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Query Performance Prediction by Means of


Intent-Aware Metrics in Systematic Reviews
Giorgio Maria Di Nunzio

Department of Information Engineering

University of Padova

Intelligent Interactive Information Access (IIIA) Hub
London IR Meetup @ DESIRES 2021

15th September 2021, Padova, Italy
High Precision or High Recall
High Precision or High Recall
High Precision or High Recall
Gotta catch ‘em all!
When?
eDiscovery
Systematic reviews
Example
• To produce high-quality, relevant, up-to-date 

systematic reviews and other synthesized research
evidence to inform health decision making.
Example
disc herniation in patients
with low-back pain
1901 documents
Physical examination for
lumbar radiculopathy
546 documents
Example
Overview
• Continuous Active Learning (CAL) in Recall Oriented Tasks

• Estimate Recall with limited resources 

• Query (Variant) Performance Prediction
PART I


Continuous Active Learning (CAL)


in Recall Oriented Tasks
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D5
D3
D4
D2
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D5
D3
D4
D2
Query
IR System
D3
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D5
D3
D4
D2
Query
IR System
D3
Continuous Active Learning
D1
D5
D3
D4
D2
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D5
D4
D2
D1
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D5
D4
D2
D1
Query
IR System
D4
Continuous Active Learning
D5
D4
D3
D2
D1
Query
IR System
D4
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D5
D4
D2
D1
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D4
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D4
D5
D2
D1
Query
IR System
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D4
D5
D2
D1
Query
IR System
D2
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D4
D5
D2
D1
Query
IR System
D2
Continuous Active Learning
D3
D4
D5
D2
D1
Query
IR System
Rank Assess
Formulate
Continuous Active Learning
Rank Assess
Formulate
Continuous Active Learning
Gotta Catch ‘em All…right?
PART II


Estimate Recall with Limited Resources
Continuous Active Learning
Continuous Active Learning
Problem
• Build an e
ff
ective system given limited resources

• Resources can be

• limited time (+ in
fi
nite money)

• limited money (+ in
fi
nite time)

• limited time and limited money
Ranking or Sampling?
“Distill” as many relevant documents as possible
Ranking or Sampling?
“Distill” as many relevant documents as possible
Ranking or Sampling?
Estimate the proportion of relevant documents
Ranking or Sampling?
Estimate the proportion of relevant documents
Ranking or Sampling?
Ranking or Sampling?
Ranking or Sampling?
Rank Assess
Formulate
Ranking or Sampling?
Rank Assess
Formulate Sample
When to Stop Reviewing?
Li, D., Kanoulas, E. TOIS 2021

When to Stop Reviewing in Technology-Assisted Reviews: 

Sampling from an Adaptive Distribution to Estimate Residual Relevant Documents
When to Stop Reviewing?
Giorgio Maria Di Nunzio, ECIR 2018

A Study of an Automatic Stopping Strategy for Technologically Assisted Medical Reviews
When to Stop Reviewing?
Giorgio Maria Di Nunzio, ECIR 2018

A Study of an Automatic Stopping Strategy for Technologically Assisted Medical Reviews
When to Stop Reviewing?
Giorgio Maria Di Nunzio, ECIR 2018

A Study of an Automatic Stopping Strategy for Technologically Assisted Medical Reviews
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
Baseline
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
200 per query
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
400 per query
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
600 per query
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
800 per query
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
1000 per query
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
When to Stop Reviewing?
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
20000 40000 60000 80000
documents shown (feedback)
average
recall
type
abs−hh−ratio
abs−th−ratio
bm25
equal
prop
When to Stop Reviewing?
When to Stop Reviewing?
When to Stop Reviewing?
When to Stop Reviewing?
Accurate estimate of recall but more e
ff
ort and less relevant documents

