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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Monday, December 19, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Dec 15       Dec 16    Change (%)   • Indian markets fell 2.2% to their lowest close in more
 Sensex              15,836.47    15,491.35     -2.18%       than two years on Friday as RBI Governor could not
 CNX Nifty            4,746.35     4,651.60     -2.00%       cheer the investors by reducing interest rates and
 BSE Mid-cap          5,369.61     5,277.27     -1.72%       finance ministry also made it clear that it will not
 BSE IT               5,770.17     5,712.42     -1.00%       abolish securities transaction tax in the next union
 BSE Banks            9,728.21     9,420.85     -3.16%       budget. The news that 10 transactions over last three
                                                             year were funded the terror attacks and market
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       intermediaries like stocks brokers and asset
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       management companies (AMCs) were involved in
 15-Dec                  3,001        3,227        -226      those transactions also hurt the investor sentiments.
 14-Dec                  2,303        2,358         -56      The RBI on Thursday reduced trading limits for banks
 Total Dec              21,764       21,043        721       in the foreign exchange market, making it difficult for
                                                             market players to keep speculative positions open for
 2011 YTD             590,208      592,432        -2224
                                                             a long time. The curbs in the foreign exchange market
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      helped the Indian rupee rebound more than 2%. All
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       sectoral indices closed on negative note with capital
 15-Dec                   369          480         -111      goods, real estate, banks and power stocks were
 14-Dec                   510          307         203
                                                             major losers. Software exporters, which get a large
                                                             part of their revenue from the United States and
 Total Dec               4496         4849         -353
                                                             Europe, fell after the rupee bounce. Telecom and IT
 2011 YTD             126,722      121,627        5095
                                                             services firm Spanco Ltd rose 8.1% after its business
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 process outsourcing arm has been granted a 5-year
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             tax holiday by the Nigerean government for
                                                             outsourcing activities.
 Trading Volume (`Cr)              11,058         2,188
 Advances                             314          847     • Market breadth was week at ~0.45x as investors sold
 Declines                           1,166         1,884      large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `2.21bn while
 Unchanged                             70          143       domestic institutions bought equities of `3.35bn.
 Total                              1,550         2,874    • Asia markets declined in early Monday trade, with
Global Markets                                               technology and retail firms weak, as European debt
                                                             concerns rose after Fitch Ratings warned about the
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     health of the economy.
 DJIA                            11,866.39        0.0%
                                                           • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
 NASDAQ                           2,555.33        0.6%
                                                             today following the cues from the Asian markets as
 Nikkei *                         8,331.00        -0.8%
                                                             investors are concerned over the health of the
 Hang Seng *                     17,961.36        -1.8%
                                                             domestic and global economy.
* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                    Latest     Previous
                                                           •   Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has said
                                    Quote         Close        the current account deficit may climb to 4.9% of the
 Indian Rupee per $                  52.75        52.54        GDP, at $47 billion, in the December quarter.
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.66        68.52    •   The size of the tea industry may touch `33,000Cr by
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              93.16        93.53        2015, driven by the growing popularity of different
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,593.60     1,595.60        varieties like herbal and ice tea and awareness about
 Silver ($/oz)                       29.33        29.62        their health benefits, an Assocham study has said.



