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Mauro Bertolotti, Patrizia Catellani, & Masi Noor
EASP Small Group Meeting
Cognitive Conflicts: Taking a Cognitive Perspective on Social Phenomena
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
From conflict to forgiveness
Protracted interpersonal and intergroup conflict can
severely harm the psychological (and physical,
Cheadle & Toussaint, 2005) health (Davis et al., 2015) of
individuals and communities .
Several studies indicate that forgiveness is a
desirable solution to end conflict and promote
reconciliation (Fehr, Gelfand, & Nag, 2010; McCullough,
Pargament & Thoreson, 2000; Worthington, 2005).
The Needs-Based Model of Reconciliation (Shnabel &
Nadler, 2008) proposes forgiveness as the key step
through which opposing parties can satisfy their
respective needs and reconcile.
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
The apology-forgiveness cycle
Perpetrator’s
apology
Victim
empowerment
Victim’s
forgiveness
Perpetrator’s
moral image
restoration
Admission of guilt
Acknowledgement of
victim’s standing
Acknowledgement of
perpetrator’s
perspective
Give up on retribution
Can exert the power of
accepting or refusing
apologies
Regains higher
moral status and
social acceptance
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Alternative routes to forgiveness
The NBMR makes forgiveness inherently dependent on the
perpetrator’s willingness to cooperate (apology).
Rarely do adversarial parties agree on the roles of ‘victim’ vs.
‘perpetrator’ (Noor, Shnabel, Halabi, & Nadler, 2012).
The process is slow, complex and cognitively and socially costly.
Can victims become able to forgive on their own?
They need to undergo a process of re-appraisal and re-
evaluation of the circumstances and actions that led to conflict.
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Counterfactual thinking
Counterfactual thinking is the mental simulation of how an
actual event would have unfolded if one or more antecedents
had been different.
Individuals spontaneously engage in counterfactual thinking
after negative and surprising events (Kahnemann & Miller, 1986).
Counterfactual thoughts are also common after victimisation
events among victims (Nario-Redmond & Branscombe, 1996),
perpetrators (Mandel & Dhami, 2005), and observers (Catellani &
Milesi, 2001).
If I had prepared the presentation earlier,
I would have come up with a better example
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Features of counterfactual thoughts
Counterfactual focus:
the actor whose actions or decisions are changed in the hypothetical
scenario.
We wouldn’t have fought if
I had been more patient
We wouldn’t have arrived late if
you had stopped to ask for directions
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Features of counterfactual thoughts
Counterfactual structure:
depends on whether the hypothetical alternative is obtained by
inserting an element that was not present in the actual situation or by
removing an element that was present in it (Roese & Olson, 1993).
Additive counterfactuals
Subtractive counterfactuals
I would have passed the exam, if I had
bought the exercise book
I would have passed the exam, if the professor
had not asked me that question
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Counterfactual mindsets
Different types of counterfactuals are associated with different
mindsets (Markman et al., 2007).
Additive CFs
Subtractive CFs
• Logical
• Analytic
• Systematic
• Creative
• Innovative
• Cooperative
Perspective
-taking
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 1 – Free counterfactuals
Participants: 165 Italian undergraduates
 Gender: 62.4% females; 37.6% males
 Age: M = 22.51, SD = 2.53
Procedure:
 Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)
Please think of a situation in which someone close to you (like a friend,
romantic partner, relative, etc…) made you feel upset or hurt.
…
Please, describe briefly here what happened, focusing on how this person’s
behaviour offended, hurt, disappointed you, or made you feel bad.
 Counterfactual generation task
Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think
about how things might have been different.
Things would have been different if… __________________________
Study 1
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 1
I found out that my boyfriend had a virtual
relationship with a girl. Even if it wasn't a real
affair, because they never met face to face, I
felt betrayed anyway.
Study 1 – Recalled events
During an argument, my boyfriend
repeatedly raised his voice and
insulted me.
My roommate complains about house
cleaning with our colleagues. Moreover he
uses my detergents without paying for them." My best friend revealed to a group of
common acquaintances about
something I had told him in
confidence. This made me feel
betrayed, empty. Now I have a hard
time opening up to others.