Or

More relevant documents with less e
ff
ort but inaccurate recall
PART III


Query (Variant) Performance Prediction
Query Reformulation
Rank Assess
Formulate Sample
Query Reformulation
Reformulate
Reformulate
Rank Assess
Formulate Sample
Query Reformulation
Reformulate
Rank Assess
Formulate Sample
Reformulate
Query Reformulation
Reformulate
Rank
Formulate
Reformulate Rank
Rank
Query Performance (post-hoc)
Reformulate
Rank
Formulate
Reformulate Rank
Rank
Query Performance (post-hoc)
Reformulate
Rank
Formulate
Reformulate Rank
Rank
Query Performance Prediction
Reformulate
Rank
Formulate
Reformulate Rank
Rank
Scells, H., Azzopardi, L., Zuccon, G., Koopman, B. SIGIR 2018

Query Variation Performance Prediction for Systematic Reviews
?
?
?
Query Performance Prediction
• Problem: Can we order the di
ff
erent reformulations in
decreasing order according to some evaluation measures?

• Is there any reformulation more promising than the others?

• Pre-retrieval predictors: use statistics about queries and the
collection in order to make a prediction.

• Post-retrieval predictors: use the results, such as the retrieval
status value and rank of documents to make a prediction
about the e
ff
ectiveness of a query.
Scells, H., Azzopardi, L., Zuccon, G., Koopman, B. SIGIR 2018

Query Variation Performance Prediction for Systematic Reviews
ScentBar
Umemoto, K., Yamamoto, T., Tanak,. K. SIGIR 2016

ScentBar: A Query Suggestion Interface Visualizing 

the Amount of Missed Relevant Information for Intrinsically Diverse Search
ScentBar
Umemoto, K., Yamamoto, T., Tanak,. K. SIGIR 2016

ScentBar: A Query Suggestion Interface Visualizing 

the Amount of Missed Relevant Information for Intrinsically Diverse Search
Smoking cigarettes
ScentBar
Umemoto, K., Yamamoto, T., Tanak,. K. SIGIR 2016

ScentBar: A Query Suggestion Interface Visualizing 

the Amount of Missed Relevant Information for Intrinsically Diverse Search
Smoking cigarettes
Intent-Aware GAIN Metric
• Importance: documents relevant to a central aspect of the
search topic produce higher gain than those relevant to a
peripheral one.

• Relevance: highly relevant documents produce higher gain
than partially relevant ones.

• Novelty: documents relevant to an unexplored aspect
produce higher gain than those relevant to a fully explored
aspect.
Query Aspects
Query Aspects
t
Topic
Query Aspects
t
s1
s2
s3
s4
s5
Topic
Subtopics
C1
C2
Query Aspects
t
s1
s2
s3
s4
s5
Topic
Subtopics
Clusters
C1
C2
Query Aspects
t
s1
a1
s3
s4
a2
Topic
Subtopics
Clusters
Aspects
Importance of a Subtopic
Impt(s) =
∑
d∈DN
s ∩d∈DN
t
1
Rankt(d)
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
Importance of a Subtopic
Impt(s) =
∑
d∈DN
s ∩d∈DN
t
1
Rankt(d)
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
t
s
Importance of a Subtopic
Impt(s) =
∑
d∈DN
s ∩d∈DN
t
1
Rankt(d)
D7
D2
D5
D8
D4
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
t
s
Importance of a Subtopic
Impt(s) =
∑
d∈DN
s ∩d∈DN
t
1
Rankt(d)
D7
D2
D5
D8
D4
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
t
s
Building the IA-GAIN
P(a|t) =
Impt(a)
∑a′

∈At
Impt(a′

)
Building the IA-GAIN
P(a|t) =
Impt(a)
∑a′

∈At
Impt(a′

)
Gaint,a(D) =
[
1 −
∏
d∈D
(1 − Relt,a(d))
]
Building the IA-GAIN
P(a|t) =
Impt(a)
∑a′

∈At
Impt(a′

)
Gaint,a(D) =
[
1 −
∏
d∈D
(1 − Relt,a(d))
]
Relt,a(d) =
∑s∈Ca
Impt(s) ⋅ Rels(d)
∑s∈Ca
Impt(s)
Building the IA-GAIN
P(a|t) =
Impt(a)
∑a′

