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MB106
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES
MODULE I
LECTURE 17
Game Theory
PROF. KRISHNA ROY
Two Person Zero Sum Game
Only two players are involved.
Each player has a finite number of strategies to
use.
Each specific strategy results in a payoff.
Total payoff to the two players at the end of
each play is zero i.e. gain of one player equals
the loss of the other
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 2
Two Person Zero Sum Game
Player :- A competitor in a game.
Strategy :- Set of alternative courses of actions available to a player.
Pure Strategy :- A strategy a player selects each time with complete
knowledge of opponent’s action with an objective to maximize gain or
minimize loss.
Optimum Strategy :- Strategy that puts the player in a preferred position
irrespective of the competitor’s strategy.
Mixed Strategy :- When a combination of strategies is used by a player and
he has little knowledge about the opponent’s strategy, a probabilistic
situation with the objective of maximizing expected gains or minimizing
expected losses, arises.
Value of the game :- Expected payoff when all players follow the optimum
strategy.
Fair Game :- When the value of the game is zero.
Unfair Game :- When the value of the game is not zero.
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 3
Maximin-Minimax Principle
Example: Player B Row Min
B1 B2
Player
A
A1 9 2 2
A2 8 *6 6(Max)
A3 6 4 4
Column
Max
9 6(Min)
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 4
A follows maximin strategy while B
follows minimax strategy
A plays strategy A2 while B plays
strategy B2
In a fair game, maximin value=minimax
value=0
A game is said to have a saddle point if
the maximin value=minimax value
SADDLE POINT
Maximin-Minimax Principle
Player B Row
Min
Player
A
2 4 5 2
10 7 q 7
4 p 6 ?
Column
Max
10 7 ?
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 5
Example :Find the range of values of p
and q which render the entry (2,2) a
saddle point for the game.
Solution:
If entry (2,2) i.e. 7 has to be the saddle
point then it must be the column maxima
and p≤ 7.
Similarly if entry (2,2) i.e. 7 has to be the
saddle point then it must be the row
minima and q≥ 7.
SADDLE POINT
Reducing a game by dominance & mixed strategies
• Dominance rule for column: Every value in the dominating column(s) must
be less than or equal to the corresponding value of the dominated column.
• Dominance rule for row: Every value in the dominating row(s) must be
greater than or equal to the corresponding value of the dominated row.
• Mixed Strategy: When there is no saddle point
i. Subtract the two digits in column 1 and write the difference under column 2 ignoring
sign.
ii. Subtract the two digits under column 2 and write the difference under column 1
ignoring sign
iii. Proceed similarly with the two rows.
These values are called ODDMENTS
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 6
Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES
Player Q Row
Min
W B R
Player
P
W 0 -2 7 -2
B 2 5 6 2
R 3 -3 8 -3
Column
Max
3 5 8
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 7
Example :Two players P and Q play a
game . Each of them has to choose one
of the three colours white (W), black(B)
and red(R) independently of the other. If
both P and Q choose W,W neither wins
anything. If player P selects white and Q
black (W,B), P loses Rs. 2 and Q wins the
same.
There is no saddle point.
Here column R is dominated by column
B because all elements in column B are
less than corresponding elements of
column R.
Therefore column R is eliminated.
Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES
Player Q
W B
Player
P
W 0 -2
B 2 5
R 3 -3
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 8
Here column R is dominated by column
B because all elements in column B are
less than corresponding elements of
column R.
Therefore column R is eliminated.
Now row W is dominated by row B
because all elements in row W are less
than the corresponding elements of row
B.
Therefore row W is deleted.
Player Q
W B
Play
er
P
B 2 5
R 3 -3
Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 9
In column W difference between two
elements 2 and 3 is 1 which is written
under column B.
In column B the difference between
two elements 5 and -3 is 8 which is
written under column W.
Similarly in row B difference between
the two elements 2 and 5 is 3 which is
written beside row R
In row R difference between the two
elements 3 and -3 is 6 which is written
beside row B.
