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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                  02nd May 2012



               Spot         Near       Premium     Nifty
                                                   The Nifty futures premium to spot reduced to 19 points
Nifty          5248         5267          19
                                                   with a marginal increase in open interest indicating lack of
Bank Nifty     10277        10270         -7       conviction in the markets. Buying was seen in the 5300 to
USD/INR       52.5193       53.05        0.53      5500 call optionswhile the put options between 5100 to
                                                   5300 were sold by traders. The equilibrium remains
                                                   between 5200 and 5300.
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis
                 1            2           3
Maximum                                            Bank Nifty
               5600         5400        5300
Call OI                                            The Bank Nifty May futures added marginal open interest
Maximum                                            but traded at a discount to spot indicating build-up of
               5100         5000        5200
Put OI                                             short positions. Buying happened in the 10500 to 11000
Equilibriu                                         calls while writing was seen in the 9500 to 10200
                Between 5200 and 5300
m
                                                   puts.The equilibrium remains at 10200.


   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis               USD/INR
                 1            2           3
                                                   The basis over spot went up from 0.2 to 0.53 indicating
                                                   long build-up. However the equilibriummoved down to
Maximum
Call OI
               11000        10500       10200      52.5 with the highest Call OI at 53 and the highest Put OI
Maximum                                            also at 53.
               10000        9500        10200
Put OI
Equilibriu
                            10200
m                                                  STOCK FUTURES
                                                   Long Buildup: Pantaloon, Arvind, BOI, ALBK, TCS,
                                                   Divis, Chambal, Tata Motors DVR, Hero.
    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                                                   Long Reduction/Short Covering: CNXIT, DLF, Dr
                 1            2           3        Reddy, Infosys, Hexaware, OBC, Reliance Power,
Maximum                                            Syndicate Bank.
                53           53.5        52.5
Call OI
Maximum
Put OI
                53            52         52.5      Short Buildup: BHEL, Century, Financial Tech, Idea.
Equilibriu
                             52.5
m


SOURCE – NSE




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 020512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 02nd May 2012 Spot Near Premium Nifty The Nifty futures premium to spot reduced to 19 points Nifty 5248 5267 19 with a marginal increase in open interest indicating lack of Bank Nifty 10277 10270 -7 conviction in the markets. Buying was seen in the 5300 to USD/INR 52.5193 53.05 0.53 5500 call optionswhile the put options between 5100 to 5300 were sold by traders. The equilibrium remains between 5200 and 5300. Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 Maximum Bank Nifty 5600 5400 5300 Call OI The Bank Nifty May futures added marginal open interest Maximum but traded at a discount to spot indicating build-up of 5100 5000 5200 Put OI short positions. Buying happened in the 10500 to 11000 Equilibriu calls while writing was seen in the 9500 to 10200 Between 5200 and 5300 m puts.The equilibrium remains at 10200. Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis USD/INR 1 2 3 The basis over spot went up from 0.2 to 0.53 indicating long build-up. However the equilibriummoved down to Maximum Call OI 11000 10500 10200 52.5 with the highest Call OI at 53 and the highest Put OI Maximum also at 53. 10000 9500 10200 Put OI Equilibriu 10200 m STOCK FUTURES Long Buildup: Pantaloon, Arvind, BOI, ALBK, TCS, Divis, Chambal, Tata Motors DVR, Hero. USD/INR Open Interest Analysis Long Reduction/Short Covering: CNXIT, DLF, Dr 1 2 3 Reddy, Infosys, Hexaware, OBC, Reliance Power, Maximum Syndicate Bank. 53 53.5 52.5 Call OI Maximum Put OI 53 52 52.5 Short Buildup: BHEL, Century, Financial Tech, Idea. Equilibriu 52.5 m SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322