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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Friday, March 30, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Mar 28       Mar 29    Change (%)   • Indian markets fell for their third session and closed on
 Sensex              17,121.62    17,058.61     -0.37%       negative    note yesterday, led by technology
 CNX Nifty            5,194.75     5,178.85     -0.31%       outsourcing stocks such as Infosys after local media
 BSE Mid-cap          6,190.94     6,200.87      0.16%       reported that the United States raised the cost of
 BSE IT               6,021.39     5,951.18     -1.17%       employment visas, sparking worries about the outlook
 BSE Banks           11,475.87    11,458.67     -0.15%       in a key market for the sector. Indian markets have
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       remained under pressure through the week regarding
                                                             the uncertainty behind taxation of foreign investors as
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             a main factor. Volatility was high as traders rolled over
 28-Mar                 3,253         3,004        249
                                                             positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from
 27-Mar                 3,022         2,943         79
                                                             the near-month March 2012 series to April 2012 series
 Total Mar             56,168        47,137       9031
                                                             ahead of to the expiry of March 2012 contracts. The
 2012 YTD             189,225      143,896       45328       downward movement was mainly led by selling
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      pressure in capital goods, IT, FMCG and bank stocks
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       while pharma, consumer durable, auto and metal
 28-Mar                   446          501          -55      stocks witnessed some buying activities which gave
                                                             some support to the markets. Cairn India continued
 27-Mar                   554          707         -153
                                                             with fall with a loss of 1.57% as the proposed 80%
 Total Mar              9,646        11,109      -1463
                                                             increase in cess on crude petroleum oil produced in
 2012 YTD              35,006        40,496       -5490
                                                             India could discourage the firm's expansion plan.
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 ONGC rose 1.14% on reports the Petroleum and
                                      NSE          BSE       Natural Gas Ministry signed production sharing
 Trading Volume (Cr)                87.53         24.40      contracts (PSCs) for the newly awarded 16 oil and gas
 Turnover (`Cr)                    14,690         2,004      blocks under the ninth round of new exploration
 Advances                             835         1,539      licensing policy (NELP) with the state-run oil
 Declines                             643         1,270      exploration giant emerging as the biggest winner with
 Unchanged                             65          105       six blocks. GAIL (India) gained 0.81% as the company
                                                             has signed a Gas Transmission Agreement (GTA) with
 Total                              1,543         2,914
                                                             Information Technology Park (ITPL), Bangalore for
Global Markets                                               supply around 60,000 SCMD of natural gas.
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)
                                                           • Market breadth was however strong at ~1.21x as
 DJIA                            13,145.82       0.15%
                                                             investors bought small and mid cap stocks. On
 NASDAQ                           3,095.36      -0.31%
                                                             provisional basis, FIIs sold equity of `13.33bn while
 Nikkei *                        10,098.98      -0.16%
                                                             domestic institutions bought equity of `2.99bn in cash
 Hang Seng *                     20,466.35      -0.69%
                                                             segment.
* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                           • Asian markets are mostly down today, as Japanese
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                             industrial data disappointed investors and arrest of
                                    Latest     Previous
                                                             Hong Kong property tycoons shattered the markets.
                                    Quote         Close
 Indian Rupee per $                  51.33        51.39    • We expect a negative start for the Indian markets
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.61        68.36      today following the cues from the Asian markets.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            103.53        102.78
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,662.00     1,652.20
 Silver ($/oz)                       32.30        31.99    • Japan will provide credit worth `8,303.01Cr for funding
                                                             two projects in India.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • Tata Motors may invest about `600Cr to develop
                     Previous   Current    Change          Futuristic Infantry Combat Vehicles (FICV) and set up
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          a manufacturing plant for rolling out FICVs for the
 Ranbaxy Lab          417.75     447.00      7.00          Indian Army.
 Adani Enter          284.10     300.85      5.90
                                                         • Ashok Leyland has initiated talks with foreign players
 Opto Circuits        189.52     199.25      5.13          for technological partnerships to foray into the
 Jindal Steel         525.55     548.80      4.42          aerospace business.
 Adani Ports          118.15     123.25      4.32
                                                         • The draft report of the Comptroller and Auditor
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              General of India (CAG) on coal allocation has alleged
                                                           undue benefits of `15,849Cr to Reliance Power Ltd
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                              (RPL) by way of surplus coal allocation for two of its
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 HT Media             130.05     137.00       5.34         Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs). The report pegs
 Ballarpur Inds        22.85      24.05       5.25         benefit to RPL from surplus allocation for the Sasan
 Opto Circuits        189.52     199.25       5.13         UMPP at `4,875Cr. Another `10,974Cr “may accrue”
 Shree Global Trd      96.10     100.90       4.99         from the Tilaiya UMPP, it says.
 S Mobility-$           65.65     68.90       4.95       • The country’s largest coal producer, Coal India Ltd
                                                           (CIL), has turned down a government directive
TOP LOSERS                                                 asking it to ensure supply of 80 per cent of the
                                                           committed quantity to power companies. After it
(BSE A-Group)
                                                           went through the clauses of a draft fuel supply
                     Previous   Current    Change          agreement (FSA) for the second day, the company’s
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                           board on Thursday decided to approve the draft
 JSW Ispat             12.65      12.11      -4.27
                                                           without any commitment on the quantity.
 IDBI Bank            104.60    100.55       -3.87
 OIL INDIA            493.86    474.90       -3.84
                                                         • The promoters and promoter group of Chemplast
                                                           Sanmar Limited are planning to buyback shares
 Suzlon Energy         26.90      26.15      -2.79
                                                           worth `90.60Cr from the public. The company has
 Alstom Projects      350.70    340.95       -2.78
                                                           said that it has to reorganise and raise equity funds
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              from the promoters and others to correct the
                     Previous   Current    Change          situation, and that significant investment were
 Company Name                                              required in terms of backward integration.
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 MVL                     8.95      8.10      -9.50       • NTPC has frozen expansion of its gas-based projects
 KSK Energy            54.35      51.65      -4.97         due to non-availability of the fuel, according to a
 VAARAD                32.00      30.45      -4.84         company official. The move comes against the
 SREI Infra            26.05      24.80      -4.80         backdrop of the power ministry advising power
 India Cements        117.45     111.95      -4.68         producers not to plan any gas-based projects till
                                                           2015-16 on account of gas shortage.
                                                         US markets
                                                         US stocks finished mostly lower Thursday, though the
                                                         Dow Jones Industrial Average staged a late-session
                                                         turnaround to end higher.
                                                         The S&P 500 index fell 2.26 points, or 0.2%, to close at
                                                         1,403.28. It has gained 0.4% so far this week and more
                                                         than 11% this year. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost
                                                         9.60 points, or 0.3%, to 3,095.36, with the losses
                                                         denting a weekly rise of 0.9%. Bucking the negative
                                                         trend on Thursday, the Dow industrials closed up 19.61
                                                         points, or 0.2%, at 13,145.82 after turning higher in
                                                         late trading.



Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                   Friday                                  Monday                                   Tuesday                               Wednesday

   Regions                       30/Mar                                    2/Apr                                     3/Apr                                    4/Apr

   India            Forex Reserves Data

                    Trade Deficit - RBI;
                    External Debt



   US               Personal                                 Construction                              Factory Orders                           ADP Employment
                    Consumption                              spending                                  (MoM)                                    Change
                    Expenditure - Price
                    Index (Feb) (YoY &
                    MoM)

                    Core Personal                                                                      Total Vehicle Sales                      ISM Non
                    Consumption                                                                                                                 manufacturig data
                    Expenditure - Price
                    Index (Feb) (YoY &
                    MoM)

                    Personal Income
                    (Feb, MoM); Chicago
                    Purchasing
                    Managers' Index
                    (Mar)

   Global           Eurozone Consumer                        UK & Germany                              Eurozone's Producer                      Eurozone ECB Press
                    Price Index (YoY)                        Purchasing Manager                        Price Index (MoM)                        conference &
                                                             Index Manufacturing                       and (YoY)                                Interest rate
                                                                                                                                                decision

                    Construction Orders                                                                UK's BRC Shop Price                      Germany PMI &
                    (YoY); Housing                                                                     Index (MoM)                              factory order data
                    Starts (YoY)