Player Q
W B
Player
P
B 2 5 6
R 3 -3 3
8 1
Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 10
Solution:
Q should play White 8/(8+1)
fraction of the time and Black
1/(8+1) fraction of the time i.e.
8/9 and 1/9 respectively.
P should play Black 6/(6+3)
fraction of the time and Red
3/(6+3) fraction of the time i.e.
6/9 and 3/9 respectively.
Player Q
W B
Player
P
B 2 5 6
R 3 -3 3
8 1
Graphical Method
Example: Two firms A and B make colour and black and white
television sets. Firm A can make either 150 colour sets in a week or
an equal number of black and white sets making a profit of Rs. 400
per colour set and Rs. 300 per black and white set. Firm B can either
make 300 colour sets or 150 colour and 150 black and white sets or
300 black and white sets per week. It also has the same profit
margins on the two sets as A. Each week there is a market of 150
colour sets and 300 black and white sets and the manufacturers
would share market in the proportion in which they manufacture a
particular type of set. Write the payoff matrix of A per week. Obtain
graphically A and B’s optimum strategies and the value of the game.
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 11
Graphical Method
Solution:
Firm A’s strategies
A1 : Make 150 colour sets
A2 : Make 150 black and white sets
Firm B’s strategies
B1 : Make 300 colour sets
B2 : Make 150 colour and 150 black and white sets
B3 : Make 300 black and white sets
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 12
Graphical Method
Solution:
Payoff to A for strategy A1 B1 i.e. A plays A1 and B plays B1
(A’s manufacture of colour sets/total manufacture) X total market of colour sets X profit per set
={150/(150+300)}X150X400=Rs. 20,000 Market share of A
Payoff to A for strategy A1 B2
={150/(150+150)}X150X400=Rs 30,000
Payoff to A for strategy A1 B3
=150X 400=Rs 60,000 because only A manufactures 150 colour sets and market demand is
150. Hence all sell
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 13
Graphical Method
Solution:
Payoff to A for strategy A2 B1
150X300=Rs. 45,000 Only A makes black and white sets(150). Demand is 300. Hence all
150 sets sell.
Payoff to A for strategy A2 B2
={150/(150+150)}X300X300=Rs 45,000
Payoff to A for strategy A2 B3
={50/(150+300)}X 300X300=Rs 30,000
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 14
Graphical Method
Since there exists no saddle
point, to determine optimal
mixed strategy, we plot the data
on a graph.
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 15
B’s strategy Row
Min
B1 B2 B3
A’s
strategy
A1
20,000 30,000 60,000 20,000
A2
45,000 45,000 30,000 30,000
Column
Max
45,000 45,000 60,000
Graphical Method
Since there exists no saddle point, to
determine optimal mixed strategy, we plot
the data on a graph.
Lines joining payoffs on axis A1 with
payoffs on axis A2 represent each of B’s
strategies.
P represents the maximum expected
payoff or value of the game for A.
The two strategies of B, B1 and B3 which
pass through P need to be adopted by B
eliminating B2
The solution reduces to a 2X2 payoff
matrix.
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 16
Graphical Method
Therefore the optimal mixed strategy of
player A are A1 3/11, A2 8/11 and
the optimal mixed strategies of player B
are B1  6/11, B3  5/11
The value of the game from the graph is
Rs. 38,182 for A
Algebraically value of the game for A is
20,000X3/11+45,000X8/11=38,181.8181
= Rs. 38,182/-
09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 17
B’s strategy Probability
B1 B3
A’s
strategy
A1
20,000 60,000 p1=15000/50000 =
3/11
A2
45,000 30,000 p2=40,000/55000 =
8/11
Probability
q1=30000/
55000=
6/11
q2=25000/
550000=
5/11
• Till we meet again in the next class……….