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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Hindustan Tin Works, a leading manufacturer, is
                   Previous     Current    Change         looking at the non-food sector to drive its revenue in
 Company Name                                             times to come. HTW believes non-food packaging
                   Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 Apollo Hosp         477.15     532.05      11.51         will drive a lot of growth for the company. Food can
 Bajaj Finserv       404.50     420.00        3.83        packaging presently contributes to 90% of its total
 M&M Fin             640.00     657.00        2.66        sales.
 Divis Lab           741.55     761.00        2.62      • The International Energy Agency has said India's
 Godrej Cons         386.00     393.50        1.94        increasing    mismatch   between   the   domestic
                                                          production and the demand for coal is due to many
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                          factors, including the "weak performance" of Coal
                   Previous    Current     Change         India.
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
 Apollo Hosp         477.15      532.05     11.51       • The Sahara group will give a loan of more than
 HMT                  28.40       30.50       7.39        `250Cr to cash-strapped Kingfisher Airlines, to help
                                                          the carrier continue operations, a national daily
 Bombay Rayon        247.25      260.20       5.24
                                                          reported on Saturday, citing sources.
 Bajaj Finserv       404.50      420.00       3.83
 Carborundum         144.75      149.80       3.49      • Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) will shortly
                                                          seal a deal with the UK’s LP Chemical for setting up a
TOP LOSERS                                                petrochemical plant at Kochi refinery, marks foray
                                                          into sector.
(BSE A-Group)
                                                        • Indian Oil Corporation, the country’s biggest oil
                   Previous    Current     Change
 Company Name                                             refining and marketing company, has raised
                   Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
                                                          `1,400Cr from the domestic bond markets after a
 Essar Oil            56.70       47.75     -15.78
                                                          gap of nearly two-and-a-half years. The proceeds
 Lanco Infra           9.99        8.83     -11.61
                                                          shall be utilised in capex of ongoing domestic
 Unitech              21.20       19.35      -8.73
                                                          projects.
 Educomp Sol         197.50     180.50       -8.61
                                                        • Shriram EPC (SEPC) today said it had bagged a
 Sintex Inds          68.90       63.00      -8.56
                                                          `260Cr contract for installation of a byproduct
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             complex at state-owned mining major NMDC's 3-mn
                   Previous    Current     Change         tonne per annum steel plant at Nagarnar in
 Company Name                                             Chattisgarh.
                   Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
 Lanco Infra           9.99        8.83     -11.61      US markets
 Arvind               76.65       67.90     -11.42
                                                        U.S. stocks on Friday finished with weekly losses after a
 BGR Energy          224.20      201.65     -10.06
                                                        rating agency's warning on Europe pulled down
 KSK Energy           43.25       38.95      -9.94      investor sentiments. Fitch Ratings affirmed France’s top
 S Mobility           83.95       76.05      -9.41      Triple-A credit rating, but warned of a potential down
                                                        grade for six other euro-using nations, placing Belgium,
                                                        Spain, Slovenia, Italy, Ireland and Cyprus under review,
                                                        calling a broad solution to Europe’s debt crisis
                                                        “technically and politically beyond reach.”
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 2.42 points,
                                                        or less than 0.1%, to 11,866.39. The S&P 500 rose 3.89
                                                        points, or 0.3% Friday, to 1,219.65. The Nasdaq
                                                        Composite added 14.32 points, or 0.6%, to 2,555.33.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynoteindia.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                  Monday                                   Tuesday                                Wednesday                                  Thursday

   Regions                      Dec. 19                                   Dec. 20                                  Dec. 21                                  Dec. 22
                                                                                                                                                Weekly Inflation
   India
                                                                                                                                                Data


                                                                                                                                                Gross domestic
                                                                                                       Existing Home sales
   US               Home Builder Index                        Housing Starts                                                                    purchases price
                                                                                                       Data
                                                                                                                                                index
                                                                                                                                                Gross domestic
                                                              Building Permits
                                                                                                                                                product annualized
                                                                                                                                                Initial jobless claims
                                                                                                                                                Reuters/Michigan
                                                                                                                                                consumer sentiment
                                                                                                                                                index




                                                              Germany Gfk
                    UK - House Price                                                                   Japan Interest Rate
   Global                                                     Consumer                                                                          UK GDP data
                    Index                                                                              decision
                                                              Confidence Survey
                                                              Germany IFO -
                                                              Business Climate




