2. De-globalization
• Globalization to Nationalization
• Driven by Policies
• Customs War/ Tariff War
• Developed countries supporting nationalism
• Brexit
• Donald Trump’s policies
• FDI plummeted by $700 billion in 7 last years
• United Nations Conference of Trade and Development - 2014
• Not the first time
• Last one lasted for 50 years
3. Political Unrest
• Political risks can impact the value of a company, make it harder to operate
normally and make expansion more difficult.
• Macroeconomic Issues - High Interest Rates
• Social Issues - Civil Unrest
• Government Actions - Confiscating A Company's Assets
• Narendra Modi fifth biggest geo-political risk of 2020 – (Eurasia Group)
• Intensified communal and sectarian instability, as well as foreign policy and economic
setbacks
• A weakened economy will in turn feed further economic nationalism and protectionism.
• Burberry has seen a "double digit" percentage decline in sales in Hong Kong.
• Burberry could take a $123 million hit on sales because of the Hong Kong protests
• Airline Cathay Pacific said the civil unrest had "been exceptionally challenging,
severely impacting demand and operations of the business
Higher operating
costs, factory
shutdowns and
operating losses.
4.
5.
6. Ethics
• Working Condition and Cheap Labor
• Sweatshop in Asia, South America and Central America
• Working class in US and Europe has very minimal increase in wages in last 20 years (Forbes)
• Costs Ethical Businesses Cost Advantage
• 46 Countries, 600 contract factories , 800,000 workers – Nike is unable to manage wage and
working conditions.
• Companies ignoring Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG) criteria and SDGs
(WEF 2020)
• Driverless Cars
• Unemployment
• Facebook
• Fake News
• Environmental Issues
7.
8.
9. Environment/Natural Disasters
• Climate change
• Extreme Weather Conditions
• Risky Agriculture Investment
• 3/5 of Electric/Hybrid Cars by 2030 (JP Morgan)
• No Major innovation in Battery
• No immediate benefit from environmentally concerned initiatives.
• Coronavirus
• Starbucks, KFC, Pizza Hut and McDonald's - Closed shops and suspended delivery services in
the city of Wuhan and Hubei Province.
• Disney has closed its parks in Shanghai and Hong Kong
• The stocks of LVMH, Kering and Cartier watch maker Richemont all fell more than 5% last
week.
• As the scale of the outbreak has become apparent, companies have begun to adjust their
forecasting - Reuters
REUTERS/David McNew/File Photo
10.
11. Cyber-Crime
• The most pressing risks facing the world have shifted from economic threats
to the risks posed by cyber wars and technological dystopia. – WEF’s 2020
study of global risks
• Ownership of Internet in not defined and so the Jurisdiction
• “The biggest problem in cyber crime is attribution; you cannot trace back.
The second is international agreements: other countries do not agree to
share information“ - National Cyber Security Coordinator Lt Gen Rajesh
Pant
• Recent Major Cyber Attcks
• WannaCry - Ransomware - 2017.
• NotPetya – Ransomware – 2016
• Ethereum – Blockchain currency heist - $39.4 million – 2018
12. Cyber-Crime – Implication for Businesses
• Banks, stock markets, multi nationals all are connected.
• Higher Integration = Higher Chance of Exploitation of System
• The Cost of Protection
• Lost Sales
• Online Vigilantes
• PayPal and MasterCard
• Changing Methods of Doing Business
• Many companies have stopped storing customers' financial and personal information
13. State-controlled Internet
• Concept of Internet Sovereignty
• Opposite to the Silicon Valley concept of the internet as an open forum.
• Massive interference with news flows.
• Google China and Great Firewall.
• US government’s initiatives to dismantle ‘net neutrality’ in 2017
• Supported by some Big Corporation.
www.google.cn
14. Conclusion
• Entering International Market opens new doors of opportunities for
businesses as well it makes them vulnerable to new and unknown threats
• To Protect Business from such elements strategies of diversification should
be adopted
• Ethical Supply Chain Should be Developed
• Business Should be led by Value, like Patagonia
• Domestic Market should be taken care of
• Sustainability should be taken care of
15. References
• Raje, A. P. (2017, February 17). We are in a deglobalization period: Business historian Geoffrey G. Jones. Retrieved from h
ttps://www.livemint.com/Companies/tKamdGDvvyCt8Smn39TQMK/We-are-in-a-deglobalization-period-Business-historian-Ge
off.html
• Rapoza, K. (2016, November 23). Trump, China, And The 'Deglobalization' Trade. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/si
tes/kenrapoza/2016/11/23/trump-china-and-the-deglobalization-trade/#633daa964cd0
• World Economic Forum Annual Meeting Davos 2020. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://www.weforum.org/events/world-econo
mic-forum-annual-meeting-2020
• Fashion Transparency Index 2019. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://issuu.com/fashionrevolution/docs/fashion_transparency_ind
ex_2019?e=25766662/69342298
• Saphir, A. (2020, January 22). Warren calls on big U.S. banks for steps on climate risk. Retrieved from https://in.reuters.co
m/article/us-usa-election-warren-idINKBN1ZL1VQ
• Roche, E. (2020, January 8). Narendra Modi fifth biggest geo-political risk of 2020: Eurasia Group report. Retrieved from
https://www.livemint.com/news/india/narendra-modi-fifth-biggest-geo-political-risk-of-2020-eurasia-group-report-115784956
00766.html
• Goodwin, B. (2020, January 31). Davos: The clock is ticking on climate change but cyber crime and emerging technologi
es add to risks. Retrieved from https://www.computerweekly.com/news/252477684/Davos-The-clock-is-ticking-on-climate-c
hange-but-cyber-crime-and-emerging-technologies-add-to-risks
• Fruhlinger, J. (2018, November 26). What is a cyber attack? Recent examples show disturbing trends. Retrieved from http
s://www.csoonline.com/article/3237324/what-is-a-cyber-attack-recent-examples-show-disturbing-trends.html
• Hornby, L. (2017, December 3). China defends state control over internet at technology forum. Retrieved from https://ww
w.ft.com/content/dad122c8-d7e8-11e7-a039-c64b1c09b482
• Pham, S. (2020, January 27). How the coronavirus is already hurting global business. Retrieved from https://edition.cnn.co
m/2020/01/27/business/coronavirus-business-closures/index.html `