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ANIA WIECZOREK
TONIGHT’S SPEAKER
Jay Kesavan
Ania Wieczorek
Bowery Analytics LLC
What does a typical Data
Science Project look like?
AGENDA
Intro to data science
Case Study
Data Science Project Lifecycle
Data Science Projects v/s
Traditional Projects
Resources
9BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
NOT
COVERED
1. Data mining algorithms and techniques.
2. Big data technologies.
3. Data visualization technologies.
10BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
WHAT IS DATA
SCIENCE ?
Area of work
concerned with the
collection,
preparation,
analysis,
visualization,
management, and
preservation of
large collection of
information.
11BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
Jeffrey Stanton
Syracuse
University School
of Information
WHY NOW ?
90%
all data created in last two years
2.5
million TB
12BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
HOW DID
WE GET
HERE?
EVOLUTION OF BIG
DATA
1.0
1950-
2000
Enterprise
Data Ware
House
Static and
Low Volume
Focus on
Operational
Efficiency
2.0
2000-2012
Google
Amazon
(Internet)
High Volume,
High Velocity
Data tools as a
product
(people you
may know,
products you
like)
3.0
2012 – Now
Data
generated at
every event
(iOT)
Cognitive
Analytics
(Echo, Home).
Every company
offering data
products.
13BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
The different eras of Big Data
AI, ML, DL
Courtesy: Nvidia14BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
USE CASE
PROJECT
LEAF
Reducing
member
churn using
predictive
analytics
15BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
THE
PARK
MORTON
ARBORETUM
Reduce membership churn for the park using
predictive analytics.
Objective
Explore park’s member profile and the transaction
data and make predictions.
Data
Leverage data analytics tools and predictive
algorithms.
Tools
16BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
DATA
UNDERST
ANDING,
TRANSFO
RMATION
AND
EXPLORAT
ION
All membership profile
information (DB)
All events attended by
member (CSV)
Every transaction made by
the member at Morton (3rd
Party DB)
17BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
DATA
TRANSFOR
MATION
Multiple steps
Clean data (remove blank,
empty spaces, data formatting)
Add additional attributes to
data
 Binary flag Churn/No Churn
 Distance from Morton by zip
 Age Group
 Average income leveraging
census data
18BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
VISUAL DATA EXPLORATION –
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
19BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
DATA EXPLORATION –
GEOGRAPHIC PRESENCE OF MEMBERS
20BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
21BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
RESEARCH
HYPOTHESIS
Data understanding and
preparation led us to a simple
hypothesis.
More
interaction with
the Park should
be correlated
with more
renewals.
22BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
SUPERVISED V/S
UNSUPERVISED
1
Do our customers fit into different
groups ? (Unsupervised)
2
Do we know customers who will
quit after their contract expires ?
(Supervised)
23BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
MODELIN
G –
QUICK
INTRO
•Estimate a numerical value
– the probability of this
customer leaving ?
(Supervised/Regression)
•Will the customer leave
(yes/no) ?
(Unsupervised/Classificatio
n)
24BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
MODELING
oDealing with Missing Values
oDummy Transformations (churn/no churn variables)
oIdentify train and test data (60 and 40%)
25BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
IMPLICATIONS
OF THE
MODEL
False Positives
False Negatives
ROI
26BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
DATA MINING
PROCESS
27BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
DATA SCIENCE
APPLICATIONS
1. Customer Attrition (eCommerce and Subscriptions)
2. Predict who is quitting (HR)
3. Heavy equipment reducing downtime (Oil and Natural gas)
4. Image recognition and profiling. (Govt.)
5. Precision medicine and reducing downtime. (Healthcare)
6. Topic Modeling and Document Management (Legal and
Contracts)
BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC 28
SOME DATA
SCIENCE
ALGORITHMS
Classification
 How likely will the customer respond
to our campaign ?
Regression (Estimation)
 How much will she use the service ?
Similarity
 Can we find customers similar to my
best customers?
Clustering
 Do my customers for natural groups?
CONT..
Co-Occurrence
 You might also like …
Description – Profiling
 What does normal behavior look
like?
Causal Modeling
 Why are my customers leaving?
TOOLS AND SKILLS
BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC 31
Business
Understandin
g
Data
Understandin
g
Data
Preparation
Modeling Evaluation Deployment
Micro Soft
Visio, Excel
Power User
and Macros,
Micro Soft
Word, SQL
QlikView,
Tableau,
Power BI,
ggplot
using R,
Embedded
web plot
using
Plotly and
D3.js
Statistics, R,
Python, Scala
R, Python,
Scala,
Azure ML,
R Studio,
IBM Blue
Mix, Google
Tensor
Flow, AWS
ML,
Hadoop,
Apache
Spark Eco
System
R, Python,
Scala,
Azure ML,
R Studio,
IBM Blue
Mix,
Google
Tensor
Flow, AWS
ML,
Hadoop,
Apache
Spark Eco
System
R, Python,
Scala, Azure
ML, R Studio,
IBM Blue
Mix, Google
Tensor Flow,
AWS ML,
Hadoop,
Apache
Spark Eco
System
TYPICAL JOB ROLES
Data Analysts and Visualization (Eg.Tableau
Developer)
 Analysts – Part of a Data Science Team
 Tableau Dashboard Developer
Data Mining and Infrastructure setup (AWS and
Hadoop/NoSQL Developer/Administrator)
 Setup Hadoop Infrastructure
 Write Java code to run Hadoop Jobs
 AWS Instance Administrator
Data Scientist (Data Modeling using
Predictive Analytics)
 Data Science Manager
 Team Lead
 Architect
PREPARING
FOR THE
PROJECT
Do we have the data ?
What kind of data do we
have ?
Do we have the team ?
Do we have the buy in from
the stakeholders ?
33BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
GOOD DATA = GOOD
MODELS
BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC 34
COMMON
MISTAKES
•Data Science Project is not a Software
Project
•Overestimate the significance of data
•Vendor, Team and Skills
35BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
RESOURCES
AND TOOLS
1. An Intro to statistical learning
Gareth James , Daniela Witten,
Trevor Hastie and Robert Tibshirani
2. Business Analytics for Managers
Wolfgang Jank
3. An Introduction to Machine Learning
Miroslav Kubat
4. Understanding Statistics using R
Randall Schumaker, Sara Tomek
5. www.rstudio.com
Primary development environment for R
6. Visual Studio Community Edition
2015 and above comes with an
Integrated R environment
36BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
Questions?
37BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
CONTACT
US
www.boweryanalytics.com
Jay
jay@boweryanalytics.com
Ania
Ania@boweryanalytics.com
38BOWERY ANALYTICS LLC
Part-time Product Management Courses in
New York