                                                                                                                                                UK PMI Data




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note march 30-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Friday, March 30, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Mar 28 Mar 29 Change (%) • Indian markets fell for their third session and closed on Sensex 17,121.62 17,058.61 -0.37% negative note yesterday, led by technology CNX Nifty 5,194.75 5,178.85 -0.31% outsourcing stocks such as Infosys after local media BSE Mid-cap 6,190.94 6,200.87 0.16% reported that the United States raised the cost of BSE IT 6,021.39 5,951.18 -1.17% employment visas, sparking worries about the outlook BSE Banks 11,475.87 11,458.67 -0.15% in a key market for the sector. Indian markets have FII Activity (`Cr) remained under pressure through the week regarding the uncertainty behind taxation of foreign investors as Date Buy Sell Net a main factor. Volatility was high as traders rolled over 28-Mar 3,253 3,004 249 positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from 27-Mar 3,022 2,943 79 the near-month March 2012 series to April 2012 series Total Mar 56,168 47,137 9031 ahead of to the expiry of March 2012 contracts. The 2012 YTD 189,225 143,896 45328 downward movement was mainly led by selling MF Activity (`Cr) pressure in capital goods, IT, FMCG and bank stocks Date Buy Sell Net while pharma, consumer durable, auto and metal 28-Mar 446 501 -55 stocks witnessed some buying activities which gave some support to the markets. Cairn India continued 27-Mar 554 707 -153 with fall with a loss of 1.57% as the proposed 80% Total Mar 9,646 11,109 -1463 increase in cess on crude petroleum oil produced in 2012 YTD 35,006 40,496 -5490 India could discourage the firm's expansion plan. Volume & Advances / Declines ONGC rose 1.14% on reports the Petroleum and NSE BSE Natural Gas Ministry signed production sharing Trading Volume (Cr) 87.53 24.40 contracts (PSCs) for the newly awarded 16 oil and gas Turnover (`Cr) 14,690 2,004 blocks under the ninth round of new exploration Advances 835 1,539 licensing policy (NELP) with the state-run oil Declines 643 1,270 exploration giant emerging as the biggest winner with Unchanged 65 105 six blocks. GAIL (India) gained 0.81% as the company has signed a Gas Transmission Agreement (GTA) with Total 1,543 2,914 Information Technology Park (ITPL), Bangalore for Global Markets supply around 60,000 SCMD of natural gas. Index Latest Values Change (%) • Market breadth was however strong at ~1.21x as DJIA 13,145.82 0.15% investors bought small and mid cap stocks. On NASDAQ 3,095.36 -0.31% provisional basis, FIIs sold equity of `13.33bn while Nikkei * 10,098.98 -0.16% domestic institutions bought equity of `2.99bn in cash Hang Seng * 20,466.35 -0.69% segment. * as of 8.25AM IST • Asian markets are mostly down today, as Japanese Currencies / Commodities Snapshot industrial data disappointed investors and arrest of Latest Previous Hong Kong property tycoons shattered the markets. Quote Close Indian Rupee per $ 51.33 51.39 • We expect a negative start for the Indian markets Indian Rupee per € 68.61 68.36 today following the cues from the Asian markets. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 103.53 102.78 Economic and Corporate Developments Gold ($/oz) 1,662.00 1,652.20 Silver ($/oz) 32.30 31.99 • Japan will provide credit worth `8,303.01Cr for funding two projects in India. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Tata Motors may invest about `600Cr to develop Previous Current Change Futuristic Infantry Combat Vehicles (FICV) and set up Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) a manufacturing plant for rolling out FICVs for the Ranbaxy Lab 417.75 447.00 7.00 Indian Army. Adani Enter 284.10 300.85 5.90 • Ashok Leyland has initiated talks with foreign players Opto Circuits 189.52 199.25 5.13 for technological partnerships to foray into the Jindal Steel 525.55 548.80 4.42 aerospace business. Adani Ports 118.15 123.25 4.32 • The draft report of the Comptroller and Auditor (BSE Mid-Cap) General of India (CAG) on coal allocation has alleged undue benefits of `15,849Cr to Reliance Power Ltd Previous Current Change Company Name (RPL) by way of surplus coal allocation for two of its Close(`) Price(`) (%) HT Media 130.05 137.00 5.34 Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs). The report pegs Ballarpur Inds 22.85 24.05 5.25 benefit to RPL from surplus allocation for the Sasan Opto Circuits 189.52 199.25 5.13 UMPP at `4,875Cr. Another `10,974Cr “may accrue” Shree Global Trd 96.10 100.90 4.99 from the Tilaiya UMPP, it says. S Mobility-$ 65.65 68.90 4.95 • The country’s largest coal producer, Coal India Ltd (CIL), has turned down a government directive TOP LOSERS asking it to ensure supply of 80 per cent of the committed quantity to power companies. After it (BSE A-Group) went through the clauses of a draft fuel supply Previous Current Change agreement (FSA) for the second day, the company’s Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) board on Thursday decided to approve the draft JSW Ispat 12.65 12.11 -4.27 without any commitment on the quantity. IDBI Bank 104.60 100.55 -3.87 OIL INDIA 493.86 474.90 -3.84 • The promoters and promoter group of Chemplast Sanmar Limited are planning to buyback shares Suzlon Energy 26.90 26.15 -2.79 worth `90.60Cr from the public. The company has Alstom Projects 350.70 340.95 -2.78 said that it has to reorganise and raise equity funds (BSE Mid-Cap) from the promoters and others to correct the Previous Current Change situation, and that significant investment were Company Name required in terms of backward integration. Close(`) Price(`) (%) MVL 8.95 8.10 -9.50 • NTPC has frozen expansion of its gas-based projects KSK Energy 54.35 51.65 -4.97 due to non-availability of the fuel, according to a VAARAD 32.00 30.45 -4.84 company official. The move comes against the SREI Infra 26.05 24.80 -4.80 backdrop of the power ministry advising power India Cements 117.45 111.95 -4.68 producers not to plan any gas-based projects till 2015-16 on account of gas shortage. US markets US stocks finished mostly lower Thursday, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average staged a late-session turnaround to end higher. The S&P 500 index fell 2.26 points, or 0.2%, to close at 1,403.28. It has gained 0.4% so far this week and more than 11% this year. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 9.60 points, or 0.3%, to 3,095.36, with the losses denting a weekly rise of 0.9%. Bucking the negative trend on Thursday, the Dow industrials closed up 19.61 points, or 0.2%, at 13,145.82 after turning higher in late trading. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Regions 30/Mar 2/Apr 3/Apr 4/Apr India Forex Reserves Data Trade Deficit - RBI; External Debt US Personal Construction Factory Orders ADP Employment Consumption spending (MoM) Change Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Core Personal Total Vehicle Sales ISM Non Consumption manufacturig data Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Personal Income (Feb, MoM); Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (Mar) Global Eurozone Consumer UK & Germany Eurozone's Producer Eurozone ECB Press Price Index (YoY) Purchasing Manager Price Index (MoM) conference & Index Manufacturing and (YoY) Interest rate decision Construction Orders UK's BRC Shop Price Germany PMI & (YoY); Housing Index (MoM) factory order data Starts (YoY) UK PMI Data KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.