The 15 Critical Uncertainties Taken Into Consideration Françoise Laveuve (RCE Brittany​) Europe Regional Meeting 2023 12-14 September 2023

1. Delphi Survey DG EAC future of school education until 2040
launched at the request of the European Commission, DG EAC
Scenarios for the future of School Education in the EU
The 15 Critical Uncertainties taken into consideration

2. The 15 Critical Uncertainties taken into consideration
• Emergence of the alternative ways of schooling
• Increasing school openness
• Increase in interdisciplinary learning
• Increase in blended and personalised learning (1)
• Increasing relevance of education to the current labour market needs
• Increasing shortage of competent teaching staff
• Increasing social risks of digitalisation in schools
• Increasing focus on sustainability education and civic and citizenship education
(2)

3. The 15 Critical Uncertainties taken into consideration
• Deterioration of basic skills
• Increasing inclusion of people with disabilities
• Increasing inequality in education
• Changing role of teachers
• Increased focus on general competences
• Increase expenditures in private education (3)
• Partial replacement of teachers with AI