∈At
Impt(a′

)
Gaint,a(D) =
[
1 −
∏
d∈D
(1 − Relt,a(d))
]
Relt,a(d) =
∑s∈Ca
Impt(s) ⋅ Rels(d)
∑s∈Ca
Impt(s)
Rels(d) = 1/ Ranks(d)
Intent-Aware GAIN
Gain-IAt(D) =
∑
a∈At
P(a|t) ⋅ Gaint,a(D)
Intent-Aware GAIN
• Umemoto et al. de
fi
ne the amount of Missed Information MI
to estimate what could have happened if the user had
browsed more documents

• Instead, we want to transform the GAIN function into a proxy
for a Query Variant Performance Prediction function
A Gain for Query Reformulations
• Hypotheses

• We do not have a “reference” topic t (which is unknown)

• But we know that the user has some information need “i”

• We have one single cluster of query variants “Vi”
Di Nunzio, G.M., Faggioli, G. 2021 Applied Sciences (submitted)

A Study of a Gain Based Approach for Query Aspects in Recall Oriented Tasks

https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202109.0198/v1
A Gain for query reformulations
Gaini,q(D) =
[
1 −
∏
d∈D
(1 − Reli,q(d))
]
Reli,q(d) =
∑s∈Vi
Impq(s)Rels(d)
∑s∈Vi
Impq(s)
Avoid Saturated GAIN
GAINi,q(D) =
[
1 −
∑d∈D
(1 − Reli,q(d))
|D| ]
“Mean” Gain
Query Variants Similarity Matrix
• We de
fi
ne Dq as the set of documents retrieved by q.

• Di is the the set of all documents retrieved by at least one
reformulation q.

• R ∈ R^|Vi| x |Di| as the matrix of rankings for the information
need i where each row corresponds to a speci
fi
c
reformulation and each column to a document. 

• The value of an element R is de
fi
ned as |Di | minus the rank of
document d retrieved by q.
Query Variants Similarity Matrix
• Finally, we build the symmetric matrix S by computing the
cosine similarity between each pair of rows.

• The row (or column) with the largest sum corresponds to the
query variant “closest” to the ideal centroid.

• We use the values of the sum of the rows (or columns) to
order the importance of each variant.
Query Variants Similarity Matrix
V1 V2 V3
V1 1 0.2 0.4 1.6
V2 0.2 1 0.7 1.9
V3 0.4 0.7 1 2.1
Experimental Setting
• Task: Predict the best query variants for a recall oriented task

• CLEF 2018 eHealth Consumer Health Search (CHS) task

• 50 information needs with 7 query reformulation each

• Collection fo 5,535,120 Web pages (selected domains
acquired from the CommonCrawl)

• 500 relevance assessments per information need
Inter-Topic Traditional QPP


(sanity check)
Intra-Topic Traditional QPP
Intra-Topic Traditional QPP
IA-GAIN Results
IA-GAIN Results
IA-GAIN Results
IA-GAIN Results
IA-GAIN Results [Original]
IA-GAIN Results [Mean]
IA-GAIN Results [Similarity]
Final Remarks
• “Traditional” QPP approaches less accurate for Recall
oriented tasks.

• For recall based tasks where the number of documents to
retrieve maybe large, N > 100 , the original de
fi
nition of GAIN
saturates quickly to 1. 

• We proposed an alternative de
fi
nition that mitigates this
problem, and we also presented a similarity based approach
that tries to capture the ‘optimal’ query reformulation. 

• Our approach signi
fi
cantly improves the prediction of the
order of importance of each reformulation in terms of recall
Future Work
Reformulate
Rank Assess
Formulate Sample
Reformulate
Future Work
Reformulate
Rank
Formulate
Reformulate Rank
Rank
Special Issues now!


(with Evangelos Kanoulas)
• Special Issue Intelligent Systems with Applications (ISWA) Elsevier

• Technology Assisted Review Systems
• Extended deadline October 30th 2021
• Research Topic at Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics

• Evaluation in High-Recall IR Systems, evaluation metrics and
protocols
• Submissions open until April 2022
#ads


Thank you!


Am I Missing Something?
Giorgio Maria Di Nunzio

@airamoigroig

Intelligent Interactive Information Access (IIIA) Hub

http://iiia.dei.unipd.it

@iiia_unipd

London IR Meetup @ DESIRES 2021

15th September 2021, Padova, Italy

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