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TREATING CORONARY HEART DISEASE IN DIABETIC PATIENTS:
A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW OF SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS
Claudia Nisa PhD1, Luis Filipe Azevedo MD PhD1,2, Frederic Resnic MD PhD,3,4, Mariana F Lobo
MSc1, Alberto Freitas PhD1,4, Vanessa Azzone PhD5, Leonor Bacelar Nicolau MSc6, Armando
Teixeira‐Pinto PhD7, Sharon‐Lise Normand PhD5,8, Altamiro Costa‐Pereira MD PhD1,4
1Center for Health Technology and Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Portugal; 2Department of Health Information and Decision
Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Portugal ; 3Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, United States; 4Department of
Cardiovascular Medicine and Comparative Research Institute, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, Burlington, Massachusetts, United States; 5Department of
Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States; 6Institute of Preventive Medicine and Public Health and ISAMB – Institute
of Environmental Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Lisbon; 8Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston,
Massachusetts, United States; 7School of Public Health and Faculty of Medicine, the University of Sidney, Sidney, Australia
MOTIVATION
INITIAL OBJECTIVE
Review of Systematic Reviews comparing revascularization strategies
REVIEW Included Studies
Follow‐
up
Mortality MI Repeat revascularization Stroke
Potential sources of bias
RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors
Tu et a 
2014
FREEDOM, CARDia, 
VA CARDS, ARTS I & 
ARTS II, ERACI II & 
III, SYNTAX, 
PRECOMBAT
Min 30 
days 
max 5 
years
OR 1.63 (1.31‐
2.02)
CABG OR 1.28 (0.68‐2.40) n.s.
OR 2.53 
(1.75‐3.64)
CABG NR 
ARTS II and ERACI III not 
RCTs Mixing pre‐specified 
with post‐hoc diabetic 
subgroup analysis
Fanari et 
al 2014
SYNTAX, 
FREEDOM, CARDia
Min 1y 
max 5 y
1y OR 0.97 (0.68‐
1.38); 5y OR 1.36 
(1.11‐1.66)
1y n.s.; 
5y CABG
1y OR 1.27 (0.75‐
2.15); 5y OR 2.01 
(1.54‐2.62)
1y n.s.; 
5y CABG
NR 
1y OR 0.40 
(0.19‐0.81); 5y 
OR 0.59 (0.39‐
0.89)
DES
Incomplete search; 
Mixing pre‐specified with 
post‐hoc diabetic 
subgroup analysis
Wu et al 
2015
ARTS II, ASAN‐MV, 
Briguori et al, Dohi 
et al, CARDia,  Lee 
et al, Dominguez‐
Franco et al, 
FREEDOM,  Luo et 
al, MAIN‐COMPARE, 
Ohno et al , Qiao et 
al, SYNTAX, VA 
CARDS, Yamagata et 
al, Zhao et al
Min 1y 
max 5 y
30days OR 2.03 
(1.11‐3.73); 1y OR 
0.97 (0.70‐1.33); 
max HR 0.74 
(0.59‐0.92)
30days 
CABG; 1y 
and 5y 
n.s.
30days OR 1.41 
(0.77‐2.57); 1y OR 
0.72 (0.43‐1.20); 
max Or 0.56 (0.43‐
0.74)
30 days 
and 1y 
n.s.; 5y 
CABG
30days OR 
0.76 (0.19‐
3.02); 1y OR 
0.28 (0.19‐
0.42); max 
OR 0.36 
(0.23‐0.55)
30 days 
n.s.; 1y 
and 5y 
CABG
30days OR 6.02 
(2.43‐14.87); 1y 
OR 2.75 (1.48‐
5.10); max OR 
2.02 (1.33‐3.06)
DES
Estimates using data from 
RCTs and non‐RCTs; 
Mixing pre‐specified with 
post‐hoc diabetic 
subgroup analysis
REVISED OBJECTIVE
Meta‐Analysis of primary trials
To reassess the clinical evidence based on primary RCTs 
comparing CABG with PCI controlling for:
Follow‐up differences
Pre‐defined versus post‐hoc diabetics comparison
Primary endpoint: all‐cause mortality;
Secondary endpoints: myocardial infarction, repeated
revascularization, and stroke;
No specific follow‐up period defined to evaluate the range
of follow‐up endpoints available
RESULTS
13 RCTs included (4372 patients)
Only 6 RCTs with pre‐specified subgroup
analysis (46%) for diabetics
Trials with post‐hoc analyses reporting mostly
mortality
Substantial difference between trials with ex‐
ante versus ex‐post analyses in the
distribution of risk factors namely proportion
of patients with multi‐vessel disease and
insulin dependence
Up to 1 year 2 to 3 years 4 to 5 years 6 to 10 years Longest follow‐up
Results overall favoring CABG at 5 years only;
Identified only in trials with a pre‐specified
subgroup comparison;
Meta‐regression model with dummy for pre‐
specification (0=post‐hoc; 1=pre‐specified) not
significant but funnel plot suggests that larger
studies with lower variance favor CABG.