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                       Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynoteindia.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 19-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Monday, December 19, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Dec 15 Dec 16 Change (%) • Indian markets fell 2.2% to their lowest close in more Sensex 15,836.47 15,491.35 -2.18% than two years on Friday as RBI Governor could not CNX Nifty 4,746.35 4,651.60 -2.00% cheer the investors by reducing interest rates and BSE Mid-cap 5,369.61 5,277.27 -1.72% finance ministry also made it clear that it will not BSE IT 5,770.17 5,712.42 -1.00% abolish securities transaction tax in the next union BSE Banks 9,728.21 9,420.85 -3.16% budget. The news that 10 transactions over last three year were funded the terror attacks and market FII Activity (`Cr) intermediaries like stocks brokers and asset Date Buy Sell Net management companies (AMCs) were involved in 15-Dec 3,001 3,227 -226 those transactions also hurt the investor sentiments. 14-Dec 2,303 2,358 -56 The RBI on Thursday reduced trading limits for banks Total Dec 21,764 21,043 721 in the foreign exchange market, making it difficult for market players to keep speculative positions open for 2011 YTD 590,208 592,432 -2224 a long time. The curbs in the foreign exchange market MF Activity (`Cr) helped the Indian rupee rebound more than 2%. All Date Buy Sell Net sectoral indices closed on negative note with capital 15-Dec 369 480 -111 goods, real estate, banks and power stocks were 14-Dec 510 307 203 major losers. Software exporters, which get a large part of their revenue from the United States and Total Dec 4496 4849 -353 Europe, fell after the rupee bounce. Telecom and IT 2011 YTD 126,722 121,627 5095 services firm Spanco Ltd rose 8.1% after its business Volume & Advances / Declines process outsourcing arm has been granted a 5-year NSE BSE tax holiday by the Nigerean government for outsourcing activities. Trading Volume (`Cr) 11,058 2,188 Advances 314 847 • Market breadth was week at ~0.45x as investors sold Declines 1,166 1,884 large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `2.21bn while Unchanged 70 143 domestic institutions bought equities of `3.35bn. Total 1,550 2,874 • Asia markets declined in early Monday trade, with Global Markets technology and retail firms weak, as European debt concerns rose after Fitch Ratings warned about the Index Latest Values Change (%) health of the economy. DJIA 11,866.39 0.0% • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets NASDAQ 2,555.33 0.6% today following the cues from the Asian markets as Nikkei * 8,331.00 -0.8% investors are concerned over the health of the Hang Seng * 17,961.36 -1.8% domestic and global economy. * as of 8.25AM IST Economic and Corporate Developments Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Latest Previous • Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has said Quote Close the current account deficit may climb to 4.9% of the Indian Rupee per $ 52.75 52.54 GDP, at $47 billion, in the December quarter. Indian Rupee per € 68.66 68.52 • The size of the tea industry may touch `33,000Cr by NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 93.16 93.53 2015, driven by the growing popularity of different Gold ($/oz) 1,593.60 1,595.60 varieties like herbal and ice tea and awareness about Silver ($/oz) 29.33 29.62 their health benefits, an Assocham study has said. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Hindustan Tin Works, a leading manufacturer, is Previous Current Change looking at the non-food sector to drive its revenue in Company Name times to come. HTW believes non-food packaging Close (`) Price (`) (%) Apollo Hosp 477.15 532.05 11.51 will drive a lot of growth for the company. Food can Bajaj Finserv 404.50 420.00 3.83 packaging presently contributes to 90% of its total M&M Fin 640.00 657.00 2.66 sales. Divis Lab 741.55 761.00 2.62 • The International Energy Agency has said India's Godrej Cons 386.00 393.50 1.94 increasing mismatch between the domestic production and the demand for coal is due to many (BSE Mid-Cap) factors, including the "weak performance" of Coal Previous Current Change India. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Apollo Hosp 477.15 532.05 11.51 • The Sahara group will give a loan of more than HMT 28.40 30.50 7.39 `250Cr to cash-strapped Kingfisher Airlines, to help the carrier continue operations, a national daily Bombay Rayon 247.25 260.20 5.24 reported on Saturday, citing sources. Bajaj Finserv 404.50 420.00 3.83 Carborundum 144.75 149.80 3.49 • Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) will shortly seal a deal with the UK’s LP Chemical for setting up a TOP LOSERS petrochemical plant at Kochi refinery, marks foray into sector. (BSE A-Group) • Indian Oil Corporation, the country’s biggest oil Previous Current Change Company Name refining and marketing company, has raised Close(`) Price(`) (%) `1,400Cr from the domestic bond markets after a Essar Oil 56.70 47.75 -15.78 gap of nearly two-and-a-half years. The proceeds Lanco Infra 9.99 8.83 -11.61 shall be utilised in capex of ongoing domestic Unitech 21.20 19.35 -8.73 projects. Educomp Sol 197.50 180.50 -8.61 • Shriram EPC (SEPC) today said it had bagged a Sintex Inds 68.90 63.00 -8.56 `260Cr contract for installation of a byproduct (BSE Mid-Cap) complex at state-owned mining major NMDC's 3-mn Previous Current Change tonne per annum steel plant at Nagarnar in Company Name Chattisgarh. Close(`) Price(`) (%) Lanco Infra 9.99 8.83 -11.61 US markets Arvind 76.65 67.90 -11.42 U.S. stocks on Friday finished with weekly losses after a BGR Energy 224.20 201.65 -10.06 rating agency's warning on Europe pulled down KSK Energy 43.25 38.95 -9.94 investor sentiments. Fitch Ratings affirmed France’s top S Mobility 83.95 76.05 -9.41 Triple-A credit rating, but warned of a potential down grade for six other euro-using nations, placing Belgium, Spain, Slovenia, Italy, Ireland and Cyprus under review, calling a broad solution to Europe’s debt crisis “technically and politically beyond reach.” The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 2.42 points, or less than 0.1%, to 11,866.39. The S&P 500 rose 3.89 points, or 0.3% Friday, to 1,219.65. The Nasdaq Composite added 14.32 points, or 0.6%, to 2,555.33. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Regions Dec. 19 Dec. 20 Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Weekly Inflation India Data Gross domestic Existing Home sales US Home Builder Index Housing Starts purchases price Data index Gross domestic Building Permits product annualized Initial jobless claims Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index Germany Gfk UK - House Price Japan Interest Rate Global Consumer UK GDP data Index decision Confidence Survey Germany IFO - Business Climate KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.