PROF. KRISHNA ROY, FMS, BCREC 18
09-11-2021

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Mb 106 quantitative techniques 17

  • 1. MB106 QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES MODULE I LECTURE 17 Game Theory PROF. KRISHNA ROY
  • 2. Two Person Zero Sum Game Only two players are involved. Each player has a finite number of strategies to use. Each specific strategy results in a payoff. Total payoff to the two players at the end of each play is zero i.e. gain of one player equals the loss of the other 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 2
  • 3. Two Person Zero Sum Game Player :- A competitor in a game. Strategy :- Set of alternative courses of actions available to a player. Pure Strategy :- A strategy a player selects each time with complete knowledge of opponent’s action with an objective to maximize gain or minimize loss. Optimum Strategy :- Strategy that puts the player in a preferred position irrespective of the competitor’s strategy. Mixed Strategy :- When a combination of strategies is used by a player and he has little knowledge about the opponent’s strategy, a probabilistic situation with the objective of maximizing expected gains or minimizing expected losses, arises. Value of the game :- Expected payoff when all players follow the optimum strategy. Fair Game :- When the value of the game is zero. Unfair Game :- When the value of the game is not zero. 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 3
  • 4. Maximin-Minimax Principle Example: Player B Row Min B1 B2 Player A A1 9 2 2 A2 8 *6 6(Max) A3 6 4 4 Column Max 9 6(Min) 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 4 A follows maximin strategy while B follows minimax strategy A plays strategy A2 while B plays strategy B2 In a fair game, maximin value=minimax value=0 A game is said to have a saddle point if the maximin value=minimax value SADDLE POINT
  • 5. Maximin-Minimax Principle Player B Row Min Player A 2 4 5 2 10 7 q 7 4 p 6 ? Column Max 10 7 ? 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 5 Example :Find the range of values of p and q which render the entry (2,2) a saddle point for the game. Solution: If entry (2,2) i.e. 7 has to be the saddle point then it must be the column maxima and p≤ 7. Similarly if entry (2,2) i.e. 7 has to be the saddle point then it must be the row minima and q≥ 7. SADDLE POINT
  • 6. Reducing a game by dominance & mixed strategies • Dominance rule for column: Every value in the dominating column(s) must be less than or equal to the corresponding value of the dominated column. • Dominance rule for row: Every value in the dominating row(s) must be greater than or equal to the corresponding value of the dominated row. • Mixed Strategy: When there is no saddle point i. Subtract the two digits in column 1 and write the difference under column 2 ignoring sign. ii. Subtract the two digits under column 2 and write the difference under column 1 ignoring sign iii. Proceed similarly with the two rows. These values are called ODDMENTS 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 6
  • 7. Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES Player Q Row Min W B R Player P W 0 -2 7 -2 B 2 5 6 2 R 3 -3 8 -3 Column Max 3 5 8 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 7 Example :Two players P and Q play a game . Each of them has to choose one of the three colours white (W), black(B) and red(R) independently of the other. If both P and Q choose W,W neither wins anything. If player P selects white and Q black (W,B), P loses Rs. 2 and Q wins the same. There is no saddle point. Here column R is dominated by column B because all elements in column B are less than corresponding elements of column R. Therefore column R is eliminated.