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 1 – Coding of CF thoughts
…if she had been honest with me
…if I had kept the thing to myself
…if we had not spent the day quarrelling
…if he had understood the signals I gave him
…if she had not talked behind my back
• Counterfactual Focus
• Counterfactual Structure
Perpetrator-focused
Self-focused
Mixed-focused
Additive
Subtractive
Study 1
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Structure and focus of generated CFs
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Victim Perpetrator Both Others
Focus
Additive
Subtractive
Study 1
Structure
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 2 – Perpetrator-focused CFs
Participants: 180 Italian undergraduates
 Gender: 71.1% females; 28.9 males
 Age: M = 21.86, SD = 2.31
Procedure:
 Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)
 Counterfactual generation task
Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think
about how things might have been different.
In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person
had done something differently from what he [she] did.
Things would have been different if he [she] had… _______________________
In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person
had not done what he [she]did.
Things would have been different if he [she] had not… ____________________
Study 2
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 2 - Measures
Perspective-taking (3 items, a = .85)
 “How motivated do you feel to put yourself into his/her
shoes?”
Forgiveness (7 items, a = .86)
 “I forgive this person”
 “If I saw this person again, I would try to avoid interacting
with him/her” (R)
Offence severity (3 items, a = .72)
 “How much did it harm your relationship with the other
person?”
Temporal distance: median 12 months, range 0-180
Study 2
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a
function of counterfactual structure
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Additive Subtractive
Perspective-taking
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Additive Subtractive
Forgiveness
Study 2
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Mediation analysis
CF Structure
Perspective-taking
Forgiveness
.209*
.218* (.105)
.540***
Study 3
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 3 – Replication and extension
Participants: 427 American residents recruited on Prolific
Gender: 51.5% females; 48.5% males
Age: M = 27.11, SD = 4.70
Procedure:
 Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)
 Counterfactual generation task + control condition
[…] In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person
had done something differently from what he [she] did.
Things would have been different if he [she] had… _______________________
[…] In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person
had not done what he [she]did.
Things would have been different if he [she] had not… ____________________
And now we would like you to recall an uneventful day in your week. Please
briefly describe what your routine activities are during such day.
Pre-registered
Study 3
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a
function of counterfactual structure
0
10
20
30
40
50
Additive Subtractive Control
Perspective-taking
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Additive Subtractive Control
Forgiveness
Study 3
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Mediation analysis
CF Structure
(excluding control)
Perspective-taking
Forgiveness
.159**
.089 (-.005)
.590***
Study 3
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 4 – Self-focused Counterfactuals
Participants: 196 Italian undergraduates
• Gender: 72.4% females; 27.6% males
• Age: M = 24.85, SD = 6.88
Procedure:
 Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)
 Counterfactual generation task
Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think
about how things might have been different.
In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if you had done
something differently from what you did.
Things would have been different if I had… _______________________
In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if you had not done
what you did.
Things would have been different if I had not… ____________________
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Study 4 - Measures
Perspective-taking (3 items, a = .81)
Forgiveness (7 items, a = .88)
Relative responsibility attribution:
• “Indicate the extent you regard the perpetrator as
responsible for the event you have just recalled”
• “Indicate the extent you regard yourself as responsible for
the event you have just recalled”
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a
function of counterfactual structure
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Additive Subtractive
Perspective-taking
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Additive Subtractive
Forgiveness
Study 4
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a
function of CF structure and responsibility
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Self Other
Perspective-taking
Responsibility Attribution
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Self Other
Forgiveness
Responsibility Attribution
Study 4
Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen
Conclusions
We examined victims’ counterfactual thinking as a pathway to unilateral
forgiveness.
Generating additive (vs. subtractive) counterfactuals promotes perspective-
taking.
Increased perspective-taking is associated with greater forgiveness.
Some relational, contextual, and social factors moderate the effects of
counterfactual thinking.
Do counterfactuals work in the intergroup context?
Can we use counterfactuals in victim/perpetrator communication?

