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Management
Science (Quantitative
Techniques in Business)
(Source: https://pixabay.com/illustrations/businessmen-team-group-cooperation-3110816/)
MODULE 4
Decision-making Theory
(Source: https://www.emotionalintelligenceatwork.com/resources/best-way-make-decisions/)
Topic Outline
• Introduction
• Steps in Decision-making
• Conditions in Decision-making
• Criteria in Decision-making
• Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty
• Decision-making under Conditions of Risk
• Marginal Analysis with Discrete Distribution
• Alternative Decision-making
• Marginal Analysis with Normal Distribution
OBJECTIVES
• Determine favorable payoffs using the maximin, maximax, and minimax regret criteria
• Enumerate the characteristics of a decision theory approach to decision-making
• Describe and give examples of decisions under certainty, risk, and complete uncertainty
• Introduce the method of computation for the expected value or mathematical expectation
• Solve decision-making problems
• Draw conclusions in maximizing profit in decision theory problems
• Apply probability in solving decision theory problems
• Determine the need of studying problems involving decision-making
• Come up with decisions that maximize the profit in business
• Illustrate the use of the decision tree as a tool in decision analysis
• Use decision trees to lay out decision alternatives and possible consequences of decisions
INTRODUCTION
In business, decision-making is the most difficult task to do. It is always
associated with a manager’s work. The success or failure of a
transaction lies in the decision of the manager. To avoid mistakes,
decisions should be done systematically. According to the Dictionary of
Cybernetics, decision theory is a body of knowledge and related
analytical techniques of different degrees of formality designed to help
the decision-maker choose from a set of alternatives in light of their
possible consequences.
(Source: https://ceopedia.org/index.php/Conditions_of_decision-making)
DISCUSSION
• Steps in Decision-making
• Conditions in Decision-making
• Criteria in Decision-making
• Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty
• Decision-making under Conditions of Risk
• Marginal Analysis with Discrete Distribution
• Alternative Decision-making
• Marginal Analysis with Normal Distribution
(Source: https://www.canr.msu.edu/news/risk-using-risk-to-make-informed-decisions)
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PPT-Management-Science-Chapter-4.pptx

  • 1. Management Science (Quantitative Techniques in Business) (Source: https://pixabay.com/illustrations/businessmen-team-group-cooperation-3110816/)
  • 2. MODULE 4 Decision-making Theory (Source: https://www.emotionalintelligenceatwork.com/resources/best-way-make-decisions/)
  • 3. Topic Outline • Introduction • Steps in Decision-making • Conditions in Decision-making • Criteria in Decision-making • Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty • Decision-making under Conditions of Risk • Marginal Analysis with Discrete Distribution • Alternative Decision-making • Marginal Analysis with Normal Distribution
  • 4. OBJECTIVES • Determine favorable payoffs using the maximin, maximax, and minimax regret criteria • Enumerate the characteristics of a decision theory approach to decision-making • Describe and give examples of decisions under certainty, risk, and complete uncertainty • Introduce the method of computation for the expected value or mathematical expectation • Solve decision-making problems • Draw conclusions in maximizing profit in decision theory problems • Apply probability in solving decision theory problems • Determine the need of studying problems involving decision-making • Come up with decisions that maximize the profit in business • Illustrate the use of the decision tree as a tool in decision analysis • Use decision trees to lay out decision alternatives and possible consequences of decisions
  • 5. INTRODUCTION In business, decision-making is the most difficult task to do. It is always associated with a manager’s work. The success or failure of a transaction lies in the decision of the manager. To avoid mistakes, decisions should be done systematically. According to the Dictionary of Cybernetics, decision theory is a body of knowledge and related analytical techniques of different degrees of formality designed to help the decision-maker choose from a set of alternatives in light of their possible consequences. (Source: https://ceopedia.org/index.php/Conditions_of_decision-making)
  • 6. DISCUSSION • Steps in Decision-making • Conditions in Decision-making • Criteria in Decision-making • Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty • Decision-making under Conditions of Risk • Marginal Analysis with Discrete Distribution • Alternative Decision-making • Marginal Analysis with Normal Distribution (Source: https://www.canr.msu.edu/news/risk-using-risk-to-make-informed-decisions)