  • 8. Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES Player Q W B Player P W 0 -2 B 2 5 R 3 -3 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 8 Here column R is dominated by column B because all elements in column B are less than corresponding elements of column R. Therefore column R is eliminated. Now row W is dominated by row B because all elements in row W are less than the corresponding elements of row B. Therefore row W is deleted. Player Q W B Play er P B 2 5 R 3 -3
  • 9. Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 9 In column W difference between two elements 2 and 3 is 1 which is written under column B. In column B the difference between two elements 5 and -3 is 8 which is written under column W. Similarly in row B difference between the two elements 2 and 5 is 3 which is written beside row R In row R difference between the two elements 3 and -3 is 6 which is written beside row B. Player Q W B Player P B 2 5 6 R 3 -3 3 8 1
  • 10. Reducing game by dominance & MIXED STRATEGIES 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 10 Solution: Q should play White 8/(8+1) fraction of the time and Black 1/(8+1) fraction of the time i.e. 8/9 and 1/9 respectively. P should play Black 6/(6+3) fraction of the time and Red 3/(6+3) fraction of the time i.e. 6/9 and 3/9 respectively. Player Q W B Player P B 2 5 6 R 3 -3 3 8 1
  • 11. Graphical Method Example: Two firms A and B make colour and black and white television sets. Firm A can make either 150 colour sets in a week or an equal number of black and white sets making a profit of Rs. 400 per colour set and Rs. 300 per black and white set. Firm B can either make 300 colour sets or 150 colour and 150 black and white sets or 300 black and white sets per week. It also has the same profit margins on the two sets as A. Each week there is a market of 150 colour sets and 300 black and white sets and the manufacturers would share market in the proportion in which they manufacture a particular type of set. Write the payoff matrix of A per week. Obtain graphically A and B’s optimum strategies and the value of the game. 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 11
  • 12. Graphical Method Solution: Firm A’s strategies A1 : Make 150 colour sets A2 : Make 150 black and white sets Firm B’s strategies B1 : Make 300 colour sets B2 : Make 150 colour and 150 black and white sets B3 : Make 300 black and white sets 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 12
  • 13. Graphical Method Solution: Payoff to A for strategy A1 B1 i.e. A plays A1 and B plays B1 (A’s manufacture of colour sets/total manufacture) X total market of colour sets X profit per set ={150/(150+300)}X150X400=Rs. 20,000 Market share of A Payoff to A for strategy A1 B2 ={150/(150+150)}X150X400=Rs 30,000 Payoff to A for strategy A1 B3 =150X 400=Rs 60,000 because only A manufactures 150 colour sets and market demand is 150. Hence all sell 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 13
  • 14. Graphical Method Solution: Payoff to A for strategy A2 B1 150X300=Rs. 45,000 Only A makes black and white sets(150). Demand is 300. Hence all 150 sets sell. Payoff to A for strategy A2 B2 ={150/(150+150)}X300X300=Rs 45,000 Payoff to A for strategy A2 B3 ={50/(150+300)}X 300X300=Rs 30,000 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 14
  • 15. Graphical Method Since there exists no saddle point, to determine optimal mixed strategy, we plot the data on a graph. 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 15 B’s strategy Row Min B1 B2 B3 A’s strategy A1 20,000 30,000 60,000 20,000 A2 45,000 45,000 30,000 30,000 Column Max 45,000 45,000 60,000
  • 16. Graphical Method Since there exists no saddle point, to determine optimal mixed strategy, we plot the data on a graph. Lines joining payoffs on axis A1 with payoffs on axis A2 represent each of B’s strategies. P represents the maximum expected payoff or value of the game for A. The two strategies of B, B1 and B3 which pass through P need to be adopted by B eliminating B2 The solution reduces to a 2X2 payoff matrix. 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 16
  • 17. Graphical Method Therefore the optimal mixed strategy of player A are A1 3/11, A2 8/11 and the optimal mixed strategies of player B are B1  6/11, B3  5/11 The value of the game from the graph is Rs. 38,182 for A Algebraically value of the game for A is 20,000X3/11+45,000X8/11=38,181.8181 = Rs. 38,182/- 09-11-2021 Prof. Krishna Roy, Dr. B. C. Roy Engineering College 17 B’s strategy Probability B1 B3 A’s strategy A1 20,000 60,000 p1=15000/50000 = 3/11 A2 45,000 30,000 p2=40,000/55000 = 8/11 Probability q1=30000/ 55000= 6/11 q2=25000/ 550000= 5/11
  • 18. • Till we meet again in the next class………. PROF. KRISHNA ROY, FMS, BCREC 18 09-11-2021