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Replacement Analysis
Presented By:- MallikarjunVastrad FP17003
National Institute of Construction Management & Research
(NICMAR),Pune 2017-19
Replacement Analysis
▪ A tool with which equipment owners time the equipment replacement
decision.
▪ The cost of owning the present equipment is compared with the cost of
owning potential alternatives for replacing it.
▪ Theoretical and Practical methods are used to accomplish this
important equipment task.
Theoretical Method
▪ Dr. James Douglas, professor emeritus at Stanford University, in his
book “ Construction Equipment Policy” proposed four different
theoretical approaches to establish an equipment replacement policy
based on a rigorous and rational analysis of cost, time and production.
▪ The methods include Intuitive method, the Minimum Cost Method,
Maximum Profit Method, and the Mathematical Modeling Method
▪ Each method can be applied to a different type of equipment owner
▪ I) Intuitive Method:-
– Acts as a baseline against which other methods can be compared
– Simply the application of common sense to decision making
▪ II) Minimum Cost Method:-
– Fits very nicely into a public construction agency’s equipment management policy as the
focus on replacing equipment at a point in time where the overall cost of operating and
maintaining a given piece of equipment is minimized and hence the strain on tax payer is
also reduced
▪ III) Maximum Profit Method:-
– Furnishes a model for construction contractors and other entities that utilize their
equipment in a profit making enterprise to make the replacement decision with an eye on
their bottom line
▪ IV) Mathematical Modeling:-
– Rigorous analytical approach for those who utilize computer based simulations to assist in
optimizing equipment fleet size and composition for large equipment intensive projects.
Consider this example
I) Intuitive Method
▪ Most prevalent one for making replacement decisions due to its simplicity and reliance on
individual judgment.
▪ Mainly depends on professional judgment or an apparent feeling of correctness to make
replacement decisions.
▪ Equipment is often replaced when it requires a major overhaul or at times at the beginning of
new equipment-intensive job.
▪ Availability of capital is often a decisive factor
▪ Considering the example, there is no rational answer for the economic life of both types of
trucks
▪ Retaining the current trucks seems better option as they are only one year old, and earn
revenue almost at some rate
▪ Also the potential reduction in maintenance cost does not seem to be particularly dramatic, the
owner can choose to keep using current trucks
▪ In this case, it is clearly seen that long-term maintenance and operating cost is overlooked by
“professional judgement”
II) Maximum Profit Method
▪ Based on maximizing equipment profit
▪ To be used by the organizations that are able to generate revenue and
hence, profit
▪ Works best when the profit associated with the given equipment is
isolated and clearly defined
▪ However, it is not easy to separate annual equipment profit from entire
project or equipment fleet profit, in such cases the minimum cost
method should be used.
▪ Tables 3.11 and 3.12 illustrates how to determine the economic life of
the two alternatives using profit as the metric to make replacement
decision
▪ The economic life of the equipment is the year in which the average annual
cumulative profit is maximized.
▪ This results in higher profits over long period of time
▪ In table 3.11, the economic life of current trucks is at the end of fifth year because
the average annual cumulative profit is maximized in that year by $20,511
▪ The maximum average annual cumulative profit of $24,486 is in the fourth year
for the proposed truck in table 3.2
▪ The proposed truck should be replace the current trucks
▪ Major issue in this method is to identify the proper timing of replacement
▪ This occurs when the estimated annual profits of the current equipment for the
next year falls below the average annual cumulative profit of proposed
replacement
▪ Here, the annual profit of current trucks never exceeds $24,486, so they should be
replaced immediately.
THANK YOU….

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Replacement analysis

  • 1. Replacement Analysis Presented By:- MallikarjunVastrad FP17003 National Institute of Construction Management & Research (NICMAR),Pune 2017-19
  • 2. Replacement Analysis ▪ A tool with which equipment owners time the equipment replacement decision. ▪ The cost of owning the present equipment is compared with the cost of owning potential alternatives for replacing it. ▪ Theoretical and Practical methods are used to accomplish this important equipment task.
  • 3. Theoretical Method ▪ Dr. James Douglas, professor emeritus at Stanford University, in his book “ Construction Equipment Policy” proposed four different theoretical approaches to establish an equipment replacement policy based on a rigorous and rational analysis of cost, time and production. ▪ The methods include Intuitive method, the Minimum Cost Method, Maximum Profit Method, and the Mathematical Modeling Method ▪ Each method can be applied to a different type of equipment owner
  • 4. ▪ I) Intuitive Method:- – Acts as a baseline against which other methods can be compared – Simply the application of common sense to decision making ▪ II) Minimum Cost Method:- – Fits very nicely into a public construction agency’s equipment management policy as the focus on replacing equipment at a point in time where the overall cost of operating and maintaining a given piece of equipment is minimized and hence the strain on tax payer is also reduced ▪ III) Maximum Profit Method:- – Furnishes a model for construction contractors and other entities that utilize their equipment in a profit making enterprise to make the replacement decision with an eye on their bottom line ▪ IV) Mathematical Modeling:- – Rigorous analytical approach for those who utilize computer based simulations to assist in optimizing equipment fleet size and composition for large equipment intensive projects.
  • 6. I) Intuitive Method ▪ Most prevalent one for making replacement decisions due to its simplicity and reliance on individual judgment. ▪ Mainly depends on professional judgment or an apparent feeling of correctness to make replacement decisions. ▪ Equipment is often replaced when it requires a major overhaul or at times at the beginning of new equipment-intensive job. ▪ Availability of capital is often a decisive factor ▪ Considering the example, there is no rational answer for the economic life of both types of trucks ▪ Retaining the current trucks seems better option as they are only one year old, and earn revenue almost at some rate ▪ Also the potential reduction in maintenance cost does not seem to be particularly dramatic, the owner can choose to keep using current trucks ▪ In this case, it is clearly seen that long-term maintenance and operating cost is overlooked by “professional judgement”
  • 7. II) Maximum Profit Method ▪ Based on maximizing equipment profit ▪ To be used by the organizations that are able to generate revenue and hence, profit ▪ Works best when the profit associated with the given equipment is isolated and clearly defined ▪ However, it is not easy to separate annual equipment profit from entire project or equipment fleet profit, in such cases the minimum cost method should be used. ▪ Tables 3.11 and 3.12 illustrates how to determine the economic life of the two alternatives using profit as the metric to make replacement decision
  • 8.
  • 9. ▪ The economic life of the equipment is the year in which the average annual cumulative profit is maximized. ▪ This results in higher profits over long period of time ▪ In table 3.11, the economic life of current trucks is at the end of fifth year because the average annual cumulative profit is maximized in that year by $20,511 ▪ The maximum average annual cumulative profit of $24,486 is in the fourth year for the proposed truck in table 3.2 ▪ The proposed truck should be replace the current trucks ▪ Major issue in this method is to identify the proper timing of replacement ▪ This occurs when the estimated annual profits of the current equipment for the next year falls below the average annual cumulative profit of proposed replacement ▪ Here, the annual profit of current trucks never exceeds $24,486, so they should be replaced immediately.