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Exploring What a Typical Data Science Project Looks Like

Editor's Notes

  1. Ania Wieczorek
  2. We are going to look at each one of these concerns and identify how this maps to a project plan and the skills needed to execute this.
  3. 90% of all data created in last two years 2.5 Quil
  4. 1.0: US Census was one of the first data warehouses built. 2.0: Google and Amazon Pioneered the use of Data Products. Google with the AdWords and Amazon with the use of “You may also like..” product recommendations. 3.0: Data Products: Caterpillar selling usage data. GE launching operational products for OIL and Natural gas industry to help reduce downtime.  50 million data variables from 10 million sensors installed on its machines. GE predicts the applications for industrial products will be close to 220 Billion by 2020 https://sloanreview.mit.edu/case-study/ge-big-bet-on-data-and-analytics/
  5. What kind of data do we have ? What type of data do we have ?
  6. This is a continuation of Data Exploration. Top Left: Churn/No Churn in relation to the visits Top right: Churn/No Churn in relation to the events attended. Bottom Left: Churn/No Churn in relation to the Distance from the park. Bottom right: Churn/No Churn in relation to the Net Amt spend in the park.
  7. This is the first hypothesis we developed in a series.
  8. Explain why we need supervised and un-supervised.
  9. False Positives – How many records was negative which was marked as positives. You are loosing money here targeting the wrong people. False Negatives – How many records was positive which was marked as Negative. You lost opportunity here by not targeting the right people. You want very low number in these two.
  10. Basic Understanding: What kind of problem are we trying to solve ? Is it classification ? Is it regression ? Data Understanding: Strengths and limitations of data ? Do we have enough historical data to accomplish what we need to do ? Is the data reliable ? We have lot of data – Is all the data we have actually reliable ? We collected all the transaction data but are we getting any reliable insights from it ? For example Credit Card data has Fraud and real – these labels might serve as targets. Medicare fraud example. Credit Card and Medicare Fraud are two distinct examples. There is no specific labels in Medicare on which can be a fraud charge. Its common to have several data mining techniques and eventually combining them. Data Preparation: Converting to tabular format. Inferring missing values, type conversion – making sure data is looking good. Modeling Evaluation; Too many false alarms. What would be the cost of all false alarms ? Data Scientists need to think about the Comprehensibility of the model to stake holders. Test and Production environment. Do final controlled experiments in live systems ? Also, be wary of what kind of data is passed to the model. Did the data change after the model was build ? Deployment can be simple like a set of rules or complex like live fraud detection.
  11. #6 – Talk about the project we are working on right now at the financial client.