: • Methane emissions can be reduced by production efficiencies (less CH4 per head) • Environments benefit from production efficiencies (less head per output) • Animal to human disease transfers are reduced by research • Livestock research returns on investment exceed 10:1
  • 8. Climate Change - Livestock – Tropics International and Regional Collaboration: ILRI, ACIAR, IFPRI, others 8
  • 9. Climate Change - Livestock - Tropics Some Projected Changes: • Increased productivity, especially ruminants (to reduce GHG emissions per unit of product) from improved health, nutrition and genetics • Smaller herd sizes (BUT, increased demand for product by wealthy?) • Small farmers linked into efficient value chains • Novel disease challenges, including zoonotic diseases • Enhanced biosecurity in intensive production facilities (pigs, poultry) • Contextualizing ongoing research within climate/environmental changes Vertical-Housed-Logo (722×722)
  • 10. Collaboration between existing global and regional research bodies is imperative Thankyou Emeritus Professsor Lindsay Falvey FTSE ACIAR Commission lindsay.falvey@gmail.com Follow us @ACIARAustralia Climate Change Livestock Nutritional Security