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Forgiveness cf (tubingen)

  • 1. Mauro Bertolotti, Patrizia Catellani, & Masi Noor EASP Small Group Meeting Cognitive Conflicts: Taking a Cognitive Perspective on Social Phenomena
  • 2. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen From conflict to forgiveness Protracted interpersonal and intergroup conflict can severely harm the psychological (and physical, Cheadle & Toussaint, 2005) health (Davis et al., 2015) of individuals and communities . Several studies indicate that forgiveness is a desirable solution to end conflict and promote reconciliation (Fehr, Gelfand, & Nag, 2010; McCullough, Pargament & Thoreson, 2000; Worthington, 2005). The Needs-Based Model of Reconciliation (Shnabel & Nadler, 2008) proposes forgiveness as the key step through which opposing parties can satisfy their respective needs and reconcile.
  • 3. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen The apology-forgiveness cycle Perpetrator’s apology Victim empowerment Victim’s forgiveness Perpetrator’s moral image restoration Admission of guilt Acknowledgement of victim’s standing Acknowledgement of perpetrator’s perspective Give up on retribution Can exert the power of accepting or refusing apologies Regains higher moral status and social acceptance
  • 4. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Alternative routes to forgiveness The NBMR makes forgiveness inherently dependent on the perpetrator’s willingness to cooperate (apology). Rarely do adversarial parties agree on the roles of ‘victim’ vs. ‘perpetrator’ (Noor, Shnabel, Halabi, & Nadler, 2012). The process is slow, complex and cognitively and socially costly. Can victims become able to forgive on their own? They need to undergo a process of re-appraisal and re- evaluation of the circumstances and actions that led to conflict.
  • 5. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Counterfactual thinking Counterfactual thinking is the mental simulation of how an actual event would have unfolded if one or more antecedents had been different. Individuals spontaneously engage in counterfactual thinking after negative and surprising events (Kahnemann & Miller, 1986). Counterfactual thoughts are also common after victimisation events among victims (Nario-Redmond & Branscombe, 1996), perpetrators (Mandel & Dhami, 2005), and observers (Catellani & Milesi, 2001). If I had prepared the presentation earlier, I would have come up with a better example
  • 6. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Features of counterfactual thoughts Counterfactual focus: the actor whose actions or decisions are changed in the hypothetical scenario. We wouldn’t have fought if I had been more patient We wouldn’t have arrived late if you had stopped to ask for directions
  • 7. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Features of counterfactual thoughts Counterfactual structure: depends on whether the hypothetical alternative is obtained by inserting an element that was not present in the actual situation or by removing an element that was present in it (Roese & Olson, 1993). Additive counterfactuals Subtractive counterfactuals I would have passed the exam, if I had bought the exercise book I would have passed the exam, if the professor had not asked me that question
  • 8. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Counterfactual mindsets Different types of counterfactuals are associated with different mindsets (Markman et al., 2007). Additive CFs Subtractive CFs • Logical • Analytic • Systematic • Creative • Innovative • Cooperative Perspective -taking
  • 9. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 1 – Free counterfactuals Participants: 165 Italian undergraduates  Gender: 62.4% females; 37.6% males  Age: M = 22.51, SD = 2.53 Procedure:  Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005) Please think of a situation in which someone close to you (like a friend, romantic partner, relative, etc…) made you feel upset or hurt. … Please, describe briefly here what happened, focusing on how this person’s behaviour offended, hurt, disappointed you, or made you feel bad.  Counterfactual generation task Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think about how things might have been different. Things would have been different if… __________________________ Study 1
  • 10. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 1 I found out that my boyfriend had a virtual relationship with a girl. Even if it wasn't a real affair, because they never met face to face, I felt betrayed anyway. Study 1 – Recalled events During an argument, my boyfriend repeatedly raised his voice and insulted me. My roommate complains about house cleaning with our colleagues. Moreover he uses my detergents without paying for them." My best friend revealed to a group of common acquaintances about something I had told him in confidence. This made me feel betrayed, empty. Now I have a hard time opening up to others.