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
The large amount of existing reviews examining the effectiveness of CABG versus
PCI did not return more consensus in results;
Many potential sources of bias identified, in particular combining very distinct
follow‐up duration and data from ex‐ante versus ex‐post subgroup analysis;
In particular for all‐cause mortality, there are conflicting results depending on
whether the diabetic subgroup analysis was pre‐specified; CABG best option in
the long‐term only in trials pre‐specifying diabetes;
Future Research should address:
The implications of this result to other high‐risk patients and risk factors (e.g., kidney disease)
If this difference is identified in trials comparing stents versus stents
Possible consequences for the estimation of relative cost‐effectiveness between revascularization strategies

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CUTEHeart Poster session of CPC2016

  • 1. TREATING CORONARY HEART DISEASE IN DIABETIC PATIENTS: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW OF SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS Claudia Nisa PhD1, Luis Filipe Azevedo MD PhD1,2, Frederic Resnic MD PhD,3,4, Mariana F Lobo MSc1, Alberto Freitas PhD1,4, Vanessa Azzone PhD5, Leonor Bacelar Nicolau MSc6, Armando Teixeira‐Pinto PhD7, Sharon‐Lise Normand PhD5,8, Altamiro Costa‐Pereira MD PhD1,4 1Center for Health Technology and Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Portugal; 2Department of Health Information and Decision Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Portugal ; 3Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, United States; 4Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Comparative Research Institute, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, Burlington, Massachusetts, United States; 5Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States; 6Institute of Preventive Medicine and Public Health and ISAMB – Institute of Environmental Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Lisbon; 8Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States; 7School of Public Health and Faculty of Medicine, the University of Sidney, Sidney, Australia
  • 3. INITIAL OBJECTIVE Review of Systematic Reviews comparing revascularization strategies REVIEW Included Studies Follow‐ up Mortality MI Repeat revascularization Stroke Potential sources of bias RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors RE (95%CI) Favors Tu et a  2014 FREEDOM, CARDia,  VA CARDS, ARTS I &  ARTS II, ERACI II &  III, SYNTAX,  PRECOMBAT Min 30  days  max 5  years OR 1.63 (1.31‐ 2.02) CABG OR 1.28 (0.68‐2.40) n.s. OR 2.53  (1.75‐3.64) CABG NR  ARTS II and ERACI III not  RCTs Mixing pre‐specified  with post‐hoc diabetic  subgroup analysis Fanari et  al 2014 SYNTAX,  FREEDOM, CARDia Min 1y  max 5 y 1y OR 0.97 (0.68‐ 1.38); 5y OR 1.36  (1.11‐1.66) 1y n.s.;  5y CABG 1y OR 1.27 (0.75‐ 2.15); 5y OR 2.01  (1.54‐2.62) 1y n.s.;  5y CABG NR  1y OR 0.40  (0.19‐0.81); 5y  OR 0.59 (0.39‐ 0.89) DES Incomplete search;  Mixing pre‐specified with  post‐hoc diabetic  subgroup analysis Wu et al  2015 ARTS II, ASAN‐MV,  Briguori et al, Dohi  et al, CARDia,  Lee  et al, Dominguez‐ Franco et al,  FREEDOM,  Luo et  al, MAIN‐COMPARE,  Ohno et al , Qiao et  al, SYNTAX, VA  CARDS, Yamagata et  al, Zhao et al Min 1y  max 5 y 30days OR 2.03  (1.11‐3.73); 1y OR  0.97 (0.70‐1.33);  max HR 0.74  (0.59‐0.92) 30days  CABG; 1y  and 5y  n.s. 30days OR 1.41  (0.77‐2.57); 1y OR  0.72 (0.43‐1.20);  max Or 0.56 (0.43‐ 0.74) 30 days  and 1y  n.s.; 5y  CABG 30days OR  0.76 (0.19‐ 3.02); 1y OR  0.28 (0.19‐ 0.42); max  OR 0.36  (0.23‐0.55) 30 days  n.s.; 1y  and 5y  CABG 30days OR 6.02  (2.43‐14.87); 1y  OR 2.75 (1.48‐ 5.10); max OR  2.02 (1.33‐3.06) DES Estimates using data from  RCTs and non‐RCTs;  Mixing pre‐specified with  post‐hoc diabetic  subgroup analysis
  • 4. REVISED OBJECTIVE Meta‐Analysis of primary trials To reassess the clinical evidence based on primary RCTs  comparing CABG with PCI controlling for: Follow‐up differences Pre‐defined versus post‐hoc diabetics comparison Primary endpoint: all‐cause mortality; Secondary endpoints: myocardial infarction, repeated revascularization, and stroke; No specific follow‐up period defined to evaluate the range of follow‐up endpoints available
  • 5. RESULTS 13 RCTs included (4372 patients) Only 6 RCTs with pre‐specified subgroup analysis (46%) for diabetics Trials with post‐hoc analyses reporting mostly mortality Substantial difference between trials with ex‐ ante versus ex‐post analyses in the distribution of risk factors namely proportion of patients with multi‐vessel disease and insulin dependence
  • 6. Up to 1 year 2 to 3 years 4 to 5 years 6 to 10 years Longest follow‐up Results overall favoring CABG at 5 years only; Identified only in trials with a pre‐specified subgroup comparison; Meta‐regression model with dummy for pre‐ specification (0=post‐hoc; 1=pre‐specified) not significant but funnel plot suggests that larger studies with lower variance favor CABG. RESULTS
  • 7. DISCUSSION The large amount of existing reviews examining the effectiveness of CABG versus PCI did not return more consensus in results; Many potential sources of bias identified, in particular combining very distinct follow‐up duration and data from ex‐ante versus ex‐post subgroup analysis; In particular for all‐cause mortality, there are conflicting results depending on whether the diabetic subgroup analysis was pre‐specified; CABG best option in the long‐term only in trials pre‐specifying diabetes; Future Research should address: The implications of this result to other high‐risk patients and risk factors (e.g., kidney disease) If this difference is identified in trials comparing stents versus stents Possible consequences for the estimation of relative cost‐effectiveness between revascularization strategies