  • 11. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 1 – Coding of CF thoughts …if she had been honest with me …if I had kept the thing to myself …if we had not spent the day quarrelling …if he had understood the signals I gave him …if she had not talked behind my back • Counterfactual Focus • Counterfactual Structure Perpetrator-focused Self-focused Mixed-focused Additive Subtractive Study 1
  • 12. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Structure and focus of generated CFs 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Victim Perpetrator Both Others Focus Additive Subtractive Study 1 Structure
  • 13. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 2 – Perpetrator-focused CFs Participants: 180 Italian undergraduates  Gender: 71.1% females; 28.9 males  Age: M = 21.86, SD = 2.31 Procedure:  Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)  Counterfactual generation task Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think about how things might have been different. In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person had done something differently from what he [she] did. Things would have been different if he [she] had… _______________________ In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person had not done what he [she]did. Things would have been different if he [she] had not… ____________________ Study 2
  • 14. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 2 - Measures Perspective-taking (3 items, a = .85)  “How motivated do you feel to put yourself into his/her shoes?” Forgiveness (7 items, a = .86)  “I forgive this person”  “If I saw this person again, I would try to avoid interacting with him/her” (R) Offence severity (3 items, a = .72)  “How much did it harm your relationship with the other person?” Temporal distance: median 12 months, range 0-180 Study 2
  • 15. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a function of counterfactual structure 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Additive Subtractive Perspective-taking 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Additive Subtractive Forgiveness Study 2
  • 16. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Mediation analysis CF Structure Perspective-taking Forgiveness .209* .218* (.105) .540*** Study 3
  • 17. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 3 – Replication and extension Participants: 427 American residents recruited on Prolific Gender: 51.5% females; 48.5% males Age: M = 27.11, SD = 4.70 Procedure:  Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)  Counterfactual generation task + control condition […] In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person had done something differently from what he [she] did. Things would have been different if he [she] had… _______________________ […] In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if the other person had not done what he [she]did. Things would have been different if he [she] had not… ____________________ And now we would like you to recall an uneventful day in your week. Please briefly describe what your routine activities are during such day. Pre-registered Study 3
  • 18. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a function of counterfactual structure 0 10 20 30 40 50 Additive Subtractive Control Perspective-taking 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Additive Subtractive Control Forgiveness Study 3
  • 19. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Mediation analysis CF Structure (excluding control) Perspective-taking Forgiveness .159** .089 (-.005) .590*** Study 3
  • 20. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 4 – Self-focused Counterfactuals Participants: 196 Italian undergraduates • Gender: 72.4% females; 27.6% males • Age: M = 24.85, SD = 6.88 Procedure:  Recall paradigm (Karremans, et al., 2005)  Counterfactual generation task Please go back in your mind to the incident you have just described, and think about how things might have been different. In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if you had done something differently from what you did. Things would have been different if I had… _______________________ In particular, try to focus on what would have happened if you had not done what you did. Things would have been different if I had not… ____________________
  • 21. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Study 4 - Measures Perspective-taking (3 items, a = .81) Forgiveness (7 items, a = .88) Relative responsibility attribution: • “Indicate the extent you regard the perpetrator as responsible for the event you have just recalled” • “Indicate the extent you regard yourself as responsible for the event you have just recalled”
  • 22. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a function of counterfactual structure 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Additive Subtractive Perspective-taking 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Additive Subtractive Forgiveness Study 4
  • 23. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Perspective-taking and forgiveness as a function of CF structure and responsibility 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Self Other Perspective-taking Responsibility Attribution 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Self Other Forgiveness Responsibility Attribution Study 4
  • 24. Bertolotti, Catellani, & Noor - EASP Small Group Meeting - Tübingen Conclusions We examined victims’ counterfactual thinking as a pathway to unilateral forgiveness. Generating additive (vs. subtractive) counterfactuals promotes perspective- taking. Increased perspective-taking is associated with greater forgiveness. Some relational, contextual, and social factors moderate the effects of counterfactual thinking. Do counterfactuals work in the intergroup context? Can we use counterfactuals in victim/perpetrator communication?